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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 7, 2024
1:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Spurs21%106115
10Cavaliers79%118117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.4
35.1
32.7
22
58%
2
3
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-10
4-8
50%
51%
4-9
44%
Tre Jones
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.0
34.4
28.1
18
101%
2
4
2
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
53%
2-2
100%
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.6
27.8
28.7
11
58%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Victor Wembanyama
F-C · 7'3" 235 · 20.0
24.6
24.5
24
67%
10
3
1
1
5
3
0
10
10-11
91%
4-8
5-9
50%
54%
2-5
40%
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 22.5
15.5
19.0
2
35%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-2
0%
Keldon Johnson
F-G · 6'5" 220 · 24.2
33.0
29.9
18
51%
4
2
1
1
0
0
3
1
3-4
75%
3-10
4-8
30%
52%
3-6
50%
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'8" 215 · 20.6
22.1
13.1
6
60%
6
2
1
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
50%
0-0
-
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.8
20.9
19.4
9
64%
6
1
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
54%
1-4
25%
Malaki Branham
F · 6'4" 180 · 20.7
15.0
12.2
2
20%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.8
11.5
13.9
3
52%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
15.7
0
1-1
53%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 24.6
5.1
0
0-1
52%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.9
3.4
0
0-0
41%
Mamadi Diakite
F · 6'9" 228 · 27.0
3.1
0
0-1
50%
Zach Collins
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.1
Sidy Cissoko
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.8
David Duke Jr.
G · 6'4" 204 · 24.2
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Max Strus
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.8
37.5
30.2
8
36%
5
4
2
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
58%
2-9
22%
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.3
36.9
28.3
17
43%
2
9
1
1
0
4
0
2
2-4
50%
6-8
5-9
75%
57%
1-10
10%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'9" 243 · 25.7
31.1
29.9
29
66%
16
2
1
1
1
1
5
11
7-7
100%
11-19
6-9
58%
68%
0-0
-
Isaac Okoro
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 22.9
27.0
23.3
3
75%
5
1
0
1
0
2
4
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
62%
1-2
50%
Dean Wade
F-C · 6'9" 228 · 27.1
11.0
21.4
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
62%
0-2
0%
Georges Niang
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.6
26.9
22.5
11
79%
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
3-6
50%
Caris LeVert
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.4
26.5
25.6
23
80%
2
3
2
1
0
4
0
2
1-3
33%
5-8
4-7
63%
52%
4-5
80%
Sam Merrill
G · 6'4" 205 · 27.6
22.6
22.6
18
73%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
54%
5-9
56%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 32.8
16.9
16.1
8
69%
4
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
2-4
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
60%
0-0
-
Craig Porter Jr.
G · 6'1" 180 · 23.9
3.7
13.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
56%
0-0
-
Emoni Bates
F · 6'9" 170 · 19.9
6.3
0
0-1
58%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 28.5
4.5
0
0-1
69%
Isaiah Mobley
F · 6'8" 238 · 24.3
Evan Mobley
C · 6'11" 215 · 22.6
Darius Garland
G · 6'1" 192 · 23.9
Ty Jerome
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.