FinalWin Prob.pScore
1149%114
106
1551%115
115
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
109.39798.6
MIA logo MIA
118.69795.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.106
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:10.9HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)106
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.1KingsHarrison Barnes makes two point running dunk (Domantas Sabonis assists)106
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.9KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound104
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.9HeatCaleb Martin misses two point layup104
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0KingsHarrison Barnes makes two point layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)104
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving dunk102
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound102
0.2%
113
99.8%
Q4 - 1:17KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses two point driving finger roll layup102
0.2%
113
99.8%
Q4 - 1:28HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
0.5%
113
99.5%
Q4 - 1:28HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 1:28KingsKevin Huerter personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)102
0.6%
111
99.4%
Q4 - 1:40KingsKeegan Murray makes three point running pullup jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)102
1.0%
111
99.0%
Q4 - 1:46KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound99
0.4%
111
99.6%
Q4 - 1:49HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot99
0.4%
111
99.6%
Q4 - 2:12KingsKeegan Murray makes three point jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)99
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 2:29HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound96
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 2:41HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot96
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 2:45KingsDe'Aaron Fox turnover (lost ball) (Terry Rozier steals)96
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 2:51HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)96
0.8%
108
99.2%
Q4 - 3:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound96
1.1%
106
98.9%
Q4 - 3:08KingsHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot96
1.2%
106
98.8%
Q4 - 3:18HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)96
1.7%
106
98.3%
Q4 - 3:19HeatHeat offensive rebound96
1.0%
106
99.0%
Q4 - 3:20HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot96
1.5%
106
98.5%
Q4 - 3:31HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound96
2.4%
106
97.6%
Q4 - 3:33HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot96
3.0%
106
97.0%
Q4 - 3:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound96
2.2%
106
97.8%
Q4 - 3:51KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 2 of 296
2.3%
106
97.7%
Q4 - 3:51KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 296
2.9%
106
97.1%
Q4 - 3:51HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)95
2.6%
106
97.4%
Q4 - 3:56KingsDe'Aaron Fox defensive rebound95
2.2%
106
97.8%
Q4 - 3:59HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot95
2.0%
106
98.0%
Q4 - 4:14KingsDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 2 of 295
1.5%
106
98.5%
Q4 - 4:14KingsDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 294
1.3%
106
98.7%
Q4 - 4:14HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)93
1.2%
106
98.8%
Q4 - 4:28HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)93
1.1%
106
98.9%
Q4 - 4:40HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound93
2.0%
103
98.0%
Q4 - 4:43KingsKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot93
2.3%
103
97.7%
Q4 - 5:04HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 293
4.6%
103
95.4%
Q4 - 5:04HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 293
4.8%
102
95.2%
Q4 - 5:04KingsKeegan Murray shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)93
5.0%
101
95.0%
Q4 - 5:05HeatKevin Love defensive rebound93
6.0%
101
94.0%
Q4 - 5:08KingsKeegan Murray misses three point jump shot93
6.6%
101
93.4%
Q4 - 5:20HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot93
8.2%
101
91.8%
Q4 - 5:41KingsDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 193
10.5%
99
89.5%
Q4 - 5:41HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Loose ball) (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)92
9.8%
99
90.2%
Q4 - 5:43KingsDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound90
