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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 13, 2024
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Pelicans44%111118
18Mavericks56%113108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dyson Daniels
G · 6'7" 199 · 20.8
37.6
19.5
10
63%
6
7
0
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hawkins
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.7
36.6
10.8
34
75%
5
4
2
0
0
3
3
2
6-8
75%
5-7
1-2
71%
49%
6-12
50%
Herbert Jones
F · 6'7" 206 · 25.3
31.7
22.5
15
48%
5
3
0
1
2
1
2
3
4-6
67%
4-10
2-4
40%
55%
1-3
33%
Naji Marshall
F · 6'6" 220 · 26.0
30.6
14.7
13
50%
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
3-8
2-3
38%
53%
2-4
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
27.8
23.1
14
70%
12
7
0
0
2
0
5
7
6-9
67%
4-6
4-7
67%
59%
0-0
-
Jose Alvarado
G · 6'0" 179 · 25.8
26.3
15.2
14
54%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
50%
3-8
38%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 23.2
22.1
6.7
2
25%
4
0
2
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Larry Nance Jr.
F-C · 6'8" 245 · 31.0
20.2
19.0
14
105%
2
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
6-6
100%
4-4
2-3
100%
61%
0-0
-
Kira Lewis Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 22.8
7.1
3.4
2
35%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Trey Murphy III
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.6
25.2
1
2-3
58%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.3
4.8
0
1-1
56%
E.J. Liddell
F · 6'6" 240 · 23.1
2.8
0
0-0
55%
Dereon Seabron
G · 6'7" 180 · 23.6
Brandon Ingram
F · 6'8" 190 · 26.4
Zion Williamson
F · 6'6" 284 · 23.5
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.3
Matt Ryan
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.8
40.3
35.2
33
57%
5
6
1
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
7-13
7-13
54%
55%
5-14
36%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 31.8
39.3
31.9
24
61%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
5-6
83%
5-9
3-6
56%
50%
3-8
38%
Dwight Powell
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32.5
33.6
24.0
2
53%
9
8
3
1
0
1
5
4
2-2
100%
0-1
3-4
0%
71%
0-0
-
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.2
32.4
28.5
9
51%
6
4
0
1
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
61%
1-3
33%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F · 6'6" 210 · 26.9
27.9
31.3
24
98%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
5-5
100%
5-5
3-5
100%
62%
3-5
60%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'3" 198 · 21.5
23.4
18.9
8
50%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
2-4
50%
Grant Williams
F · 6'6" 236 · 25.1
14.3
19.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-2
0%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.4
11.6
11.8
3
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.0
11.0
7.5
2
33%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
57%
0-2
0%
A.J. Lawson
G · 6'6" 179 · 23.5
6.1
5.6
3
44%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 34.4
4.8
0
0-1
49%
Richaun Holmes
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.2
3.2
0
1-1
63%
Brandon Williams
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.1
2.7
0
0-1
47%
Luka Doncic
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 24.9
Greg Brown III
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.4
Dante Exum
G · 6'5" 214 · 28.5
Dereck Lively II
C · 7'1" 230 · 19.9
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.