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All Games Sunday, February 4, 2024
FinalWin Prob.pScore
29
Blazers
16%103
103
2
Nuggets
84%118
112
ORTG#PossPace
POR logo POR
115.78989.9
DEN logo DEN
124.49089.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsBlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsBlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPORDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.103
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:14.8NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)103
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.6Trail BlazersToumani Camara turnover (lost ball) (Peyton Watson steals)103
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.9Trail BlazersToumani Camara defensive rebound103
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 0:52.5NuggetsPeyton Watson misses three point jump shot103
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 1:11Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes two point driving finger roll layup (Deandre Ayton assists)103
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 1:20NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Deandre Ayton steals)101
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 1:40Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 1:40Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 1:40NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Anfernee Simons draws the foul)99
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 1:48Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton defensive rebound99
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 1:50NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot99
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 2:17Trail BlazersScoot Henderson makes two point putback layup99
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21Trail BlazersScoot Henderson offensive rebound97
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21Trail BlazersScoot Henderson misses two point driving layup97
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)97
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57Trail BlazersToumani Camara makes two point tip layup97
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 2:57Trail BlazersToumani Camara offensive rebound95
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 3:02Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses two point pullup jump shot95
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point cutting layup (Jamal Murray assists)95
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 3:34NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound95
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 3:35Trail BlazersScoot Henderson misses two point tip layup95
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 3:35Trail BlazersScoot Henderson offensive rebound95
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 3:36Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton misses two point tip layup95
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 3:36Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton offensive rebound95
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 3:51Trail BlazersMatisse Thybulle misses three point jump shot95
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 3:59Trail BlazersScoot Henderson offensive rebound95
0.8%
107
99.2%
Q4 - 4:01Trail BlazersScoot Henderson misses three point jump shot95
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 4:32NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)95
0.8%
107
99.2%
Q4 - 5:01Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton makes two point driving reverse layup (Anfernee Simons assists)95
1.6%
105
98.4%
Q4 - 5:19NuggetsPeyton Watson makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)93
1.2%
105
98.8%
Q4 - 5:45Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Scoot Henderson assists)93
2.1%
102
97.9%
Q4 - 5:50Trail BlazersScoot Henderson defensive rebound91
1.6%
102
98.4%
Q4 - 5:53NuggetsDeandre Ayton blocks Nikola Jokic's two point cutting layup91
1.4%
102
98.6%
Q4 - 6:09Trail BlazersScoot Henderson turnover (offensive foul)91
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 6:09Trail BlazersScoot Henderson offensive foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)91
2.1%
102
97.9%
Q4 - 6:13Trail BlazersScoot Henderson defensive rebound91
2.1%
102
97.9%
Q4 - 6:15NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup jump shot91
1.9%
102
98.1%
Q4 - 6:29NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound91
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 6:34Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses two point driving floating bank jump shot91
1.7%
102
98.3%
Q4 - 6:47NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point tip dunk91
