FinalWin Prob.pScore
2434%109
109
1166%115
108
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
113.59696.9
MIA logo MIA
112.59695.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.109
100%
108
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0HawksDejounte Murray makes three point pullup jump shot109
85.7%
108
14.3%
Q4 - 0:05.9HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound106
12.3%
108
87.7%
Q4 - 0:08.2HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot106
10.9%
108
89.1%
Q4 - 0:30.2HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
9.3%
108
90.7%
Q4 - 0:30.2HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
8.5%
108
91.5%
Q4 - 0:30.2HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)104
7.6%
108
92.4%
Q4 - 0:30.9HawksHawks offensive rebound104
5.2%
108
94.8%
Q4 - 0:30.9HawksCaleb Martin blocks Dejounte Murray's two point driving layup104
2.7%
108
97.3%
Q4 - 0:35.5HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)104
4.9%
108
95.1%
Q4 - 0:57.8HawksClint Capela makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
24.0%
105
76.0%
Q4 - 0:57.8HawksClint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
20.4%
105
79.6%
Q4 - 0:57.8HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)102
16.7%
105
83.3%
Q4 - 1:06HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot102
16.6%
105
83.4%
Q4 - 1:14HawksBogdan Bogdanovic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)102
24.2%
103
75.8%
Q4 - 1:14HawksClint Capela defensive rebound102
38.6%
103
61.4%
Q4 - 1:16HeatJimmy Butler misses two point floating jump shot102
33.8%
103
66.2%
Q4 - 1:33HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound102
25.2%
103
74.8%
Q4 - 1:35HawksDejounte Murray misses two point pullup bank jump shot102
28.7%
103
71.3%
Q4 - 1:54HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1102
38.0%
103
62.0%
Q4 - 1:54HawksSaddiq Bey shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)102
39.3%
102
60.7%
Q4 - 2:00HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound102
59.0%
100
41.0%
Q4 - 2:05HawksSaddiq Bey misses two point pullup jump shot102
63.6%
100
36.4%
Q4 - 2:19HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving dunk102
74.1%
100
25.9%
Q4 - 2:32HawksSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
79.1%
98
20.9%
Q4 - 2:32HawksSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
78.0%
98
22.0%
Q4 - 2:32HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)100
76.7%
98
23.3%
Q4 - 2:50HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)100
74.6%
98
25.4%
Q4 - 2:50HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)100
58.6%
98
41.4%
Q4 - 3:05HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound100
57.1%
98
42.9%
Q4 - 3:08HawksJalen Johnson misses three point jump shot100
61.5%
98
38.5%
Q4 - 3:26HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
71.0%
98
29.0%
Q4 - 3:26HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2100
72.4%
97
27.6%
Q4 - 3:26HawksJalen Johnson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)100
65.1%
97
34.9%
Q4 - 3:35HawksJalen Johnson makes two point pullup jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)100
62.2%
97
37.8%
Q4 - 3:45HawksClint Capela defensive rebound98
54.9%
97
45.1%
Q4 - 3:48HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving bank jump shot98
52.0%
97
48.0%
Q4 - 3:59HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound98
45.2%
97
54.8%
Q4 - 4:03HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot98
48.3%
97
51.7%
Q4 - 4:14HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)98
55.3%
97
44.7%
Q4 - 4:38HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)98
45.4%
97
54.6%
Q4 - 4:56HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)95
29.4%
97
70.6%
Q4 - 5:14HawksSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 195
23.1%
97
76.9%
Q4 - 5:14HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)94
22.4%
97
77.6%
Q4 - 5:29HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 192
14.1%
97
85.9%
Q4 - 5:29HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)92
14.4%
96
85.6%
Q4 - 5:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound92
29.2%
93
70.8%
Q4 - 5:42HawksDejounte Murray misses two point fadeaway jump shot92
31.5%
93
68.5%
Q4 - 5:55HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Dejounte Murray steals)92
37.0%
93
63.0%
Q4 - 5:58HawksPatty Mills turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)92
29.2%
93
70.8%
Q4 - 6:00HawksPatty Mills defensive rebound92
