FinalWin Prob.pScore
1546%106
129
1154%108
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
137.29495.2
CLE logo CLE
101.19593.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.129
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:01.5HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)129
100%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.9CavaliersDamian Jones turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)129
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.7HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)129
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.1CavaliersSam Merrill makes three point jump shot (Damian Jones assists)126
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11HeatJosh Richardson makes two point pullup jump shot126
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33CavaliersDamian Jones makes two point cutting dunk (Sam Merrill assists)124
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:52HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)124
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02HeatHeat defensive rebound124
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03CavaliersCraig Porter misses three point jump shot124
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16HeatJosh Richardson makes two point turnaround jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)124
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27CavaliersIsaiah Mobley misses three point jump shot122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:43CavaliersDamian Jones defensive rebound122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:00CavaliersIsaiah Mobley misses two point floating jump shot122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Damian Jones steals)122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:26HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:28CavaliersDamian Jones misses two point hook shot122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:40HeatOrlando Robinson turnover (offensive foul)122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:40HeatOrlando Robinson offensive foul (Sam Merrill draws the foul)122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:42HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:42CavaliersOrlando Robinson blocks Damian Jones's two point putback layup122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:44CavaliersDamian Jones offensive rebound122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:47CavaliersEmoni Bates misses three point stepback jump shot122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:58HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Loose ball) (Damian Jones draws the foul)122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:58CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:59CavaliersEmoni Bates misses three point jump shot122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 4:10HeatCaleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)122
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 4:22CavaliersIsaiah Mobley makes two point turnaround bank hook shot120
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 4:39HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving floating jump shot120
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 4:58CavaliersSam Merrill makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Mobley assists)118
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Richardson assists)118
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 5:34HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound116
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 5:36CavaliersSam Merrill misses two point stepback jump shot116
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 5:54HeatOrlando Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)116
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 6:18CavaliersEmoni Bates makes three point stepback jump shot (Isaiah Mobley assists)113
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 6:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Isaiah Mobley steals)113
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 6:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound113
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 6:52CavaliersEmoni Bates misses three point jump shot113
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 7:03HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)113
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 7:14CavaliersIsaiah Mobley turnover (offensive foul)110
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 7:14CavaliersIsaiah Mobley offensive foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)110