2.1%
102
97.9%
Q4 - 6:47NuggetsPeyton Watson offensive rebound91
2.6%
100
97.4%
Q4 - 6:53NuggetsReggie Jackson misses three point pullup jump shot91
3.3%
100
96.7%
Q4 - 7:21Trail BlazersScoot Henderson makes three point jump shot (Anfernee Simons assists)91
3.0%
100
97.0%
Q4 - 7:38Trail BlazersTrail Blazers defensive rebound88
1.9%
100
98.1%
Q4 - 7:38NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot88
1.7%
100
98.3%
Q4 - 7:42NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound88
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 7:47Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses three point jump shot88
1.5%
100
98.5%
Q4 - 7:58NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point tip layup88
1.9%
100
98.1%
Q4 - 7:58NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound88
2.3%
98
97.7%
Q4 - 8:00NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point driving finger roll layup88
2.9%
98
97.1%
Q4 - 8:15Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes regular free throw 2 of 288
2.7%
98
97.3%
Q4 - 8:15Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes regular free throw 1 of 287
2.6%
98
97.4%
Q4 - 8:15NuggetsPeyton Watson shooting foul (Anfernee Simons draws the foul)86
2.6%
98
97.4%
Q4 - 8:21Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons defensive rebound86
2.2%
98
97.8%
Q4 - 8:22NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot86
2.0%
98
98.0%
Q4 - 8:35NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound86
1.7%
98
98.3%
Q4 - 8:37Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton misses two point pullup jump shot86
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 8:50NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point turnaround jump shot86
2.1%
98
97.9%
Q4 - 8:50NuggetsPeyton Watson offensive rebound86
2.7%
96
97.3%
Q4 - 8:58NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot86
3.2%
96
96.8%
Q4 - 9:18Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons turnover (bad pass) (Christian Braun steals)86
2.9%
96
97.1%
Q4 - 9:30NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot86
3.8%
96
96.2%
Q4 - 9:41NuggetsReggie Jackson defensive rebound86
4.6%
94
95.4%
Q4 - 9:45Trail BlazersJabari Walker misses three point jump shot86
4.9%
94
95.1%
Q4 - 10:10NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point pullup jump shot86
6.5%
94
93.5%
Q4 - 10:18Trail BlazersDuop Reath turnover (offensive foul)86
9.4%
91
90.6%
Q4 - 10:18Trail BlazersDuop Reath offensive foul (Charge) (Christian Braun draws the foul)86
11.7%
91
88.3%
Q4 - 10:21Trail BlazersKris Murray defensive rebound86
11.7%
91
88.3%
Q4 - 10:25NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point driving layup86
10.9%
91
89.1%
Q4 - 10:44Trail BlazersKris Murray makes two point layup (Scoot Henderson assists)86
9.3%
91
90.7%
Q4 - 10:59NuggetsPeyton Watson makes three point pullup jump shot84
7.8%
91
92.2%
Q4 - 11:07NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound84
11.9%
88
88.1%
Q4 - 11:09Trail BlazersKris Murray misses three point stepback jump shot84
12.6%
88
87.4%
Q4 - 11:32NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 284
14.2%
88
85.8%
Q4 - 11:32NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 284
15.0%
87
85.0%
Q4 - 11:32Trail BlazersScoot Henderson shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)84
16.0%
86
84.0%
Q4 - 11:39NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound84
16.9%
86
83.1%
Q4 - 11:42Trail BlazersKris Murray misses three point jump shot84
17.9%
86
82.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.84
20.1%
86
79.9%
Q3 - 0:00.4NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound84
16.8%
86
83.2%
Q3 - 0:00.4NuggetsReggie Jackson misses three point floating jump shot84
18.7%
86
81.3%
Q3 - 0:00.5Trail BlazersJabari Walker turnover (lost ball) (Reggie Jackson steals)84
16.8%
86
83.2%
Q3 - 0:05.2NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jamal Murray assists)84
19.6%
86
80.4%
Q3 - 0:22.4NuggetsReggie Jackson defensive rebound84
23.0%
84
77.0%
Q3 - 0:24.8Trail BlazersScoot Henderson misses two point driving layup84
24.1%
84
75.9%
Q3 - 0:27.7Trail BlazersJustin Minaya offensive rebound84
26.6%
84
73.4%
Q3 - 0:31.6Trail BlazersJabari Walker misses three point jump shot84
24.1%
84
75.9%
Q3 - 0:41.9NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point running layup (Jamal Murray assists)84
26.6%
84
73.4%
Q3 - 0:45.3NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound84
30.7%
82
69.3%
Q3 - 0:48.4Trail BlazersJabari Walker misses three point jump shot84
32.0%
82
68.0%
Q3 - 1:12NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)84
33.6%
82
66.4%
Q3 - 1:19NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound84
42.1%
79
57.9%
Q3 - 1:21Trail BlazersScoot Henderson misses two point pullup jump shot84
43.5%
79
56.5%
