FinalWin Prob.pScore
2439%115
144
1861%120
129
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
146.998103.5
MIA logo MIA
130.39996.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.144
100%
129
0%
Q4 - 0:06.7PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)144
99.9%
129
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.7HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 2144
99.9%
129
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.7HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 2144
99.9%
128
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.7PacersBen Sheppard shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)144
99.9%
127
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.4HeatHeat defensive rebound144
99.9%
127
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.5PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot144
99.9%
127
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.5PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound144
99.9%
127
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot144
99.9%
127
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10PacersBruce Brown makes three point pullup jump shot144
99.9%
127
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound141
99.9%
127
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup141
99.9%
127
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39PacersBruce Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup141
99.8%
127
0.2%
Q4 - 1:55PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound139
99.7%
127
0.3%
Q4 - 1:59HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup139
99.6%
127
0.4%
Q4 - 2:05HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound139
99.5%
127
0.5%
Q4 - 2:09PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot139
99.6%
127
0.4%
Q4 - 2:29HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround bank jump shot139
99.7%
127
0.3%
Q4 - 2:43PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot139
99.8%
125
0.2%
Q4 - 3:02HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2137
99.4%
125
0.6%
Q4 - 3:02HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2137
99.4%
124
0.6%
Q4 - 3:02PacersObi Toppin shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)137
99.4%
123
0.6%
Q4 - 3:15PacersObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Myles Turner assists)137
99.6%
123
0.4%
Q4 - 3:31HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround hook shot134
97.7%
123
2.3%
Q4 - 3:46PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 2134
98.5%
121
1.5%
Q4 - 3:46PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2133
98.4%
121
1.6%
Q4 - 3:46HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)132
98.2%
121
1.8%
Q4 - 4:06HeatOrlando Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Obi Toppin steals)132
98.0%
121
2.0%
Q4 - 4:17PacersObi Toppin makes regular free throw 1 of 1132
97.1%
121
2.9%
Q4 - 4:17HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Obi Toppin draws the foul)131
96.9%
121
3.1%
Q4 - 4:17PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound129
94.5%
121
5.5%
Q4 - 4:19HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot129
93.8%
121
6.2%
Q4 - 4:36PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)129
92.1%
121
7.9%
Q4 - 4:54HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot127
89.5%
121
10.5%
Q4 - 5:09PacersBruce Brown makes two point driving reverse layup (Obi Toppin assists)127
88.9%
119
11.1%
Q4 - 5:24HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)125
85.9%
119
14.1%
Q4 - 5:33HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1125
86.0%
119
14.0%
Q4 - 5:33PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)125
86.5%
118
13.5%
Q4 - 5:39PacersMyles Turner turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)125
91.8%
116
8.2%
Q4 - 5:57HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot125
94.1%
116
5.9%
Q4 - 6:12PacersObi Toppin personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)125
94.9%
113
5.1%
Q4 - 6:22PacersObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)125
94.9%
113
5.1%
Q4 - 6:43HeatOrlando Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)122
92.0%
113
8.0%
Q4 - 6:59PacersBruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2122
95.0%
110
5.0%
Q4 - 6:59PacersBruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2121
94.8%
110
5.2%
Q4 - 6:59HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)120
94.5%
110
5.5%
Q4 - 7:11HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2120
91.9%
110
8.1%
Q4 - 7:11HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2120
