FinalWin Prob.pScore
1449%105
95
1851%106
121
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
97.99796.7
MIA logo MIA
123.59898.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.95
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:11.9MagicAnthony Black turnover (out of bounds bad pass)95
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:18.1MagicAnthony Black defensive rebound95
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:21.1HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot95
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:44.8HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound95
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:48.4MagicCaleb Houstan misses three point jump shot95
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:01MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound95
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:04HeatOrlando Robinson misses three point jump shot95
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:13MagicGoga Bitadze turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)95
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:27HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)95
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound95
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35MagicAnthony Black misses two point pullup jump shot95
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving finger roll layup95
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21MagicChuma Okeke misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MagicChuma Okeke makes two point layup (Goga Bitadze assists)95
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Take) (Cole Anthony draws the foul)93
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 293
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 293
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07MagicWendell Carter Jr. shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32HeatJosh Richardson misses two point pullup jump shot93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23MagicFranz Wagner makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)93
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39HeatTerry Rozier makes two point pullup jump shot90
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound90
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot90
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)90
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 5:14HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound90
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 5:16MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point driving layup90
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 5:29HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot90
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 5:56MagicFranz Wagner makes two point layup (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)90
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 6:03MagicMagic offensive rebound88
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 6:03MagicDuncan Robinson blocks Markelle Fultz's two point driving reverse layup88
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 6:18HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot88
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 6:34HeatHeat defensive rebound88
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 6:37MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot88
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 6:56HeatJimmy Butler makes three point running jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)88
1.2%
104
98.8%
Q4 - 7:00HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound88
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 7:03MagicFranz Wagner misses two point driving floating jump shot88
3.0%
101
97.0%
Q4 - 7:21HeatJimmy Butler makes three point stepback jump shot88
3.7%
101
96.3%
Q4 - 7:47MagicGary Harris makes two point pullup jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)88
5.6%
98
94.4%
Q4 - 8:07MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound86
5.4%
98
94.6%
Q4 - 8:10HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot86
5.0%
98
95.0%
Q4 - 8:31MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving hook shot86
4.2%
98
95.8%
Q4 - 8:39HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Cole Anthony steals)84
3.3%
98
96.7%
Q4 - 9:00MagicFranz Wagner makes two point running dunk84
2.6%
98
97.4%
Q4 - 9:04MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound82
2.6%
98
97.4%
Q4 - 9:06HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup82
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 9:15MagicCole Anthony makes two point driving layup82
2.0%
98
98.0%
Q4 - 9:24MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound80
1.6%
98
98.4%
Q4 - 9:28HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot80
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 9:49MagicJoe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Gary Harris assists)80
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q4 - 9:52MagicMoritz Wagner offensive rebound77
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 9:55MagicGary Harris misses three point jump shot77
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 10:05HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)77
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 10:05MagicMagic offensive rebound77