37.0%
93
63.0%
Q4 - 6:03HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot92
34.2%
93
65.8%
Q4 - 6:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound92
29.1%
93
70.9%
Q4 - 6:19HawksSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot92
31.3%
93
68.7%
Q4 - 6:31HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot92
36.6%
93
63.4%
Q4 - 7:01HawksGarrison Mathews makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)92
40.6%
91
59.4%
Q4 - 7:18HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 289
30.2%
91
69.8%
Q4 - 7:18HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 289
30.8%
90
69.2%
Q4 - 7:18HawksPatty Mills shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)89
31.6%
89
68.4%
Q4 - 7:24HawksGarrison Mathews personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)89
34.6%
89
65.4%
Q4 - 7:39HawksSaddiq Bey makes two point putback layup89
34.6%
89
65.4%
Q4 - 7:40HawksSaddiq Bey offensive rebound87
30.2%
89
69.8%
Q4 - 7:41HawksSaddiq Bey misses two point driving floating jump shot87
25.7%
89
74.3%
Q4 - 7:55HawksGarrison Mathews defensive rebound87
30.2%
89
69.8%
Q4 - 7:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot87
28.2%
89
71.8%
Q4 - 8:15HawksOnyeka Okongwu turnover (offensive foul)87
24.6%
89
75.4%
Q4 - 8:15HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)87
29.8%
89
70.2%
Q4 - 8:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)87
29.9%
89
70.1%
Q4 - 8:34HawksBogdan Bogdanovic turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)87
34.8%
87
65.2%
Q4 - 8:46HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 287
41.0%
87
59.0%
Q4 - 8:46HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 287
41.6%
86
58.4%
Q4 - 8:46HawksPatty Mills shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)87
42.2%
85
57.8%
Q4 - 8:47HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound87
46.6%
85
53.4%
Q4 - 8:52HawksJalen Johnson misses three point jump shot87
48.6%
85
51.4%
Q4 - 9:15HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)87
51.9%
85
48.1%
Q4 - 9:39HawksHawks turnover (shot clock violation)87
45.4%
85
54.6%
Q4 - 10:03HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)87
50.8%
85
49.2%
Q4 - 10:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
44.7%
85
55.3%
Q4 - 10:14HawksTrent Forrest misses two point driving floating jump shot87
46.5%
85
53.5%
Q4 - 10:21HawksTrent Forrest defensive rebound87
50.8%
85
49.2%
Q4 - 10:27HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point stepback jump shot87
49.0%
85
51.0%
Q4 - 10:49HawksPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Trent Forrest assists)87
44.7%
85
55.3%
Q4 - 11:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)84
34.6%
85
65.4%
Q4 - 11:25HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Trent Forrest assists)84
39.5%
83
60.5%
Q4 - 11:38HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)81
30.1%
83
69.9%
Q4 - 11:41HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound81
26.0%
83
74.0%
Q4 - 11:45HawksJalen Johnson misses two point driving bank jump shot81
27.2%
83
72.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.81
30.2%
83
69.8%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound81
26.3%
83
73.7%
Q3 - 0:00.6HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point fadeaway jump shot81
28.9%
83
71.1%
Q3 - 0:12.7HawksGarrison Mathews makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)81
26.3%
83
73.7%
Q3 - 0:32.1HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)78
19.3%
83
80.7%
Q3 - 0:32.1HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)78
16.5%
83
83.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound78
16.5%
83
83.5%
Q3 - 0:47.5HawksDejounte Murray misses three point pullup jump shot78
17.3%
83
82.7%
Q3 - 1:05HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound78
20.0%
83
80.0%
Q3 - 1:08HeatKevin Love misses two point jump shot78
19.0%
83
81.0%
Q3 - 1:14HeatKevin Love defensive rebound78
17.0%
83
83.0%
Q3 - 1:18HawksDejounte Murray misses two point driving floating bank jump shot78
17.9%
83
82.1%
Q3 - 1:25HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound78
19.9%
83
80.1%
Q3 - 1:30HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot78
19.0%
83
81.0%
Q3 - 1:33HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound78
17.0%
83
83.0%
Q3 - 1:35HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot78
19.0%
83
81.0%
Q3 - 2:11HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point driving floating bank jump shot78
17.6%
