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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 19, 2024
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Hawks34%109109
11Heat66%115108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'4" 180 · 27.3
39.8
32.9
22
49%
3
11
2
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
6-15
6-11
40%
52%
3-7
43%
Saddiq Bey
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
36.0
31.7
14
46%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
6-7
86%
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
0-5
0%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'5" 225 · 31.4
34.9
24.2
17
54%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
3-8
3-5
38%
52%
3-7
43%
Jalen Johnson
F · 6'8" 219 · 22.1
33.6
35.4
15
54%
7
2
2
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
6-10
5-8
60%
60%
1-4
25%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 256 · 29.7
22.2
25.4
9
64%
11
0
0
1
1
0
5
6
5-7
71%
2-4
4-7
50%
61%
0-0
-
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.1
25.8
24.6
9
90%
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
64%
1-1
100%
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 27.2
19.9
12.2
9
90%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
53%
3-4
75%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 35.4
18.0
3.6
11
92%
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
3-5
60%
Trent Forrest
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.6
9.7
9.0
3
38%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Bruno Fernando
F · 6'10" 233 · 25.4
3.7
0
1-1
56%
AJ Griffin
F · 6'6" 220 · 20.4
3.0
0
0-0
52%
Seth Lundy
G-F · 6'4" 220 · 23.8
2.4
0
0-0
50%
Mouhamed Gueye
F · 6'10" 210 · 21.2
Trae Young
G · 6'1" 164 · 25.3
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 23.6
De'Andre Hunter
F-G · 6'8" 221 · 26.1
Kobe Bufkin
G · 6'4" 195 · 20.3
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 37.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 26.5
38.9
35.9
21
57%
9
6
1
1
0
3
2
7
7-8
88%
7-15
9-15
47%
56%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 34.3
36.0
30.9
25
87%
5
6
2
1
0
4
4
1
9-10
90%
8-10
6-11
80%
54%
0-0
-
Tyler Herro
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.0
34.5
32.0
25
64%
6
2
1
1
0
2
0
6
1-1
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
53%
4-9
44%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'5" 205 · 28.3
26.8
25.5
10
56%
8
1
0
1
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
56%
2-3
67%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.6
15.0
21.7
2
20%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
58%
0-1
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 196 · 37.8
24.3
24.2
2
25%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-3
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
21.6
24.9
14
88%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
59%
4-7
57%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.3
20.9
23.0
9
71%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
3-3
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
2-4
50%
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 35.4
11.9
11.9
0
0%
5
1
1
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
56%
0-3
0%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'5" 220 · 27.1
10.1
18.2
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
56%
0-1
0%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.5
3.8
0
1-1
65%
Orlando Robinson
C · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
2.5
0
0-0
59%
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.7
1.8
0
0-0
60%
R.J. Hampton
G · 6'4" 175 · 22.9
Dru Smith
G · 6'2" 203 · 26.1
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
Jamal Cain
F · 6'6" 191 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.