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 10:05MagicFranz Wagner misses two point pullup jump shot77
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 10:24HeatJosh Richardson makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Love assists)77
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 10:32HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound77
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 10:35MagicMoritz Wagner misses three point jump shot77
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 10:49HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)77
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 10:58MagicCole Anthony personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)77
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 11:13HeatHeat defensive rebound77
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 11:15MagicGary Harris misses three point running pullup jump shot77
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 11:19MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound77
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 11:22HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot77
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 11:49MagicCole Anthony makes two point pullup jump shot77
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.75
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0HeatHeat offensive rebound75
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point floating jump shot75
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 275
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 274
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0HeatKevin Love personal foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)73
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q3 - 0:03.1MagicMagic offensive rebound73
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q3 - 0:06.1MagicPaolo Banchero misses regular free throw 2 of 273
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q3 - 0:06.1MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 273
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q3 - 0:06.1HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)72
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q3 - 0:12.4HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving reverse layup (Kevin Love assists)72
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound72
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q3 - 0:24.2HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot72
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q3 - 0:34.4MagicMoritz Wagner makes two point cutting layup (Jonathan Isaac assists)72
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0HeatKevin Love makes two point tip layup70
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0HeatKevin Love offensive rebound70
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q3 - 0:42.8HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup70
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound70
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q3 - 0:54.7MagicPaolo Banchero misses regular free throw 2 of 270
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q3 - 0:54.7MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 270
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q3 - 0:54.7HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)69
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q3 - 1:05HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 269
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q3 - 1:05HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 269
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q3 - 1:05MagicPaolo Banchero shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)69
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q3 - 1:05MagicJonathan Isaac turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)69
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q3 - 1:05MagicJonathan Isaac defensive rebound69
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q3 - 1:07HeatJonathan Isaac blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving dunk69
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q3 - 1:21HeatHeat defensive rebound69
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q3 - 1:22MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point pullup jump shot69
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q3 - 1:34HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)69
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q3 - 1:48HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)69
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q3 - 1:52HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound69
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q3 - 1:54MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point floating jump shot69
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q3 - 2:14HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)69
3.6%
88
96.4%
Q3 - 2:22MagicJonathan Isaac turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)69
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q3 - 2:40HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)69
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q3 - 2:51HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound69
6.9%
83
93.1%
