FinalWin Prob.pScore
2344%107
104
2056%110
105
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
106.19899.7
LAL logo LAL
107.19896.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOULAL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.104
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:00.1RocketsRockets offensive rebound104
3.8%
105
96.2%
Q4 - 0:01.3RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot104
4.1%
105
95.9%
Q4 - 0:01.9LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
9.8%
105
90.2%
Q4 - 0:01.9LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 2104
26.5%
104
73.5%
Q4 - 0:01.9RocketsTari Eason shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)104
10.7%
104
89.3%
Q4 - 0:04.0RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point driving layup (Fred VanVleet assists)104
38.7%
104
61.3%
Q4 - 0:09.9RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound102
17.4%
104
82.6%
Q4 - 0:11.6LakersAustin Reaves misses regular free throw 2 of 2102
16.1%
104
83.9%
Q4 - 0:11.6LakersAustin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
8.2%
104
91.8%
Q4 - 0:11.6RocketsJabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)102
9.4%
103
90.6%
Q4 - 0:17.2RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point hook shot (Fred VanVleet assists)102
16.9%
103
83.1%
Q4 - 0:24.2LakersAustin Reaves makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)100
10.7%
103
89.3%
Q4 - 0:42.2LakersLeBron James defensive rebound100
38.7%
100
61.3%
Q4 - 0:43.9RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point driving hook shot100
44.9%
100
55.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0LakersAnthony Davis turnover (offensive foul)100
57.3%
100
42.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0LakersAnthony Davis offensive foul (Charge) (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)100
40.0%
100
60.0%
Q4 - 1:08RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point driving layup (Fred VanVleet assists)100
39.6%
100
60.4%
Q4 - 1:21LakersLeBron James makes two point driving finger roll layup (Austin Reaves assists)98
30.2%
100
69.8%
Q4 - 1:35RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point pullup jump shot98
40.1%
98
59.9%
Q4 - 1:46RocketsRockets defensive rebound95
22.2%
98
77.8%
Q4 - 1:46LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot95
19.4%
98
80.6%
Q4 - 2:07LakersAustin Reaves defensive rebound95
13.1%
98
86.9%
Q4 - 2:09RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot95
15.6%
98
84.4%
Q4 - 2:25LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 295
23.1%
98
76.9%
Q4 - 2:25LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 295
25.1%
97
74.9%
Q4 - 2:25RocketsDillon Brooks shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)95
19.0%
97
81.0%
Q4 - 2:30LakersAustin Reaves defensive rebound95
19.3%
97
80.7%
Q4 - 2:32RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot95
22.9%
97
77.1%
Q4 - 2:46LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Dillon Brooks steals)95
33.1%
97
66.9%
Q4 - 3:08RocketsFred VanVleet makes two point pullup jump shot95
21.9%
97
78.1%
Q4 - 3:29LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot (Cam Reddish assists)93
17.3%
97
82.7%
Q4 - 3:52LakersLakers defensive rebound93
33.2%
94
66.8%
Q4 - 3:53RocketsDillon Brooks misses two point running layup93
35.9%
94
64.1%
Q4 - 3:58RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound93
42.5%
94
57.5%
Q4 - 4:00LakersAnthony Davis misses two point driving layup93
39.5%
94
60.5%
Q4 - 4:10RocketsJabari Smith Jr. personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)93
33.1%
94
66.9%
Q4 - 4:25RocketsDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Jalen Green assists)93
33.0%
94
67.0%
Q4 - 4:38LakersLeBron James makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot90
19.8%
94
80.2%
Q4 - 5:08RocketsDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Jalen Green assists)90
27.6%
92
72.4%
Q4 - 5:16RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound87
17.3%
92
82.7%
Q4 - 5:19LakersRui Hachimura misses three point jump shot87
15.8%
92
84.2%
Q4 - 5:25RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes two point tip dunk87
12.8%
92
87.2%
Q4 - 5:25RocketsJabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound85
9.9%
92
90.1%
Q4 - 5:29RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point driving layup85
7.9%
92
92.1%
Q4 - 5:43RocketsJalen Green defensive rebound85
9.9%
92
90.1%
Q4 - 5:48LakersD'Angelo Russell misses three point jump shot85
8.9%
92
91.1%
Q4 - 5:49LakersJaxson Hayes offensive rebound85
7.1%
92
92.9%
Q4 - 5:52LakersD'Angelo Russell misses two point driving layup85