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 7:17CavaliersIsaiah Mobley defensive rebound110
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 7:20HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup110
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 7:30HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound110
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 7:32CavaliersCraig Porter misses two point turnaround jump shot110
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 7:45CavaliersSam Merrill defensive rebound110
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 7:48HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point turnaround hook shot110
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 8:05CavaliersCraig Porter makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Mobley assists)110
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 8:29CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound110
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 8:31HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot110
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 8:35HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound110
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 8:38CavaliersDamian Jones misses two point jump shot110
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 8:59HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point pullup jump shot110
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 9:10HeatHeat offensive rebound108
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 9:11HeatDamian Jones blocks Caleb Martin's two point pullup jump shot108
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 9:21HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound108
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 9:24CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point jump shot108
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 9:36CavaliersGeorges Niang defensive rebound108
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 9:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2108
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 9:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 9:39CavaliersSam Merrill shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)107
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 9:47HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound107
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 9:50CavaliersCraig Porter misses two point running layup107
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 9:55HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Craig Porter steals)107
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 10:03CavaliersGeorges Niang personal foul (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)107
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 10:03HeatHeat offensive rebound107
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 10:03HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot107
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 10:19HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound107
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 10:21CavaliersCraig Porter misses regular free throw 2 of 2107
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 10:21CavaliersCraig Porter makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 10:21HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Craig Porter draws the foul)107
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 10:34HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)107
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 10:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound104
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 10:44CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point jump shot104
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 10:59HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)104
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 11:11HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound101
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 11:11HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot101
98.7%
79
1.3%
Q4 - 11:13HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound101
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 11:15HeatJosh Richardson misses two point pullup jump shot101
98.7%
79
1.3%
Q4 - 11:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound101
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 11:35CavaliersOrlando Robinson blocks Damian Jones's two point driving layup101
98.8%
79
1.2%
Q4 - 11:40CavaliersDamian Jones offensive rebound101
98.7%
79
1.3%
