FinalWin Prob.pScore
2540%104
96
1760%107
99
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
104.39289.3
MIA logo MIA
110.09092.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.96
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point pullup jump shot96
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 0:07.8HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 2 of 296
5.5%
99
94.5%
Q4 - 0:07.8HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 1 of 296
7.7%
98
92.3%
Q4 - 0:07.8MagicCaleb Houstan personal foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)96
11.2%
97
88.8%
Q4 - 0:08.5HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound96
14.0%
97
86.0%
Q4 - 0:08.5MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point layup96
19.5%
97
80.5%
Q4 - 0:09.3MagicPaolo Banchero offensive rebound96
38.0%
97
62.0%
Q4 - 0:11.9MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point driving bank jump shot96
21.1%
97
78.9%
Q4 - 0:18.8HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)96
37.6%
97
62.4%
Q4 - 0:23.1HeatHeat offensive rebound96
55.2%
95
44.8%
Q4 - 0:24.8HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup96
71.4%
95
28.6%
Q4 - 0:38.3MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point fadeaway jump shot96
54.7%
95
45.3%
Q4 - 0:48.1MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound94
40.6%
95
59.4%
Q4 - 0:51.0HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot94
35.8%
95
64.2%
Q4 - 1:10MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot94
25.9%
95
74.1%
Q4 - 1:24HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 292
19.5%
95
80.5%
Q4 - 1:24HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 292
21.0%
94
79.0%
Q4 - 1:24MagicMoritz Wagner personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)92
14.9%
94
85.1%
Q4 - 1:25HeatHeat defensive rebound92
18.1%
94
81.9%
Q4 - 1:26MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point driving floating jump shot92
21.1%
94
78.9%
Q4 - 1:43MagicMagic defensive rebound92
29.9%
94
70.1%
Q4 - 1:44HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot92
26.4%
94
73.6%
Q4 - 2:05MagicMoritz Wagner makes two point driving layup (Paolo Banchero assists)92
18.8%
94
81.2%
Q4 - 2:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk90
14.8%
94
85.2%
Q4 - 2:41HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound90
18.3%
92
81.7%
Q4 - 2:43MagicPaolo Banchero misses regular free throw 2 of 290
19.8%
92
80.2%
Q4 - 2:43MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 290
24.7%
92
75.3%
Q4 - 2:43HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)89
22.4%
92
77.6%
Q4 - 2:57MagicMoritz Wagner defensive rebound89
23.4%
92
76.6%
Q4 - 3:01HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot89
20.4%
92
79.6%
Q4 - 3:21MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 289
14.4%
92
85.6%
Q4 - 3:21MagicPaolo Banchero misses regular free throw 1 of 288
13.3%
92
86.7%
Q4 - 3:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)88
17.4%
92
82.6%
Q4 - 3:23HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Cole Anthony steals)88
16.4%
92
83.6%
Q4 - 3:33HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound88
14.1%
92
85.9%
Q4 - 3:35MagicCole Anthony misses two point driving floating bank jump shot88
15.5%
92
84.5%
Q4 - 3:47MagicMagic defensive rebound88
19.1%
92
80.9%
Q4 - 3:49HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot88
17.3%
92
82.7%
Q4 - 4:03MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 288
13.6%
92
86.4%
Q4 - 4:03MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 287
12.6%
92
87.4%
Q4 - 4:03HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)86
11.6%
92
88.4%
Q4 - 4:17HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 286
10.1%
92
89.9%
Q4 - 4:17HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 286
10.6%
91
89.4%
Q4 - 4:17MagicMoritz Wagner shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)86
11.3%
90
88.7%
Q4 - 4:19HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound86
13.4%
90
86.6%
Q4 - 4:20HeatMoritz Wagner blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point layup86
17.0%
90
83.0%
Q4 - 4:37MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (out of bounds bad pass)86
13.3%
90
86.7%
Q4 - 4:39MagicPaolo Banchero offensive rebound86
18.7%
90
81.3%
Q4 - 4:45MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point pullup jump shot86
14.8%
90
85.2%
Q4 - 4:58HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)86
18.6%
90
81.4%
Q4 - 5:16HeatHeat defensive rebound86