92.1%
109
7.9%
Q4 - 7:11PacersObi Toppin shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)120
92.4%
108
7.6%
Q4 - 7:23PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot120
93.3%
108
6.7%
Q4 - 7:34HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround hook shot (Duncan Robinson assists)118
92.0%
108
8.0%
Q4 - 7:57PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)118
93.4%
106
6.6%
Q4 - 8:19HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1115
88.1%
106
11.9%
Q4 - 8:19PacersBuddy Hield shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)115
88.4%
105
11.6%
Q4 - 8:37PacersBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)115
92.2%
103
7.8%
Q4 - 8:41PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound112
88.1%
103
11.9%
Q4 - 8:44HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot112
87.3%
103
12.7%
Q4 - 9:03PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (offensive foul)112
83.1%
103
16.9%
Q4 - 9:03PacersBennedict Mathurin offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)112
86.5%
103
13.5%
Q4 - 9:08PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound112
86.5%
103
13.5%
Q4 - 9:08HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point layup112
85.5%
103
14.5%
Q4 - 9:32HeatHeat defensive rebound112
83.2%
103
16.8%
Q4 - 9:34PacersBruce Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot112
84.3%
103
15.7%
Q4 - 9:51HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)112
86.6%
103
13.4%
Q4 - 9:51HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Charge) (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)112
83.3%
103
16.7%
Q4 - 10:03PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot112
81.2%
103
18.8%
Q4 - 10:19HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)110
78.3%
103
21.7%
Q4 - 10:37PacersMyles Turner makes two point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)110
81.4%
101
18.6%
Q4 - 10:44PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound108
78.4%
101
21.6%
Q4 - 10:49HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2108
77.8%
101
22.2%
Q4 - 10:49HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
75.1%
101
24.9%
Q4 - 10:49PacersAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)108
75.8%
100
24.2%
Q4 - 11:10PacersMyles Turner makes two point hook shot (T.J. McConnell assists)108
76.5%
100
23.5%
Q4 - 11:29HeatCaleb Martin makes two point bank hook shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)106
72.7%
100
27.3%
Q4 - 11:41PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)106
76.6%
98
23.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.106
80.2%
98
19.8%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound106
75.0%
98
25.0%
Q3 - 0:00.6HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot106
77.3%
98
22.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)106
75.0%
98
25.0%
Q3 - 0:20.4PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound106
78.4%
98
21.6%
Q3 - 0:22.1HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 1106
78.0%
98
22.0%
Q3 - 0:22.1PacersAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)106
75.5%
98
24.5%
Q3 - 0:32.5PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
81.7%
96
18.3%
Q3 - 0:32.5PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
81.2%
96
18.8%
Q3 - 0:32.5HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)104
80.5%
96
19.5%
Q3 - 0:35.4PacersBruce Brown defensive rebound104
78.5%
96
21.5%
Q3 - 0:38.2HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving reverse layup104
77.5%
96
22.5%
Q3 - 0:47.6PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point finger roll layup104
75.1%
96
24.9%
Q3 - 1:01HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving reverse layup102
69.4%
96
30.6%
Q3 - 1:19HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound102
73.1%
94
26.9%
Q3 - 1:21PacersBruce Brown misses two point driving floating bank jump shot102
74.3%
94
25.7%
Q3 - 1:39HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot102
76.8%
94
23.2%
Q3 - 2:00PacersBruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 1102
79.9%
92
20.1%
Q3 - 2:00HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)101
79.3%
92
20.7%
Q3 - 2:05HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving reverse layup99
71.4%
92
28.6%
Q3 - 2:30PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot99
74.8%
90
25.2%
Q3 - 2:41HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving finger roll layup97
71.6%
90
28.4%
Q3 - 2:56PacersAaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Bennedict Mathurin assists)97
74.8%
88
25.2%