Q4 - 11:43CavaliersEmoni Bates misses three point jump shot101
98.8%
79
1.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.101
98.7%
79
1.3%
Q3 - 0:00.2CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound101
98.3%
79
1.7%
Q3 - 0:00.2HeatTristan Thompson blocks Kyle Lowry's two point driving reverse layup101
98.4%
79
1.6%
Q3 - 0:18.8CavaliersSam Merrill makes three point jump shot (Craig Porter assists)101
98.6%
79
1.4%
Q3 - 0:34.6CavaliersEmoni Bates defensive rebound101
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q3 - 0:37.3HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot101
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q3 - 0:40.6HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound101
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q3 - 0:40.6HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point hook shot101
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q3 - 0:40.6HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound101
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q3 - 0:40.6HeatOrlando Robinson misses regular free throw 2 of 2101
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q3 - 0:40.6HeatOrlando Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q3 - 0:40.6CavaliersGeorges Niang shooting foul (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)100
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q3 - 0:56.8CavaliersGeorges Niang makes three point stepback jump shot100
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q3 - 1:07HeatKyle Lowry makes technical free throw 1 of 1100
99.1%
73
0.9%
Q3 - 1:07HeatKyle Lowry makes technical free throw 1 of 199
99.0%
73
1.0%
Q3 - 1:07CavaliersCaris LeVert technical foul98
98.9%
73
1.1%
Q3 - 1:07CavaliersCaris LeVert technical foul98
98.9%
73
1.1%
Q3 - 1:07HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point putback layup98
98.8%
73
1.2%
Q3 - 1:10HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound96
98.5%
73
1.5%
Q3 - 1:12HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point hook shot96
98.3%
73
1.7%
Q3 - 1:16CavaliersCaris LeVert turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)96
98.5%
73
1.5%
Q3 - 1:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)96
98.2%
73
1.8%
Q3 - 1:46CavaliersCaris LeVert makes three point jump shot (Emoni Bates assists)93
97.5%
73
2.5%
Q3 - 1:53HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Emoni Bates steals)93
98.2%
70
1.8%
Q3 - 2:09CavaliersTristan Thompson makes two point hook shot (Caris LeVert assists)93
98.1%
70
1.9%
Q3 - 2:31HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)93
98.4%
68
1.6%
Q3 - 2:42CavaliersTristan Thompson makes two point alley-oop dunk (Darius Garland assists)90
97.8%
68
2.2%
Q3 - 2:57HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 190
98.1%
66
1.9%
Q3 - 2:57CavaliersEmoni Bates shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)89
98.1%
66
1.9%
Q3 - 3:11HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound87
97.0%
66
3.0%
Q3 - 3:11CavaliersGeorges Niang misses three point jump shot87
96.8%
66
3.2%
Q3 - 3:23CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound87
96.4%
66
3.6%
Q3 - 3:23CavaliersJimmy Butler blocks Darius Garland's two point driving layup87
96.8%
66
3.2%
Q3 - 3:38HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Loose ball) (Tristan Thompson draws the foul)87
96.4%
66
3.6%
Q3 - 3:38CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound87
96.4%
66
3.6%
Q3 - 3:38CavaliersJimmy Butler blocks Georges Niang's three point jump shot87
96.9%
66
3.1%
Q3 - 3:44CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound87
96.4%
66
3.6%
Q3 - 3:46HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving reverse layup87
96.6%
66
3.4%
Q3 - 4:10CavaliersGeorges Niang makes two point driving bank hook shot87
96.5%
66
3.5%
Q3 - 4:26HeatKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot87
97.0%
64
3.0%
Q3 - 4:47HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound85
96.5%
64
3.5%
Q3 - 4:49CavaliersTristan Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 285
96.5%
64
3.5%
Q3 - 4:49CavaliersTristan Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 285
96.2%
64
3.8%
Q3 - 4:49HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Tristan Thompson draws the foul)85
95.8%
64
4.2%
Q3 - 4:59CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound85
95.9%
64
4.1%
Q3 - 5:01HeatThomas Bryant misses two point hook shot85
95.5%
64
4.5%
Q3 - 5:15HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound85
96.0%
64
4.0%
Q3 - 5:17CavaliersTristan Thompson misses two point tip layup85
95.8%
64
4.2%
Q3 - 5:17CavaliersTristan Thompson offensive rebound85
95.3%
64
4.7%
Q3 - 5:19CavaliersCaris LeVert misses two point driving layup85
95.8%
