FinalWin Prob.pScore
349%114
107
951%115
83
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
107.010093.3
NOP logo NOP
85.697104.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PelicansThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PelicansThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCNOP
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.107
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0ThunderThunder turnover (shot clock violation)107
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.8PelicansJose Alvarado turnover (bad pass) (Jaylin Williams steals)107
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.8ThunderAaron Wiggins turnover (lost ball) (E.J. Liddell steals)107
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00PelicansJeremiah Robinson-Earl makes two point running layup107
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05ThunderVasilije Micic turnover (lost ball) (Jeremiah Robinson-Earl steals)107
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26ThunderJaylin Williams defensive rebound107
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28PelicansJose Alvarado misses three point pullup jump shot107
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38ThunderJaylin Williams personal foul (Loose ball) (Cody Zeller draws the foul)107
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38PelicansPelicans offensive rebound107
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39PelicansE.J. Liddell misses three point jump shot107
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:58ThunderVasilije Micic turnover (bad pass) (E.J. Liddell steals)107
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15PelicansDyson Daniels turnover (out of bounds bad pass)107
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29ThunderCason Wallace makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)107
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35ThunderJaylin Williams defensive rebound104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37PelicansJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses two point running alley-oop layup104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:43PelicansCody Zeller defensive rebound104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:45ThunderCason Wallace misses three point jump shot104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59ThunderVasilije Micic defensive rebound104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:04PelicansJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses three point jump shot104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:29ThunderJalen Williams makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)104
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49PelicansTrey Murphy III makes two point running layup (Brandon Ingram assists)101
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:53PelicansBrandon Ingram defensive rebound101
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:56ThunderCason Wallace misses three point jump shot101
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:19PelicansCJ McCollum turnover (out of bounds lost ball)101
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:31ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point stepback jump shot101
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:44ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound98
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:47PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point turnaround jump shot98
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 5:00ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 298
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 5:00ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 297
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 5:00PelicansCJ McCollum shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 5:06PelicansHerbert Jones personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)97
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 5:13PelicansCJ McCollum turnover (bad pass) (Cason Wallace steals)97
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 5:23ThunderCason Wallace makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)97
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 5:41PelicansTrey Murphy III makes three point running jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)94
99.2%
79
0.8%
Q4 - 5:46ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (CJ McCollum steals)94
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 5:59PelicansBrandon Ingram turnover (offensive foul)94
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 5:59PelicansBrandon Ingram offensive foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)94
