for complete access.
All Games Thursday, January 25, 2024
FinalWin Prob.pScore
1
Celtics
71%114
143
15
Heat
29%106
110
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
149.09697.4
MIA logo MIA
115.89593.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.143
100%
110
0%
Q4 - 0:18.4CelticsNeemias Queta defensive rebound143
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.2HeatNeemias Queta blocks Orlando Robinson's two point layup143
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.1HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound143
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.7HeatJosh Richardson misses three point pullup jump shot143
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.3CelticsSvi Mykhailiuk makes three point jump shot (Jordan Walsh assists)143
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.3HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Dalano Banton steals)140
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06CelticsLamar Stevens makes two point jump shot (Dalano Banton assists)140
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23HeatNikola Jovic makes three point running pullup jump shot138
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound138
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30CelticsLamar Stevens misses two point driving layup138
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42HeatOrlando Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2138
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42HeatOrlando Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 2138
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42CelticsNeemias Queta shooting foul (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)138
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound138
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 1:52CelticsLamar Stevens misses two point fadeaway jump shot138
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 2:09HeatOrlando Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2138
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 2:09HeatOrlando Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 2138
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 2:09CelticsNeemias Queta shooting foul (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)138
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 2:09HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound138
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot138
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35CelticsSvi Mykhailiuk makes three point jump shot (Lamar Stevens assists)138
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Dalano Banton draws the foul)135
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50CelticsJordan Walsh defensive rebound135
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot135
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14CelticsLamar Stevens turnover (out of bounds bad pass)135
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 3:16CelticsLamar Stevens defensive rebound135
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 3:20HeatCole Swider misses three point jump shot135
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 3:28CelticsOshae Brissett makes two point putback layup135
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 3:31CelticsOshae Brissett offensive rebound133
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 3:33CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point fadeaway jump shot133
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 3:56HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)133
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 4:11CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point pullup jump shot133
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 4:26HeatCole Swider personal foul (Dalano Banton draws the foul)131
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 4:30HeatJosh Richardson makes two point stepback jump shot131
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 4:44CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Dalano Banton assists)131
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 4:55CelticsOshae Brissett defensive rebound128
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 4:57HeatCole Swider misses two point driving floating jump shot128
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 5:05CelticsDalano Banton personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)128
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 5:05HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound128
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 5:05HeatNikola Jovic misses two point putback layup128
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 5:05HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound128
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 5:08HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving hook shot128
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 5:11HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound128
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 5:19CelticsDalano Banton misses two point jump shot128
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 5:39HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point pullup jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)128
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 5:58CelticsOshae Brissett makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)128
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 6:16HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point running dunk126
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 6:22CelticsSam Hauser turnover (lost ball) (Josh Richardson steals)126
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 6:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup126
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 6:47HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound126
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 6:53HeatJosh Richardson misses two point running finger roll layup126
