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All Games Saturday, October 28, 2023
FinalWin Prob.pScore
23
Heat
27%105
90
5
Timberwolves
73%114
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
91.89898.8
MIN logo MIN
107.199100.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

TimberwolvesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

TimberwolvesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.90
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:05.2HeatDru Smith makes two point layup (Nikola Jovic assists)90
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:13.9HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound88
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:15.6TimberwolvesJordan McLaughlin misses two point driving layup88
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0HeatCole Swider makes three point running jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)88
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:33.6HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound85
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:36.4TimberwolvesOrlando Robinson blocks Leonard Miller's two point cutting layup85
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:56.3HeatCole Swider makes two point running dunk85
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.2HeatCole Swider defensive rebound83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01TimberwolvesJosh Minott misses three point jump shot83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14TimberwolvesLeonard Miller defensive rebound83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point turnaround hook shot83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23HeatHeat offensive rebound83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26HeatCole Swider misses three point jump shot83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34HeatHeat offensive rebound83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34HeatJosh Minott blocks R.J. Hampton's two point driving layup83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43TimberwolvesJosh Minott misses two point floating jump shot83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56HeatDru Smith misses two point pullup jump shot83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02TimberwolvesTimberwolves turnover (8-second violation)83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point jump shot83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes three point running pullup jump shot (Mike Conley assists)83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Naz Reid steals)83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes two point bank jump shot83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09HeatDru Smith makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving floating jump shot80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes three point pullup jump shot (Rudy Gobert assists)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33TimberwolvesRudy Gobert offensive rebound80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49TimberwolvesRudy Gobert defensive rebound80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40TimberwolvesMike Conley misses three point jump shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59TimberwolvesRudy Gobert defensive rebound80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19TimberwolvesMike Conley makes three point running jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)80
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 5:25HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Rudy Gobert steals)80
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 5:36TimberwolvesRudy Gobert makes two point tip dunk80
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 5:37TimberwolvesRudy Gobert offensive rebound80
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 5:37TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses two point driving layup80
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 5:45HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Mike Conley draws the foul)80
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 6:00HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 280
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 6:00HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 279
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 6:00TimberwolvesNaz Reid shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)79
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 6:21TimberwolvesRudy Gobert makes two point cutting layup (Anthony Edwards assists)79