8.9%
92
91.1%
Q4 - 6:06LakersCam Reddish defensive rebound85
8.9%
92
91.1%
Q4 - 6:10RocketsFred VanVleet misses two point pullup jump shot85
9.8%
92
90.2%
Q4 - 6:26LakersLeBron James makes two point driving dunk85
12.0%
92
88.0%
Q4 - 6:43LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound85
14.6%
90
85.4%
Q4 - 6:46RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point hook shot85
15.9%
90
84.1%
Q4 - 7:00LakersAnthony Davis turnover (offensive foul)85
19.3%
90
80.7%
Q4 - 7:00LakersAnthony Davis offensive foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)85
14.5%
90
85.5%
Q4 - 7:04LakersRui Hachimura offensive rebound85
16.3%
90
83.7%
Q4 - 7:06LakersD'Angelo Russell misses three point running jump shot85
19.5%
90
80.5%
Q4 - 7:14RocketsFred VanVleet turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Davis steals)85
16.2%
90
83.8%
Q4 - 7:41LakersRui Hachimura makes two point stepback jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)85
21.0%
90
79.0%
Q4 - 8:05RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point cutting layup (Fred VanVleet assists)85
25.8%
88
74.2%
Q4 - 8:15RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound83
21.6%
88
78.4%
Q4 - 8:17LakersTaurean Prince misses two point stepback jump shot83
20.3%
88
79.7%
Q4 - 8:28RocketsJabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)83
17.5%
88
82.5%
Q4 - 8:33LakersRui Hachimura defensive rebound83
17.5%
88
82.5%
Q4 - 8:37RocketsTari Eason misses three point jump shot83
18.7%
88
81.3%
Q4 - 8:52RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound83
21.6%
88
78.4%
Q4 - 8:55LakersChristian Wood misses three point jump shot83
20.3%
88
79.7%
Q4 - 9:18RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point cutting layup (Fred VanVleet assists)83
18.4%
88
81.6%
Q4 - 9:35LakersAustin Reaves makes two point driving layup81
15.5%
88
84.5%
Q4 - 9:47RocketsTari Eason makes two point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)81
18.3%
86
81.7%
Q4 - 9:55LakersAustin Reaves turnover (bad pass) (Dillon Brooks steals)79
15.5%
86
84.5%
Q4 - 10:05LakersAustin Reaves makes technical free throw 1 of 179
13.7%
86
86.3%
Q4 - 10:05Alperen Sengun technical foul (Defensive three second)79
14.3%
85
85.7%
Q4 - 10:22RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point jump shot79
16.4%
85
83.6%
Q4 - 10:41LakersAustin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 277
13.9%
85
86.1%
Q4 - 10:41LakersAustin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 277
14.2%
84
85.8%
Q4 - 10:41RocketsDillon Brooks shooting foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)77
14.6%
83
85.4%
Q4 - 10:52RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 277
16.3%
83
83.7%
Q4 - 10:52RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 276
15.7%
83
84.3%
Q4 - 10:52LakersChristian Wood shooting foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)75
15.1%
83
84.9%
Q4 - 11:03LakersAustin Reaves turnover (out of bounds bad pass)75
14.8%
83
85.2%
Q4 - 11:24LakersAustin Reaves defensive rebound75
12.3%
83
87.7%
Q4 - 11:28RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot75
13.0%
83
87.0%
Q4 - 11:50LakersLeBron James makes two point driving reverse layup (Austin Reaves assists)75
14.7%
83
85.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.75
17.5%
81
82.5%
Q3 - 0:00.1RocketsRockets offensive rebound75
21.7%
81
78.3%
Q3 - 0:00.4RocketsJalen Green misses three point pullup jump shot75
19.6%
81
80.4%
Q3 - 0:03.4LakersRui Hachimura turnover (out of bounds lost ball)75
21.7%
81
78.3%
Q3 - 0:05.5LakersCam Reddish defensive rebound75
18.7%
81
81.3%
Q3 - 0:07.7RocketsJalen Green misses two point driving reverse layup75
19.6%
81
80.4%
Q3 - 0:29.1LakersLeBron James makes two point driving hook shot75
21.7%
81
78.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0LakersLeBron James defensive rebound75
25.3%
79
74.7%
Q3 - 0:42.1RocketsJalen Green misses two point stepback jump shot75
26.4%
79
73.6%
Q3 - 1:06LakersCam Reddish makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)75
29.9%
79
70.1%
Q3 - 1:20LakersRui Hachimura defensive rebound75
37.9%
76
62.1%
Q3 - 1:23RocketsAaron Holiday misses three point jump shot75
39.3%
76
60.7%
Q3 - 1:42LakersRui Hachimura makes two point driving reverse layup (Austin Reaves assists)75
42.6%
76
57.4%
Q3 - 1:51RocketsJalen Green makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)75
47.0%
74
53.0%
Q3 - 2:04LakersRui Hachimura makes regular free throw 2 of 272
38.4%
74
61.6%
Q3 - 2:04LakersRui Hachimura misses regular free throw 1 of 272
39.2%
73
60.8%
Q3 - 2:04RocketsJeff Green shooting foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)72
