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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 18, 2024
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Wizards22%108109
10Knicks78%120113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.8
39.1
8.0
20
55%
11
2
2
0
3
3
6
5
0-5
0%
10-16
2-3
63%
55%
0-0
-
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 221 · 28.5
38.5
30.4
15
47%
6
5
2
0
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
6-11
6-11
55%
53%
1-5
20%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'1" 196 · 27.7
36.8
28.5
2
17%
4
15
3
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
53%
0-3
0%
Jordan Poole
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.6
34.0
28.7
24
53%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
8-8
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
51%
2-9
22%
Deni Avdija
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.0
26.2
29.3
15
49%
8
1
0
1
0
2
2
6
5-5
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
54%
0-3
0%
Corey Kispert
F · 6'6" 224 · 24.9
17.1
17.7
10
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
64%
2-3
67%
Bilal Coulibaly
G · 6'8" 195 · 19.5
17.0
25.9
5
51%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
1-3
33%
Landry Shamet
G · 6'5" 188 · 26.9
14.0
11.7
13
108%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
3-4
75%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 31.7
11.2
16.8
5
43%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-4
1-3
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Patrick Baldwin Jr.
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.2
6.1
11.5
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Isaiah Livers
F · 6'6" 232 · 25.5
17.9
0
1-1
50%
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 25.5
5.5
0
1-2
53%
Anthony Gill
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.3
2.5
0
0-0
59%
Jules Bernard
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
2.2
0
0-0
48%
Johnny Davis
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.9
2.2
0
0-1
47%
Jared Butler
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.4
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 25.3
Eugene Omoruyi
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
OG Anunoby
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 26.5
42.6
37.9
19
88%
7
1
0
2
2
1
0
7
4-4
100%
3-4
4-7
75%
59%
3-5
60%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.4
40.4
25.5
41
63%
8
8
2
1
1
6
1
7
11-13
85%
12-23
5-9
52%
55%
2-4
50%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 29.1
39.0
34.7
21
56%
8
5
0
1
0
5
1
7
2-4
50%
5-9
7-13
56%
56%
3-8
38%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 25.7
38.5
35.2
6
60%
17
3
2
1
1
2
5
12
0-0
-
3-5
4-6
60%
63%
0-0
-
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'4" 203 · 27.0
37.6
22.8
19
60%
3
3
0
1
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
55%
5-12
42%
Quentin Grimes
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.7
19.2
16.2
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
59%
0-5
0%
Precious Achiuwa
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.3
9.5
11.0
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Miles McBride
G · 6'1" 195 · 23.4
7.7
20.9
5
58%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 31.2
5.6
4.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-3
0%
Malachi Flynn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.7
5.2
0
0-1
46%
Jericho Sims
C · 6'10" 250 · 25.2
2.6
0
0-0
74%
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.8
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Josh Hart
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.9
Duane Washington Jr.
G · 6'2" 197 · 23.8
Mitchell Robinson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 25.8
Charlie Brown Jr.
G · 6'6" 199 · 27.0
Jacob Toppin
F · 6'8" 200 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.