FinalWin Prob.pScore
269%120
114
2131%113
109
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
121.39484.6
IND logo IND
113.596108.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENIND
Q4 - 0:00.0Period End114
100%
109
0%
Q4 - 0:03.4INDMISS A. Nesmith 24' turnaround 3PT114
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.114
100%
109
0%
Q4 - 0:03.4PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point turnaround jump shot114
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.3NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point pullup jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)114
99.6%
109
0.4%
Q4 - 0:27.9PacersPascal Siakam makes two point tip layup111
90.9%
109
9.1%
Q4 - 0:27.9PacersPascal Siakam offensive rebound111
94.9%
107
5.1%
Q4 - 0:29.2PacersPascal Siakam misses two point driving finger roll layup111
97.3%
107
2.7%
Q4 - 0:32.6PacersPacers offensive rebound111
94.8%
107
5.2%
Q4 - 0:32.6PacersMichael Porter Jr. blocks Aaron Nesmith's two point driving layup111
97.4%
107
2.6%
Q4 - 0:38.1PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound111
93.6%
107
6.4%
Q4 - 0:41.4NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot111
94.6%
107
5.4%
Q4 - 1:00NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound111
95.4%
107
4.6%
Q4 - 1:05PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot111
94.1%
107
5.9%
Q4 - 1:08PacersPacers offensive rebound111
90.6%
107
9.4%
Q4 - 1:11PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot111
93.7%
107
6.3%
Q4 - 1:16NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point running finger roll layup111
89.9%
107
10.1%
Q4 - 1:20NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound109
84.9%
107
15.1%
Q4 - 1:24PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot109
82.0%
107
18.0%
Q4 - 1:38NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup109
73.4%
107
26.6%
Q4 - 1:51NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound107
63.8%
107
36.2%
Q4 - 1:54PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot107
60.0%
107
40.0%
Q4 - 2:04PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound107
49.4%
107
50.6%
Q4 - 2:08NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot107
54.6%
107
45.4%
Q4 - 2:29PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point driving finger roll layup107
66.5%
107
33.5%
Q4 - 2:51NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
71.3%
105
28.7%
Q4 - 2:51NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
70.4%
105
29.6%
Q4 - 2:51PacersAaron Nesmith personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)105
69.3%
105
30.7%
Q4 - 2:59PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 2105
65.1%
105
34.9%
Q4 - 2:59PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
66.8%
104
33.2%
Q4 - 2:59NuggetsPeyton Watson personal foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)105
68.9%
103
31.1%
Q4 - 3:12NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)105
71.5%
103
28.5%
Q4 - 3:18PacersBen Sheppard personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)102
55.1%
103
44.9%
Q4 - 3:42PacersBen Sheppard makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)102
55.3%
103
44.7%
Q4 - 3:54NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point finger roll layup102
70.8%
100
29.2%
Q4 - 4:18PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point driving layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)100
63.7%
100
36.3%
Q4 - 4:26NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)100
70.8%
98
29.2%
Q4 - 4:52PacersBen Sheppard makes two point running finger roll layup100
78.4%
98
21.6%
Q4 - 4:54NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (lost ball) (Ben Sheppard steals)100
83.5%
96
16.5%
Q4 - 4:58NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound100
88.3%
96
11.7%
Q4 - 5:02PacersAaron Gordon blocks Aaron Nesmith's two point layup100
85.1%
96
14.9%
Q4 - 5:02PacersAaron Nesmith offensive rebound100
81.8%
96
18.2%
Q4 - 5:07PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point pullup jump shot100
85.2%
96
14.8%
Q4 - 5:17PacersBen Sheppard offensive rebound100
81.9%
96
18.1%
Q4 - 5:19PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 2 of 2100
86.0%
96
14.0%
Q4 - 5:19PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
83.2%
96
16.8%
Q4 - 5:19NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)100
84.1%
95
15.9%
Q4 - 5:29PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound100
86.2%
95
13.8%
Q4 - 5:32NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving finger roll layup100
87.4%
95
12.6%
Q4 - 5:49NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound100