6.0%
99
94.0%
Q4 - 5:43KingsHarrison Barnes misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot90
4.8%
99
95.2%
Q4 - 6:01KingsHarrison Barnes defensive rebound90
8.1%
99
91.9%
Q4 - 6:01HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot90
7.4%
99
92.6%
Q4 - 6:23KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes two point pullup jump shot90
5.8%
99
94.2%
Q4 - 6:35HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)88
4.7%
99
95.3%
Q4 - 6:48KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound88
4.6%
99
95.4%
Q4 - 6:51HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 288
4.4%
99
95.6%
Q4 - 6:51HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 288
3.6%
99
96.4%
Q4 - 6:51KingsKeegan Murray shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)88
2.8%
99
97.2%
Q4 - 7:00HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound88
3.3%
99
96.7%
Q4 - 7:03KingsDomantas Sabonis misses two point jump shot88
4.9%
99
95.1%
Q4 - 7:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)88
6.0%
99
94.0%
Q4 - 7:33KingsDomantas Sabonis turnover (out of bounds lost ball)88
7.2%
97
92.8%
Q4 - 7:39KingsHarrison Barnes defensive rebound88
9.6%
97
90.4%
Q4 - 7:41HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot88
8.8%
97
91.2%
Q4 - 7:49KingsDe'Aaron Fox personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)88
7.1%
97
92.9%
Q4 - 7:51HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound88
7.1%
97
92.9%
Q4 - 7:56KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot88
7.8%
97
92.2%
Q4 - 8:13KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound88
10.6%
97
89.4%
Q4 - 8:15HeatJosh Richardson misses two point stepback jump shot88
9.8%
97
90.2%
Q4 - 8:41KingsTrey Lyles makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Huerter assists)88
8.3%
97
91.7%
Q4 - 8:46KingsTrey Lyles offensive rebound86
6.7%
97
93.3%
Q4 - 8:50KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot86
5.6%
97
94.4%
Q4 - 8:52KingsHarrison Barnes offensive rebound86
6.7%
97
93.3%
Q4 - 8:55KingsKevin Huerter misses three point pullup jump shot86
5.6%
97
94.4%
Q4 - 9:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)86
7.7%
97
92.3%
Q4 - 9:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound86
9.3%
95
90.7%
Q4 - 9:25KingsJaVale McGee misses two point driving hook shot86
9.9%
95
90.1%
Q4 - 9:44HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)86
11.7%
95
88.3%
Q4 - 9:48HeatHeat offensive rebound86
13.9%
93
86.1%
Q4 - 9:49HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot86
16.2%
93
83.8%
Q4 - 10:00KingsDe'Aaron Fox personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)86
13.9%
93
86.1%
Q4 - 10:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound86
15.3%
93
84.7%
Q4 - 10:10KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses two point driving layup86
16.3%
93
83.7%
Q4 - 10:25HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (JaVale McGee draws the foul)86
18.7%
93
81.3%
Q4 - 10:32KingsTrey Lyles offensive rebound86
18.7%
93
81.3%
Q4 - 10:35KingsJaVale McGee misses regular free throw 1 of 186
15.7%
93
84.3%
Q4 - 10:35HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (JaVale McGee draws the foul)86
17.3%
93
82.7%
Q4 - 10:36KingsJaVale McGee offensive rebound84
13.0%
93
87.0%
Q4 - 10:37KingsTrey Lyles misses two point cutting finger roll layup84
11.2%
93
88.8%
Q4 - 10:43HeatCaleb Martin turnover (traveling)84
13.0%
93
87.0%
Q4 - 10:49HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound84
10.4%
93
89.6%
Q4 - 10:53KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot84
11.1%
93
88.9%
Q4 - 11:08KingsHarrison Barnes offensive rebound84
13.9%
93
86.1%
Q4 - 11:08KingsJosh Richardson blocks Kevin Huerter's two point running finger roll layup84
12.3%
93
87.7%
Q4 - 11:11HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Huerter steals)84
13.9%
93
86.1%
Q4 - 11:17HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound84
11.6%
93
88.4%
Q4 - 11:19KingsHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot84
12.3%
93
87.7%
Q4 - 11:45HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 184
13.9%
93
86.1%
Q4 - 11:45KingsMalik Monk shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)84
14.4%
92
85.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.84
19.6%
90
80.4%
Q3 - 0:02.1KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes two point pullup jump shot84
21.0%
90
79.0%
Q3 - 0:16.0KingsTrey Lyles defensive rebound82
17.8%
90
82.2%
Q3 - 0:23.3HeatTyler Herro misses two point cutting layup82
16.9%
90