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 6:35TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound79
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 6:37HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot79
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 6:52TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes three point jump shot (Mike Conley assists)79
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 7:06TimberwolvesMike Conley defensive rebound79
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q4 - 7:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot79
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 7:34TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes three point jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)79
5.5%
88
94.5%
Q4 - 7:42TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound79
8.4%
85
91.6%
Q4 - 7:45HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot79
9.2%
85
90.8%
Q4 - 7:49TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)79
11.2%
85
88.8%
Q4 - 7:57TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker turnover (offensive foul)79
11.2%
85
88.8%
Q4 - 7:57TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker offensive foul (Dru Smith draws the foul)79
8.4%
85
91.6%
Q4 - 8:08TimberwolvesTimberwolves defensive rebound79
9.2%
85
90.8%
Q4 - 8:09HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot79
9.9%
85
90.1%
Q4 - 8:17TimberwolvesRudy Gobert personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)79
11.7%
85
88.3%
Q4 - 8:25TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 179
11.6%
85
88.4%
Q4 - 8:25HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Naz Reid draws the foul)79
12.3%
84
87.7%
Q4 - 8:41TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound79
17.4%
82
82.6%
Q4 - 8:41HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot79
18.6%
82
81.4%
Q4 - 8:50HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound79
21.6%
82
78.4%
Q4 - 8:55TimberwolvesMike Conley misses three point pullup jump shot79
20.2%
82
79.8%
Q4 - 9:03TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound79
17.6%
82
82.4%
Q4 - 9:05HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot79
18.8%
82
81.2%
Q4 - 9:17TimberwolvesTroy Brown Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)79
21.7%
82
78.3%
Q4 - 9:34HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 279
17.6%
82
82.4%
Q4 - 9:34HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 278
17.3%
82
82.7%
Q4 - 9:34TimberwolvesNaz Reid shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)77
17.0%
82
83.0%
Q4 - 9:37TimberwolvesShake Milton turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Cain steals)77
14.8%
82
85.2%
Q4 - 9:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)77
11.8%
82
88.2%
Q4 - 10:11HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound75
10.7%
82
89.3%
Q4 - 10:13HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot75
9.2%
82
90.8%
Q4 - 10:17HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound75
10.7%
82
89.3%
Q4 - 10:20TimberwolvesShake Milton misses three point jump shot75
10.0%
82
90.0%
Q4 - 10:42HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup75
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q4 - 11:00TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes two point turnaround bank hook shot73
7.1%
82
92.9%
Q4 - 11:10TimberwolvesTroy Brown Jr. defensive rebound73
9.3%
80
90.7%
Q4 - 11:13HeatJamal Cain misses three point jump shot73
9.8%
80
90.2%
Q4 - 11:30HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound73
11.1%
80
88.9%
Q4 - 11:34TimberwolvesTroy Brown Jr. misses three point jump shot73
10.5%
80
89.5%
Q4 - 11:47TimberwolvesShake Milton defensive rebound73
9.2%
80
90.8%
Q4 - 11:47HeatJamal Cain misses two point tip layup73
9.8%
80
90.2%
Q4 - 11:48HeatJamal Cain offensive rebound73
11.1%
80
88.9%
Q4 - 11:48HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot73
9.8%
80
90.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.73
11.1%
80
88.9%
Q3 - 0:02.4TimberwolvesTimberwolves offensive rebound73
9.8%
80
90.2%
Q3 - 0:02.4TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns misses three point jump shot73
11.0%
80
89.0%
Q3 - 0:20.0HeatThomas Bryant turnover (traveling)73
9.8%
80
90.2%
Q3 - 0:32.9TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns makes two point driving floating jump shot73
11.6%
80
88.4%
Q3 - 0:45.1TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound73
13.8%
78
86.2%
Q3 - 0:48.2HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot73