Q3 - 3:00HeatKevin Love personal foul (Obi Toppin draws the foul)94
67.9%
88
32.1%
Q3 - 3:13HeatKevin Love makes two point driving reverse layup (Jimmy Butler assists)94
67.1%
88
32.9%
Q3 - 3:20HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound94
70.1%
86
29.9%
Q3 - 3:23HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot94
72.9%
86
27.1%
Q3 - 3:52PacersObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)94
70.1%
86
29.9%
Q3 - 4:05HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving bank jump shot91
62.0%
86
38.0%
Q3 - 4:24PacersMyles Turner turnover (offensive foul)91
65.3%
84
34.7%
Q3 - 4:24PacersMyles Turner offensive foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)91
69.3%
84
30.7%
Q3 - 4:37HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 191
69.3%
84
30.7%
Q3 - 4:37PacersObi Toppin shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)91
69.8%
83
30.2%
Q3 - 4:52PacersBennedict Mathurin makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)91
75.4%
81
24.6%
Q3 - 5:00HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)88
69.4%
81
30.6%
Q3 - 5:02HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot88
68.0%
81
32.0%
Q3 - 5:16PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point jump shot88
71.0%
79
29.0%
Q3 - 5:25HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup86
68.1%
79
31.9%
Q3 - 5:27HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound86
71.0%
77
29.0%
Q3 - 5:29HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup86
73.4%
77
26.6%
Q3 - 5:44PacersMyles Turner makes two point driving layup (Bennedict Mathurin assists)86
71.0%
77
29.0%
Q3 - 6:05HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)84
67.1%
77
32.9%
Q3 - 6:05HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound84
63.3%
77
36.7%
Q3 - 6:08HeatMyles Turner blocks Orlando Robinson's two point driving layup84
66.0%
77
34.0%
Q3 - 6:17PacersBuddy Hield personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)84
63.3%
77
36.7%
Q3 - 6:24PacersBuddy Hield makes two point running layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)84
63.4%
77
36.6%
Q3 - 6:24PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound82
60.3%
77
39.7%
Q3 - 6:33HeatKyle Lowry misses three point stepback jump shot82
59.1%
77
40.9%
Q3 - 6:41HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound82
56.2%
77
43.8%
Q3 - 6:44PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point driving layup82
57.5%
77
42.5%
Q3 - 7:03HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Caleb Martin assists)82
59.4%
77
40.6%
Q3 - 7:10HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound82
62.3%
75
37.7%
Q3 - 7:14PacersBruce Brown misses three point jump shot82
63.5%
75
36.5%
Q3 - 7:31HeatOrlando Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)82
66.2%
75
33.8%
Q3 - 7:51PacersObi Toppin makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Buddy Hield assists)82
71.8%
72
28.2%
Q3 - 7:52PacersBruce Brown defensive rebound80
69.3%
72
30.7%
Q3 - 7:56HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point layup80
68.2%
72
31.8%
Q3 - 8:13PacersBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)80
64.6%
72
35.4%
Q3 - 8:14PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound77
58.6%
72
41.4%
Q3 - 8:18HeatMyles Turner blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup77
57.4%
72
42.6%
Q3 - 8:45PacersObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)77
54.6%
72
45.4%
Q3 - 8:57HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)74
48.3%
72
51.7%
Q3 - 8:59HeatHeat offensive rebound74
44.1%
72
55.9%
Q3 - 9:00HeatObi Toppin blocks Orlando Robinson's two point jump shot74
47.0%
72
53.0%
Q3 - 9:05HeatHeat offensive rebound74
43.7%
72
56.3%
Q3 - 9:05HeatObi Toppin blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup74
46.4%
72
53.6%
Q3 - 9:25PacersMyles Turner makes two point dunk (Andrew Nembhard assists)74
43.7%
72
56.3%
Q3 - 9:32HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)72
41.0%
72
59.0%
Q3 - 9:41HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)72
41.0%
72
59.0%
Q3 - 9:58PacersBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Obi Toppin assists)72
43.8%
70
56.2%
Q3 - 10:02PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound69
37.7%
70
62.3%
Q3 - 10:05HeatKyle Lowry misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot69
36.6%
70
63.4%
Q3 - 10:17HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound69
34.1%
70
65.9%
Q3 - 10:20PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot69
35.2%
70
64.8%
Q3 - 10:27HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)69
37.7%
70
62.3%
Q3 - 10:32PacersBruce Brown defensive rebound69