83.1%
Q3 - 0:38.2HeatKevin Love defensive rebound82
15.1%
90
84.9%
Q3 - 0:41.2KingsMalik Monk misses two point running layup82
15.9%
90
84.1%
Q3 - 0:46.9KingsTrey Lyles defensive rebound82
17.7%
90
82.3%
Q3 - 0:49.5HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot82
16.9%
90
83.1%
Q3 - 1:12KingsKeegan Murray makes two point driving dunk (Trey Lyles assists)82
16.3%
90
83.7%
Q3 - 1:20KingsKevin Huerter defensive rebound80
14.0%
90
86.0%
Q3 - 1:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point floating jump shot80
13.3%
90
86.7%
Q3 - 1:35KingsMalik Monk personal foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)80
11.8%
90
88.2%
Q3 - 1:46HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound80
11.8%
90
88.2%
Q3 - 1:46KingsMalik Monk misses three point pullup jump shot80
12.4%
90
87.6%
Q3 - 1:59HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)80
14.0%
90
86.0%
Q3 - 2:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound80
20.2%
87
79.8%
Q3 - 2:12KingsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot80
21.1%
87
78.9%
Q3 - 2:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)80
23.2%
87
76.8%
Q3 - 3:02KingsMalik Monk makes two point driving floating jump shot80
27.0%
85
73.0%
Q3 - 3:12HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)78
24.3%
85
75.7%
Q3 - 3:32KingsTrey Lyles makes three point jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)78
30.4%
82
69.6%
Q3 - 3:44KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound75
24.3%
82
75.7%
Q3 - 3:46HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot75
23.2%
82
76.8%
Q3 - 4:03HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound75
22.0%
82
78.0%
Q3 - 4:05KingsDavion Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot75
22.9%
82
77.1%
Q3 - 4:18HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)75
25.1%
82
74.9%
Q3 - 4:25HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point running finger roll layup (Terry Rozier assists)75
25.1%
82
74.9%
Q3 - 4:28HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound75
27.9%
80
72.1%
Q3 - 4:31KingsHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot75
29.0%
80
71.0%
Q3 - 4:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 275
31.6%
80
68.4%
Q3 - 4:47HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 275
32.0%
79
68.0%
Q3 - 4:47KingsHarrison Barnes shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)75
29.1%
79
70.9%
Q3 - 4:54HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound75
31.2%
79
68.8%
Q3 - 4:58KingsHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot75
32.4%
79
67.6%
Q3 - 5:22KingsKings defensive rebound75
35.7%
79
64.3%
Q3 - 5:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup75
34.5%
79
65.5%
Q3 - 5:22HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound75
31.9%
79
68.1%
Q3 - 5:25HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting layup75
34.5%
79
65.5%
Q3 - 5:35HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound75
31.9%
79
68.1%
Q3 - 5:38KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses two point pullup jump shot75
33.0%
79
67.0%
Q3 - 5:53HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)75
35.7%
79
64.3%
Q3 - 6:07KingsKevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)75
39.3%
77
60.7%
Q3 - 6:20HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Terry Rozier assists)72
32.9%
77
67.1%
Q3 - 6:26KingsHarrison Barnes turnover (lost ball) (Terry Rozier steals)72
35.8%
75
64.2%
Q3 - 6:48HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)72
39.7%
75
60.3%
Q3 - 7:00KingsKeegan Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 272
42.9%
73
57.1%
Q3 - 7:00KingsKeegan Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 271
42.2%
73
57.8%
Q3 - 7:00HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Keegan Murray draws the foul)70
41.4%
73
58.6%
Q3 - 7:09HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)70
40.1%
73
59.9%
Q3 - 7:28HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
46.6%
70
53.4%
Q3 - 7:28KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot70
47.8%
70
52.2%
Q3 - 7:38HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)70
50.8%
70
49.2%
Q3 - 7:49KingsDomantas Sabonis makes three point jump shot (Harrison Barnes assists)70
57.3%
67
42.7%
Q3 - 8:04KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound67
50.6%
67
49.4%
Q3 - 8:06HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot67
49.3%
67
50.7%
Q3 - 8:14KingsHarrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 267
46.4%
67
53.6%