Q3 - 1:32Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons defensive rebound84
46.9%
79
53.1%
Q3 - 1:35NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot84
45.5%
79
54.5%
Q3 - 1:51NuggetsReggie Jackson defensive rebound84
42.2%
79
57.8%
Q3 - 1:53Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses two point driving finger roll layup84
43.6%
79
56.4%
Q3 - 1:59Trail BlazersJabari Walker offensive rebound84
47.0%
79
53.0%
Q3 - 2:00Trail BlazersScoot Henderson misses two point running layup84
43.7%
79
56.3%
Q3 - 2:01Trail BlazersScoot Henderson defensive rebound84
44.6%
79
55.4%
Q3 - 2:05NuggetsKris Murray blocks Christian Braun's two point jump shot84
43.3%
79
56.7%
Q3 - 2:05NuggetsChristian Braun offensive rebound84
40.1%
79
59.9%
Q3 - 2:07NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point floating jump shot84
43.3%
79
56.7%
Q3 - 2:22Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons turnover (out of bounds step)84
40.2%
79
59.8%
Q3 - 2:31NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)84
44.8%
79
55.2%
Q3 - 2:39Trail BlazersScoot Henderson turnover (bad pass) (Peyton Watson steals)84
53.2%
76
46.8%
Q3 - 2:47Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons defensive rebound84
57.9%
76
42.1%
Q3 - 2:50NuggetsChristian Braun misses two point running layup84
56.5%
76
43.5%
Q3 - 2:56NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound84
53.3%
76
46.7%
Q3 - 2:59Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses three point pullup jump shot84
54.7%
76
45.3%
Q3 - 3:19Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton defensive rebound84
56.4%
76
43.6%
Q3 - 3:21NuggetsChristian Braun misses regular free throw 2 of 284
55.8%
76
44.2%
Q3 - 3:21NuggetsChristian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 284
53.3%
76
46.7%
Q3 - 3:21Trail BlazersToumani Camara shooting foul (Christian Braun draws the foul)84
54.5%
75
45.5%
Q3 - 3:35NuggetsReggie Jackson defensive rebound84
55.7%
75
44.3%
Q3 - 3:39Trail BlazersScoot Henderson misses three point jump shot84
57.2%
75
42.8%
Q3 - 3:51NuggetsPeyton Watson turnover (bad pass) (Matisse Thybulle steals)84
60.5%
75
39.5%
Q3 - 3:53NuggetsPeyton Watson offensive rebound84
55.8%
75
44.2%
Q3 - 3:57NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot84
59.1%
75
40.9%
Q3 - 4:14NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound84
53.3%
75
46.7%
Q3 - 4:17Trail BlazersMatisse Thybulle misses regular free throw 2 of 284
53.9%
75
46.1%
Q3 - 4:17Trail BlazersMatisse Thybulle makes regular free throw 1 of 284
56.4%
75
43.6%
Q3 - 4:17NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Matisse Thybulle draws the foul)83
55.3%
75
44.7%
Q3 - 4:19NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Matisse Thybulle steals)83
53.8%
75
46.2%
Q3 - 4:33Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes two point driving floating jump shot83
49.4%
75
50.6%
Q3 - 4:52Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes technical free throw 1 of 181
46.0%
75
54.0%
Q3 - 4:52NuggetsAaron Gordon technical foul80
45.0%
75
55.0%
Q3 - 4:52NuggetsReggie Jackson personal foul (Take) (Scoot Henderson draws the foul)80
42.0%
75
58.0%
Q3 - 4:55Trail BlazersToumani Camara defensive rebound80
42.0%
75
58.0%
Q3 - 4:55NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point driving layup80
40.7%
75
59.3%
Q3 - 5:04Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton makes two point jump shot80
36.4%
75
63.6%
Q3 - 5:04Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton offensive rebound78
33.2%
75
66.8%
Q3 - 5:09Trail BlazersScoot Henderson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot78
30.7%
75
69.3%
Q3 - 5:34Trail BlazersScoot Henderson defensive rebound78
33.3%
75
66.7%
Q3 - 5:34NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot78
32.1%
75
67.9%
Q3 - 5:48Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton makes two point driving dunk (Anfernee Simons assists)78
29.7%
75
70.3%
Q3 - 6:01NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)76
26.1%
75
73.9%
Q3 - 6:18Trail BlazersJabari Walker makes two point driving reverse layup (Anfernee Simons assists)76
28.7%
73
71.3%
Q3 - 6:34NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving floating jump shot (Michael Porter Jr. assists)74
26.2%
73
73.8%
Q3 - 6:44Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes two point running layup74
28.8%
71
71.2%
Q3 - 6:50NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Anfernee Simons steals)72
26.2%
71
73.8%
Q3 - 7:10Trail BlazersKris Murray turnover (out of bounds bad pass)72
22.7%
71
77.3%
Q3 - 7:25NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Jamal Murray assists)72
25.8%
71
74.2%
Q3 - 7:25NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound72
28.1%
69
71.9%
Q3 - 7:28Trail BlazersMichael Porter Jr. blocks Matisse Thybulle's three point jump shot72
29.2%
69
70.8%
Q3 - 7:29Trail BlazersJabari Walker offensive rebound72
