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All Games Wednesday, March 13, 2024
FinalWin Prob.pScore
2
Nuggets
56%111
100
13
Heat
44%109
88
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
112.48985.8
MIA logo MIA
96.79194.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.100
100%
88
0%
Q4 - 0:03.8NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.2NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.1HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.9HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.1NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (traveling)100
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound100
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot100
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)100
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound97
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 1:42HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot97
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 1:54NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jamal Murray assists)97
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 2:16HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 295
99.1%
86
0.9%
Q4 - 2:16HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 295
99.2%
85
0.8%
Q4 - 2:16NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)95
99.2%
84
0.8%
Q4 - 2:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound95
99.4%
84
0.6%
Q4 - 2:29NuggetsAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 2 of 295
99.4%
84
0.6%
Q4 - 2:29NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 295
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 2:29HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)94
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 2:40HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)94
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 2:42NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound94
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 2:44NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point driving layup94
99.2%
84
0.8%
Q4 - 2:54NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound94
98.9%
84
1.1%
Q4 - 2:57NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point driving layup94
98.5%
84
1.5%
Q4 - 3:18NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound94
99.0%
84
1.0%
Q4 - 3:24HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot94
98.9%
84
1.1%
Q4 - 3:38NuggetsReggie Jackson makes three point stepback jump shot94
96.8%
84
3.2%
Q4 - 3:57NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound91
94.3%
84
5.7%
Q4 - 3:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot91
93.6%
84
6.4%
Q4 - 4:12NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point pullup jump shot91
91.9%
84
8.1%
Q4 - 4:35HeatTerry Rozier makes two point pullup jump shot89
89.3%
84
10.7%
Q4 - 4:50NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point pullup jump shot89
92.0%
82
8.0%
Q4 - 5:18HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)87
86.7%
82
13.3%
Q4 - 5:39NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)87
89.8%
80
10.2%
Q4 - 5:55NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound85
86.9%
80
13.1%
Q4 - 5:57HeatCaleb Martin misses three point stepback jump shot85
85.6%
80
14.4%
Q4 - 6:05HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound85
79.9%
80
20.1%
Q4 - 6:09HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup85
83.4%
80
16.6%
Q4 - 6:29NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point driving dunk (Aaron Gordon assists)85
80.0%
80
20.0%
Q4 - 6:52HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)83
76.2%
80
23.8%
Q4 - 7:05NuggetsJustin Holiday makes two point stepback jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)83
82.6%
77
17.4%
Q4 - 7:16HeatJimmy Butler makes two point tip dunk81
79.5%
77
20.5%
Q4 - 7:18HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound81
82.6%
75
17.4%
Q4 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running layup81
85.6%
75
14.4%
Q4 - 7:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound81
82.6%
75
17.4%
Q4 - 7:24NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot81
84.0%
75
16.0%
Q4 - 7:42NuggetsJustin Holiday defensive rebound81
86.8%
75
13.2%
Q4 - 7:45HeatPeyton Watson blocks Patty Mills's three point jump shot81
85.6%
75
14.4%
Q4 - 7:58NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (out of bounds bad pass)81
82.7%
75
17.3%
Q4 - 8:17NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound81
85.3%
75
14.7%
Q4 - 8:20HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot81
84.3%
75
15.7%
Q4 - 8:29NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point driving finger roll layup81
81.8%
75
18.2%