15.7%
90
84.3%
Q4 - 5:17MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot86
17.1%
90
82.9%
Q4 - 5:46HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Josh Richardson assists)86
20.8%
90
79.2%
Q4 - 6:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound86
26.9%
88
73.1%
Q4 - 6:05MagicCaleb Houstan misses three point jump shot86
29.0%
88
71.0%
Q4 - 6:24HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)86
34.1%
88
65.9%
Q4 - 6:50MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point pullup jump shot86
26.8%
88
73.2%
Q4 - 6:57MagicCaleb Houstan defensive rebound84
22.5%
88
77.5%
Q4 - 7:01HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot84
22.1%
88
77.9%
Q4 - 7:25MagicMoritz Wagner makes two point layup (Paolo Banchero assists)84
18.5%
88
81.5%
Q4 - 7:33MagicChuma Okeke offensive rebound82
15.6%
88
84.4%
Q4 - 7:35MagicCole Anthony misses two point stepback jump shot82
12.9%
88
87.1%
Q4 - 7:54HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot82
15.6%
88
84.4%
Q4 - 8:04MagicJoe Ingles misses technical free throw 1 of 182
19.7%
86
80.3%
Q4 - 8:04HeatBam Adebayo technical foul82
22.8%
86
77.2%
Q4 - 8:04MagicMoritz Wagner personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)82
19.7%
86
80.3%
Q4 - 8:09MagicMarkelle Fultz personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)82
19.7%
86
80.3%
Q4 - 8:18HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound82
19.6%
86
80.4%
Q4 - 8:21MagicChuma Okeke misses three point jump shot82
20.9%
86
79.1%
Q4 - 8:34HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup82
24.1%
86
75.9%
Q4 - 8:44MagicJoe Ingles makes two point driving floating jump shot (Moritz Wagner assists)82
28.5%
84
71.5%
Q4 - 9:02HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot80
24.9%
84
75.1%
Q4 - 9:13MagicChuma Okeke makes three point jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)80
33.8%
81
66.2%
Q4 - 9:20HeatKevin Love personal foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)77
24.9%
81
75.1%
Q4 - 9:32HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup77
24.8%
81
75.2%
Q4 - 9:56MagicMoritz Wagner makes two point alley-oop layup (Joe Ingles assists)77
28.8%
79
71.2%
Q4 - 10:15MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound75
25.7%
79
74.3%
Q4 - 10:19HeatCaleb Martin misses two point jump shot75
24.3%
79
75.7%
Q4 - 10:25HeatKevin Love defensive rebound75
21.3%
79
78.7%
Q4 - 10:28MagicCole Anthony misses two point driving layup75
22.6%
79
77.4%
Q4 - 10:38HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kevin Love assists)75
25.7%
79
74.3%
Q4 - 11:02MagicMoritz Wagner personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)75
30.3%
77
69.7%
Q4 - 11:02HeatHeat defensive rebound75
30.3%
77
69.7%
Q4 - 11:05MagicJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot75
31.6%
77
68.4%
Q4 - 11:12HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Markelle Fultz steals)75
34.8%
77
65.2%
Q4 - 11:26MagicMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 275
30.3%
77
69.7%
Q4 - 11:26MagicMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 274
29.6%
77
70.4%
Q4 - 11:26HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)73
28.8%
77
71.2%
Q4 - 11:41HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)73
26.1%
77
73.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.73
30.2%
75
69.8%
Q3 - 0:00.8MagicMarkelle Fultz offensive rebound73
35.0%
75
65.0%
Q3 - 0:02.5MagicMarkelle Fultz misses regular free throw 2 of 273
31.4%
75
68.6%
Q3 - 0:02.5MagicMarkelle Fultz makes regular free throw 1 of 273
34.2%
75
65.8%
Q3 - 0:02.5HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Markelle Fultz draws the foul)72
33.2%
75
66.8%
Q3 - 0:24.7HeatCaleb Martin makes flagrant free throw 2 of 272
30.7%
75
69.3%
Q3 - 0:24.7HeatCaleb Martin makes flagrant free throw 1 of 272
27.8%
74
72.2%
Q3 - 0:24.7MagicJoe Ingles flagrant 1 (Caleb Martin draws the foul)72
28.7%
73
71.3%
Q3 - 0:31.6HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound72
35.2%
73
64.8%
Q3 - 0:36.1MagicChuma Okeke misses three point jump shot72
36.5%
73
63.5%
Q3 - 0:45.7HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 272
39.6%
73
60.4%
Q3 - 0:45.7HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 272
40.5%
72
59.5%
Q3 - 0:45.7MagicMarkelle Fultz shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)72
41.5%
71
58.5%
Q3 - 1:03HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound72
43.9%
71
56.1%
Q3 - 1:07MagicMoritz Wagner misses three point jump shot72
