FinalWin Prob.pScore
459%113
128
1741%110
120
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
128.010096.6
MIA logo MIA
118.8101104.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.128
100%
120
0%
Q4 - 0:10.6ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound128
99.9%
120
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.9HeatChet Holmgren blocks Tyler Herro's two point running layup128
99.9%
120
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.6ThunderChet Holmgren turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)128
99.9%
120
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.9ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound128
99.9%
120
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.3HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point stepback jump shot128
99.9%
120
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.3ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point running dunk (Josh Giddey assists)128
99.8%
120
0.2%
Q4 - 0:40.7ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound126
99.0%
120
1.0%
Q4 - 0:44.2HeatTyler Herro misses three point fadeaway jump shot126
98.6%
120
1.4%
Q4 - 0:50.6HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound126
97.2%
120
2.8%
Q4 - 0:52.8ThunderChet Holmgren misses three point jump shot126
97.6%
120
2.4%
Q4 - 1:01HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)126
98.3%
120
1.7%
Q4 - 1:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2126
98.1%
120
1.9%
Q4 - 1:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2126
98.3%
119
1.7%
Q4 - 1:08ThunderChet Holmgren personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)126
98.4%
118
1.6%
Q4 - 1:08ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass)126
97.2%
118
2.8%
Q4 - 1:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup126
99.4%
118
0.6%
Q4 - 1:09HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound126
99.6%
116
0.4%
Q4 - 1:13HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving floating bank jump shot126
99.7%
116
0.3%
Q4 - 1:30ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (traveling)126
99.3%
116
0.7%
Q4 - 1:46HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)126
99.4%
116
0.6%
Q4 - 1:48HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound126
98.9%
116
1.1%
Q4 - 1:51ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving floating jump shot126
99.0%
116
1.0%
Q4 - 2:07ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound126
99.5%
116
0.5%
Q4 - 2:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot126
99.4%
116
0.6%
Q4 - 2:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound126
99.0%
116
1.0%
Q4 - 2:21ThunderJalen Williams misses two point driving floating jump shot126
99.2%
116
0.8%
Q4 - 2:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2126
99.5%
116
0.5%
Q4 - 2:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2126
99.5%
115
0.5%
Q4 - 2:38ThunderChet Holmgren shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)126
99.6%
114
0.4%
Q4 - 2:50HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound126
99.6%
114
0.4%
Q4 - 2:52ThunderJalen Williams misses three point jump shot126
99.4%
114
0.6%
Q4 - 3:10HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2126
99.6%
114
0.4%
Q4 - 3:10HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2126
99.6%
113
0.4%
Q4 - 3:10ThunderJalen Williams shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)126
99.6%
112
0.4%
Q4 - 3:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound126
99.7%
112
0.3%
Q4 - 3:18ThunderIsaiah Joe misses three point jump shot126
99.7%
112
0.3%
Q4 - 3:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot126
99.5%
112
0.5%
Q4 - 3:53ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point stepback jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)126
99.6%
110
0.4%
Q4 - 4:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup (Nikola Jovic assists)123
99.3%
110
0.7%
Q4 - 4:19ThunderJosh Giddey makes regular free throw 2 of 2123
99.5%
108
0.5%
Q4 - 4:19ThunderJosh Giddey makes regular free throw 1 of 2122
99.5%
108
0.5%
Q4 - 4:19HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Josh Giddey draws the foul)121
99.4%
108
0.6%
Q4 - 4:20HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Josh Giddey steals)121
99.3%
108
0.7%
Q4 - 4:32ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point fadeaway jump shot121
99.0%
108
1.0%
Q4 - 4:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot119
98.7%
108
1.3%