31.6%
69
68.4%
Q3 - 7:34Trail BlazersMichael Porter Jr. blocks Jabari Walker's two point driving layup72
29.2%
69
70.8%
Q3 - 7:54NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 272
31.7%
69
68.3%
Q3 - 7:54NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 272
32.2%
68
67.8%
Q3 - 7:54Trail BlazersJabari Walker shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)72
32.9%
67
67.1%
Q3 - 7:55NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound72
34.3%
67
65.7%
Q3 - 7:59Trail BlazersJamal Murray blocks Anfernee Simons's two point running layup72
35.5%
67
64.5%
Q3 - 8:00Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton defensive rebound72
38.2%
67
61.8%
Q3 - 8:06NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot72
35.7%
67
64.3%
Q3 - 8:25NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound72
33.1%
67
66.9%
Q3 - 8:26Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses three point pullup jump shot72
34.2%
67
65.8%
Q3 - 8:32Trail BlazersJabari Walker defensive rebound72
36.9%
67
63.1%
Q3 - 8:34NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point cutting layup72
35.8%
67
64.2%
Q3 - 8:51Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton makes regular free throw 1 of 172
33.2%
67
66.8%
Q3 - 8:51NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Deandre Ayton draws the foul)71
32.5%
67
67.5%
Q3 - 9:00NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (out of bounds bad pass)69
27.8%
67
72.2%
Q3 - 9:09Trail BlazersKris Murray makes two point driving layup (Deandre Ayton assists)69
23.9%
67
76.1%
Q3 - 9:18Trail BlazersKris Murray defensive rebound67
21.9%
67
78.1%
Q3 - 9:24NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot67
21.1%
67
78.9%
Q3 - 9:30NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound67
19.3%
67
80.7%
Q3 - 9:33Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses two point driving finger roll layup67
20.1%
67
79.9%
Q3 - 9:40NuggetsAaron Gordon personal foul (Jabari Walker draws the foul)67
21.9%
67
78.1%
Q3 - 9:53NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point running dunk67
21.9%
67
78.1%
Q3 - 9:57Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)67
23.9%
65
76.1%
Q3 - 10:17NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot67
26.3%
65
73.7%
Q3 - 10:31Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton makes two point pullup jump shot67
28.3%
63
71.7%
Q3 - 10:54NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jokic assists)65
26.3%
63
73.7%
Q3 - 11:00Trail BlazersMatisse Thybulle personal foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)65
28.4%
61
71.6%
Q3 - 11:03NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes technical free throw 1 of 165
27.6%
61
72.4%
Q3 - 11:03Deandre Ayton technical foul (Defensive three second)65
28.2%
60
71.8%
Q3 - 11:26Trail BlazersJabari Walker makes two point layup (Matisse Thybulle assists)65
30.3%
60
69.7%
Q3 - 11:38NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Matisse Thybulle steals)63
27.8%
60
72.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.63
25.2%
60
74.8%
Q2 - 0:00.1Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons turnover (out of bounds bad pass)63
24.5%
60
75.5%
Q2 - 0:04.9NuggetsAaron Gordon personal foul (Matisse Thybulle draws the foul)63
26.5%
60
73.5%
Q2 - 0:23.4NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 263
26.6%
60
73.4%
Q2 - 0:23.4NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 263
27.4%
59
72.6%
Q2 - 0:23.4Trail BlazersDuop Reath shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)63
28.2%
58
71.8%
Q2 - 0:30.1NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound63
29.5%
58
70.5%
Q2 - 0:32.5Trail BlazersScoot Henderson misses three point pullup jump shot63
30.2%
58
69.8%
Q2 - 0:48.6NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point dunk (Jamal Murray assists)63
31.8%
58
68.2%
Q2 - 1:00Trail BlazersMatisse Thybulle makes two point driving finger roll layup (Scoot Henderson assists)63
35.0%
56
65.0%
Q2 - 1:21NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)61
31.1%
56
68.9%
Q2 - 1:40Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes three point running jump shot (Scoot Henderson assists)61
34.3%
54
65.7%
Q2 - 1:44Trail BlazersDuop Reath defensive rebound58
28.6%
54
71.4%
Q2 - 1:48NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot58
28.0%
54
72.0%
Q2 - 2:09Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton makes two point jump shot (Duop Reath assists)58
25.5%
54
74.5%
Q2 - 2:25NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)56
23.6%
54
76.4%
Q2 - 2:36Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton makes two point turnaround hook shot (Scoot Henderson assists)56
27.9%
51
72.1%
Q2 - 2:47NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 2 of 254
25.8%
51
74.2%
Q2 - 2:47NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 254
