FinalWin Prob.pScore
2239%105
115
1461%109
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
122.39495.5
ORL logo ORL
111.69593.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.115
100%
106
0%
Q4 - 0:05.9HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.9HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2114
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.9MagicMoritz Wagner personal foul (Take) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)113
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.3MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point putback layup113
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.3MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound113
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.2MagicCaleb Houstan misses three point jump shot113
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.7MagicAnthony Black offensive rebound113
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.9MagicChuma Okeke misses three point jump shot113
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.1HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2113
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.1HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.1MagicMoritz Wagner personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)111
99.8%
104
0.2%
Q4 - 0:29.8MagicChuma Okeke makes three point bank jump shot (Anthony Black assists)111
99.7%
104
0.3%
Q4 - 0:31.5MagicMoritz Wagner defensive rebound111
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.8HeatHaywood Highsmith misses regular free throw 2 of 2111
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.8HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2111
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.8MagicMoritz Wagner personal foul (Take) (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)110
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.4MagicCaleb Houstan makes three point jump shot (Anthony Black assists)110
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 0:50.6HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.6HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.6MagicChuma Okeke personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)108
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Chuma Okeke assists)108
99.8%
98
0.2%
Q4 - 1:07HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Chuma Okeke steals)108
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:20MagicAnthony Black makes two point cutting dunk (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)108
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30MagicChuma Okeke defensive rebound108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33HeatJosh Richardson misses two point pullup jump shot108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:51MagicMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 1108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:51HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)108
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound108
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot108
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:14MagicMagic turnover (shot clock violation)108
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:36MagicMoritz Wagner defensive rebound108
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot108
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:04MagicChuma Okeke makes two point driving layup (Moritz Wagner assists)108
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound108
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:29HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot108
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:43MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:43MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:43HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Wendell Carter Jr. draws the foul)108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:50MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:53HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:18MagicCaleb Houstan misses three point jump shot108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:30HeatThomas Bryant personal foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:36MagicChuma Okeke defensive rebound108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:39HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:58MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Anthony Black assists)108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 5:14HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 5:14HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 5:14MagicMoritz Wagner personal foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 5:15MagicCaleb Houstan makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)106
