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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 15, 2024
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bulls36%10591
9Cavaliers64%110109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.9
38.1
34.6
18
47%
4
3
1
1
2
7
1
3
7-9
78%
4-10
4-8
40%
51%
1-5
20%
DeMar DeRozan
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.4
38.1
35.8
6
38%
6
3
2
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
3-7
6-12
43%
51%
0-1
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 6'10" 260 · 33.2
37.1
30.7
17
45%
10
4
0
1
0
2
0
10
0-0
-
7-12
5-10
58%
55%
1-7
14%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.9
34.7
34.0
17
61%
4
4
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
53%
3-6
50%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 29.9
30.9
28.9
10
56%
3
3
3
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 30.4
22.2
15.7
8
84%
10
1
2
1
2
2
3
7
2-4
50%
3-3
3-5
100%
55%
0-0
-
Ayo Dosunmu
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.0
19.2
22.8
10
60%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
57%
1-2
50%
Jevon Carter
G · 6'1" 200 · 28.3
11.0
12.0
5
63%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
1-3
33%
Terry Taylor
G · 6'5" 230 · 24.3
4.8
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
60%
0-1
0%
Dalen Terry
F · 6'7" 195 · 21.5
3.9
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
53%
0-2
0%
Patrick Williams
F · 6'7" 215 · 22.4
18.5
1
2-4
50%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.1
5.1
0
0-1
53%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 26.2
Henri Drell
F · 6'8" 185 · 23.7
Julian Phillips
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.2
Adama Sanogo
F · 6'9" 245 · 21.9
Onuralp Bitim
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.4
36.5
35.6
34
69%
3
7
2
2
0
2
2
1
8-8
100%
7-11
6-11
64%
56%
4-10
40%
Max Strus
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.8
35.0
18.4
2
13%
5
4
0
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
57%
0-6
0%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'9" 243 · 25.7
34.1
33.8
10
85%
14
3
2
1
1
2
5
9
2-2
100%
4-5
7-10
80%
67%
0-0
-
Dean Wade
F-C · 6'9" 228 · 27.2
26.0
22.5
12
60%
7
3
3
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
61%
4-10
40%
Isaac Okoro
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 23.0
25.3
29.7
7
29%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-4
33%
60%
1-6
17%
Caris LeVert
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.4
30.5
29.9
16
47%
7
7
0
1
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
51%
4-10
40%
Sam Merrill
G · 6'4" 205 · 27.7
20.3
26.7
15
101%
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
4-6
67%
Georges Niang
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.6
18.5
19.3
9
41%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
56%
3-9
33%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 32.8
13.8
12.9
4
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
58%
0-0
-
Craig Porter Jr.
G · 6'1" 180 · 23.9
5.2
0
1-2
54%
Emoni Bates
F · 6'9" 170 · 20.0
2.5
0
0-0
54%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 28.5
1.8
0
0-0
67%
Darius Garland
G · 6'1" 192 · 24.0
Isaiah Mobley
F · 6'8" 238 · 24.3
Evan Mobley
C · 6'11" 215 · 22.6
Ty Jerome
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.