Q3 - 8:14KingsHarrison Barnes misses regular free throw 1 of 266
46.0%
67
54.0%
Q3 - 8:14HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)66
48.8%
67
51.2%
Q3 - 8:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)66
47.1%
67
52.9%
Q3 - 8:31HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound66
49.9%
65
50.1%
Q3 - 8:35KingsKeegan Murray misses three point turnaround jump shot66
51.2%
65
48.8%
Q3 - 8:51HeatTerry Rozier turnover (out of bounds lost ball)66
54.1%
65
45.9%
Q3 - 9:03KingsHarrison Barnes makes two point layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)66
49.9%
65
50.1%
Q3 - 9:03KingsDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound64
47.1%
65
52.9%
Q3 - 9:07KingsTerry Rozier blocks Harrison Barnes's two point layup64
44.4%
65
55.6%
Q3 - 9:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 264
47.1%
65
52.9%
Q3 - 9:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 264
47.5%
64
52.5%
Q3 - 9:21KingsKeegan Murray shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)64
48.0%
63
52.0%
Q3 - 9:34KingsDomantas Sabonis makes two point putback layup64
49.9%
63
50.1%
Q3 - 9:34KingsDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound62
47.1%
63
52.9%
Q3 - 9:36KingsDomantas Sabonis misses two point dunk62
44.4%
63
55.6%
Q3 - 9:39KingsDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound62
47.1%
63
52.9%
Q3 - 9:42KingsKeegan Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot62
44.4%
63
55.6%
Q3 - 9:54HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)62
47.1%
63
52.9%
Q3 - 10:14KingsKeegan Murray makes two point pullup jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)62
49.7%
61
50.3%
Q3 - 10:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)60
47.1%
61
52.9%
Q3 - 10:49KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes three point running pullup jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)60
49.7%
59
50.3%
Q3 - 10:54KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound57
43.9%
59
56.1%
Q3 - 10:56HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot57
42.7%
59
57.3%
Q3 - 11:13KingsHarrison Barnes makes two point driving layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)57
40.4%
59
59.6%
Q3 - 11:29KingsKeegan Murray defensive rebound55
37.5%
59
62.5%
Q3 - 11:31HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot55
36.6%
59
63.4%
Q3 - 11:42HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound55
34.4%
59
65.6%
Q3 - 11:44KingsKevin Huerter misses two point driving floating jump shot55
35.4%
59
64.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.55
37.6%
59
62.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0KingsKings offensive rebound55
37.8%
59
62.2%
Q2 - 0:02.3KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot55
36.1%
59
63.9%
Q2 - 0:20.6KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound55
37.7%
59
62.3%
Q2 - 0:23.0HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 155
37.4%
59
62.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0KingsKevin Huerter shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)55
35.2%
59
64.8%
Q2 - 0:34.1KingsKeegan Murray makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)55
41.1%
57
58.9%
Q2 - 0:47.5HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 252
34.8%
57
65.2%
Q2 - 0:47.5HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 252
35.1%
56
64.9%
Q2 - 0:47.5KingsDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)52
35.4%
55
64.6%
Q2 - 1:02KingsDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 152
38.8%
55
61.2%
Q2 - 1:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)51
38.1%
55
61.9%
Q2 - 1:03KingsKevin Huerter defensive rebound49
32.7%
55
67.3%
Q2 - 1:05HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot49
32.0%
55
68.0%
Q2 - 1:22KingsDomantas Sabonis makes two point driving dunk49
30.5%
55
69.5%
Q2 - 1:40KingsKings defensive rebound47
27.5%
55
72.5%
Q2 - 1:41HeatKeegan Murray blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point cutting layup47
26.9%
55
73.1%
Q2 - 1:58KingsKeegan Murray makes two point running alley-oop layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)47
25.6%
55
74.4%
Q2 - 2:01KingsDavion Mitchell defensive rebound45
23.9%
55
76.1%
Q2 - 2:04HeatJosh Richardson misses two point running finger roll layup45
23.1%
55
76.9%
Q2 - 2:08HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound45
21.5%
55
78.5%
Q2 - 2:10KingsHarrison Barnes misses two point driving floating jump shot45
22.2%
55
77.8%
Q2 - 2:18HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)45