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 5:30HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)106
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 5:43MagicMoritz Wagner makes two point layup (Franz Wagner assists)103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 6:09HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot103
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 6:16HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound100
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 6:20MagicMoritz Wagner misses two point jump shot100
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 6:33HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point floating jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)100
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 6:40MagicPaolo Banchero personal foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)98
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 6:40HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound98
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 6:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot98
99.1%
80
0.9%
Q4 - 6:58MagicCole Anthony turnover (out of bounds bad pass)98
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 7:09MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound98
98.5%
80
1.5%
Q4 - 7:13HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot98
98.6%
80
1.4%
Q4 - 7:29MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 298
98.9%
80
1.1%
Q4 - 7:29MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 298
99.0%
79
1.0%
Q4 - 7:29HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)98
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 7:32HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Gary Harris steals)98
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 7:45MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving layup98
99.4%
78
0.6%
Q4 - 7:51MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound98
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 7:53HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot98
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 8:13HeatHeat defensive rebound98
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 8:13MagicFranz Wagner misses two point driving floating jump shot98
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 8:17MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound98
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 8:21HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot98
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 8:27HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound98
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 8:32MagicCole Anthony misses two point driving layup98
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 8:46HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)98
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 8:58HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound95
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 9:00MagicGary Harris misses three point running pullup jump shot95
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 9:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Gary Harris steals)95
98.0%
76
2.0%
Q4 - 9:13MagicCole Anthony makes regular free throw 2 of 295
98.5%
76
1.5%
Q4 - 9:13MagicCole Anthony makes regular free throw 1 of 295
98.5%
75
1.5%
Q4 - 9:13HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Cole Anthony draws the foul)95
98.6%
74
1.4%
Q4 - 9:18HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Cole Anthony draws the foul)95
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 9:18MagicMagic offensive rebound95
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 9:18MagicCole Anthony misses two point putback layup95
99.0%
74
1.0%
Q4 - 9:18MagicCole Anthony offensive rebound95
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 9:20MagicGoga Bitadze misses two point hook shot95
99.0%
74
1.0%
Q4 - 9:25MagicGoga Bitadze offensive rebound95
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 9:27MagicJonathan Isaac misses two point turnaround jump shot95
99.0%
74
1.0%
Q4 - 9:50HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 195
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 9:50MagicJonathan Isaac shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)94
98.7%
74
1.3%
Q4 - 10:09MagicCole Anthony makes two point driving reverse layup92
97.5%
74
2.5%
Q4 - 10:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot92
98.0%
72
2.0%
Q4 - 10:26HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound90