14.5%
78
85.5%
Q3 - 0:56.3TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns makes two point driving dunk (Kyle Anderson assists)73
16.2%
78
83.8%
Q3 - 1:10TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound73
19.3%
76
80.7%
Q3 - 1:12HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving reverse layup73
20.2%
76
79.8%
Q3 - 1:29TimberwolvesKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 2 of 273
22.5%
76
77.5%
Q3 - 1:29TimberwolvesKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 1 of 273
23.2%
75
76.8%
Q3 - 1:29HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)73
24.2%
74
75.8%
Q3 - 1:47HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 273
25.7%
74
74.3%
Q3 - 1:47HeatThomas Bryant misses regular free throw 1 of 272
25.0%
74
75.0%
Q3 - 1:47TimberwolvesNaz Reid shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)72
27.7%
74
72.3%
Q3 - 2:09TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes two point hook shot (Anthony Edwards assists)72
25.8%
74
74.2%
Q3 - 2:23TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound72
29.0%
72
71.0%
Q3 - 2:25HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot72
30.2%
72
69.8%
Q3 - 2:29HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound72
33.0%
72
67.0%
Q3 - 2:32TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns misses two point turnaround jump shot72
31.8%
72
68.2%
Q3 - 2:47HeatThomas Bryant makes two point tip dunk72
29.0%
72
71.0%
Q3 - 2:48HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound70
25.8%
72
74.2%
Q3 - 2:49HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot70
23.4%
72
76.6%
Q3 - 3:04TimberwolvesKyle Anderson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)70
26.1%
72
73.9%
Q3 - 3:09HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Anderson steals)70
22.5%
72
77.5%
Q3 - 3:31TimberwolvesKyle Anderson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Shake Milton assists)70
26.1%
72
73.9%
Q3 - 3:43HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds lost ball)70
28.8%
70
71.2%
Q3 - 3:46HeatJamal Cain offensive rebound70
33.0%
70
67.0%
Q3 - 3:50HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot70
30.1%
70
69.9%
Q3 - 3:59TimberwolvesMike Conley personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)70
33.0%
70
67.0%
Q3 - 4:07TimberwolvesRudy Gobert makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Anthony Edwards assists)70
32.3%
70
67.7%
Q3 - 4:11HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Naz Reid steals)70
35.5%
68
64.5%
Q3 - 4:31HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound70
39.8%
68
60.2%
Q3 - 4:33TimberwolvesNaz Reid misses three point jump shot70
38.4%
68
61.6%
Q3 - 4:47HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)70
35.5%
68
64.5%
Q3 - 4:56HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound67
29.0%
68
71.0%
Q3 - 5:00TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses two point floating jump shot67
27.8%
68
72.2%
Q3 - 5:14TimberwolvesRudy Gobert defensive rebound67
25.3%
68
74.7%
Q3 - 5:16HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot67
26.3%
68
73.7%
Q3 - 5:31TimberwolvesRudy Gobert turnover (traveling)67
28.6%
68
71.4%
Q3 - 5:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot67
25.3%
68
74.7%
Q3 - 5:59TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)65
22.8%
68
77.2%
Q3 - 6:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)65
28.0%
65
72.0%
Q3 - 6:31TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point stepback jump shot62
22.7%
65
77.3%
Q3 - 6:57HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)62
25.1%
63
74.9%
Q3 - 7:18TimberwolvesMike Conley makes two point driving layup59
20.4%
63
79.6%
Q3 - 7:34HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 259
22.4%
61
77.6%
Q3 - 7:34HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 258
22.0%
61
78.0%
Q3 - 7:34TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)58
24.0%
61
76.0%
Q3 - 7:49TimberwolvesRudy Gobert makes two point driving dunk (Mike Conley assists)58
22.8%
61
77.2%
Q3 - 8:11HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)58
24.6%
59
75.4%
Q3 - 8:21HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound55
20.3%
59
79.7%
Q3 - 8:24TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot55
19.5%
59
80.5%
Q3 - 8:28TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound55
17.7%
59
82.3%
Q3 - 8:31HeatNickeil Alexander-Walker blocks Tyler Herro's two point running layup55
18.5%
59
81.5%
Q3 - 8:37HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound55
20.3%
59
79.7%
Q3 - 8:40TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses two point driving layup55