26.0%
50
74.0%
Q2 - 2:47Trail BlazersKris Murray shooting foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)54
26.3%
49
73.7%
Q2 - 3:01Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)54
26.9%
49
73.1%
Q2 - 3:04NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point tip layup54
29.6%
49
70.4%
Q2 - 3:04NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound54
31.5%
47
68.5%
Q2 - 3:11NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point floating jump shot54
33.6%
47
66.4%
Q2 - 3:33Trail BlazersDuop Reath makes two point reverse layup (Matisse Thybulle assists)54
31.6%
47
68.4%
Q2 - 3:53NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 152
29.7%
47
70.3%
Q2 - 3:53Trail BlazersKris Murray shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)52
30.0%
46
70.0%
Q2 - 4:13Trail BlazersToumani Camara makes three point jump shot (Anfernee Simons assists)52
32.9%
44
67.1%
Q2 - 4:29Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons defensive rebound49
28.6%
44
71.4%
Q2 - 4:33NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point running jump shot49
27.8%
44
72.2%
Q2 - 4:34NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound49
26.1%
44
73.9%
Q2 - 4:37Trail BlazersMatisse Thybulle misses two point cutting finger roll layup49
26.9%
44
73.1%
Q2 - 4:51NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)49
28.6%
44
71.4%
Q2 - 4:58Trail BlazersToumani Camara personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)49
30.6%
42
69.4%
Q2 - 5:07Trail BlazersMatisse Thybulle makes three point jump shot (Scoot Henderson assists)49
29.6%
42
70.4%
Q2 - 5:22NuggetsReggie Jackson makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)46
25.8%
42
74.2%
Q2 - 5:36NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound46
29.6%
39
70.4%
Q2 - 5:42Trail BlazersToumani Camara misses three point jump shot46
30.5%
39
69.5%
Q2 - 5:50Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons defensive rebound46
32.5%
39
67.5%
Q2 - 5:53NuggetsChristian Braun misses two point driving floating jump shot46
31.7%
39
68.3%
Q2 - 6:18Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes two point driving floating jump shot46
29.0%
39
71.0%
Q2 - 6:42NuggetsChristian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 144
27.4%
39
72.6%
Q2 - 6:42Trail BlazersScoot Henderson shooting foul (Christian Braun draws the foul)44
27.9%
38
72.1%
Q2 - 6:42NuggetsChristian Braun offensive rebound44
31.2%
36
68.8%
Q2 - 6:43NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot44
33.2%
36
66.8%
Q2 - 6:48NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound44
31.3%
36
68.7%
Q2 - 6:52Trail BlazersScoot Henderson misses three point jump shot44
32.1%
36
67.9%
Q2 - 7:09Trail BlazersJabari Walker defensive rebound44
33.2%
36
66.8%
Q2 - 7:11NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot44
32.5%
36
67.5%
Q2 - 7:17NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound44
30.8%
36
69.2%
Q2 - 7:20Trail BlazersJamal Murray blocks Anfernee Simons's two point pullup jump shot44
31.5%
36
68.5%
Q2 - 7:46NuggetsDeAndre Jordan makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jamal Murray assists)44
33.3%
36
66.7%
Q2 - 7:54NuggetsDeAndre Jordan defensive rebound44
35.4%
34
64.6%
Q2 - 7:57Trail BlazersJabari Walker misses three point jump shot44
36.2%
34
63.8%
Q2 - 8:14NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot44
37.5%
34
62.5%
Q2 - 8:16NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound44
39.7%
32
60.3%
Q2 - 8:18NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot44
41.6%
32
58.4%
Q2 - 8:29Trail BlazersToumani Camara personal foul (DeAndre Jordan draws the foul)44
39.7%
32
60.3%
Q2 - 8:34NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound44
39.7%
32
60.3%
Q2 - 8:39Trail BlazersScoot Henderson misses two point stepback jump shot44
40.5%
32
59.5%
Q2 - 9:02NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)44
41.8%
32
58.2%
Q2 - 9:13Trail BlazersScoot Henderson makes regular free throw 2 of 244
44.2%
30
55.8%
Q2 - 9:13Trail BlazersScoot Henderson makes regular free throw 1 of 243
43.8%
30
56.2%
Q2 - 9:13NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Scoot Henderson draws the foul)42
43.3%
30
56.7%
Q2 - 9:16Trail BlazersJabari Walker defensive rebound42
41.8%
30
58.2%
Q2 - 9:20NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot42
41.0%
30
59.0%
Q2 - 9:45Trail BlazersDuop Reath makes three point jump shot (Scoot Henderson assists)42
39.3%
30
60.7%
Q2 - 9:52Trail BlazersToumani Camara defensive rebound39
34.7%
30
65.3%
Q2 - 9:54NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot39
34.0%
30
66.0%
Q2 - 10:09Trail BlazersToumani Camara makes two point pullup jump shot (Justin Minaya assists)39
31.8%
30
68.2%
Q2 - 10:39NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point running dunk37
29.9%
30
70.1%