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 6:57HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound126
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 7:01CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot126
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 7:10CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound126
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 7:12HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot126
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 7:26CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)126
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 7:41CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound123
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 7:46HeatCaleb Martin misses three point stepback jump shot123
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 7:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound123
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 7:54CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point driving layup123
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 8:06CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound123
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 8:06HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot123
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 8:19CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point alley-oop dunk (Payton Pritchard assists)123
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 8:31CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound121
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 8:33HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot121
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 8:49CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)121
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 8:49CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)121
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 9:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving bank hook shot (Terry Rozier assists)121
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 9:25CelticsPayton Pritchard makes regular free throw 2 of 2121
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 9:25CelticsPayton Pritchard makes regular free throw 1 of 2120
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 9:25HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Payton Pritchard draws the foul)119
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 9:44CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound119
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 9:48HeatJosh Richardson misses three point running jump shot119
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 9:51HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound119
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 9:53CelticsDerrick White misses three point running jump shot119
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 10:01CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound119
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 10:03HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot119
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 10:27CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point pullup jump shot (Derrick White assists)119
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 10:40CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound116
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 10:43HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot116
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 11:01CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)116
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 11:12CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound113
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 11:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot113
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 11:34HeatHeat defensive rebound113
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 11:35CelticsDerrick White misses three point stepback jump shot113
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.113
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q3 - 0:07.0CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound113
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q3 - 0:11.0HeatJrue Holiday blocks Duncan Robinson's three point jump shot113
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0CelticsLuke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2113
99.4%
90
0.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0CelticsLuke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
99.4%
90
0.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Luke Kornet draws the foul)111
99.3%
90
0.7%
Q3 - 0:36.9HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)111
99.3%
90
0.7%
Q3 - 0:53.2CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)111
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q3 - 1:10CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound109
99.2%
87
0.8%
Q3 - 1:12HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot109
99.2%
87
0.8%
Q3 - 1:20CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jaylen Brown assists)109
99.1%
87
0.9%
Q3 - 1:36CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound107
98.9%
87
1.1%
Q3 - 1:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot107
98.8%
87
1.2%
Q3 - 2:02CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point running alley-oop layup (Jaylen Brown assists)107
98.4%
87
1.6%
Q3 - 2:07CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound105
98.1%
87
1.9%
Q3 - 2:09HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot105
98.0%
87
2.0%
Q3 - 2:21CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot105
97.7%
87
2.3%
Q3 - 2:43CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound103
97.3%
87
2.7%
Q3 - 2:45HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot103
97.2%
87
2.8%
Q3 - 2:48HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound103
96.8%
