FinalWin Prob.pScore
2227%112
109
273%121
117
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
107.9101107.5
DEN logo DEN
117.010094.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.109
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:05.8NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)109
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.6PacersAndrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.6PacersAndrew Nembhard misses regular free throw 1 of 2108
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.6NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)108
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.7NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.7NuggetsAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 2108
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.7PacersObi Toppin personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)108
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.7NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound108
0.2%
116
99.8%
Q4 - 0:43.9PacersBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot108
0.3%
116
99.7%
Q4 - 0:45.4NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (out of bounds bad pass)108
0.6%
116
99.4%
Q4 - 0:47.2PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point pullup jump shot108
0.3%
116
99.7%
Q4 - 0:53.7NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot106
0.2%
116
99.8%
Q4 - 1:10PacersObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)106
0.5%
114
99.5%
Q4 - 1:22NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point tip layup103
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 1:22NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound103
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 1:22NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 2103
0.7%
112
99.3%
Q4 - 1:22NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 1:22PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)103
0.6%
111
99.4%
Q4 - 1:42PacersAndrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
1.1%
111
98.9%
Q4 - 1:42PacersAndrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
1.0%
111
99.0%
Q4 - 1:42NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)101
0.9%
111
99.1%
Q4 - 1:46NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)101
0.8%
111
99.2%
Q4 - 1:58NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound101
1.2%
109
98.8%
Q4 - 2:02PacersBuddy Hield misses three point running jump shot101
1.3%
109
98.7%
Q4 - 2:07NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Myles Turner steals)101
2.0%
109
98.0%
Q4 - 2:31PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point driving layup101
1.0%
109
99.0%
Q4 - 2:43NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)99
0.7%
109
99.3%
Q4 - 3:08PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point driving floating jump shot99
0.7%
109
99.3%
Q4 - 3:16NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point tip layup97
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 3:16NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound97
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 3:17NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving finger roll layup97
1.0%
107
99.0%
Q4 - 3:27PacersBruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Michael Porter Jr. steals)97
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 3:50NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)97
2.1%
107
97.9%
Q4 - 4:05PacersBruce Brown makes two point driving layup97
3.9%
104
96.1%
Q4 - 4:12PacersBruce Brown defensive rebound95
2.9%
104
97.1%
Q4 - 4:15NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot95
2.5%
104
97.5%
Q4 - 4:39PacersBruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)95
1.9%
104
98.1%
Q4 - 4:57NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Michael Porter Jr. assists)95
2.8%
104
97.2%
Q4 - 5:04NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound95
5.1%
102
94.9%
Q4 - 5:06PacersMyles Turner misses two point running layup95
5.6%
102
94.4%
Q4 - 5:12PacersBruce Brown defensive rebound95
7.0%
102
93.0%
Q4 - 5:16NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot95
6.4%
102
93.6%
Q4 - 5:30NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound95
5.0%
102
95.0%
Q4 - 5:32PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot95
5.6%
102
94.4%
Q4 - 5:43NuggetsReggie Jackson turnover (palming)95
7.0%
102
93.0%
Q4 - 6:04PacersObi Toppin makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bennedict Mathurin assists)95
6.0%
102
94.0%
Q4 - 6:14PacersBennedict Mathurin offensive rebound93
4.8%
102
95.2%
Q4 - 6:17PacersJalen Smith misses three point jump shot93