89.9%
95
10.1%
Q4 - 5:51PacersPascal Siakam misses two point driving layup100
88.9%
95
11.1%
Q4 - 6:04PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound100
84.7%
95
15.3%
Q4 - 6:07NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot100
86.0%
95
14.0%
Q4 - 6:18PacersAaron Nesmith personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)100
88.7%
95
11.3%
Q4 - 6:44PacersPascal Siakam makes two point layup (Myles Turner assists)100
88.7%
95
11.3%
Q4 - 6:58PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound100
90.8%
93
9.2%
Q4 - 7:02NuggetsReggie Jackson misses three point pullup jump shot100
90.8%
93
9.2%
Q4 - 7:27PacersT.J. McConnell makes three point pullup jump shot (Ben Sheppard assists)100
92.5%
93
7.5%
Q4 - 7:45NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot100
95.2%
90
4.8%
Q4 - 8:09PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot98
93.3%
90
6.7%
Q4 - 8:15NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)98
94.6%
88
5.4%
Q4 - 8:27NuggetsPeyton Watson makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)98
94.6%
88
5.4%
Q4 - 8:39PacersT.J. McConnell personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)95
91.6%
88
8.4%
Q4 - 8:47PacersT.J. McConnell makes regular free throw 2 of 295
91.6%
88
8.4%
Q4 - 8:47PacersT.J. McConnell makes regular free throw 1 of 295
92.0%
87
8.0%
Q4 - 8:47NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)95
92.3%
86
7.7%
Q4 - 8:54NuggetsDeAndre Jordan turnover (offensive foul)95
93.2%
86
6.8%
Q4 - 8:54NuggetsDeAndre Jordan offensive foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)95
94.7%
86
5.3%
Q4 - 9:04NuggetsDeAndre Jordan defensive rebound95
94.2%
86
5.8%
Q4 - 9:04PacersDeAndre Jordan blocks Pascal Siakam's two point putback layup95
93.7%
86
6.3%
Q4 - 9:06PacersPascal Siakam offensive rebound95
92.5%
86
7.5%
Q4 - 9:08PacersPascal Siakam misses two point driving floating bank jump shot95
93.7%
86
6.3%
Q4 - 9:18NuggetsPeyton Watson turnover (traveling)95
92.6%
86
7.4%
Q4 - 9:38PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving finger roll layup (Pascal Siakam assists)95
94.2%
86
5.8%
Q4 - 9:46PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound95
95.2%
84
4.8%
Q4 - 9:48NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point fadeaway jump shot95
95.6%
84
4.4%
Q4 - 10:06PacersT.J. McConnell personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)95
95.6%
84
4.4%
Q4 - 10:12PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point floating jump shot95
95.6%
84
4.4%
Q4 - 10:19NuggetsReggie Jackson personal foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)95
96.3%
82
3.7%
Q4 - 10:30NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point driving finger roll layup95
96.3%
82
3.7%
Q4 - 10:36NuggetsChristian Braun offensive rebound93
95.6%
82
4.4%
Q4 - 10:40NuggetsChristian Braun misses three point jump shot93
94.9%
82
5.1%
Q4 - 10:48NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound93
95.6%
82
4.4%
Q4 - 10:52PacersPeyton Watson blocks Isaiah Jackson's two point turnaround jump shot93
95.3%
82
4.7%
Q4 - 10:59PacersPacers offensive rebound93
94.5%
82
5.5%
Q4 - 11:01PacersIsaiah Jackson misses regular free throw 2 of 293
94.9%
82
5.1%
Q4 - 11:01PacersIsaiah Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 293
94.2%
82
5.8%
Q4 - 11:01NuggetsDeAndre Jordan shooting foul (Isaiah Jackson draws the foul)93
94.5%
81
5.5%
Q4 - 11:14NuggetsPeyton Watson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)93
95.0%
81
5.0%
Q4 - 11:19NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound93
95.9%
81
4.1%
Q4 - 11:23PacersObi Toppin misses two point running finger roll layup93
95.7%
81
4.3%
Q4 - 11:27PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound93
95.0%
81
5.0%
Q4 - 11:30NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point pullup jump shot93
95.3%
81
4.7%
Q4 - 11:45PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (bad pass) (Peyton Watson steals)93
95.9%
81
4.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.93
95.1%
81
4.9%
Q3 - 0:00.1PacersPacers offensive rebound93
94.6%
81
5.4%
Q3 - 0:00.3PacersBuddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot93
95.3%
81
4.7%
Q3 - 0:04.4NuggetsJamal Murray personal foul (Take) (Buddy Hield draws the foul)93
94.6%
81
5.4%
Q3 - 0:24.2NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point running layup93
94.7%
81
5.3%
Q3 - 0:28.2PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (bad pass) (Christian Braun steals)91
93.5%
81
6.5%
Q3 - 0:41.8NuggetsPeyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 291
92.3%
81
7.7%
Q3 - 0:41.8NuggetsPeyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 290