Q3 - 2:54MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot69
7.3%
83
92.7%
Q3 - 3:20HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)69
9.1%
83
90.9%
Q3 - 3:29MagicJoe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)69
11.9%
80
88.1%
Q3 - 3:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk66
9.0%
80
91.0%
Q3 - 4:02MagicWendell Carter Jr. personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)66
11.3%
78
88.7%
Q3 - 4:14MagicFranz Wagner turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)66
11.2%
78
88.8%
Q3 - 4:36HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)66
13.1%
78
86.9%
Q3 - 4:59MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point turnaround jump shot66
16.9%
75
83.1%
Q3 - 5:16HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup64
16.0%
75
84.0%
Q3 - 5:24MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point running dunk (Jalen Suggs assists)64
17.9%
73
82.1%
Q3 - 5:25MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound62
16.0%
73
84.0%
Q3 - 5:29HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot62
15.3%
73
84.7%
Q3 - 5:47MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot62
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q3 - 6:06HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 260
13.0%
73
87.0%
Q3 - 6:06HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 260
13.2%
72
86.8%
Q3 - 6:06MagicMarkelle Fultz shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)60
13.5%
71
86.5%
Q3 - 6:23MagicFranz Wagner turnover (lost ball) (Terry Rozier steals)60
14.5%
71
85.5%
Q3 - 6:36MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound60
16.7%
71
83.3%
Q3 - 6:39HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 260
16.4%
71
83.6%
Q3 - 6:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 260
15.0%
71
85.0%
Q3 - 6:39MagicPaolo Banchero shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)60
15.3%
70
84.7%
Q3 - 6:52MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (out of bounds step)60
16.4%
70
83.6%
Q3 - 6:52MagicMarkelle Fultz offensive rebound60
18.9%
70
81.1%
Q3 - 6:55MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot60
17.2%
70
82.8%
Q3 - 7:07MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound60
19.8%
70
80.2%
Q3 - 7:09HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 260
19.5%
70
80.5%
Q3 - 7:09HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 260
17.9%
70
82.1%
Q3 - 7:09MagicWendell Carter Jr. shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)60
18.2%
69
81.8%
Q3 - 7:20HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound60
19.4%
69
80.6%
Q3 - 7:24MagicMarkelle Fultz misses three point jump shot60
20.2%
69
79.8%
Q3 - 7:38HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Paolo Banchero steals)60
22.2%
69
77.8%
Q3 - 7:52MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Markelle Fultz assists)60
19.4%
69
80.6%
Q3 - 8:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running pullup jump shot58
18.2%
69
81.8%
Q3 - 8:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound58
19.9%
67
80.1%
Q3 - 8:17MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot58
20.8%
67
79.2%
Q3 - 8:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)58
22.7%
67
77.3%
Q3 - 8:54MagicPaolo Banchero makes three point running pullup jump shot (Jalen Suggs assists)58
24.7%
65
75.3%
Q3 - 8:57MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound55
20.4%
65
79.6%
Q3 - 9:01HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running jump shot55
20.3%
65
79.7%
Q3 - 9:07MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)55
18.6%
65
81.4%
Q3 - 9:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)55
21.1%
65
78.9%
Q3 - 9:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
23.0%
63
77.0%
Q3 - 9:31MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot55
23.8%
63
76.2%
Q3 - 9:33MagicFranz Wagner offensive rebound55
25.9%
63
74.1%
Q3 - 9:34MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point driving layup55
23.8%
63
76.2%
Q3 - 9:50HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)55
25.9%
63
74.1%
Q3 - 10:06MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)55
31.3%
60
68.7%
Q3 - 10:10MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound52
26.5%
60
73.5%
Q3 - 10:13HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot52
25.6%
60
74.4%
Q3 - 10:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
23.5%
60
76.5%
Q3 - 10:24MagicCaleb Martin blocks Franz Wagner's two point driving floating jump shot52
24.4%
60
75.6%
Q3 - 10:33MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound52
26.5%
60
73.5%
Q3 - 10:37HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot52
25.5%
60
74.5%
Q3 - 10:44HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound52
23.5%
60
76.5%
Q3 - 10:46MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point jump shot52
24.4%
60
75.6%
Q3 - 11:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup52
26.4%
60
73.6%
Q3 - 11:01HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound52
29.1%
58
70.9%
Q3 - 11:04HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot52
31.0%
58
69.0%
Q3 - 11:09HeatHeat offensive rebound52
29.1%
58
70.9%
Q3 - 11:09HeatMarkelle Fultz blocks Jimmy Butler's two point floating jump shot52
31.0%
58
69.0%
Q3 - 11:22MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)52
29.1%
58
70.9%
Q3 - 11:31HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)49
24.2%
58
75.8%
Q3 - 11:41HeatCaleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)49