3.8%
102
96.2%
Q4 - 6:25NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)93
4.8%
102
95.2%
Q4 - 6:49PacersBruce Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)93
7.7%
99
92.3%
Q4 - 7:09NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup (Michael Porter Jr. assists)91
7.0%
99
93.0%
Q4 - 7:17PacersObi Toppin personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)91
8.5%
97
91.5%
Q4 - 7:25NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound91
8.4%
97
91.6%
Q4 - 7:27PacersJordan Nwora misses three point jump shot91
9.2%
97
90.8%
Q4 - 7:37PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound91
11.3%
97
88.7%
Q4 - 7:40NuggetsChristian Braun misses three point jump shot91
10.3%
97
89.7%
Q4 - 7:47NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound91
8.4%
97
91.6%
Q4 - 7:49PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point driving floating jump shot91
9.2%
97
90.8%
Q4 - 8:03NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point bank jump shot91
11.7%
97
88.3%
Q4 - 8:18NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound91
14.2%
95
85.8%
Q4 - 8:20PacersJordan Nwora misses two point driving layup91
15.2%
95
84.8%
Q4 - 8:27NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (lost ball) (Obi Toppin steals)91
17.7%
95
82.3%
Q4 - 8:35PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point driving layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)91
14.2%
95
85.8%
Q4 - 8:48PacersBennedict Mathurin makes technical free throw 1 of 189
11.7%
95
88.3%
Q4 - 8:48NuggetsDeAndre Jordan technical foul88
11.0%
95
89.0%
Q4 - 8:48NuggetsDeAndre Jordan turnover (offensive foul)88
11.0%
95
89.0%
Q4 - 8:48NuggetsDeAndre Jordan offensive foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)88
7.3%
95
92.7%
Q4 - 9:00PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 288
7.3%
95
92.7%
Q4 - 9:00PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 287
7.1%
95
92.9%
Q4 - 9:00NuggetsChristian Braun shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)86
6.8%
95
93.2%
Q4 - 9:16NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point driving finger roll layup86
6.5%
95
93.5%
Q4 - 9:24NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound86
7.8%
93
92.2%
Q4 - 9:29PacersBennedict Mathurin misses three point pullup jump shot86
8.4%
93
91.6%
Q4 - 9:48NuggetsReggie Jackson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)86
9.9%
93
90.1%
Q4 - 9:59PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 286
7.8%
93
92.2%
Q4 - 9:59PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 285
7.6%
93
92.4%
Q4 - 9:59NuggetsPeyton Watson shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)84
7.3%
93
92.7%
Q4 - 10:06PacersIsaiah Jackson defensive rebound84
7.2%
93
92.8%
Q4 - 10:08NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot84
6.7%
93
93.3%
Q4 - 10:31NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound84
5.7%
93
94.3%
Q4 - 10:34PacersBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot84
6.1%
93
93.9%
Q4 - 10:53NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving floating jump shot84
7.2%
93
92.8%
Q4 - 11:08PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (lost ball) (Reggie Jackson steals)84
9.3%
91
90.7%
Q4 - 11:14NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (out of bounds bad pass)84
11.2%
91
88.8%
Q4 - 11:22NuggetsDeAndre Jordan defensive rebound84
9.3%
91
90.7%
Q4 - 11:29PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point jump shot84
9.8%
91
90.2%
Q4 - 11:46NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (DeAndre Jordan assists)84
11.2%
91
88.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.84
13.3%
89
86.7%
Q3 - 0:00.1NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound84
13.9%
89
86.1%
Q3 - 0:00.9NuggetsChristian Braun misses two point driving floating jump shot84
15.5%
89
84.5%
Q3 - 0:22.4PacersBennedict Mathurin makes three point pullup jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)84
13.8%
89
86.2%
Q3 - 0:35.1NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup81
9.7%
89
90.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point driving floating jump shot81
11.6%
87
88.4%
Q3 - 1:01NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point driving finger roll layup79
10.4%
87
89.6%
Q3 - 1:20PacersIsaiah Jackson makes two point dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)79
12.1%
85
87.9%
Q3 - 1:45NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Michael Porter Jr. assists)77
10.3%
85
89.7%
Q3 - 1:51NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound77
12.0%
83
88.0%
Q3 - 1:53PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot77
12.7%
83
87.3%