64
4.2%
Q3 - 5:21CavaliersMax Strus defensive rebound85
95.3%
64
4.7%
Q3 - 5:23HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot85
95.5%
64
4.5%
Q3 - 5:52CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point stepback jump shot (Max Strus assists)85
96.0%
64
4.0%
Q3 - 6:16HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kyle Lowry assists)85
96.1%
62
3.9%
Q3 - 6:25HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound83
95.6%
62
4.4%
Q3 - 6:27CavaliersEvan Mobley misses two point turnaround jump shot83
95.4%
62
4.6%
Q3 - 6:38HeatThomas Bryant personal foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)83
94.9%
62
5.1%
Q3 - 6:52HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)83
94.9%
62
5.1%
Q3 - 7:04CavaliersDarius Garland makes three point jump shot (Craig Porter assists)80
92.5%
62
7.5%
Q3 - 7:10CavaliersMax Strus defensive rebound80
94.2%
59
5.8%
Q3 - 7:13HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot80
94.5%
59
5.5%
Q3 - 7:25CavaliersJarrett Allen turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)80
95.0%
59
5.0%
Q3 - 7:50HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)80
94.2%
59
5.8%
Q3 - 8:08HeatHeat defensive rebound77
92.0%
59
8.0%
Q3 - 8:09CavaliersCraig Porter misses two point driving layup77
91.6%
59
8.4%
Q3 - 8:33HeatThomas Bryant makes two point hook shot (Duncan Robinson assists)77
90.7%
59
9.3%
Q3 - 8:49CavaliersDarius Garland turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)75
89.7%
59
10.3%
Q3 - 8:59CavaliersCraig Porter defensive rebound75
88.1%
59
11.9%
Q3 - 9:02HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot75
87.7%
59
12.3%
Q3 - 9:07HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound75
88.9%
59
11.1%
Q3 - 9:11HeatThomas Bryant misses two point jump shot75
87.8%
59
12.2%
Q3 - 9:30CavaliersDarius Garland turnover (offensive foul)75
88.9%
59
11.1%
Q3 - 9:30CavaliersDarius Garland offensive foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)75
87.3%
59
12.7%
Q3 - 9:39HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)75
87.3%
59
12.7%
Q3 - 9:53CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point driving floating jump shot72
84.3%
59
15.7%
Q3 - 10:03CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound72
84.8%
57
15.2%
Q3 - 10:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot72
85.5%
57
14.5%
Q3 - 10:22HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound72
86.8%
57
13.2%
Q3 - 10:24CavaliersCraig Porter misses three point jump shot72
86.2%
57
13.8%
Q3 - 10:38HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 272
84.9%
57
15.1%
Q3 - 10:38HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 271
84.7%
57
15.3%
Q3 - 10:38CavaliersDarius Garland shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)71
86.1%
57
13.9%
Q3 - 10:41HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound71
85.2%
57
14.8%
Q3 - 10:44CavaliersJarrett Allen misses two point layup71
84.6%
57
15.4%
Q3 - 10:55CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound71
83.2%
57
16.8%
Q3 - 10:55HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot71
83.8%
57
16.2%
Q3 - 11:09CavaliersCraig Porter makes two point cutting layup (Evan Mobley assists)71
84.5%
57
15.5%
Q3 - 11:17CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound71
86.0%
55
14.0%
Q3 - 11:19HeatCraig Porter blocks Duncan Robinson's two point cutting layup71
86.5%
55
13.5%
Q3 - 11:27HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound71
87.6%
55
12.4%
Q3 - 11:29CavaliersHaywood Highsmith blocks Evan Mobley's two point hook shot71
87.1%
55
12.9%
Q3 - 11:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)71
86.0%
55
14.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.69
84.5%
55
15.5%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound69
83.8%
55
16.2%
Q2 - 0:02.6HeatJimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot69
82.8%
55
17.2%
Q2 - 0:19.9CavaliersMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Darius Garland assists)69
83.8%
55
16.2%
Q2 - 0:36.2HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)69
87.1%
52
12.9%
Q2 - 0:36.2HeatHeat offensive rebound69
88.3%
52
11.7%
Q2 - 0:36.3HeatThomas Bryant misses two point fadeaway jump shot69
87.5%
52
12.5%
Q2 - 1:00CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point alley-oop dunk (Craig Porter assists)69
88.3%
52
11.7%
Q2 - 1:15HeatThomas Bryant makes two point putback layup69
89.3%
50
10.7%
Q2 - 1:16HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound67
87.8%
50
12.2%
Q2 - 1:17HeatThomas Bryant misses two point dunk67
87.1%
50
12.9%
Q2 - 1:34CavaliersCraig Porter turnover (traveling)67
87.8%
50
12.2%
Q2 - 1:35CavaliersEvan Mobley offensive rebound67
86.8%
50
13.2%
Q2 - 1:38CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point pullup jump shot67
