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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 13, 2024
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bulls67%114122
28Spurs33%107116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.8
35.7
33.8
10
51%
6
7
1
1
0
2
0
6
3-4
75%
2-3
4-8
67%
55%
1-5
20%
DeMar DeRozan
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.4
34.4
37.7
20
50%
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
6-14
7-13
43%
53%
2-5
40%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 29.9
33.4
27.4
11
94%
6
6
2
1
3
1
0
6
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
56%
3-4
75%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.9
32.2
36.6
15
51%
2
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
6-10
5-9
60%
53%
0-3
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 6'10" 260 · 33.2
31.1
31.3
24
66%
16
5
0
1
3
1
3
13
2-3
67%
8-12
6-10
67%
57%
2-5
40%
Ayo Dosunmu
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.0
29.3
19.6
21
106%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
58%
3-3
100%
Jevon Carter
G · 6'1" 200 · 28.3
23.8
5.3
14
58%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
4-9
44%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 30.4
16.9
15.4
7
42%
10
1
1
1
1
0
4
6
1-3
33%
3-7
3-5
43%
57%
0-0
-
Dalen Terry
F · 6'7" 195 · 21.5
3.1
9.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Patrick Williams
F · 6'7" 215 · 22.4
25.9
1
3-5
52%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.1
5.4
0
0-1
56%
Terry Taylor
G · 6'5" 230 · 24.3
4.3
0
1-1
63%
Onuralp Bitim
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
Adama Sanogo
F · 6'9" 245 · 21.9
Julian Phillips
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.2
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 26.2
Henri Drell
F · 6'8" 185 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.4
33.9
27.9
5
17%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
0-5
4-7
0%
53%
1-8
13%
Tre Jones
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.0
32.4
25.1
30
96%
9
4
0
1
0
1
1
8
6-6
100%
6-7
3-5
86%
55%
4-6
67%
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.7
31.2
26.4
11
36%
7
2
0
1
0
1
4
3
1-1
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
52%
2-6
33%
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'8" 215 · 20.6
22.2
18.5
5
43%
6
3
1
1
1
0
4
2
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
0-0
-
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 22.5
16.7
19.3
6
47%
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
1-3
33%
Keldon Johnson
F-G · 6'5" 220 · 24.3
29.7
23.6
26
78%
4
5
0
1
1
2
0
4
6-6
100%
4-9
4-6
44%
54%
4-5
80%
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.8
22.9
16.9
9
90%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
57%
3-5
60%
Malaki Branham
F · 6'4" 180 · 20.7
21.7
19.0
14
47%
1
1
3
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
54%
2-8
25%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 24.6
18.2
5.9
8
51%
8
1
1
0
2
0
3
5
1-2
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.8
11.2
12.7
2
33%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.9
6.3
0
0-1
44%
Mamadi Diakite
F · 6'9" 228 · 27.0
5.3
0
1-1
55%
David Duke Jr.
G · 6'4" 204 · 24.3
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
Doug McDermott
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
Sidy Cissoko
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.8
Victor Wembanyama
F-C · 7'3" 235 · 20.0
Zach Collins
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.