19.5%
59
80.5%
Q3 - 8:52TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound55
17.7%
59
82.3%
Q3 - 8:54HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot55
18.5%
59
81.5%
Q3 - 9:07TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns turnover (offensive foul)55
20.2%
59
79.8%
Q3 - 9:07TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)55
17.8%
59
82.2%
Q3 - 9:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Nickeil Alexander-Walker steals)55
17.8%
59
82.2%
Q3 - 9:13HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound55
20.2%
59
79.8%
Q3 - 9:18TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses three point jump shot55
19.4%
59
80.6%
Q3 - 9:32TimberwolvesMike Conley offensive rebound55
17.8%
59
82.2%
Q3 - 9:35TimberwolvesRudy Gobert misses two point cutting layup55
19.4%
59
80.6%
Q3 - 9:54HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)55
17.7%
59
82.3%
Q3 - 10:08TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker turnover (traveling)55
20.2%
59
79.8%
Q3 - 10:28HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)55
17.8%
59
82.2%
Q3 - 10:41HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound55
20.2%
59
79.8%
Q3 - 10:43TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns misses regular free throw 2 of 255
19.8%
59
80.2%
Q3 - 10:43TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns makes regular free throw 1 of 255
18.4%
59
81.6%
Q3 - 10:43HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Karl-Anthony Towns draws the foul)55
18.8%
58
81.2%
Q3 - 10:50TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound55
19.8%
58
80.2%
Q3 - 10:53HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot55
20.5%
58
79.5%
Q3 - 10:56HeatHeat offensive rebound55
22.4%
58
77.6%
Q3 - 10:57HeatNickeil Alexander-Walker blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot55
20.5%
58
79.5%
Q3 - 11:03TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)55
21.9%
58
78.1%
Q3 - 11:20TimberwolvesMike Conley makes three point jump shot (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)55
21.9%
58
78.1%
Q3 - 11:41HeatNikola Jovic makes two point running layup55
26.5%
55
73.5%
Q3 - 11:46TimberwolvesRudy Gobert turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jovic steals)53
24.2%
55
75.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.53
21.8%
55
78.2%
Q2 - 0:00.5HeatJamal Cain offensive rebound53
23.6%
55
76.4%
Q2 - 0:03.8HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot53
22.4%
55
77.6%
Q2 - 0:23.6HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound53
23.7%
55
76.3%
Q2 - 0:23.6TimberwolvesRudy Gobert misses two point tip layup53
23.1%
55
76.9%
Q2 - 0:23.6TimberwolvesRudy Gobert offensive rebound53
21.8%
55
78.2%
Q2 - 0:30.1TimberwolvesJordan McLaughlin misses two point driving floating jump shot53
23.1%
55
76.9%
Q2 - 0:50.9HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)53
21.8%
55
78.2%
Q2 - 1:01TimberwolvesKyle Anderson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jordan McLaughlin assists)51
19.5%
55
80.5%
Q2 - 1:18TimberwolvesRudy Gobert defensive rebound51
21.9%
53
78.1%
Q2 - 1:20HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 251
22.1%
53
77.9%
Q2 - 1:20HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 251
23.6%
53
76.4%
Q2 - 1:20TimberwolvesJordan McLaughlin personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)51
25.4%
53
74.6%
Q2 - 1:36TimberwolvesJordan McLaughlin makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)51
23.6%
53
76.4%
Q2 - 1:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot51
28.8%
50
71.2%
Q2 - 2:11TimberwolvesKyle Anderson makes two point floating jump shot (Jordan McLaughlin assists)49
25.9%
50
74.1%
Q2 - 2:25HeatJamal Cain makes two point running alley-oop layup (Kyle Lowry assists)49
28.0%
48
72.0%
Q2 - 2:29HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound47
25.9%
48
74.1%
Q2 - 2:33TimberwolvesKyle Anderson misses two point floating jump shot47
25.2%
48
74.8%
Q2 - 2:54HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 247
23.6%
48
76.4%
Q2 - 2:54HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 246
23.2%
48
76.8%
Q2 - 2:54TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)45
22.7%
48
77.3%
Q2 - 3:09TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jordan McLaughlin assists)45
21.7%
48
78.3%
Q2 - 3:16HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)45
23.3%
46
76.7%
Q2 - 3:33TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)45
25.8%
46
74.2%
Q2 - 3:43TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns makes two point cutting layup (Jordan McLaughlin assists)45
25.8%
46
74.2%