97.5%
72
2.5%
Q4 - 10:31MagicJonathan Isaac misses three point jump shot90
97.4%
72
2.6%
Q4 - 10:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 290
96.9%
72
3.1%
Q4 - 10:49HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 289
96.8%
72
3.2%
Q4 - 10:49MagicJonathan Isaac shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)89
97.3%
72
2.7%
Q4 - 11:04MagicGary Harris personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)89
96.3%
72
3.7%
Q4 - 11:10HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound89
96.3%
72
3.7%
Q4 - 11:13MagicCaleb Houstan misses three point jump shot89
96.1%
72
3.9%
Q4 - 11:25MagicGary Harris offensive rebound89
95.5%
72
4.5%
Q4 - 11:31MagicCaleb Houstan misses three point jump shot89
96.1%
72
3.9%
Q4 - 11:39MagicJonathan Isaac defensive rebound89
95.5%
72
4.5%
Q4 - 11:42HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point turnaround hook shot89
95.8%
72
4.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.89
96.3%
72
3.7%
Q3 - 0:04.3MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound89
94.6%
72
5.4%
Q3 - 0:04.3HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot89
94.9%
72
5.1%
Q3 - 0:22.6HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound89
95.5%
72
4.5%
Q3 - 0:25.5MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point turnaround jump shot89
95.3%
72
4.7%
Q3 - 0:45.3HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup (Thomas Bryant assists)89
94.7%
72
5.3%
Q3 - 1:14MagicCaleb Houstan makes three point jump shot (Cole Anthony assists)87
92.4%
72
7.6%
Q3 - 1:37HeatThomas Bryant makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)87
94.6%
69
5.4%
Q3 - 1:54MagicGoga Bitadze makes two point alley-oop layup (Cole Anthony assists)85
93.7%
69
6.3%
Q3 - 2:01MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound85
93.4%
67
6.6%
Q3 - 2:06HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot85
93.8%
67
6.2%
Q3 - 2:21HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound85
94.5%
67
5.5%
Q3 - 2:25MagicCole Anthony misses three point jump shot85
94.2%
67
5.8%
Q3 - 2:28MagicGoga Bitadze offensive rebound85
93.5%
67
6.5%
Q3 - 2:32MagicPaolo Banchero misses regular free throw 2 of 285
94.4%
67
5.6%
Q3 - 2:32MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 285
93.8%
67
6.2%
Q3 - 2:32HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)85
94.1%
66
5.9%
Q3 - 2:44HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 285
94.5%
66
5.5%
Q3 - 2:44HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 284
94.4%
66
5.6%
Q3 - 2:44MagicCole Anthony shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)83
94.4%
66
5.6%
Q3 - 2:54MagicCole Anthony personal foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)83
93.6%
66
6.4%
Q3 - 2:54HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound83
93.6%
66
6.4%
Q3 - 2:54HeatGoga Bitadze blocks Thomas Bryant's two point putback layup83
92.8%
66
7.2%
Q3 - 2:54HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound83
93.6%
66
6.4%
Q3 - 2:59HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot83
92.8%
66
7.2%
Q3 - 3:22MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point layup (Cole Anthony assists)83
92.9%
66
7.1%
Q3 - 3:26HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)83
93.8%
64
6.2%
Q3 - 3:37MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound83
93.8%
64
6.2%
Q3 - 3:40HeatCole Anthony blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup83
94.1%
64
5.9%
Q3 - 3:54MagicWendell Carter Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)83
94.9%
64
5.1%
Q3 - 3:54HeatHeat defensive rebound83
94.9%
64
5.1%
Q3 - 3:54MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point fadeaway jump shot83
94.6%
64
5.4%
Q3 - 4:09HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)83
92.9%
64
7.1%
Q3 - 4:19MagicCole Anthony makes two point hook shot83
94.0%
64
6.0%
Q3 - 4:26MagicGary Harris offensive rebound83
94.8%
62
5.2%
Q3 - 4:28MagicFranz Wagner misses two point turnaround jump shot83
95.4%
62
4.6%
Q3 - 4:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)83
94.8%
62
5.2%
Q3 - 5:13MagicCole Anthony makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)81
93.2%
62
6.8%
Q3 - 5:31HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot81
94.9%
59
5.1%
Q3 - 5:40HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound79
94.2%
59
5.8%
Q3 - 5:42HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround bank jump shot79
93.5%
59
6.5%
Q3 - 5:50HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound79
94.2%
59
5.8%
Q3 - 5:55MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot79
93.9%
59
6.1%
Q3 - 6:01MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound79
92.4%
59
7.6%
Q3 - 6:03HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup79