36.0%
73
64.0%
Q3 - 2:26RocketsJeff Green makes regular free throw 1 of 172
38.1%
73
61.9%
Q3 - 2:26LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)71
37.3%
73
62.7%
Q3 - 2:42LakersChristian Wood turnover (offensive foul)69
30.5%
73
69.5%
Q3 - 2:42LakersChristian Wood offensive foul (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)69
26.7%
73
73.3%
Q3 - 2:49LakersChristian Wood defensive rebound69
26.7%
73
73.3%
Q3 - 2:54RocketsAaron Holiday misses three point jump shot69
27.8%
73
72.2%
Q3 - 2:59RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound69
30.5%
73
69.5%
Q3 - 3:02LakersCam Reddish misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot69
30.0%
73
70.0%
Q3 - 3:18LakersLakers offensive rebound69
27.2%
73
72.8%
Q3 - 3:19LakersRui Hachimura misses three point jump shot69
30.0%
73
70.0%
Q3 - 3:28LakersAustin Reaves defensive rebound69
27.2%
73
72.8%
Q3 - 3:32RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup jump shot69
28.4%
73
71.6%
Q3 - 3:44LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 169
31.2%
73
68.8%
Q3 - 3:44RocketsJae'Sean Tate shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)69
31.9%
72
68.1%
Q3 - 3:52RocketsFred VanVleet turnover (lost ball) (Rui Hachimura steals)69
38.2%
70
61.8%
Q3 - 4:08LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 269
42.8%
70
57.2%
Q3 - 4:08LakersAnthony Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 269
43.5%
69
56.5%
Q3 - 4:08RocketsDillon Brooks personal foul (Loose ball) (Anthony Davis draws the foul)69
40.4%
69
59.6%
Q3 - 4:08LakersLakers offensive rebound69
42.4%
69
57.6%
Q3 - 4:08LakersAustin Reaves misses two point stepback jump shot69
45.5%
69
54.5%
Q3 - 4:32RocketsDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)69
42.4%
69
57.6%
Q3 - 4:43LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 266
35.2%
69
64.8%
Q3 - 4:43LakersAnthony Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 266
35.9%
68
64.1%
Q3 - 4:43RocketsJeff Green shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)66
33.0%
68
67.0%
Q3 - 5:05RocketsJeff Green makes two point driving finger roll layup (Dillon Brooks assists)66
35.2%
68
64.8%
Q3 - 5:24LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 264
32.0%
68
68.0%
Q3 - 5:24LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 264
32.8%
67
67.2%
Q3 - 5:24RocketsFred VanVleet personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)64
33.7%
66
66.3%
Q3 - 5:27RocketsDillon Brooks turnover (bad pass) (D'Angelo Russell steals)64
35.2%
66
64.8%
Q3 - 5:36RocketsJeff Green defensive rebound64
39.1%
66
60.9%
Q3 - 5:37LakersAnthony Davis misses two point tip layup64
37.9%
66
62.1%
Q3 - 5:37LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound64
35.1%
66
64.9%
Q3 - 5:39LakersTaurean Prince misses two point driving layup64
37.9%
66
62.1%
Q3 - 5:40LakersTaurean Prince offensive rebound64
35.1%
66
64.9%
Q3 - 5:41LakersTaurean Prince misses three point jump shot64
37.9%
66
62.1%
Q3 - 6:04RocketsJeff Green makes two point cutting layup (Dillon Brooks assists)64
35.4%
66
64.6%
Q3 - 6:15LakersTaurean Prince turnover (lost ball) (Fred VanVleet steals)62
32.5%
66
67.5%
Q3 - 6:16LakersTaurean Prince offensive rebound62
28.9%
66
71.1%
Q3 - 6:20LakersTaurean Prince misses regular free throw 1 of 162
32.0%
66
68.0%
Q3 - 6:20RocketsAaron Holiday shooting foul (Taurean Prince draws the foul)62
29.8%
66
70.2%
Q3 - 6:38RocketsDillon Brooks turnover (out of bounds lost ball)62
35.4%
64
64.6%
Q3 - 6:46LakersLeBron James makes two point cutting layup (Anthony Davis assists)62
39.3%
64
60.7%
Q3 - 7:00RocketsJabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)62
42.4%
62
57.6%
Q3 - 7:00RocketsJabari Smith Jr. turnover (lost ball) (D'Angelo Russell steals)62
42.4%
62
57.6%
Q3 - 7:17LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 262
46.5%
62
53.5%
Q3 - 7:17LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 262
47.1%
61
52.9%
Q3 - 7:17RocketsJock Landale shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)62
47.9%
60
52.1%
Q3 - 7:28RocketsFred VanVleet makes two point pullup jump shot (Jock Landale assists)62
49.5%
60
50.5%
Q3 - 7:41LakersCam Reddish personal foul (Loose ball) (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)60
46.5%
60
53.5%
Q3 - 7:41LakersD'Angelo Russell turnover (bad pass)60
46.5%
60
53.5%
Q3 - 7:52RocketsDillon Brooks makes two point driving dunk60
42.4%
60
57.6%
Q3 - 7:58RocketsRockets offensive rebound58
39.5%
60
60.5%
Q3 - 7:58RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot58
36.7%
60
63.3%
Q3 - 8:13RocketsJalen Green defensive rebound58
39.5%
60
60.5%
Q3 - 8:16LakersCam Reddish misses three point running jump shot58