24.2%
58
75.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.49
26.5%
56
73.5%
Q2 - 0:03.1MagicJonathan Isaac makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)49
27.5%
56
72.5%
Q2 - 0:14.7MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound46
22.4%
56
77.6%
Q2 - 0:16.1HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 246
22.2%
56
77.8%
Q2 - 0:16.1HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 246
20.6%
56
79.4%
Q2 - 0:16.1MagicJalen Suggs personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)46
20.9%
55
79.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0HeatKevin Love defensive rebound46
22.8%
55
77.2%
Q2 - 0:24.7MagicGary Harris misses three point running jump shot46
23.3%
55
76.7%
Q2 - 0:28.8MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound46
24.7%
55
75.3%
Q2 - 0:32.9HeatTyler Herro misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot46
24.1%
55
75.9%
Q2 - 0:41.9MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 246
22.7%
55
77.3%
Q2 - 0:41.9MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 245
22.2%
55
77.8%
Q2 - 0:41.9HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)44
21.6%
55
78.4%
Q2 - 0:45.6MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound44
20.3%
55
79.7%
Q2 - 0:48.7HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot44
19.8%
55
80.2%
Q2 - 1:02MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 244
19.4%
55
80.6%
Q2 - 1:02MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 243
19.0%
55
81.0%
Q2 - 1:02HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)42
18.5%
55
81.5%
Q2 - 1:11HeatKevin Love turnover (lost ball) (Franz Wagner steals)42
17.2%
55
82.8%
Q2 - 1:23MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point layup42
15.9%
55
84.1%
Q2 - 1:37HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)40
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q2 - 1:37HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)40
12.9%
55
87.1%
Q2 - 1:40HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound40
12.9%
55
87.1%
Q2 - 1:42HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup40
13.6%
55
86.4%
Q2 - 2:02MagicJalen Suggs makes three point jump shot (Franz Wagner assists)40
13.3%
55
86.7%
Q2 - 2:12MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound37
11.0%
55
89.0%
Q2 - 2:14HeatTerry Rozier misses regular free throw 1 of 137
10.8%
55
89.2%
Q2 - 2:14MagicMarkelle Fultz shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)37
10.0%
55
90.0%
Q2 - 2:33MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point putback layup37
12.0%
53
88.0%
Q2 - 2:34MagicPaolo Banchero offensive rebound35
10.9%
53
89.1%
Q2 - 2:38MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point dunk35
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q2 - 2:44MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound35
10.9%
53
89.1%
Q2 - 2:48HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot35
10.5%
53
89.5%
Q2 - 2:58HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound35
9.7%
53
90.3%
Q2 - 3:00MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot35
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q2 - 3:14HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)35
11.8%
53
88.2%
Q2 - 3:30MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)35
10.4%
53
89.6%
Q2 - 3:45HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Terry Rozier assists)33
9.6%
53
90.4%
Q2 - 3:55MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 233
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q2 - 3:55MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 232
10.1%
51
89.9%
Q2 - 3:55HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)32
10.9%
51
89.1%
Q2 - 3:55MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound32
10.6%
51
89.4%
Q2 - 3:56MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point turnaround jump shot32
9.7%
51
90.3%
Q2 - 4:11HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)32
11.3%
51
88.7%
Q2 - 4:22MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 232
13.5%
48
86.5%
Q2 - 4:22MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 231
13.3%
48
86.7%
Q2 - 4:22HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)30
13.2%
48
86.8%
Q2 - 4:33MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound30
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 4:36HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot30
12.0%
48
88.0%
Q2 - 4:38HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound30
11.1%
48
88.9%
Q2 - 4:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot30
12.0%
48
88.0%
Q2 - 4:59MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point turnaround jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)30
11.1%
48
88.9%
Q2 - 5:13HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running finger roll layup28
10.5%
48
89.5%
Q2 - 5:18MagicFranz Wagner turnover (lost ball) (Josh Richardson steals)28
11.3%
46
88.7%
Q2 - 5:37HeatJosh Richardson makes three point running jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)28
12.8%
46
87.2%
Q2 - 5:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound28
15.0%
43
85.0%
Q2 - 5:45MagicBam Adebayo blocks Franz Wagner's two point driving finger roll layup28
15.6%
43
84.4%
Q2 - 6:05HeatTyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)28
17.4%
43
82.6%
Q2 - 6:08HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound28
20.3%
40
79.7%
Q2 - 6:10MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point driving finger roll layup28