Q3 - 2:02NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point putback layup77
14.8%
83
85.2%
Q3 - 2:02NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound77
17.0%
81
83.0%
Q3 - 2:04NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point stepback jump shot77
18.8%
81
81.2%
Q3 - 2:30PacersIsaiah Jackson makes two point running layup (Bruce Brown assists)77
16.9%
81
83.1%
Q3 - 2:34NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)75
14.7%
81
85.3%
Q3 - 2:44NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound75
12.5%
81
87.5%
Q3 - 2:47PacersT.J. McConnell misses three point stepback jump shot75
13.2%
81
86.8%
Q3 - 3:06NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)75
15.3%
81
84.7%
Q3 - 3:18NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound75
19.7%
78
80.3%
Q3 - 3:20PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving reverse layup75
20.7%
78
79.3%
Q3 - 3:27PacersIsaiah Jackson defensive rebound75
23.0%
78
77.0%
Q3 - 3:31NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot75
22.0%
78
78.0%
Q3 - 3:52PacersIsaiah Jackson makes two point cutting dunk (Jalen Smith assists)75
19.7%
78
80.3%
Q3 - 4:14NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)73
17.6%
78
82.4%
Q3 - 4:25NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound73
15.2%
78
84.8%
Q3 - 4:28PacersT.J. McConnell misses three point pullup jump shot73
15.9%
78
84.1%
Q3 - 4:39NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)73
17.7%
78
82.3%
Q3 - 4:54PacersJalen Smith makes two point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)73
19.8%
76
80.2%
Q3 - 5:15NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 2 of 271
17.8%
76
82.2%
Q3 - 5:15NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 271
18.1%
75
81.9%
Q3 - 5:15PacersBruce Brown shooting foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)71
18.4%
74
81.6%
Q3 - 5:21NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound71
20.0%
74
80.0%
Q3 - 5:23PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point driving reverse layup71
20.8%
74
79.2%
Q3 - 5:30PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound71
22.8%
74
77.2%
Q3 - 5:34NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point running jump shot71
21.9%
74
78.1%
Q3 - 5:37NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound71
20.0%
74
80.0%
Q3 - 5:40PacersMichael Porter Jr. blocks Bruce Brown's two point pullup jump shot71
20.8%
74
79.2%
Q3 - 6:02NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)71
22.8%
74
77.2%
Q3 - 6:11PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)71
28.0%
71
72.0%
Q3 - 6:20NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound71
28.0%
71
72.0%
Q3 - 6:25PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot71
29.1%
71
70.9%
Q3 - 6:38NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point running layup (Nikola Jokic assists)71
31.6%
71
68.4%
Q3 - 6:44PacersBuddy Hield turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)71
34.5%
69
65.5%
Q3 - 7:02NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving reverse layup (Aaron Gordon assists)71
37.8%
69
62.2%
Q3 - 7:22PacersMyles Turner makes two point turnaround bank jump shot71
40.7%
67
59.3%
Q3 - 7:30PacersBruce Brown offensive rebound69
37.8%
67
62.2%
Q3 - 7:31PacersBruce Brown misses two point driving finger roll layup69
35.1%
67
64.9%
Q3 - 7:55PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound69
37.9%
67
62.1%
Q3 - 7:56NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot69
36.7%
67
63.3%
Q3 - 8:12NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound69
33.3%
67
66.7%
Q3 - 8:15PacersBuddy Hield misses three point stepback jump shot69
34.4%
67
65.6%
Q3 - 8:19PacersAndrew Nembhard offensive rebound69
37.1%
67
62.9%
Q3 - 8:23PacersMyles Turner misses three point running jump shot69
34.4%
67
65.6%
Q3 - 8:26PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound69
37.1%
67
62.9%
Q3 - 8:28NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point running layup69
35.9%
67
64.1%
Q3 - 8:32NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound69
33.3%
67
66.7%
Q3 - 8:38PacersBruce Brown misses three point running jump shot69
34.5%
67
65.5%
Q3 - 8:45NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Buddy Hield steals)69
37.1%
67
62.9%
Q3 - 8:51PacersBuddy Hield personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)69
33.3%
67
66.7%
Q3 - 9:03NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound69
32.7%
67
67.3%
Q3 - 9:05PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot69
33.7%
67
66.3%
Q3 - 9:18NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot69
36.3%
67
63.7%
Q3 - 9:41PacersBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)69
