for complete access.
All Games Sunday, February 11, 2024
FinalWin Prob.pScore
1
Celtics
73%114
110
20
Heat
27%105
106
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
120.99183.3
MIA logo MIA
116.591100.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.110
100%
106
0%
Q4 - 0:09.6HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup110
99.5%
106
0.5%
Q4 - 0:14.6CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
99.6%
104
0.4%
Q4 - 0:14.6CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
99.5%
104
0.5%
Q4 - 0:14.6HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)108
99.4%
104
0.6%
Q4 - 0:15.7CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound108
99.0%
104
1.0%
Q4 - 0:20.9CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot108
96.9%
104
3.1%
Q4 - 0:40.4CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound108
97.0%
104
3.0%
Q4 - 0:42.7HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot108
96.0%
104
4.0%
Q4 - 1:00CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
91.6%
104
8.4%
Q4 - 1:00CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
91.0%
104
9.0%
Q4 - 1:00HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)106
90.2%
104
9.8%
Q4 - 1:00CelticsCeltics defensive rebound106
86.9%
104
13.1%
Q4 - 1:01HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot106
84.2%
104
15.8%
Q4 - 1:12CelticsJrue Holiday personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)106
75.9%
104
24.1%
Q4 - 1:20CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)106
75.9%
104
24.1%
Q4 - 1:20CelticsCeltics offensive rebound106
85.7%
104
14.3%
Q4 - 1:21CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup106
79.3%
104
20.7%
Q4 - 1:35HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)106
84.2%
104
15.8%
Q4 - 1:49HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot106
82.5%
104
17.5%
Q4 - 1:59HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound106
91.9%
101
8.1%
Q4 - 2:02HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot106
94.7%
101
5.3%
Q4 - 2:15CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)106
92.1%
101
7.9%
Q4 - 2:16CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound106
95.8%
101
4.2%
Q4 - 2:20HeatJayson Tatum blocks Bam Adebayo's two point floating jump shot106
94.9%
101
5.1%
Q4 - 2:34CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point cutting layup (Jayson Tatum assists)106
92.2%
101
7.8%
Q4 - 2:54HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)104
87.4%
101
12.6%
Q4 - 3:13CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)104
93.8%
98
6.2%
Q4 - 3:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot101
84.5%
98
15.5%
Q4 - 3:56HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound101
88.4%
96
11.6%
Q4 - 3:59CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot101
89.6%
96
10.4%
Q4 - 4:18HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup bank jump shot101
92.0%
96
8.0%
Q4 - 4:32CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving floating jump shot101
94.1%
94
5.9%
Q4 - 4:54CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound99
92.1%
94
7.9%
Q4 - 4:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot99
91.2%
94
8.8%
Q4 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound99
87.0%
94
13.0%
Q4 - 5:15CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot99
88.2%
94
11.8%
Q4 - 5:28CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound99
90.5%
94
9.5%
Q4 - 5:31HeatAl Horford blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving reverse layup99
89.6%
94
10.4%
Q4 - 5:41CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (traveling)99
87.1%
94
12.9%
Q4 - 5:51CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound99
90.6%
94
9.4%
Q4 - 5:53HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot99
89.6%
94
10.4%
Q4 - 6:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound99
85.8%
94
14.2%
Q4 - 6:09CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 299
86.4%
94
13.6%
Q4 - 6:09CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 299
88.3%
94
11.7%
Q4 - 6:09HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)99
90.3%
94
9.7%
Q4 - 6:16CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound99
89.5%
94
10.5%
Q4 - 6:18HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot99
88.5%
94
11.5%
Q4 - 6:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound99
85.9%
94
14.1%
Q4 - 6:42CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point alley-oop layup99
87.1%
94
12.9%
Q4 - 6:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot99
89.6%
94
10.4%
Q4 - 7:13CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)99
90.8%
92
9.2%
Q4 - 7:16CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound96
86.2%
92
13.8%
Q4 - 7:20CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot96
83.3%
92
16.7%
Q4 - 7:44HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 196
86.2%
92
13.8%
Q4 - 7:44CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)96
86.7%
91
13.3%
Q4 - 7:54HeatDuncan Robinson makes flagrant free throw 2 of 296