23.8%
55
76.2%
Q2 - 2:42KingsKeegan Murray makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)45
25.8%
53
74.2%
Q2 - 2:54HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving finger roll layup (Terry Rozier assists)42
21.7%
53
78.3%
Q2 - 3:14KingsKevin Huerter makes two point driving layup42
24.3%
51
75.7%
Q2 - 3:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup (Terry Rozier assists)40
22.6%
51
77.4%
Q2 - 3:44KingsDomantas Sabonis makes two point driving finger roll layup40
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q2 - 3:52KingsKeegan Murray defensive rebound38
22.6%
49
77.4%
Q2 - 3:54HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving hook shot38
21.9%
49
78.1%
Q2 - 4:06HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound38
21.2%
49
78.8%
Q2 - 4:08KingsDomantas Sabonis misses two point layup38
21.8%
49
78.2%
Q2 - 4:17KingsKeegan Murray defensive rebound38
23.3%
49
76.7%
Q2 - 4:20HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot38
22.6%
49
77.4%
Q2 - 4:43KingsDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 138
21.1%
49
78.9%
Q2 - 4:43HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)37
20.7%
49
79.3%
Q2 - 4:51KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound35
17.9%
49
82.1%
Q2 - 4:53HeatCaleb Martin misses two point floating jump shot35
17.3%
49
82.7%
Q2 - 5:17KingsDomantas Sabonis makes two point running finger roll layup35
16.3%
49
83.7%
Q2 - 5:21KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound33
15.3%
49
84.7%
Q2 - 5:23HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot33
14.7%
49
85.3%
Q2 - 5:44KingsKeegan Murray makes two point alley-oop dunk (Domantas Sabonis assists)33
13.6%
49
86.4%
Q2 - 6:02HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving reverse layup (Terry Rozier assists)31
13.2%
49
86.8%
Q2 - 6:12HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound31
14.2%
47
85.8%
Q2 - 6:15KingsDomantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 2 of 231
14.4%
47
85.6%
Q2 - 6:15KingsDomantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 1 of 231
15.2%
47
84.8%
Q2 - 6:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)31
16.2%
47
83.8%
Q2 - 6:16KingsKevin Huerter offensive rebound31
15.8%
47
84.2%
Q2 - 6:19KingsMalik Monk misses three point jump shot31
14.6%
47
85.4%
Q2 - 6:36HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup (Bam Adebayo assists)31
15.8%
47
84.2%
Q2 - 6:39HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound31
16.9%
45
83.1%
Q2 - 6:42KingsDomantas Sabonis misses two point driving hook shot31
17.5%
45
82.5%
Q2 - 6:58HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Tyler Herro assists)31
18.8%
45
81.2%
Q2 - 7:01HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound31
20.7%
43
79.3%
Q2 - 7:05KingsDomantas Sabonis misses two point driving hook shot31
21.3%
43
78.7%
Q2 - 7:21KingsKings defensive rebound31
22.6%
43
77.4%
Q2 - 7:22HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot31
22.0%
43
78.0%
Q2 - 7:34KingsKevin Huerter personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)31
20.7%
43
79.3%
Q2 - 7:44KingsKeegan Murray makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)31
20.7%
43
79.3%
Q2 - 7:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)28
17.6%
43
82.4%
Q2 - 8:11KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 228
19.2%
41
80.8%
Q2 - 8:11KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 227
18.9%
41
81.1%
Q2 - 8:11HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)26
18.5%
41
81.5%
Q2 - 8:11KingsDe'Aaron Fox defensive rebound26
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q2 - 8:13HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot26
17.3%
41
82.7%
Q2 - 8:17HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound26
16.2%
41
83.8%
Q2 - 8:17HeatKeegan Murray blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point layup26
17.3%
41
82.7%
Q2 - 8:25HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound26
16.2%
41
83.8%
Q2 - 8:27KingsMalik Monk misses three point pullup jump shot26
16.7%
41
83.3%
Q2 - 8:37KingsJaVale McGee defensive rebound26
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q2 - 8:39HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot26
17.3%
41
82.7%
Q2 - 8:49HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound26
16.2%
41
83.8%
Q2 - 8:52KingsKeegan Murray misses three point jump shot26
16.7%
41
83.3%
Q2 - 9:00HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving finger roll layup26