Q4 - 5:04ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point running finger roll layup119
98.3%
106
1.7%
Q4 - 5:08ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound117
97.8%
106
2.2%
Q4 - 5:12HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot117
97.6%
106
2.4%
Q4 - 5:23ThunderChet Holmgren makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)117
97.0%
106
3.0%
Q4 - 5:42HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1114
94.7%
106
5.3%
Q4 - 5:42ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)114
95.0%
105
5.0%
Q4 - 5:56ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2114
97.1%
103
2.9%
Q4 - 5:56ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2113
97.0%
103
3.0%
Q4 - 5:56HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)112
96.8%
103
3.2%
Q4 - 6:09HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)112
94.8%
103
5.2%
Q4 - 6:17HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound112
96.8%
100
3.2%
Q4 - 6:20ThunderIsaiah Joe misses three point jump shot112
97.1%
100
2.9%
Q4 - 6:29ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound112
97.8%
100
2.2%
Q4 - 6:34HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 1112
97.7%
100
2.3%
Q4 - 6:34ThunderVasilije Micic shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)112
97.2%
100
2.8%
Q4 - 6:38HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound112
98.2%
98
1.8%
Q4 - 6:40ThunderKenrich Williams misses three point jump shot112
98.4%
98
1.6%
Q4 - 7:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)112
98.7%
98
1.3%
Q4 - 7:14ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Kenrich Williams assists)112
98.5%
96
1.5%
Q4 - 7:18ThunderKenrich Williams offensive rebound109
97.7%
96
2.3%
Q4 - 7:18ThunderBam Adebayo blocks Luguentz Dort's two point running layup109
97.2%
96
2.8%
Q4 - 7:20ThunderJalen Williams defensive rebound109
97.7%
96
2.3%
Q4 - 7:25HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot109
97.5%
96
2.5%
Q4 - 7:38ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point cutting layup (Jalen Williams assists)109
96.9%
96
3.1%
Q4 - 7:53ThunderJalen Williams defensive rebound107
96.3%
96
3.7%
Q4 - 7:57HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot107
95.9%
96
4.1%
Q4 - 8:10HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound107
94.2%
96
5.8%
Q4 - 8:13ThunderJalen Williams misses two point floating jump shot107
94.6%
96
5.4%
Q4 - 8:28ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound107
95.5%
96
4.5%
Q4 - 8:31HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot107
95.2%
96
4.8%
Q4 - 8:52ThunderJalen Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup (Vasilije Micic assists)107
94.3%
96
5.7%
Q4 - 9:06ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound105
92.1%
96
7.9%
Q4 - 9:10HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot105
91.5%
96
8.5%
Q4 - 9:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound105
89.9%
96
10.1%
Q4 - 9:22ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot105
90.6%
96
9.4%
Q4 - 9:34ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound105
92.1%
96
7.9%
Q4 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot105
91.5%
96
8.5%
Q4 - 9:54HeatKevin Love defensive rebound105
90.0%
96
10.0%
Q4 - 9:54ThunderJalen Williams misses two point fadeaway jump shot105
90.7%
96
9.3%
Q4 - 10:11ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound105
91.0%
96
9.0%
Q4 - 10:13HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot105
90.3%
96
9.7%
Q4 - 10:36ThunderKenrich Williams makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)105
88.8%
96
11.2%
Q4 - 10:49ThunderJalen Williams defensive rebound102
84.1%
96
15.9%
Q4 - 10:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot102
83.1%
96
16.9%
Q4 - 11:09ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point cutting layup (Vasilije Micic assists)102
79.8%
96
20.2%
Q4 - 11:17ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound100
76.3%
96
23.7%
Q4 - 11:20HeatChet Holmgren blocks Josh Richardson's two point driving hook shot100
75.1%
96
24.9%
Q4 - 11:34ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
72.4%
96
27.6%
Q4 - 11:34ThunderLuguentz Dort misses regular free throw 1 of 299
71.6%
96
28.4%
Q4 - 11:34HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)99
74.9%
96
25.1%
Q4 - 11:44ThunderJalen Williams defensive rebound99
72.4%
96
27.6%
Q4 - 11:49HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot99
71.1%
96
28.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.99
68.0%
96
32.0%
Q3 - 0:00.4ThunderJalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 299