87
3.2%
Q3 - 2:55HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot103
97.2%
87
2.8%
Q3 - 3:13HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound103
96.5%
87
3.5%
Q3 - 3:16CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot103
96.7%
87
3.3%
Q3 - 3:32HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot103
97.1%
87
2.9%
Q3 - 3:47HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound103
97.5%
85
2.5%
Q3 - 3:50CelticsAl Horford misses three point pullup jump shot103
97.6%
85
2.4%
Q3 - 4:14HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)103
97.7%
85
2.3%
Q3 - 4:26CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point running layup103
98.3%
82
1.7%
Q3 - 4:30HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Brown steals)101
98.0%
82
2.0%
Q3 - 4:49CelticsAl Horford turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)101
97.6%
82
2.4%
Q3 - 5:02HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)101
97.8%
82
2.2%
Q3 - 5:23CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
98.3%
79
1.7%
Q3 - 5:23CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 2100
98.3%
79
1.7%
Q3 - 5:23HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)100
98.5%
79
1.5%
Q3 - 5:31CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound100
98.4%
79
1.6%
Q3 - 5:34HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot100
98.3%
79
1.7%
Q3 - 5:48CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point tip layup100
98.1%
79
1.9%
Q3 - 5:48CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound98
97.8%
79
2.2%
Q3 - 5:51CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving finger roll layup98
97.5%
79
2.5%
Q3 - 6:10HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)98
97.6%
79
2.4%
Q3 - 6:18CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)98
98.2%
76
1.8%
Q3 - 6:29HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)98
98.5%
76
1.5%
Q3 - 6:55CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot98
98.2%
76
1.8%
Q3 - 7:09CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound95
97.4%
76
2.6%
Q3 - 7:12HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot95
97.2%
76
2.8%
Q3 - 7:23HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound95
96.9%
76
3.1%
Q3 - 7:26CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point running pullup jump shot95
97.1%
76
2.9%
Q3 - 7:32CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound95
97.4%
76
2.6%
Q3 - 7:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot95
97.3%
76
2.7%
Q3 - 7:50CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point stepback jump shot95
96.9%
76
3.1%
Q3 - 8:01HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot92
95.8%
76
4.2%
Q3 - 8:15CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point cutting layup (Derrick White assists)92
96.3%
74
3.7%
Q3 - 8:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup bank jump shot90
95.8%
74
4.2%
Q3 - 8:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot (Derrick White assists)90
96.3%
72
3.7%
Q3 - 9:00HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)87
95.2%
72
4.8%
Q3 - 9:11CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point floating jump shot87
96.0%
69
4.0%
Q3 - 9:19CelticsCeltics offensive rebound85
95.6%
69
4.4%
Q3 - 9:22CelticsDerrick White misses three point running jump shot85
95.1%
69
4.9%
Q3 - 9:25CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound85
95.6%
69
4.4%
Q3 - 9:28HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving finger roll layup85
95.4%
69
4.6%
Q3 - 9:42CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)85
94.9%
69
5.1%
Q3 - 9:59HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 282
93.6%
69
6.4%
Q3 - 9:59HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 282
93.7%
68
6.3%
Q3 - 9:59CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)82
93.9%
67
6.1%
Q3 - 10:10CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 282
93.9%
67
6.1%
Q3 - 10:10CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 281
93.8%
67
6.2%
Q3 - 10:10HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)80
93.7%
67
6.3%
Q3 - 10:20CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound80
93.3%
67
6.7%
Q3 - 10:23HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot80
93.0%
67
7.0%
Q3 - 10:33CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)80
92.2%
67
7.8%
Q3 - 10:39CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound80
93.3%
67
6.7%
Q3 - 10:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving bank jump shot80
93.0%
67
7.0%
Q3 - 10:57CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)80
92.2%
67
7.8%
Q3 - 11:19HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)77
90.2%
67
9.8%
Q3 - 11:27HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound77
92.2%
64
7.8%
Q3 - 11:29CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup77
92.5%
64
7.5%
Q3 - 11:38CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound77
93.1%
64
6.9%
Q3 - 11:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot77
92.8%
64
7.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.77
92.2%
64
7.8%
Q2 - 0:00.8CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound77
93.0%
64
7.0%
Q2 - 0:00.8HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot77
92.8%
64
7.2%
Q2 - 0:18.4CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)77
92.3%
64
7.7%
Q2 - 0:31.5CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound74
90.1%
64
9.9%
Q2 - 0:33.2HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 274
90.0%
64
10.0%
Q2 - 0:33.2HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 274
89.2%
64
10.8%
Q2 - 0:33.2CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Away from play) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)74
88.4%
63
11.6%
Q2 - 0:40.2CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 274
90.3%
63
9.7%
Q2 - 0:40.2CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 273
90.1%
63
9.9%
Q2 - 0:40.2HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)72
90.0%
63
10.0%
Q2 - 0:55.3HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)72
89.0%
63
11.0%
Q2 - 1:13CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)72
90.3%
61