91.9%
81
8.1%
Q3 - 0:41.8PacersBennedict Mathurin shooting foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)89
91.5%
81
8.5%
Q3 - 0:48.7NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound89
90.7%
81
9.3%
Q3 - 0:48.7PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot89
90.2%
81
9.8%
Q3 - 1:02PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound89
88.2%
81
11.8%
Q3 - 1:02NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot89
88.8%
81
11.2%
Q3 - 1:23NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound89
90.2%
81
9.8%
Q3 - 1:23PacersBennedict Mathurin misses three point jump shot89
89.6%
81
10.4%
Q3 - 1:33NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving layup89
88.3%
81
11.7%
Q3 - 1:39NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound87
86.4%
81
13.6%
Q3 - 1:41PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point fadeaway jump shot87
85.7%
81
14.3%
Q3 - 1:49PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound87
83.9%
81
16.1%
Q3 - 1:53NuggetsPeyton Watson misses three point jump shot87
84.7%
81
15.3%
Q3 - 2:11PacersMyles Turner turnover (offensive foul)87
85.7%
81
14.3%
Q3 - 2:11PacersMyles Turner offensive foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)87
83.2%
81
16.8%
Q3 - 2:22NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)87
83.2%
81
16.8%
Q3 - 2:38PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving reverse layup85
80.9%
81
19.1%
Q3 - 2:56NuggetsReggie Jackson makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)85
83.3%
79
16.7%
Q3 - 3:09PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 282
78.0%
79
22.0%
Q3 - 3:09PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 282
78.3%
78
21.7%
Q3 - 3:09NuggetsReggie Jackson shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)82
78.8%
77
21.2%
Q3 - 3:19PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound82
80.2%
77
19.8%
Q3 - 3:21NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot82
81.2%
77
18.8%
Q3 - 3:38PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (out of bounds step)82
83.2%
77
16.8%
Q3 - 3:47PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound82
80.3%
77
19.7%
Q3 - 3:49NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point hook shot82
81.2%
77
18.8%
Q3 - 4:07PacersMyles Turner makes two point dunk82
83.0%
77
17.0%
Q3 - 4:09NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Myles Turner steals)82
84.9%
75
15.1%
Q3 - 4:10NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound82
87.0%
75
13.0%
Q3 - 4:12PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving layup82
86.4%
75
13.6%
Q3 - 4:17PacersPacers offensive rebound82
84.9%
75
15.1%
Q3 - 4:17PacersNikola Jokic blocks T.J. McConnell's two point driving reverse layup82
86.4%
75
13.6%
Q3 - 4:34NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Loose ball) (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)82
84.9%
75
15.1%
Q3 - 4:34NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (lost ball)82
84.9%
75
15.1%
Q3 - 4:34NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound82
87.1%
75
12.9%
Q3 - 4:36PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point pullup jump shot82
86.4%
75
13.6%
Q3 - 4:42PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound82
84.9%
75
15.1%
Q3 - 4:46NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point driving floating jump shot82
85.6%
75
14.4%
Q3 - 5:06PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot82
86.6%
75
13.4%
Q3 - 5:17NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving reverse layup (Aaron Gordon assists)82
88.2%
73
11.8%
Q3 - 5:27NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound80
86.6%
73
13.4%
Q3 - 5:30PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot80
86.0%
73
14.0%
Q3 - 5:42NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 280
84.6%
73
15.4%
Q3 - 5:42NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 279
84.0%
73
16.0%
Q3 - 5:42PacersAndrew Nembhard shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)78
83.2%
73
16.8%
Q3 - 5:45NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound78
82.7%
73
17.3%
Q3 - 5:52PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point layup78
81.9%
73
18.1%
Q3 - 6:12NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)78
80.1%
73
19.9%
Q3 - 6:15NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound75
75.3%
73
24.7%
Q3 - 6:20PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot75
74.3%
73
25.7%
Q3 - 6:26PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound75
72.0%
73
28.0%
Q3 - 6:31NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot75
73.0%
73
27.0%