Q2 - 10:43Trail BlazersScoot Henderson turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)37
31.9%
28
68.1%
Q2 - 10:55NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 237
34.2%
28
65.8%
Q2 - 10:55NuggetsJamal Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 237
34.4%
27
65.6%
Q2 - 10:55Trail BlazersDuop Reath shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)37
32.5%
27
67.5%
Q2 - 11:12NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound37
32.9%
27
67.1%
Q2 - 11:12Trail BlazersJustin Minaya misses two point tip layup37
33.5%
27
66.5%
Q2 - 11:12Trail BlazersJustin Minaya offensive rebound37
35.1%
27
64.9%
Q2 - 11:15Trail BlazersToumani Camara misses two point jump shot37
33.6%
27
66.4%
Q2 - 11:41NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point stepback jump shot37
35.2%
27
64.8%
Q2 - 11:42NuggetsJamal Murray offensive rebound37
37.4%
25
62.6%
Q2 - 11:46NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot37
39.0%
25
61.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.37
37.4%
25
62.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound37
36.1%
25
63.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0NuggetsReggie Jackson misses three point stepback jump shot37
37.6%
25
62.4%
Q1 - 0:17.2Trail BlazersDuop Reath makes three point jump shot (Scoot Henderson assists)37
36.1%
25
63.9%
Q1 - 0:26.5NuggetsDeAndre Jordan makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jamal Murray assists)34
31.9%
25
68.1%
Q1 - 0:44.6Trail BlazersScoot Henderson makes regular free throw 2 of 234
34.0%
23
66.0%
Q1 - 0:44.6Trail BlazersScoot Henderson makes regular free throw 1 of 233
33.7%
23
66.3%
Q1 - 0:44.6NuggetsDeAndre Jordan shooting foul (Scoot Henderson draws the foul)32
33.3%
23
66.7%
Q1 - 0:44.6Trail BlazersJabari Walker offensive rebound32
31.9%
23
68.1%
Q1 - 0:50.0Trail BlazersJabari Walker misses three point jump shot32
30.5%
23
69.5%
Q1 - 1:10NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot32
31.4%
23
68.6%
Q1 - 1:25Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton makes two point tip layup32
35.7%
20
64.3%
Q1 - 1:25Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton offensive rebound30
33.5%
20
66.5%
Q1 - 1:33Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton misses two point running layup30
32.1%
20
67.9%
Q1 - 1:38Trail BlazersToumani Camara defensive rebound30
33.5%
20
66.5%
Q1 - 1:42NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point stepback jump shot30
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q1 - 1:58NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound30
31.6%
20
68.4%
Q1 - 2:05Trail BlazersPeyton Watson blocks Deandre Ayton's two point alley-oop dunk30
31.3%
20
68.7%
Q1 - 2:15Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton defensive rebound30
32.9%
20
67.1%
Q1 - 2:18NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point finger roll layup30
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q1 - 2:37Trail BlazersScoot Henderson makes three point running jump shot (Anfernee Simons assists)30
30.7%
20
69.3%
Q1 - 2:43Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons defensive rebound27
27.2%
20
72.8%
Q1 - 2:47NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point fadeaway jump shot27
26.6%
20
73.4%
Q1 - 3:03Trail BlazersToumani Camara makes three point jump shot (Scoot Henderson assists)27
24.8%
20
75.2%
Q1 - 3:15NuggetsReggie Jackson personal foul (Loose ball) (Toumani Camara draws the foul)24
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 3:15Trail BlazersTrail Blazers offensive rebound24
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 3:16Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton misses two point jump shot24
20.7%
20
79.3%
Q1 - 3:31NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 224
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 3:31NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 224
22.2%
19
77.8%
Q1 - 3:31Trail BlazersScoot Henderson shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)24
21.0%
19
79.0%
Q1 - 3:44Trail BlazersToumani Camara personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)24
21.6%
19
78.4%
Q1 - 3:44NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound24
21.6%
19
78.4%
Q1 - 3:44Trail BlazersScoot Henderson misses two point jump shot24
22.2%
19
77.8%
Q1 - 3:51Trail BlazersScoot Henderson offensive rebound24
23.6%
19
76.4%
Q1 - 3:51Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton misses two point turnaround hook shot24
22.2%
19
77.8%
Q1 - 3:52Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton offensive rebound24
23.6%
19
76.4%
Q1 - 3:54Trail BlazersScoot Henderson misses two point driving layup24
22.2%
19
77.8%
Q1 - 4:04Trail BlazersToumani Camara offensive rebound24
22.7%
19
77.3%
Q1 - 4:07Trail BlazersMatisse Thybulle misses three point stepback jump shot24
21.5%
19
78.5%