37.7%
70
62.3%
Q3 - 10:35HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point floating jump shot69
36.6%
70
63.4%
Q3 - 10:59PacersBruce Brown makes two point pullup jump shot69
34.1%
70
65.9%
Q3 - 11:18HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)67
31.5%
70
68.5%
Q3 - 11:33PacersMyles Turner makes two point putback layup67
37.0%
67
63.0%
Q3 - 11:33PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound65
34.3%
67
65.7%
Q3 - 11:37PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point driving finger roll layup65
32.2%
67
67.8%
Q3 - 11:45HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 265
34.3%
67
65.7%
Q3 - 11:45HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 265
34.7%
66
65.3%
Q3 - 11:45PacersAndrew Nembhard shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)65
35.1%
65
64.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.65
37.0%
65
63.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)65
37.0%
65
63.0%
Q2 - 0:20.0HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point hook shot (Duncan Robinson assists)63
34.0%
65
66.0%
Q2 - 0:27.3HeatHeat offensive rebound63
37.3%
63
62.7%
Q2 - 0:27.6HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot63
39.0%
63
61.0%
Q2 - 0:43.3PacersBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)63
37.3%
63
62.7%
Q2 - 0:47.0PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound60
31.3%
63
68.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot60
30.6%
63
69.4%
Q2 - 1:01PacersBruce Brown makes two point running layup60
29.4%
63
70.6%
Q2 - 1:04PacersBruce Brown defensive rebound58
26.5%
63
73.5%
Q2 - 1:08HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot58
25.9%
63
74.1%
Q2 - 1:25PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point pullup jump shot58
24.6%
63
75.4%
Q2 - 1:39HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot56
22.0%
63
78.0%
Q2 - 1:53PacersBuddy Hield turnover (out of bounds bad pass)56
26.9%
60
73.1%
Q2 - 2:02PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound56
29.4%
60
70.6%
Q2 - 2:06HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot56
28.5%
60
71.5%
Q2 - 2:27PacersAaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)56
26.7%
60
73.3%
Q2 - 2:40HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 253
22.6%
60
77.4%
Q2 - 2:40HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 253
22.8%
59
77.2%
Q2 - 2:40PacersBennedict Mathurin personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)53
23.0%
58
77.0%
Q2 - 2:40HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound53
24.5%
58
75.5%
Q2 - 2:40PacersJosh Richardson blocks Bennedict Mathurin's two point driving layup53
25.2%
58
74.8%
Q2 - 2:55HeatJosh Richardson makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Love assists)53
26.9%
58
73.1%
Q2 - 3:15PacersBruce Brown makes two point driving reverse layup53
29.1%
56
70.9%
Q2 - 3:36HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot51
27.3%
56
72.7%
Q2 - 3:49HeatHeat offensive rebound51
29.1%
54
70.9%
Q2 - 3:49HeatObi Toppin blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup51
31.1%
54
68.9%
Q2 - 3:57HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound51
29.1%
54
70.9%
Q2 - 3:59PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot51
30.0%
54
70.0%
Q2 - 4:10HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds step)51
32.0%
54
68.0%
Q2 - 4:36PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point driving layup (Bennedict Mathurin assists)51
29.4%
54
70.6%
Q2 - 4:54HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)49
27.4%
54
72.6%
Q2 - 4:57PacersObi Toppin makes regular free throw 1 of 149
25.0%
54
75.0%
Q2 - 4:57HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Obi Toppin draws the foul)48
24.6%
54
75.4%
Q2 - 5:08HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Kevin Love assists)46
21.5%
54
78.5%
Q2 - 5:21PacersAaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)46
24.9%
51
75.1%
Q2 - 5:31HeatKevin Love personal foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)43
21.5%
51
78.5%
Q2 - 5:45HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Kevin Love assists)43
21.5%
51
78.5%
Q2 - 5:57PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)43
22.9%
49
77.1%
Q2 - 6:08HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 243
25.6%
49
74.4%
Q2 - 6:08HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 243
25.8%
48
74.2%
Q2 - 6:08PacersObi Toppin personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)43
26.2%
47
73.8%
Q2 - 6:20PacersIsaiah Jackson makes two point cutting dunk (Andrew Nembhard assists)43
27.2%
