FinalWin Prob.pScore
1341%113
108
959%116
114
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.79592.7
DAL logo DAL
118.89698.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.108
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:01.7MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound108
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:01.7HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot108
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound108
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 0:09.3MavericksP.J. Washington misses regular free throw 2 of 2108
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 0:09.3MavericksP.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.3HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)108
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.1MavericksKyrie Irving defensive rebound108
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 0:14.2HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot108
0.6%
113
99.4%
Q4 - 0:21.8MavericksDante Exum makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
1.9%
113
98.1%
Q4 - 0:21.8MavericksDante Exum makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
2.3%
112
97.7%
Q4 - 0:21.8HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Dante Exum draws the foul)108
2.7%
111
97.3%
Q4 - 0:33.8HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
4.5%
111
95.5%
Q4 - 0:33.8HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
3.9%
111
96.1%
Q4 - 0:33.8MavericksDereck Lively II shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)106
3.3%
111
96.7%
Q4 - 0:37.4MavericksDante Exum turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)106
2.4%
111
97.6%
Q4 - 0:58.9HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup106
3.1%
111
96.9%
Q4 - 1:07MavericksDante Exum makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)104
2.2%
111
97.8%
Q4 - 1:19HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)104
4.1%
109
95.9%
Q4 - 1:19MavericksMavericks defensive rebound104
4.1%
109
95.9%
Q4 - 1:20HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot104
5.0%
109
95.0%
Q4 - 1:28MavericksKyrie Irving makes three point jump shot (Dereck Lively II assists)104
8.2%
109
91.8%
Q4 - 1:30MavericksDereck Lively II offensive rebound104
18.7%
106
81.3%
Q4 - 1:33MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot104
26.0%
106
74.0%
Q4 - 1:38MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound104
19.3%
106
80.7%
Q4 - 1:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting layup104
22.3%
106
77.7%
Q4 - 1:55MavericksKyrie Irving turnover (out of bounds step)104
30.2%
106
69.8%
Q4 - 2:12HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot104
18.7%
106
81.3%
Q4 - 2:27MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot101
9.7%
106
90.3%
Q4 - 2:46MavericksDante Exum defensive rebound101
18.4%
103
81.6%
Q4 - 2:48HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup101
22.0%
103
78.0%
Q4 - 3:15MavericksDante Exum makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)101
32.4%
103
67.6%
Q4 - 3:38MavericksKyrie Irving defensive rebound101
48.8%
100
51.2%
Q4 - 3:41HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot101
51.8%
100
48.2%
Q4 - 3:57HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound101
58.8%
100
41.2%
Q4 - 3:59MavericksKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot101
55.8%
100
44.2%
Q4 - 4:05HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Maxi Kleber draws the foul)101
49.0%
100
51.0%
Q4 - 4:26HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot101
49.0%
100
51.0%
Q4 - 4:46MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)99
41.0%
100
59.0%
Q4 - 4:52MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound99
31.7%
100
68.3%
Q4 - 4:54HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot99
34.4%
100
65.6%
Q4 - 5:17MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point driving floating jump shot99
40.9%
100
59.1%
Q4 - 5:33HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)99
48.0%
98
52.0%
Q4 - 5:41HeatHeat offensive rebound99
56.8%
98
43.2%
Q4 - 5:41HeatKyrie Irving blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup99
50.7%
98
49.3%
Q4 - 5:54HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound99
56.8%
98
43.2%
Q4 - 5:58MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving floating jump shot99
54.2%
98
45.8%
Q4 - 6:10HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)99
46.6%
98
53.4%
Q4 - 6:31MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)97