Q3 - 6:39NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound75
75.2%
73
24.8%
Q3 - 6:42PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot75
74.3%
73
25.7%
Q3 - 6:52NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 275
71.9%
73
28.1%
Q3 - 6:52NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 274
71.6%
73
28.4%
Q3 - 6:52PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)73
71.2%
73
28.8%
Q3 - 7:09PacersMyles Turner makes two point cutting layup (Buddy Hield assists)73
69.4%
73
30.6%
Q3 - 7:25NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point fadeaway jump shot73
71.9%
71
28.1%
Q3 - 7:27NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound71
69.4%
71
30.6%
Q3 - 7:27NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point tip layup71
66.9%
71
33.1%
Q3 - 7:27NuggetsJamal Murray offensive rebound71
69.4%
71
30.6%
Q3 - 7:31NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving finger roll layup71
66.9%
71
33.1%
Q3 - 7:48PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 171
69.4%
71
30.6%
Q3 - 7:48NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)71
70.0%
70
30.0%
Q3 - 8:07NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes technical free throw 1 of 171
74.7%
68
25.3%
Q3 - 8:07PacersRick Carlisle technical foul70
74.1%
68
25.9%
Q3 - 8:07NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes technical free throw 1 of 170
72.0%
68
28.0%
Q3 - 8:07PacersRick Carlisle technical foul69
71.3%
68
28.7%
Q3 - 8:07NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point running jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)69
69.1%
68
30.9%
Q3 - 8:12NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound66
63.5%
68
36.5%
Q3 - 8:13PacersPascal Siakam misses two point driving layup66
62.3%
68
37.7%
Q3 - 8:34NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)66
59.5%
68
40.5%
Q3 - 8:47PacersMyles Turner makes two point driving floating jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)63
53.3%
68
46.7%
Q3 - 8:59NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point driving reverse layup (Jamal Murray assists)63
56.1%
66
43.9%
Q3 - 9:09NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound61
54.4%
66
45.6%
Q3 - 9:13PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point running jump shot61
53.1%
66
46.9%
Q3 - 9:18PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound61
50.4%
66
49.6%
Q3 - 9:21NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point fadeaway jump shot61
51.6%
66
48.4%
Q3 - 9:44PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point driving finger roll layup61
54.3%
66
45.7%
Q3 - 9:52PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound61
57.0%
64
43.0%
Q3 - 9:56NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot61
58.2%
64
41.8%
Q3 - 10:18NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound61
61.4%
64
38.6%
Q3 - 10:22PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot61
60.2%
64
39.8%
Q3 - 10:38NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)61
57.6%
64
42.4%
Q3 - 10:52PacersMyles Turner turnover (out of bounds lost ball)58
51.8%
64
48.2%
Q3 - 11:10NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)58
49.0%
64
51.0%
Q3 - 11:13PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)56
46.0%
64
54.0%
Q3 - 11:20PacersMyles Turner makes two point stepback jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)56
46.0%
64
54.0%
Q3 - 11:39NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving floating jump shot56
49.0%
62
51.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.54
46.0%
62
54.0%
Q2 - 0:03.2NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)54
44.7%
62
55.3%
Q2 - 0:09.7PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 251
38.2%
62
61.8%
Q2 - 0:09.7PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 251
38.6%
61
61.4%
Q2 - 0:09.7NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)51
39.1%
60
60.9%
Q2 - 0:33.2NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point turnaround bank jump shot51
41.5%
60
58.5%
Q2 - 0:50.3PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point stepback bank jump shot49
38.0%
60
62.0%
Q2 - 1:00NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (out of bounds bad pass)49
41.4%
58
58.6%
Q2 - 1:12PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point tip layup49
45.4%
58
54.6%
Q2 - 1:12PacersAaron Nesmith offensive rebound49
49.0%
56
51.0%
Q2 - 1:16PacersMyles Turner misses two point stepback jump shot49
50.7%
56
49.3%
Q2 - 1:28NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot49
49.0%
56
51.0%
Q2 - 1:44PacersAndrew Nembhard makes three point pullup jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)47
