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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 7, 2024
9:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Clippers54%111103
15Lakers46%110106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 34.4
38.5
31.1
15
49%
4
9
1
1
0
5
2
2
4-5
80%
1-6
2-4
17%
51%
3-7
43%
Paul George
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.7
38.4
31.9
22
58%
4
3
5
1
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
4-11
36%
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.8
37.5
25.8
22
75%
19
1
0
0
1
2
10
9
4-4
100%
9-13
5-7
69%
63%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 225 · 32.5
34.7
32.7
15
42%
8
2
3
1
2
3
0
8
1-2
50%
4-10
6-11
40%
56%
2-7
29%
Terance Mann
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.2
25.1
19.5
6
60%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
58%
2-3
67%
Norman Powell
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.6
24.8
26.0
14
48%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
6-6
100%
1-7
3-5
14%
54%
2-5
40%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.2
19.0
19.8
7
39%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
1-4
25%
Amir Coffey
G-F · 6'8" 210 · 26.6
13.2
19.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 31.8
8.8
16.9
2
33%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
61%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
F-C · 6'10" 254 · 33.8
6.9
0
1-1
65%
Kobe Brown
F · 6'7" 250 · 24.0
6.2
0
0-1
56%
Brandon Boston Jr.
G · 6'6" 188 · 22.1
5.3
0
1-2
47%
Bones Hyland
G · 6'2" 169 · 23.3
4.7
0
1-1
46%
P.J. Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 38.7
3.0
0
0-0
43%
Jordan Miller
G · 6'5" 194 · 24.0
1.4
0
0-0
52%
Moussa Diabate
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.0
Joshua Primo
G · 6'4" 189 · 21.0
Xavier Moon
G · 6'2" 165 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 30.8
39.0
38.3
22
66%
10
1
3
1
1
3
1
9
2-4
50%
10-14
10-17
71%
57%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.0
38.1
35.9
25
62%
8
7
1
1
0
4
1
7
2-3
67%
10-16
8-13
63%
59%
1-3
33%
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 25.6
32.2
34.9
8
56%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
4-5
80%
2-2
5-8
100%
60%
0-3
0%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'6" 218 · 29.8
30.3
31.2
13
73%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
3-6
50%
Cam Reddish
F-G · 6'8" 208 · 24.4
20.4
23.5
7
51%
4
1
2
1
0
5
1
3
1-2
50%
0-3
2-3
0%
50%
2-3
67%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'3" 193 · 27.9
30.9
11.5
13
46%
0
6
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
53%
3-9
33%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'8" 214 · 24.8
20.6
17.8
2
33%
4
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
59%
0-1
0%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 28.3
15.9
17.9
9
75%
10
0
0
0
2
1
1
9
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
59%
1-2
50%
Max Christie
G · 6'5" 190 · 20.9
12.6
20.8
7
58%
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
51%
1-1
100%
Jalen Hood-Schifino
G · 6'6" 215 · 20.6
3.1
0
0-1
51%
Jaxson Hayes
C-F · 7'0" 220 · 23.6
2.7
0
0-1
66%
Maxwell Lewis
F · 6'7" 195 · 21.4
0.9
0
0-0
54%
Dylan Windler
G-F · 6'8" 196 · 27.3
0.9
0
0-0
60%
Colin Castleton
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.6
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.6
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.