20.9%
40
79.1%
Q2 - 6:35HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)28
22.4%
40
77.6%
Q2 - 6:35HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)28
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 6:44MagicGary Harris makes two point driving layup (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)28
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 7:00HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup26
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 7:15MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point fadeaway jump shot26
20.9%
38
79.1%
Q2 - 7:36HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 124
19.3%
38
80.7%
Q2 - 7:36MagicWendell Carter Jr. shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)24
19.6%
37
80.4%
Q2 - 7:41MagicMoritz Wagner personal foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)24
22.6%
35
77.4%
Q2 - 8:05MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving dunk24
22.7%
35
77.3%
Q2 - 8:13MagicJonathan Isaac defensive rebound22
21.2%
35
78.8%
Q2 - 8:17HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot22
20.6%
35
79.4%
Q2 - 8:35MagicCole Anthony turnover (out of bounds bad pass)22
19.3%
35
80.7%
Q2 - 8:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Kevin Love assists)22
21.2%
35
78.8%
Q2 - 8:59HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound22
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q2 - 9:05MagicCole Anthony misses three point jump shot22
23.5%
33
76.5%
Q2 - 9:31HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)22
24.8%
33
75.2%
Q2 - 9:42MagicGary Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 122
28.7%
30
71.3%
Q2 - 9:42HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)21
28.4%
30
71.6%
Q2 - 9:51HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)19
24.8%
30
75.2%
Q2 - 10:05HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)19
25.3%
30
74.7%
Q2 - 10:09MagicCole Anthony turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)19
27.1%
28
72.9%
Q2 - 10:12MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound19
29.2%
28
70.8%
Q2 - 10:15HeatMoritz Wagner blocks Kevin Love's three point jump shot19
28.6%
28
71.4%
Q2 - 10:31MagicFranz Wagner turnover (offensive foul)19
27.1%
28
72.9%
Q2 - 10:31MagicFranz Wagner offensive foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)19
29.2%
28
70.8%
Q2 - 10:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)19
29.2%
28
70.8%
Q2 - 11:01HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound19
31.7%
26
68.3%
Q2 - 11:04MagicJonathan Isaac misses three point jump shot19
32.3%
26
67.7%
Q2 - 11:26MagicJonathan Isaac defensive rebound19
33.8%
26
66.2%
Q2 - 11:31HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot19
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 11:32HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound19
31.7%
26
68.3%
Q2 - 11:36HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot19
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 11:41MagicGary Harris personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)19
31.7%
26
68.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.19
31.6%
26
68.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MagicMagic offensive rebound19
33.8%
26
66.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MagicMoritz Wagner misses two point hook shot19
32.3%
26
67.7%
Q1 - 0:18.0HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Love assists)19
33.8%
26
66.2%
Q1 - 0:39.2MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (offensive foul)19
36.0%
24
64.0%
Q1 - 0:39.2MagicMarkelle Fultz offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)19
38.2%
24
61.8%
Q1 - 0:43.4HeatKevin Love makes two point tip layup19
38.2%
24
61.8%
Q1 - 0:43.6HeatKevin Love offensive rebound19
40.4%
22
59.6%
Q1 - 0:44.1HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point tip layup19
42.0%
22
58.0%
Q1 - 0:44.4HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound19
40.4%
22
59.6%
Q1 - 0:45.1HeatJosh Richardson misses two point driving hook shot19
42.0%
22
58.0%
Q1 - 1:01MagicMarkelle Fultz makes regular free throw 2 of 219
40.8%
22
59.2%
Q1 - 1:01MagicMarkelle Fultz makes regular free throw 1 of 218
40.3%
22
59.7%
Q1 - 1:01HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Markelle Fultz draws the foul)17
39.7%
22
60.3%
Q1 - 1:03HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Gary Harris steals)17
38.4%
22
61.6%
Q1 - 1:06HeatKevin Love offensive rebound17
36.3%
22
63.7%
Q1 - 1:09HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot17
37.8%
22
62.2%
Q1 - 1:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound17
36.3%
22
63.7%
Q1 - 1:15HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot17
37.8%
22
62.2%
Q1 - 1:30MagicMoritz Wagner turnover (offensive foul)17
36.3%
22
63.7%
Q1 - 1:30MagicMoritz Wagner offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)17
38.4%
22
61.6%
Q1 - 1:34MagicGary Harris offensive rebound17
38.4%
22
61.6%
Q1 - 1:34MagicJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot17
36.9%
22
63.1%
Q1 - 1:42HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point reverse layup (Jimmy Butler assists)17
38.4%
22
61.6%
Q1 - 2:01MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point running layup (Paolo Banchero assists)17
40.7%
20
59.3%
Q1 - 2:07HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Markelle Fultz steals)15
39.0%
20
61.0%
Q1 - 2:13HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound15