93.2%
89
6.8%
Q4 - 7:54HeatDuncan Robinson makes flagrant free throw 1 of 296
91.1%
88
8.9%
Q4 - 7:54CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)96
91.8%
87
8.2%
Q4 - 7:54CelticsJaylen Brown flagrant 1 (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)96
93.6%
87
6.4%
Q4 - 7:54HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)96
95.8%
87
4.2%
Q4 - 7:59HeatCaleb Martin makes two point floating jump shot96
95.8%
87
4.2%
Q4 - 8:00HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound96
96.6%
85
3.4%
Q4 - 8:03HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point layup96
96.7%
85
3.3%
Q4 - 8:04HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound96
96.1%
85
3.9%
Q4 - 8:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot96
96.7%
85
3.3%
Q4 - 8:29CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point fadeaway jump shot96
96.1%
85
3.9%
Q4 - 8:41HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)94
95.2%
85
4.8%
Q4 - 9:04HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)94
94.7%
85
5.3%
Q4 - 9:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound94
96.5%
82
3.5%
Q4 - 9:13CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot94
96.8%
82
3.2%
Q4 - 9:25CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound94
97.3%
82
2.7%
Q4 - 9:28HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving reverse layup94
97.1%
82
2.9%
Q4 - 9:40CelticsSam Hauser makes three point pullup jump shot (Derrick White assists)94
96.5%
82
3.5%
Q4 - 9:44CelticsCeltics offensive rebound91
94.7%
82
5.3%
Q4 - 9:46CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot91
93.8%
82
6.2%
Q4 - 10:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 291
93.9%
82
6.1%
Q4 - 10:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 291
94.1%
81
5.9%
Q4 - 10:02CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)91
93.1%
81
6.9%
Q4 - 10:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound91
93.8%
81
6.2%
Q4 - 10:04HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot91
94.7%
81
5.3%
Q4 - 10:21CelticsKristaps Porzingis turnover (offensive foul)91
93.8%
81
6.2%
Q4 - 10:21CelticsKristaps Porzingis offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)91
95.1%
81
4.9%
Q4 - 10:28CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound91
95.1%
81
4.9%
Q4 - 10:31HeatKristaps Porzingis blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup91
94.8%
81
5.2%
Q4 - 10:54CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point fadeaway jump shot91
93.9%
81
6.1%
Q4 - 10:57CelticsPayton Pritchard offensive rebound89
92.7%
81
7.3%
Q4 - 10:59CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point pullup jump shot89
91.5%
81
8.5%
Q4 - 11:24HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kevin Love assists)89
92.0%
81
8.0%
Q4 - 11:46CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)89
93.4%
79
6.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.86
90.4%
79
9.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0HeatHeat offensive rebound86
88.1%
79
11.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot86
89.4%
79
10.6%
Q3 - 0:01.8CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds bad pass)86
88.1%
79
11.9%
Q3 - 0:18.4HeatKevin Love makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)86
90.0%
79
10.0%
Q3 - 0:33.8CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 286
91.7%
77
8.3%
Q3 - 0:33.8CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 285
91.3%
77
8.7%
Q3 - 0:33.8HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)85
92.4%
77
7.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound85
91.6%
77
8.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot85
91.2%
77
8.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0HeatKevin Love defensive rebound85
90.1%
77
9.9%
Q3 - 0:58.4CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup85
90.6%
77
9.4%
Q3 - 1:23HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot85
91.1%
77
8.9%
Q3 - 1:47CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point pullup jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)85
92.5%
75
7.5%
Q3 - 2:05CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound82
88.9%
75
11.1%
Q3 - 2:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot82
88.3%
75
11.7%
Q3 - 2:23HeatKevin Love defensive rebound82
87.0%
75
13.0%
Q3 - 2:26CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot82
87.6%
75
12.4%
Q3 - 2:35CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound82
88.9%
75
11.1%
Q3 - 2:38HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot82
88.4%
75
11.6%
Q3 - 2:49CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)82
87.0%
75
13.0%
Q3 - 3:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot79
82.5%
75
17.5%
Q3 - 3:26HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound79
84.4%
73
15.6%
Q3 - 3:29CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot79
85.2%
73
14.8%
Q3 - 3:47HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Kevin Love assists)79
86.9%
73
13.1%