45.4%
71
54.6%
Q3 - 1:08MagicMarkelle Fultz offensive rebound72
48.8%
71
51.2%
Q3 - 1:11MagicJoe Ingles misses two point driving hook shot72
45.4%
71
54.6%
Q3 - 1:27HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 272
48.8%
71
51.2%
Q3 - 1:27HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 272
49.8%
70
50.2%
Q3 - 1:27MagicJoe Ingles shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)72
50.9%
69
49.1%
Q3 - 1:38MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point running dunk72
53.2%
69
46.8%
Q3 - 1:42HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Markelle Fultz steals)70
48.8%
69
51.2%
Q3 - 2:01MagicJoe Ingles makes three point running jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)70
43.5%
69
56.5%
Q3 - 2:05MagicMoritz Wagner defensive rebound67
35.5%
69
64.5%
Q3 - 2:09HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot67
34.2%
69
65.8%
Q3 - 2:24MagicMagic turnover (shot clock violation)67
31.4%
69
68.6%
Q3 - 2:48MagicMagic defensive rebound67
35.5%
69
64.5%
Q3 - 2:49HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot67
34.2%
69
65.8%
Q3 - 2:54HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound67
31.3%
69
68.7%
Q3 - 2:59MagicTrevelin Queen misses three point jump shot67
32.6%
69
67.4%
Q3 - 3:11HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Trevelin Queen draws the foul)67
36.0%
69
64.0%
Q3 - 3:12MagicMagic offensive rebound67
36.0%
69
64.0%
Q3 - 3:13MagicJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot67
32.9%
69
67.1%
Q3 - 3:26HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (lost ball) (Joe Ingles steals)67
36.0%
69
64.0%
Q3 - 3:28HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound67
31.6%
69
68.4%
Q3 - 3:31HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot67
34.6%
69
65.4%
Q3 - 3:57MagicMoritz Wagner makes two point running layup (Markelle Fultz assists)67
31.6%
69
68.4%
Q3 - 4:03HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Joe Ingles steals)65
28.9%
69
71.1%
Q3 - 4:19MagicJoe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Moritz Wagner assists)65
25.4%
69
74.6%
Q3 - 4:28HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)62
20.1%
69
79.9%
Q3 - 4:39MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound62
20.1%
69
79.9%
Q3 - 4:42HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point putback layup62
19.2%
69
80.8%
Q3 - 4:44HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound62
17.3%
69
82.7%
Q3 - 4:46HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point running layup62
19.2%
69
80.8%
Q3 - 4:53MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)62
17.3%
69
82.7%
Q3 - 5:01MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound62
20.7%
69
79.3%
Q3 - 5:04HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot62
19.8%
69
80.2%
Q3 - 5:25MagicGoga Bitadze makes two point hook shot (Markelle Fultz assists)62
18.0%
69
82.0%
Q3 - 5:42MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound60
16.0%
69
84.0%
Q3 - 5:45HeatNikola Jovic misses two point jump shot60
15.3%
69
84.7%
Q3 - 5:47HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound60
13.9%
69
86.1%
Q3 - 5:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop dunk60
15.3%
69
84.7%
Q3 - 6:00MagicTrevelin Queen turnover (out of bounds bad pass)60
13.9%
69
86.1%
Q3 - 6:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup60
16.6%
69
83.4%
Q3 - 6:13HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound60
18.5%
67
81.5%
Q3 - 6:13HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point running layup60
20.3%
67
79.7%
Q3 - 6:18HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound60
18.5%
67
81.5%
Q3 - 6:20MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point fadeaway jump shot60
19.3%
67
80.7%
Q3 - 6:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)60
21.1%
67
78.9%
Q3 - 6:46HeatHeat offensive rebound60
23.4%
65
76.6%
Q3 - 6:47HeatGoga Bitadze blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup60
25.5%
65
74.5%
Q3 - 6:48HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound60
23.4%
65
76.6%
Q3 - 6:49HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point pullup jump shot60
25.5%
65
74.5%
Q3 - 7:01HeatHeat defensive rebound60
23.9%
65
76.1%
Q3 - 7:03MagicJalen Suggs misses three point stepback jump shot60
24.8%
65
75.2%
Q3 - 7:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot60
27.0%
65
73.0%
Q3 - 7:38MagicGoga Bitadze personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)60
29.4%
63
70.6%
Q3 - 7:47MagicMagic turnover (shot clock violation)60