38.9%
65
61.1%
Q3 - 9:53NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 166
33.2%
65
66.8%
Q3 - 9:53PacersBruce Brown shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)66
34.1%
64
65.9%
Q3 - 10:16PacersBuddy Hield makes three point running jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)66
38.1%
62
61.9%
Q3 - 10:21NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)63
32.8%
62
67.2%
Q3 - 10:34PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jalen Smith assists)63
29.4%
62
70.6%
Q3 - 10:38PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound61
27.3%
62
72.7%
Q3 - 10:41PacersBuddy Hield misses three point running jump shot61
25.2%
62
74.8%
Q3 - 10:46PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound61
27.3%
62
72.7%
Q3 - 10:48NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot61
26.4%
62
73.6%
Q3 - 11:13PacersBuddy Hield makes two point driving finger roll layup (Myles Turner assists)61
24.1%
62
75.9%
Q3 - 11:26NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)59
22.0%
62
78.0%
Q3 - 11:46PacersBuddy Hield makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bruce Brown assists)59
24.1%
60
75.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.57
22.0%
60
78.0%
Q2 - 0:00.2PacersBruce Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup (Obi Toppin assists)57
19.8%
60
80.2%
Q2 - 0:02.9NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 255
17.6%
60
82.4%
Q2 - 0:02.9NuggetsJamal Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 255
17.8%
59
82.2%
Q2 - 0:02.9PacersIsaiah Jackson shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)55
16.2%
59
83.8%
Q2 - 0:16.2PacersIsaiah Jackson makes two point putback dunk55
17.9%
59
82.1%
Q2 - 0:16.2PacersIsaiah Jackson offensive rebound53
15.9%
59
84.1%
Q2 - 0:19.2PacersMichael Porter Jr. blocks Isaiah Jackson's two point layup53
14.9%
59
85.1%
Q2 - 0:19.6PacersIsaiah Jackson offensive rebound53
15.9%
59
84.1%
Q2 - 0:22.4PacersIsaiah Jackson misses two point running layup53
14.9%
59
85.1%
Q2 - 0:26.7NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Isaiah Jackson steals)53
15.9%
59
84.1%
Q2 - 0:40.1PacersBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)53
14.5%
59
85.5%
Q2 - 0:48.9PacersBruce Brown defensive rebound50
11.5%
59
88.5%
Q2 - 0:52.6NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point stepback jump shot50
11.2%
59
88.8%
Q2 - 1:05PacersAndrew Nembhard turnover (back court violation)50
10.7%
59
89.3%
Q2 - 1:22NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot50
11.7%
59
88.3%
Q2 - 1:42PacersIsaiah Jackson turnover (offensive foul)50
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q2 - 1:42PacersIsaiah Jackson offensive foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)50
14.4%
57
85.6%
Q2 - 1:55NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)50
14.4%
57
85.6%
Q2 - 2:10PacersBruce Brown makes two point putback layup50
17.8%
54
82.2%
Q2 - 2:10PacersBruce Brown offensive rebound48
16.3%
54
83.7%
Q2 - 2:12PacersBruce Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot48
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q2 - 2:28NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point driving floating bank jump shot48
16.3%
54
83.7%
Q2 - 2:50PacersIsaiah Jackson makes two point reverse layup48
17.8%
52
82.2%
Q2 - 2:51PacersIsaiah Jackson offensive rebound46
16.3%
52
83.7%
Q2 - 2:55PacersBruce Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 246
14.9%
52
85.1%
Q2 - 2:55PacersBruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 246
15.9%
52
84.1%
Q2 - 2:55NuggetsPeyton Watson shooting foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)45
15.6%
52
84.4%
Q2 - 2:55PacersBruce Brown offensive rebound45
14.8%
52
85.2%
Q2 - 2:55PacersJalen Smith misses two point tip layup45
13.7%
52
86.3%
Q2 - 2:55PacersJalen Smith offensive rebound45
14.8%
52
85.2%
Q2 - 2:57PacersBruce Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot45
13.7%
52
86.3%
Q2 - 3:10NuggetsReggie Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 245
15.0%
52
85.0%
Q2 - 3:10NuggetsReggie Jackson misses regular free throw 1 of 245
15.2%
51
84.8%
Q2 - 3:10PacersIsaiah Jackson shooting foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)45
14.0%
51
86.0%
Q2 - 3:14PacersIsaiah Jackson turnover (bad pass) (Peyton Watson steals)45
14.7%
51
85.3%
Q2 - 3:27NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 245
16.5%
51
83.5%
Q2 - 3:27NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 245
17.0%
50
83.0%
Q2 - 3:27PacersJalen Smith shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)45
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q2 - 3:37PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)45