38.3%
60
61.7%
Q3 - 8:22RocketsJock Landale turnover (lost ball) (D'Angelo Russell steals)58
35.6%
60
64.4%
Q3 - 8:48LakersLeBron James makes two point fadeaway jump shot58
39.5%
60
60.5%
Q3 - 8:49LakersLeBron James offensive rebound58
42.2%
58
57.8%
Q3 - 8:52LakersLeBron James misses three point fadeaway jump shot58
45.0%
58
55.0%
Q3 - 9:04LakersLakers offensive rebound58
42.2%
58
57.8%
Q3 - 9:05LakersTaurean Prince misses three point running jump shot58
44.9%
58
55.1%
Q3 - 9:09RocketsJalen Green turnover (bad pass) (Cam Reddish steals)58
42.2%
58
57.8%
Q3 - 9:18LakersLeBron James makes two point running layup (D'Angelo Russell assists)58
46.1%
58
53.9%
Q3 - 9:19LakersD'Angelo Russell defensive rebound58
48.8%
56
51.2%
Q3 - 9:21RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot58
50.0%
56
50.0%
Q3 - 9:37LakersD'Angelo Russell misses technical free throw 1 of 158
52.8%
56
47.2%
Q3 - 9:37RocketsIme Udoka technical foul58
50.3%
56
49.7%
Q3 - 9:37LakersTaurean Prince turnover (traveling)58
55.3%
56
44.7%
Q3 - 9:38LakersLeBron James defensive rebound58
48.8%
56
51.2%
Q3 - 9:42RocketsJalen Green misses three point jump shot58
50.0%
56
50.0%
Q3 - 9:44RocketsJock Landale offensive rebound58
52.8%
56
47.2%
Q3 - 9:46RocketsDillon Brooks misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot58
50.0%
56
50.0%
Q3 - 9:59LakersAnthony Davis makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (D'Angelo Russell assists)58
52.8%
56
47.2%
Q3 - 10:10RocketsAlperen Sengun personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)58
55.0%
54
45.0%
Q3 - 10:14LakersD'Angelo Russell makes technical free throw 1 of 158
55.0%
54
45.0%
Q3 - 10:14Fred VanVleet technical foul (Defensive three second)58
55.8%
53
44.2%
Q3 - 10:28RocketsDillon Brooks makes two point hook shot (Jalen Green assists)58
58.2%
53
41.8%
Q3 - 10:42LakersAnthony Davis makes two point turnaround hook shot (LeBron James assists)56
55.7%
53
44.3%
Q3 - 10:48RocketsFred VanVleet makes technical free throw 1 of 156
58.2%
51
41.8%
Q3 - 10:48LakersLeBron James technical foul55
57.5%
51
42.5%
Q3 - 10:48RocketsDillon Brooks personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)55
55.0%
51
45.0%
Q3 - 10:59RocketsJalen Green turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Davis steals)55
55.0%
51
45.0%
Q3 - 11:04RocketsJalen Green defensive rebound55
58.1%
51
41.9%
Q3 - 11:08LakersD'Angelo Russell misses three point running jump shot55
57.1%
51
42.9%
Q3 - 11:12RocketsAlperen Sengun turnover (lost ball) (LeBron James steals)55
54.8%
51
45.2%
Q3 - 11:33LakersAnthony Davis makes two point turnaround hook shot (Cam Reddish assists)55
58.2%
51
41.8%
Q3 - 11:50RocketsAlperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)55
61.1%
49
38.9%
Q3 - 11:50RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive foul (Charge) (D'Angelo Russell draws the foul)55
64.3%
49
35.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.55
64.3%
49
35.7%
Q2 - 0:00.2LakersLakers offensive rebound55
61.1%
49
38.9%
Q2 - 0:00.8LakersRui Hachimura misses three point jump shot55
62.8%
49
37.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0RocketsJalen Green makes two point layup (Alperen Sengun assists)55
61.1%
49
38.9%
Q2 - 0:07.6RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive rebound53
57.6%
49
42.4%
Q2 - 0:10.0RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot53
55.8%
49
44.2%
Q2 - 0:31.5LakersAustin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 153
57.6%
49
42.4%
Q2 - 0:31.5RocketsJalen Green shooting foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)53
58.0%
48
42.0%
Q2 - 0:48.3RocketsDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)53
64.0%
46
36.0%
Q2 - 0:57.8LakersCam Reddish turnover (lost ball) (Dillon Brooks steals)50
57.6%
46
42.4%
Q2 - 1:13RocketsJae'Sean Tate makes two point bank hook shot (Alperen Sengun assists)50
55.0%
46
45.0%
Q2 - 1:21RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound48
51.4%
46
48.6%
Q2 - 1:24LakersCam Reddish misses three point running jump shot48
50.6%
46
49.4%
Q2 - 1:28LakersAustin Reaves defensive rebound48
48.9%
46
51.1%
Q2 - 1:33RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot48
49.7%
46
50.3%
Q2 - 1:40RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound48
51.4%
46
48.6%
Q2 - 1:44LakersAustin Reaves misses three point jump shot48
50.6%
46
49.4%
Q2 - 1:48RocketsAaron Holiday personal foul (Cam Reddish draws the foul)48
48.9%
46
51.1%
Q2 - 2:06RocketsAlperen Sengun makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)48
48.0%
46
52.0%
Q2 - 2:17LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup (Austin Reaves assists)45