83
82.4%
Q3 - 2:32HeatKevin Love turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Johnson steals)76
15.4%
83
84.6%
Q3 - 2:43HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound76
13.1%
83
86.9%
Q3 - 2:45HawksGarrison Mathews misses two point running finger roll layup76
13.7%
83
86.3%
Q3 - 2:50HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound76
15.3%
83
84.7%
Q3 - 2:55HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot76
14.6%
83
85.4%
Q3 - 3:09HawksGarrison Mathews turnover (out of bounds lost ball)76
13.6%
83
86.4%
Q3 - 3:17HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)76
16.1%
83
83.9%
Q3 - 3:17HawksHawks offensive rebound76
16.1%
83
83.9%
Q3 - 3:17HawksDejounte Murray misses two point running finger roll layup76
14.3%
83
85.7%
Q3 - 3:23HeatKevin Love turnover (bad pass) (Patty Mills steals)76
16.0%
83
84.0%
Q3 - 3:25HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound76
13.6%
83
86.4%
Q3 - 3:27HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot76
15.2%
83
84.8%
Q3 - 3:35HeatKevin Love defensive rebound76
13.6%
83
86.4%
Q3 - 3:39HawksGarrison Mathews misses three point stepback jump shot76
14.3%
83
85.7%
Q3 - 3:53HeatKevin Love turnover (out of bounds step)76
16.0%
83
84.0%
Q3 - 3:57HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound76
13.5%
83
86.5%
Q3 - 3:59HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses two point turnaround hook shot76
14.3%
83
85.7%
Q3 - 4:09HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound76
16.4%
83
83.6%
Q3 - 4:12HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot76
15.7%
83
84.3%
Q3 - 4:26HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point tip dunk76
14.1%
83
85.9%
Q3 - 4:27HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound74
12.4%
83
87.6%
Q3 - 4:27HawksDejounte Murray misses two point driving layup74
11.1%
83
88.9%
Q3 - 4:31HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kyle Lowry assists)74
12.4%
83
87.6%
Q3 - 4:51HawksPatty Mills makes two point pullup jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)74
14.0%
81
86.0%
Q3 - 5:13HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 272
12.9%
81
87.1%
Q3 - 5:13HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 272
13.3%
80
86.7%
Q3 - 5:13HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)72
13.6%
79
86.4%
Q3 - 5:13HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound72
14.6%
79
85.4%
Q3 - 5:14HeatOnyeka Okongwu blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup72
16.1%
79
83.9%
Q3 - 5:32HawksDejounte Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot72
14.6%
79
85.4%
Q3 - 5:55HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 270
12.9%
79
87.1%
Q3 - 5:55HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 270
13.1%
78
86.9%
Q3 - 5:55HawksDejounte Murray shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)70
13.4%
77
86.6%
Q3 - 6:02HawksDejounte Murray turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)70
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 6:05HawksGarrison Mathews defensive rebound70
17.2%
77
82.8%
Q3 - 6:09HeatNikola Jovic misses two point turnaround bank jump shot70
16.4%
77
83.6%
Q3 - 6:11HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound70
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 6:15HeatClint Capela blocks Bam Adebayo's two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot70
16.4%
77
83.6%
Q3 - 6:26HawksPatty Mills personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)70
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 6:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 6:32HawksClint Capela misses regular free throw 2 of 270
15.2%
77
84.8%
Q3 - 6:32HawksClint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 270
16.2%
77
83.8%
Q3 - 6:32HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)69
15.4%
77
84.6%
Q3 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving bank hook shot69
15.1%
77
84.9%
Q3 - 6:53HawksClint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 169
16.9%
75
83.1%
Q3 - 6:53HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)68
16.2%
75
83.8%
Q3 - 6:54HawksClint Capela offensive rebound66
13.3%
75
86.7%
Q3 - 6:54HawksDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot66
12.0%
75
88.0%
Q3 - 7:02HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound66
13.9%
75
86.1%
Q3 - 7:06HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot66
13.3%
75
86.7%
Q3 - 7:13HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound66