Q3 - 3:54HeatHeat offensive rebound79
88.4%
71
11.6%
Q3 - 3:57HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot79
89.7%
71
10.3%
Q3 - 4:03HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound79
88.2%
71
11.8%
Q3 - 4:06CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point running pullup jump shot79
88.8%
71
11.2%
Q3 - 4:10CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound79
89.9%
71
10.1%
Q3 - 4:13HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot79
89.4%
71
10.6%
Q3 - 4:20HeatKevin Love defensive rebound79
88.2%
71
11.8%
Q3 - 4:23CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot79
88.8%
71
11.2%
Q3 - 4:39HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)79
90.0%
71
10.0%
Q3 - 4:43HeatOrlando Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 279
90.0%
71
10.0%
Q3 - 4:43HeatOrlando Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 279
90.3%
70
9.7%
Q3 - 4:43CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)79
90.4%
69
9.6%
Q3 - 4:55CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving bank jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)79
91.2%
69
8.8%
Q3 - 5:15HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup77
89.6%
69
10.4%
Q3 - 5:19HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound77
90.8%
67
9.2%
Q3 - 5:22HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot77
91.7%
67
8.3%
Q3 - 5:36CelticsSam Hauser personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Love draws the foul)77
90.8%
67
9.2%
Q3 - 5:36HeatHeat offensive rebound77
90.8%
67
9.2%
Q3 - 5:36HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot77
91.8%
67
8.2%
Q3 - 5:50HeatHeat offensive rebound77
90.8%
67
9.2%
Q3 - 5:50HeatJrue Holiday blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving layup77
91.8%
67
8.2%
Q3 - 6:04CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)77
90.6%
67
9.4%
Q3 - 6:19HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive goaltending)74
88.0%
67
12.0%
Q3 - 6:27CelticsDerrick White makes two point layup (Jayson Tatum assists)74
86.1%
67
13.9%
Q3 - 6:45HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)72
84.4%
67
15.6%
Q3 - 7:04CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)72
85.6%
65
14.4%
Q3 - 7:22HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot69
82.1%
65
17.9%
Q3 - 7:27HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound69
85.7%
62
14.3%
Q3 - 7:30CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot69
86.3%
62
13.7%
Q3 - 7:58HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk69
87.6%
62
12.4%
Q3 - 8:00HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound69
88.9%
60
11.1%
Q3 - 8:02HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot69
89.8%
60
10.2%
Q3 - 8:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
88.7%
60
11.3%
Q3 - 8:18CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot69
89.2%
60
10.8%
Q3 - 8:38HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)69
90.2%
60
9.8%
Q3 - 8:53CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup69
92.2%
57
7.8%
Q3 - 9:11HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)67
91.1%
57
8.9%
Q3 - 9:13HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound67
92.9%
54
7.1%
Q3 - 9:17HeatTerry Rozier misses three point running pullup jump shot67
93.6%
54
6.4%
Q3 - 9:21CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)67
93.0%
54
7.0%
Q3 - 9:26CelticsCeltics offensive rebound67
93.9%
54
6.1%
Q3 - 9:26CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point driving layup67
93.3%
54
6.7%
Q3 - 9:42HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)67
93.9%
54
6.1%
Q3 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound67
94.5%
52
5.5%
Q3 - 10:02CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses regular free throw 1 of 167
94.4%
52
5.6%
Q3 - 10:02HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)67
94.8%
52
5.2%
Q3 - 10:03CelticsCeltics offensive rebound65
93.7%
52
6.3%
Q3 - 10:03CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Jaylen Brown's two point running layup65
93.0%
52
7.0%
Q3 - 10:03CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound65
93.7%
52
6.3%
Q3 - 10:06HeatJayson Tatum blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point layup65
93.4%
52
6.6%
Q3 - 10:20CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point fadeaway jump shot65
92.7%
52
7.3%
Q3 - 10:42HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)63
91.9%
52
8.1%
Q3 - 10:55CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 263
90.7%
52
9.3%
Q3 - 10:55CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 262
90.6%
52
9.4%
Q3 - 10:55HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)61
90.4%
52
9.6%
Q3 - 11:09CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound61
89.6%
52
10.4%
Q3 - 11:11HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot61
89.2%
52
10.8%
Q3 - 11:20CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot61
88.3%
52
11.7%
Q3 - 11:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot59
87.0%
52