Q1 - 4:17NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 224
22.7%
19
77.3%
Q1 - 4:17NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 224
23.0%
18
77.0%
Q1 - 4:17Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)24
23.2%
17
76.8%
Q1 - 4:24Trail BlazersScoot Henderson makes regular free throw 2 of 224
24.0%
17
76.0%
Q1 - 4:24Trail BlazersScoot Henderson makes regular free throw 1 of 223
23.8%
17
76.2%
Q1 - 4:24NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Scoot Henderson draws the foul)22
23.5%
17
76.5%
Q1 - 4:37NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (out of bounds step)22
22.8%
17
77.2%
Q1 - 4:37NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound22
21.1%
17
78.9%
Q1 - 4:38NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point jump shot22
22.3%
17
77.7%
Q1 - 4:40NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound22
21.1%
17
78.9%
Q1 - 4:43NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point stepback jump shot22
22.3%
17
77.7%
Q1 - 5:00Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes three point jump shot (Deandre Ayton assists)22
21.1%
17
78.9%
Q1 - 5:19NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point driving dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)19
18.2%
17
81.8%
Q1 - 5:26NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound19
19.3%
15
80.7%
Q1 - 5:29NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot19
20.3%
15
79.7%
Q1 - 5:37Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton makes two point turnaround jump shot (Matisse Thybulle assists)19
19.3%
15
80.7%
Q1 - 5:48Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes technical free throw 1 of 117
18.2%
15
81.8%
Q1 - 5:48Michael Porter Jr. technical foul (Defensive three second)16
17.9%
15
82.1%
Q1 - 6:02NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running layup (Jamal Murray assists)16
16.7%
15
83.3%
Q1 - 6:03NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound16
17.8%
13
82.2%
Q1 - 6:07Trail BlazersMichael Porter Jr. blocks Kris Murray's two point driving reverse layup16
18.2%
13
81.8%
Q1 - 6:23Trail BlazersTrail Blazers defensive rebound16
19.1%
13
80.9%
Q1 - 6:24NuggetsDeandre Ayton blocks Jamal Murray's two point driving finger roll layup16
18.7%
13
81.3%
Q1 - 6:36NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound16
17.8%
13
82.2%
Q1 - 6:39Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses three point pullup jump shot16
18.2%
13
81.8%
Q1 - 7:00NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point running pullup jump shot16
19.1%
13
80.9%
Q1 - 7:05Trail BlazersKris Murray turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)16
21.0%
10
79.0%
Q1 - 7:25NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jamal Murray assists)16
22.6%
10
77.4%
Q1 - 7:31NuggetsJamal Murray offensive rebound16
23.8%
8
76.2%
Q1 - 7:36NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point layup16
24.9%
8
75.1%
Q1 - 7:49Trail BlazersKris Murray makes two point cutting layup (Deandre Ayton assists)16
23.8%
8
76.2%
Q1 - 8:11NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Michael Porter Jr. assists)14
22.0%
8
78.0%
Q1 - 8:33Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton makes two point driving layup (Anfernee Simons assists)14
24.5%
5
75.5%
Q1 - 8:42Trail BlazersJabari Walker defensive rebound12
23.4%
5
76.6%
Q1 - 8:45NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup jump shot12
22.9%
5
77.1%
Q1 - 9:01Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton makes two point turnaround jump shot12
21.7%
5
78.3%
Q1 - 9:11Trail BlazersMatisse Thybulle defensive rebound10
20.6%
5
79.4%
Q1 - 9:13NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point stepback jump shot10
20.2%
5
79.8%
Q1 - 9:26Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton makes two point turnaround hook shot (Anfernee Simons assists)10
19.2%
5
80.8%
Q1 - 9:34Trail BlazersDeandre Ayton defensive rebound8
18.2%
5
81.8%
Q1 - 9:34NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot8
17.8%
5
82.2%
Q1 - 9:35NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound8
17.0%
5
83.0%
Q1 - 9:37NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving layup8
17.8%
5
82.2%
Q1 - 10:03Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes three point pullup jump shot (Kris Murray assists)8
16.6%
5
83.4%
Q1 - 10:18NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)5
14.8%
5
85.2%
Q1 - 10:26NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound5
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 10:29Trail BlazersMatisse Thybulle misses three point jump shot5
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 10:57NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Michael Porter Jr. assists)5
17.8%
2
82.2%
Q1 - 11:11Trail BlazersKris Murray makes two point running layup5
17.9%
0
82.1%
Q1 - 11:17NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Kris Murray steals)3