68.1%
96
31.9%
Q3 - 0:00.4ThunderJalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 298
67.4%
96
32.6%
Q3 - 0:00.4HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Jalen Williams draws the foul)97
66.7%
96
33.3%
Q3 - 0:04.1HeatJosh Richardson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)97
63.5%
96
36.5%
Q3 - 0:04.9HeatHeat offensive rebound97
59.1%
96
40.9%
Q3 - 0:04.9HeatKevin Love misses two point layup97
62.2%
96
37.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup97
59.0%
96
41.0%
Q3 - 0:35.6HeatJosh Richardson makes two point stepback jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)95
54.0%
96
46.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot (Vasilije Micic assists)95
59.0%
94
41.0%
Q3 - 1:09HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Kevin Love assists)92
50.0%
94
50.0%
Q3 - 1:27ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point running finger roll layup (Kenrich Williams assists)92
58.9%
91
41.1%
Q3 - 1:32HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Vasilije Micic steals)90
54.6%
91
45.4%
Q3 - 1:40ThunderKenrich Williams makes two point layup (Vasilije Micic assists)90
49.8%
91
50.2%
Q3 - 1:59HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 288
45.3%
91
54.7%
Q3 - 1:59HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 288
46.0%
90
54.0%
Q3 - 1:59ThunderAaron Wiggins personal foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)88
46.8%
89
53.2%
Q3 - 2:09HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound88
50.2%
89
49.8%
Q3 - 2:11ThunderAaron Wiggins misses two point stepback jump shot88
51.6%
89
48.4%
Q3 - 2:37HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 288
54.8%
89
45.2%
Q3 - 2:37HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 288
55.5%
88
44.5%
Q3 - 2:37ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)88
56.2%
87
43.8%
Q3 - 2:37HeatHeat offensive rebound88
58.9%
87
41.1%
Q3 - 2:37HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot88
61.9%
87
38.1%
Q3 - 2:45HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound88
58.8%
87
41.2%
Q3 - 2:47ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point pullup jump shot88
60.2%
87
39.8%
Q3 - 2:55ThunderJaylin Williams defensive rebound88
63.3%
87
36.7%
Q3 - 2:59HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot88
62.0%
87
38.0%
Q3 - 3:08ThunderJaylin Williams personal foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)88
58.7%
87
41.3%
Q3 - 3:09HeatHeat offensive rebound88
58.7%
87
41.3%
Q3 - 3:10HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot88
62.0%
87
38.0%
Q3 - 3:18ThunderIsaiah Joe personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)88
58.8%
87
41.2%
Q3 - 3:26ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)88
58.8%
87
41.2%
Q3 - 3:46HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot86
55.3%
87
44.7%
Q3 - 3:54HeatKevin Love defensive rebound86
58.8%
85
41.2%
Q3 - 3:57ThunderAaron Wiggins misses two point layup86
60.2%
85
39.8%
Q3 - 4:14HeatKevin Love turnover (out of bounds bad pass)86
63.4%
85
36.6%
Q3 - 4:26ThunderThunder turnover (shot clock violation)86
59.2%
85
40.8%
Q3 - 4:26ThunderThunder offensive rebound86
63.4%
85
36.6%
Q3 - 4:27ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point pullup jump shot86
60.5%
85
39.5%
Q3 - 4:52HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)86
63.4%
85
36.6%
Q3 - 4:54HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound86
70.1%
82
29.9%
Q3 - 4:58ThunderChet Holmgren misses three point jump shot86
71.3%
82
28.7%
Q3 - 4:59ThunderJalen Williams offensive rebound86
73.8%
82
26.2%
Q3 - 5:02ThunderJosh Giddey misses three point jump shot86
70.9%
82
29.1%
Q3 - 5:12HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Williams steals)86
73.3%
82
26.7%
Q3 - 5:20ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)86
69.8%
82
30.2%
Q3 - 5:21ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound86
73.3%
82
26.7%
Q3 - 5:23HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point layup86
72.3%
82
27.7%
Q3 - 5:24HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound86
69.9%
82
30.1%
Q3 - 5:28HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot86
72.3%
82
27.7%
Q3 - 5:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound86
69.9%
82
30.1%
Q3 - 5:34ThunderJalen Williams misses two point driving floating jump shot86
70.9%
82
29.1%
Q3 - 5:52HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)86
73.3%
82
26.7%
Q3 - 6:09ThunderJalen Williams makes two point pullup jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)86