9.7%
Q2 - 1:28HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 169
87.7%
61
12.3%
Q2 - 1:28CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)69
87.9%
60
12.1%
Q2 - 1:40CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 269
90.3%
58
9.7%
Q2 - 1:40CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 268
90.2%
58
9.8%
Q2 - 1:40HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)67
90.0%
58
10.0%
Q2 - 1:47CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound67
89.0%
58
11.0%
Q2 - 1:51HeatDerrick White blocks Tyler Herro's two point pullup jump shot67
88.7%
58
11.3%
Q2 - 2:05CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving dunk67
87.4%
58
12.6%
Q2 - 2:06HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)65
86.2%
58
13.8%
Q2 - 2:08HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound65
84.6%
58
15.4%
Q2 - 2:11CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point jump shot65
85.1%
58
14.9%
Q2 - 2:25HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)65
86.2%
58
13.8%
Q2 - 2:35CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point layup (Jayson Tatum assists)65
88.7%
55
11.3%
Q2 - 2:41CelticsCeltics offensive rebound63
87.6%
55
12.4%
Q2 - 2:44CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot63
86.6%
55
13.4%
Q2 - 2:52CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound63
87.6%
55
12.4%
Q2 - 2:55HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot63
87.1%
55
12.9%
Q2 - 3:02HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound63
85.8%
55
14.2%
Q2 - 3:06CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot63
86.3%
55
13.7%
Q2 - 3:18HeatThomas Bryant makes two point cutting layup (Josh Richardson assists)63
87.4%
55
12.6%
Q2 - 3:39CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)63
88.4%
53
11.6%
Q2 - 3:59HeatThomas Bryant makes two point tip dunk60
86.1%
53
13.9%
Q2 - 3:59HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound60
87.1%
51
12.9%
Q2 - 4:00HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup60
88.2%
51
11.8%
Q2 - 4:05HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound60
87.2%
51
12.8%
Q2 - 4:10CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot60
87.6%
51
12.4%
Q2 - 4:31HeatThomas Bryant makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)60
88.5%
51
11.5%
Q2 - 4:52CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)60
89.4%
49
10.6%
Q2 - 5:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup58
88.6%
49
11.4%
Q2 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound58
89.4%
47
10.6%
Q2 - 5:08HeatDerrick White blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point layup58
90.3%
47
9.7%
Q2 - 5:19HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound58
89.4%
47
10.6%
Q2 - 5:23CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot58
89.8%
47
10.2%
Q2 - 5:44HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)58
90.6%
47
9.4%
Q2 - 6:05CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)58
92.0%
44
8.0%
Q2 - 6:18HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 255
90.5%
44
9.5%
Q2 - 6:18HeatThomas Bryant misses regular free throw 1 of 255
90.7%
43
9.3%
Q2 - 6:18CelticsLuke Kornet shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)55
90.0%
43
10.0%
Q2 - 6:33CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point pullup jump shot (Al Horford assists)55
90.3%
43
9.7%
Q2 - 6:52HeatJosh Richardson makes two point putback layup53
89.6%
43
10.4%
Q2 - 6:53HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound53
90.3%
41
9.7%
Q2 - 6:55HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot53
91.1%
41
8.9%
Q2 - 7:03HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound53
90.2%
41
9.8%
Q2 - 7:06CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot53
90.5%
41
9.5%
Q2 - 7:27HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)53
91.2%
41
8.8%
Q2 - 7:52CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)53
92.6%
38
7.4%
Q2 - 8:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot50
91.1%
38
8.9%
Q2 - 8:19CelticsJrue Holiday personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)50
91.8%
36
8.2%
Q2 - 8:29CelticsAl Horford makes two point layup (Luke Kornet assists)50
91.8%
36
8.2%
Q2 - 8:45HeatJosh Richardson makes two point pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)48
91.1%
36
8.9%
Q2 - 9:07CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point stepback jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)48
91.5%
34
8.5%
Q2 - 9:17CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound46
90.7%
34
9.3%
Q2 - 9:20HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot46
90.5%
34
9.5%
Q2 - 9:28HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
89.8%
34
10.2%
Q2 - 9:31CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot46
90.1%
34
9.9%
Q2 - 9:48HeatTerry Rozier makes three point running pullup jump shot46
90.8%
34
9.2%
Q2 - 9:53CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Terry Rozier steals)46
92.3%
31
7.7%
Q2 - 9:59CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound46
93.0%
31
7.0%
Q2 - 10:01HeatAl Horford blocks Bam Adebayo's two point pullup jump shot46
92.7%
31
7.3%
Q2 - 10:15CelticsLuke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 246
92.2%
31
7.8%
Q2 - 10:15CelticsLuke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 245
92.1%
31
7.9%
Q2 - 10:15HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Luke Kornet draws the foul)44
91.9%
31
8.1%
Q2 - 10:18CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound44
91.5%
31
8.5%
Q2 - 10:20HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot44
91.2%
31
8.8%
Q2 - 10:34CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point pullup jump shot44
90.6%
31
9.4%
Q2 - 11:00HeatJosh Richardson makes two point pullup jump shot42
89.8%
31
10.2%
Q2 - 11:16HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound42
90.4%
29
9.6%
Q2 - 11:19CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot42
90.6%
29
9.4%
Q2 - 11:21CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound42
91.2%
29
8.8%
Q2 - 11:24CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot42
90.6%
29
9.4%