45.3%
56
54.7%
Q2 - 2:03NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 147
52.3%
53
47.7%
Q2 - 2:03PacersPascal Siakam shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)46
51.4%
53
48.6%
Q2 - 2:08NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound44
46.8%
53
53.2%
Q2 - 2:11PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving floating jump shot44
45.8%
53
54.2%
Q2 - 2:26NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving layup44
43.5%
53
56.5%
Q2 - 2:34NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound42
40.9%
53
59.1%
Q2 - 2:38PacersPascal Siakam misses two point fadeaway jump shot42
39.9%
53
60.1%
Q2 - 2:58NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)42
37.8%
53
62.2%
Q2 - 3:02NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound40
37.2%
53
62.8%
Q2 - 3:05PacersPascal Siakam misses two point pullup jump shot40
36.2%
53
63.8%
Q2 - 3:17PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound40
34.0%
53
66.0%
Q2 - 3:22NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot40
34.9%
53
65.1%
Q2 - 3:40PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 240
37.0%
53
63.0%
Q2 - 3:40PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 240
37.5%
52
62.5%
Q2 - 3:40NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)40
38.1%
51
61.9%
Q2 - 3:55PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound40
39.1%
51
60.9%
Q2 - 3:58NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot40
40.1%
51
59.9%
Q2 - 4:08NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound40
43.9%
51
56.1%
Q2 - 4:10PacersMyles Turner misses two point layup40
43.0%
51
57.0%
Q2 - 4:19PacersBennedict Mathurin misses technical free throw 1 of 140
40.9%
51
59.1%
Q2 - 4:19Aaron Gordon technical foul (Flopping)40
38.9%
51
61.1%
Q2 - 4:23PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound40
40.9%
51
59.1%
Q2 - 4:27NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point running jump shot40
41.8%
51
58.2%
Q2 - 4:32NuggetsReggie Jackson defensive rebound40
43.9%
51
56.1%
Q2 - 4:36PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point fadeaway jump shot40
42.9%
51
57.1%
Q2 - 4:43PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound40
40.9%
51
59.1%
Q2 - 4:47NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point fadeaway jump shot40
41.8%
51
58.2%
Q2 - 5:03PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point turnaround jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)40
45.0%
51
55.0%
Q2 - 5:16PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound40
46.9%
49
53.1%
Q2 - 5:17NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point tip layup40
48.0%
49
52.0%
Q2 - 5:17NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound40
50.3%
49
49.7%
Q2 - 5:21NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot40
48.0%
49
52.0%
Q2 - 5:43PacersPascal Siakam makes two point floating jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)40
50.3%
49
49.7%
Q2 - 5:46PacersAaron Nesmith offensive rebound40
52.3%
47
47.7%
Q2 - 5:48PacersPascal Siakam misses two point stepback jump shot40
54.7%
47
45.3%
Q2 - 6:06NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 240
53.3%
47
46.7%
Q2 - 6:06NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 239
52.9%
47
47.1%
Q2 - 6:06PacersAaron Nesmith personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)38
52.4%
47
47.6%
Q2 - 6:32PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point cutting layup38
51.2%
47
48.8%
Q2 - 6:49NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)38
53.2%
45
46.8%
Q2 - 7:04PacersAaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)36
51.7%
45
48.3%
Q2 - 7:23NuggetsReggie Jackson turnover (offensive goaltending)36
56.6%
42
43.4%
Q2 - 7:23NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound36
59.3%
42
40.7%
Q2 - 7:24NuggetsDeAndre Jordan misses regular free throw 2 of 236
57.0%
42
43.0%
Q2 - 7:24NuggetsDeAndre Jordan misses regular free throw 1 of 236
58.2%
42
41.8%
Q2 - 7:24PacersBennedict Mathurin shooting foul (DeAndre Jordan draws the foul)36
59.5%
42
40.5%
Q2 - 7:24NuggetsDeAndre Jordan offensive rebound36
59.3%
42
40.7%
Q2 - 7:27NuggetsReggie Jackson misses three point pullup jump shot36
57.5%
42
42.5%
Q2 - 7:42PacersBuddy Hield makes two point driving dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)36
59.3%
42
40.7%
Q2 - 7:57NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point driving floating jump shot36
61.6%
40
38.4%
Q2 - 8:11PacersObi Toppin makes two point cutting dunk (Bennedict Mathurin assists)34
59.5%
40
40.5%
Q2 - 8:22PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound34