78.3%
79
21.7%
Q3 - 6:23HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 284
76.0%
79
24.0%
Q3 - 6:23HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 284
76.5%
78
23.5%
Q3 - 6:23ThunderChet Holmgren shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)84
77.0%
77
23.0%
Q3 - 6:33ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point driving floating jump shot84
78.3%
77
21.7%
Q3 - 6:41ThunderJalen Williams defensive rebound82
76.0%
77
24.0%
Q3 - 6:45HeatChet Holmgren blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point running layup82
75.0%
77
25.0%
Q3 - 6:52ThunderJosh Giddey turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)82
72.8%
77
27.2%
Q3 - 7:05HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 282
75.4%
77
24.6%
Q3 - 7:05HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 282
75.9%
76
24.1%
Q3 - 7:05ThunderJalen Williams shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)82
76.5%
75
23.5%
Q3 - 7:14HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound82
77.6%
75
22.4%
Q3 - 7:17ThunderChet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 182
78.0%
75
22.0%
Q3 - 7:17HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)82
79.6%
75
20.4%
Q3 - 7:31HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)80
75.5%
75
24.5%
Q3 - 7:37HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound80
80.0%
72
20.0%
Q3 - 7:39ThunderBam Adebayo blocks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's two point running layup80
80.8%
72
19.2%
Q3 - 7:43ThunderJalen Williams defensive rebound80
82.6%
72
17.4%
Q3 - 7:46HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot80
81.8%
72
18.2%
Q3 - 8:02ThunderJalen Williams makes two point reverse layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)80
79.5%
72
20.5%
Q3 - 8:06ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound78
77.7%
72
22.3%
Q3 - 8:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip dunk78
76.8%
72
23.2%
Q3 - 8:06HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound78
74.6%
72
25.4%
Q3 - 8:11HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup78
76.8%
72
23.2%
Q3 - 8:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound78
74.6%
72
25.4%
Q3 - 8:23ThunderJosh Giddey misses two point driving finger roll layup78
75.6%
72
24.4%
Q3 - 8:41HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)78
77.7%
72
22.3%
Q3 - 8:59ThunderJalen Williams makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Cason Wallace assists)78
81.8%
69
18.2%
Q3 - 9:02ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound76
79.5%
69
20.5%
Q3 - 9:05HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving hook shot76
78.7%
69
21.3%
Q3 - 9:14HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound76
76.8%
69
23.2%
Q3 - 9:16ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot76
77.7%
69
22.3%
Q3 - 9:26ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound76
79.5%
69
20.5%
Q3 - 9:29HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot76
78.8%
69
21.2%
Q3 - 9:46ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot76
76.9%
69
23.1%
Q3 - 9:57ThunderCason Wallace defensive rebound74
74.8%
69
25.2%
Q3 - 10:00HeatShai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks Tyler Herro's two point pullup jump shot74
73.9%
69
26.1%
Q3 - 10:16ThunderJosh Giddey makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)74
71.4%
69
28.6%
Q3 - 10:26HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (traveling)71
66.3%
69
33.7%
Q3 - 10:34ThunderChet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 171
62.7%
69
37.3%
Q3 - 10:34HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)70
62.2%
69
37.8%
Q3 - 10:41ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound68
57.1%
69
42.9%
Q3 - 10:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot68
55.9%
69
44.1%
Q3 - 10:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound68
53.2%
69
46.8%
Q3 - 11:00ThunderCason Wallace misses three point jump shot68
54.4%
69
45.6%
Q3 - 11:07ThunderCason Wallace offensive rebound68
57.1%
69
42.9%
Q3 - 11:10ThunderJalen Williams misses three point jump shot68
54.8%
69
45.2%
Q3 - 11:15ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound68
57.1%
69
42.9%
Q3 - 11:19HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot68
56.1%
69
43.9%
Q3 - 11:38ThunderCason Wallace makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)68
53.7%
69
46.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.65
47.5%
69
52.5%