Q2 - 3:59HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 245
27.6%
44
72.4%
Q2 - 3:59HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 244
27.2%
44
72.8%
Q2 - 3:59TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)44
29.0%
44
71.0%
Q2 - 4:02TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)44
27.5%
44
72.5%
Q2 - 4:12TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound44
25.2%
44
74.8%
Q2 - 4:15HeatJamal Cain misses three point jump shot44
25.9%
44
74.1%
Q2 - 4:31TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes two point driving layup (Karl-Anthony Towns assists)44
27.5%
44
72.5%
Q2 - 4:37TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound44
29.5%
42
70.5%
Q2 - 4:40HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot44
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q2 - 4:58TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes two point layup (Naz Reid assists)44
32.2%
42
67.8%
Q2 - 4:59TimberwolvesNaz Reid offensive rebound44
34.3%
40
65.7%
Q2 - 5:01TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses two point running alley-oop dunk44
35.7%
40
64.3%
Q2 - 5:05HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Anderson steals)44
33.5%
40
66.5%
Q2 - 5:22TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Cain steals)44
36.7%
40
63.3%
Q2 - 5:34TimberwolvesMike Conley defensive rebound44
33.6%
40
66.4%
Q2 - 5:37HeatJamal Cain misses three point jump shot44
34.5%
40
65.5%
Q2 - 5:42HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound44
36.7%
40
63.3%
Q2 - 5:45HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot44
34.5%
40
65.5%
Q2 - 5:50TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)44
36.7%
40
63.3%
Q2 - 5:55HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound44
36.7%
40
63.3%
Q2 - 5:58TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns misses three point jump shot44
35.7%
40
64.3%
Q2 - 6:06TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound44
33.2%
40
66.8%
Q2 - 6:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot44
34.1%
40
65.9%
Q2 - 6:18HeatDru Smith defensive rebound44
36.2%
40
63.8%
Q2 - 6:22TimberwolvesNaz Reid misses three point jump shot44
35.3%
40
64.7%
Q2 - 6:36HeatJamal Cain personal foul (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)44
33.2%
40
66.8%
Q2 - 6:50HeatJamal Cain makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)44
33.2%
40
66.8%
Q2 - 7:06TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Anderson assists)42
31.0%
40
69.0%
Q2 - 7:22HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot42
33.1%
38
66.9%
Q2 - 7:36TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes three point jump shot (Mike Conley assists)40
31.0%
38
69.0%
Q2 - 7:50HeatJamal Cain makes two point cutting dunk (Dru Smith assists)40
35.4%
35
64.6%
Q2 - 8:08TimberwolvesKyle Anderson makes two point reverse layup (Karl-Anthony Towns assists)38
33.0%
35
67.0%
Q2 - 8:22HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot38
35.1%
33
64.9%
Q2 - 8:33TimberwolvesTroy Brown Jr. personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)36
33.0%
33
67.0%
Q2 - 8:33TimberwolvesTroy Brown Jr. turnover (lost ball)36
33.0%
33
67.0%
Q2 - 8:51HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Dru Smith assists)36
30.6%
33
69.4%
Q2 - 8:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound33
26.6%
33
73.4%
Q2 - 9:00TimberwolvesMike Conley misses three point jump shot33
25.9%
33
74.1%
Q2 - 9:07TimberwolvesTroy Brown Jr. defensive rebound33
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q2 - 9:09HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot33
25.0%
33
75.0%
Q2 - 9:32TimberwolvesRudy Gobert makes two point floating jump shot (Shake Milton assists)33
26.4%
33
73.6%
Q2 - 9:44HeatDru Smith turnover (bad pass) (Troy Brown Jr. steals)33
28.3%
31
71.7%
Q2 - 9:49HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound33
30.5%
31
69.5%
Q2 - 9:53TimberwolvesShake Milton misses two point driving floating jump shot33
29.9%
31
70.1%
Q2 - 10:08TimberwolvesRudy Gobert defensive rebound33
28.2%
31
71.8%
Q2 - 10:10HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot33
28.9%
31
71.1%
Q2 - 10:25TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes three point jump shot (Troy Brown Jr. assists)33
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q2 - 10:34TimberwolvesRudy Gobert defensive rebound33
34.6%
28
65.4%
Q2 - 10:37HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot33
35.4%
28
64.6%
Q2 - 10:45HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound33
37.1%
28
62.9%
Q2 - 10:47TimberwolvesShake Milton misses regular free throw 1 of 133