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 6:09ThunderVasilije Micic makes regular free throw 1 of 194
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 6:09PelicansCJ McCollum shooting foul (Vasilije Micic draws the foul)93
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 6:27ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound91
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 6:30PelicansHerbert Jones misses three point running jump shot91
98.6%
76
1.4%
Q4 - 6:35PelicansBrandon Ingram defensive rebound91
98.3%
76
1.7%
Q4 - 6:38ThunderDyson Daniels blocks Aaron Wiggins's two point driving layup91
98.4%
76
1.6%
Q4 - 6:43ThunderAaron Wiggins defensive rebound91
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 6:45PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point running layup91
98.6%
76
1.4%
Q4 - 6:50PelicansHerbert Jones defensive rebound91
98.3%
76
1.7%
Q4 - 6:52ThunderJalen Williams misses two point fadeaway jump shot91
98.4%
76
1.6%
Q4 - 7:00PelicansCJ McCollum personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)91
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 7:01ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound91
98.2%
76
1.8%
Q4 - 7:02PelicansChet Holmgren blocks Herbert Jones's two point driving layup91
98.0%
76
2.0%
Q4 - 7:24PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound91
97.6%
76
2.4%
Q4 - 7:26ThunderJalen Williams misses three point stepback jump shot91
97.8%
76
2.2%
Q4 - 7:37ThunderThunder offensive rebound91
98.2%
76
1.8%
Q4 - 7:37ThunderHerbert Jones blocks Cason Wallace's two point running layup91
97.8%
76
2.2%
Q4 - 7:41PelicansHerbert Jones turnover (bad pass) (Cason Wallace steals)91
98.2%
76
1.8%
Q4 - 7:55ThunderJalen Williams makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot91
97.6%
76
2.4%
Q4 - 8:09PelicansHerbert Jones makes two point driving layup (CJ McCollum assists)89
96.3%
76
3.7%
Q4 - 8:26ThunderChet Holmgren makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)89
97.0%
74
3.0%
Q4 - 8:41PelicansJordan Hawkins makes regular free throw 3 of 386
95.4%
74
4.6%
Q4 - 8:41PelicansJordan Hawkins makes regular free throw 2 of 386
95.5%
73
4.5%
Q4 - 8:41PelicansJordan Hawkins makes regular free throw 1 of 386
95.7%
72
4.3%
Q4 - 8:41ThunderCason Wallace shooting foul (Jordan Hawkins draws the foul)86
95.9%
71
4.1%
Q4 - 8:57ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point driving layup (Jalen Williams assists)86
97.1%
71
2.9%
Q4 - 9:16PelicansDyson Daniels makes three point pullup jump shot (Jordan Hawkins assists)84
95.6%
71
4.4%
Q4 - 9:42ThunderJalen Williams makes two point driving layup84
97.1%
68
2.9%
Q4 - 9:50ThunderThunder offensive rebound82
96.5%
68
3.5%
Q4 - 9:50ThunderCason Wallace misses two point driving floating jump shot82
95.9%
68
4.1%
Q4 - 10:12PelicansJordan Hawkins turnover (offensive foul)82
95.7%
68
4.3%
Q4 - 10:12PelicansJordan Hawkins offensive foul (Jalen Williams draws the foul)82
94.5%
68
5.5%
Q4 - 10:27ThunderAaron Wiggins makes three point pullup jump shot82
94.6%
68
5.4%
Q4 - 10:40ThunderVasilije Micic defensive rebound79
92.1%
68
7.9%
Q4 - 10:43PelicansJordan Hawkins misses two point pullup jump shot79
91.5%
68
8.5%
Q4 - 10:55ThunderJalen Williams makes two point driving layup79
90.1%
68
9.9%
Q4 - 11:08PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point hook shot (Jordan Hawkins assists)77
86.9%
68
13.1%
Q4 - 11:23PelicansNaji Marshall defensive rebound77
89.2%
66
10.8%
Q4 - 11:26ThunderChet Holmgren misses three point jump shot77
89.8%
66
10.2%
Q4 - 11:41PelicansDyson Daniels makes two point tip layup77
91.0%
66
9.0%
Q4 - 11:41PelicansDyson Daniels offensive rebound77
92.6%
64
7.4%
Q4 - 11:45PelicansDyson Daniels misses two point driving layup77
93.5%
64
6.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.77
92.6%
64
7.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ThunderThunder offensive rebound77
93.9%
64
6.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ThunderJalen Williams misses three point pullup jump shot77
93.0%
64
7.0%
Q3 - 0:03.1ThunderThunder defensive rebound77
93.0%
64
7.0%
Q3 - 0:05.3PelicansJose Alvarado misses three point jump shot77
92.6%
64
7.4%
Q3 - 0:06.2PelicansCJ McCollum offensive rebound77
91.6%
64
8.4%
Q3 - 0:08.8PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point driving floating jump shot77
92.6%
64
7.4%
Q3 - 0:33.3ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving floating jump shot77
91.7%
64
8.3%
Q3 - 0:38.6ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound75
90.0%
64
10.0%
Q3 - 0:42.6PelicansNaji Marshall misses three point jump shot75
89.5%
64
10.5%
Q3 - 0:50.2ThunderIsaiah Joe turnover (bad pass) (Jose Alvarado steals)75