92.8%
59
7.2%
Q3 - 6:10MagicWendell Carter Jr. personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)79
93.5%
59
6.5%
Q3 - 6:22MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jalen Suggs assists)79
93.5%
59
6.5%
Q3 - 6:27HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Franz Wagner steals)79
94.3%
57
5.7%
Q3 - 6:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound79
95.1%
57
4.9%
Q3 - 6:46MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point jump shot79
94.9%
57
5.1%
Q3 - 7:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot79
93.5%
57
6.5%
Q3 - 7:23MagicJalen Suggs makes two point running finger roll layup (Franz Wagner assists)77
92.8%
57
7.2%
Q3 - 7:28HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Franz Wagner steals)77
93.5%
55
6.5%
Q3 - 7:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound77
94.5%
55
5.5%
Q3 - 7:48MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot77
94.2%
55
5.8%
Q3 - 8:03HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup77
92.9%
55
7.1%
Q3 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound75
92.1%
55
7.9%
Q3 - 8:12MagicPaolo Banchero misses regular free throw 2 of 275
91.9%
55
8.1%
Q3 - 8:12MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 275
91.3%
55
8.7%
Q3 - 8:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)75
91.6%
54
8.4%
Q3 - 8:32HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 275
91.9%
54
8.1%
Q3 - 8:32HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 274
91.7%
54
8.3%
Q3 - 8:32MagicWendell Carter Jr. shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)73
91.4%
54
8.6%
Q3 - 8:36HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound73
91.1%
54
8.9%
Q3 - 8:40MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point running jump shot73
90.6%
54
9.4%
Q3 - 8:42MagicAnthony Black defensive rebound73
89.6%
54
10.4%
Q3 - 8:44HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot73
90.1%
54
9.9%
Q3 - 9:03MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)73
90.1%
54
9.9%
Q3 - 9:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)73
88.6%
54
11.4%
Q3 - 9:36MagicJalen Suggs makes two point turnaround jump shot71
87.5%
54
12.5%
Q3 - 9:48HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds step)71
88.7%
52
11.3%
Q3 - 9:55HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound71
90.2%
52
9.8%
Q3 - 9:58MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot71
89.8%
52
10.2%
Q3 - 10:12HeatKyle Lowry makes three point running jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)71
87.7%
52
12.3%
Q3 - 10:16HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound68
85.0%
52
15.0%
Q3 - 10:22MagicAnthony Black misses three point jump shot68
84.4%
52
15.6%
Q3 - 10:27MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound68
82.9%
52
17.1%
Q3 - 10:30HeatJalen Suggs blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point running layup68
83.6%
52
16.4%
Q3 - 10:33HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound68
85.0%
52
15.0%
Q3 - 10:36MagicFranz Wagner misses three point running jump shot68
84.4%
52
15.6%
Q3 - 10:39MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound68
82.9%
52
17.1%
Q3 - 10:45HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot68
83.6%
52
16.4%
Q3 - 11:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound68
84.1%
52
15.9%
Q3 - 11:08MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point pullup jump shot68
83.5%
52
16.5%
Q3 - 11:16MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound68
82.2%
52
17.8%
Q3 - 11:20HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot68
82.8%
52
17.2%
Q3 - 11:45MagicFranz Wagner makes two point floating jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)68
84.2%
52
15.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.68
85.7%
50
14.3%
Q2 - 0:00.9HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot68
85.1%
50
14.9%
Q2 - 0:07.9MagicJalen Suggs makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)66
83.2%
50
16.8%
Q2 - 0:30.2HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)66
86.6%
47
13.4%
Q2 - 0:48.1MagicJonathan Isaac makes two point cutting layup (Paolo Banchero assists)63
83.2%
47
16.8%
Q2 - 1:02HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)63
84.5%
45
15.5%
Q2 - 1:17MagicJonathan Isaac makes three point jump shot (Franz Wagner assists)60
80.8%
45
19.2%
Q2 - 1:37HeatThomas Bryant makes two point hook shot (Josh Richardson assists)60
84.6%
42
15.4%
Q2 - 1:50MagicJonathan Isaac makes two point tip layup58
82.6%
42
17.4%
Q2 - 1:50MagicJonathan Isaac offensive rebound58
84.6%
40
15.4%
Q2 - 1:58MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot58
85.5%
40
14.5%
Q2 - 2:09HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot58
83.1%
40
16.9%