47
72.8%
Q2 - 6:28HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 241
25.6%
47
74.4%
Q2 - 6:28HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 241
25.8%
46
74.2%
Q2 - 6:28PacersAaron Nesmith personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)41
26.1%
45
73.9%
Q2 - 6:44PacersAaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Bennedict Mathurin assists)41
27.2%
45
72.8%
Q2 - 6:53PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound38
23.6%
45
76.4%
Q2 - 6:57HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot38
22.9%
45
77.1%
Q2 - 7:10PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Jamal Cain draws the foul)38
21.8%
45
78.2%
Q2 - 7:22PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 138
21.7%
45
78.3%
Q2 - 7:22HeatJamal Cain shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)37
21.5%
45
78.5%
Q2 - 7:41HeatJosh Richardson makes two point fadeaway jump shot35
18.5%
45
81.5%
Q2 - 7:53PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving floating jump shot35
20.0%
43
80.0%
Q2 - 8:04HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot33
18.6%
43
81.4%
Q2 - 8:22HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound33
20.1%
41
79.9%
Q2 - 8:26PacersAaron Nesmith misses regular free throw 2 of 233
20.3%
41
79.7%
Q2 - 8:26PacersAaron Nesmith misses regular free throw 1 of 233
21.5%
41
78.5%
Q2 - 8:26HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)33
22.9%
41
77.1%
Q2 - 8:32HeatJosh Richardson turnover (bad pass) (Buddy Hield steals)33
21.9%
41
78.1%
Q2 - 8:34HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound33
20.1%
41
79.9%
Q2 - 8:39PacersBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot33
20.6%
41
79.4%
Q2 - 8:42PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound33
21.9%
41
78.1%
Q2 - 8:45PacersBennedict Mathurin misses three point jump shot33
20.6%
41
79.4%
Q2 - 8:56HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point pullup jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)33
21.9%
41
78.1%
Q2 - 9:04HeatHeat offensive rebound33
23.7%
39
76.3%
Q2 - 9:04HeatAaron Nesmith blocks Josh Richardson's two point driving finger roll layup33
25.0%
39
75.0%
Q2 - 9:16HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound33
23.7%
39
76.3%
Q2 - 9:19PacersBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot33
24.2%
39
75.8%
Q2 - 9:35HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)33
25.6%
39
74.4%
Q2 - 9:45PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Loose ball) (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)33
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q2 - 9:45HeatHeat offensive rebound33
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q2 - 9:45HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot33
29.0%
37
71.0%
Q2 - 9:54HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 133
29.6%
37
70.4%
Q2 - 9:54PacersBuddy Hield personal foul (Away from play) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)33
27.8%
36
72.2%
Q2 - 10:03HeatHeat offensive rebound33
29.7%
36
70.3%
Q2 - 10:04HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot33
31.3%
36
68.7%
Q2 - 10:22PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving finger roll layup33
29.7%
36
70.3%
Q2 - 10:28PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound31
27.8%
36
72.2%
Q2 - 10:29HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot31
27.1%
36
72.9%
Q2 - 10:43PacersMyles Turner makes two point cutting dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)31
25.7%
36
74.3%
Q2 - 10:53HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point layup29
24.0%
36
76.0%
Q2 - 11:01PacersBennedict Mathurin personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)29
25.9%
34
74.1%
Q2 - 11:13PacersBuddy Hield makes two point driving floating bank jump shot29
25.9%
34
74.1%
Q2 - 11:18HeatJosh Richardson turnover (inbound)27
24.1%
34
75.9%
Q2 - 11:18PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point putback layup27
22.4%
34
77.6%
Q2 - 11:18PacersBennedict Mathurin offensive rebound25
20.8%
34
79.2%
Q2 - 11:21PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point driving layup25
19.7%
34
80.3%
Q2 - 11:29HeatJamal Cain personal foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)25
20.8%
34
79.2%
Q2 - 11:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)25
20.8%
34
79.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.25
24.1%
31
75.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0PacersPacers offensive rebound25
25.9%
31
74.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving layup25
24.6%
31
75.4%