17.1%
0
82.9%
Q1 - 11:38Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes three point jump shot (Kris Murray assists)3
16.0%
0
84.0%
Q1 - 12:00Deandre Ayton vs. Nikola Jokic (Anfernee Simons gains possession)0
14.4%
0
85.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR
1.12 56.0%
DEN
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
POR
19
33
58%
DEN
19
28
68%
Midrange
POR
9
21
43%
DEN
11
30
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
POR
11
16.5
31
35%
53%
DEN
12
18.0
28
43%
64%
Free Throws
POR
14
15
93%
DEN
16
19
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
POR logo Blazers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Ayton2771%13.5 / 19
A. Simons2665%13.0 / 20
S. Henderson1437%7.0 / 19
T. Camara1083%5.0 / 6
K. Murray857%4.0 / 7
D. Reath8133%4.0 / 3
M. Thybulle638%3.0 / 8
J. Walker425%2.0 / 8
J. Minaya0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2966%14.5 / 22
J. Murray2162%10.5 / 17
A. Gordon1260%6.0 / 10
M. Porter1255%6.0 / 11
P. Watson12100%6.0 / 6
K. Caldwell-Pope1155%5.5 / 10
R. Jackson732%3.5 / 11
C. Braun440%2.0 / 5
D. Jordan4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

POR
76
+16
-13
92
DEN
82
+16
-8
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR
1.12 56.0%
DEN
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.8
118.1
POR 115.7
DEN 124.4 +8.7
Pace
97.7
97.1
POR 89.9 +0.7
DEN 89.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.1
POR 16.0 +0.1
DEN 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.3%
56.2%
POR 52.4%
DEN 55.8% +3.4%
TO %
14.6%
12.1%
POR 12.4%
DEN 8.7% +3.7%
ORB %
27.5%
25.5%
POR 34.9% +0.8%
DEN 34.1%
FTrt
22.8
22.4
POR 17.6
DEN 22.1 +4.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.7%
66.9%
POR 74.4% +12.5%
DEN 61.9%
STL %
7.8%
7.4%
POR 6.7%
DEN 8.9% +2.2%
BLK %
8.1%
9.8%
POR 5.2%
DEN 11.1% +5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
57.5%
POR 56.0%
DEN 57.1% +1.1%
Rim FG%
57.6%
62.7%
POR 57.6%
DEN 67.9% +10.3%
Mid FG%
38.8%
47.6%
POR 42.9% +6.2%
DEN 36.7%
3P %
34.5%
37.4%
POR 35.5%
DEN 42.9% +7.4%
FT %
79.1%
76.2%
POR 93.3% +9.1%
DEN 84.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
37.0%
POR 38.8% +6.3%
DEN 32.6%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
27.9%
POR 24.7% +10.2%
DEN 34.9%
3P Att. %
37.0%
35.2%
POR 36.5% +3.9%
DEN 32.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.
Game TotalsPORDEN
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points103112
Rebounds4242
Assists2926
Steals68
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)8 (1)
Fouls1611
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (1)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)28 (3)
Field Goals39-8542-86
At-the-Rim FG19-3319-28
Midrange FG9-2111-30
2-Point FG28-5430-58
3-Point FG11-3112-28
Free Throws14-1516-19
Fast Break Pts1715
2nd Chance Pts1319
Points in Paint5046
Pts off Turnovers1417
Bench Points3227
Biggest Lead1415

BOXSCORE

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29 Portland Trail Blazers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Anfernee Simons
#1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25
38.7
26
65%
6
9
1
0
4
0
0
6
6-6
100%
4-10
40%
4-8
50%
Deandre Ayton
#2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26
38.5
27
71%
9
4
1
2
1
1
4
5
1-1
100%
13-19
68%
0-0
-
Matisse Thybulle
#4 · SG · 6'5" 201 · 27
33.9
6
38%
1
3
3
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
Jabari Walker
#34 · PF · 6'7" 237 · 22
29.5
4
25%
7
0
0
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-5
0%
Kris Murray
#8 · SF · 6'8" 216 · 23
19.6
8
57%
2
2
1
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
Scoot Henderson
#00 · PG · 6'3" 206 · 20
33.4
14
37%
8
9
0
0
3
4
4
4
6-6
100%
1-10
10%
2-6
33%
Toumani Camara
#33 · PF · 6'7" 229 · 24
22.5
10
83%
6
0
0
0
1
4
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
Duop Reath
#26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28
13.3
8
133%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
Justin Minaya
#24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25
10.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Jerami Grant
#9 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30
DND - Injury/Illness | Lower Back; Tightness
Moses Brown
#10 · C · 7'1" 245 · 24
DNP – Injury/Illness | Left Wrist; Fracture
Ibou Badji
#41 · C · 7'1" 240 · 21
Rayan Rupert
#72 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 20
Malcolm Brogdon
#11 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Contusion
Shaedon Sharpe
#17 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lower Abdominal; Strain
Robert Williams III
#35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Ligament Tear
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
56%
42
29
6
3
13
16
15
27
14-15
93%
28-54
52%
11-31
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.