41.0%
98
59.0%
Q4 - 6:56HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Terry Rozier assists)97
53.9%
95
46.1%
Q4 - 7:00HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound95
48.1%
95
51.9%
Q4 - 7:05MavericksKyrie Irving misses two point pullup jump shot95
44.8%
95
55.2%
Q4 - 7:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)95
39.4%
95
60.6%
Q4 - 7:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 295
39.4%
95
60.6%
Q4 - 7:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 294
38.4%
95
61.6%
Q4 - 7:21MavericksDaniel Gafford shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)93
37.3%
95
62.7%
Q4 - 7:35HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound93
34.7%
95
65.3%
Q4 - 7:38MavericksP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot93
32.6%
95
67.4%
Q4 - 7:59HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)93
27.8%
95
72.2%
Q4 - 8:18HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound91
24.4%
95
75.6%
Q4 - 8:21MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot91
23.0%
95
77.0%
Q4 - 8:26MavericksJosh Green defensive rebound91
19.9%
95
80.1%
Q4 - 8:30HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot91
21.2%
95
78.8%
Q4 - 8:47MavericksMavericks turnover (shot clock violation)91
24.4%
95
75.6%
Q4 - 8:56MavericksMavericks offensive rebound91
19.8%
95
80.2%
Q4 - 8:57MavericksCaleb Martin blocks Kyrie Irving's two point driving layup91
22.9%
95
77.1%
Q4 - 9:15HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Thomas Bryant assists)91
20.5%
95
79.5%
Q4 - 9:20HeatHeat offensive rebound88
14.4%
95
85.6%
Q4 - 9:21HeatDaniel Gafford blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving layup88
12.3%
95
87.7%
Q4 - 9:33MavericksP.J. Washington makes two point tip layup88
14.3%
95
85.7%
Q4 - 9:34MavericksP.J. Washington offensive rebound88
17.0%
93
83.0%
Q4 - 9:36MavericksP.J. Washington misses two point putback layup88
19.7%
93
80.3%
Q4 - 9:36MavericksP.J. Washington offensive rebound88
17.0%
93
83.0%
Q4 - 9:37MavericksP.J. Washington misses two point driving finger roll layup88
19.7%
93
80.3%
Q4 - 9:56HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)88
17.0%
93
83.0%
Q4 - 9:56HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Dante Exum draws the foul)88
21.0%
93
79.0%
Q4 - 10:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound88
22.1%
93
77.9%
Q4 - 10:12MavericksP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot88
20.8%
93
79.2%
Q4 - 10:22MavericksP.J. Washington defensive rebound88
18.1%
93
81.9%
Q4 - 10:25HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot88
19.2%
93
80.8%
Q4 - 10:34MavericksKyrie Irving personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)88
22.0%
93
78.0%
Q4 - 10:42MavericksDaniel Gafford personal foul (Loose ball) (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)88
22.0%
93
78.0%
Q4 - 10:42HeatHeat offensive rebound88
22.0%
93
78.0%
Q4 - 10:43HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot88
19.2%
93
80.8%
Q4 - 10:50HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound88
22.0%
93
78.0%
Q4 - 10:54MavericksJosh Green misses three point jump shot88
20.7%
93
79.3%
Q4 - 11:05HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)88
19.2%
93
80.8%
Q4 - 11:21MavericksDaniel Gafford makes two point layup (Dante Exum assists)85
13.6%
93
86.4%
Q4 - 11:42HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot85
16.2%
91
83.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.83
13.5%
91
86.5%
Q3 - 0:00.1MavericksMavericks offensive rebound83
12.4%
91
87.6%
Q3 - 0:00.4MavericksJosh Green misses three point pullup jump shot83
13.8%
91
86.2%
Q3 - 0:02.2HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Josh Green steals)83
12.3%
91
87.7%
Q3 - 0:10.8HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound83
14.5%
91
85.5%
Q3 - 0:12.3MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses two point driving finger roll layup83
13.8%
91
86.2%
Q3 - 0:31.5MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound83
12.3%
91
87.7%
Q3 - 0:33.3HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 183
12.5%
91
87.5%
Q3 - 0:33.3MavericksDereck Lively II shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)83
14.1%
91
85.9%
Q3 - 0:58.6MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point pullup jump shot (Maxi Kleber assists)80
8.5%
91
91.5%
Q3 - 1:02MavericksDereck Lively II offensive rebound80
13.2%
88
86.8%
Q3 - 1:04MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot80
14.8%
88
85.2%