61.7%
38
38.3%
Q2 - 8:25NuggetsChristian Braun misses three point pullup jump shot34
62.5%
38
37.5%
Q2 - 8:27NuggetsChristian Braun offensive rebound34
64.3%
38
35.7%
Q2 - 8:31NuggetsPeyton Watson misses two point turnaround jump shot34
62.5%
38
37.5%
Q2 - 8:41NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound34
64.3%
38
35.7%
Q2 - 8:44PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point driving floating jump shot34
63.6%
38
36.4%
Q2 - 8:52PacersIsaiah Jackson defensive rebound34
61.7%
38
38.3%
Q2 - 8:54NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point layup34
62.5%
38
37.5%
Q2 - 9:03NuggetsChristian Braun offensive rebound34
64.0%
38
36.0%
Q2 - 9:07NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot34
62.4%
38
37.6%
Q2 - 9:13NuggetsReggie Jackson defensive rebound34
64.1%
38
35.9%
Q2 - 9:17PacersPeyton Watson blocks Isaiah Jackson's two point running layup34
63.3%
38
36.7%
Q2 - 9:22NuggetsReggie Jackson turnover (bad pass) (Buddy Hield steals)34
61.6%
38
38.4%
Q2 - 9:47PacersBennedict Mathurin makes three point pullup jump shot34
64.1%
38
35.9%
Q2 - 10:00NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point pullup jump shot34
68.5%
35
31.5%
Q2 - 10:13PacersIsaiah Jackson personal foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)32
66.7%
35
33.3%
Q2 - 10:27PacersObi Toppin makes two point alley-oop dunk (Bennedict Mathurin assists)32
66.7%
35
33.3%
Q2 - 10:33PacersIsaiah Jackson defensive rebound32
68.8%
33
31.2%
Q2 - 10:36NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot32
69.4%
33
30.6%
Q2 - 11:04PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)32
71.1%
33
28.9%
Q2 - 11:11NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup (DeAndre Jordan assists)32
73.1%
31
26.9%
Q2 - 11:28PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bennedict Mathurin assists)30
71.1%
31
28.9%
Q2 - 11:38NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 230
73.1%
29
26.9%
Q2 - 11:38NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 229
72.9%
29
27.1%
Q2 - 11:38PacersT.J. McConnell shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)28
72.6%
29
27.4%
Q2 - 11:44PacersBuddy Hield personal foul (DeAndre Jordan draws the foul)28
71.1%
29
28.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
71.1%
29
28.9%
Q1 - 0:01.3PacersPacers offensive rebound28
69.3%
29
30.7%
Q1 - 0:01.3PacersBuddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot28
70.7%
29
29.3%
Q1 - 0:02.9PacersBuddy Hield makes regular free throw 1 of 128
71.3%
29
28.7%
Q1 - 0:02.9NuggetsReggie Jackson personal foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)28
71.6%
28
28.4%
Q1 - 0:03.7NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Jamal Murray assists)28
71.3%
28
28.7%
Q1 - 0:07.6PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (lost ball) (Reggie Jackson steals)26
69.3%
28
30.7%
Q1 - 0:27.2NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point driving finger roll layup26
67.2%
28
32.8%
Q1 - 0:35.9NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound24
65.1%
28
34.9%
Q1 - 0:35.9PacersChristian Braun blocks Obi Toppin's two point driving layup24
64.4%
28
35.6%
Q1 - 0:50.3PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound24
62.9%
28
37.1%
Q1 - 0:52.6NuggetsReggie Jackson misses three point pullup jump shot24
63.6%
28
36.4%
Q1 - 1:18PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point pullup jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)24
65.5%
28
34.5%
Q1 - 1:32NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point pullup jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)24
67.6%
26
32.4%
Q1 - 1:58PacersIsaiah Jackson makes two point dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)21
63.3%
26
36.7%
Q1 - 2:11NuggetsDeAndre Jordan makes two point putback layup21
65.7%
24
34.3%
Q1 - 2:12NuggetsDeAndre Jordan offensive rebound19
64.0%
24
36.0%
Q1 - 2:15NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving finger roll layup19
62.3%
24
37.7%
Q1 - 2:20NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound19
64.0%
24
36.0%
Q1 - 2:21NuggetsBuddy Hield blocks Jamal Murray's two point driving layup19
62.3%
24
37.7%
Q1 - 2:33PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 219
64.0%
24
36.0%
Q1 - 2:33PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 219
64.4%
23
35.6%
Q1 - 2:33NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)19
64.8%
22
35.2%
Q1 - 2:43NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)19
65.7%
22
34.3%
Q1 - 3:00PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point driving layup17
64.0%
22
36.0%
Q1 - 3:06NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)17