13.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.59
88.3%
50
11.7%
Q2 - 0:01.1HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running layup59
89.7%
50
10.3%
Q2 - 0:02.3HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound59
90.9%
48
9.1%
Q2 - 0:05.4CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Derrick White's two point driving layup59
91.2%
48
8.8%
Q2 - 0:25.1CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound59
91.7%
48
8.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot59
91.5%
48
8.5%
Q2 - 0:36.7CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point pullup jump shot59
90.9%
48
9.1%
Q2 - 0:56.4HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 157
89.6%
48
10.4%
Q2 - 0:56.4CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)57
89.9%
47
10.1%
Q2 - 0:59.3HeatHeat offensive rebound57
91.9%
45
8.1%
Q2 - 0:59.3HeatAl Horford blocks Bam Adebayo's two point running layup57
92.4%
45
7.6%
Q2 - 1:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound57
91.9%
45
8.1%
Q2 - 1:06CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot57
92.1%
45
7.9%
Q2 - 1:17CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound57
92.6%
45
7.4%
Q2 - 1:22HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot57
92.4%
45
7.6%
Q2 - 1:35CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point stepback jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)57
91.9%
45
8.1%
Q2 - 1:47HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)54
89.7%
45
10.3%
Q2 - 1:59CelticsAl Horford makes two point cutting layup (Jaylen Brown assists)54
90.9%
43
9.1%
Q2 - 2:14HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 252
89.5%
43
10.5%
Q2 - 2:14HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 252
89.7%
42
10.3%
Q2 - 2:14CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)52
89.9%
41
10.1%
Q2 - 2:20HeatHeat offensive rebound52
90.4%
41
9.6%
Q2 - 2:20HeatDerrick White blocks Tyler Herro's two point pullup jump shot52
91.2%
41
8.8%
Q2 - 2:31CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)52
90.4%
41
9.6%
Q2 - 2:49HeatTerry Rozier makes two point fadeaway jump shot49
88.3%
41
11.7%
Q2 - 3:08CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)49
89.1%
39
10.9%
Q2 - 3:14CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound47
88.2%
39
11.8%
Q2 - 3:17HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot47
87.7%
39
12.3%
Q2 - 3:32HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound47
86.7%
39
13.3%
Q2 - 3:34CelticsDerrick White misses three point running jump shot47
87.1%
39
12.9%
Q2 - 3:39CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound47
88.2%
39
11.8%
Q2 - 3:41HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot47
87.7%
39
12.3%
Q2 - 3:51CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds lost ball)47
86.7%
39
13.3%
Q2 - 3:58CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound47
88.2%
39
11.8%
Q2 - 3:59HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup47
87.7%
39
12.3%
Q2 - 3:59HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound47
86.7%
39
13.3%
Q2 - 4:00HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup47
87.7%
39
12.3%
Q2 - 4:03HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound47
86.8%
39
13.2%
Q2 - 4:03HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot47
87.7%
39
12.3%
Q2 - 4:03HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound47
86.8%
39
13.2%
Q2 - 4:03HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup47
87.7%
39
12.3%
Q2 - 4:07HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound47
86.8%
39
13.2%
Q2 - 4:07HeatTerry Rozier misses two point tip layup47
87.7%
39
12.3%
Q2 - 4:07HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound47
86.8%
39
13.2%
Q2 - 4:11HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup47
87.7%
39
12.3%
Q2 - 4:21HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound47
86.8%
39
13.2%
Q2 - 4:25CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot47
87.2%
39
12.8%
Q2 - 4:40HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 247
88.1%
39
11.9%
Q2 - 4:40HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 247
88.3%
38
11.7%
Q2 - 4:40CelticsJrue Holiday shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)47
88.5%
37
11.5%
Q2 - 4:51CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 247
89.1%
37
10.9%
Q2 - 4:51CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses regular free throw 1 of 246
88.9%
37
11.1%
Q2 - 4:51HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)46
89.8%
37
10.2%
Q2 - 5:05CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound46
89.4%
37
10.6%
Q2 - 5:09HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot46
89.0%
37
11.0%
Q2 - 5:23CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot46
88.0%
37
12.0%
Q2 - 5:34CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound43
85.8%
37
14.2%
Q2 - 5:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot43
85.3%
37
14.7%
Q2 - 6:05CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)43
84.2%
37
15.8%