Q3 - 1:21HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 280
13.1%
88
86.9%
Q3 - 1:21HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 279
12.8%
88
87.2%
Q3 - 1:21MavericksLuka Doncic shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)78
12.5%
88
87.5%
Q3 - 1:36MavericksMaxi Kleber personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)78
11.2%
88
88.8%
Q3 - 1:46MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point stepback jump shot78
11.2%
88
88.8%
Q3 - 1:54HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot78
15.3%
85
84.7%
Q3 - 2:16MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point pullup jump shot75
12.2%
85
87.8%
Q3 - 2:25HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)75
14.0%
83
86.0%
Q3 - 2:28MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound75
14.0%
83
86.0%
Q3 - 2:31HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot75
14.7%
83
85.3%
Q3 - 2:42MavericksLuka Doncic personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)75
16.4%
83
83.6%
Q3 - 2:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound75
16.4%
83
83.6%
Q3 - 2:47MavericksDereck Lively II misses two point floating jump shot75
15.6%
83
84.4%
Q3 - 3:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Duncan Robinson assists)75
14.7%
83
85.3%
Q3 - 3:19MavericksMaxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)73
13.0%
83
87.0%
Q3 - 3:35MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses flagrant free throw 2 of 273
16.9%
80
83.1%
Q3 - 3:35MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes flagrant free throw 1 of 273
15.0%
80
85.0%
Q3 - 3:35HeatCaleb Martin flagrant 1 (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)73
15.4%
79
84.6%
Q3 - 3:37MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound73
19.3%
79
80.7%
Q3 - 3:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot73
20.3%
79
79.7%
Q3 - 3:45MavericksDante Exum personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)73
22.6%
79
77.4%
Q3 - 4:03MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point jump shot (Dante Exum assists)73
23.1%
79
76.9%
Q3 - 4:22HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)73
28.9%
76
71.1%
Q3 - 4:41MavericksDereck Lively II makes two point running dunk (Luka Doncic assists)71
26.1%
76
73.9%
Q3 - 4:45MavericksDante Exum defensive rebound71
28.9%
74
71.1%
Q3 - 4:47HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving floating jump shot71
30.0%
74
70.0%
Q3 - 4:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound71
32.8%
74
67.2%
Q3 - 5:02MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point running jump shot71
31.8%
74
68.2%
Q3 - 5:08MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound71
29.3%
74
70.7%
Q3 - 5:10HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot71
30.4%
74
69.6%
Q3 - 5:24MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point running jump shot (Dante Exum assists)71
33.0%
74
67.0%
Q3 - 5:29MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound71
39.7%
71
60.3%
Q3 - 5:32HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving finger roll layup71
41.0%
71
59.0%
Q3 - 5:42MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 271
43.8%
71
56.2%
Q3 - 5:42MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 271
44.6%
70
55.4%
Q3 - 5:42HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)71
45.5%
69
54.5%
Q3 - 6:00HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)71
47.3%
69
52.7%
Q3 - 6:19MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)68
40.1%
69
59.9%
Q3 - 6:30MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound68
43.3%
67
56.7%
Q3 - 6:32HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 268
43.8%
67
56.2%
Q3 - 6:32HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 268
46.3%
67
53.7%
Q3 - 6:32MavericksDereck Lively II shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)67
45.5%
67
54.5%
Q3 - 6:51MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 267
43.8%
67
56.2%
Q3 - 6:51MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 267
44.5%
66
55.5%
Q3 - 6:51HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)67
45.4%
65
54.6%
Q3 - 7:06HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Terry Rozier assists)67
46.6%
65
53.4%
Q3 - 7:32MavericksKyrie Irving makes three point running pullup jump shot65
43.6%
65
56.4%
Q3 - 7:39MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound65
50.2%
62
49.8%
Q3 - 7:39HeatJimmy Butler misses three point running pullup jump shot65
51.5%
62
48.5%
Q3 - 7:45HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound65