87.5%
50
12.5%
Q2 - 2:01HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)67
85.5%
50
14.5%
Q2 - 2:22CavaliersEvan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 264
82.6%
50
17.4%
Q2 - 2:22CavaliersEvan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 264
83.1%
49
16.9%
Q2 - 2:22HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Evan Mobley draws the foul)64
83.6%
48
16.4%
Q2 - 2:44HeatJosh Richardson makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)64
84.1%
48
15.9%
Q2 - 2:50CavaliersEvan Mobley turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)62
82.7%
48
17.3%
Q2 - 2:52CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound62
80.8%
48
19.2%
Q2 - 2:52HeatMax Strus blocks Caleb Martin's two point jump shot62
81.4%
48
18.6%
Q2 - 3:05CavaliersCraig Porter makes two point pullup jump shot62
81.7%
48
18.3%
Q2 - 3:15HeatThomas Bryant makes two point hook shot62
83.1%
46
16.9%
Q2 - 3:34CavaliersCraig Porter makes regular free throw 1 of 160
81.8%
46
18.2%
Q2 - 3:34HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Craig Porter draws the foul)60
82.1%
45
17.9%
Q2 - 3:40HeatThomas Bryant personal foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)60
84.6%
43
15.4%
Q2 - 3:57HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)60
84.7%
43
15.3%
Q2 - 4:09CavaliersCraig Porter makes two point pullup jump shot57
80.9%
43
19.1%
Q2 - 4:14CavaliersCraig Porter defensive rebound57
82.4%
41
17.6%
Q2 - 4:17HeatCraig Porter blocks Kyle Lowry's two point driving layup57
82.9%
41
17.1%
Q2 - 4:26CavaliersJarrett Allen personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)57
84.1%
41
15.9%
Q2 - 4:26CavaliersJarrett Allen turnover (bad pass)57
84.1%
41
15.9%
Q2 - 4:48HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)57
82.4%
41
17.6%
Q2 - 4:52HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound54
79.2%
41
20.8%
Q2 - 4:56HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot54
77.8%
41
22.2%
Q2 - 5:01HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound54
79.0%
41
21.0%
Q2 - 5:04CavaliersGeorges Niang misses two point jump shot54
78.3%
41
21.7%
Q2 - 5:23HeatOrlando Robinson turnover (traveling)54
76.6%
41
23.4%
Q2 - 5:40HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound54
79.0%
41
21.0%
Q2 - 5:43CavaliersGeorges Niang misses two point hook shot54
78.3%
41
21.7%
Q2 - 5:44CavaliersGeorges Niang offensive rebound54
76.6%
41
23.4%
Q2 - 5:49CavaliersGeorges Niang misses two point driving floating jump shot54
78.3%
41
21.7%
Q2 - 6:12HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot54
76.1%
41
23.9%
Q2 - 6:26CavaliersGeorges Niang personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)52
74.6%
41
25.4%
Q2 - 6:46CavaliersGeorges Niang makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)52
74.6%
41
25.4%
Q2 - 7:03HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)52
77.6%
38
22.4%
Q2 - 7:11CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point turnaround hook shot (Darius Garland assists)49
73.9%
38
26.1%
Q2 - 7:20HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving floating jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)49
75.8%
36
24.2%
Q2 - 7:45CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point running layup47
74.0%
36
26.0%
Q2 - 7:46HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Darius Garland steals)47
75.8%
34
24.2%
Q2 - 7:51HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound47
77.8%
34
22.2%
Q2 - 7:54CavaliersMax Strus misses three point jump shot47
77.2%
34
22.8%
Q2 - 7:59HeatDru Smith personal foul (Darius Garland draws the foul)47
75.8%
34
24.2%
Q2 - 8:00CavaliersDarius Garland defensive rebound47
75.8%
34
24.2%
Q2 - 8:03HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot47
76.0%
34
24.0%
Q2 - 8:19CavaliersMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Georges Niang assists)47
77.4%
34
22.6%
Q2 - 8:32CavaliersTristan Thompson defensive rebound47
80.7%
31
19.3%
Q2 - 8:33HeatJosh Richardson misses two point driving layup47
81.2%
31
18.8%
Q2 - 8:39HeatHeat offensive rebound47
82.4%
31
17.6%
Q2 - 8:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot47
81.2%
31
18.8%
Q2 - 8:53CavaliersMax Strus turnover (traveling)47
82.4%
31
17.6%
Q2 - 9:06HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Craig Porter draws the foul)47
80.2%
31
19.8%
Q2 - 9:18HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 247
80.2%
31
19.8%
Q2 - 9:18HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 246
79.8%
31
20.2%
Q2 - 9:18CavaliersGeorges Niang shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)45
79.5%
31
20.5%
Q2 - 9:23CavaliersGeorges Niang makes three point jump shot (Craig Porter assists)45
78.6%
31
21.4%