Q2 - 6:15HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)41
83.1%
37
16.9%
Q2 - 6:23CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound41
83.1%
37
16.9%
Q2 - 6:25HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving layup41
82.5%
37
17.5%
Q2 - 6:29CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)41
81.2%
37
18.8%
Q2 - 6:37HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 141
83.1%
37
16.9%
Q2 - 6:37CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)41
83.3%
36
16.7%
Q2 - 6:38HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound41
85.5%
34
14.5%
Q2 - 6:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot41
86.6%
34
13.4%
Q2 - 6:57CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 241
85.5%
34
14.5%
Q2 - 6:57CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 240
85.4%
34
14.6%
Q2 - 6:57HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)39
85.2%
34
14.8%
Q2 - 7:12HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)39
84.4%
34
15.6%
Q2 - 7:32CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)39
86.8%
31
13.2%
Q2 - 7:56HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot39
88.0%
31
12.0%
Q2 - 8:25CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point pullup jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)39
88.9%
29
11.1%
Q2 - 8:38CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound36
86.8%
29
13.2%
Q2 - 8:40HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot36
86.4%
29
13.6%
Q2 - 9:01CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Oshae Brissett assists)36
85.2%
29
14.8%
Q2 - 9:07CelticsOshae Brissett defensive rebound33
82.5%
29
17.5%
Q2 - 9:10HeatAl Horford blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point running layup33
82.0%
29
18.0%
Q2 - 9:14HeatKevin Love defensive rebound33
81.0%
29
19.0%
Q2 - 9:17CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot33
81.4%
29
18.6%
Q2 - 9:19CelticsCeltics offensive rebound33
82.5%
29
17.5%
Q2 - 9:20CelticsAl Horford misses two point turnaround jump shot33
81.4%
29
18.6%
Q2 - 9:33HeatKevin Love turnover (bad pass) (Jrue Holiday steals)33
82.5%
29
17.5%
Q2 - 9:48CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 233
81.0%
29
19.0%
Q2 - 9:48CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 232
80.7%
29
19.3%
Q2 - 9:48HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)31
80.4%
29
19.6%
Q2 - 10:05HeatJosh Richardson makes two point stepback jump shot31
79.6%
29
20.4%
Q2 - 10:19HeatKevin Love defensive rebound31
81.1%
27
18.9%
Q2 - 10:22CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot31
81.5%
27
18.5%
Q2 - 10:37HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting layup (Josh Richardson assists)31
82.6%
27
17.4%
Q2 - 10:52CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup31
83.9%
25
16.1%
Q2 - 11:11HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)29
82.5%
25
17.5%
Q2 - 11:36CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)29
85.1%
22
14.9%
Q2 - 11:52HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)26
82.5%
22
17.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.26
81.1%
22
18.9%
Q1 - 0:01.9HeatKevin Love defensive rebound26
81.1%
22
18.9%
Q1 - 0:03.1CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot26
81.6%
22
18.4%
Q1 - 0:04.6CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound26
82.5%
22
17.5%
Q1 - 0:05.9HeatKevin Love misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot26
82.1%
22
17.9%
Q1 - 0:08.6HeatKevin Love offensive rebound26
81.1%
22
18.9%
Q1 - 0:12.5HeatKristaps Porzingis blocks Josh Richardson's three point pullup jump shot26
82.1%
22
17.9%
Q1 - 0:29.6HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound26
81.1%
22
18.9%
Q1 - 0:33.9CelticsAl Horford misses two point turnaround hook shot26
81.6%
22
18.4%
Q1 - 0:53.2CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound26
82.5%
22
17.5%
Q1 - 0:55.6HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot26
82.1%
22
17.9%
Q1 - 1:08HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound26
81.3%
22
18.7%
Q1 - 1:12CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot26
81.7%
22
18.3%
Q1 - 1:23CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound26
82.6%
22
17.4%
Q1 - 1:26HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot26
82.2%
22
17.8%
Q1 - 1:39CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jaylen Brown assists)26
81.3%
22
18.7%
Q1 - 1:49CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound24
79.8%
22
20.2%
Q1 - 1:52HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot24
79.3%
22
20.7%
Q1 - 2:05CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point alley-oop dunk (Derrick White assists)24
78.2%
22
21.8%
Q1 - 2:17HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)22
76.9%
22
23.1%
Q1 - 2:39CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point turnaround jump shot22
79.7%
19
20.3%
Q1 - 2:48CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound20
78.5%
19
21.5%
Q1 - 2:52HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot20