54.4%
62
45.6%
Q3 - 7:47MavericksP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot65
53.1%
62
46.9%
Q3 - 7:56MavericksKyrie Irving defensive rebound65
50.2%
62
49.8%
Q3 - 7:58HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot65
51.5%
62
48.5%
Q3 - 8:05MavericksDaniel Gafford makes two point alley-oop dunk (Luka Doncic assists)65
53.7%
62
46.3%
Q3 - 8:13MavericksMavericks offensive rebound65
56.5%
60
43.5%
Q3 - 8:17MavericksKyrie Irving misses three point running pullup jump shot65
59.3%
60
40.7%
Q3 - 8:20MavericksKyrie Irving defensive rebound65
56.5%
60
43.5%
Q3 - 8:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot65
57.8%
60
42.2%
Q3 - 8:39HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound65
60.6%
60
39.4%
Q3 - 8:42MavericksKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot65
59.4%
60
40.6%
Q3 - 8:44MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound65
56.5%
60
43.5%
Q3 - 8:46MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot65
59.4%
60
40.6%
Q3 - 9:01HeatNikola Jovic turnover (offensive foul)65
55.8%
60
44.2%
Q3 - 9:01HeatNikola Jovic offensive foul (Charge) (Luka Doncic draws the foul)65
59.6%
60
40.4%
Q3 - 9:13HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound65
59.7%
60
40.3%
Q3 - 9:17MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot65
58.5%
60
41.5%
Q3 - 9:26MavericksDaniel Gafford defensive rebound65
55.9%
60
44.1%
Q3 - 9:29HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot65
57.0%
60
43.0%
Q3 - 9:39MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving finger roll layup65
59.7%
60
40.3%
Q3 - 9:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Terry Rozier assists)65
62.4%
58
37.6%
Q3 - 10:04MavericksDaniel Gafford makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Kyrie Irving assists)63
59.0%
58
41.0%
Q3 - 10:16HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup63
61.5%
56
38.5%
Q3 - 10:41MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point pullup jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)61
59.1%
56
40.9%
Q3 - 10:52MavericksDaniel Gafford defensive rebound61
61.6%
54
38.4%
Q3 - 10:54HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot61
62.7%
54
37.3%
Q3 - 11:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound61
64.2%
54
35.8%
Q3 - 11:10MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point stepback jump shot61
63.3%
54
36.7%
Q3 - 11:23HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)61
61.1%
54
38.9%
Q3 - 11:41HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound58
55.1%
54
44.9%
Q3 - 11:45MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot58
54.0%
54
46.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.58
51.7%
54
48.3%
Q2 - 0:00.2HeatHeat offensive rebound58
54.3%
54
45.7%
Q2 - 0:00.4HeatBam Adebayo misses three point turnaround jump shot58
52.5%
54
47.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (traveling)58
54.3%
54
45.7%
Q2 - 0:11.1HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 258
51.7%
54
48.3%
Q2 - 0:11.1HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 257
51.1%
54
48.9%
Q2 - 0:11.1MavericksP.J. Washington shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)57
53.6%
54
46.4%
Q2 - 0:13.2HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound57
51.2%
54
48.8%
Q2 - 0:15.0HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot57
49.4%
54
50.6%
Q2 - 0:36.5MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point running layup (Luka Doncic assists)57
51.2%
54
48.8%
Q2 - 0:38.6MavericksMavericks defensive rebound57
54.8%
52
45.2%
Q2 - 0:41.5HeatMaxi Kleber blocks Jimmy Butler's two point layup57
55.6%
52
44.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound57
57.4%
52
42.6%
Q2 - 0:57.1MavericksMaxi Kleber misses two point cutting layup57
56.7%
52
43.3%
Q2 - 1:17HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 257
54.7%
52
45.3%
Q2 - 1:17HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 256
54.1%
52
45.9%
Q2 - 1:17MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)55
53.5%
52
46.5%
Q2 - 1:22MavericksP.J. Washington turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)55
51.1%
52
48.9%
Q2 - 1:31MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound55
48.6%
52
51.4%
Q2 - 1:34HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot55
49.4%
52
50.6%
Q2 - 1:52MavericksKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 2 of 255
51.1%
52
48.9%
Q2 - 1:52MavericksKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 1 of 255
51.4%
51