Q4 - 8:41HeatThomas Bryant personal foul (Loose ball) (Peyton Watson draws the foul)79
78.2%
75
21.8%
Q4 - 8:41NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound79
78.2%
75
21.8%
Q4 - 8:42HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot79
76.8%
75
23.2%
Q4 - 9:06NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point pullup jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)79
72.3%
75
27.7%
Q4 - 9:22HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup77
68.2%
75
31.8%
Q4 - 9:43NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point layup (Peyton Watson assists)77
72.4%
73
27.6%
Q4 - 10:00HeatThomas Bryant makes two point putback layup75
68.2%
73
31.8%
Q4 - 10:01HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound75
71.3%
71
28.7%
Q4 - 10:02HeatThomas Bryant misses two point tip layup75
74.6%
71
25.4%
Q4 - 10:03HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound75
71.3%
71
28.7%
Q4 - 10:04HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup75
74.6%
71
25.4%
Q4 - 10:14NuggetsChristian Braun personal foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)75
71.3%
71
28.7%
Q4 - 10:22HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound75
71.3%
71
28.7%
Q4 - 10:26NuggetsPeyton Watson misses three point jump shot75
72.8%
71
27.2%
Q4 - 10:45HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)75
76.1%
71
23.9%
Q4 - 11:13NuggetsChristian Braun makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)75
70.9%
71
29.1%
Q4 - 11:22NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound72
61.7%
71
38.3%
Q4 - 11:26HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup72
60.2%
71
39.8%
Q4 - 11:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound72
56.7%
71
43.3%
Q4 - 11:39NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot72
58.3%
71
41.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.72
61.8%
71
38.2%
Q3 - 0:00.9HeatHeat offensive rebound72
57.2%
71
42.8%
Q3 - 0:01.7HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot72
60.4%
71
39.6%
Q3 - 0:12.9NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving reverse layup72
57.2%
71
42.8%
Q3 - 0:24.1HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)70
52.2%
71
47.8%
Q3 - 0:31.9NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound70
52.2%
71
47.8%
Q3 - 0:34.8HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot70
50.7%
71
49.3%
Q3 - 0:54.3NuggetsAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)70
47.4%
71
52.6%
Q3 - 1:18HeatThomas Bryant makes two point floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)67
39.0%
71
61.0%
Q3 - 1:33NuggetsReggie Jackson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)67
43.2%
69
56.8%
Q3 - 1:39NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound67
48.0%
69
52.0%
Q3 - 1:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot67
46.6%
69
53.4%
Q3 - 2:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound67
43.2%
69
56.8%
Q3 - 2:02NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point layup67
45.3%
69
54.7%
Q3 - 2:16HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving bank jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)67
48.5%
69
51.5%
Q3 - 2:41NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)67
52.6%
67
47.4%
Q3 - 2:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup64
44.1%
67
55.9%
Q3 - 3:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound64
48.4%
65
51.6%
Q3 - 3:05NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point driving floating jump shot64
50.0%
65
50.0%
Q3 - 3:16HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)64
53.4%
65
46.6%
Q3 - 3:43NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Peyton Watson assists)64
56.8%
63
43.2%
Q3 - 4:01NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound62
53.7%
63
46.3%
Q3 - 4:04HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot62
52.3%
63
47.7%
Q3 - 4:14HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound62
49.2%
63
50.8%
Q3 - 4:19NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point running jump shot62
50.5%
63
49.5%
Q3 - 4:23NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound62
53.6%
63
46.4%
Q3 - 4:26HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating bank jump shot62
52.3%
63
47.7%
Q3 - 4:40NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)62
49.1%
63
50.9%
Q3 - 4:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk60
45.6%
63
54.4%
Q3 - 5:15HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound60
49.6%
61
50.4%
Q3 - 5:18NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot60
50.9%
61
49.1%
Q3 - 5:35HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 260
53.8%
61
46.2%
Q3 - 5:35HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 260
54.5%
60
45.5%
Q3 - 5:35NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)60