42.6%
46
57.4%
Q2 - 2:27LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound45
45.2%
44
54.8%
Q2 - 2:31RocketsJae'Sean Tate misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot45
46.2%
44
53.8%
Q2 - 2:45LakersLeBron James makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot45
48.4%
44
51.6%
Q2 - 3:00RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point jump shot (Jae'Sean Tate assists)45
51.1%
42
48.9%
Q2 - 3:17LakersAnthony Davis turnover (offensive foul)43
48.3%
42
51.7%
Q2 - 3:17LakersAnthony Davis offensive foul (Charge) (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)43
44.9%
42
55.1%
Q2 - 3:36RocketsAlperen Sengun turnover (bad pass) (Rui Hachimura steals)43
44.9%
42
55.1%
Q2 - 3:48LakersRui Hachimura makes regular free throw 2 of 243
48.3%
42
51.7%
Q2 - 3:48LakersRui Hachimura makes regular free throw 1 of 243
48.8%
41
51.2%
Q2 - 3:48RocketsAlperen Sengun shooting foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)43
49.4%
40
50.6%
Q2 - 3:56LakersCam Reddish defensive rebound43
50.6%
40
49.4%
Q2 - 3:58RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point running pullup jump shot43
51.6%
40
48.4%
Q2 - 4:01LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Jae'Sean Tate steals)43
53.5%
40
46.5%
Q2 - 4:04RocketsJalen Green turnover (lost ball) (LeBron James steals)43
50.4%
40
49.6%
Q2 - 4:18LakersLakers turnover (shot clock violation)43
53.5%
40
46.5%
Q2 - 4:46RocketsJae'Sean Tate makes two point running dunk (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)43
50.5%
40
49.5%
Q2 - 4:49LakersD'Angelo Russell turnover (bad pass) (Jabari Smith Jr. steals)41
48.0%
40
52.0%
Q2 - 5:05LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound41
44.6%
40
55.4%
Q2 - 5:06RocketsAnthony Davis blocks Jabari Smith Jr.'s two point floating jump shot41
45.7%
40
54.3%
Q2 - 5:11LakersD'Angelo Russell personal foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)41
48.1%
40
51.9%
Q2 - 5:17RocketsFred VanVleet makes technical free throw 1 of 141
48.1%
40
51.9%
Q2 - 5:17Rui Hachimura technical foul (Defensive three second)40
47.4%
40
52.6%
Q2 - 5:33LakersAnthony Davis makes two point turnaround hook shot (Cam Reddish assists)40
45.3%
40
54.7%
Q2 - 5:37RocketsJabari Smith Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Cam Reddish steals)40
47.4%
38
52.6%
Q2 - 5:41LakersAnthony Davis makes two point driving hook shot40
50.8%
38
49.2%
Q2 - 5:58LakersLakers offensive rebound40
52.8%
36
47.2%
Q2 - 5:58LakersD'Angelo Russell misses two point running layup40
55.1%
36
44.9%
Q2 - 6:03LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound40
52.6%
36
47.4%
Q2 - 6:05RocketsFred VanVleet misses two point driving layup40
53.6%
36
46.4%
Q2 - 6:30LakersAnthony Davis turnover (offensive foul)40
55.9%
36
44.1%
Q2 - 6:30LakersAnthony Davis offensive foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)40
52.6%
36
47.4%
Q2 - 6:41RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)40
52.6%
36
47.4%
Q2 - 6:53LakersChristian Wood personal foul (Loose ball) (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)37
47.9%
36
52.1%
Q2 - 6:53RocketsRockets defensive rebound37
47.9%
36
52.1%
Q2 - 6:54LakersChristian Wood misses two point pullup jump shot37
46.9%
36
53.1%
Q2 - 7:22RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes two point layup (Alperen Sengun assists)37
44.9%
36
55.1%
Q2 - 7:30RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive rebound35
42.5%
36
57.5%
Q2 - 7:34RocketsJalen Green misses two point fadeaway jump shot35
40.6%
36
59.4%
Q2 - 7:45RocketsJalen Green defensive rebound35
42.5%
36
57.5%
Q2 - 7:50LakersChristian Wood misses three point jump shot35
41.7%
36
58.3%
Q2 - 7:58LakersLeBron James defensive rebound35
39.8%
36
60.2%
Q2 - 8:01RocketsDillon Brooks misses two point fadeaway jump shot35
40.5%
36
59.5%
Q2 - 8:15LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 235
42.4%
36
57.6%
Q2 - 8:15LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 235
43.0%
35
57.0%
Q2 - 8:15RocketsTari Eason shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)35
43.7%
34
56.3%
Q2 - 8:18RocketsFred VanVleet turnover (bad pass) (LeBron James steals)35
44.7%
34
55.3%
Q2 - 8:33LakersLeBron James makes three point stepback jump shot35
47.5%
34
52.5%
Q2 - 8:58RocketsDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)35
52.4%
31
47.6%
Q2 - 9:12LakersAustin Reaves makes two point pullup jump shot32
47.1%
31
52.9%
Q2 - 9:30RocketsJeff Green makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)32
49.6%
29
50.4%
Q2 - 9:40LakersCam Reddish personal foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)30
47.1%
29
52.9%