29.4%
63
70.6%
Q3 - 7:47MagicMagic offensive rebound60
33.0%
63
67.0%
Q3 - 7:48MagicBam Adebayo blocks Paolo Banchero's two point driving layup60
30.5%
63
69.5%
Q3 - 8:01HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Goga Bitadze draws the foul)60
33.0%
63
67.0%
Q3 - 8:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot60
33.0%
63
67.0%
Q3 - 8:26MagicCaleb Houstan personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)60
35.6%
61
64.4%
Q3 - 8:32MagicChuma Okeke turnover (out of bounds step)60
35.6%
61
64.4%
Q3 - 8:40MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound60
39.5%
61
60.5%
Q3 - 8:43HeatNikola Jovic misses two point reverse layup60
38.3%
61
61.7%
Q3 - 8:49HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound60
35.6%
61
64.4%
Q3 - 8:52MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point jump shot60
36.7%
61
63.3%
Q3 - 9:10MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound60
39.3%
61
60.7%
Q3 - 9:12HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point hook shot60
38.1%
61
61.9%
Q3 - 9:36MagicChuma Okeke makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)60
35.6%
61
64.4%
Q3 - 9:49MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound57
30.1%
61
69.9%
Q3 - 9:52HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point stepback jump shot57
29.1%
61
70.9%
Q3 - 9:59HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound57
26.9%
61
73.1%
Q3 - 10:02MagicCaleb Houstan misses three point running jump shot57
28.1%
61
71.9%
Q3 - 10:09HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Goga Bitadze steals)57
30.3%
61
69.7%
Q3 - 10:19MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (out of bounds lost ball)57
27.1%
61
72.9%
Q3 - 10:37HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)57
30.3%
61
69.7%
Q3 - 10:45MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (lost ball) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)57
32.6%
59
67.4%
Q3 - 10:56MagicChuma Okeke offensive rebound57
36.1%
59
63.9%
Q3 - 10:59MagicChuma Okeke misses three point jump shot57
33.6%
59
66.4%
Q3 - 11:19HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)57
35.7%
59
64.3%
Q3 - 11:46MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point pullup jump shot (Chuma Okeke assists)57
41.6%
56
58.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.55
38.8%
56
61.2%
Q2 - 0:00.6MagicMagic offensive rebound55
38.4%
56
61.6%
Q2 - 0:02.1MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point driving bank jump shot55
36.7%
56
63.3%
Q2 - 0:06.9HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Joe Ingles draws the foul)55
38.4%
56
61.6%
Q2 - 0:10.8HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup55
38.4%
56
61.6%
Q2 - 0:31.3MagicJoe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)55
41.9%
54
58.1%
Q2 - 0:42.9HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)52
35.5%
54
64.5%
Q2 - 0:55.7MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)52
41.9%
51
58.1%
Q2 - 1:07MagicTrevelin Queen defensive rebound50
38.6%
51
61.4%
Q2 - 1:10HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point floating jump shot50
37.9%
51
62.1%
Q2 - 1:15MagicCaleb Houstan personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)50
36.2%
51
63.8%
Q2 - 1:34MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point driving hook shot50
36.2%
51
63.8%
Q2 - 1:55HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)48
32.9%
51
67.1%
Q2 - 2:03HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound48
35.7%
49
64.3%
Q2 - 2:06MagicCaleb Houstan misses three point stepback jump shot48
36.6%
49
63.4%
Q2 - 2:19MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound48
38.7%
49
61.3%
Q2 - 2:21HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot48
37.8%
49
62.2%
Q2 - 2:43MagicJoe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Caleb Houstan assists)48
35.8%
49
64.2%
Q2 - 2:44MagicCaleb Houstan offensive rebound45
30.7%
49
69.3%
Q2 - 2:48MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point jump shot45
28.9%
49
71.1%
Q2 - 2:56MagicCole Anthony offensive rebound45
30.7%
49
69.3%
Q2 - 3:01MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point jump shot45
29.1%
49
70.9%
Q2 - 3:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Nikola Jovic assists)45
31.1%
49
68.9%
Q2 - 3:37HeatHeat offensive rebound45
33.0%
47
67.0%
Q2 - 3:38HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot45
35.2%
47
64.8%
Q2 - 3:52MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Moritz Wagner assists)45