48.6%
Q2 - 1:52HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)55
51.7%
50
48.3%
Q2 - 2:01HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)55
53.4%
50
46.6%
Q2 - 2:11HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound55
56.7%
50
43.3%
Q2 - 2:13MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot55
55.7%
50
44.3%
Q2 - 2:25MavericksP.J. Washington defensive rebound55
53.5%
50
46.5%
Q2 - 2:28HeatBam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot55
54.5%
50
45.5%
Q2 - 2:43HeatHeat offensive rebound55
56.8%
50
43.2%
Q2 - 2:44HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot55
54.6%
50
45.4%
Q2 - 2:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound55
56.8%
50
43.2%
Q2 - 2:54MavericksKyrie Irving misses three point pullup jump shot55
55.8%
50
44.2%
Q2 - 3:06HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)55
52.8%
50
47.2%
Q2 - 3:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
47.7%
50
52.3%
Q2 - 3:16MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point stepback jump shot52
46.6%
50
53.4%
Q2 - 3:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup52
44.3%
50
55.7%
Q2 - 3:45MavericksDaniel Gafford makes two point putback layup50
42.1%
50
57.9%
Q2 - 3:49MavericksDaniel Gafford offensive rebound50
44.3%
48
55.7%
Q2 - 3:49MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot50
46.7%
48
53.3%
Q2 - 3:56MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound50
44.3%
48
55.7%
Q2 - 4:00HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot50
45.3%
48
54.7%
Q2 - 4:13MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 250
47.2%
48
52.8%
Q2 - 4:13MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 250
47.7%
47
52.3%
Q2 - 4:13HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)50
48.2%
46
51.8%
Q2 - 4:16MavericksDaniel Gafford defensive rebound50
49.7%
46
50.3%
Q2 - 4:21HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot50
50.6%
46
49.4%
Q2 - 4:27MavericksDaniel Gafford personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)50
52.7%
46
47.3%
Q2 - 4:32MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)50
52.7%
46
47.3%
Q2 - 4:47HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Daniel Gafford steals)50
49.7%
46
50.3%
Q2 - 5:00MavericksDaniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 250
52.8%
46
47.2%
Q2 - 5:00MavericksDaniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 250
53.5%
45
46.5%
Q2 - 5:00HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)50
51.5%
45
48.5%
Q2 - 5:00MavericksDaniel Gafford offensive rebound50
52.4%
45
47.6%
Q2 - 5:01MavericksP.J. Washington misses two point driving floating jump shot50
54.3%
45
45.7%
Q2 - 5:04MavericksP.J. Washington offensive rebound50
51.9%
45
48.1%
Q2 - 5:07MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot50
54.3%
45
45.7%
Q2 - 5:11MavericksP.J. Washington offensive rebound50
51.9%
45
48.1%
Q2 - 5:13MavericksDaniel Gafford misses regular free throw 2 of 250
54.8%
45
45.2%
Q2 - 5:13MavericksDaniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 250
53.3%
45
46.7%
Q2 - 5:13HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)50
54.1%
44
45.9%
Q2 - 5:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)50
54.6%
44
45.4%
Q2 - 5:46HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound48
52.6%
44
47.4%
Q2 - 5:51MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot48
51.6%
44
48.4%
Q2 - 5:58MavericksP.J. Washington defensive rebound48
49.2%
44
50.8%
Q2 - 6:01HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point hook shot48
50.0%
44
50.0%
Q2 - 6:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound48
52.2%
44
47.8%
Q2 - 6:18MavericksP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot48
51.3%
44
48.7%
Q2 - 6:29HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point alley-oop dunk (Terry Rozier assists)48
49.0%
44
51.0%
Q2 - 6:36HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound46
47.0%
44
53.0%
Q2 - 6:39MavericksKyrie Irving misses two point pullup jump shot46
46.0%
44
54.0%
Q2 - 6:45MavericksDaniel Gafford defensive rebound46
43.7%
44
56.3%
Q2 - 6:49HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot46
44.7%
44
55.3%
Q2 - 6:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound46
47.0%
44
53.0%
Q2 - 7:01MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 246
46.2%
44
53.8%
Q2 - 7:01MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 246
44.6%
44
55.4%
Q2 - 7:01HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)46
45.3%
43
54.7%
Q2 - 7:08MavericksDaniel Gafford defensive rebound46