36.7%
28
63.3%
Q2 - 10:47HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Shake Milton draws the foul)33
35.1%
28
64.9%
Q2 - 10:48HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Mike Conley steals)33
39.3%
26
60.7%
Q2 - 10:58TimberwolvesShake Milton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)33
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q2 - 10:58HeatThomas Bryant personal foul (Shake Milton draws the foul)33
39.3%
26
60.7%
Q2 - 11:02TimberwolvesRudy Gobert defensive rebound33
38.4%
26
61.6%
Q2 - 11:04HeatThomas Bryant misses two point floating jump shot33
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q2 - 11:13HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound33
40.7%
26
59.3%
Q2 - 11:15TimberwolvesShake Milton misses three point jump shot33
40.0%
26
60.0%
Q2 - 11:27HeatJamal Cain makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dru Smith assists)33
38.5%
26
61.5%
Q2 - 11:35TimberwolvesTimberwolves turnover (shot clock violation)31
36.2%
26
63.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
34.0%
26
66.0%
Q1 - 0:00.1TimberwolvesTimberwolves offensive rebound31
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q1 - 0:00.4TimberwolvesNaz Reid misses three point running jump shot31
34.7%
26
65.3%
Q1 - 0:00.4TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound31
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q1 - 0:02.8HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot31
33.9%
26
66.1%
Q1 - 0:15.0TimberwolvesRudy Gobert makes two point putback dunk31
35.4%
26
64.6%
Q1 - 0:15.0TimberwolvesRudy Gobert offensive rebound31
37.6%
24
62.4%
Q1 - 0:16.1TimberwolvesNaz Reid misses two point layup31
39.2%
24
60.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Dru Smith assists)31
37.6%
24
62.4%
Q1 - 0:36.2HeatHeat defensive rebound28
33.3%
24
66.7%
Q1 - 0:37.7TimberwolvesTroy Brown Jr. misses three point jump shot28
32.7%
24
67.3%
Q1 - 0:52.3HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Thomas Bryant assists)28
31.3%
24
68.7%
Q1 - 1:03HeatHeat defensive rebound25
27.2%
24
72.8%
Q1 - 1:04TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses three point jump shot25
26.7%
24
73.3%
Q1 - 1:22HeatThomas Bryant makes two point tip layup25
25.5%
24
74.5%
Q1 - 1:22HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound23
23.7%
24
76.3%
Q1 - 1:23HeatThomas Bryant misses two point tip layup23
22.6%
24
77.4%
Q1 - 1:24HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound23
23.7%
24
76.3%
Q1 - 1:25HeatDru Smith misses two point running layup23
22.6%
24
77.4%
Q1 - 1:31TimberwolvesKyle Anderson turnover (bad pass) (Dru Smith steals)23
23.7%
24
76.3%
Q1 - 1:34TimberwolvesKyle Anderson defensive rebound23
22.1%
24
77.9%
Q1 - 1:37HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot23
22.5%
24
77.5%
Q1 - 1:42TimberwolvesKyle Anderson personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)23
23.6%
24
76.4%
Q1 - 1:59TimberwolvesNaz Reid makes two point driving floating jump shot23
23.6%
24
76.4%
Q1 - 2:13TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound23
25.1%
22
74.9%
Q1 - 2:15HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot23
25.7%
22
74.3%
Q1 - 2:36TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes two point driving floating jump shot23
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q1 - 2:42TimberwolvesNaz Reid defensive rebound23
28.7%
20
71.3%
Q1 - 2:45HeatKyle Lowry misses three point stepback jump shot23
29.4%
20
70.6%
Q1 - 3:00TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 223
30.9%
20
69.1%
Q1 - 3:00TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 223
31.3%
19
68.7%
Q1 - 3:00HeatDru Smith shooting foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)23
31.7%
18
68.3%
Q1 - 3:07HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)23
32.2%
18
67.8%
Q1 - 3:31TimberwolvesKyle Anderson makes two point floating jump shot23
34.7%
18
65.3%
Q1 - 3:44HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Karl-Anthony Towns draws the foul)23
36.2%
16
63.8%
Q1 - 3:57HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)23
36.2%
16
63.8%
Q1 - 4:13HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound21
33.8%
16
66.2%
Q1 - 4:17TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses two point driving floating jump shot21
33.1%
16
66.9%
Q1 - 4:20TimberwolvesKyle Anderson defensive rebound21
31.6%
16
68.4%
Q1 - 4:23HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot21
32.3%
16
67.7%
Q1 - 4:28HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound21
33.8%
16
66.2%
Q1 - 4:30TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns misses two point running layup21