17.8%
49
82.2%
Q2 - 3:44NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound45
17.8%
49
82.2%
Q2 - 3:46PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point driving layup45
18.4%
49
81.6%
Q2 - 3:52NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 145
19.9%
49
80.1%
Q2 - 3:52PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)45
20.1%
48
79.9%
Q2 - 4:07PacersMyles Turner makes two point layup (Bruce Brown assists)45
23.2%
46
76.8%
Q2 - 4:24NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)43
21.5%
46
78.5%
Q2 - 4:33PacersAndrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 243
25.2%
43
74.8%
Q2 - 4:33PacersAndrew Nembhard misses regular free throw 1 of 242
24.9%
43
75.1%
Q2 - 4:33NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)42
26.5%
43
73.5%
Q2 - 4:40NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point driving floating jump shot (Michael Porter Jr. assists)42
25.5%
43
74.5%
Q2 - 4:49NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound42
27.4%
41
72.6%
Q2 - 4:52PacersJordan Nwora misses three point pullup jump shot42
28.1%
41
71.9%
Q2 - 5:03NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)42
29.6%
41
70.4%
Q2 - 5:14PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 242
33.6%
38
66.4%
Q2 - 5:14PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 241
33.2%
38
66.8%
Q2 - 5:14NuggetsReggie Jackson personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)40
32.7%
38
67.3%
Q2 - 5:26PacersBruce Brown defensive rebound40
31.9%
38
68.1%
Q2 - 5:29NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot40
31.0%
38
69.0%
Q2 - 5:47PacersMyles Turner turnover (offensive foul)40
29.0%
38
71.0%
Q2 - 5:47PacersMyles Turner offensive foul (Charge) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)40
31.9%
38
68.1%
Q2 - 6:06NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)40
31.5%
38
68.5%
Q2 - 6:06NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)40
28.8%
38
71.2%
Q2 - 6:22PacersMyles Turner makes two point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)40
28.8%
38
71.2%
Q2 - 6:31PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound38
27.1%
38
72.9%
Q2 - 6:34NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot38
26.3%
38
73.7%
Q2 - 6:50PacersJordan Nwora makes three point stepback jump shot (Bennedict Mathurin assists)38
24.6%
38
75.4%
Q2 - 7:04PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound35
21.2%
38
78.8%
Q2 - 7:06NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point cutting layup35
20.6%
38
79.4%
Q2 - 7:22PacersMyles Turner turnover (out of bounds bad pass)35
19.4%
38
80.6%
Q2 - 7:32NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)35
21.2%
38
78.8%
Q2 - 7:37PacersMyles Turner turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)35
24.7%
35
75.3%
Q2 - 7:50NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)35
26.8%
35
73.2%
Q2 - 8:08PacersT.J. McConnell makes regular free throw 2 of 235
30.6%
32
69.4%
Q2 - 8:08PacersT.J. McConnell misses regular free throw 1 of 234
30.3%
32
69.7%
Q2 - 8:08NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)34
32.0%
32
68.0%
Q2 - 8:10PacersT.J. McConnell offensive rebound34
30.8%
32
69.2%
Q2 - 8:13PacersJordan Nwora misses three point jump shot34
29.2%
32
70.8%
Q2 - 8:26NuggetsPeyton Watson personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)34
30.9%
32
69.1%
Q2 - 8:26PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound34
30.9%
32
69.1%
Q2 - 8:27NuggetsMyles Turner blocks Peyton Watson's two point layup34
30.1%
32
69.9%
Q2 - 8:29NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound34
28.5%
32
71.5%
Q2 - 8:31NuggetsChristian Braun misses two point running layup34
30.1%
32
69.9%
Q2 - 8:36NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound34
28.5%
32
71.5%
Q2 - 8:38PacersObi Toppin misses two point turnaround hook shot34
29.2%
32
70.8%
Q2 - 8:52PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound34
30.9%
32
69.1%
Q2 - 8:54NuggetsPeyton Watson misses two point floating jump shot34
30.1%
32
69.9%
Q2 - 9:06PacersBennedict Mathurin personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)34
28.4%
32
71.6%
Q2 - 9:14NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound34
28.4%
32
71.6%
Q2 - 9:16PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 134
28.7%
32
71.3%
Q2 - 9:16NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)34
30.1%
32
69.9%
Q2 - 9:33NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)32
26.5%
32
73.5%
Q2 - 9:40NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound32
28.4%
30
71.6%
Q2 - 9:44PacersBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot32
29.1%
30
70.9%