12.0%
75
88.0%
Q3 - 7:17HawksDejounte Murray misses three point pullup jump shot66
12.5%
75
87.5%
Q3 - 7:34HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)66
13.8%
75
86.2%
Q3 - 7:46HawksSaddiq Bey turnover (traveling)66
15.3%
73
84.7%
Q3 - 7:57HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving floating jump shot66
17.6%
73
82.4%
Q3 - 8:23HawksJalen Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)66
19.5%
71
80.5%
Q3 - 8:30HawksJalen Johnson offensive rebound63
15.8%
71
84.2%
Q3 - 8:33HawksSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot63
14.3%
71
85.7%
Q3 - 8:44HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)63
15.8%
71
84.2%
Q3 - 9:00HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point floating jump shot63
17.4%
69
82.6%
Q3 - 9:11HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 261
16.1%
69
83.9%
Q3 - 9:11HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 261
16.4%
68
83.6%
Q3 - 9:11HawksClint Capela shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)61
16.8%
67
83.2%
Q3 - 9:26HawksDejounte Murray makes two point driving layup61
17.6%
67
82.4%
Q3 - 9:39HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)59
16.1%
67
83.9%
Q3 - 9:47HawksBogdan Bogdanovic personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)59
19.6%
64
80.4%
Q3 - 9:54HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound59
19.6%
64
80.4%
Q3 - 9:57HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot59
20.4%
64
79.6%
Q3 - 10:09HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)59
22.4%
64
77.6%
Q3 - 10:14HawksJalen Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)59
26.8%
61
73.2%
Q3 - 10:15HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound59
30.0%
61
70.0%
Q3 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot59
29.0%
61
71.0%
Q3 - 10:32HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 159
26.8%
61
73.2%
Q3 - 10:32Bogdan Bogdanovic technical foul (Defensive three second)59
27.4%
60
72.6%
Q3 - 10:51HawksJalen Johnson makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)59
29.4%
60
70.6%
Q3 - 11:16HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup57
26.9%
60
73.1%
Q3 - 11:21HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound57
29.3%
58
70.7%
Q3 - 11:23HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point fadeaway jump shot57
30.2%
58
69.8%
Q3 - 11:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot57
32.2%
58
67.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.57
34.9%
56
65.1%
Q2 - 0:00.1HawksHawks offensive rebound57
37.3%
56
62.7%
Q2 - 0:00.3HawksSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot57
35.6%
56
64.4%
Q2 - 0:02.6HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup57
37.3%
56
62.7%
Q2 - 0:10.1HawksDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 157
40.8%
54
59.2%
Q2 - 0:10.1HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)56
40.3%
54
59.7%
Q2 - 0:31.2HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot53
31.7%
54
68.3%
Q2 - 0:45.3HawksClint Capela personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)53
37.8%
51
62.2%
Q2 - 0:45.3HeatHeat defensive rebound53
37.8%
51
62.2%
Q2 - 0:46.3HawksClint Capela misses two point hook shot53
38.6%
51
61.4%
Q2 - 0:58.6HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound53
40.3%
51
59.7%
Q2 - 1:01HeatCaleb Martin misses two point floating jump shot53
39.4%
51
60.6%
Q2 - 1:17HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)53
37.8%
51
62.2%
Q2 - 1:28HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup50
31.7%
51
68.3%
Q2 - 1:38HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound50
35.0%
49
65.0%
Q2 - 1:40HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot50
36.5%
49
63.5%
Q2 - 2:00HawksSaddiq Bey makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Dejounte Murray assists)50
35.0%
49
65.0%
Q2 - 2:11HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 248
31.8%
49
68.2%
Q2 - 2:11HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 248
32.2%
48
67.8%
Q2 - 2:11HawksBogdan Bogdanovic shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)48
32.5%
47
67.5%
Q2 - 2:20HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound48
34.2%
47
65.8%
Q2 - 2:25HawksDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot48
35.1%
47
64.9%
Q2 - 2:46HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot48
37.2%
47
62.8%
Q2 - 3:09HawksSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 248
39.0%
45
61.0%