88.2%
64
11.8%
Q3 - 0:57.0ThunderCason Wallace offensive rebound75
90.0%
64
10.0%
Q3 - 0:59.1ThunderChet Holmgren misses two point pullup jump shot75
88.8%
64
11.2%
Q3 - 1:11PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 2 of 275
88.8%
64
11.2%
Q3 - 1:11PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 275
89.1%
63
10.9%
Q3 - 1:11ThunderJaylin Williams shooting foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)75
89.5%
62
10.5%
Q3 - 1:26ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point reverse layup (Jaylin Williams assists)75
90.5%
62
9.5%
Q3 - 1:42PelicansJose Alvarado makes two point driving floating jump shot (Herbert Jones assists)73
88.9%
62
11.1%
Q3 - 1:54PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound73
90.6%
60
9.4%
Q3 - 1:56ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving floating jump shot73
91.1%
60
8.9%
Q3 - 2:11PelicansBrandon Ingram makes two point pullup jump shot (Jordan Hawkins assists)73
90.9%
60
9.1%
Q3 - 2:35ThunderKenrich Williams makes two point running layup (Josh Giddey assists)73
92.2%
58
7.8%
Q3 - 2:40ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound71
90.9%
58
9.1%
Q3 - 2:43PelicansJose Alvarado misses three point pullup jump shot71
90.5%
58
9.5%
Q3 - 3:00ThunderKenrich Williams makes two point cutting layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)71
89.3%
58
10.7%
Q3 - 3:11ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound69
86.9%
58
13.1%
Q3 - 3:14PelicansJordan Hawkins misses three point running jump shot69
86.2%
58
13.8%
Q3 - 3:19ThunderKenrich Williams turnover (bad pass) (Jose Alvarado steals)69
84.5%
58
15.5%
Q3 - 3:38PelicansBrandon Ingram makes two point pullup jump shot (Jose Alvarado assists)69
86.9%
58
13.1%
Q3 - 3:55ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point stepback jump shot69
88.4%
56
11.6%
Q3 - 4:12PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point cutting layup (Jose Alvarado assists)66
83.8%
56
16.2%
Q3 - 4:24ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)66
85.7%
54
14.3%
Q3 - 4:44PelicansHerbert Jones makes two point alley-oop dunk (Brandon Ingram assists)64
83.9%
54
16.1%
Q3 - 4:55ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 264
85.7%
52
14.3%
Q3 - 4:55ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 263
85.4%
52
14.6%
Q3 - 4:55PelicansBrandon Ingram shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)62
85.0%
52
15.0%
Q3 - 5:00PelicansBrandon Ingram turnover (bad pass) (Kenrich Williams steals)62
83.9%
52
16.1%
Q3 - 5:09ThunderJalen Williams makes two point fadeaway jump shot62
80.3%
52
19.7%
Q3 - 5:19PelicansBrandon Ingram turnover (offensive foul)60
78.1%
52
21.9%
Q3 - 5:19PelicansBrandon Ingram offensive foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)60
75.0%
52
25.0%
Q3 - 5:35ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)60
75.0%
52
25.0%
Q3 - 5:54PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point jump shot (Larry Nance Jr. assists)58
72.4%
52
27.6%
Q3 - 5:56PelicansLarry Nance Jr. offensive rebound58
77.9%
49
22.1%
Q3 - 5:57PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point pullup jump shot58
79.8%
49
20.2%
Q3 - 6:12ThunderJosh Giddey turnover (palming)58
77.1%
49
22.9%
Q3 - 6:19ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound58
79.9%
49
20.1%
Q3 - 6:22PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point jump shot58
79.1%
49
20.9%
Q3 - 6:30PelicansHerbert Jones defensive rebound58
77.1%
49
22.9%
Q3 - 6:33ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot58
78.0%
49
22.0%
Q3 - 6:54PelicansHerbert Jones makes three point jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)58
80.0%
49
20.0%
Q3 - 7:09PelicansPelicans defensive rebound58
83.0%
46
17.0%
Q3 - 7:10ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot58
83.8%
46
16.2%
Q3 - 7:23PelicansBrandon Ingram makes regular free throw 2 of 258
85.3%
46
14.7%
Q3 - 7:23PelicansBrandon Ingram misses regular free throw 1 of 258
85.6%
45
14.4%
Q3 - 7:23ThunderJalen Williams shooting foul (Brandon Ingram draws the foul)58
84.0%
45
16.0%
Q3 - 7:38ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (out of bounds lost ball)58
85.0%
45
15.0%
Q3 - 7:47ThunderJalen Williams defensive rebound58
87.1%
45
12.9%
Q3 - 7:52PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point running jump shot58
86.5%
45
13.5%
Q3 - 7:54PelicansCJ McCollum defensive rebound58
85.1%
45
14.9%
Q3 - 7:57ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot58
85.7%
45
14.3%
Q3 - 8:05ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound58
86.3%
45
13.7%
Q3 - 8:08PelicansHerbert Jones misses three point jump shot58
85.7%
45
14.3%
Q3 - 8:22ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point driving dunk58
84.3%
45
15.7%