Q2 - 9:52PacersBuddy Hield makes technical free throw 1 of 132
30.6%
30
69.4%
Q2 - 9:52NuggetsDeAndre Jordan technical foul31
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q2 - 9:52NuggetsDeAndre Jordan turnover (offensive foul)31
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q2 - 9:52NuggetsDeAndre Jordan offensive foul (Isaiah Jackson draws the foul)31
26.4%
30
73.6%
Q2 - 10:00NuggetsDeAndre Jordan defensive rebound31
26.4%
30
73.6%
Q2 - 10:03PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot31
26.9%
30
73.1%
Q2 - 10:21PacersIsaiah Jackson defensive rebound31
28.4%
30
71.6%
Q2 - 10:24NuggetsChristian Braun misses regular free throw 2 of 231
28.1%
30
71.9%
Q2 - 10:24NuggetsChristian Braun misses regular free throw 1 of 231
26.9%
30
73.1%
Q2 - 10:24PacersJordan Nwora shooting foul (Christian Braun draws the foul)31
25.6%
30
74.4%
Q2 - 10:30NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound31
26.3%
30
73.7%
Q2 - 10:34PacersBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot31
27.0%
30
73.0%
Q2 - 10:51NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point stepback jump shot31
28.4%
30
71.6%
Q2 - 11:11PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving layup31
30.5%
28
69.5%
Q2 - 11:22PacersBuddy Hield makes regular free throw 1 of 131
29.9%
28
70.1%
Q2 - 11:22NuggetsDeAndre Jordan personal foul (Isaiah Jackson draws the foul)30
29.4%
28
70.6%
Q2 - 11:22NuggetsReggie Jackson turnover (bad pass) (Isaiah Jackson steals)30
31.4%
28
68.6%
Q2 - 11:37PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot30
27.9%
28
72.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
26.1%
28
73.9%
Q1 - 0:01.6PacersPacers offensive rebound28
25.5%
28
74.5%
Q1 - 0:01.6PacersIsaiah Jackson misses two point jump shot28
24.3%
28
75.7%
Q1 - 0:08.9NuggetsDeAndre Jordan personal foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)28
25.5%
28
74.5%
Q1 - 0:16.4NuggetsReggie Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 228
25.5%
28
74.5%
Q1 - 0:16.4NuggetsReggie Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 228
25.8%
27
74.2%
Q1 - 0:16.4PacersBennedict Mathurin shooting foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)28
26.1%
26
73.9%
Q1 - 0:37.1PacersObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Jackson assists)28
27.4%
26
72.6%
Q1 - 0:47.5PacersIsaiah Jackson defensive rebound25
23.8%
26
76.2%
Q1 - 0:50.2NuggetsPeyton Watson misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot25
23.3%
26
76.7%
Q1 - 1:08NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound25
22.2%
26
77.8%
Q1 - 1:10PacersBennedict Mathurin misses three point running jump shot25
22.6%
26
77.4%
Q1 - 1:14PacersJordan Nwora defensive rebound25
23.7%
26
76.3%
Q1 - 1:15NuggetsChristian Braun misses two point driving layup25
23.2%
26
76.8%
Q1 - 1:35PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jordan Nwora assists)25
22.1%
26
77.9%
Q1 - 1:51NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Jordan Nwora steals)23
20.5%
26
79.5%
Q1 - 2:03PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (offensive foul)23
19.0%
26
81.0%
Q1 - 2:03PacersBennedict Mathurin offensive foul (Charge) (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)23
20.7%
26
79.3%
Q1 - 2:14PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound23
20.7%
26
79.3%
Q1 - 2:16NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point fadeaway jump shot23
20.1%
26
79.9%
Q1 - 2:44PacersIsaiah Jackson makes two point cutting layup (T.J. McConnell assists)23
19.0%
26
81.0%
Q1 - 3:00NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jokic assists)21
17.8%
26
82.2%
Q1 - 3:16PacersObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)21
18.9%
24
81.1%
Q1 - 3:26NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving layup18
16.6%
24
83.4%
Q1 - 3:45PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)18
17.6%
22
82.4%
Q1 - 4:03NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)18
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q1 - 4:15NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound18
20.4%
20
79.6%
Q1 - 4:17PacersBruce Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 118
20.6%
20
79.4%
Q1 - 4:17NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)18
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 4:17PacersBruce Brown offensive rebound16
19.3%
20
80.7%
Q1 - 4:17PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point driving reverse layup16
18.2%
20
81.8%
Q1 - 4:25NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)16
19.3%
20
80.7%
Q1 - 4:35NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound16
20.4%
18
79.6%
Q1 - 4:36PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving floating jump shot16