Q2 - 3:09HawksSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 247
38.7%
45
61.3%
Q2 - 3:09HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)46
38.2%
45
61.8%
Q2 - 3:22HeatCaleb Martin turnover (traveling)46
36.9%
45
63.1%
Q2 - 3:43HawksJalen Johnson makes two point cutting dunk (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)46
33.8%
45
66.2%
Q2 - 3:59HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)44
31.8%
45
68.2%
Q2 - 4:11HawksDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot44
36.1%
42
63.9%
Q2 - 4:28HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)42
33.9%
42
66.1%
Q2 - 4:49HawksSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 242
38.7%
39
61.3%
Q2 - 4:49HawksSaddiq Bey misses regular free throw 1 of 241
38.3%
39
61.7%
Q2 - 4:49HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)41
40.6%
39
59.4%
Q2 - 5:06HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)41
38.7%
39
61.3%
Q2 - 5:25HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes three point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)41
43.3%
36
56.7%
Q2 - 5:41HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 238
38.7%
36
61.3%
Q2 - 5:41HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 238
39.2%
35
60.8%
Q2 - 5:41HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)38
39.7%
34
60.3%
Q2 - 5:55HawksJalen Johnson makes two point driving floating jump shot38
40.7%
34
59.3%
Q2 - 6:11HawksGarrison Mathews defensive rebound36
38.4%
34
61.6%
Q2 - 6:14HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot36
37.5%
34
62.5%
Q2 - 6:16HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound36
35.4%
34
64.6%
Q2 - 6:22HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot36
37.5%
34
62.5%
Q2 - 6:34HawksSaddiq Bey personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)36
35.4%
34
64.6%
Q2 - 6:36HawksDejounte Murray turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)36
35.4%
34
64.6%
Q2 - 6:49HawksSaddiq Bey defensive rebound36
38.5%
34
61.5%
Q2 - 6:53HeatJosh Richardson misses two point stepback jump shot36
37.5%
34
62.5%
Q2 - 7:19HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point reverse layup (Garrison Mathews assists)36
35.4%
34
64.6%
Q2 - 7:33HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Trent Forrest draws the foul)34
33.3%
34
66.7%
Q2 - 7:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot34
33.3%
34
66.7%
Q2 - 8:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound34
35.2%
32
64.8%
Q2 - 8:15HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point stepback jump shot34
36.0%
32
64.0%
Q2 - 8:32HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (traveling)34
37.8%
32
62.2%
Q2 - 8:41HeatHeat defensive rebound34
35.2%
32
64.8%
Q2 - 8:41HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point fadeaway jump shot34
36.0%
32
64.0%
Q2 - 9:01HeatBam Adebayo turnover (double dribble)34
37.5%
32
62.5%
Q2 - 9:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound34
35.0%
32
65.0%
Q2 - 9:08HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot34
35.8%
32
64.2%
Q2 - 9:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point running layup (Bam Adebayo assists)34
37.5%
32
62.5%
Q2 - 9:32HawksJalen Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)34
39.8%
30
60.2%
Q2 - 9:39HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound34
42.3%
30
57.7%
Q2 - 9:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot34
41.6%
30
58.4%
Q2 - 9:51HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound34
39.8%
30
60.2%
Q2 - 9:53HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point alley-oop layup34
40.6%
30
59.4%
Q2 - 9:56HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)34
42.3%
30
57.7%
Q2 - 9:56HawksHawks offensive rebound34
42.3%
30
57.7%
Q2 - 9:57HawksJalen Johnson misses three point stepback jump shot34
40.6%
30
59.4%
Q2 - 10:03HawksPatty Mills defensive rebound34
42.1%
30
57.9%
Q2 - 10:09HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot34
41.4%
30
58.6%
Q2 - 10:18HeatHeat offensive rebound34
39.6%
30
60.4%
Q2 - 10:18HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point running reverse layup34
41.4%
30
58.6%
Q2 - 10:18HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound34
39.6%
30
60.4%
Q2 - 10:22HawksJosh Richardson blocks Trent Forrest's two point driving layup34
40.4%
30
59.6%
Q2 - 10:37HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)34
42.1%
30
57.9%
Q2 - 10:48HawksHawks turnover (shot clock violation)34
46.9%
27
53.1%
Q2 - 11:15HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)34