Q3 - 8:43PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point pullup jump shot (Larry Nance Jr. assists)56
82.7%
45
17.3%
Q3 - 8:58ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point cutting dunk (Josh Giddey assists)56
84.3%
43
15.7%
Q3 - 9:19ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound54
81.9%
43
18.1%
Q3 - 9:22PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point turnaround jump shot54
81.2%
43
18.8%
Q3 - 9:30PelicansHerbert Jones defensive rebound54
79.4%
43
20.6%
Q3 - 9:33ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point running pullup jump shot54
80.2%
43
19.8%
Q3 - 9:38ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound54
81.9%
43
18.1%
Q3 - 9:41PelicansHerbert Jones misses three point running jump shot54
81.2%
43
18.8%
Q3 - 9:47ThunderJalen Williams turnover (bad pass) (Larry Nance Jr. steals)54
79.5%
43
20.5%
Q3 - 10:07PelicansLarry Nance Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Trey Murphy III assists)54
81.2%
43
18.8%
Q3 - 10:20PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound54
82.7%
41
17.3%
Q3 - 10:23ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point stepback jump shot54
83.4%
41
16.6%
Q3 - 10:43ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound54
84.9%
41
15.1%
Q3 - 10:45PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point jump shot54
84.2%
41
15.8%
Q3 - 11:03ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point driving dunk54
82.3%
41
17.7%
Q3 - 11:05ThunderChet Holmgren offensive rebound52
80.4%
41
19.6%
Q3 - 11:08ThunderChet Holmgren misses three point jump shot52
78.9%
41
21.1%
Q3 - 11:15ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound52
80.5%
41
19.5%
Q3 - 11:17PelicansHerbert Jones misses three point jump shot52
79.8%
41
20.2%
Q3 - 11:37ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)52
78.3%
41
21.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.50
76.2%
41
23.8%
Q2 - 0:00.6ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point tip dunk50
73.5%
41
26.5%
Q2 - 0:00.6ThunderChet Holmgren offensive rebound48
70.6%
41
29.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0ThunderJalen Williams misses two point driving layup48
69.1%
41
30.9%
Q2 - 0:07.7PelicansNaji Marshall personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)48
70.6%
41
29.4%
Q2 - 0:24.1ThunderThunder defensive rebound48
70.7%
41
29.3%
Q2 - 0:25.1PelicansJosh Giddey blocks CJ McCollum's two point driving layup48
70.0%
41
30.0%
Q2 - 0:30.6PelicansCJ McCollum defensive rebound48
68.4%
41
31.6%
Q2 - 0:34.4ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point running pullup jump shot48
69.1%
41
30.9%
Q2 - 0:39.2ThunderJalen Williams defensive rebound48
70.7%
41
29.3%
Q2 - 0:41.7PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point jump shot48
70.0%
41
30.0%
Q2 - 0:54.8PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound48
68.4%
41
31.6%
Q2 - 0:58.2ThunderIsaiah Joe misses three point jump shot48
69.1%
41
30.9%
Q2 - 1:15ThunderJaylin Williams defensive rebound48
70.4%
41
29.6%
Q2 - 1:17PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point jump shot48
69.8%
41
30.2%
Q2 - 1:39ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot48
68.3%
41
31.7%
Q2 - 1:54PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving layup46
65.1%
41
34.9%
Q2 - 2:07ThunderJalen Williams makes two point pullup jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)46
67.1%
39
32.9%
Q2 - 2:17PelicansHerbert Jones turnover (offensive foul)44
64.8%
39
35.2%
Q2 - 2:17PelicansHerbert Jones offensive foul (Charge) (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)44
61.8%
39
38.2%
Q2 - 2:23PelicansBrandon Ingram defensive rebound44
61.8%
39
38.2%
Q2 - 2:25ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point running layup44
62.7%
39
37.3%
Q2 - 2:32PelicansBrandon Ingram turnover (lost ball) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)44
64.8%
39
35.2%
Q2 - 2:44ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 244
61.9%
39
38.1%
Q2 - 2:44ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 243
61.6%
39
38.4%
Q2 - 2:44PelicansTrey Murphy III shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)42
61.2%
39
38.8%
Q2 - 2:53ThunderJaylin Williams offensive rebound42
59.3%
39
40.7%
Q2 - 2:55ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot42
57.1%
39
42.9%
Q2 - 3:09PelicansBrandon Ingram turnover (bad pass) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)42
59.0%
39
41.0%
Q2 - 3:20PelicansLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound42
55.7%
39
44.3%
Q2 - 3:22ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot42
56.7%
39
43.3%
Q2 - 3:41PelicansCJ McCollum turnover (bad pass) (Isaiah Joe steals)42
59.0%
39
41.0%
Q2 - 3:44PelicansLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound42