Q2 - 11:30CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound42
91.2%
29
8.8%
Q2 - 11:34HeatCaleb Martin misses two point jump shot42
91.0%
29
9.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.42
90.4%
29
9.6%
Q1 - 0:10.8CelticsSam Hauser makes two point turnaround jump shot (Al Horford assists)42
90.3%
29
9.7%
Q1 - 0:25.2HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)40
89.4%
29
10.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound40
90.3%
27
9.7%
Q1 - 0:33.6CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot40
90.5%
27
9.5%
Q1 - 0:46.2HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 240
91.1%
27
8.9%
Q1 - 0:46.2HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 240
91.2%
26
8.8%
Q1 - 0:46.2CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)40
91.4%
25
8.6%
Q1 - 0:55.7CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)40
91.8%
25
8.2%
Q1 - 1:05HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot37
90.2%
25
9.8%
Q1 - 1:18CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)37
91.1%
23
8.9%
Q1 - 1:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot (Thomas Bryant assists)34
89.4%
23
10.6%
Q1 - 1:42HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound34
90.3%
21
9.7%
Q1 - 1:44HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup34
90.8%
21
9.2%
Q1 - 2:00CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running dunk (Al Horford assists)34
90.3%
21
9.7%
Q1 - 2:01CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound32
89.3%
21
10.7%
Q1 - 2:04HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot32
89.0%
21
11.0%
Q1 - 2:30CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)32
88.2%
21
11.8%
Q1 - 2:43HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Thomas Bryant assists)29
86.4%
21
13.6%
Q1 - 3:09CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 229
87.9%
18
12.1%
Q1 - 3:09CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 228
87.8%
18
12.2%
Q1 - 3:09HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)27
87.7%
18
12.3%
Q1 - 3:20CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound27
87.2%
18
12.8%
Q1 - 3:23HeatThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot27
86.8%
18
13.2%
Q1 - 3:44CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point running pullup jump shot27
85.9%
18
14.1%
Q1 - 3:47CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound24
83.9%
18
16.1%
Q1 - 3:50HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot24
83.5%
18
16.5%
Q1 - 4:04CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point jump shot (Sam Hauser assists)24
82.2%
18
17.8%
Q1 - 4:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)22
81.2%
18
18.8%
Q1 - 4:32CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point pullup jump shot (Derrick White assists)22
82.2%
16
17.8%
Q1 - 4:49HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup (Caleb Martin assists)20
81.2%
16
18.8%
Q1 - 4:52HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound20
82.2%
14
17.8%
Q1 - 4:55HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot20
83.2%
14
16.8%
Q1 - 5:20CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)20
82.3%
14
17.7%
Q1 - 5:28CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound20
83.6%
14
16.4%
Q1 - 5:31HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot20
83.2%
14
16.8%
Q1 - 5:42CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds bad pass)20
82.3%
14
17.7%
Q1 - 5:48HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot20
83.6%
14
16.4%
Q1 - 6:13CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot20
84.5%
12
15.5%
Q1 - 6:35CelticsCeltics defensive rebound17
82.3%
12
17.7%
Q1 - 6:37HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot17
82.0%
12
18.0%
Q1 - 6:42CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)17
81.1%
12
18.9%
Q1 - 6:51CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound17
82.3%
12
17.7%
Q1 - 6:55HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot17
82.0%
12
18.0%
Q1 - 7:12CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot17
81.3%
12
18.7%
Q1 - 7:24HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot15
80.3%
12
19.7%
Q1 - 7:36CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup (Jrue Holiday assists)15
81.3%
10
18.7%
Q1 - 7:54HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)13
80.2%
10
19.8%
Q1 - 8:08CelticsDerrick White makes three point running jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)13
81.6%
8
18.4%
Q1 - 8:12CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound10
79.4%
8
20.6%
Q1 - 8:16HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot10
79.0%
8
21.0%
Q1 - 8:34CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jaylen Brown assists)10
77.8%
8
22.2%
Q1 - 8:49HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)8
76.8%
8
23.2%
Q1 - 8:59CelticsDerrick White makes two point putback layup8
79.1%
5
20.9%
Q1 - 9:00CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound6
78.1%
5
21.9%
Q1 - 9:03CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot6
76.9%
5
23.1%
Q1 - 9:07CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound6
77.9%
5
22.1%
Q1 - 9:11CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Kristaps Porzingis's two point alley-oop dunk6
76.9%
5
23.1%
Q1 - 9:29HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)6
77.9%
5
22.1%
Q1 - 9:37CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 26
80.3%
2
19.7%
Q1 - 9:37CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 25
80.2%
2
19.8%
Q1 - 9:37HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)4
80.0%
2
20.0%
Q1 - 9:40CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound4
79.2%
2
20.8%
Q1 - 9:43HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot4
78.8%
2
21.2%
Q1 - 9:48HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound4
77.8%
2
22.2%
Q1 - 9:51CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot4
78.3%
2
21.7%
Q1 - 10:05CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound4
79.2%
2
20.8%
Q1 - 10:09HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point running jump shot4
78.8%
2
21.2%
Q1 - 10:15HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound4
77.8%
2
22.2%