55.4%
59
44.6%
Q3 - 5:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound60
57.3%
59
42.7%
Q3 - 5:46NuggetsAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 2 of 260
57.8%
59
42.2%
Q3 - 5:46NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 260
59.9%
59
40.1%
Q3 - 5:46HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)59
58.7%
59
41.3%
Q3 - 5:59HeatBam Adebayo makes three point pullup jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)59
57.6%
59
42.4%
Q3 - 6:10NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point tip layup59
64.5%
56
35.5%
Q3 - 6:12NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound57
61.5%
56
38.5%
Q3 - 6:13NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point layup57
58.7%
56
41.3%
Q3 - 6:18NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound57
61.5%
56
38.5%
Q3 - 6:21HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot57
60.3%
56
39.7%
Q3 - 6:43NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point driving layup57
57.4%
56
42.6%
Q3 - 6:46NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound55
54.2%
56
45.8%
Q3 - 6:49NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot55
51.3%
56
48.7%
Q3 - 7:09HeatTerry Rozier turnover (out of bounds lost ball)55
54.4%
56
45.6%
Q3 - 7:27HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
50.2%
56
49.8%
Q3 - 7:31NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot55
51.5%
56
48.5%
Q3 - 7:43HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running finger roll layup55
54.4%
56
45.6%
Q3 - 7:49NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)55
57.3%
54
42.7%
Q3 - 8:10HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot55
61.3%
54
38.7%
Q3 - 8:21HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound55
63.9%
52
36.1%
Q3 - 8:22NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot55
65.1%
52
34.9%
Q3 - 8:37NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound55
67.7%
52
32.3%
Q3 - 8:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot55
66.6%
52
33.4%
Q3 - 8:57HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
63.9%
52
36.1%
Q3 - 8:57NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point stepback jump shot55
65.1%
52
34.9%
Q3 - 9:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)55
67.4%
52
32.6%
Q3 - 9:31HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound55
72.6%
49
27.4%
Q3 - 9:34NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot55
73.5%
49
26.5%
Q3 - 9:38NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound55
75.6%
49
24.4%
Q3 - 9:41HeatNikola Jovic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot55
74.7%
49
25.3%
Q3 - 10:02NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)55
72.1%
49
27.9%
Q3 - 10:12NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound53
70.0%
49
30.0%
Q3 - 10:15HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup53
69.0%
49
31.0%
Q3 - 10:30HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound53
66.6%
49
33.4%
Q3 - 10:32NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot53
67.6%
49
32.4%
Q3 - 10:36NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound53
70.0%
49
30.0%
Q3 - 10:36NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot53
67.6%
49
32.4%
Q3 - 10:55HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround hook shot53
70.0%
49
30.0%
Q3 - 11:12NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)53
72.1%
47
27.9%
Q3 - 11:42HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)50
66.8%
47
33.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.50
72.1%
44
27.9%
Q2 - 0:02.1NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 250
72.5%
44
27.5%
Q2 - 0:02.1NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 249
72.0%
44
28.0%
Q2 - 0:02.1HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)48
71.5%
44
28.5%
Q2 - 0:09.2HeatTerry Rozier turnover (out of bounds bad pass)48
69.5%
44
30.5%
Q2 - 0:26.5NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 248
67.2%
44
32.8%
Q2 - 0:26.5NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 247
66.8%
44
33.2%
Q2 - 0:26.5HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)47
69.0%
44
31.0%
Q2 - 0:44.8NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound47
66.8%
44
33.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot47
66.0%
44
34.0%
Q2 - 1:08NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point layup (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)47
64.7%
44
35.3%
Q2 - 1:28HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)45
61.3%
44
38.7%
Q2 - 1:47NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)45
64.7%
42
35.3%
Q2 - 1:48NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound45
66.9%
42
33.1%
Q2 - 1:49NuggetsJimmy Butler blocks Jamal Murray's two point pullup jump shot45