Q2 - 0:01.5ThunderIsaiah Joe turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)65
45.5%
69
54.5%
Q2 - 0:09.0HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)65
48.1%
69
51.9%
Q2 - 0:27.4HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running finger roll layup65
48.1%
69
51.9%
Q2 - 0:29.8HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound65
51.7%
67
48.3%
Q2 - 0:32.7ThunderCason Wallace misses three point jump shot65
52.5%
67
47.5%
Q2 - 0:42.9HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)65
54.3%
67
45.7%
Q2 - 0:47.3HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound65
60.8%
64
39.2%
Q2 - 0:49.6HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot65
62.6%
64
37.4%
Q2 - 1:00ThunderIsaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)65
60.8%
64
39.2%
Q2 - 1:13ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound62
54.9%
64
45.1%
Q2 - 1:16HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 262
54.5%
64
45.5%
Q2 - 1:16HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 262
52.1%
64
47.9%
Q2 - 1:16ThunderCason Wallace shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)62
52.4%
63
47.6%
Q2 - 1:26ThunderCason Wallace makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)62
55.4%
63
44.6%
Q2 - 1:37HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 259
48.8%
63
51.2%
Q2 - 1:37HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 259
49.4%
62
50.6%
Q2 - 1:37ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)59
50.2%
61
49.8%
Q2 - 1:51ThunderCason Wallace turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)59
52.4%
61
47.6%
Q2 - 2:11ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound59
55.4%
61
44.6%
Q2 - 2:13HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot59
54.4%
61
45.6%
Q2 - 2:29ThunderIsaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Chet Holmgren assists)59
52.1%
61
47.9%
Q2 - 2:41ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound56
46.5%
61
53.5%
Q2 - 2:43HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot56
45.6%
61
54.4%
Q2 - 2:59ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 256
43.4%
61
56.6%
Q2 - 2:59ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 255
43.0%
61
57.0%
Q2 - 2:59HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)55
45.6%
61
54.4%
Q2 - 3:07ThunderIsaiah Joe offensive rebound55
44.5%
61
55.5%
Q2 - 3:12ThunderChet Holmgren misses three point jump shot55
42.2%
61
57.8%
Q2 - 3:23HeatNikola Jovic makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)55
44.5%
61
55.5%
Q2 - 3:33ThunderCason Wallace personal foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)55
46.8%
59
53.2%
Q2 - 3:36HeatHeat offensive rebound55
46.7%
59
53.3%
Q2 - 3:36HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot55
49.1%
59
50.9%
Q2 - 3:53ThunderIsaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)55
46.7%
59
53.3%
Q2 - 4:11HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)52
42.5%
59
57.5%
Q2 - 4:15HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound52
44.9%
57
55.1%
Q2 - 4:18ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot52
45.8%
57
54.2%
Q2 - 4:31HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)52
47.9%
57
52.1%
Q2 - 4:48ThunderJosh Giddey turnover (traveling)52
50.4%
55
49.6%
Q2 - 4:59ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound52
53.4%
55
46.6%
Q2 - 5:02HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot52
52.9%
55
47.1%
Q2 - 5:05HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound52
50.5%
55
49.5%
Q2 - 5:07HeatTyler Herro misses two point turnaround jump shot52
52.9%
55
47.1%
Q2 - 5:10HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound52
50.5%
55
49.5%
Q2 - 5:12HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point reverse layup52
52.9%
55
47.1%
Q2 - 5:28ThunderVasilije Micic makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)52
50.5%
55
49.5%
Q2 - 5:45HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)50
48.5%
55
51.5%
Q2 - 5:59ThunderLuguentz Dort personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)50
50.5%
53
49.5%
Q2 - 6:10ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)50
51.1%
53
48.9%
Q2 - 6:24HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)47
46.4%
53
53.6%
Q2 - 6:43ThunderJalen Williams makes three point jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)47
43.1%
53
56.9%
Q2 - 7:06HeatNikola Jovic makes three point running jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)44
39.0%
53
61.0%
Q2 - 7:09HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound44
43.8%
50