46.4%
43
53.6%
Q2 - 7:11HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot46
47.2%
43
52.8%
Q2 - 7:33HeatHeat defensive rebound46
49.2%
43
50.8%
Q2 - 7:35MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point driving dunk46
48.3%
43
51.7%
Q2 - 7:38HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 246
46.4%
43
53.6%
Q2 - 7:38HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 245
46.0%
43
54.0%
Q2 - 7:38MavericksDereck Lively II shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)45
48.2%
43
51.8%
Q2 - 7:45HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound45
46.6%
43
53.4%
Q2 - 7:47HeatThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot45
44.7%
43
55.3%
Q2 - 7:53HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound45
46.6%
43
53.4%
Q2 - 7:57MavericksDante Exum misses two point running dunk45
45.7%
43
54.3%
Q2 - 8:01HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Luka Doncic steals)45
43.6%
43
56.4%
Q2 - 8:25MavericksP.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Dante Exum assists)45
46.4%
43
53.6%
Q2 - 8:34HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (P.J. Washington draws the foul)45
51.3%
40
48.7%
Q2 - 8:35HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Washington steals)45
51.3%
40
48.7%
Q2 - 8:44MavericksDante Exum personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)45
54.1%
40
45.9%
Q2 - 8:56HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound45
54.1%
40
45.9%
Q2 - 8:58MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot45
53.2%
40
46.8%
Q2 - 9:11MavericksDante Exum defensive rebound45
50.9%
40
49.1%
Q2 - 9:14HeatP.J. Washington blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving layup45
51.7%
40
48.3%
Q2 - 9:28MavericksDante Exum makes three point jump shot (Josh Green assists)45
53.6%
40
46.4%
Q2 - 9:42HeatCaleb Martin makes three point pullup jump shot45
58.5%
37
41.5%
Q2 - 9:53MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point jump shot (Dante Exum assists)42
53.6%
37
46.4%
Q2 - 10:10MavericksDante Exum defensive rebound42
55.7%
35
44.3%
Q2 - 10:12HeatThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot42
56.5%
35
43.5%
Q2 - 10:34MavericksDereck Lively II makes two point cutting dunk (P.J. Washington assists)42
58.3%
35
41.7%
Q2 - 10:44HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)42
60.6%
33
39.4%
Q2 - 11:00MavericksP.J. Washington makes two point floating jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)39
55.9%
33
44.1%
Q2 - 11:13HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)39
57.4%
31
42.6%
Q2 - 11:37MavericksDante Exum makes regular free throw 3 of 336
52.7%
31
47.3%
Q2 - 11:37MavericksDante Exum makes regular free throw 2 of 336
53.2%
30
46.8%
Q2 - 11:37MavericksDante Exum makes regular free throw 1 of 336
53.7%
29
46.3%
Q2 - 11:37HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (Dante Exum draws the foul)36
54.3%
28
45.7%
Q2 - 11:39MavericksJosh Green offensive rebound36
57.5%
28
42.5%
Q2 - 11:41MavericksDante Exum misses two point driving floating jump shot36
59.1%
28
40.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.36
57.5%
28
42.5%
Q1 - 0:00.9HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)36
56.8%
28
43.2%
Q1 - 0:24.9MavericksJosh Green makes two point running layup (Kyrie Irving assists)36
59.1%
28
40.9%
Q1 - 0:27.5MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound36
61.4%
26
38.6%
Q1 - 0:29.8HeatJosh Green blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup36
62.1%
26
37.9%
Q1 - 0:40.8HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound36
63.6%
26
36.4%
Q1 - 0:42.7MavericksThomas Bryant blocks Tim Hardaway Jr.'s two point driving layup36
62.9%
26
37.1%
Q1 - 1:01HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)36
61.2%
26
38.8%
Q1 - 1:17HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound36
63.3%
26
36.7%
Q1 - 1:18MavericksKyrie Irving misses three point pullup jump shot36
62.7%
26
37.3%
Q1 - 1:36HeatThomas Bryant makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)36
61.2%
26
38.8%
Q1 - 1:49MavericksKyrie Irving turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)34
58.9%
26
41.1%
Q1 - 2:02HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)34
55.9%
26
44.1%
Q1 - 2:25MavericksP.J. Washington makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)31
51.8%
26
48.2%
Q1 - 2:35HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)31
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q1 - 2:36HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)31