Q2 - 9:45RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound30
47.1%
29
52.9%
Q2 - 9:46LakersTari Eason blocks Rui Hachimura's two point driving layup30
46.3%
29
53.7%
Q2 - 9:50LakersRui Hachimura defensive rebound30
44.5%
29
55.5%
Q2 - 9:53RocketsDillon Brooks misses two point driving floating jump shot30
45.3%
29
54.7%
Q2 - 10:09LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 130
47.2%
29
52.8%
Q2 - 10:09RocketsDillon Brooks shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)30
47.7%
28
52.3%
Q2 - 10:21RocketsJeff Green makes two point cutting layup (Fred VanVleet assists)30
52.0%
26
48.0%
Q2 - 10:38LakersRui Hachimura makes two point running layup (LeBron James assists)28
49.6%
26
50.4%
Q2 - 10:41LakersAustin Reaves defensive rebound28
52.0%
24
48.0%
Q2 - 10:45RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point stepback jump shot28
52.8%
24
47.2%
Q2 - 10:58LakersCam Reddish makes two point reverse layup (LeBron James assists)28
54.6%
24
45.4%
Q2 - 11:20RocketsJabari Smith Jr. turnover (out of bounds step)28
56.4%
22
43.6%
Q2 - 11:30LakersRui Hachimura makes two point layup (LeBron James assists)28
58.8%
22
41.2%
Q2 - 11:41LakersChristian Wood defensive rebound28
61.1%
20
38.9%
Q2 - 11:43RocketsDillon Brooks misses two point jump shot28
61.8%
20
38.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
63.4%
20
36.6%
Q1 - 0:00.1LakersLakers offensive rebound28
60.5%
20
39.5%
Q1 - 0:00.5LakersLeBron James misses two point driving layup28
62.0%
20
38.0%
Q1 - 0:05.9RocketsAlperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)28
60.5%
20
39.5%
Q1 - 0:05.9RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive foul (Taurean Prince draws the foul)28
62.7%
20
37.3%
Q1 - 0:13.3RocketsJalen Green misses technical free throw 1 of 128
62.7%
20
37.3%
Q1 - 0:13.3Christian Wood technical foul (Defensive three second)28
64.4%
20
35.6%
Q1 - 0:29.9LakersAustin Reaves makes three point jump shot (Rui Hachimura assists)28
62.7%
20
37.3%
Q1 - 0:37.1RocketsJalen Green turnover (lost ball) (Cam Reddish steals)28
67.1%
17
32.9%
Q1 - 0:47.7RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound28
69.1%
17
30.9%
Q1 - 0:50.9LakersCam Reddish misses three point jump shot28
68.5%
17
31.5%
Q1 - 0:57.1RocketsAaron Holiday personal foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)28
67.1%
17
32.9%
Q1 - 1:11RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 2 of 228
66.9%
17
33.1%
Q1 - 1:11RocketsJalen Green misses regular free throw 1 of 227
66.5%
17
33.5%
Q1 - 1:11LakersJaxson Hayes shooting foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)27
68.1%
17
31.9%
Q1 - 1:19RocketsJalen Green defensive rebound27
66.8%
17
33.2%
Q1 - 1:21LakersCam Reddish misses three point jump shot27
66.2%
17
33.8%
Q1 - 1:31LakersJaxson Hayes defensive rebound27
64.8%
17
35.2%
Q1 - 1:33RocketsJalen Green misses two point driving layup27
65.4%
17
34.6%
Q1 - 1:44LakersRui Hachimura turnover (traveling)27
66.8%
17
33.2%
Q1 - 2:07RocketsAaron Holiday turnover (traveling)27
63.9%
17
36.1%
Q1 - 2:14RocketsJeff Green defensive rebound27
66.4%
17
33.6%
Q1 - 2:16LakersRui Hachimura misses two point jump shot27
65.7%
17
34.3%
Q1 - 2:40RocketsJeff Green makes regular free throw 2 of 227
64.0%
17
36.0%
Q1 - 2:40RocketsJeff Green makes regular free throw 1 of 226
63.6%
17
36.4%
Q1 - 2:40LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)25
63.2%
17
36.8%
Q1 - 2:51LakersAnthony Davis makes two point putback layup25
62.2%
17
37.8%
Q1 - 2:51LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound25
64.0%
15
36.0%
Q1 - 2:55LakersChristian Wood misses three point jump shot25
65.7%
15
34.3%
Q1 - 3:13LakersLakers defensive rebound25
63.4%
15
36.6%
Q1 - 3:15RocketsAaron Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot25
64.2%
15
35.8%
Q1 - 3:20RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound25
65.9%
15
34.1%
Q1 - 3:25LakersRui Hachimura misses three point jump shot25
65.2%
15
34.8%
Q1 - 3:30RocketsAaron Holiday personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)25
63.4%
15
36.6%
Q1 - 3:42LakersD'Angelo Russell defensive rebound25
63.4%
15
36.6%
Q1 - 3:44RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup jump shot25
64.2%
15
35.8%
Q1 - 3:51RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound25
65.9%
15
34.1%
Q1 - 3:54LakersD'Angelo Russell misses two point stepback jump shot25
65.2%
15
34.8%
Q1 - 4:15RocketsDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Jae'Sean Tate assists)25
62.4%
15
37.6%
Q1 - 4:20RocketsJae'Sean Tate offensive rebound22
58.8%
15
41.2%
Q1 - 4:20RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point running pullup jump shot22
57.1%