Q2 - 9:32HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running dunk45
81.7%
28
18.3%
Q2 - 9:34CavaliersCraig Porter turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)43
80.3%
28
19.7%
Q2 - 9:49HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point putback layup43
78.5%
28
21.5%
Q2 - 9:51HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound41
76.9%
28
23.1%
Q2 - 9:54HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot41
75.5%
28
24.5%
Q2 - 10:08CavaliersCaris LeVert turnover (out of bounds step)41
76.5%
28
23.5%
Q2 - 10:10CavaliersCaris LeVert defensive rebound41
74.6%
28
25.4%
Q2 - 10:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point alley-oop dunk41
75.2%
28
24.8%
Q2 - 10:17HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound41
76.5%
28
23.5%
Q2 - 10:19CavaliersCaris LeVert misses two point pullup jump shot41
75.9%
28
24.1%
Q2 - 10:42HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround hook shot41
74.6%
28
25.4%
Q2 - 10:55CavaliersJarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 239
72.8%
28
27.2%
Q2 - 10:55CavaliersJarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 239
73.2%
27
26.8%
Q2 - 10:55HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)39
73.7%
26
26.3%
Q2 - 11:14HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot39
73.7%
26
26.3%
Q2 - 11:23HeatHeat offensive rebound37
71.9%
26
28.1%
Q2 - 11:23HeatCaris LeVert blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup37
70.5%
26
29.5%
Q2 - 11:30CavaliersMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)37
71.9%
26
28.1%
Q2 - 11:46HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)37
69.9%
26
30.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.37
71.9%
26
28.1%
Q1 - 0:00.8HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 237
69.3%
26
30.7%
Q1 - 0:00.8HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 236
68.9%
26
31.1%
Q1 - 0:00.8CavaliersSam Merrill shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)35
68.4%
26
31.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0CavaliersDarius Garland turnover (lost ball) (Josh Richardson steals)35
67.2%
26
32.8%
Q1 - 0:14.2HeatCaleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot35
65.1%
26
34.9%
Q1 - 0:30.8HeatHeat defensive rebound33
62.9%
26
37.1%
Q1 - 0:30.8CavaliersCaris LeVert misses three point jump shot33
62.3%
26
37.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 233
60.7%
26
39.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 232
60.5%
26
39.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0CavaliersCraig Porter personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)31
60.2%
26
39.8%
Q1 - 0:52.8CavaliersCaris LeVert makes two point pullup jump shot (Jarrett Allen assists)31
58.4%
26
41.6%
Q1 - 1:09HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point tip layup31
60.7%
24
39.3%
Q1 - 1:11HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound29
58.3%
24
41.7%
Q1 - 1:12HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving floating jump shot29
56.8%
24
43.2%
Q1 - 1:23CavaliersCaris LeVert makes two point driving floating jump shot29
58.3%
24
41.7%
Q1 - 1:37CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound29
60.7%
22
39.3%
Q1 - 1:40HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot29
61.3%
22
38.7%
Q1 - 2:02CavaliersCaris LeVert makes regular free throw 2 of 229
62.6%
22
37.4%
Q1 - 2:02CavaliersCaris LeVert makes regular free throw 1 of 229
63.0%
21
37.0%
Q1 - 2:02HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Caris LeVert draws the foul)29
63.6%
20
36.4%
Q1 - 2:12CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound29
64.3%
20
35.7%
Q1 - 2:16HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot29
65.1%
20
34.9%
Q1 - 2:21HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound29
66.7%
20
33.3%
Q1 - 2:24CavaliersCaris LeVert misses two point pullup jump shot29
66.0%
20
34.0%
Q1 - 2:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (offensive foul)29
64.4%
20
35.6%
Q1 - 2:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive foul (Sam Merrill draws the foul)29
66.7%
20
33.3%
Q1 - 3:00CavaliersSam Merrill turnover (offensive foul)29
66.8%
20
33.2%
Q1 - 3:00CavaliersSam Merrill offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)29
64.4%
20
35.6%
Q1 - 3:13HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point running dunk29
63.8%
20
36.2%
Q1 - 3:16CavaliersCraig Porter turnover (bad pass) (Orlando Robinson steals)27
62.2%
20
37.8%
Q1 - 3:30HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)27
59.6%
20
40.4%
Q1 - 3:45CavaliersCaris LeVert makes three point jump shot (Craig Porter assists)24
55.8%
20
44.2%
Q1 - 3:57HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 224
59.6%
17
40.4%
Q1 - 3:57HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 223