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q2 - 9:06HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound26
19.4%
39
80.6%
Q2 - 9:09KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot26
19.9%
39
80.1%
Q2 - 9:26HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)26
21.1%
39
78.9%
Q2 - 9:32HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound26
24.6%
36
75.4%
Q2 - 9:37KingsKessler Edwards misses two point pullup jump shot26
25.2%
36
74.8%
Q2 - 10:03HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving finger roll layup (Josh Richardson assists)26
27.1%
36
72.9%
Q2 - 10:11HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound26
28.9%
34
71.1%
Q2 - 10:16KingsMalik Monk misses three point jump shot26
29.6%
34
70.4%
Q2 - 10:33HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)26
31.1%
34
68.9%
Q2 - 10:46KingsMalik Monk turnover (traveling)26
35.4%
31
64.6%
Q2 - 11:03HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)26
38.0%
31
62.0%
Q2 - 11:16KingsMalik Monk makes two point driving finger roll layup26
42.6%
28
57.4%
Q2 - 11:23KingsJaVale McGee defensive rebound24
40.3%
28
59.7%
Q2 - 11:26HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot24
39.6%
28
60.4%
Q2 - 11:35KingsJaVale McGee makes two point tip layup24
38.0%
28
62.0%
Q2 - 11:35KingsJaVale McGee offensive rebound22
35.8%
28
64.2%
Q2 - 11:42KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses two point pullup jump shot22
34.2%
28
65.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
35.8%
28
64.2%
Q1 - 0:00.2KingsMalik Monk makes two point fadeaway jump shot22
33.6%
28
66.4%
Q1 - 0:20.4HeatJosh Richardson makes three point running jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)20
31.5%
28
68.5%
Q1 - 0:24.7HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound20
35.8%
25
64.2%
Q1 - 0:29.0KingsKevin Huerter misses three point running pullup jump shot20
36.4%
25
63.6%
Q1 - 0:32.5KingsHarrison Barnes defensive rebound20
37.9%
25
62.1%
Q1 - 0:35.3HeatJosh Richardson misses three point pullup jump shot20
37.3%
25
62.7%
Q1 - 0:48.6KingsKevin Huerter makes two point layup (Trey Lyles assists)20
35.8%
25
64.2%
Q1 - 1:01KingsKings offensive rebound18
33.9%
25
66.1%
Q1 - 1:03KingsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot18
32.5%
25
67.5%
Q1 - 1:23HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 218
33.9%
25
66.1%
Q1 - 1:23HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 218
34.2%
24
65.8%
Q1 - 1:23KingsTrey Lyles shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)18
34.5%
23
65.5%
Q1 - 1:23HeatKevin Love offensive rebound18
36.1%
23
63.9%
Q1 - 1:24HeatKevin Love misses two point driving bank jump shot18
37.5%
23
62.5%
Q1 - 1:30HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound18
36.1%
23
63.9%
Q1 - 1:34KingsHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot18
36.7%
23
63.3%
Q1 - 1:43HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (De'Aaron Fox steals)18
38.2%
23
61.8%
Q1 - 1:55KingsMalik Monk turnover (out of bounds bad pass)18
36.1%
23
63.9%
Q1 - 2:00HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Trey Lyles steals)18
38.2%
23
61.8%
Q1 - 2:13KingsDavion Mitchell turnover (traveling)18
36.2%
23
63.8%
Q1 - 2:28HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup (Josh Richardson assists)18
38.7%
23
61.3%
Q1 - 2:34KingsMalik Monk turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)18
40.5%
21
59.5%
Q1 - 2:45HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 218
43.1%
21
56.9%
Q1 - 2:45HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 218
43.4%
20
56.6%
Q1 - 2:45KingsKeegan Murray shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)18
41.5%
20
58.5%
Q1 - 2:55HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound18
42.7%
20
57.3%
Q1 - 2:58KingsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot18
43.5%
20
56.5%
Q1 - 3:22HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 118
45.3%
20
54.7%
Q1 - 3:22KingsDe'Aaron Fox shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)18
45.6%
19
54.4%
Q1 - 3:29HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound18
49.2%
17
50.8%
Q1 - 3:32KingsDomantas Sabonis misses two point driving reverse layup18
50.1%
17
49.9%
Q1 - 3:42HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (De'Aaron Fox steals)18
52.0%
17
48.0%
Q1 - 4:08KingsKevin Huerter makes three point running pullup jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)18
49.3%
17
50.7%
Q1 - 4:11KingsDe'Aaron Fox defensive rebound15
45.4%
17
54.6%
Q1 - 4:13HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point cutting layup15