65.3%
42
34.7%
Q2 - 2:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot45
66.9%
42
33.1%
Q2 - 2:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound45
69.2%
40
30.8%
Q2 - 2:28NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot45
70.0%
40
30.0%
Q2 - 2:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)45
71.9%
40
28.1%
Q2 - 2:50HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound45
74.0%
38
26.0%
Q2 - 2:52HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot45
75.7%
38
24.3%
Q2 - 3:06NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 245
73.4%
38
26.6%
Q2 - 3:06NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 244
73.1%
38
26.9%
Q2 - 3:06HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)43
72.8%
38
27.2%
Q2 - 3:10HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)43
71.6%
38
28.4%
Q2 - 3:27HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 243
71.6%
38
28.4%
Q2 - 3:27HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 243
71.9%
37
28.1%
Q2 - 3:27NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)43
72.2%
36
27.8%
Q2 - 3:32HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound43
73.4%
36
26.6%
Q2 - 3:34NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point stepback jump shot43
74.2%
36
25.8%
Q2 - 3:47NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound43
76.0%
36
24.0%
Q2 - 3:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot43
75.2%
36
24.8%
Q2 - 4:00HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound43
73.4%
36
26.6%
Q2 - 4:03NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point driving layup43
74.0%
36
26.0%
Q2 - 4:20HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)43
75.6%
36
24.4%
Q2 - 4:23NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound43
75.6%
36
24.4%
Q2 - 4:26HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot43
74.9%
36
25.1%
Q2 - 4:40NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point pullup jump shot43
73.3%
36
26.7%
Q2 - 4:52NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound41
71.3%
36
28.7%
Q2 - 4:55HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 241
71.0%
36
29.0%
Q2 - 4:55HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 241
69.5%
36
30.5%
Q2 - 4:55NuggetsReggie Jackson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)41
67.6%
36
32.4%
Q2 - 5:00NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)41
68.8%
36
31.2%
Q2 - 5:21HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot41
71.5%
36
28.5%
Q2 - 5:42NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)41
73.1%
34
26.9%
Q2 - 5:59HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)38
69.2%
34
30.8%
Q2 - 6:07HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound38
70.8%
32
29.2%
Q2 - 6:11NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot38
71.6%
32
28.4%
Q2 - 6:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 238
73.4%
32
26.6%
Q2 - 6:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 238
73.8%
31
26.2%
Q2 - 6:33NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)38
74.2%
30
25.8%
Q2 - 6:51NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)38
75.0%
30
25.0%
Q2 - 7:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 235
70.9%
30
29.1%
Q2 - 7:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 235
71.3%
29
28.7%
Q2 - 7:08NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)35
71.7%
28
28.3%
Q2 - 7:15HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound35
72.9%
28
27.1%
Q2 - 7:18NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point running jump shot35
73.6%
28
26.4%
Q2 - 7:22NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound35
75.0%
28
25.0%
Q2 - 7:26HeatPatty Mills misses two point driving finger roll layup35
74.4%
28
25.6%
Q2 - 7:47NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot35
72.9%
28
27.1%
Q2 - 8:05HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 233
70.8%
28
29.2%
Q2 - 8:05HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 233
71.2%
27
28.8%
Q2 - 8:05NuggetsJustin Holiday shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)33
71.7%
26
28.3%
Q2 - 8:07HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound33
72.7%
26
27.3%
Q2 - 8:10HeatJustin Holiday blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point layup33
74.2%
26
25.8%
Q2 - 8:21NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot33
72.7%
26
27.3%
Q2 - 8:33HeatCaleb Martin makes two point fadeaway jump shot30
68.6%
26
31.4%
Q2 - 8:52NuggetsChristian Braun turnover (offensive foul)30
70.6%
24
29.4%
Q2 - 8:52NuggetsChristian Braun offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)30
72.9%
24
27.1%
Q2 - 9:02HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 230
72.3%
24
27.7%
Q2 - 9:02HeatThomas Bryant misses regular free throw 1 of 230