55.7%
39
44.3%
Q2 - 3:48ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot42
56.7%
39
43.3%
Q2 - 4:01ThunderJaylin Williams defensive rebound42
58.7%
39
41.3%
Q2 - 4:04PelicansBrandon Ingram misses regular free throw 2 of 242
58.3%
39
41.7%
Q2 - 4:04PelicansBrandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 242
56.4%
39
43.6%
Q2 - 4:04ThunderLuguentz Dort personal foul (Brandon Ingram draws the foul)42
56.8%
38
43.2%
Q2 - 4:14ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 242
58.4%
38
41.6%
Q2 - 4:14ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 241
58.1%
38
41.9%
Q2 - 4:14PelicansCJ McCollum shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)40
57.8%
38
42.2%
Q2 - 4:32PelicansBrandon Ingram makes two point fadeaway jump shot40
56.0%
38
44.0%
Q2 - 4:50PelicansPelicans defensive rebound40
58.4%
36
41.6%
Q2 - 4:50ThunderBrandon Ingram blocks Vasilije Micic's two point pullup jump shot40
59.3%
36
40.7%
Q2 - 5:04PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point tip layup40
61.4%
36
38.6%
Q2 - 5:04PelicansJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound40
63.2%
34
36.8%
Q2 - 5:07PelicansDyson Daniels misses two point driving floating jump shot40
65.4%
34
34.6%
Q2 - 5:25ThunderAaron Wiggins makes two point running layup (Cason Wallace assists)40
63.3%
34
36.7%
Q2 - 5:29PelicansDyson Daniels turnover (bad pass) (Cason Wallace steals)38
61.4%
34
38.6%
Q2 - 5:46PelicansHerbert Jones defensive rebound38
58.1%
34
41.9%
Q2 - 5:49ThunderCason Wallace misses three point jump shot38
59.1%
34
40.9%
Q2 - 6:08PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point cutting layup (Brandon Ingram assists)38
61.1%
34
38.9%
Q2 - 6:32ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point driving layup (Jalen Williams assists)38
63.1%
32
36.9%
Q2 - 6:46PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point cutting layup (Brandon Ingram assists)36
61.2%
32
38.8%
Q2 - 7:00ThunderAaron Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)36
63.1%
30
36.9%
Q2 - 7:05ThunderJalen Williams defensive rebound33
58.2%
30
41.8%
Q2 - 7:06PelicansJonas Valanciunas misses two point tip layup33
57.4%
30
42.6%
Q2 - 7:06PelicansJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound33
55.5%
30
44.5%
Q2 - 7:10PelicansHerbert Jones misses three point jump shot33
57.4%
30
42.6%
Q2 - 7:17ThunderJalen Williams personal foul (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)33
55.5%
30
44.5%
Q2 - 7:22PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound33
55.5%
30
44.5%
Q2 - 7:24ThunderJalen Williams misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot33
56.4%
30
43.6%
Q2 - 7:39PelicansBrandon Ingram makes two point turnaround jump shot33
58.3%
30
41.7%
Q2 - 7:45ThunderJalen Williams personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)33
60.6%
28
39.4%
Q2 - 7:50PelicansJordan Hawkins defensive rebound33
60.6%
28
39.4%
Q2 - 7:54ThunderJalen Williams misses three point pullup jump shot33
61.4%
28
38.6%
Q2 - 8:02ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound33
63.0%
28
37.0%
Q2 - 8:04PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point running jump shot33
62.2%
28
37.8%
Q2 - 8:09PelicansCJ McCollum defensive rebound33
60.3%
28
39.7%
Q2 - 8:11ThunderChet Holmgren misses two point driving layup33
61.1%
28
38.9%
Q2 - 8:27ThunderCason Wallace defensive rebound33
63.0%
28
37.0%
Q2 - 8:30PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point jump shot33
62.2%
28
37.8%
Q2 - 8:44ThunderCason Wallace makes two point running dunk33
60.3%
28
39.7%
Q2 - 8:47PelicansNaji Marshall turnover (bad pass) (Cason Wallace steals)31
58.1%
28
41.9%
Q2 - 9:04ThunderChet Holmgren makes three point jump shot (Vasilije Micic assists)31
55.0%
28
45.0%
Q2 - 9:26PelicansDyson Daniels turnover (out of bounds bad pass)28
50.1%
28
49.9%
Q2 - 9:43ThunderJalen Williams makes two point driving layup28
47.5%
28
52.5%
Q2 - 9:56PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point driving layup (CJ McCollum assists)26
45.1%
28
54.9%
Q2 - 10:17ThunderCason Wallace makes two point cutting layup (Aaron Wiggins assists)26
47.6%
26
52.4%
Q2 - 10:25ThunderJalen Williams defensive rebound24
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q2 - 10:27PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point driving floating jump shot24
44.5%
26
55.5%
Q2 - 10:36ThunderChet Holmgren personal foul (Loose ball) (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)24
42.7%
26
57.3%
Q2 - 10:36PelicansPelicans offensive rebound24
42.7%
26
57.3%
Q2 - 10:36PelicansNaji Marshall misses three point jump shot24
44.5%
26
55.5%
Q2 - 10:44PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound24
42.7%
26
57.3%
Q2 - 10:48ThunderAaron Wiggins misses two point layup24