44.7%
17
55.3%
Q1 - 4:32KingsKeegan Murray makes three point jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)15
42.9%
17
57.1%
Q1 - 4:45HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)12
39.2%
17
60.8%
Q1 - 4:57HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound12
42.9%
14
57.1%
Q1 - 4:59KingsHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot12
43.7%
14
56.3%
Q1 - 5:11HeatJimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kevin Love assists)12
45.5%
14
54.5%
Q1 - 5:20HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound12
47.3%
12
52.7%
Q1 - 5:22KingsDomantas Sabonis misses two point driving hook shot12
48.0%
12
52.0%
Q1 - 5:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 212
49.6%
12
50.4%
Q1 - 5:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 212
49.9%
11
50.1%
Q1 - 5:43KingsKevin Huerter shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)12
50.3%
10
49.7%
Q1 - 6:04KingsKevin Huerter makes two point running layup (Keegan Murray assists)12
51.4%
10
48.6%
Q1 - 6:09HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Keegan Murray steals)10
49.4%
10
50.6%
Q1 - 6:10HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound10
47.4%
10
52.6%
Q1 - 6:13HeatDomantas Sabonis blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup10
48.8%
10
51.2%
Q1 - 6:37KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes two point driving layup10
47.4%
10
52.6%
Q1 - 6:48HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)8
45.4%
10
54.6%
Q1 - 7:00HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound8
49.4%
7
50.6%
Q1 - 7:00KingsKeegan Murray misses three point running jump shot8
50.0%
7
50.0%
Q1 - 7:02KingsDe'Aaron Fox defensive rebound8
51.6%
7
48.4%
Q1 - 7:04HeatTerry Rozier misses two point floating jump shot8
50.9%
7
49.1%
Q1 - 7:29KingsKeegan Murray makes two point putback dunk8
49.3%
7
50.7%
Q1 - 7:34KingsKeegan Murray offensive rebound6
47.6%
7
52.4%
Q1 - 7:34KingsKeegan Murray misses two point pullup jump shot6
46.1%
7
53.9%
Q1 - 7:41HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Domantas Sabonis steals)6
47.6%
7
52.4%
Q1 - 7:51KingsKevin Huerter makes two point driving reverse layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)6
45.4%
7
54.6%
Q1 - 7:57KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound4
43.7%
7
56.3%
Q1 - 7:59HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point turnaround bank jump shot4
43.0%
7
57.0%
Q1 - 8:11KingsKevin Huerter turnover (back court violation)4
41.8%
7
58.2%
Q1 - 8:20HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)4
44.1%
7
55.9%
Q1 - 8:41HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound4
45.6%
5
54.4%
Q1 - 8:44KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 2 of 24
45.9%
5
54.1%
Q1 - 8:44KingsDe'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 24
47.1%
5
52.9%
Q1 - 8:44HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)3
46.6%
5
53.4%
Q1 - 8:52HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)3
46.0%
5
54.0%
Q1 - 8:59HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 23
46.0%
5
54.0%
Q1 - 8:59HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 23
46.1%
4
53.9%
Q1 - 8:59KingsKeegan Murray shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)3
46.3%
3
53.7%
Q1 - 9:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound3
47.6%
3
52.4%
Q1 - 9:06KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses two point pullup jump shot3
48.2%
3
51.8%
Q1 - 9:15KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound3
49.7%
3
50.3%
Q1 - 9:17HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot3
49.0%
3
51.0%
Q1 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound3
47.6%
3
52.4%
Q1 - 9:40KingsDe'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot3
48.2%
3
51.8%
Q1 - 9:46KingsDe'Aaron Fox defensive rebound3
49.7%
3
50.3%
Q1 - 9:48HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot3
49.0%
3
51.0%
Q1 - 9:56HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound3
47.6%
3
52.4%
Q1 - 9:59KingsKevin Huerter misses three point pullup jump shot3
48.2%
3
51.8%
Q1 - 10:06HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)3
49.5%
3
50.5%
Q1 - 10:20KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound3
49.5%
3
50.5%
Q1 - 10:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating bank jump shot3
48.9%
3
51.1%
Q1 - 10:44KingsKeegan Murray makes three point jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)3
47.4%
3
52.6%
Q1 - 10:51KingsKeegan Murray defensive rebound0
44.0%
3