72.7%
23
27.3%
Q2 - 9:02NuggetsZeke Nnaji shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)30
71.2%
23
28.8%
Q2 - 9:12NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point jump shot (Justin Holiday assists)30
72.3%
23
27.7%
Q2 - 9:30HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)28
70.3%
23
29.7%
Q2 - 9:45HeatHeat defensive rebound28
68.1%
23
31.9%
Q2 - 9:47NuggetsJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot28
68.8%
23
31.2%
Q2 - 10:00NuggetsJustin Holiday defensive rebound28
70.4%
23
29.6%
Q2 - 10:04HeatPatty Mills misses two point driving finger roll layup28
69.6%
23
30.4%
Q2 - 10:25NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point driving layup (Christian Braun assists)28
68.1%
23
31.9%
Q2 - 10:42HeatPatty Mills turnover (out of bounds bad pass)26
66.0%
23
34.0%
Q2 - 10:44HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound26
63.6%
23
36.4%
Q2 - 10:48NuggetsJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot26
64.3%
23
35.7%
Q2 - 11:00HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 226
66.0%
23
34.0%
Q2 - 11:00HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 226
66.4%
22
33.6%
Q2 - 11:00NuggetsJustin Holiday shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)26
66.9%
21
33.1%
Q2 - 11:03HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound26
67.8%
21
32.2%
Q2 - 11:04HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup26
69.2%
21
30.8%
Q2 - 11:14HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound26
67.8%
21
32.2%
Q2 - 11:17NuggetsJustin Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot26
68.4%
21
31.6%
Q2 - 11:30HeatThomas Bryant makes two point layup (Patty Mills assists)26
69.9%
21
30.1%
Q2 - 11:40HeatPatty Mills defensive rebound26
71.9%
19
28.1%
Q2 - 11:44NuggetsJustin Holiday misses three point running pullup jump shot26
72.5%
19
27.5%
Q2 - 11:49HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)26
73.8%
19
26.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.26
71.9%
19
28.1%
Q1 - 0:03.2HeatPatty Mills defensive rebound26
71.6%
19
28.4%
Q1 - 0:03.2NuggetsPeyton Watson misses three point jump shot26
72.2%
19
27.8%
Q1 - 0:22.7HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup26
73.5%
19
26.5%
Q1 - 0:30.1HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound26
75.3%
17
24.7%
Q1 - 0:35.1NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot26
75.8%
17
24.2%
Q1 - 0:41.7HeatPatty Mills makes two point pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)26
77.0%
17
23.0%
Q1 - 0:45.3HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound26
78.6%
15
21.4%
Q1 - 0:48.7NuggetsPeyton Watson misses two point pullup jump shot26
79.1%
15
20.9%
Q1 - 1:01NuggetsJustin Holiday defensive rebound26
80.0%
15
20.0%
Q1 - 1:04HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot26
79.6%
15
20.4%
Q1 - 1:14NuggetsChristian Braun personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)26
78.6%
15
21.4%
Q1 - 1:29NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Justin Holiday assists)26
78.6%
15
21.4%
Q1 - 1:43NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound24
76.9%
15
23.1%
Q1 - 1:43HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot24
76.4%
15
23.6%
Q1 - 1:54NuggetsReggie Jackson turnover (bad pass) (Patty Mills steals)24
75.2%
15
24.8%
Q1 - 2:18HeatTerry Rozier makes two point bank jump shot (Patty Mills assists)24
76.7%
15
23.3%
Q1 - 2:28HeatPatty Mills defensive rebound24
78.0%
13
22.0%
Q1 - 2:32NuggetsPeyton Watson misses two point pullup jump shot24
78.6%
13
21.4%
Q1 - 2:54HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving floating bank jump shot24
79.8%
13
20.2%
Q1 - 3:12NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 124
80.5%
11
19.5%
Q1 - 3:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)23
80.3%
11
19.7%
Q1 - 3:12NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound21
77.9%
11
22.1%
Q1 - 3:13NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point driving layup21
76.5%
11
23.5%
Q1 - 3:23NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound21
77.9%
11
22.1%
Q1 - 3:23HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot21
77.3%
11
22.7%
Q1 - 3:29HeatHeat offensive rebound21
75.9%
11
24.1%
Q1 - 3:29HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running jump shot21
77.3%
11
22.7%
Q1 - 3:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound21
75.9%
11
24.1%
Q1 - 3:37NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot21
76.6%
11
23.4%
Q1 - 3:58HeatTerry Rozier makes two point layup21
77.9%
11
22.1%
Q1 - 4:13NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running dunk21
78.3%
9
21.7%
Q1 - 4:16HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)19
77.1%
9
22.9%
Q1 - 4:32HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound19
