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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 8, 2024
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Nuggets55%115114
13Lakers45%113106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 218 · 25.6
37.8
30.0
27
66%
8
2
0
1
1
1
1
7
1-1
100%
7-13
3-6
54%
58%
4-7
57%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'11" 284 · 29.0
36.4
34.9
24
55%
13
9
0
1
3
6
3
10
4-4
100%
7-14
10-15
50%
63%
2-6
33%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.0
35.6
33.9
29
58%
7
11
2
1
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
7-16
6-11
44%
52%
5-9
56%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.4
31.9
29.6
11
62%
4
3
2
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
5-6
4-7
83%
60%
0-2
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 34.8
22.3
5.6
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
52%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.8
26.3
22.3
7
44%
4
3
0
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'7" 200 · 21.4
24.8
24.3
5
42%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
56%
1-3
33%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
13.5
19.0
3
50%
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
54%
1-1
100%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.6
11.4
6.9
6
50%
8
1
0
0
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
67%
0-0
-
Julian Strawther
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.8
8.2
0
1-1
53%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 23.1
3.4
0
0-1
60%
Jay Huff
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.5
1.6
0
0-0
60%
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'1" 195 · 24.6
1.4
0
0-0
50%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.0
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'2" 202 · 24.3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 204 · 31.0
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 30.9
38.2
33.9
32
54%
9
3
3
1
4
1
1
8
4-6
67%
14-24
8-14
58%
58%
0-3
0%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.0
37.5
24.7
2
20%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
56%
0-2
0%
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 25.7
36.3
34.2
15
44%
2
10
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
4-9
4-6
44%
60%
2-7
29%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.1
35.4
36.5
25
56%
9
7
1
1
1
2
1
8
5-5
100%
7-14
8-13
50%
59%
2-6
33%
Max Christie
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.0
15.2
19.0
7
44%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-4
1-2
0%
52%
2-3
67%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'6" 218 · 29.9
34.5
25.2
13
89%
3
2
2
1
1
1
0
3
3-3
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
2-3
67%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 28.4
19.0
11.2
3
80%
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
59%
0-0
-
Jaxson Hayes
C-F · 7'0" 220 · 23.7
17.0
14.1
9
65%
6
1
1
0
2
0
5
1
1-2
50%
4-5
2-3
80%
67%
0-1
0%
Skylar Mays
G · 6'4" 205 · 26.4
7.0
2.6
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'3" 193 · 28.0
34.2
1
4-8
52%
Jalen Hood-Schifino
G · 6'6" 215 · 20.6
1.3
0
0-0
50%
Maxwell Lewis
F · 6'7" 195 · 21.5
1.2
0
0-0
53%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'8" 214 · 24.9
Dylan Windler
G-F · 6'8" 196 · 27.4
Colin Castleton
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.7
Cam Reddish
F-G · 6'8" 208 · 24.4
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.