56.2%
Q2 - 7:12ThunderAaron Wiggins misses two point driving floating bank jump shot44
44.7%
50
55.3%
Q2 - 7:19HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)44
46.6%
50
53.4%
Q2 - 7:41ThunderVasilije Micic makes two point driving floating bank jump shot44
51.5%
47
48.5%
Q2 - 7:53HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 242
49.2%
47
50.8%
Q2 - 7:53HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 242
49.5%
46
50.5%
Q2 - 7:53ThunderLuguentz Dort shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)42
47.4%
46
52.6%
Q2 - 8:03ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 242
49.0%
46
51.0%
Q2 - 8:03ThunderLuguentz Dort misses regular free throw 1 of 241
48.6%
46
51.4%
Q2 - 8:03HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)41
50.6%
46
49.4%
Q2 - 8:03ThunderJalen Williams defensive rebound41
49.3%
46
50.7%
Q2 - 8:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving reverse layup41
48.4%
46
51.6%
Q2 - 8:19HeatKevin Love defensive rebound41
46.4%
46
53.6%
Q2 - 8:21ThunderJalen Williams misses two point pullup jump shot41
47.3%
46
52.7%
Q2 - 8:38HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot41
49.2%
46
50.8%
Q2 - 8:45ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point alley-oop layup (Jalen Williams assists)41
51.6%
44
48.4%
Q2 - 9:06HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)39
49.0%
44
51.0%
Q2 - 9:20ThunderAaron Wiggins makes two point pullup jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)39
54.0%
41
46.0%
Q2 - 9:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Kevin Love assists)37
51.6%
41
48.4%
Q2 - 9:55ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point alley-oop layup (Jalen Williams assists)37
54.0%
39
46.0%
Q2 - 10:07ThunderVasilije Micic defensive rebound35
52.0%
39
48.0%
Q2 - 10:09HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot35
51.2%
39
48.8%
Q2 - 10:24ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point driving finger roll layup (Vasilije Micic assists)35
49.3%
39
50.7%
Q2 - 10:42ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound33
46.9%
39
53.1%
Q2 - 10:46HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 233
46.6%
39
53.4%
Q2 - 10:46HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 233
44.8%
39
55.2%
Q2 - 10:46ThunderChet Holmgren shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)33
45.3%
38
54.7%
Q2 - 10:47HeatKevin Love offensive rebound33
46.8%
38
53.2%
Q2 - 10:49HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point hook shot33
48.6%
38
51.4%
Q2 - 11:10ThunderJalen Williams makes two point stepback jump shot33
47.4%
38
52.6%
Q2 - 11:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot31
45.0%
38
55.0%
Q2 - 11:48ThunderJalen Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup (Chet Holmgren assists)31
49.8%
35
50.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.29
47.4%
35
52.6%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound29
45.2%
35
54.8%
Q1 - 0:01.5HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot29
46.8%
35
53.2%
Q1 - 0:04.1ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot29
45.2%
35
54.8%
Q1 - 0:26.9HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot27
42.8%
35
57.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0ThunderJalen Williams makes two point cutting layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)27
45.2%
33
54.8%
Q1 - 1:04HeatJosh Richardson turnover (traveling)25
43.3%
33
56.7%
Q1 - 1:08ThunderKenrich Williams turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)25
41.1%
33
58.9%
Q1 - 1:25HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot25
43.3%
33
56.7%
Q1 - 1:40ThunderKenrich Williams turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)25
45.6%
31
54.4%
Q1 - 1:49ThunderJaylin Williams defensive rebound25
47.9%
31
52.1%
Q1 - 1:51HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot25
47.2%
31
52.8%
Q1 - 2:01HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound25
46.0%
31
54.0%
Q1 - 2:03ThunderJaylin Williams misses three point jump shot25
46.8%
31
53.2%
Q1 - 2:20HeatKevin Love makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)25
48.6%
31
51.4%
Q1 - 2:34ThunderCason Wallace makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)25
50.5%
29
49.5%
Q1 - 2:47HeatKevin Love makes two point reverse layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)23
48.6%
29
51.4%
Q1 - 3:02ThunderKenrich Williams makes two point layup (Jaylin Williams assists)23
50.4%
27
49.6%
Q1 - 3:26HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 221