48.5%
27
51.5%
Q2 - 11:30HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jalen Johnson assists)34
53.4%
24
46.6%
Q2 - 11:39HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound32
51.0%
24
49.0%
Q2 - 11:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point bank jump shot32
50.3%
24
49.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.32
48.6%
24
51.4%
Q1 - 0:00.1HawksHawks offensive rebound32
50.1%
24
49.9%
Q1 - 0:00.4HawksTrent Forrest misses three point pullup jump shot32
48.4%
24
51.6%
Q1 - 0:03.4HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Onyeka Okongwu steals)32
50.1%
24
49.9%
Q1 - 0:18.2HawksTrent Forrest makes three point jump shot (Garrison Mathews assists)32
47.8%
24
52.2%
Q1 - 0:31.9HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound29
43.1%
24
56.9%
Q1 - 0:35.3HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot29
42.4%
24
57.6%
Q1 - 0:54.8HawksGarrison Mathews makes three point jump shot (Trent Forrest assists)29
40.8%
24
59.2%
Q1 - 1:13HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 226
36.2%
24
63.8%
Q1 - 1:13HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 226
36.4%
23
63.6%
Q1 - 1:13HawksGarrison Mathews shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)26
34.6%
23
65.4%
Q1 - 1:13HeatKevin Love defensive rebound26
36.3%
23
63.7%
Q1 - 1:15HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point driving floating jump shot26
36.9%
23
63.1%
Q1 - 1:33HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)26
38.3%
23
61.7%
Q1 - 1:37HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound26
42.9%
20
57.1%
Q1 - 1:41HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point stepback jump shot26
44.5%
20
55.5%
Q1 - 1:49HawksTrent Forrest turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)26
42.9%
20
57.1%
Q1 - 2:01HeatKyle Lowry makes two point bank jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)26
44.9%
20
55.1%
Q1 - 2:19HawksDejounte Murray makes two point driving reverse layup26
46.8%
18
53.2%
Q1 - 2:28HawksPatty Mills defensive rebound24
44.9%
18
55.1%
Q1 - 2:31HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot24
44.1%
18
55.9%
Q1 - 2:36HeatKevin Love defensive rebound24
42.3%
18
57.7%
Q1 - 2:40HawksPatty Mills misses three point running jump shot24
43.1%
18
56.9%
Q1 - 2:43HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound24
44.9%
18
55.1%
Q1 - 2:46HeatKevin Love misses three point running jump shot24
44.1%
18
55.9%
Q1 - 2:51HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound24
42.3%
18
57.7%
Q1 - 2:54HawksDejounte Murray misses three point pullup jump shot24
43.1%
18
56.9%
Q1 - 3:11HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving dunk (Kevin Love assists)24
44.5%
18
55.5%
Q1 - 3:28HawksDejounte Murray makes two point running finger roll layup (Patty Mills assists)24
46.2%
16
53.8%
Q1 - 3:33HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Dejounte Murray steals)22
44.6%
16
55.4%
Q1 - 3:49HawksOnyeka Okongwu turnover (offensive foul)22
41.8%
16
58.2%
Q1 - 3:49HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)22
44.6%
16
55.4%
Q1 - 3:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point tip layup22
44.6%
16
55.4%
Q1 - 3:52HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound22
46.2%
14
53.8%
Q1 - 3:57HeatKevin Love misses two point hook shot22
48.2%
14
51.8%
Q1 - 3:59HeatKevin Love offensive rebound22
46.2%
14
53.8%
Q1 - 4:02HeatCaleb Martin misses two point running layup22
47.0%
14
53.0%
Q1 - 4:07HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound22
45.3%
14
54.7%
Q1 - 4:11HawksPatty Mills misses three point running jump shot22
46.0%
14
54.0%
Q1 - 4:15HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound22
47.8%
14
52.2%
Q1 - 4:17HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot22
47.0%
14
53.0%
Q1 - 4:28HawksPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Garrison Mathews assists)22
45.3%
14
54.7%
Q1 - 4:46HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)19
41.6%
14
58.4%
Q1 - 4:46HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Charge) (Garrison Mathews draws the foul)19
39.1%
14
60.9%
Q1 - 4:56HawksClint Capela makes regular free throw 2 of 219
39.1%
14
60.9%
Q1 - 4:56HawksClint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 218
38.5%
14
61.5%
Q1 - 4:56HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)18
39.7%
14
60.3%
Q1 - 4:56HawksClint Capela offensive rebound18
39.5%
14
60.5%
Q1 - 4:56HawksDejounte Murray misses two point driving layup18