Q2 - 2:18HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound55
79.8%
40
20.2%
Q2 - 2:18MagicJosh Richardson blocks Paolo Banchero's two point jump shot55
79.2%
40
20.8%
Q2 - 2:28HeatThomas Bryant turnover (bad pass) (Jonathan Isaac steals)55
77.7%
40
22.3%
Q2 - 2:29MagicJonathan Isaac turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)55
79.8%
40
20.2%
Q2 - 2:43HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point running jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)55
77.7%
40
22.3%
Q2 - 2:46HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound52
73.6%
40
26.4%
Q2 - 2:49MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point jump shot52
72.8%
40
27.2%
Q2 - 3:02HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)52
69.6%
40
30.4%
Q2 - 3:16HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound49
65.2%
40
34.8%
Q2 - 3:19MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point driving layup49
64.2%
40
35.8%
Q2 - 3:41HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)49
62.1%
40
37.9%
Q2 - 3:57HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound47
59.9%
40
40.1%
Q2 - 4:02MagicCaleb Houstan misses three point jump shot47
58.0%
40
42.0%
Q2 - 4:14HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround jump shot47
56.0%
40
44.0%
Q2 - 4:37MagicMoritz Wagner turnover (out of bounds bad pass)45
53.6%
40
46.4%
Q2 - 4:38MagicMoritz Wagner offensive rebound45
50.6%
40
49.4%
Q2 - 4:40MagicMoritz Wagner misses two point layup45
52.7%
40
47.3%
Q2 - 4:42MagicMoritz Wagner offensive rebound45
50.6%
40
49.4%
Q2 - 4:45MagicCaleb Houstan misses three point jump shot45
52.7%
40
47.3%
Q2 - 5:00HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot45
50.6%
40
49.4%
Q2 - 5:13MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (out of bounds bad pass)43
48.0%
40
52.0%
Q2 - 5:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point pullup jump shot43
44.6%
40
55.4%
Q2 - 5:46MagicMoritz Wagner makes two point cutting dunk (Paolo Banchero assists)41
42.6%
40
57.4%
Q2 - 6:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 341
44.6%
38
55.4%
Q2 - 6:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 340
44.2%
38
55.8%
Q2 - 6:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 339
43.8%
38
56.2%
Q2 - 6:00MagicAnthony Black shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)38
43.4%
38
56.6%
Q2 - 6:10MagicMoritz Wagner makes two point tip layup38
39.8%
38
60.2%
Q2 - 6:11MagicMoritz Wagner offensive rebound38
41.8%
36
58.2%
Q2 - 6:11MagicMoritz Wagner misses two point putback layup38
44.0%
36
56.0%
Q2 - 6:15MagicMoritz Wagner offensive rebound38
41.8%
36
58.2%
Q2 - 6:15MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point driving layup38
44.0%
36
56.0%
Q2 - 6:28HeatThomas Bryant makes two point running dunk (Haywood Highsmith assists)38
41.8%
36
58.2%
Q2 - 6:34MagicCole Anthony turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)36
39.9%
36
60.1%
Q2 - 6:43HeatThomas Bryant turnover (offensive goaltending)36
36.8%
36
63.2%
Q2 - 6:43HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound36
39.9%
36
60.1%
Q2 - 6:43HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot36
37.7%
36
62.3%
Q2 - 6:53MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (traveling)36
39.9%
36
60.1%
Q2 - 6:54MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound36
36.8%
36
63.2%
Q2 - 6:57HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point putback layup36
37.7%
36
62.3%
Q2 - 6:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound36
39.9%
36
60.1%
Q2 - 7:04HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot36
37.7%
36
62.3%
Q2 - 7:19MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 236
39.6%
36
60.4%
Q2 - 7:19MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 236
39.9%
35
60.1%
Q2 - 7:19HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)36
40.2%
34
59.8%
Q2 - 7:28HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)36
41.9%
34
58.1%
Q2 - 7:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)36
41.9%
34
58.1%
Q2 - 7:48MagicMoritz Wagner personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)34
39.6%
34
60.4%
Q2 - 7:57MagicAnthony Black makes two point cutting layup (Jonathan Isaac assists)34
39.6%
34
60.4%
Q2 - 8:20HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)34
41.7%
32
58.3%
Q2 - 8:23HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound31
37.0%
32
63.0%
Q2 - 8:27HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot31
35.2%
32
64.8%
Q2 - 8:39MagicCole Anthony personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)31
37.0%
32
63.0%
Q2 - 8:44MagicCole Anthony makes two point driving floating jump shot31
37.0%
32
63.0%
Q2 - 9:03HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)31
39.1%
30
60.9%