43.5%
26
56.5%
Q2 - 11:00PelicansCJ McCollum makes regular free throw 2 of 224
45.2%
26
54.8%
Q2 - 11:00PelicansCJ McCollum makes regular free throw 1 of 224
45.8%
25
54.2%
Q2 - 11:00ThunderAaron Wiggins shooting foul (CJ McCollum draws the foul)24
46.3%
24
53.7%
Q2 - 11:24ThunderCason Wallace makes two point running layup24
47.6%
24
52.4%
Q2 - 11:28ThunderAaron Wiggins defensive rebound22
45.2%
24
54.8%
Q2 - 11:30PelicansChet Holmgren blocks Jonas Valanciunas's two point putback layup22
44.5%
24
55.5%
Q2 - 11:32PelicansJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound22
42.9%
24
57.1%
Q2 - 11:34PelicansNaji Marshall misses two point driving floating jump shot22
44.5%
24
55.5%
Q2 - 11:44PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound22
42.8%
24
57.2%
Q2 - 11:47ThunderJalen Williams misses two point pullup jump shot22
43.6%
24
56.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
45.2%
24
54.8%
Q1 - 0:01.9PelicansDyson Daniels turnover (out of bounds step)22
45.0%
24
55.0%
Q1 - 0:05.9ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (lost ball) (CJ McCollum steals)22
42.7%
24
57.3%
Q1 - 0:27.4PelicansJordan Hawkins makes three point jump shot (Larry Nance Jr. assists)22
45.0%
24
55.0%
Q1 - 0:30.3PelicansPelicans offensive rebound22
49.8%
21
50.2%
Q1 - 0:32.4PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point stepback jump shot22
51.4%
21
48.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0ThunderThunder turnover (shot clock violation)22
49.8%
21
50.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0ThunderThunder offensive rebound22
52.1%
21
47.9%
Q1 - 0:40.8ThunderIsaiah Joe misses three point jump shot22
50.5%
21
49.5%
Q1 - 1:02ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound22
52.2%
21
47.8%
Q1 - 1:06PelicansNaji Marshall misses three point jump shot22
51.5%
21
48.5%
Q1 - 1:14ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (Naji Marshall steals)22
50.0%
21
50.0%
Q1 - 1:30PelicansLarry Nance Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Jordan Hawkins assists)22
52.2%
21
47.8%
Q1 - 1:50ThunderKenrich Williams makes two point pullup jump shot22
54.6%
19
45.4%
Q1 - 2:00ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound20
52.2%
19
47.8%
Q1 - 2:02PelicansBrandon Ingram misses regular free throw 1 of 120
52.0%
19
48.0%
Q1 - 2:02ThunderLuguentz Dort shooting foul (Brandon Ingram draws the foul)20
50.4%
19
49.6%
Q1 - 2:11ThunderKenrich Williams makes two point putback layup20
54.2%
17
45.8%
Q1 - 2:12ThunderKenrich Williams offensive rebound18
52.4%
17
47.6%
Q1 - 2:14ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point running pullup jump shot18
50.5%
17
49.5%
Q1 - 2:18ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound18
52.4%
17
47.6%
Q1 - 2:22PelicansJose Alvarado misses three point running jump shot18
51.6%
17
48.4%
Q1 - 2:26PelicansLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound18
49.7%
17
50.3%
Q1 - 2:29ThunderBrandon Ingram blocks Jaylin Williams's two point layup18
50.5%
17
49.5%
Q1 - 2:38ThunderJaylin Williams defensive rebound18
52.4%
17
47.6%
Q1 - 2:42PelicansJordan Hawkins misses three point jump shot18
51.6%
17
48.4%
Q1 - 2:55ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 218
49.7%
17
50.3%
Q1 - 2:55ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 217
49.5%
17
50.5%
Q1 - 2:55PelicansLarry Nance Jr. shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)16
49.2%
17
50.8%
Q1 - 3:00ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound16
47.8%
17
52.2%
Q1 - 3:02PelicansLarry Nance Jr. misses two point cutting dunk16
46.9%
17
53.1%
Q1 - 3:15PelicansJose Alvarado defensive rebound16
45.0%
17
55.0%
Q1 - 3:19ThunderJaylin Williams misses three point jump shot16
45.8%
17
54.2%
Q1 - 3:39PelicansJose Alvarado makes three point jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)16
47.8%
17
52.2%
Q1 - 4:03ThunderIsaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 216
51.6%
14
48.4%
Q1 - 4:03ThunderIsaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 215
51.3%
14
48.7%
Q1 - 4:03PelicansHerbert Jones shooting foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)14
50.9%
14
49.1%
Q1 - 4:03ThunderIsaiah Joe offensive rebound14
49.9%
14
50.1%
Q1 - 4:07ThunderLarry Nance Jr. blocks Isaiah Joe's two point layup14
48.1%
14
51.9%
Q1 - 4:26ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound14
49.9%
14
50.1%
Q1 - 4:26PelicansJose Alvarado misses three point running jump shot14
49.1%
14
50.9%
Q1 - 4:30PelicansJose Alvarado defensive rebound14
47.4%
14
52.6%
Q1 - 4:34ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point fadeaway jump shot14
48.1%
14
51.9%
Q1 - 4:51PelicansJordan Hawkins makes three point jump shot (Jose Alvarado assists)14
49.9%
14
50.1%