33.1%
16
66.9%
Q1 - 4:35TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound21
31.6%
16
68.4%
Q1 - 4:39HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot21
32.3%
16
67.7%
Q1 - 4:45HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound21
33.9%
16
66.1%
Q1 - 4:47TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns misses two point driving layup21
33.2%
16
66.8%
Q1 - 5:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)21
31.1%
16
68.9%
Q1 - 5:14HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound19
29.6%
16
70.4%
Q1 - 5:17TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot19
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 5:42HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot19
27.8%
16
72.2%
Q1 - 5:55TimberwolvesMike Conley makes two point driving layup16
24.8%
16
75.2%
Q1 - 6:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)16
26.0%
14
74.0%
Q1 - 6:42TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes three point jump shot (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)14
24.5%
14
75.5%
Q1 - 6:53TimberwolvesRudy Gobert defensive rebound14
27.6%
11
72.4%
Q1 - 6:55HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot14
28.1%
11
71.9%
Q1 - 7:16TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns makes three point jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)14
28.9%
11
71.1%
Q1 - 7:26TimberwolvesRudy Gobert defensive rebound14
32.0%
8
68.0%
Q1 - 7:28HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot14
32.6%
8
67.4%
Q1 - 7:38TimberwolvesMike Conley makes two point floating jump shot14
34.0%
8
66.0%
Q1 - 7:41TimberwolvesMike Conley offensive rebound14
35.5%
6
64.5%
Q1 - 7:42TimberwolvesMike Conley misses three point pullup jump shot14
37.0%
6
63.0%
Q1 - 8:00HeatTyler Herro makes two point running dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)14
35.6%
6
64.4%
Q1 - 8:03TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)12
33.5%
6
66.5%
Q1 - 8:08TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound12
31.5%
6
68.5%
Q1 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot12
32.1%
6
67.9%
Q1 - 8:17HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound12
33.6%
6
66.4%
Q1 - 8:19TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot12
32.9%
6
67.1%
Q1 - 8:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point reverse layup (Kyle Lowry assists)12
31.5%
6
68.5%
Q1 - 8:56TimberwolvesRudy Gobert makes two point alley-oop dunk (Mike Conley assists)10
30.2%
6
69.8%
Q1 - 9:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot10
31.4%
4
68.6%
Q1 - 9:25HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound8
30.0%
4
70.0%
Q1 - 9:28TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns misses three point running jump shot8
29.5%
4
70.5%
Q1 - 9:33TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards defensive rebound8
28.3%
4
71.7%
Q1 - 9:35HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot8
28.8%
4
71.2%
Q1 - 9:43TimberwolvesMike Conley makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)8
30.0%
4
70.0%
Q1 - 10:04HeatTyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)8
30.8%
2
69.2%
Q1 - 10:07HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound5
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 10:10TimberwolvesNickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point driving layup5
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 10:18HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)5
26.3%
2
73.7%
Q1 - 10:28HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running reverse layup (Kyle Lowry assists)5
26.3%
2
73.7%
Q1 - 10:33HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound3
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 10:39TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards misses two point pullup jump shot3
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 10:48HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)3
23.6%
2
76.4%
Q1 - 10:53TimberwolvesRudy Gobert defensive rebound3
23.6%
2
76.4%
Q1 - 10:56HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot3
24.0%
2
76.0%
Q1 - 11:08TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards makes two point running pullup jump shot3
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 11:13HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Karl-Anthony Towns steals)3
25.6%
0
74.4%
Q1 - 11:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound3
27.2%
0
72.8%
Q1 - 11:17TimberwolvesKarl-Anthony Towns misses two point fadeaway jump shot3
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 11:40HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)3