75.3%
9
24.7%
Q1 - 4:35NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point running pullup jump shot19
75.9%
9
24.1%
Q1 - 4:38NuggetsReggie Jackson defensive rebound19
77.2%
9
22.8%
Q1 - 4:41HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot19
76.6%
9
23.4%
Q1 - 5:09NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot19
75.0%
9
25.0%
Q1 - 5:09NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound17
73.7%
9
26.3%
Q1 - 5:14NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot17
72.4%
9
27.6%
Q1 - 5:17NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound17
73.7%
9
26.3%
Q1 - 5:19NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point driving floating jump shot17
72.4%
9
27.6%
Q1 - 5:29HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)17
73.7%
9
26.3%
Q1 - 5:32NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound17
73.7%
9
26.3%
Q1 - 5:36HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot17
73.1%
9
26.9%
Q1 - 5:43NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 217
71.9%
9
28.1%
Q1 - 5:43NuggetsAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 216
71.4%
9
28.6%
Q1 - 5:43HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)16
72.5%
9
27.5%
Q1 - 5:48NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound16
72.1%
9
27.9%
Q1 - 5:51HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot16
71.5%
9
28.5%
Q1 - 6:12NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point stepback jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)16
70.0%
9
30.0%
Q1 - 6:21NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound14
68.3%
9
31.7%
Q1 - 6:27HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot14
67.8%
9
32.2%
Q1 - 6:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
66.5%
9
33.5%
Q1 - 6:38NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point pullup jump shot14
67.1%
9
32.9%
Q1 - 6:44NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound14
68.3%
9
31.7%
Q1 - 6:48HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot14
67.8%
9
32.2%
Q1 - 7:10NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running dunk14
66.5%
9
33.5%
Q1 - 7:13HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)12
65.0%
9
35.0%
Q1 - 7:25NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)12
62.9%
9
37.1%
Q1 - 7:34NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound9
59.4%
9
40.6%
Q1 - 7:37HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot9
58.7%
9
41.3%
Q1 - 7:55NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point stepback jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)9
57.2%
9
42.8%
Q1 - 8:01HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)6
54.2%
9
45.8%
Q1 - 8:07NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)6
51.8%
9
48.2%
Q1 - 8:22HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)6
54.1%
9
45.9%
Q1 - 8:30HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound6
55.6%
7
44.4%
Q1 - 8:34NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup jump shot6
56.3%
7
43.7%
Q1 - 8:47NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound6
57.9%
7
42.1%
Q1 - 8:50HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot6
57.2%
7
42.8%
Q1 - 8:56NuggetsAaron Gordon personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)6
55.6%
7
44.4%
Q1 - 8:56HeatHeat offensive rebound6
55.6%
7
44.4%
Q1 - 8:56HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot6
57.2%
7
42.8%
Q1 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
55.7%
7
44.3%
Q1 - 9:09NuggetsBam Adebayo blocks Jamal Murray's two point driving floating jump shot6
56.3%
7
43.7%
Q1 - 9:24HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)6
57.8%
7
42.2%
Q1 - 9:39NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot6
61.3%
4
38.7%
Q1 - 9:57NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound4
59.6%
4
40.4%
Q1 - 9:58HeatTerry Rozier misses two point tip layup4
59.0%
4
41.0%
Q1 - 9:59HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound4
57.6%
4
42.4%
Q1 - 10:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot4
58.9%
4
41.1%
Q1 - 10:13NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point running dunk4
57.5%
4
42.5%
Q1 - 10:20NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound2
55.9%
4
44.1%
Q1 - 10:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point alley-oop layup2
55.3%
4
44.7%
Q1 - 10:37NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)2
53.9%
4
46.1%
Q1 - 10:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)0
52.3%
4
47.7%
Q1 - 11:07HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound0
54.2%
2
45.8%
Q1 - 11:11NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
54.9%
2
45.1%
Q1 - 11:32HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)0
56.2%
2
43.8%