48.7%
27
51.3%
Q1 - 3:26HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 221
49.0%
26
51.0%
Q1 - 3:26ThunderJaylin Williams shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)21
49.4%
25
50.6%
Q1 - 3:48ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 121
50.4%
25
49.6%
Q1 - 3:48HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)20
50.2%
25
49.8%
Q1 - 3:58ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound18
46.5%
25
53.5%
Q1 - 3:58HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot18
45.7%
25
54.3%
Q1 - 4:20ThunderJaylin Williams makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)18
44.8%
25
55.2%
Q1 - 4:34HeatKevin Love makes two point driving floating jump shot15
41.0%
25
59.0%
Q1 - 4:44HeatKevin Love defensive rebound15
42.6%
23
57.4%
Q1 - 4:47ThunderIsaiah Joe misses three point pullup jump shot15
43.4%
23
56.6%
Q1 - 5:04ThunderIsaiah Joe defensive rebound15
45.9%
23
54.1%
Q1 - 5:07HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot15
45.2%
23
54.8%
Q1 - 5:27ThunderIsaiah Joe makes two point layup (Jaylin Williams assists)15
43.6%
23
56.4%
Q1 - 5:34HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Cason Wallace draws the foul)13
41.8%
23
58.2%
Q1 - 5:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot13
41.8%
23
58.2%
Q1 - 5:59HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound13
43.6%
21
56.4%
Q1 - 6:02ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving layup13
44.7%
21
55.3%
Q1 - 6:18HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)13
46.1%
21
53.9%
Q1 - 6:39ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running finger roll layup13
50.0%
18
50.0%
Q1 - 6:46HeatNikola Jovic turnover (lost ball) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)11
48.1%
18
51.9%
Q1 - 6:56ThunderChet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 111
46.0%
18
54.0%
Q1 - 6:56HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)10
45.7%
18
54.3%
Q1 - 7:06ThunderJalen Williams defensive rebound8
42.9%
18
57.1%
Q1 - 7:09HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point turnaround jump shot8
42.2%
18
57.8%
Q1 - 7:26ThunderChet Holmgren turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)8
40.6%
18
59.4%
Q1 - 7:37HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 18
42.8%
18
57.2%
Q1 - 7:37ThunderLuguentz Dort shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)8
43.0%
17
57.0%
Q1 - 7:48ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point reverse dunk8
46.4%
15
53.6%
Q1 - 7:59ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound6
44.8%
15
55.2%
Q1 - 8:03HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot6
44.9%
15
55.1%
Q1 - 8:10HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound6
43.3%
15
56.7%
Q1 - 8:14ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point pullup jump shot6
44.0%
15
56.0%
Q1 - 8:21ThunderThunder offensive rebound6
45.6%
15
54.4%
Q1 - 8:21ThunderNikola Jovic blocks Luguentz Dort's two point driving layup6
44.0%
15
56.0%
Q1 - 8:35HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)6
45.6%
15
54.4%
Q1 - 8:53ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot6
47.1%
13
52.9%
Q1 - 9:02HeatTyler Herro makes two point jump shot4
45.7%
13
54.3%
Q1 - 9:13HeatTyler Herro misses technical free throw 1 of 14
47.4%
11
52.6%
Q1 - 9:13Shai Gilgeous-Alexander technical foul (Defensive three second)4
46.0%
11
54.0%
Q1 - 9:25ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point stepback jump shot4
47.4%
11
52.6%
Q1 - 9:46HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)2
45.7%
11
54.3%
Q1 - 10:01ThunderJalen Williams turnover (out of bounds step)2
49.6%
8
50.4%
Q1 - 10:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot2
51.7%
8
48.3%
Q1 - 10:21ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot2
53.3%
6
46.7%
Q1 - 10:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)0
51.7%
6
48.3%
Q1 - 10:50HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound0
55.1%
3
44.9%
Q1 - 10:53ThunderChet Holmgren misses two point pullup bank jump shot0
55.7%
3
44.3%
Q1 - 11:09HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)0
57.6%
3
42.4%
Q1 - 11:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
60.7%
0
39.3%
Q1 - 11:26ThunderChet Holmgren misses three point running jump shot0
61.3%
0
38.7%
Q1 - 11:28ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound0
62.6%
0
37.4%
Q1 - 11:29HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup0
62.1%
0
37.9%
Q1 - 11:29HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound0
60.7%
0