36.4%
20
63.6%
Q1 - 2:20MagicMoritz Wagner misses regular free throw 2 of 215
36.8%
20
63.2%
Q1 - 2:20MagicMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 215
38.2%
20
61.8%
Q1 - 2:20HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)14
37.8%
20
62.2%
Q1 - 2:20MagicMoritz Wagner offensive rebound14
36.8%
20
63.2%
Q1 - 2:22MagicMoritz Wagner misses two point driving layup14
35.1%
20
64.9%
Q1 - 2:31MagicJoe Ingles defensive rebound14
36.8%
20
63.2%
Q1 - 2:33HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot14
36.0%
20
64.0%
Q1 - 2:50MagicJoe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)14
34.4%
20
65.6%
Q1 - 3:00MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound11
30.7%
20
69.3%
Q1 - 3:02HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot11
30.2%
20
69.8%
Q1 - 3:14HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound11
28.6%
20
71.4%
Q1 - 3:18MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot11
29.3%
20
70.7%
Q1 - 3:20MagicMoritz Wagner offensive rebound11
30.9%
20
69.1%
Q1 - 3:24MagicJalen Suggs misses three point fadeaway jump shot11
29.3%
20
70.7%
Q1 - 3:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)11
30.9%
20
69.1%
Q1 - 3:52HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 211
30.9%
20
69.1%
Q1 - 3:52HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 211
31.2%
19
68.8%
Q1 - 3:52MagicJalen Suggs shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)11
31.5%
18
68.5%
Q1 - 3:58MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point running finger roll layup (Jalen Suggs assists)11
32.4%
18
67.6%
Q1 - 4:02MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound9
31.7%
18
68.3%
Q1 - 4:05HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot9
31.1%
18
68.9%
Q1 - 4:23MagicMarkelle Fultz makes three point jump shot (Jalen Suggs assists)9
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 4:38MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound6
26.4%
18
73.6%
Q1 - 4:38HeatTerry Rozier misses two point running finger roll layup6
25.8%
18
74.2%
Q1 - 4:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
24.5%
18
75.5%
Q1 - 4:46MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point driving floating jump shot6
25.0%
18
75.0%
Q1 - 4:59HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)6
26.4%
18
73.6%
Q1 - 5:12MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point dunk (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)6
28.5%
16
71.5%
Q1 - 5:33HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)4
27.1%
16
72.9%
Q1 - 5:39HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound4
25.3%
16
74.7%
Q1 - 5:42MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot4
25.8%
16
74.2%
Q1 - 5:58HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)4
27.1%
16
72.9%
Q1 - 6:10MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)4
30.6%
13
69.4%
Q1 - 6:31HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 22
28.9%
13
71.1%
Q1 - 6:31HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 22
29.2%
12
70.8%
Q1 - 6:31MagicWendell Carter Jr. shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)2
29.4%
11
70.6%
Q1 - 6:42HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound2
30.6%
11
69.4%
Q1 - 6:45MagicPaolo Banchero misses regular free throw 2 of 22
30.8%
11
69.2%
Q1 - 6:45MagicPaolo Banchero misses regular free throw 1 of 22
31.9%
11
68.1%
Q1 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)2
33.2%
11
66.8%
Q1 - 6:49HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Franz Wagner steals)2
32.4%
11
67.6%
Q1 - 6:55HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound2
30.6%
11
69.4%
Q1 - 6:57MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
31.1%
11
68.9%
Q1 - 7:13MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound2
32.8%
11
67.2%
Q1 - 7:15HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot2
32.2%
11
67.8%
Q1 - 7:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
30.8%
11
69.2%
Q1 - 7:35MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot2
31.4%
11
68.6%
Q1 - 7:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Tyler Herro assists)2
32.8%
11
67.2%
Q1 - 7:51HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound2
34.3%
9
65.7%
Q1 - 7:54MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point stepback jump shot2
34.9%
9
65.1%
Q1 - 8:07MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound2
36.9%
9
63.1%
Q1 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop dunk2
36.2%
9
63.8%
Q1 - 8:23MagicFranz Wagner turnover (out of bounds lost ball)2
34.7%
9
65.3%
Q1 - 8:37HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup2
36.8%
9
63.2%
Q1 - 8:44HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound2
38.3%
7
61.7%
Q1 - 8:48MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses two point running pullup jump shot2
39.0%
7
61.0%
Q1 - 8:52MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound2
40.5%
7
59.5%
Q1 - 8:56HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot2
39.8%
7
60.2%
Q1 - 9:20MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point running dunk (Franz Wagner assists)2
38.5%
7
61.5%
Q1 - 9:25MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound0
36.9%
7
63.1%
Q1 - 9:27HeatTerry Rozier misses two point floating jump shot0
36.3%
7
63.7%
Q1 - 9:39MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)0
35.0%
7
65.0%
Q1 - 9:43HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Paolo Banchero steals)0
36.9%
7