Q2 - 9:09HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound28
34.5%
30
65.5%
Q2 - 9:14MagicGary Harris misses three point jump shot28
33.7%
30
66.3%
Q2 - 9:19MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound28
32.1%
30
67.9%
Q2 - 9:25HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot28
32.8%
30
67.2%
Q2 - 9:41MagicMoritz Wagner turnover (out of bounds step)28
34.5%
30
65.5%
Q2 - 9:51HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)28
32.1%
30
67.9%
Q2 - 10:06MagicMoritz Wagner makes two point putback layup25
28.2%
30
71.8%
Q2 - 10:08MagicMoritz Wagner offensive rebound25
30.1%
28
69.9%
Q2 - 10:10MagicFranz Wagner misses two point driving floating jump shot25
31.7%
28
68.3%
Q2 - 10:28MagicJonathan Isaac defensive rebound25
30.1%
28
69.9%
Q2 - 10:31HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 225
30.4%
28
69.6%
Q2 - 10:31HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 225
31.9%
28
68.1%
Q2 - 10:31MagicJonathan Isaac shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)25
33.7%
28
66.3%
Q2 - 10:37MagicGary Harris personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)25
32.4%
28
67.6%
Q2 - 10:51MagicJonathan Isaac makes two point alley-oop dunk (Franz Wagner assists)25
32.3%
28
67.7%
Q2 - 11:02HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)25
34.4%
26
65.6%
Q2 - 11:12MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound25
34.4%
26
65.6%
Q2 - 11:16HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot25
35.1%
26
64.9%
Q2 - 11:32MagicCole Anthony makes two point cutting layup (Gary Harris assists)25
36.6%
26
63.4%
Q2 - 11:33MagicGary Harris offensive rebound25
38.9%
24
61.1%
Q2 - 11:37MagicCole Anthony misses three point jump shot25
40.5%
24
59.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.25
38.9%
24
61.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MagicMagic offensive rebound25
38.9%
24
61.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MagicFranz Wagner misses three point stepback jump shot25
40.5%
24
59.5%
Q1 - 0:23.1MagicJonathan Isaac defensive rebound25
38.5%
24
61.5%
Q1 - 0:26.8HeatJosh Richardson misses two point pullup jump shot25
39.2%
24
60.8%
Q1 - 0:41.3MagicCole Anthony personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)25
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q1 - 0:53.6MagicGoga Bitadze makes two point dunk25
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q1 - 0:54.1MagicGoga Bitadze offensive rebound25
43.1%
22
56.9%
Q1 - 0:56.3MagicJonathan Isaac misses two point layup25
44.7%
22
55.3%
Q1 - 1:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)25
43.1%
22
56.9%
Q1 - 1:23MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 223
40.7%
22
59.3%
Q1 - 1:23MagicFranz Wagner misses regular free throw 1 of 223
41.0%
21
59.0%
Q1 - 1:23HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)23
39.1%
21
60.9%
Q1 - 1:26HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Cole Anthony steals)23
40.8%
21
59.2%
Q1 - 1:33MagicGoga Bitadze turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)23
43.0%
21
57.0%
Q1 - 1:43MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound23
40.8%
21
59.2%
Q1 - 1:45HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot23
41.4%
21
58.6%
Q1 - 1:46HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound23
43.0%
21
57.0%
Q1 - 1:51HeatGoga Bitadze blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point layup23
41.4%
21
58.6%
Q1 - 1:57MagicCole Anthony turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)23
43.0%
21
57.0%
Q1 - 2:09MagicGoga Bitadze defensive rebound23
40.4%
21
59.6%
Q1 - 2:12HeatJosh Richardson misses two point pullup jump shot23
41.2%
21
58.8%
Q1 - 2:32MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 223
43.0%
21
57.0%
Q1 - 2:32MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 223
43.5%
20
56.5%
Q1 - 2:32HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)23
44.1%
19
55.9%
Q1 - 2:35HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Paolo Banchero steals)23
44.9%
19
55.1%
Q1 - 2:45HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound23
47.5%
19
52.5%
Q1 - 2:50MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot23
46.7%
19
53.3%
Q1 - 3:07HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)23
44.5%
19
55.5%
Q1 - 3:23MagicCole Anthony makes two point cutting layup (Goga Bitadze assists)20
40.7%
19
59.3%
Q1 - 3:26HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)20
42.3%
17
57.7%
Q1 - 3:41HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)20
42.3%
17
57.7%
Q1 - 3:48HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound17
38.5%
17
61.5%
Q1 - 3:52MagicCole Anthony misses three point running jump shot17
37.7%
17
62.3%
Q1 - 3:56MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound17
35.9%
17
64.1%