37.9%
14
62.1%
Q1 - 5:07HawksClint Capela defensive rebound18
38.9%
14
61.1%
Q1 - 5:10HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot18
38.3%
14
61.7%
Q1 - 5:25HawksPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)18
36.8%
14
63.2%
Q1 - 5:39HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 115
33.3%
14
66.7%
Q1 - 5:39HawksPatty Mills shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)15
33.4%
13
66.6%
Q1 - 5:46HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound15
36.8%
11
63.2%
Q1 - 5:48HawksSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot15
37.5%
11
62.5%
Q1 - 6:06HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot15
38.5%
11
61.5%
Q1 - 6:27HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound15
40.4%
9
59.6%
Q1 - 6:31HawksDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot15
41.0%
9
59.0%
Q1 - 6:42HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Loose ball) (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)15
42.4%
9
57.6%
Q1 - 6:42HawksHawks offensive rebound15
42.4%
9
57.6%
Q1 - 6:42HawksClint Capela misses two point hook shot15
41.0%
9
59.0%
Q1 - 6:44HawksClint Capela offensive rebound15
42.4%
9
57.6%
Q1 - 6:47HawksSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot15
41.0%
9
59.0%
Q1 - 6:56HawksClint Capela defensive rebound15
42.4%
9
57.6%
Q1 - 6:59HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot15
41.8%
9
58.2%
Q1 - 7:22HawksJalen Johnson makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Dejounte Murray assists)15
39.8%
9
60.2%
Q1 - 7:26HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Johnson steals)13
38.3%
9
61.7%
Q1 - 7:34HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound13
36.1%
9
63.9%
Q1 - 7:37HawksJalen Johnson misses two point pullup jump shot13
36.8%
9
63.2%
Q1 - 7:52HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup13
38.3%
9
61.7%
Q1 - 8:00HawksClint Capela makes two point layup13
39.9%
7
60.1%
Q1 - 8:03HawksClint Capela offensive rebound11
38.0%
7
62.0%
Q1 - 8:08HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point driving floating jump shot11
36.5%
7
63.5%
Q1 - 8:11HawksClint Capela offensive rebound11
38.0%
7
62.0%
Q1 - 8:14HawksSaddiq Bey misses two point reverse layup11
36.5%
7
63.5%
Q1 - 8:28HawksClint Capela defensive rebound11
38.0%
7
62.0%
Q1 - 8:31HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot11
37.3%
7
62.7%
Q1 - 8:48HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)11
35.8%
7
64.2%
Q1 - 9:00HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup9
34.4%
7
65.6%
Q1 - 9:01HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound9
35.8%
5
64.2%
Q1 - 9:03HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup9
37.1%
5
62.9%
Q1 - 9:14HawksDejounte Murray personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)9
35.8%
5
64.2%
Q1 - 9:14HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
35.8%
5
64.2%
Q1 - 9:17HawksJalen Johnson misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot9
36.4%
5
63.6%
Q1 - 9:22HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound9
37.7%
5
62.3%
Q1 - 9:25HeatNikola Jovic misses two point putback layup9
37.1%
5
62.9%
Q1 - 9:26HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound9
35.8%
5
64.2%
Q1 - 9:28HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving layup9
37.1%
5
62.9%
Q1 - 9:42HawksDejounte Murray makes two point running finger roll layup9
35.8%
5
64.2%
Q1 - 9:49HawksClint Capela defensive rebound7
34.2%
5
65.8%
Q1 - 9:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot7
33.7%
5
66.3%
Q1 - 10:09HawksSaddiq Bey makes two point fadeaway jump shot7
32.0%
5
68.0%
Q1 - 10:24HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)5
30.6%
5
69.4%
Q1 - 10:39HawksJalen Johnson makes two point putback layup5
32.0%
3
68.0%
Q1 - 10:43HawksJalen Johnson offensive rebound3
30.6%
3
69.4%
Q1 - 10:43HawksJalen Johnson misses two point floating jump shot3
29.4%
3
70.6%
Q1 - 11:02HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)3
30.2%
3
69.8%
Q1 - 11:07HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound3
33.0%
0
67.0%
Q1 - 11:07HeatCaleb Martin misses two point tip layup3
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 11:08HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound3
33.0%
0
67.0%
Q1 - 11:08HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup3
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 11:18HawksDejounte Murray makes three point running pullup jump shot3
33.0%
0
