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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 17, 2024
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Mavericks52%117110
15Lakers48%116127
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 24.9
36.2
35.2
33
59%
13
10
2
1
2
4
0
13
7-9
78%
10-15
7-13
67%
57%
2-9
22%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.8
32.2
37.4
12
35%
5
6
0
1
0
2
0
5
3-3
100%
3-11
8-14
27%
55%
1-5
20%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 31.8
28.3
36.1
12
34%
4
1
1
1
0
4
2
2
2-2
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
49%
0-7
0%
Dereck Lively II
C · 7'1" 230 · 19.9
28.0
23.8
16
89%
11
2
1
1
0
2
5
6
0-0
-
8-9
3-5
89%
66%
0-0
-
Derrick Jones Jr.
F · 6'6" 210 · 26.9
26.6
29.4
8
133%
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
62%
2-2
100%
Grant Williams
F · 6'6" 236 · 25.1
25.7
22.7
8
58%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
54%
2-6
33%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.0
21.2
14.0
6
100%
1
3
0
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
59%
2-3
67%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'3" 198 · 21.5
20.1
18.3
7
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
1-5
20%
Dwight Powell
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32.5
6.9
22.7
1
57%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
70%
0-0
-
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.4
5.2
10.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-1
0%
A.J. Lawson
G · 6'6" 179 · 23.5
4.7
9.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Brandon Williams
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.2
4.7
1.9
5
83%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 34.4
2.7
0
0-0
47%
Richaun Holmes
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.3
2.7
0
0-1
62%
Greg Brown III
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.4
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.5
Dante Exum
G · 6'5" 214 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'3" 193 · 27.9
36.0
31.6
29
69%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
6-13
4-7
46%
54%
5-7
71%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 30.9
33.0
36.5
28
73%
12
9
1
1
1
1
5
7
4-5
80%
12-17
9-15
71%
58%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.0
33.0
33.3
25
63%
8
8
1
1
0
3
1
7
2-2
100%
7-12
8-13
58%
60%
3-7
43%
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 25.6
29.5
31.3
14
88%
3
7
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
4-6
67%
61%
2-2
100%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'6" 218 · 29.8
20.5
29.4
9
44%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-5
60%
3-5
1-2
60%
52%
0-3
0%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'8" 214 · 24.8
25.9
20.4
7
54%
9
1
1
1
0
1
1
8
5-8
63%
1-2
1-2
50%
60%
0-1
0%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
22.1
17.1
6
44%
4
1
2
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
56%
1-4
25%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 28.3
16.6
15.4
2
20%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
60%
0-3
0%
Max Christie
G · 6'5" 190 · 20.9
14.0
14.8
5
125%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
1-1
100%
Skylar Mays
G · 6'4" 205 · 26.4
4.7
6.1
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jaxson Hayes
C-F · 7'0" 220 · 23.7
4.7
3.3
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
68%
0-0
-
Cam Reddish
F-G · 6'8" 208 · 24.4
14.3
1
1-2
51%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.6
Dylan Windler
G-F · 6'8" 196 · 27.3
Colin Castleton
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.6
Jalen Hood-Schifino
G · 6'6" 215 · 20.6
Maxwell Lewis
F · 6'7" 195 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.