Q1 - 0:04.6HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 225
25.7%
31
74.3%
Q1 - 0:04.6HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 225
26.0%
30
74.0%
Q1 - 0:04.6PacersAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)25
24.6%
30
75.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point reverse layup (Isaiah Jackson assists)25
25.8%
30
74.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point stepback jump shot23
24.0%
30
76.0%
Q1 - 0:39.9HeatKevin Love defensive rebound23
27.6%
27
72.4%
Q1 - 0:42.5PacersBennedict Mathurin misses regular free throw 2 of 223
27.9%
27
72.1%
Q1 - 0:42.5PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 223
29.3%
27
70.7%
Q1 - 0:42.5HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)22
28.9%
27
71.1%
Q1 - 0:57.5HeatJosh Richardson makes two point turnaround jump shot22
27.6%
27
72.4%
Q1 - 1:09PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving layup22
29.8%
25
70.2%
Q1 - 1:17PacersIsaiah Jackson defensive rebound20
27.7%
25
72.3%
Q1 - 1:17HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround hook shot20
27.2%
25
72.8%
Q1 - 1:24PacersBen Sheppard personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)20
26.0%
25
74.0%
Q1 - 1:36PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot20
26.0%
25
74.0%
Q1 - 1:48HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)18
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q1 - 1:54PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point driving layup (T.J. McConnell assists)18
27.8%
22
72.2%
Q1 - 2:13HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Kevin Love assists)16
26.3%
22
73.7%
Q1 - 2:16PacersIsaiah Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 216
27.8%
20
72.2%
Q1 - 2:16PacersIsaiah Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 215
27.3%
20
72.7%
Q1 - 2:16HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Isaiah Jackson draws the foul)14
26.7%
20
73.3%
Q1 - 2:16PacersIsaiah Jackson defensive rebound14
26.3%
20
73.7%
Q1 - 2:16HeatIsaiah Jackson blocks Caleb Martin's two point tip layup14
25.7%
20
74.3%
Q1 - 2:16HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound14
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 2:17HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving finger roll layup14
25.7%
20
74.3%
Q1 - 2:22HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound14
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 2:26PacersBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot14
24.9%
20
75.1%
Q1 - 2:35PacersIsaiah Jackson defensive rebound14
26.3%
20
73.7%
Q1 - 2:38HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot14
25.7%
20
74.3%
Q1 - 2:55PacersIsaiah Jackson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (T.J. McConnell assists)14
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 3:10HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Kevin Love assists)12
23.1%
20
76.9%
Q1 - 3:21PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (offensive foul)12
24.3%
18
75.7%
Q1 - 3:21PacersBennedict Mathurin offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)12
26.4%
18
73.6%
Q1 - 3:36HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 112
26.4%
18
73.6%
Q1 - 3:36PacersIsaiah Jackson shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)12
26.7%
17
73.3%
Q1 - 3:46HeatHeat defensive rebound12
31.5%
14
68.5%
Q1 - 3:48PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot12
32.2%
14
67.8%
Q1 - 4:03PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound12
33.9%
14
66.1%
Q1 - 4:06HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot12
33.2%
14
66.8%
Q1 - 4:29PacersBennedict Mathurin makes three point stepback jump shot12
31.7%
14
68.3%
Q1 - 4:36PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound9
28.4%
14
71.6%
Q1 - 4:39HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot9
27.8%
14
72.2%
Q1 - 4:58PacersIsaiah Jackson makes two point dunk (Andrew Nembhard assists)9
26.4%
14
73.6%
Q1 - 5:10HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)7
25.4%
14
74.6%
Q1 - 5:16HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound7
28.4%
11
71.6%
Q1 - 5:20PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot7
29.0%
11
71.0%
Q1 - 5:32HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (Isaiah Jackson draws the foul)7
30.3%
11
69.7%
Q1 - 5:32PacersPacers offensive rebound7
30.3%
11
69.7%
Q1 - 5:32PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point jump shot7
29.0%
11
71.0%
Q1 - 5:42PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound7
30.3%
11
69.7%
Q1 - 5:45HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot7