67.0%
Q1 - 11:23HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound0
30.2%
0
69.8%
Q1 - 11:27HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot0
29.7%
0
70.3%
Q1 - 11:43HawksBogdan Bogdanovic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 12:00Clint Capela vs. Bam Adebayo (Dejounte Murray gains possession)0
30.2%
0
69.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.11 55.6%
MIA
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
16
29
55%
MIA
17
28
61%
Midrange
ATL
9
23
39%
MIA
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
15
22.5
35
43%
64%
MIA
12
18.0
31
39%
58%
Free Throws
ATL
14
17
82%
MIA
20
22
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Murray2250%11.0 / 22
B. Bogdanović1753%8.5 / 16
J. Johnson1554%7.5 / 14
S. Bey1447%7.0 / 15
P. Mills1192%5.5 / 6
C. Capela964%4.5 / 7
O. Okongwu990%4.5 / 5
G. Mathews990%4.5 / 5
T. Forrest338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2589%12.5 / 14
T. Herro2566%12.5 / 19
B. Adebayo2155%10.5 / 19
D. Robinson1488%7.0 / 8
C. Martin1056%5.0 / 9
J. Richardson975%4.5 / 6
N. Jović220%1.0 / 5
K. Lowry225%1.0 / 4
K. Love0-0.0 / 5
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
83
+15
-13
98
MIA
80
+15
-16
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.11 55.6%
MIA
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.7
113.5
ATL 113.5 +1.0
MIA 112.5
Pace
100.5
96.7
ATL 96.9 +1.7
MIA 95.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
14.8
ATL 14.9 +0.3
MIA 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.9%
53.8%
ATL 54.6% +0.9%
MIA 53.7%
TO %
12.6%
12.2%
ATL 13.7% +2.7%
MIA 16.4%
ORB %
27.1%
21.8%
ATL 22.5%
MIA 31.0% +8.5%
FTrt
25.1
25.7
ATL 19.5
MIA 26.8 +7.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.8%
64.8%
ATL 57.5% +2.2%
MIA 55.3%
STL %
7.4%
7.8%
ATL 6.3%
MIA 7.3% +1.0%
BLK %
8.4%
6.9%
ATL 3.9% +0.1%
MIA 3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
56.2%
ATL 55.6%
MIA 56.8% +1.2%
Rim FG%
59.5%
61.2%
ATL 55.2%
MIA 60.7% +5.5%
Mid FG%
45.5%
44.2%
ATL 39.1%
MIA 39.1%
3P %
36.4%
37.0%
ATL 42.9% +4.2%
MIA 38.7%
FT %
79.7%
81.8%
ATL 82.4%
MIA 90.9% +8.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
30.4%
ATL 33.3%
MIA 34.1% +0.8%
Mid Att. %
25.4%
30.2%
ATL 26.4% +1.6%
MIA 28.0%
3P Att. %
40.8%
39.4%
ATL 40.2% +2.4%
MIA 37.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points109108
Rebounds3844
Assists2321
Steals67
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)16 (2)
Fouls2017
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (6)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)31 (2)
Field Goals40-8738-82
At-the-Rim FG16-2917-28
Midrange FG9-239-23
2-Point FG25-5226-51
3-Point FG15-3512-31
Free Throws14-1720-22
Fast Break Pts99
2nd Chance Pts1714
Points in Paint4246
Pts off Turnovers2219
Bench Points3225
Biggest Lead109

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 27
39.8
22
50%
3
11
2
0
2
2
0
3
1-1
100%
6-15
40%
3-7
43%
#41 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
36.0
14
47%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
6-7
86%
4-7
57%
0-5
0%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 31
34.9
17
53%
3
1
0
0
3
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
3-7
43%
#1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22
33.6
15
54%
7
2
2
0
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
6-10
60%
1-4
25%
#15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30
22.2
9
64%
11
0
0
1
0
2
5
6
5-7
71%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23
25.8
9
90%
5
1
1
1
2
5
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
#25 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27
19.9
9
90%
3
3
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 35
18.0
11
92%
3
2
1
0
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
#2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26
9.7
3
38%
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
#24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
#3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#18 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Low Back; Stress Fracture
#11 · PG · 6'1" 164 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Illness; Illness
#27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Shoulder; Subluxation
#12 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Inflammation
#4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
56%
38
23
6
2
13
20
9
29
14-17
82%
25-52
48%
15-35
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.