59.3%
17
40.7%
Q1 - 3:57CavaliersGeorges Niang shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)22
59.0%
17
41.0%
Q1 - 4:07HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound22
57.2%
17
42.8%
Q1 - 4:09CavaliersDarius Garland misses regular free throw 2 of 222
56.9%
17
43.1%
Q1 - 4:09CavaliersDarius Garland makes regular free throw 1 of 222
55.4%
17
44.6%
Q1 - 4:09HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Darius Garland draws the foul)22
55.7%
16
44.3%
Q1 - 4:18CavaliersGeorges Niang defensive rebound22
56.9%
16
43.1%
Q1 - 4:20HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 222
57.2%
16
42.8%
Q1 - 4:20HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 222
58.7%
16
41.3%
Q1 - 4:20CavaliersTristan Thompson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)21
58.4%
16
41.6%
Q1 - 4:30HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound21
57.3%
16
42.7%
Q1 - 4:32CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving floating jump shot21
56.5%
16
43.5%
Q1 - 4:50HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)21
54.8%
16
45.2%
Q1 - 5:04CavaliersDarius Garland personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)19
52.8%
16
47.2%
Q1 - 5:17CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point driving layup (Caris LeVert assists)19
52.8%
16
47.2%
Q1 - 5:26CavaliersCaris LeVert defensive rebound19
54.6%
14
45.4%
Q1 - 5:26HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot19
55.3%
14
44.7%
Q1 - 5:47CavaliersEvan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 119
56.9%
14
43.1%
Q1 - 5:47HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (Evan Mobley draws the foul)19
57.4%
13
42.6%
Q1 - 5:51CavaliersTristan Thompson offensive rebound19
60.6%
11
39.4%
Q1 - 5:53CavaliersHaywood Highsmith blocks Darius Garland's two point driving floating jump shot19
62.1%
11
37.9%
Q1 - 6:00HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)19
60.6%
11
39.4%
Q1 - 6:01CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound19
60.3%
11
39.7%
Q1 - 6:03HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot19
60.9%
11
39.1%
Q1 - 6:23CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point putback layup19
62.2%
11
37.8%
Q1 - 6:24CavaliersEvan Mobley offensive rebound19
64.1%
9
35.9%
Q1 - 6:26CavaliersThomas Bryant blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup19
65.4%
9
34.6%
Q1 - 6:27CavaliersMax Strus defensive rebound19
64.1%
9
35.9%
Q1 - 6:29HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot19
64.7%
9
35.3%
Q1 - 6:53CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point driving floating bank jump shot19
66.0%
9
34.0%
Q1 - 7:11HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)19
67.2%
7
32.8%
Q1 - 7:16CavaliersCraig Porter turnover (bad pass) (Thomas Bryant steals)16
64.0%
7
36.0%
Q1 - 7:26CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound16
61.8%
7
38.2%
Q1 - 7:26HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot16
62.5%
7
37.5%
Q1 - 7:33CavaliersCraig Porter makes three point stepback jump shot (Evan Mobley assists)16
64.0%
7
36.0%
Q1 - 7:40CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound16
67.3%
4
32.7%
Q1 - 7:43HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point hook shot16
67.9%
4
32.1%
Q1 - 7:59CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point pullup jump shot16
69.2%
4
30.8%
Q1 - 8:12HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)16
70.3%
2
29.7%
Q1 - 8:22HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound13
67.3%
2
32.7%
Q1 - 8:24CavaliersMax Strus misses three point jump shot13
66.7%
2
33.3%
Q1 - 8:30HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)13
65.2%
2
34.8%
Q1 - 8:34HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Evan Mobley draws the foul)13
65.2%
2
34.8%
Q1 - 8:49HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 213
65.2%
2
34.8%
Q1 - 8:49HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 212
64.9%
2
35.1%
Q1 - 8:49CavaliersJarrett Allen shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)11
64.5%
2
35.5%
Q1 - 9:09CavaliersEvan Mobley turnover (out of bounds step)11
63.3%
2
36.7%
Q1 - 9:31HeatThomas Bryant makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)11
61.4%
2
38.6%
Q1 - 9:37CavaliersJarrett Allen turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)9
59.8%
2
40.2%
Q1 - 9:53HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)9
57.7%
2
42.3%
Q1 - 10:14CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point alley-oop dunk (Max Strus assists)6
53.8%
2
46.2%
Q1 - 10:22CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound6
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 10:24HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot6
56.0%
0
44.0%