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Rudy Gobert (Kyle Lowry gains possession)0
23.3%
0
76.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 46.9%
MIN
1.13 56.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
21
67%
MIN
18
26
69%
Midrange
MIA
9
28
32%
MIN
14
26
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
38
32%
47%
MIN
12
18.0
34
35%
53%
Free Throws
MIA
8
14
57%
MIN
6
8
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2246%11.0 / 24
B. Adebayo1950%9.5 / 19
N. Jović867%4.0 / 6
D. Robinson833%4.0 / 12
J. Cain850%4.0 / 8
J. Jaquez788%3.5 / 4
D. Smith563%2.5 / 4
T. Bryant550%2.5 / 5
C. Swider583%2.5 / 3
K. Lowry325%1.5 / 6
O. Robinson0-0.0 / 2
R. Hampton0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Reid2589%12.5 / 14
A. Edwards1959%9.5 / 16
R. Gobert1478%7.0 / 9
M. Conley1470%7.0 / 10
K. Towns1246%6.0 / 13
K. Anderson1286%6.0 / 7
N. Alexander-Walker531%2.5 / 8
J. McLaughlin350%1.5 / 3
S. Milton225%1.0 / 4
T. Brown Jr.0-0.0 / 2
L. Miller0-0.0 / 1
J. Minott0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+12
-14
96
MIN
85
+9
-14
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 46.9%
MIN
1.13 56.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
114.9
MIA 91.8 +15.2
MIN 107.1
Pace
96.7
97.7
MIA 98.8
MIN 100.7 +1.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.1
MIA 14.6
MIN 14.3 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
56.0%
MIA 47.1%
MIN 58.1% +11.0%
TO %
12.2%
13.6%
MIA 13.9% +1.3%
MIN 15.2%
ORB %
21.8%
23.1%
MIA 18.4% +0.9%
MIN 17.5%
FTrt
25.7
27.0
MIA 16.1 +6.8
MIN 9.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.8%
64.6%
MIA 68.6% +0.4%
MIN 68.2%
STL %
7.8%
8.0%
MIA 6.1%
MIN 9.1% +3.0%
BLK %
6.9%
11.1%
MIA 1.9%
MIN 6.1% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
57.6%
MIA 46.9%
MIN 56.4% +9.5%
Rim FG%
61.2%
64.1%
MIA 66.7%
MIN 69.2% +2.5%
Mid FG%
44.2%
42.2%
MIA 32.1%
MIN 53.8% +21.7%
3P %
37.0%
38.7%
MIA 31.6%
MIN 35.3% +3.7%
FT %
81.8%
77.7%
MIA 57.1%
MIN 75.0% +17.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
35.0%
MIA 24.1%
MIN 30.2% +6.1%
Mid Att. %
30.2%
26.5%
MIA 32.2%
MIN 30.2% +2.0%
3P Att. %
39.4%
38.4%
MIA 43.7% +4.1%
MIN 39.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIN
Possessions9899
Possession Minutes23.823.6
Points90106
Rebounds4247
Assists2430
Steals69
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)14 (2)
Fouls1217
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)40 (1)
Field Goals35-8744-86
At-the-Rim FG14-2118-26
Midrange FG9-2814-26
2-Point FG23-4932-52
3-Point FG12-3812-34
Free Throws8-146-8
Fast Break Pts2212
2nd Chance Pts911
Points in Paint3858
Pts off Turnovers1522
Bench Points3142
Biggest Lead823

BOXSCORE

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23 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 24
39.6
22
46%
5
4
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
4-13
31%
4-10
40%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
32.9
19
50%
3
2
0
0
4
4
1
2
5-10
50%
7-13
54%
0-1
0%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38
32.4
3
25%
4
7
1
0
4
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
21.1
8
67%
11
4
1
0
0
2
0
11
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
18.2
7
88%
3
1
0
0
3
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30
28.8
8
33%
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-10
20%
Jamal Cain
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 25
25.4
8
50%
5
0
2
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-3
0%
Dru Smith
#9 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 26
22.4
5
63%
1
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
Thomas Bryant
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 26
11.6
5
50%
5
1
0
0
1
1
3
2
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Orlando Robinson
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
R.J. Hampton
#4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Cole Swider
#21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 24
2.0
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
Josh Richardson
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30
INACTIVE
Caleb Martin
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
INACTIVE
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Sprain
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34
Inactive – Rest
Kevin Love
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Shoulder; Contusion
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
47%
42
24
6
1
14
12
9
33
8-14
57%
23-49
47%
12-38
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.