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 4:52NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (out of bounds step)16
22.1%
18
77.9%
Q1 - 4:58NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound16
20.4%
18
79.6%
Q1 - 5:00PacersJalen Smith misses regular free throw 1 of 116
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 5:00NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Jalen Smith draws the foul)16
21.5%
18
78.5%
Q1 - 5:04NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Buddy Hield steals)14
19.2%
18
80.8%
Q1 - 5:06NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound14
17.8%
18
82.2%
Q1 - 5:07PacersBruce Brown misses two point driving layup14
18.2%
18
81.8%
Q1 - 5:18NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point alley-oop dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)14
19.2%
18
80.8%
Q1 - 5:28NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound14
20.4%
16
79.6%
Q1 - 5:28PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point driving floating jump shot14
20.8%
16
79.2%
Q1 - 5:39NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point cutting dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)14
21.9%
16
78.1%
Q1 - 5:54PacersJalen Smith makes two point tip dunk14
23.2%
14
76.8%
Q1 - 5:54PacersJalen Smith offensive rebound12
21.9%
14
78.1%
Q1 - 6:01PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving layup12
20.7%
14
79.3%
Q1 - 6:15PacersBruce Brown defensive rebound12
21.7%
14
78.3%
Q1 - 6:15NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point running pullup jump shot12
21.3%
14
78.7%
Q1 - 6:20NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound12
20.3%
14
79.7%
Q1 - 6:22PacersBruce Brown misses two point turnaround hook shot12
20.8%
14
79.2%
Q1 - 6:40NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 212
21.7%
14
78.3%
Q1 - 6:40NuggetsJamal Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 212
21.8%
13
78.2%
Q1 - 6:40PacersBuddy Hield shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)12
20.7%
13
79.3%
Q1 - 6:43PacersBruce Brown makes two point tip layup12
21.7%
13
78.3%
Q1 - 6:43PacersBruce Brown offensive rebound10
20.4%
13
79.6%
Q1 - 6:45PacersNikola Jokic blocks Jalen Smith's two point running layup10
19.5%
13
80.5%
Q1 - 6:49NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Myles Turner steals)10
20.4%
13
79.6%
Q1 - 7:05PacersJalen Smith makes two point pullup jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)10
18.8%
13
81.2%
Q1 - 7:23NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 28
17.8%
13
82.2%
Q1 - 7:23NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 28
18.2%
12
81.8%
Q1 - 7:23PacersJalen Smith shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)8
18.6%
11
81.4%
Q1 - 7:30NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound8
18.8%
11
81.2%
Q1 - 7:33PacersBruce Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot8
19.3%
11
80.7%
Q1 - 7:54NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point running dunk (Aaron Gordon assists)8
20.3%
11
79.7%
Q1 - 7:56NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound8
21.4%
9
78.6%
Q1 - 7:59PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot8
21.8%
9
78.2%
Q1 - 8:06PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound8
22.8%
9
77.2%
Q1 - 8:10NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot8
22.3%
9
77.7%
Q1 - 8:31PacersBuddy Hield makes two point driving finger roll layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)8
21.2%
9
78.8%
Q1 - 8:55NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)6
20.2%
9
79.8%
Q1 - 8:59PacersAndrew Nembhard turnover (lost ball) (Jamal Murray steals)6
22.5%
6
77.5%
Q1 - 9:13NuggetsJamal Murray personal foul (Jalen Smith draws the foul)6
24.1%
6
75.9%
Q1 - 9:24NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (out of bounds bad pass)6
24.1%
6
75.9%
Q1 - 9:43PacersBruce Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot6
22.6%
6
77.4%
Q1 - 9:48PacersJalen Smith defensive rebound4
21.4%
6
78.6%
Q1 - 9:52NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot4
21.0%
6
79.0%
Q1 - 10:06NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound4
19.9%
6
80.1%
Q1 - 10:09PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot4
20.3%
6
79.7%
Q1 - 10:17PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound4
21.2%
6
78.8%
Q1 - 10:20NuggetsAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 14
21.0%
6
79.0%
Q1 - 10:20PacersBruce Brown shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)4
20.4%
6
79.6%
Q1 - 10:38PacersBuddy Hield makes two point cutting layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)4
22.3%
4
77.7%