39.3%
Q1 - 11:34HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup0
62.1%
0
37.9%
Q1 - 12:00Chet Holmgren vs. Bam Adebayo (Haywood Highsmith gains possession)0
60.7%
0
39.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.36 68.1%
MIA
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
11
12
92%
MIA
5
13
38%
Midrange
OKC
26
41
63%
MIA
21
40
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
14
21.0
33
42%
64%
MIA
15
22.5
36
42%
63%
Free Throws
OKC
12
16
75%
MIA
23
28
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander2874%14.0 / 19
C. Holmgren2377%11.5 / 15
J. Williams1959%9.5 / 16
L. Dort1458%7.0 / 12
I. Joe1179%5.5 / 7
J. Giddey975%4.5 / 6
C. Wallace880%4.0 / 5
K. Williams788%3.5 / 4
V. Micić4100%2.0 / 2
J. Williams375%1.5 / 2
A. Wiggins225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2566%12.5 / 19
J. Jaquez2181%10.5 / 13
H. Highsmith1968%9.5 / 14
T. Herro1739%8.5 / 22
N. Jović1583%7.5 / 9
K. Love1267%6.0 / 9
J. Richardson857%4.0 / 7
D. Robinson319%1.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
88
+6
-12
94
MIA
91
+13
-10
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.36 68.1%
MIA
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
118.4
113.5
OKC 128.0 +9.2
MIA 118.8
Pace
100.8
96.7
OKC 96.6
MIA 104.7 +8.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
14.8
OKC 14.9
MIA 13.8 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
57.3%
53.8%
OKC 67.4% +12.9%
MIA 54.5%
TO %
11.7%
12.2%
OKC 12.3%
MIA 9.0% +3.3%
ORB %
21.2%
21.8%
OKC 11.8%
MIA 17.4% +5.6%
FTrt
24.0
25.7
OKC 18.6
MIA 31.5 +12.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
64.8%
OKC 70.6% +9.6%
MIA 61.0%
STL %
8.4%
7.8%
OKC 4.0%
MIA 7.9% +3.9%
BLK %
12.6%
6.9%
OKC 7.5% +1.8%
MIA 5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.27 and 2.27.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
59.2%
56.2%
OKC 68.1% +10.4%
MIA 57.7%
Rim FG%
65.1%
61.2%
OKC 91.7% +53.2%
MIA 38.5%
Mid FG%
46.4%
44.2%
OKC 63.4% +10.9%
MIA 52.5%
3P %
38.8%
37.0%
OKC 42.4% +0.7%
MIA 41.7%
FT %
82.5%
81.8%
OKC 75.0%
MIA 82.1% +7.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.1%
30.4%
OKC 14.0%
MIA 14.6% +0.7%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
30.2%
OKC 47.7%
MIA 44.9% +2.7%
3P Att. %
38.3%
39.4%
OKC 38.4%
MIA 40.4% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsOKCMIA
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points128120
Rebounds4238
Assists3625
Steals48
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)10 (0)
Fouls1913
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (0)30 (0)
Field Goals51-8641-89
At-the-Rim FG11-125-13
Midrange FG26-4121-40
2-Point FG37-5326-53
3-Point FG14-3315-36
Free Throws12-1623-28
Fast Break Pts1315
2nd Chance Pts410
Points in Paint6048
Pts off Turnovers1613
Bench Points3523
Biggest Lead1610

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 23
34.5
19
59%
9
12
1
0
1
2
1
8
2-2
100%
7-12
58%
1-3
33%
#2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 25
34.2
28
74%
2
8
1
1
3
3
0
2
4-5
80%
9-12
75%
2-5
40%
#7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 22
33.3
23
77%
9
2
0
3
2
4
0
9
2-3
67%
9-10
90%
1-5
20%
#5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25
26.3
14
58%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
2-4
50%
#3 · SG · 6'8" 216 · 21
20.5
9
75%
7
2
1
0
2
0
0
7
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
#11 · SG · 6'3" 165 · 25
22.0
11
79%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
#22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 20
18.2
8
80%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
#34 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29
16.7
7
88%
6
2
0
0
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
#29 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 30
14.6
4
100%
1
5
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22
12.1
3
75%
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25
7.8
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
#12 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#17 · PF · 7'0" 190 · 22
DNP – Coach's Decision
#23 · PG · 6'3" 178 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#30 · C · 7'0" 240 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | N/A; Illness
#13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#9 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | N/a; Illness
#18 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
128
68%
42
36
4
4
12
19
4
38
12-16
75%
37-53
70%
14-33
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.