65.6%
20
34.4%
Q1 - 3:10PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound17
65.6%
20
34.4%
Q1 - 3:15NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point running jump shot17
66.4%
20
33.6%
Q1 - 3:16NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound17
68.1%
20
31.9%
Q1 - 3:19PacersReggie Jackson blocks Bennedict Mathurin's two point running layup17
67.3%
20
32.7%
Q1 - 3:23PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound17
65.6%
20
34.4%
Q1 - 3:25NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot17
66.4%
20
33.6%
Q1 - 3:32PacersAndrew Nembhard turnover (lost ball) (Reggie Jackson steals)17
68.1%
20
31.9%
Q1 - 3:54NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot17
65.6%
20
34.4%
Q1 - 4:03NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound15
64.8%
20
35.2%
Q1 - 4:07NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot15
63.2%
20
36.8%
Q1 - 4:18PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point fadeaway jump shot15
64.7%
20
35.3%
Q1 - 4:33PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound15
66.3%
18
33.7%
Q1 - 4:36NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot15
66.9%
18
33.1%
Q1 - 4:57PacersPascal Siakam makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot15
68.4%
18
31.6%
Q1 - 5:25NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)15
70.5%
16
29.5%
Q1 - 5:25NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound15
72.3%
16
27.7%
Q1 - 5:26NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point turnaround jump shot15
71.0%
16
29.0%
Q1 - 5:49PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 215
72.3%
16
27.7%
Q1 - 5:49PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 215
72.7%
15
27.3%
Q1 - 5:49NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)15
73.0%
14
27.0%
Q1 - 6:03NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point stepback jump shot15
73.9%
14
26.1%
Q1 - 6:17PacersMyles Turner makes two point running finger roll layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)13
72.3%
14
27.7%
Q1 - 6:22PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound13
73.9%
12
26.1%
Q1 - 6:25NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point driving finger roll layup13
74.4%
12
25.6%
Q1 - 6:39PacersAaron Nesmith turnover (out of bounds step)13
75.4%
12
24.6%
Q1 - 6:42PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound13
73.9%
12
26.1%
Q1 - 6:44NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround hook shot13
74.4%
12
25.6%
Q1 - 7:06PacersPascal Siakam makes two point stepback jump shot13
75.9%
12
24.1%
Q1 - 7:16PacersAaron Nesmith offensive rebound13
77.1%
10
22.9%
Q1 - 7:20PacersMyles Turner misses two point jump shot13
78.2%
10
21.8%
Q1 - 7:35PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound13
77.1%
10
22.9%
Q1 - 7:38NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot13
77.6%
10
22.4%
Q1 - 7:47NuggetsJamal Murray offensive rebound13
78.7%
10
21.3%
Q1 - 7:50NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot13
77.6%
10
22.4%
Q1 - 8:02PacersAndrew Nembhard turnover (out of bounds bad pass)13
79.1%
10
20.9%
Q1 - 8:18NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running reverse layup (Michael Porter Jr. assists)13
77.5%
10
22.5%
Q1 - 8:21PacersPascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)11
76.4%
10
23.6%
Q1 - 8:30NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Buddy Hield steals)11
74.7%
10
25.3%
Q1 - 8:47PacersMyles Turner makes two point layup (Pascal Siakam assists)11
76.4%
10
23.6%
Q1 - 8:56NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point driving dunk (Jamal Murray assists)11
77.5%
8
22.5%
Q1 - 9:05PacersPascal Siakam makes two point driving finger roll layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)9
76.2%
8
23.8%
Q1 - 9:13NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving reverse layup9
77.4%
6
22.6%
Q1 - 9:33PacersMyles Turner makes two point stepback jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)7
76.2%
6
23.8%
Q1 - 9:41NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point tip layup7
77.4%
4
22.6%
Q1 - 9:41NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound5
76.2%
4
23.8%
Q1 - 9:45NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot5
75.1%
4
24.9%
Q1 - 10:02NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound5
76.2%
4
23.8%
Q1 - 10:05PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot5
75.7%
4
24.3%
Q1 - 10:26NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point pullup jump shot5
74.6%
4
25.4%
Q1 - 10:40PacersPascal Siakam makes two point pullup jump shot2
71.9%
4
28.1%
Q1 - 10:44PacersPacers offensive rebound2
73.2%
2
26.8%