Q1 - 11:02NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
20.9%
4
79.1%
Q1 - 11:28PacersMyles Turner makes two point jump shot (Jalen Smith assists)2
21.9%
2
78.1%
Q1 - 11:45NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving layup (Michael Porter Jr. assists)0
20.9%
2
79.1%
Q1 - 12:00Myles Turner vs. Nikola Jokic (Aaron Gordon gains possession)0
21.9%
0
78.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.06 52.9%
DEN
1.39 69.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
22
36
61%
DEN
24
30
80%
Midrange
IND
13
27
48%
DEN
12
21
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
8
12.0
29
28%
41%
DEN
10
15.0
20
50%
75%
Free Throws
IND
15
22
68%
DEN
15
23
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Brown1853%9.0 / 17
B. Hield1657%8.0 / 14
A. Nembhard1255%6.0 / 11
M. Turner1250%6.0 / 12
B. Mathurin1255%6.0 / 11
I. Jackson1267%6.0 / 9
O. Toppin11110%5.5 / 5
J. Smith857%4.0 / 7
T. McConnell525%2.5 / 10
J. Nwora330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Porter2583%12.5 / 15
J. Murray2563%12.5 / 20
N. Jokić2589%12.5 / 14
A. Gordon2077%10.0 / 13
K. Caldwell-Pope11110%5.5 / 5
R. Jackson990%4.5 / 5
C. Braun217%1.0 / 6
P. Watson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
88
+15
-13
103
DEN
79
+5
-21
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.06 52.9%
DEN
1.39 69.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
120.7
118.1
IND 107.9
DEN 117.0 +9.1
Pace
102.1
97.1
IND 107.5 +13.3
DEN 94.2
Avg. Poss. Time
13.8
15.1
IND 13.4 +1.9
DEN 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
57.9%
56.2%
IND 51.1%
DEN 71.8% +20.7%
TO %
12.0%
12.1%
IND 11.3% +10.0%
DEN 21.3%
ORB %
23.8%
25.5%
IND 28.0% +13.2%
DEN 14.8%
FTrt
22.2
22.4
IND 23.9
DEN 32.4 +8.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.4%
66.9%
IND 65.1%
DEN 67.4% +2.3%
STL %
7.5%
7.4%
IND 10.9% +2.9%
DEN 8.0%
BLK %
9.7%
9.8%
IND 2.0%
DEN 4.8% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
59.4%
57.5%
IND 52.9%
DEN 69.6% +16.7%
Rim FG%
65.5%
62.7%
IND 61.1%
DEN 80.0% +18.9%
Mid FG%
48.9%
47.6%
IND 48.1%
DEN 57.1% +9.0%
3P %
37.4%
37.4%
IND 27.6%
DEN 50.0% +22.4%
FT %
78.2%
76.2%
IND 68.2% +3.0%
DEN 65.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
37.0%
IND 39.1%
DEN 42.3% +3.1%
Mid Att. %
24.7%
27.9%
IND 29.3% +0.2%
DEN 29.6%
3P Att. %
38.0%
35.2%
IND 31.5% +3.4%
DEN 28.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.
Game TotalsINDDEN
Possessions101100
Possession Minutes22.625.5
Points109117
Rebounds3740
Assists2831
Steals118
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)21 (1)
Fouls2118
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (1)4 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (0)36 (2)
Field Goals43-9246-71
At-the-Rim FG22-3624-30
Midrange FG13-2712-21
2-Point FG35-6336-51
3-Point FG8-2910-20
Free Throws15-2215-23
Fast Break Pts711
2nd Chance Pts206
Points in Paint5464
Pts off Turnovers2017
Bench Points4311
Biggest Lead412

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 27
33.5
18
53%
10
6
3
0
2
3
5
5
1-3
33%
7-14
50%
1-2
50%
#2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 24
28.8
12
55%
2
7
0
0
2
0
1
1
4-6
67%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
#7 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 30
28.0
16
57%
2
1
2
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-4
100%
2-9
22%
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28
25.6
12
50%
4
1
2
1
3
5
1
3
2-3
67%
5-7
71%
0-4
0%
#25 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24
25.3
8
57%
3
3
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
#1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26
25.5
11
110%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
#00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22
21.6
12
55%
3
2
0
0
2
3
1
2
5-5
100%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
#22 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 22
19.6
12
67%
7
1
2
0
2
3
3
4
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
#9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32
19.3
5
25%
2
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
0-2
0%
#13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25
12.9
3
30%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20
#10 · SG · 6'8" 205 · 21
#44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24
#26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37
#21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#23 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Bilateral Shin; Soreness
#0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
53%
37
28
11
1
13
21
14
23
15-22
68%
35-63
56%
8-29
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.