Q1 - 4:00HeatThomas Bryant misses two point fadeaway jump shot17
36.7%
17
63.3%
Q1 - 4:12MagicGary Harris personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)17
38.3%
17
61.7%
Q1 - 4:31MagicCole Anthony makes three point jump shot (Paolo Banchero assists)17
38.3%
17
61.7%
Q1 - 4:41HeatThomas Bryant makes two point tip dunk17
42.0%
14
58.0%
Q1 - 4:42HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound15
40.3%
14
59.7%
Q1 - 4:42HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot15
38.7%
14
61.3%
Q1 - 5:00MagicCole Anthony makes two point pullup jump shot (Jalen Suggs assists)15
40.3%
14
59.7%
Q1 - 5:27HeatThomas Bryant makes two point dunk (Tyler Herro assists)15
41.8%
12
58.2%
Q1 - 5:38MagicFranz Wagner personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)13
40.1%
12
59.9%
Q1 - 5:41HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound13
40.1%
12
59.9%
Q1 - 5:45MagicJalen Suggs misses three point running jump shot13
39.4%
12
60.6%
Q1 - 5:49MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound13
37.9%
12
62.1%
Q1 - 5:49HeatTyler Herro misses two point tip layup13
38.6%
12
61.4%
Q1 - 5:49HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound13
40.1%
12
59.9%
Q1 - 5:51HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot13
38.6%
12
61.4%
Q1 - 6:07MagicFranz Wagner makes two point layup (Jalen Suggs assists)13
39.8%
12
60.2%
Q1 - 6:16MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound13
41.7%
10
58.3%
Q1 - 6:20HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot13
42.3%
10
57.7%
Q1 - 6:27MagicJalen Suggs makes two point pullup jump shot13
43.7%
10
56.3%
Q1 - 6:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)13
45.6%
8
54.4%
Q1 - 7:16HeatHeat defensive rebound11
43.6%
8
56.4%
Q1 - 7:16MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point pullup bank jump shot11
42.9%
8
57.1%
Q1 - 7:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)11
41.3%
8
58.7%
Q1 - 7:38MagicFranz Wagner makes two point cutting layup (Paolo Banchero assists)9
39.8%
8
60.2%
Q1 - 7:50HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot9
41.4%
6
58.6%
Q1 - 8:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
39.7%
6
60.3%
Q1 - 8:04MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot7
39.0%
6
61.0%
Q1 - 8:22MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound7
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 8:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot7
38.2%
6
61.8%
Q1 - 8:38MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point pullup jump shot7
39.7%
6
60.3%
Q1 - 8:53MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound7
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 8:58HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot7
41.9%
4
58.1%
Q1 - 9:01HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound7
43.2%
4
56.8%
Q1 - 9:04MagicAnthony Black misses two point floating jump shot7
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 9:22HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 27
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 9:22HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 26
41.0%
4
59.0%
Q1 - 9:22MagicAnthony Black shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)5
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 9:35MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 25
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 9:35MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 25
39.8%
3
60.2%
Q1 - 9:35HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)5
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 9:56HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot5
41.2%
2
58.8%
Q1 - 10:12HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound2
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 10:12MagicJaime Jaquez Jr. blocks Franz Wagner's two point running layup2
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 10:17MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound2
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 10:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot2
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 10:46MagicJalen Suggs makes two point cutting layup (Franz Wagner assists)2
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 10:54MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound2
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 10:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running layup2
39.7%
0
60.3%
Q1 - 11:00HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound2
41.0%
0
59.0%
Q1 - 11:03MagicFranz Wagner misses two point running layup2
39.9%
0
60.1%
Q1 - 11:08MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound2