56.0%
Q1 - 10:54HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot0
43.4%
3
56.6%
Q1 - 10:57HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound0
42.0%
3
58.0%
Q1 - 11:00HeatTerry Rozier misses two point floating jump shot0
43.4%
3
56.6%
Q1 - 11:23KingsDe'Aaron Fox turnover (swinging elbows)0
42.2%
3
57.8%
Q1 - 11:36HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot0
44.2%
3
55.8%
Q1 - 12:00Domantas Sabonis vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
47.4%
0
52.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.04 52.0%
MIA
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
13
14
93%
MIA
9
12
75%
Midrange
SAC
16
39
41%
MIA
20
44
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
12
18.0
40
30%
45%
MIA
13
19.5
28
46%
70%
Free Throws
SAC
12
18
67%
MIA
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Murray3387%16.5 / 19
D. Sabonis1959%9.5 / 16
K. Huerter1458%7.0 / 12
D. Fox1334%6.5 / 19
H. Barnes932%4.5 / 14
M. Monk638%3.0 / 8
T. Lyles542%2.5 / 6
J. McGee467%2.0 / 3
D. Mitchell375%1.5 / 2
K. Edwards0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3182%15.5 / 19
J. Richardson2480%12.0 / 15
B. Adebayo1657%8.0 / 14
T. Herro1458%7.0 / 12
J. Jaquez844%4.0 / 9
K. Love880%4.0 / 5
C. Martin750%3.5 / 7
H. Highsmith450%2.0 / 4
T. Rozier319%1.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
88
+14
-9
102
MIA
89
+9
-8
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.04 52.0%
MIA
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.4
113.5
SAC 109.3
MIA 118.6 +9.3
Pace
99.2
96.7
SAC 98.6 +3.1
MIA 95.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
14.8
SAC 14.6 +0.5
MIA 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.6%
53.8%
SAC 50.5%
MIA 57.7% +7.2%
TO %
12.5%
12.2%
SAC 8.2% +1.4%
MIA 9.6%
ORB %
24.4%
21.8%
SAC 22.2% +4.3%
MIA 17.9%
FTrt
22.9
25.7
SAC 19.4
MIA 27.4 +8.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.4%
64.8%
SAC 63.4%
MIA 90.5% +27.1%
STL %
7.6%
7.8%
SAC 6.2% +3.1%
MIA 3.1%
BLK %
7.9%
6.9%
SAC 5.4% +1.6%
MIA 3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
56.2%
SAC 52.0%
MIA 58.7% +6.7%
Rim FG%
65.7%
61.2%
SAC 92.9% +17.9%
MIA 75.0%
Mid FG%
44.5%
44.2%
SAC 41.0%
MIA 45.5% +4.5%
3P %
36.6%
37.0%
SAC 30.0%
MIA 46.4% +16.4%
FT %
74.5%
81.8%
SAC 66.7%
MIA 78.3% +11.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.0%
30.4%
SAC 15.1% +0.8%
MIA 14.3%
Mid Att. %
25.8%
30.2%
SAC 41.9% +10.4%
MIA 52.4%
3P Att. %
43.2%
39.4%
SAC 43.0% +9.7%
MIA 33.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSACMIA
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points106115
Rebounds4449
Assists2638
Steals63
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)8 (2)
Fouls1716
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)42 (0)
Field Goals41-9342-84
At-the-Rim FG13-149-12
Midrange FG16-3920-44
2-Point FG29-5329-56
3-Point FG12-4013-28
Free Throws12-1818-23
Fast Break Pts2215
2nd Chance Pts177
Points in Paint5450
Pts off Turnovers612
Bench Points1847
Biggest Lead318

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#9 · SG · 6'7" 198 · 25
38.7
14
58%
3
4
1
0
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
2-6
33%
#13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 23
38.5
33
87%
5
2
1
2
0
5
1
4
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
7-11
64%
#10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28
38.0
19
59%
17
13
1
1
1
0
4
13
4-6
67%
6-13
46%
1-1
100%
#5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26
36.9
13
34%
5
3
2
0
2
3
0
5
4-6
67%
3-8
38%
1-8
13%
#40 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 32
36.9
9
32%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
0-6
0%
#41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28
17.8
5
42%
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
#0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26
14.3
6
38%
0
0
0
0
3
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
#15 · PG · 6'0" 202 · 25
12.0
3
75%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36
5.7
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#17 · SF · 6'7" 203 · 23
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27
#25 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31
#20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22
#23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24
#31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
#18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
52%
44
26
6
3
9
17
12
32
12-18
67%
29-53
55%
12-40
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.