33.0%
47
67.0%
Q2 - 4:00HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running dunk (Nikola Jovic assists)43
31.1%
47
68.9%
Q2 - 4:02HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound43
33.3%
45
66.7%
Q2 - 4:06MagicCaleb Houstan misses three point running jump shot43
34.1%
45
65.9%
Q2 - 4:11MagicAnthony Black defensive rebound43
36.0%
45
64.0%
Q2 - 4:12HeatCole Anthony blocks Nikola Jovic's two point cutting layup43
35.2%
45
64.8%
Q2 - 4:28MagicMoritz Wagner makes two point putback layup43
33.3%
45
66.7%
Q2 - 4:29MagicMoritz Wagner offensive rebound41
31.1%
45
68.9%
Q2 - 4:32MagicCole Anthony misses two point fadeaway jump shot41
29.3%
45
70.7%
Q2 - 4:44MagicMoritz Wagner defensive rebound41
31.1%
45
68.9%
Q2 - 4:47HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot41
30.3%
45
69.7%
Q2 - 5:01HeatKevin Love defensive rebound41
28.4%
45
71.6%
Q2 - 5:04MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot41
29.2%
45
70.8%
Q2 - 5:22HeatJosh Richardson makes two point cutting layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)41
31.3%
45
68.7%
Q2 - 5:36MagicCaleb Houstan makes three point running jump shot (Anthony Black assists)41
33.0%
43
67.0%
Q2 - 5:40HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Moritz Wagner steals)38
29.0%
43
71.0%
Q2 - 5:58MagicCaleb Houstan makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)38
26.3%
43
73.7%
Q2 - 6:13HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup35
23.0%
43
77.0%
Q2 - 6:17HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound35
24.5%
41
75.5%
Q2 - 6:22MagicCole Anthony misses three point jump shot35
25.3%
41
74.7%
Q2 - 6:29MagicAnthony Black defensive rebound35
27.0%
41
73.0%
Q2 - 6:33HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot35
26.2%
41
73.8%
Q2 - 6:46MagicAnthony Black makes regular free throw 2 of 235
24.5%
41
75.5%
Q2 - 6:46MagicAnthony Black misses regular free throw 1 of 234
24.0%
41
76.0%
Q2 - 6:46HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Anthony Black draws the foul)34
25.3%
41
74.7%
Q2 - 6:51MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound34
25.0%
41
75.0%
Q2 - 6:53HeatJosh Richardson misses two point stepback jump shot34
24.2%
41
75.8%
Q2 - 7:06MagicCole Anthony makes two point driving layup34
23.0%
41
77.0%
Q2 - 7:24HeatJosh Richardson makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)32
21.4%
41
78.6%
Q2 - 7:49MagicCaleb Houstan makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)32
23.0%
39
77.0%
Q2 - 8:03HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup (Bam Adebayo assists)29
19.8%
39
80.2%
Q2 - 8:06HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound29
21.3%
37
78.7%
Q2 - 8:08MagicAnthony Black misses two point cutting layup29
21.9%
37
78.1%
Q2 - 8:22MagicAnthony Black defensive rebound29
23.2%
37
76.8%
Q2 - 8:24HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot29
22.6%
37
77.4%
Q2 - 8:39MagicChuma Okeke makes two point cutting dunk (Joe Ingles assists)29
21.3%
37
78.7%
Q2 - 9:00HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving hook shot27
19.8%
37
80.2%
Q2 - 9:25MagicMoritz Wagner makes two point alley-oop layup (Joe Ingles assists)27
21.4%
35
78.6%
Q2 - 9:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup25
19.8%
35
80.2%
Q2 - 9:46MagicMoritz Wagner personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)25
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q2 - 9:53HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q2 - 9:56MagicCole Anthony misses three point jump shot25
21.9%
33
78.1%
Q2 - 10:06HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Black steals)25
23.5%
33
76.5%
Q2 - 10:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
21.7%
33
78.3%
Q2 - 10:17MagicJoe Ingles misses three point running pullup jump shot25
22.2%
33
77.8%
Q2 - 10:21HeatJosh Richardson turnover (bad pass) (Joe Ingles steals)25
23.5%
33
76.5%
Q2 - 10:32MagicMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 125
21.7%
33
78.3%
Q2 - 10:32HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)24
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q2 - 10:57HeatKevin Love makes three point running jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)22
18.6%
33
81.4%
Q2 - 11:03MagicJoe Ingles turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)22
22.0%
30
78.0%
Q2 - 11:11HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)22
23.7%
30
76.3%
Q2 - 11:12HeatHeat offensive rebound22
22.0%
30
78.0%
Q2 - 11:13HeatCaleb Martin misses two point jump shot22