29.7%
11
70.3%
Q1 - 5:56HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound7
28.4%
11
71.6%
Q1 - 5:59PacersBruce Brown misses three point jump shot7
28.9%
11
71.1%
Q1 - 6:08HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)7
30.2%
11
69.8%
Q1 - 6:20HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)7
30.2%
11
69.8%
Q1 - 6:36PacersBruce Brown turnover (traveling)7
33.7%
8
66.3%
Q1 - 6:39PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound7
35.5%
8
64.5%
Q1 - 6:42HeatCaleb Martin misses two point fadeaway jump shot7
34.9%
8
65.1%
Q1 - 7:07PacersMyles Turner makes two point layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)7
33.4%
8
66.6%
Q1 - 7:17HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)5
32.0%
8
68.0%
Q1 - 7:18HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound5
30.0%
8
70.0%
Q1 - 7:19HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving reverse layup5
31.4%
8
68.6%
Q1 - 7:42HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound5
30.0%
8
70.0%
Q1 - 7:42PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot5
30.6%
8
69.4%
Q1 - 7:52HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Orlando Robinson assists)5
32.0%
8
68.0%
Q1 - 7:53HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound5
33.5%
6
66.5%
Q1 - 8:02HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving layup5
34.9%
6
65.1%
Q1 - 8:11HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound5
33.5%
6
66.5%
Q1 - 8:15PacersObi Toppin misses three point jump shot5
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 8:27HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)5
35.6%
6
64.4%
Q1 - 8:34HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound5
33.5%
6
66.5%
Q1 - 8:39PacersMyles Turner misses two point layup5
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 8:47PacersPacers offensive rebound5
35.6%
6
64.4%
Q1 - 8:47PacersBuddy Hield misses two point driving layup5
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 8:57HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point hook shot (Caleb Martin assists)5
35.6%
6
64.4%
Q1 - 9:13PacersAndrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 25
37.1%
4
62.9%
Q1 - 9:13PacersAndrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 24
36.7%
4
63.3%
Q1 - 9:13HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)3
36.3%
4
63.7%
Q1 - 9:13HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Nembhard steals)3
38.1%
4
61.9%
Q1 - 9:19PacersBruce Brown makes two point layup (Buddy Hield assists)3
33.6%
4
66.4%
Q1 - 9:25HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Buddy Hield steals)1
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 9:35HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound1
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 9:38PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point driving reverse layup1
30.8%
4
69.2%
Q1 - 9:47HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot1
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 9:55HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound1
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 9:59PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot1
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 10:02PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound1
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 10:08HeatObi Toppin blocks Haywood Highsmith's three point jump shot1
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 10:20HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound1
33.4%
2
66.6%
Q1 - 10:25PacersBruce Brown misses two point floating jump shot1
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 10:29PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound1
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 10:33HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot1
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 10:42HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound1
33.4%
2
66.6%
Q1 - 10:46PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot1
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 10:57PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound1
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 11:00HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point driving floating jump shot1
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 11:12PacersBruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 21
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 11:12PacersBruce Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 20
32.9%
2
67.1%