63.1%
Q1 - 9:48MagicFranz Wagner turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)0
35.0%
7
65.0%
Q1 - 10:09HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)0
37.1%
7
62.9%
Q1 - 10:11HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
38.7%
5
61.3%
Q1 - 10:15MagicJalen Suggs misses two point driving layup0
39.3%
5
60.7%
Q1 - 10:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Tyler Herro assists)0
40.6%
5
59.4%
Q1 - 10:39HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound0
42.2%
3
57.8%
Q1 - 10:43HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot0
43.6%
3
56.4%
Q1 - 10:56HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
42.2%
3
57.8%
Q1 - 10:57MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point hook shot0
42.8%
3
57.2%
Q1 - 11:12HeatCaleb Martin makes three point stepback jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)0
44.5%
3
55.5%
Q1 - 11:36MagicFranz Wagner turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 12:00Wendell Carter Jr. vs. Bam Adebayo (Jalen Suggs gains possession)0
49.7%
0
50.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.04 52.2%
MIA
1.23 61.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
14
21
67%
MIA
14
20
70%
Midrange
ORL
11
24
46%
MIA
20
31
65%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
10
15.0
35
29%
43%
MIA
13
19.5
36
36%
54%
Free Throws
ORL
15
21
71%
MIA
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Banchero2352%11.5 / 22
W. Carter1575%7.5 / 10
F. Wagner1341%6.5 / 16
M. Fultz1359%6.5 / 11
J. Ingles9113%4.5 / 4
G. Harris758%3.5 / 6
C. Anthony467%2.0 / 3
J. Suggs321%1.5 / 7
M. Wagner330%1.5 / 5
J. Isaac375%1.5 / 2
C. Okeke250%1.0 / 2
A. Black0-0.0 / 1
C. Houstan0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2377%11.5 / 15
T. Rozier1869%9.0 / 13
B. Adebayo1478%7.0 / 9
T. Herro1454%7.0 / 13
J. Richardson1393%6.5 / 7
J. Jaquez1250%6.0 / 12
C. Martin1161%5.5 / 9
D. Robinson964%4.5 / 7
K. Love739%3.5 / 9
O. Robinson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
79
+12
-18
91
MIA
85
+13
-13
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.04 52.2%
MIA
1.23 61.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.1
113.5
ORL 97.9 +25.5
MIA 123.5
Pace
97.2
96.7
ORL 96.7
MIA 98.3 +1.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
14.8
ORL 14.9
MIA 14.7 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.1%
53.8%
ORL 50.0%
MIA 61.5% +11.5%
TO %
14.1%
12.2%
ORL 16.8%
MIA 12.0% +4.8%
ORB %
25.3%
21.8%
ORL 19.0%
MIA 26.2% +7.2%
FTrt
28.8
25.7
ORL 26.3 +5.6
MIA 20.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.0%
64.8%
ORL 71.4% +5.4%
MIA 66.0%
STL %
8.3%
7.8%
ORL 7.2%
MIA 10.2% +3.0%
BLK %
9.8%
6.9%
ORL 5.9%
MIA 6.7% +0.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.19 and 2.19.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
56.2%
ORL 52.2%
MIA 61.7% +9.5%
Rim FG%
64.6%
61.2%
ORL 66.7%
MIA 70.0% +3.3%
Mid FG%
39.2%
44.2%
ORL 45.8%
MIA 64.5% +18.7%
3P %
35.2%
37.0%
ORL 28.6%
MIA 36.1% +7.5%
FT %
75.9%
81.8%
ORL 71.4%
MIA 77.8% +6.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.2%
30.4%
ORL 26.3% +3.3%
MIA 23.0%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
30.2%
ORL 30.0% +5.6%
MIA 35.6%
3P Att. %
36.9%
39.4%
ORL 43.8% +2.4%
MIA 41.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points95121
Rebounds3945
Assists2531
Steals710
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)13 (0)
Fouls1719
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)34 (3)
Field Goals35-8047-87
At-the-Rim FG14-2114-20
Midrange FG11-2420-31
2-Point FG25-4534-51
3-Point FG10-3513-36
Free Throws15-2114-18
Fast Break Pts1827
2nd Chance Pts1110
Points in Paint4458
Pts off Turnovers1219
Bench Points2841
Biggest Lead026

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22
35.2
13
41%
7
3
2
0
7
1
1
6
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
1-7
14%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21
34.5
23
52%
9
7
2
0
2
2
1
8
8-12
67%
6-12
50%
1-4
25%
#34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25
27.9
15
75%
6
3
0
0
0
5
1
5
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
2-4
50%
#4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23
27.8
3
21%
3
4
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-6
17%
#20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 26
27.6
13
59%
1
4
1
1
2
3
1
0
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
1-2
50%
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29
19.3
7
58%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
0-3
0%
#21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27
16.3
3
30%
3
0
0
1
1
2
3
0
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
#7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36
15.1
9
113%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-4
75%
#50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24
13.6
4
67%
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
#1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26
10.2
3
75%
3
1
0
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20
3.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25
3.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#35 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25
3.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 27
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#13 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
52%
39
25
7
3
18
17
8
31
15-21
71%
25-45
56%
10-35
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.