Q1 - 11:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
57.7%
0
42.3%
Q1 - 11:46NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving hook shot0
58.3%
0
41.7%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Jokic vs. Bam Adebayo (Jamal Murray gains possession)0
59.6%
0
40.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.12 56.2%
MIA
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
14
20
70%
MIA
14
23
61%
Midrange
DEN
15
29
52%
MIA
15
36
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
11
16.5
33
33%
50%
MIA
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
Free Throws
DEN
9
13
69%
MIA
15
18
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Porter2574%12.5 / 17
A. Gordon1657%8.0 / 14
J. Murray1447%7.0 / 15
N. Jokić1267%6.0 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope950%4.5 / 9
R. Jackson950%4.5 / 9
C. Braun7117%3.5 / 3
P. Watson643%3.0 / 7
J. Holiday220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo1750%8.5 / 17
J. Butler1544%7.5 / 17
T. Rozier1450%7.0 / 14
D. Robinson1155%5.5 / 10
C. Martin956%4.5 / 8
T. Bryant975%4.5 / 6
J. Jaquez850%4.0 / 8
N. Jović350%1.5 / 3
P. Mills217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
80
+9
-9
89
MIA
83
+11
-8
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.12 56.2%
MIA
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
118.1
113.5
DEN 112.4
MIA 96.7 +15.7
Pace
97.1
96.7
DEN 85.8
MIA 94.6 +8.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.8
DEN 16.8
MIA 15.2 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.2%
53.8%
DEN 55.5% +9.9%
MIA 45.6%
TO %
12.1%
12.2%
DEN 10.2%
MIA 9.3% +0.9%
ORB %
25.5%
21.8%
DEN 17.1%
MIA 19.0% +1.9%
FTrt
22.4
25.7
DEN 15.9
MIA 22.5 +6.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.9%
64.8%
DEN 60.0% +7.1%
MIA 52.9%
STL %
7.4%
7.8%
DEN 4.5%
MIA 5.5% +1.0%
BLK %
9.8%
6.9%
DEN 3.4%
MIA 4.1% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
56.2%
DEN 56.2% +9.4%
MIA 46.8%
Rim FG%
62.7%
61.2%
DEN 70.0% +9.1%
MIA 60.9%
Mid FG%
47.6%
44.2%
DEN 51.7% +10.0%
MIA 41.7%
3P %
37.4%
37.0%
DEN 33.3% +9.5%
MIA 23.8%
FT %
76.2%
81.8%
DEN 69.2%
MIA 83.3% +14.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
30.4%
DEN 24.4%
MIA 28.7% +4.4%
Mid Att. %
27.9%
30.2%
DEN 35.4% +9.6%
MIA 45.0%
3P Att. %
35.2%
39.4%
DEN 40.2% +14.0%
MIA 26.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points10088
Rebounds4142
Assists2418
Steals45
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)8 (1)
Fouls1313
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)34 (1)
Field Goals40-8234-80
At-the-Rim FG14-2014-23
Midrange FG15-2915-36
2-Point FG29-4929-59
3-Point FG11-335-21
Free Throws9-1315-18
Fast Break Pts911
2nd Chance Pts1010
Points in Paint4252
Pts off Turnovers1510
Bench Points2428
Biggest Lead144

BOXSCORE

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2 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29
37.6
12
67%
14
6
1
0
4
1
3
11
2-3
67%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26
33.5
25
74%
7
0
0
0
1
0
2
5
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
5-9
56%
Aaron Gordon
#50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28
33.4
16
57%
8
4
0
0
1
4
2
6
3-6
50%
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27
31.4
14
47%
2
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
2-8
25%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
#5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31
24.7
9
50%
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
Peyton Watson
#8 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22
22.6
6
43%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
Christian Braun
#0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23
20.1
7
117%
2
1
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
Reggie Jackson
#7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34
18.9
9
50%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
1-1
100%
Justin Holiday
#9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
12.9
2
20%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
Zeke Nnaji
#22 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36
DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther
#3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff
#30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie
#21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25
INACTIVE
Braxton Key
#11 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 27
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Pickett
#24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Hunter Tyson
#4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Vlatko Cancar
#31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
56%
41
24
4
2
9
13
7
34
9-13
69%
29-49
59%
11-33
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.