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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 18, 2024
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pacers36%117126
14Kings64%122121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bennedict Mathurin
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.6
37.2
24.7
25
58%
3
4
1
1
2
3
1
2
1-1
100%
9-15
4-7
60%
52%
2-6
33%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.1
36.3
23.3
12
61%
5
8
1
1
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
2-6
33%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.8
32.6
19.9
20
65%
1
10
1
1
0
4
0
1
2-3
67%
9-14
4-7
64%
56%
0-0
-
Myles Turner
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.8
32.0
23.8
18
60%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
5-7
71%
5-8
4-7
63%
62%
1-4
25%
Jalen Smith
F-C · 6'9" 215 · 23.8
24.8
20.1
17
97%
13
1
0
0
1
0
1
12
4-4
100%
5-5
3-5
100%
61%
1-2
50%
Ben Sheppard
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.5
28.3
10.2
7
60%
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
54%
2-3
67%
Obi Toppin
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.9
24.4
19.7
10
83%
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
66%
2-4
50%
Jarace Walker
F · 6'7" 235 · 20.4
19.6
10.8
15
58%
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
53%
3-8
38%
Isaiah Jackson
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.0
5.0
13.7
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
61%
0-0
-
Kendall Brown
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.7
5.9
0
1-1
55%
Oscar Tshiebwe
F-C · 6'8" 255 · 24.1
5.8
0
1-2
55%
Andrew Nembhard
G-F · 6'4" 191 · 24.0
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'8" 245 · 29.8
Tyrese Haliburton
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.9
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.3
Isaiah Wong
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.1
39.6
35.2
24
50%
6
6
1
1
0
1
1
5
5-9
56%
5-13
7-12
38%
57%
3-7
43%
Kevin Huerter
G-F · 6'7" 198 · 25.4
38.7
23.2
31
87%
2
4
1
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
58%
7-12
58%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.4
38.1
29.7
27
67%
9
0
2
1
1
1
3
6
4-5
80%
10-13
4-7
77%
57%
1-5
20%
Domantas Sabonis
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 27.7
38.0
35.8
21
64%
11
10
0
1
1
3
0
11
5-8
63%
8-12
8-13
67%
63%
0-1
0%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 31.6
22.3
27.7
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-1
0%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.0
26.2
28.4
9
39%
3
4
1
1
2
1
1
2
1-6
17%
1-3
4-7
33%
54%
2-6
33%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 28.2
19.3
20.1
0
0%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
59%
0-2
0%
Sasha Vezenkov
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
10.8
10.9
7
90%
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
59%
2-3
67%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 30.6
5.1
9.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
61%
0-0
-
Keon Ellis
G · 6'4" 175 · 24.0
1.9
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
58%
0-0
-
Chris Duarte
G · 6'6" 190 · 26.6
5.9
0
0-1
48%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 25.4
3.5
0
0-1
54%
Juan Toscano-Anderson
F · 6'6" 209 · 30.8
2.9
0
0-0
58%
Kessler Edwards
F · 6'7" 203 · 23.4
2.1
0
0-0
54%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 36.0
1.9
0
0-1
64%
Jordan Ford
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.6
Colby Jones
G · 6'6" 207 · 21.6
Jalen Slawson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.