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q1 - 2:42MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound31
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q1 - 2:45HeatTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot31
54.5%
24
45.5%
Q1 - 2:57MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point driving floating bank jump shot31
56.4%
24
43.6%
Q1 - 3:07MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound31
57.6%
22
42.4%
Q1 - 3:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot31
58.4%
22
41.6%
Q1 - 3:16HeatHeat offensive rebound31
60.3%
22
39.7%
Q1 - 3:17HeatMaxi Kleber blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving floating jump shot31
58.4%
22
41.6%
Q1 - 3:36MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot31
60.3%
22
39.7%
Q1 - 3:49HeatNikola Jovic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)31
64.0%
19
36.0%
Q1 - 4:02MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot31
65.0%
19
35.0%
Q1 - 4:16HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating bank jump shot31
66.7%
17
33.3%
Q1 - 4:35MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Josh Green assists)29
65.2%
17
34.8%
Q1 - 4:51HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)29
68.6%
14
31.4%
Q1 - 4:58HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound26
65.2%
14
34.8%
Q1 - 5:00MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot26
64.5%
14
35.5%
Q1 - 5:13HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)26
62.1%
14
37.9%
Q1 - 5:36MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot23
58.4%
14
41.6%
Q1 - 5:40HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Kyrie Irving steals)23
62.1%
11
37.9%
Q1 - 6:00MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot23
64.3%
11
35.7%
Q1 - 6:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup (Terry Rozier assists)23
65.3%
9
34.7%
Q1 - 6:28HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound21
63.5%
9
36.5%
Q1 - 6:30MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot21
62.9%
9
37.1%
Q1 - 6:35MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound21
61.6%
9
38.4%
Q1 - 6:37HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot21
62.2%
9
37.8%
Q1 - 6:55MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)21
63.5%
9
36.5%
Q1 - 7:08HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)21
64.7%
7
35.3%
Q1 - 7:14HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound18
61.3%
7
38.7%
Q1 - 7:17MavericksMaxi Kleber misses three point jump shot18
60.7%
7
39.3%
Q1 - 7:37HeatNikola Jovic makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)18
59.1%
7
40.9%
Q1 - 7:49HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound16
57.5%
7
42.5%
Q1 - 7:51MavericksKyrie Irving misses two point driving reverse layup16
56.8%
7
43.2%
Q1 - 7:57MavericksMavericks offensive rebound16
55.3%
7
44.7%
Q1 - 7:58MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point stepback jump shot16
56.8%
7
43.2%
Q1 - 8:13HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot16
54.9%
7
45.1%
Q1 - 8:25MavericksKyrie Irving makes two point driving floating jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)13
51.5%
7
48.5%
Q1 - 8:34MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound13
53.0%
5
47.0%
Q1 - 8:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot13
53.7%
5
46.3%
Q1 - 8:54HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
55.3%
5
44.7%
Q1 - 8:58MavericksKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot13
54.6%
5
45.4%
Q1 - 9:09HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jovic assists)13
52.8%
5
47.2%
Q1 - 9:14HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound11
51.1%
5
48.9%
Q1 - 9:17MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot11
50.4%
5
49.6%
Q1 - 9:30MavericksP.J. Washington defensive rebound11
49.0%
5
51.0%
Q1 - 9:32HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 211
49.3%
5
50.7%
Q1 - 9:32HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 211
50.6%
5
49.4%
Q1 - 9:32MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)11
52.1%
5
47.9%
Q1 - 9:48MavericksDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Terry Rozier steals)11
51.1%
5
48.9%
Q1 - 10:01HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)11
48.4%
5
51.6%
Q1 - 10:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
46.8%
5
53.2%
Q1 - 10:12MavericksP.J. Washington misses three point pullup jump shot9
46.2%
5
53.8%
Q1 - 10:22HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Terry Rozier assists)9