77.9%
19
22.1%
Q1 - 3:01CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)20
76.4%
19
23.6%
Q1 - 3:16CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point layup20
76.4%
19
23.6%
Q1 - 3:20CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound18
75.2%
19
24.8%
Q1 - 3:24CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot18
73.7%
19
26.3%
Q1 - 3:38HeatBam Adebayo turnover (double dribble)18
75.2%
19
24.8%
Q1 - 3:41CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)18
73.1%
19
26.9%
Q1 - 3:57HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving bank jump shot18
75.2%
19
24.8%
Q1 - 4:10CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving bank jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)18
76.7%
17
23.3%
Q1 - 4:27HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)16
75.4%
17
24.6%
Q1 - 4:46CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)16
78.2%
14
21.8%
Q1 - 4:48CelticsJrue Holiday offensive rebound13
75.4%
14
24.6%
Q1 - 4:50CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point layup13
74.1%
14
25.9%
Q1 - 5:06CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound13
75.8%
14
24.2%
Q1 - 5:09HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot13
75.3%
14
24.7%
Q1 - 5:19HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound13
74.0%
14
26.0%
Q1 - 5:19CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point running layup13
74.6%
14
25.4%
Q1 - 5:25CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound13
75.8%
14
24.2%
Q1 - 5:28HeatTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot13
75.2%
14
24.8%
Q1 - 5:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
74.0%
14
26.0%
Q1 - 5:38CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point driving floating jump shot13
74.6%
14
25.4%
Q1 - 5:56HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Terry Rozier assists)13
75.8%
14
24.2%
Q1 - 6:07CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point pullup jump shot13
77.2%
12
22.8%
Q1 - 6:35HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)11
75.8%
12
24.2%
Q1 - 6:46HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound11
78.6%
9
21.4%
Q1 - 6:48CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point running layup11
79.0%
9
21.0%
Q1 - 6:55CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound11
79.9%
9
20.1%
Q1 - 6:58HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot11
79.5%
9
20.5%
Q1 - 7:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
78.9%
9
21.1%
Q1 - 7:12CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point bank jump shot11
79.3%
9
20.7%
Q1 - 7:28HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)11
80.4%
9
19.6%
Q1 - 7:35HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound11
78.9%
9
21.1%
Q1 - 7:38CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot11
79.3%
9
20.7%
Q1 - 7:54CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound11
80.3%
9
19.7%
Q1 - 7:57HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot11
79.9%
9
20.1%
Q1 - 8:09CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)11
79.3%
9
20.7%
Q1 - 8:26HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Terry Rozier assists)8
76.9%
9
23.1%
Q1 - 8:33CelticsDerrick White makes two point cutting layup (Jrue Holiday assists)8
78.0%
7
22.0%
Q1 - 8:42CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound6
76.9%
7
23.1%
Q1 - 8:42HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot6
76.4%
7
23.6%
Q1 - 8:54CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point putback layup6
75.2%
7
24.8%
Q1 - 8:57CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound4
74.1%
7
25.9%
Q1 - 8:59CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround jump shot4
72.8%
7
27.2%
Q1 - 9:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 24
74.0%
7
26.0%
Q1 - 9:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 24
74.2%
6
25.8%
Q1 - 9:18CelticsJrue Holiday shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)4
74.5%
5
25.5%
Q1 - 9:31CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot4
75.3%
5
24.7%
Q1 - 9:37CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound2
74.0%
5
26.0%
Q1 - 9:40HeatTerry Rozier misses two point running finger roll layup2
73.5%
5
26.5%
Q1 - 9:45HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound2
72.3%
5
27.7%
Q1 - 9:47CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
72.8%
5
27.2%
Q1 - 10:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)2
74.2%
5
25.8%
Q1 - 10:17HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound2
76.7%
2
23.3%
Q1 - 10:19CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot2
77.2%
2
22.8%
Q1 - 10:26CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound2
78.2%
2
21.8%
Q1 - 10:29HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot2
77.7%
2
22.3%
Q1 - 10:36HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound2
76.7%
2
23.3%
Q1 - 10:37CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot2
77.2%
2
22.8%
Q1 - 10:49HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds step)2