15
42.9%
Q1 - 4:27RocketsJae'Sean Tate defensive rebound22
58.8%
15
41.2%
Q1 - 4:28LakersTaurean Prince misses two point putback layup22
58.0%
15
42.0%
Q1 - 4:29LakersTaurean Prince offensive rebound22
56.3%
15
43.7%
Q1 - 4:30LakersTaurean Prince misses two point driving layup22
58.0%
15
42.0%
Q1 - 4:46RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point pullup jump shot22
56.4%
15
43.6%
Q1 - 4:52LakersAnthony Davis makes two point tip layup19
52.5%
15
47.5%
Q1 - 4:52LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound19
54.3%
13
45.7%
Q1 - 4:55LakersTaurean Prince misses two point driving reverse layup19
56.0%
13
44.0%
Q1 - 5:08RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point turnaround jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)19
53.9%
13
46.1%
Q1 - 5:15RocketsJae'Sean Tate defensive rebound17
52.1%
13
47.9%
Q1 - 5:19LakersTaurean Prince misses three point stepback jump shot17
51.4%
13
48.6%
Q1 - 5:39RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)17
49.8%
13
50.2%
Q1 - 5:48RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound14
46.0%
13
54.0%
Q1 - 5:51LakersTaurean Prince misses three point jump shot14
45.3%
13
54.7%
Q1 - 6:02LakersTaurean Prince defensive rebound14
43.7%
13
56.3%
Q1 - 6:05RocketsDillon Brooks misses two point tip layup14
44.3%
13
55.7%
Q1 - 6:05RocketsDillon Brooks offensive rebound14
45.7%
13
54.3%
Q1 - 6:06RocketsDillon Brooks misses two point running layup14
44.3%
13
55.7%
Q1 - 6:08LakersD'Angelo Russell turnover (bad pass) (Dillon Brooks steals)14
45.7%
13
54.3%
Q1 - 6:22RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point driving floating jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)14
43.7%
13
56.3%
Q1 - 6:25RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound12
41.8%
13
58.2%
Q1 - 6:30LakersCam Reddish misses two point running layup12
41.1%
13
58.9%
Q1 - 6:35LakersD'Angelo Russell defensive rebound12
39.8%
13
60.2%
Q1 - 6:38RocketsJalen Green misses three point stepback jump shot12
40.4%
13
59.6%
Q1 - 6:55LakersCam Reddish makes two point pullup jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)12
41.8%
13
58.2%
Q1 - 7:01LakersLeBron James defensive rebound12
43.5%
11
56.5%
Q1 - 7:05RocketsAlperen Sengun misses three point jump shot12
44.2%
11
55.8%
Q1 - 7:13RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound12
45.8%
11
54.2%
Q1 - 7:14LakersJalen Green blocks Taurean Prince's two point fadeaway jump shot12
45.1%
11
54.9%
Q1 - 7:20LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound12
43.5%
11
56.5%
Q1 - 7:22RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point fadeaway jump shot12
44.2%
11
55.8%
Q1 - 7:33RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound12
45.8%
11
54.2%
Q1 - 7:36LakersLeBron James misses two point pullup jump shot12
45.1%
11
54.9%
Q1 - 7:56RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes three point running pullup jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)12
43.5%
11
56.5%
Q1 - 8:01RocketsFred VanVleet defensive rebound9
40.2%
11
59.8%
Q1 - 8:02LakersAlperen Sengun blocks Anthony Davis's two point layup9
39.5%
11
60.5%
Q1 - 8:03LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound9
38.0%
11
62.0%
Q1 - 8:07LakersD'Angelo Russell misses three point pullup jump shot9
39.5%
11
60.5%
Q1 - 8:22RocketsJalen Green makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)9
38.0%
11
62.0%
Q1 - 8:29RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound6
34.7%
11
65.3%
Q1 - 8:32LakersAnthony Davis misses two point turnaround jump shot6
34.1%
11
65.9%
Q1 - 8:52RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Fred VanVleet assists)6
32.6%
11
67.4%
Q1 - 9:06LakersLeBron James makes two point jump shot4
31.4%
11
68.6%
Q1 - 9:14LakersD'Angelo Russell defensive rebound4
32.9%
9
67.1%
Q1 - 9:16RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot4
33.4%
9
66.6%
Q1 - 9:36LakersAnthony Davis makes two point alley-oop dunk (Taurean Prince assists)4
34.7%
9
65.3%
Q1 - 9:47RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes two point layup (Fred VanVleet assists)4
36.3%
7
63.7%
Q1 - 10:04RocketsJalen Green defensive rebound2
34.8%
7
65.2%
Q1 - 10:07LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot2
34.2%
7
65.8%
Q1 - 10:18RocketsDillon Brooks makes two point driving layup (Fred VanVleet assists)2
33.0%
7
67.0%
Q1 - 10:32LakersD'Angelo Russell makes three point pullup jump shot (LeBron James assists)0
31.5%
7
68.5%
Q1 - 10:39LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound0
34.6%
4
65.4%
Q1 - 10:41RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot0