Q1 - 5:06ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 114
53.7%
11
46.3%
Q1 - 5:06PelicansHerbert Jones shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)13
53.5%
11
46.5%
Q1 - 5:17PelicansHerbert Jones makes two point cutting dunk (Brandon Ingram assists)11
49.8%
11
50.2%
Q1 - 5:23ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point fadeaway jump shot11
51.6%
9
48.4%
Q1 - 5:31ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound9
49.8%
9
50.2%
Q1 - 5:35PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point jump shot9
49.1%
9
50.9%
Q1 - 5:44PelicansLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound9
47.5%
9
52.5%
Q1 - 5:47ThunderKenrich Williams misses three point jump shot9
48.2%
9
51.8%
Q1 - 6:06PelicansTrey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 29
49.6%
9
50.4%
Q1 - 6:06PelicansTrey Murphy III misses regular free throw 1 of 29
49.8%
8
50.2%
Q1 - 6:06ThunderLuguentz Dort shooting foul (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)9
48.1%
8
51.9%
Q1 - 6:18PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound9
49.6%
8
50.4%
Q1 - 6:20ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point driving floating jump shot9
50.2%
8
49.8%
Q1 - 6:42ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound9
51.7%
8
48.3%
Q1 - 6:42PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point jump shot9
51.0%
8
49.0%
Q1 - 6:57PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound9
49.6%
8
50.4%
Q1 - 6:57ThunderJosh Giddey misses three point running jump shot9
50.2%
8
49.8%
Q1 - 7:00ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound9
51.7%
8
48.3%
Q1 - 7:00PelicansLuguentz Dort blocks Jonas Valanciunas's two point layup9
51.0%
8
49.0%
Q1 - 7:08PelicansJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound9
49.5%
8
50.5%
Q1 - 7:09PelicansJonas Valanciunas misses two point tip layup9
51.1%
8
48.9%
Q1 - 7:10PelicansJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound9
49.5%
8
50.5%
Q1 - 7:13PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point stepback jump shot9
51.1%
8
48.9%
Q1 - 7:19PelicansCJ McCollum defensive rebound9
49.5%
8
50.5%
Q1 - 7:22ThunderJosh Giddey misses two point running jump shot9
50.2%
8
49.8%
Q1 - 7:28PelicansCJ McCollum turnover (bad pass) (Chet Holmgren steals)9
51.8%
8
48.2%
Q1 - 7:45ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point cutting dunk (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)9
49.5%
8
50.5%
Q1 - 7:52ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound7
47.9%
8
52.1%
Q1 - 7:55PelicansBrandon Ingram misses two point turnaround jump shot7
47.2%
8
52.8%
Q1 - 8:17ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jalen Williams assists)7
45.8%
8
54.2%
Q1 - 8:29PelicansJonas Valanciunas turnover (bad pass) (Josh Giddey steals)5
44.3%
8
55.7%
Q1 - 8:47ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)5
42.0%
8
58.0%
Q1 - 9:00PelicansHerbert Jones makes three point jump shot (Brandon Ingram assists)2
38.6%
8
61.4%
Q1 - 9:18PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound2
42.2%
5
57.8%
Q1 - 9:22ThunderChet Holmgren misses three point jump shot2
42.8%
5
57.2%
Q1 - 9:37PelicansHerbert Jones makes two point running reverse layup (Brandon Ingram assists)2
44.2%
5
55.8%
Q1 - 9:42PelicansBrandon Ingram defensive rebound2
45.9%
3
54.1%
Q1 - 9:46ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot2
46.6%
3
53.4%
Q1 - 9:53ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound2
48.0%
3
52.0%
Q1 - 9:56PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point running jump shot2
47.4%
3
52.6%
Q1 - 10:01PelicansCJ McCollum defensive rebound2
45.8%
3
54.2%
Q1 - 10:03ThunderChet Holmgren misses two point fadeaway jump shot2
46.5%
3
53.5%
Q1 - 10:20PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point pullup jump shot2
47.9%
3
52.1%
Q1 - 10:29ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point driving finger roll layup (Josh Giddey assists)2
51.4%
0
48.6%
Q1 - 10:46PelicansJonas Valanciunas turnover (offensive foul)0
49.7%
0
50.3%
Q1 - 10:46PelicansJonas Valanciunas offensive foul (Charge) (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)0
47.7%
0
52.3%
Q1 - 11:06PelicansPelicans defensive rebound0
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 11:08ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point pullup jump shot0
48.2%
0
51.8%
Q1 - 11:17ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound0
49.7%
0
50.3%
Q1 - 11:20PelicansJonas Valanciunas misses two point turnaround hook shot0
49.0%
0
51.0%
Q1 - 11:27PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound0
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 11:30ThunderChet Holmgren misses three point running jump shot0
48.2%
0
51.8%
Q1 - 11:35ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound0