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 11:08HeatFranz Wagner blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving finger roll layup2
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 11:21MagicJalen Suggs turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)2
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 11:34HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot2
38.6%
0
61.4%
Q1 - 11:45HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Double) (Anthony Black draws the foul)0
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:45MagicAnthony Black personal foul (Double) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)0
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:45HeatHeat offensive rebound0
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Wendell Carter Jr. (Kyle Lowry gains possession)0
37.2%
0
62.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.22 61.2%
ORL
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
19
53%
ORL
25
34
74%
Midrange
MIA
15
35
43%
ORL
7
19
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
29
52%
78%
ORL
9
13.5
36
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
20
24
83%
ORL
15
19
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2874%14.0 / 19
B. Adebayo1853%9.0 / 17
H. Highsmith1558%7.5 / 13
J. Richardson1250%6.0 / 12
D. Robinson12100%6.0 / 6
T. Bryant1275%6.0 / 8
J. Jaquez1038%5.0 / 13
C. Martin563%2.5 / 4
K. Lowry375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2071%10.0 / 14
F. Wagner1544%7.5 / 17
J. Suggs1161%5.5 / 9
M. Wagner1169%5.5 / 8
P. Banchero1031%5.0 / 16
C. Houstan945%4.5 / 10
J. Isaac964%4.5 / 7
W. Carter880%4.0 / 5
C. Okeke583%2.5 / 3
A. Black450%2.0 / 4
G. Bitadze467%2.0 / 3
G. Harris0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+11
-11
94
ORL
84
+18
-11
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.22 61.2%
ORL
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
113.1
MIA 122.3 +10.8
ORL 111.6
Pace
96.7
97.2
MIA 95.5 +1.9
ORL 93.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.3
MIA 15.1 +0.3
ORL 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
54.1%
MIA 57.2% +6.1%
ORL 51.1%
TO %
12.2%
14.1%
MIA 10.5% +0.5%
ORL 11.0%
ORB %
21.8%
25.3%
MIA 22.7%
ORL 34.1% +11.4%
FTrt
25.7
28.8
MIA 28.9 +7.6
ORL 21.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.8%
61.0%
MIA 62.5%
ORL 70.7% +8.2%
STL %
7.8%
8.3%
MIA 6.4%
ORL 8.4% +2.0%
BLK %
6.9%
9.8%
MIA 3.8%
ORL 9.3% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.19 and 2.19.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
56.2%
MIA 61.2% +9.7%
ORL 51.5%
Rim FG%
61.2%
64.6%
MIA 52.6%
ORL 73.5% +20.9%
Mid FG%
44.2%
39.2%
MIA 42.9% +6.1%
ORL 36.8%
3P %
37.0%
35.2%
MIA 51.7% +26.7%
ORL 25.0%
FT %
81.8%
75.9%
MIA 83.3% +4.4%
ORL 78.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
39.2%
MIA 22.9%
ORL 38.2% +15.3%
Mid Att. %
30.2%
24.0%
MIA 42.2%
ORL 21.3% +20.8%
3P Att. %
39.4%
36.9%
MIA 34.9%
ORL 40.4% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points115106
Rebounds3949
Assists2529
Steals68
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)11 (1)
Fouls1724
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)34 (0)
Field Goals40-8341-89
At-the-Rim FG10-1925-34
Midrange FG15-357-19
2-Point FG25-5432-53
3-Point FG15-299-36
Free Throws20-2415-19
Fast Break Pts1112
2nd Chance Pts1116
Points in Paint3454
Pts off Turnovers814
Bench Points5158
Biggest Lead245

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 24
35.8
28
74%
8
7
0
0
4
1
1
7
4-4
100%
6-12
50%
4-5
80%
#11 · PF · 6'6" 225 · 23
33.9
10
38%
3
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
4-6
67%
3-7
43%
0-3
0%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
29.7
18
53%
7
2
1
0
1
4
0
7
4-5
80%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
18.0
5
63%
5
0
1
0
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38
17.7
3
75%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30
33.8
12
50%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
4-8
50%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27
30.0
15
58%
6
2
2
0
1
3
4
2
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
4-9
44%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30
22.9
12
100%
3
6
0
0
1
3
0
3
3-3
100%
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 26
17.4
12
75%
5
1
0
0
2
1
3
2
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#9 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Acl; 3rd Degree Sprain
#21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25
INACTIVE
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Stomach; Illness
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Calf; Strain
#4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
61%
39
25
6
2
11
17
10
29
20-24
83%
25-54
46%
15-29
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.