23.2%
30
76.8%
Q2 - 11:33HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound22
22.0%
30
78.0%
Q2 - 11:37MagicJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot22
22.5%
30
77.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
23.7%
30
76.3%
Q1 - 0:00.1MagicMagic offensive rebound22
23.6%
30
76.4%
Q1 - 0:00.3MagicChuma Okeke misses three point jump shot22
22.5%
30
77.5%
Q1 - 0:03.4HeatJosh Richardson makes two point fadeaway jump shot22
23.6%
30
76.4%
Q1 - 0:19.3MagicMoritz Wagner turnover (out of bounds step)22
25.4%
28
74.6%
Q1 - 0:22.1MagicChuma Okeke defensive rebound22
27.2%
28
72.8%
Q1 - 0:25.1HeatChuma Okeke blocks Duncan Robinson's two point running layup22
26.7%
28
73.3%
Q1 - 0:29.7MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)22
25.4%
28
74.6%
Q1 - 0:42.5HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 122
27.2%
28
72.8%
Q1 - 0:42.5MagicCole Anthony shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)22
27.4%
27
72.6%
Q1 - 0:44.9HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound22
31.2%
25
68.8%
Q1 - 0:47.5MagicMoritz Wagner misses two point driving layup22
31.8%
25
68.2%
Q1 - 0:58.5HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)22
33.2%
25
66.8%
Q1 - 1:15MagicMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 222
35.5%
23
64.5%
Q1 - 1:15MagicMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 221
35.2%
23
64.8%
Q1 - 1:15HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)20
34.8%
23
65.2%
Q1 - 1:20HeatKevin Love personal foul (Loose ball) (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)20
33.3%
23
66.7%
Q1 - 1:20MagicMagic offensive rebound20
33.3%
23
66.7%
Q1 - 1:20MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point hook shot20
32.0%
23
68.0%
Q1 - 1:35HeatKevin Love turnover (bad pass) (Cole Anthony steals)20
33.3%
23
66.7%
Q1 - 1:44MagicCole Anthony makes two point stepback jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)20
31.4%
23
68.6%
Q1 - 2:11HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)18
29.7%
23
70.3%
Q1 - 2:18MagicJoe Ingles turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)18
31.3%
21
68.7%
Q1 - 2:30HeatNikola Jovic turnover (offensive foul)18
33.6%
21
66.4%
Q1 - 2:30HeatNikola Jovic offensive foul (Charge) (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)18
31.3%
21
68.7%
Q1 - 2:50MagicPaolo Banchero makes three point pullup jump shot (Moritz Wagner assists)18
31.3%
21
68.7%
Q1 - 2:57MagicMarkelle Fultz defensive rebound15
27.8%
21
72.2%
Q1 - 3:01HeatMarkelle Fultz blocks Kevin Love's two point layup15
27.3%
21
72.7%
Q1 - 3:03HeatKevin Love offensive rebound15
25.8%
21
74.2%
Q1 - 3:06HeatKevin Love misses regular free throw 1 of 115
27.7%
21
72.3%
Q1 - 3:06MagicPaolo Banchero shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)15
26.4%
21
73.6%
Q1 - 3:26MagicCole Anthony makes regular free throw 2 of 215
29.3%
19
70.7%
Q1 - 3:26MagicCole Anthony misses regular free throw 1 of 214
29.1%
19
70.9%
Q1 - 3:26HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Cole Anthony draws the foul)14
30.8%
19
69.2%
Q1 - 3:43MagicMoritz Wagner defensive rebound14
29.8%
19
70.2%
Q1 - 3:45HeatNikola Jovic misses regular free throw 2 of 214
29.5%
19
70.5%
Q1 - 3:45HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 214
28.3%
19
71.7%
Q1 - 3:45MagicJalen Suggs shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)14
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 3:48MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)14
29.3%
18
70.7%
Q1 - 4:01MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound14
31.9%
18
68.1%
Q1 - 4:04HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot14
31.2%
18
68.8%
Q1 - 4:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
29.8%
18
70.2%
Q1 - 4:14MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot14
30.4%
18
69.6%
Q1 - 4:24MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound14
31.9%
18
68.1%
Q1 - 4:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot14
31.2%
18
68.8%
Q1 - 4:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
29.7%
18
70.3%
Q1 - 4:43MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot14
30.4%
18
69.6%
Q1 - 4:50MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound14
31.9%
18
68.1%
Q1 - 4:54HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot14
31.2%
18
68.8%
Q1 - 4:59HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound14
29.7%
18
70.3%
Q1 - 5:02HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot14
31.4%