Q1 - 11:12HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)0
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 11:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)0
33.5%
2
66.5%
Q1 - 11:41HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound0
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 11:46PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot0
35.4%
0
64.6%
Q1 - 12:00Myles Turner vs. Orlando Robinson (Obi Toppin gains possession)0
36.7%
0
63.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.52 75.8%
MIA
1.24 62.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
21
23
91%
MIA
9
20
45%
Midrange
IND
19
30
63%
MIA
27
44
61%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
16
24.0
32
50%
75%
MIA
12
18.0
25
48%
72%
Free Throws
IND
16
20
80%
MIA
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Brown3083%15.0 / 18
A. Nesmith2292%11.0 / 12
O. Toppin20125%10.0 / 8
T. McConnell2091%10.0 / 11
M. Turner1771%8.5 / 12
B. Mathurin1673%8.0 / 11
I. Jackson8100%4.0 / 4
B. Hield750%3.5 / 7
A. Nembhard420%2.0 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3363%16.5 / 26
C. Martin1860%9.0 / 15
D. Robinson1771%8.5 / 12
O. Robinson1673%8.0 / 11
J. Richardson1680%8.0 / 10
K. Love14100%7.0 / 7
J. Jaquez1150%5.5 / 11
K. Lowry433%2.0 / 6
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
89
+6
-9
95
MIA
89
+14
-10
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.52 75.8%
MIA
1.24 62.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
120.7
113.5
IND 146.9 +16.6
MIA 130.3
Pace
102.1
96.7
IND 103.5 +7.1
MIA 96.3
Avg. Poss. Time
13.8
14.8
IND 13.9 +1.0
MIA 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
57.9%
53.8%
IND 75.3% +14.6%
MIA 60.7%
TO %
12.0%
12.2%
IND 9.6% +1.2%
MIA 10.8%
ORB %
23.8%
21.8%
IND 12.0%
MIA 17.1% +5.1%
FTrt
22.2
25.7
IND 23.5
MIA 27.0 +3.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.4%
64.8%
IND 62.5% +6.2%
MIA 56.3%
STL %
7.5%
7.8%
IND 4.1% +1.1%
MIA 3.0%
BLK %
9.7%
6.9%
IND 12.5% +10.6%
MIA 1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
59.4%
56.2%
IND 75.8% +13.8%
MIA 62.0%
Rim FG%
65.5%
61.2%
IND 91.3% +46.3%
MIA 45.0%
Mid FG%
48.9%
44.2%
IND 63.3% +1.9%
MIA 61.4%
3P %
37.4%
37.0%
IND 50.0% +2.0%
MIA 48.0%
FT %
78.2%
81.8%
IND 80.0%
MIA 87.5% +7.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
30.4%
IND 27.1% +4.6%
MIA 22.5%
Mid Att. %
24.7%
30.2%
IND 35.3% +14.1%
MIA 49.4%
3P Att. %
38.0%
39.4%
IND 37.6% +9.6%
MIA 28.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9899
Possession Minutes22.724.7
Points144129
Rebounds3228
Assists3527
Steals43
Blocks81
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)10 (2)
Fouls2422
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (3)6 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)22 (3)
Field Goals56-8548-89
At-the-Rim FG21-239-20
Midrange FG19-3027-44
2-Point FG40-5336-64
3-Point FG16-3212-25
Free Throws16-2021-24
Fast Break Pts200
2nd Chance Pts415
Points in Paint7668
Pts off Turnovers1717
Bench Points6659
Biggest Lead1710

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 27
36.7
30
83%
4
2
0
0
1
0
0
4
4-5
80%
7-10
70%
4-6
67%
#1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26
34.8
20
125%
2
2
1
4
0
5
0
2
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
4-5
80%
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28
30.3
17
71%
10
1
0
2
2
4
2
8
0-0
-
7-8
88%
1-4
25%
#7 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 30
24.3
7
50%
1
2
2
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
#2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 24
23.4
4
20%
1
11
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-4
0%
#23 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24
28.7
22
92%
4
1
0
1
0
4
0
4
4-6
67%
3-3
100%
4-6
67%
#00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21
25.2
16
73%
5
4
0
0
4
4
1
4
2-3
67%
4-7
57%
2-3
67%
#9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32
25.1
20
91%
2
11
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
10-11
91%
0-0
-
#22 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 22
8.1
8
100%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
#26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
#10 · SG · 6'8" 205 · 21
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#25 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee, Heel; Left Knee Bone Bruise, Left Heel Contusion
#0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Bruise; Upper Respiratory Infection
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
144
76%
32
35
4
8
9
24
3
29
16-20
80%
40-53
75%
16-32
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.