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 10:58LakersAnthony Davis makes two point jump shot (LeBron James assists)0
36.5%
4
63.5%
Q1 - 11:15LakersD'Angelo Russell defensive rebound0
38.1%
2
61.9%
Q1 - 11:19RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot0
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 11:44LakersAnthony Davis makes two point cutting dunk (Taurean Prince assists)0
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 12:00Alperen Sengun vs. Anthony Davis (LeBron James gains possession)0
41.4%
0
58.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.17 58.4%
LAL
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
18
24
75%
LAL
19
27
70%
Midrange
HOU
9
23
39%
LAL
14
27
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
14
21.0
37
38%
57%
LAL
6
9.0
29
21%
31%
Free Throws
HOU
8
10
80%
LAL
21
29
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Brooks2457%12.0 / 21
A. Sengun2372%11.5 / 16
F. VanVleet1554%7.5 / 14
J. Smith1464%7.0 / 11
J. Green13108%6.5 / 6
J. Green941%4.5 / 11
J. Tate467%2.0 / 3
T. Eason250%1.0 / 2
A. Holiday0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3780%18.5 / 23
A. Davis2775%13.5 / 18
A. Reaves1794%8.5 / 9
R. Hachimura1146%5.5 / 12
C. Reddish739%3.5 / 9
D. Russell425%2.0 / 8
T. Prince29%1.0 / 11
C. Wood0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
80
+9
-18
89
LAL
81
+16
-17
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.17 58.4%
LAL
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.9
115.6
HOU 106.1
LAL 107.1 +1.0
Pace
99.5
101.2
HOU 99.7 +3.4
LAL 96.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
14.3
HOU 14.4 +0.5
LAL 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
56.6%
HOU 57.1% +6.5%
LAL 50.6%
TO %
12.1%
13.1%
HOU 16.9%
LAL 15.8% +1.1%
ORB %
25.1%
20.0%
HOU 15.8%
LAL 26.3% +10.5%
FTrt
25.7
27.6
HOU 11.9
LAL 34.9 +23.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
65.4%
HOU 85.4% +18.7%
LAL 66.7%
STL %
7.7%
7.2%
HOU 7.1%
LAL 13.3% +6.2%
BLK %
8.7%
9.9%
HOU 5.6% +3.5%
LAL 2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.1%
58.8%
HOU 58.4% +4.3%
LAL 54.1%
Rim FG%
60.6%
68.2%
HOU 75.0% +4.6%
LAL 70.4%
Mid FG%
41.3%
40.5%
HOU 39.1%
LAL 51.9% +12.8%
3P %
35.2%
37.7%
HOU 37.8% +17.1%
LAL 20.7%
FT %
77.3%
78.2%
HOU 80.0% +7.6%
LAL 72.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
37.6%
HOU 28.6%
LAL 32.5% +4.0%
Mid Att. %
23.8%
26.6%
HOU 27.4% +5.1%
LAL 32.5%
3P Att. %
39.7%
35.8%
HOU 44.0% +9.1%
LAL 34.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOULAL
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points104105
Rebounds3442
Assists3526
Steals713
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)17 (1)
Fouls2513
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)32 (2)
Field Goals41-8439-83
At-the-Rim FG18-2419-27
Midrange FG9-2314-27
2-Point FG27-4733-54
3-Point FG14-376-29
Free Throws8-1021-29
Fast Break Pts56
2nd Chance Pts119
Points in Paint4858
Pts off Turnovers1824
Bench Points1928
Biggest Lead118

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#9 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 28
40.5
24
57%
1
2
4
0
2
5
1
0
0-0
-
3-10
30%
6-11
55%
#5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30
40.0
15
54%
1
16
1
0
3
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
3-10
30%
#10 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 21
31.6
14
64%
5
1
1
0
3
4
1
4
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
#4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22
31.4
9
41%
6
3
0
1
4
1
0
6
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
2-5
40%
#28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 21
30.6
23
72%
10
5
0
1
4
4
2
8
0-0
-
10-14
71%
1-2
50%
#17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23
17.0
2
50%
5
0
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28
16.2
4
67%
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27
15.1
0
0%
0
5
0
0
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37
13.9
13
108%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
#2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28
3.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#7 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 19
DNP – Coach's Decision
#00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33
DNP – Coach's Decision
#14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 35
DNP – Coach's Decision
#1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
#3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Patellar Tendon; Repair
#19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
58%
34
35
7
3
18
25
6
28
8-10
80%
27-47
57%
14-37
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.