18
68.6%
Q1 - 5:21HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound14
30.0%
18
70.0%
Q1 - 5:26MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point jump shot14
30.6%
18
69.4%
Q1 - 5:53HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)14
32.0%
18
68.0%
Q1 - 6:07HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound14
35.5%
15
64.5%
Q1 - 6:11MagicCaleb Houstan misses three point running jump shot14
36.0%
15
64.0%
Q1 - 6:12MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound14
37.3%
15
62.7%
Q1 - 6:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup14
36.8%
15
63.2%
Q1 - 6:13HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound14
35.5%
15
64.5%
Q1 - 6:18HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup14
36.8%
15
63.2%
Q1 - 6:28MagicJalen Suggs makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot14
35.5%
15
64.5%
Q1 - 6:43MagicChuma Okeke defensive rebound12
33.7%
15
66.3%
Q1 - 6:46HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot12
33.1%
15
66.9%
Q1 - 7:01HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound12
31.7%
15
68.3%
Q1 - 7:03MagicGoga Bitadze misses regular free throw 2 of 212
32.0%
15
68.0%
Q1 - 7:03MagicGoga Bitadze misses regular free throw 1 of 212
33.0%
15
67.0%
Q1 - 7:03HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Goga Bitadze draws the foul)12
34.2%
15
65.8%
Q1 - 7:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 212
33.8%
15
66.2%
Q1 - 7:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 212
34.1%
14
65.9%
Q1 - 7:20MagicJalen Suggs shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)12
34.5%
13
65.5%
Q1 - 7:30HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound12
35.3%
13
64.7%
Q1 - 7:33MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point pullup jump shot12
35.9%
13
64.1%
Q1 - 7:52HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 112
37.4%
13
62.6%
Q1 - 7:52MagicPaolo Banchero shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)12
37.7%
12
62.3%
Q1 - 7:53HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound12
40.9%
10
59.1%
Q1 - 7:55HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving layup12
42.4%
10
57.6%
Q1 - 8:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound12
40.8%
10
59.2%
Q1 - 8:11MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot12
41.5%
10
58.5%
Q1 - 8:28HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds step)12
43.1%
10
56.9%
Q1 - 8:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound12
40.8%
10
59.2%
Q1 - 8:30HeatJalen Suggs blocks Duncan Robinson's three point jump shot12
42.4%
10
57.6%
Q1 - 8:31HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound12
40.8%
10
59.2%
Q1 - 8:32HeatJalen Suggs blocks Duncan Robinson's three point pullup jump shot12
42.4%
10
57.6%
Q1 - 8:43MagicCaleb Houstan personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)12
40.8%
10
59.2%
Q1 - 8:46HeatHeat offensive rebound12
40.8%
10
59.2%
Q1 - 8:46HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot12
42.4%
10
57.6%
Q1 - 8:58MagicChuma Okeke makes three point jump shot (Caleb Houstan assists)12
40.8%
10
59.2%
Q1 - 9:04MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound9
37.4%
10
62.6%
Q1 - 9:09HeatJalen Suggs blocks Duncan Robinson's two point driving floating jump shot9
36.8%
10
63.2%
Q1 - 9:28MagicChuma Okeke makes three point jump shot (Caleb Houstan assists)9
35.4%
10
64.6%
Q1 - 9:32MagicPaolo Banchero offensive rebound6
32.2%
10
67.8%
Q1 - 9:36MagicCaleb Houstan misses three point jump shot6
30.9%
10
69.1%
Q1 - 9:54HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)6
32.2%
10
67.8%
Q1 - 10:06MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point pullup jump shot (Goga Bitadze assists)6
30.4%
10
69.6%
Q1 - 10:17HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 14
29.1%
10
70.9%
Q1 - 10:17MagicJalen Suggs shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)4
29.2%
9
70.8%
Q1 - 10:35MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point driving layup4
33.6%
6
66.4%
Q1 - 10:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)2
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 10:56MagicChuma Okeke makes two point driving layup2
35.3%
3
64.7%
Q1 - 11:08MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound0
33.8%
3
66.2%
Q1 - 11:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot0
33.3%
3
66.7%
Q1 - 11:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
32.0%
3
68.0%
Q1 - 11:21MagicJalen Suggs misses three point pullup jump shot0
32.6%
3
67.4%