Q1 - 10:32HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound6
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 10:35CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving floating jump shot6
56.8%
0
43.2%
Q1 - 10:53HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Thomas Bryant assists)6
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 11:10HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound3
51.5%
0
48.5%
Q1 - 11:12CavaliersCraig Porter misses three point jump shot3
50.9%
0
49.1%
Q1 - 11:33HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)3
49.5%
0
50.5%
Q1 - 11:39HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound0
46.3%
0
53.7%
Q1 - 11:41CavaliersMax Strus misses two point driving floating jump shot0
45.6%
0
54.4%
Q1 - 12:00Thomas Bryant vs. Jarrett Allen (Darius Garland gains possession)0
44.2%
0
55.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.29 64.5%
CLE
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
22
50%
CLE
12
25
48%
Midrange
MIA
15
31
48%
CLE
10
22
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
20
30.0
35
57%
86%
CLE
14
21.0
30
47%
70%
Free Throws
MIA
17
21
81%
CLE
10
14
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Lowry2888%14.0 / 16
J. Jaquez2292%11.0 / 12
O. Robinson1470%7.0 / 10
J. Richardson1470%7.0 / 10
C. Martin1454%7.0 / 13
J. Butler1036%5.0 / 14
H. Highsmith1083%5.0 / 6
T. Bryant1056%5.0 / 9
D. Robinson750%3.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Porter1662%8.0 / 13
D. Garland1458%7.0 / 12
E. Mobley1381%6.5 / 8
C. LeVert1267%6.0 / 9
G. Niang1161%5.5 / 9
S. Merrill975%4.5 / 6
M. Strus650%3.0 / 6
J. Allen467%2.0 / 3
T. Thompson450%2.0 / 4
E. Bates330%1.5 / 5
D. Jones220%1.0 / 5
I. Mobley233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+16
-10
100
CLE
76
+10
-19
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.29 64.5%
CLE
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
114.8
MIA 137.2 +36.2
CLE 101.1
Pace
96.7
97.5
MIA 95.2 +1.4
CLE 93.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.8
MIA 15.1 +0.2
CLE 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
55.7%
MIA 63.6% +7.8%
CLE 55.8%
TO %
12.2%
13.0%
MIA 11.0% +7.6%
CLE 18.6%
ORB %
21.8%
23.2%
MIA 27.0% +8.6%
CLE 18.4%
FTrt
25.7
23.4
MIA 23.9 +5.7
CLE 18.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.8%
67.1%
MIA 65.2%
CLE 69.4% +4.2%
STL %
7.8%
7.5%
MIA 11.7% +6.4%
CLE 5.3%
BLK %
6.9%
8.7%
MIA 14.9% +3.6%
CLE 11.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
57.1%
MIA 64.5% +8.7%
CLE 55.8%
Rim FG%
61.2%
63.2%
MIA 50.0% +2.0%
CLE 48.0%
Mid FG%
44.2%
44.8%
MIA 48.4% +2.9%
CLE 45.5%
3P %
37.0%
36.7%
MIA 57.1% +10.4%
CLE 46.7%
FT %
81.8%
76.5%
MIA 81.0% +9.6%
CLE 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
35.4%
MIA 25.0%
CLE 32.5% +7.5%
Mid Att. %
30.2%
22.4%
MIA 35.2%
CLE 28.6% +6.7%
3P Att. %
39.4%
42.2%
MIA 39.8% +0.8%
CLE 39.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points12996
Rebounds4134
Assists3025
Steals115
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)19 (0)
Fouls1917
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (6)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)27 (2)
Field Goals46-8836-77
At-the-Rim FG11-2212-25
Midrange FG15-3110-22
2-Point FG26-5322-47
3-Point FG20-3514-30
Free Throws17-2110-14
Fast Break Pts129
2nd Chance Pts195
Points in Paint3836
Pts off Turnovers2813
Bench Points6443
Biggest Lead330

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38
29.1
28
88%
1
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
7-10
70%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34
27.8
10
36%
4
9
2
2
1
0
1
3
3-4
75%
2-7
29%
1-5
20%
#24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 27
24.7
10
83%
6
5
1
2
0
4
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30
24.3
7
50%
2
3
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 26
23.7
10
56%
7
1
1
1
0
3
1
6
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
28.0
22
92%
8
1
1
0
6
1
2
6
4-5
80%
3-6
50%
4-4
100%
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23
27.5
14
70%
9
2
1
2
2
4
4
5
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
1-1
100%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30
27.1
14
70%
1
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
26.4
14
54%
3
1
3
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
2-5
40%
#9 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 26
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Hip; Contusion
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
Inactive – Personal
#21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Sprain
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
129
65%
41
30
11
7
10
19
10
31
17-21
81%
26-53
49%
20-35
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.