49.7%
0
50.3%
Q1 - 11:38PelicansShai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks Jonas Valanciunas's two point layup0
49.0%
0
51.0%
Q1 - 12:00Chet Holmgren vs. Jonas Valanciunas (Brandon Ingram gains possession)0
47.6%
0
52.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.08 54.0%
NOP
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
23
32
72%
NOP
17
30
57%
Midrange
OKC
9
23
39%
NOP
6
16
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
10
15.0
33
30%
45%
NOP
9
13.5
36
25%
38%
Free Throws
OKC
13
14
93%
NOP
10
14
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander3162%15.5 / 25
C. Holmgren2063%10.0 / 16
J. Williams1554%7.5 / 14
C. Wallace1260%6.0 / 10
A. Wiggins880%4.0 / 5
K. Williams880%4.0 / 5
L. Dort429%2.0 / 7
J. Giddey450%2.0 / 4
V. Micić375%1.5 / 2
I. Joe225%1.0 / 4
J. Williams0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Jones1458%7.0 / 12
J. Valančiūnas1454%7.0 / 13
C. McCollum1238%6.0 / 16
B. Ingram1255%6.0 / 11
J. Hawkins975%4.5 / 6
T. Murphy638%3.0 / 8
D. Daniels563%2.5 / 4
J. Alvarado536%2.5 / 7
L. Nance467%2.0 / 3
J. Robinson-Earl233%1.0 / 3
N. Marshall0-0.0 / 4
E. Liddell0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
89
+10
-11
99
NOP
77
+11
-20
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.08 54.0%
NOP
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
118.4
116.7
OKC 107.0
NOP 85.6 +21.4
Pace
100.8
98.5
OKC 93.3
NOP 104.5 +11.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
14.4
OKC 15.4
NOP 13.8 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
57.3%
55.8%
OKC 53.4% +8.9%
NOP 44.5%
TO %
11.7%
12.6%
OKC 12.1% +6.4%
NOP 18.5%
ORB %
21.2%
24.4%
OKC 15.4%
NOP 17.0% +1.6%
FTrt
24.0
26.1
OKC 15.9
NOP 17.1 +1.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
63.4%
OKC 52.4%
NOP 75.0% +22.6%
STL %
8.4%
8.4%
OKC 11.0% +1.7%
NOP 9.3%
BLK %
12.6%
9.5%
OKC 10.9% +1.8%
NOP 9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.27 and 2.27.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
59.2%
57.7%
OKC 54.0% +7.4%
NOP 46.6%
Rim FG%
65.1%
62.7%
OKC 71.9% +15.2%
NOP 56.7%
Mid FG%
46.4%
44.4%
OKC 39.1% +1.6%
NOP 37.5%
3P %
38.8%
38.3%
OKC 30.3% +5.3%
NOP 25.0%
FT %
82.5%
77.1%
OKC 92.9% +21.5%
NOP 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.1%
35.5%
OKC 36.4%
NOP 36.6% +0.2%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
27.2%
OKC 26.1%
NOP 19.5% +6.6%
3P Att. %
38.3%
37.3%
OKC 37.5%
NOP 43.9% +6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsOKCNOP
Possessions10097
Possession Minutes25.722.3
Points10783
Rebounds4541
Assists2224
Steals119
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)20 (0)
Fouls1116
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)33 (3)
Field Goals42-8832-82
At-the-Rim FG23-3217-30
Midrange FG9-236-16
2-Point FG32-5523-46
3-Point FG10-339-36
Free Throws13-1410-14
Fast Break Pts89
2nd Chance Pts1210
Points in Paint5838
Pts off Turnovers2212
Bench Points3325
Biggest Lead266

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26
31.5
31
62%
4
5
2
1
4
0
0
4
8-9
89%
7-13
54%
3-8
38%
#8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 23
30.7
15
54%
4
7
0
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
6-10
60%
1-4
25%
#7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 22
30.3
20
63%
13
0
1
2
0
1
2
11
0-0
-
7-10
70%
2-6
33%
#5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25
25.6
4
29%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
#3 · SG · 6'8" 216 · 21
22.7
4
50%
5
6
1
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
#22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 20
20.7
12
60%
2
1
4
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-5
40%
#21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25
17.2
8
80%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
#29 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 30
16.6
3
75%
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22
14.7
0
0%
6
1
1
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#34 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29
13.1
8
80%
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
#11 · SG · 6'3" 165 · 25
12.5
2
25%
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#18 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#12 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 22
DNP – Coach's Decision
#9 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 31
DNP – Coach's Decision
#30 · C · 7'0" 240 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Flexor; Strain
#13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#23 · PG · 6'3" 178 · 23
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
54%
45
22
11
5
11
11
6
39
13-14
93%
32-55
58%
10-33
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.