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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 15, 2024
3:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Pistons38%115129
26Wizards62%119117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Stewart
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 22.7
37.7
20.8
16
45%
6
4
1
0
2
3
4
2
1-2
50%
6-11
2-3
55%
56%
1-6
17%
Kevin Knox II
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.4
32.9
25.6
5
32%
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
56%
1-4
25%
Jaden Ivey
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.9
32.5
27.9
24
57%
7
6
0
1
3
5
1
6
4-7
57%
7-11
4-8
64%
52%
2-7
29%
Jalen Duren
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.2
26.0
29.0
20
98%
19
4
0
1
1
2
2
17
4-5
80%
8-8
6-10
100%
66%
0-0
-
Killian Hayes
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.5
24.5
26.6
4
50%
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'5" 214 · 32.5
28.6
23.3
34
91%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
8-12
67%
Ausar Thompson
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 21.0
27.2
15.8
14
75%
8
2
3
1
0
0
1
7
2-3
67%
6-7
2-4
86%
56%
0-1
0%
James Wiseman
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.8
14.7
12.5
6
75%
5
0
0
0
2
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
61%
0-0
-
Marcus Sasser
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.3
11.1
12.4
6
43%
2
4
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
53%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 32.4
4.8
4.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.7
31.0
1
4-8
54%
Stanley Umude
G · 6'6" 210 · 24.8
4.0
0
0-0
52%
Cade Cunningham
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.3
Malcolm Cazalon
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.4
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 28.6
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 35.4
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 32.5
Jared Rhoden
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 221 · 28.5
33.1
29.1
21
46%
8
4
3
1
2
0
0
8
4-4
100%
4-12
6-11
33%
56%
3-9
33%
Jordan Poole
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.6
31.8
27.0
16
54%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
55%
2-7
29%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'1" 196 · 27.7
31.2
27.3
22
58%
6
7
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
56%
4-10
40%
Deni Avdija
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.0
27.6
31.3
12
61%
2
4
0
1
2
3
0
2
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
57%
1-2
50%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 25.3
26.2
29.2
8
67%
6
3
1
1
2
2
3
3
0-0
-
4-6
5-7
67%
72%
0-0
-
Bilal Coulibaly
G · 6'8" 195 · 19.5
27.1
25.7
2
25%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
57%
0-1
0%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 31.7
15.7
18.1
5
42%
1
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
55%
1-2
50%
Corey Kispert
F · 6'6" 224 · 24.9
15.1
19.8
8
80%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
67%
2-3
67%
Landry Shamet
G · 6'5" 188 · 26.8
13.9
9.8
11
74%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Patrick Baldwin Jr.
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.2
13.4
10.1
9
150%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
3-3
100%
Anthony Gill
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.2
2.6
1.8
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
63%
1-1
100%
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 25.5
1.1
7.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
57%
0-0
-
Johnny Davis
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.9
1.1
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Jules Bernard
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
3.2
0
0-1
56%
Jared Butler
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.4
Isaiah Livers
F · 6'6" 232 · 25.5
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.8
Eugene Omoruyi
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.