Q1 - 10:20CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point running pullup jump shot4
78.2%
2
21.8%
Q1 - 10:25HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Brown steals)4
79.2%
2
20.8%
Q1 - 10:43CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 24
77.8%
2
22.2%
Q1 - 10:43CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 23
77.6%
2
22.4%
Q1 - 10:43HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)2
77.4%
2
22.6%
Q1 - 10:49CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound2
76.6%
2
23.4%
Q1 - 10:53CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot2
75.6%
2
24.4%
Q1 - 10:59CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound2
76.6%
2
23.4%
Q1 - 11:03HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot2
76.6%
2
23.4%
Q1 - 11:18CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving finger roll layup2
75.5%
2
24.5%
Q1 - 11:35HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)0
74.4%
2
25.6%
Q1 - 11:56CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (back court violation)0
75.5%
0
24.5%
Q1 - 12:00Kristaps Porzingis vs. Bam Adebayo (Derrick White gains possession)0
77.0%
0
23.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.54 76.9%
MIA
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
14
17
82%
MIA
10
21
48%
Midrange
BOS
15
23
65%
MIA
16
31
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
22
33.0
40
55%
83%
MIA
16
24.0
42
38%
57%
Free Throws
BOS
19
20
95%
MIA
10
13
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum2665%13.0 / 20
K. Porziņģis1986%9.5 / 11
J. Brown1882%9.0 / 11
J. Holiday17106%8.5 / 8
D. White1563%7.5 / 12
L. Kornet12100%6.0 / 6
P. Pritchard1169%5.5 / 8
A. Horford8100%4.0 / 4
S. Mykhailiuk6150%3.0 / 2
S. Hauser5125%2.5 / 2
O. Brissett4100%2.0 / 2
L. Stevens233%1.0 / 3
D. Banton0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro1968%9.5 / 14
B. Adebayo1959%9.5 / 16
J. Butler1777%8.5 / 11
H. Highsmith14100%7.0 / 7
J. Richardson844%4.0 / 9
C. Martin831%4.0 / 13
T. Rozier735%3.5 / 10
T. Bryant788%3.5 / 4
D. Robinson542%2.5 / 6
N. Jović338%1.5 / 4
O. Robinson350%1.5 / 3
C. Swider0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
85
+8
-11
93
MIA
91
+11
-4
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.54 76.9%
MIA
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
122.4
113.5
BOS 149.0 +33.2
MIA 115.8
Pace
97.7
96.7
BOS 97.4 +3.7
MIA 93.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.8
BOS 14.8 +0.6
MIA 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
57.8%
53.8%
BOS 77.5% +24.3%
MIA 53.2%
TO %
11.5%
12.2%
BOS 11.0%
MIA 4.8% +6.2%
ORB %
24.9%
21.8%
BOS 23.1% +1.9%
MIA 21.2%
FTrt
22.4
25.7
BOS 25.0 +11.2
MIA 13.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.3%
64.8%
BOS 70.6% +11.1%
MIA 59.5%
STL %
6.9%
7.8%
BOS 4.2%
MIA 7.4% +3.2%
BLK %
12.0%
6.9%
BOS 9.6% +7.1%
MIA 2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
59.5%
56.2%
BOS 76.9% +23.0%
MIA 53.9%
Rim FG%
67.2%
61.2%
BOS 82.4% +34.8%
MIA 47.6%
Mid FG%
43.7%
44.2%
BOS 65.2% +13.6%
MIA 51.6%
3P %
38.8%
37.0%
BOS 55.0% +16.9%
MIA 38.1%
FT %
80.7%
81.8%
BOS 95.0% +18.1%
MIA 76.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.1%
30.4%
BOS 21.3%
MIA 22.3% +1.1%
Mid Att. %
21.8%
30.2%
BOS 28.7% +4.2%
MIA 33.0%
3P Att. %
47.1%
39.4%
BOS 50.0% +5.3%
MIA 44.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points143110
Rebounds4731
Assists3625
Steals47
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)4 (1)
Fouls1012
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (1)20 (1)
Field Goals51-8042-94
At-the-Rim FG14-1710-21
Midrange FG15-2316-31
2-Point FG29-4026-52
3-Point FG22-4016-42
Free Throws19-2010-13
Fast Break Pts1415
2nd Chance Pts1213
Points in Paint4442
Pts off Turnovers712
Bench Points4834
Biggest Lead342

BOXSCORE

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1 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jayson Tatum
#0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26
32.2
26
65%
8
4
0
0
1
1
1
7
9-10
90%
4-8
50%
3-7
43%
Derrick White
#9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 30
29.2
15
63%
6
6
0
2
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-3
100%
3-9
33%
Jrue Holiday
#4 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 34
28.5
17
106%
5
5
0
1
3
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-4
100%
3-4
75%
Jaylen Brown
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27
27.3
18
82%
4
5
3
0
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
100%
4-8
50%
Kristaps Porzingis
#8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 28
20.6
19
86%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
3-5
60%
3-4
75%
Payton Pritchard
#11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26
23.2
11
69%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
Al Horford
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 38
22.5
8
100%
7
6
0
1
1
2
0
7
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
Luke Kornet
#40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29
18.8
12
100%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
Sam Hauser
#30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 26
12.3
5
125%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
Dalano Banton
#45 · PG · 6'9" 204 · 24
6.6
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Neemias Queta
#88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Lamar Stevens
#77 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27
4.4
2
33%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Oshae Brissett
#12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26
3.4
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Svi Mykhailiuk
#50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27
3.2
6
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-2
100%
Jordan Walsh
#27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20
3.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
JD Davison
#20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Peterson
#13 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
143
77%
47
36
4
5
11
10
6
41
19-20
95%
29-40
73%
22-40
55%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.