Q1 - 11:41HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)0
33.8%
3
66.2%
Q1 - 12:00Goga Bitadze vs. Bam Adebayo (Haywood Highsmith gains possession)0
36.7%
0
63.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.99 49.5%
MIA
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
12
13
92%
MIA
16
28
57%
Midrange
ORL
12
29
41%
MIA
13
29
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
12
18.0
40
30%
45%
MIA
8
12.0
26
31%
46%
Free Throws
ORL
12
20
60%
MIA
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Banchero2543%12.5 / 29
M. Wagner1986%9.5 / 11
C. Okeke1680%8.0 / 10
J. Ingles1470%7.0 / 10
C. Houstan950%4.5 / 9
C. Anthony528%2.5 / 9
M. Fultz350%1.5 / 3
G. Bitadze250%1.0 / 2
J. Suggs220%1.0 / 5
A. Black125%0.5 / 2
T. Queen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Robinson2361%11.5 / 19
B. Adebayo2153%10.5 / 20
J. Jaquez1956%9.5 / 17
C. Martin1179%5.5 / 7
J. Richardson975%4.5 / 6
H. Highsmith758%3.5 / 6
K. Love542%2.5 / 6
N. Jović422%2.0 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
81
+16
-11
97
MIA
74
+17
-16
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.99 49.5%
MIA
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.1
113.5
ORL 104.3
MIA 110.0 +5.7
Pace
97.2
96.7
ORL 89.3
MIA 92.7 +3.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
14.8
ORL 16.1
MIA 15.5 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.1%
53.8%
ORL 51.2% +1.8%
MIA 49.4%
TO %
14.1%
12.2%
ORL 12.5% +3.1%
MIA 15.6%
ORB %
25.3%
21.8%
ORL 25.6%
MIA 30.0% +4.4%
FTrt
28.8
25.7
ORL 24.4 +0.3
MIA 24.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.0%
64.8%
ORL 72.2% +10.0%
MIA 62.2%
STL %
8.3%
7.8%
ORL 10.9% +4.2%
MIA 6.7%
BLK %
9.8%
6.9%
ORL 14.0% +11.6%
MIA 2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.19 and 2.19.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
56.2%
ORL 49.5%
MIA 54.4% +4.9%
Rim FG%
64.6%
61.2%
ORL 92.3% +35.2%
MIA 57.1%
Mid FG%
39.2%
44.2%
ORL 41.4%
MIA 44.8% +3.4%
3P %
35.2%
37.0%
ORL 30.0%
MIA 30.8% +0.8%
FT %
75.9%
81.8%
ORL 60.0%
MIA 85.0% +25.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.2%
30.4%
ORL 15.9%
MIA 33.7% +17.9%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
30.2%
ORL 35.4%
MIA 34.9% +0.4%
3P Att. %
36.9%
39.4%
ORL 48.8% +17.5%
MIA 31.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points9699
Rebounds3841
Assists2623
Steals106
Blocks81
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)16 (1)
Fouls2017
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (6)12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)29 (4)
Field Goals36-8237-83
At-the-Rim FG12-1316-28
Midrange FG12-2913-29
2-Point FG24-4229-57
3-Point FG12-408-26
Free Throws12-2017-20
Fast Break Pts1114
2nd Chance Pts1213
Points in Paint3852
Pts off Turnovers1416
Bench Points4225
Biggest Lead311

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21
36.3
25
43%
8
6
0
0
4
2
3
5
4-6
67%
9-19
47%
1-7
14%
#2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21
31.9
9
50%
2
3
0
0
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-9
33%
#3 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 25
29.2
16
80%
4
2
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
#35 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24
19.4
2
50%
9
1
1
1
0
1
0
9
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23
13.8
2
20%
0
0
0
3
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-4
0%
#21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27
28.6
19
86%
5
4
1
1
1
5
1
4
5-5
100%
7-8
88%
0-1
0%
#50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24
27.3
5
28%
3
0
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
#7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36
20.1
14
70%
0
6
3
0
2
2
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
#20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 26
17.0
3
50%
3
3
2
1
2
2
2
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20
9.3
1
25%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27
7.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Tendinitis
#8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 27
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
#25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27
INACTIVE
#1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | N/a; Illness
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Calf; Strain
#13 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
50%
38
26
10
8
11
20
10
28
12-20
60%
24-42
57%
12-40
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.