78.2%
2
21.8%
Q1 - 10:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound2
76.7%
2
23.3%
Q1 - 11:04CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
77.6%
2
22.4%
Q1 - 11:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)2
78.5%
2
21.5%
Q1 - 11:37CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kristaps Porzingis assists)2
79.5%
0
20.5%
Q1 - 12:00Kristaps Porzingis vs. Bam Adebayo (Derrick White gains possession)0
78.5%
0
21.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.18 59.1%
MIA
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
8
16
50%
MIA
10
26
38%
Midrange
BOS
17
26
65%
MIA
18
31
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
16
24.0
39
41%
62%
MIA
12
18.0
40
30%
45%
Free Throws
BOS
12
17
71%
MIA
14
15
93%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum2662%13.0 / 21
K. Porziņģis2569%12.5 / 18
J. Brown2056%10.0 / 18
J. Holiday1594%7.5 / 8
P. Pritchard880%4.0 / 5
D. White633%3.0 / 9
S. Hauser675%3.0 / 4
A. Horford433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2457%12.0 / 21
B. Adebayo2252%11.0 / 21
C. Martin1563%7.5 / 12
D. Robinson1568%7.5 / 11
T. Rozier1341%6.5 / 16
J. Jaquez643%3.0 / 7
K. Love542%2.5 / 6
H. Highsmith225%1.0 / 4
J. Richardson233%1.0 / 3
O. Robinson2-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
82
+11
-9
93
MIA
84
+20
-7
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.18 59.1%
MIA
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
122.4
113.5
BOS 120.9 +4.4
MIA 116.5
Pace
97.7
96.7
BOS 83.3
MIA 100.3 +17.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.8
BOS 17.3
MIA 14.4 +2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
57.8%
53.8%
BOS 60.5% +13.1%
MIA 47.4%
TO %
11.5%
12.2%
BOS 11.1%
MIA 6.3% +4.8%
ORB %
24.9%
21.8%
BOS 16.2%
MIA 28.0% +11.8%
FTrt
22.4
25.7
BOS 21.0 +5.5
MIA 15.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.3%
64.8%
BOS 65.9% +13.4%
MIA 52.5%
STL %
6.9%
7.8%
BOS 1.1%
MIA 4.4% +3.3%
BLK %
12.0%
6.9%
BOS 15.8% +11.0%
MIA 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
59.5%
56.2%
BOS 59.1% +8.1%
MIA 51.0%
Rim FG%
67.2%
61.2%
BOS 50.0% +11.5%
MIA 38.5%
Mid FG%
43.7%
44.2%
BOS 65.4% +7.3%
MIA 58.1%
3P %
38.8%
37.0%
BOS 41.0% +11.0%
MIA 30.0%
FT %
80.7%
81.8%
BOS 70.6%
MIA 93.3% +22.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.1%
30.4%
BOS 19.8%
MIA 26.8% +7.1%
Mid Att. %
21.8%
30.2%
BOS 32.1%
MIA 32.0% +0.1%
3P Att. %
47.1%
39.4%
BOS 48.1% +6.9%
MIA 41.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes26.221.8
Points110106
Rebounds4245
Assists2721
Steals14
Blocks92
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)7 (0)
Fouls1314
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (5)14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)31 (0)
Field Goals41-8140-97
At-the-Rim FG8-1610-26
Midrange FG17-2618-31
2-Point FG25-4228-57
3-Point FG16-3912-40
Free Throws12-1714-15
Fast Break Pts08
2nd Chance Pts1923
Points in Paint3850
Pts off Turnovers1013
Bench Points1826
Biggest Lead153

BOXSCORE

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1 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jayson Tatum
#0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26
38.7
26
62%
10
9
0
2
1
1
1
9
2-2
100%
9-14
64%
2-6
33%
Derrick White
#9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30
37.9
6
33%
2
4
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-5
0%
Jaylen Brown
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27
37.2
20
56%
9
2
0
0
6
1
3
6
1-4
25%
5-8
63%
3-8
38%
Jrue Holiday
#4 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 34
35.5
15
94%
3
6
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
5-6
83%
Kristaps Porzingis
#8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 29
31.6
25
69%
9
3
0
2
1
4
0
9
7-9
78%
6-10
60%
2-4
50%
Al Horford
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 38
24.9
4
33%
5
0
0
3
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
Payton Pritchard
#11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26
15.3
8
80%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
Sam Hauser
#30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 26
14.7
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
Luke Kornet
#40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Oshae Brissett
#12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26
2.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Svi Mykhailiuk
#50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27
Jordan Walsh
#27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20
JD Davison
#20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Neemias Queta
#88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Xavier Tillman
#26 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Soreness
Jaden Springer
#44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Impingement
Drew Peterson
#13 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
59%
42
27
1
9
9
13
6
36
12-17
71%
25-42
60%
16-39
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.