44.8%
5
55.2%
Q1 - 10:35MavericksDaniel Gafford makes two point layup (Luka Doncic assists)7
43.2%
5
56.8%
Q1 - 10:51HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)7
44.8%
3
55.2%
Q1 - 11:03MavericksKyrie Irving makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)4
41.0%
3
59.0%
Q1 - 11:24HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)4
44.1%
0
55.9%
Q1 - 11:28MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)2
42.7%
0
57.3%
Q1 - 11:44HeatNikola Jovic makes two point cutting layup (Terry Rozier assists)2
40.7%
0
59.3%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Daniel Gafford (Duncan Robinson gains possession)0
39.3%
0
60.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.1%
DAL
1.13 56.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
21
71%
DAL
12
22
55%
Midrange
MIA
8
23
35%
DAL
12
24
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
17
25.5
38
45%
67%
DAL
16
24.0
41
39%
59%
Free Throws
MIA
11
17
65%
DAL
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Rozier2775%13.5 / 18
D. Robinson1995%9.5 / 10
J. Butler1454%7.0 / 13
B. Adebayo1439%7.0 / 18
C. Martin1365%6.5 / 10
J. Jaquez1381%6.5 / 8
N. Jović433%2.0 / 6
T. Bryant233%1.0 / 3
H. Highsmith225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić3567%17.5 / 26
K. Irving2357%11.5 / 20
D. Exum1393%6.5 / 7
D. Gafford1286%6.0 / 7
T. Hardaway1146%5.5 / 12
P. Washington1038%5.0 / 13
D. Lively467%2.0 / 3
M. Kleber350%1.5 / 3
J. Green233%1.0 / 3
D. Jones117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+8
-10
93
DAL
87
+14
-9
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.1%
DAL
1.13 56.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
117.3
MIA 113.7
DAL 118.8 +5.1
Pace
96.7
100.4
MIA 92.7
DAL 98.5 +5.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.3
MIA 15.5
DAL 14.6 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
56.2%
MIA 59.1% +3.9%
DAL 55.2%
TO %
12.2%
12.0%
MIA 11.8%
DAL 9.3% +2.5%
ORB %
21.8%
22.2%
MIA 5.4%
DAL 22.2% +16.8%
FTrt
25.7
25.1
MIA 20.7
DAL 26.4 +5.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.8%
59.6%
MIA 75.0% +7.5%
DAL 67.5%
STL %
7.8%
6.8%
MIA 7.4% +2.2%
DAL 5.2%
BLK %
6.9%
9.0%
MIA 4.3%
DAL 13.6% +9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
58.1%
MIA 58.1% +1.7%
DAL 56.4%
Rim FG%
61.2%
67.3%
MIA 71.4% +16.9%
DAL 54.5%
Mid FG%
44.2%
44.7%
MIA 34.8%
DAL 50.0% +15.2%
3P %
37.0%
36.9%
MIA 44.7% +5.7%
DAL 39.0%
FT %
81.8%
75.8%
MIA 64.7%
DAL 78.3% +13.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
30.1%
MIA 25.6% +0.3%
DAL 25.3%
Mid Att. %
30.2%
25.8%
MIA 28.0%
DAL 27.6% +0.5%
3P Att. %
39.4%
44.1%
MIA 46.3%
DAL 47.1% +0.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points108114
Rebounds3745
Assists3027
Steals75
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)9 (1)
Fouls2016
Off. Rebounds (Team)2 (6)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)35 (2)
Field Goals40-8240-87
At-the-Rim FG15-2112-22
Midrange FG8-2312-24
2-Point FG23-4424-46
3-Point FG17-3816-41
Free Throws11-1718-23
Fast Break Pts1219
2nd Chance Pts516
Points in Paint4038
Pts off Turnovers1015
Bench Points3033
Biggest Lead1511

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 30
39.6
27
75%
6
11
1
0
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
5-8
63%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34
37.7
14
54%
4
5
2
0
6
2
0
4
1-2
50%
5-10
50%
1-2
50%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
37.4
14
39%
9
5
3
0
1
1
1
8
4-8
50%
5-12
42%
0-2
0%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30
30.1
19
95%
4
2
0
0
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
15.9
4
33%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
32.7
13
65%
3
2
0
1
0
6
1
2
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
27.8
13
81%
6
2
1
0
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
3-4
75%
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27
10.6
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27
8.1
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#4 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 32
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36
DNP – Coach's Decision
#21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot; Medial Tendinitis
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Heel; Bruise
#15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Dislocation
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
58%
37
30
7
2
10
20
2
35
11-17
65%
23-44
52%
17-38
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.