Q1 - 10:44PacersAaron Gordon blocks Pascal Siakam's two point running layup2
74.3%
2
25.7%
Q1 - 10:48PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound2
73.2%
2
26.8%
Q1 - 10:52NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point driving layup2
73.7%
2
26.3%
Q1 - 11:11PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point driving layup2
75.2%
2
24.8%
Q1 - 11:20NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
76.2%
0
23.8%
Q1 - 11:40NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound0
75.2%
0
24.8%
Q1 - 11:45PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot0
74.7%
0
25.3%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Jokic vs. Myles Turner (Aaron Nesmith gains possession)0
73.6%
0
26.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.16 58.2%
IND
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
21
30
70%
IND
24
39
62%
Midrange
DEN
12
25
48%
IND
14
27
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
11
16.5
33
33%
50%
IND
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
Free Throws
DEN
15
17
88%
IND
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić3178%15.5 / 20
J. Murray3157%15.5 / 27
K. Caldwell-Pope1458%7.0 / 12
R. Jackson1359%6.5 / 11
A. Gordon975%4.5 / 6
P. Watson770%3.5 / 5
M. Porter528%2.5 / 9
C. Braun233%1.0 / 3
D. Jordan250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Turner2252%11.0 / 21
T. McConnell1771%8.5 / 12
P. Siakam1647%8.0 / 17
A. Nembhard1583%7.5 / 9
A. Nesmith1346%6.5 / 14
B. Mathurin1155%5.5 / 10
B. Sheppard5125%2.5 / 2
O. Toppin450%2.0 / 4
B. Hield338%1.5 / 4
I. Jackson338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
84
+14
-10
98
IND
86
+15
-10
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.16 58.2%
IND
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
118.1
120.7
DEN 121.3 +7.7
IND 113.5
Pace
97.1
102.1
DEN 84.6
IND 108.0 +23.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
13.8
DEN 17.0
IND 13.3 +3.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.2%
57.9%
DEN 56.3% +4.0%
IND 52.3%
TO %
12.1%
12.0%
DEN 11.2%
IND 9.4% +1.8%
ORB %
25.5%
23.8%
DEN 26.2% +7.8%
IND 18.4%
FTrt
22.4
22.2
DEN 19.3
IND 24.1 +4.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.9%
65.4%
DEN 50.0%
IND 55.8% +5.8%
STL %
7.4%
7.5%
DEN 5.3% +1.1%
IND 4.2%
BLK %
9.8%
9.7%
DEN 13.6% +11.8%
IND 1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
59.4%
DEN 58.2% +3.7%
IND 54.5%
Rim FG%
62.7%
65.5%
DEN 70.0% +8.5%
IND 61.5%
Mid FG%
47.6%
48.9%
DEN 48.0%
IND 51.9% +3.9%
3P %
37.4%
37.4%
DEN 33.3% +9.5%
IND 23.8%
FT %
76.2%
78.2%
DEN 88.2% +2.5%
IND 85.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
37.2%
DEN 34.1%
IND 44.8% +10.7%
Mid Att. %
27.9%
24.7%
DEN 28.4% +2.6%
IND 31.0%
3P Att. %
35.2%
38.0%
DEN 37.5% +13.4%
IND 24.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.
Game TotalsDENIND
Possessions9496
Possession Minutes26.721.3
Points114109
Rebounds4238
Assists2224
Steals54
Blocks91
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)7 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)31 (0)
Field Goals44-8843-87
At-the-Rim FG21-3024-39
Midrange FG12-2514-27
2-Point FG33-5538-66
3-Point FG11-335-21
Free Throws15-1718-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26
30.6
5
28%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-5
20%
#50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28
32.3
9
75%
1
1
0
2
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29
37.0
31
78%
13
10
0
1
1
3
2
11
2-2
100%
10-15
67%
3-4
75%
#5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31
34.8
14
58%
5
0
1
0
1
3
2
3
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
2-6
33%
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27
36.8
31
57%
8
7
0
0
3
1
2
6
6-6
100%
8-15
53%
3-9
33%
#7 · G · 6'3" 208 · 34
24.4
13
59%
2
2
2
1
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
#8 · G · 6'7" 200 · 21
18.6
7
70%
2
0
1
2
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
#0 · G · 6'6" 220 · 23
14.7
2
33%
4
0
1
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36
10.7
2
50%
3
1
0
1
1
2
2
1
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#22 · F-C · 6'9" 240 · 23
#9 · G · 6'6" 185 · 35
#30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26
#24 · G · 6'2" 202 · 24
#4 · F · 6'8" 215 · 24
#3 · G · 6'6" 205 · 22
INACTIVE_INJURY | Right Knee; Contusion/Sprain
#11 · F · 6'8" 225 · 27
INACTIVE_GLEAGUE_TWOWAY
#21 · G · 6'1" 195 · 25
INACTIVE_GLEAGUE_TWOWAY
#31 · F · 6'9" 215 · 27
INACTIVE_INJURY | Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
114
58%
42
22
5
9
10
0
11
31
15-17
88%
33-55
60%
11-33
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.