FinalWin Prob.pScore
1469%116
111
3031%109
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
115.69690.0
CHA logo CHA
111.794103.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.111
100%
105
0%
Q4 - 0:07.3HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound111
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.2HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point stepback jump shot111
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2111
99.6%
105
0.4%
Q4 - 0:13.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
99.5%
105
0.5%
Q4 - 0:13.5HornetsLaMelo Ball personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)109
99.5%
105
0.5%
Q4 - 0:14.8HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound109
99.0%
105
1.0%
Q4 - 0:19.5HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot109
97.5%
105
2.5%
Q4 - 0:42.3HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
96.7%
105
3.3%
Q4 - 0:42.3HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
97.0%
104
3.0%
Q4 - 0:42.3HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)109
97.3%
103
2.7%
Q4 - 0:51.2HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
97.5%
103
2.5%
Q4 - 0:51.2HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2108
97.3%
103
2.7%
Q4 - 0:51.2HornetsNick Smith Jr. shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)108
98.4%
103
1.6%
Q4 - 1:05HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving reverse layup108
97.2%
103
2.8%
Q4 - 1:11HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot108
98.0%
101
2.0%
Q4 - 1:21HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound106
96.4%
101
3.6%
Q4 - 1:24HornetsJosh Richardson blocks P.J. Washington's two point driving layup106
95.6%
101
4.4%
Q4 - 1:43HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
91.6%
101
8.4%
Q4 - 1:43HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2105
91.1%
101
8.9%
Q4 - 1:43HornetsBryce McGowens shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)105
93.9%
101
6.1%
Q4 - 1:49HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound105
91.8%
101
8.2%
Q4 - 1:51HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot105
90.4%
101
9.6%
Q4 - 1:59HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound105
86.9%
101
13.1%
Q4 - 2:01HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot105
89.0%
101
11.0%
Q4 - 2:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound105
93.1%
101
6.9%
Q4 - 2:28HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point jump shot105
91.6%
101
8.4%
Q4 - 2:33HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound105
87.1%
101
12.9%
Q4 - 2:34HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point tip layup105
89.4%
101
10.6%
Q4 - 2:34HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound105
93.1%
101
6.9%
Q4 - 2:38HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup105
89.4%
101
10.6%
Q4 - 2:56HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)105
90.8%
101
9.2%
Q4 - 3:10HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound105
85.5%
101
14.5%
Q4 - 3:13HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot105
87.6%
101
12.4%
Q4 - 3:34HornetsBryce McGowens makes three point jump shot (Nick Richards assists)105
87.6%
101
12.4%
Q4 - 3:49HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)105
93.4%
98
6.6%
Q4 - 4:13HornetsP.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 1102
88.0%
98
12.0%
Q4 - 4:13HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)102
88.9%
97
11.1%
Q4 - 4:13HornetsP.J. Washington offensive rebound102
93.6%
95
6.4%
Q4 - 4:13HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot102
95.0%
95
5.0%
Q4 - 4:41HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot102
93.7%
95
6.3%
Q4 - 4:59HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point driving hook shot (LaMelo Ball assists)99
88.2%
95
11.8%
Q4 - 5:21HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Bryce McGowens steals)99
89.4%
93
10.6%
Q4 - 5:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound99
92.3%
93
7.7%
Q4 - 5:27HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving layup99
91.5%
93
8.5%
Q4 - 5:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)99
89.4%
93
10.6%
Q4 - 6:17HornetsNick Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)97
85.3%
93
14.7%
Q4 - 6:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 297
90.6%
90
9.4%
Q4 - 6:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 296
90.2%
90
9.8%
Q4 - 6:38HornetsNick Richards shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)95
89.7%
90
10.3%
Q4 - 6:50HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound95
88.6%
90
11.4%
Q4 - 6:51HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point fadeaway jump shot95
87.5%
90
12.5%
Q4 - 7:04HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound95
83.9%
90
16.1%
Q4 - 7:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot95
85.2%
90
14.8%
Q4 - 7:15HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound95
87.8%
90
12.2%
Q4 - 7:19HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point pullup jump shot95
86.7%
90
13.3%
Q4 - 7:33HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound95
83.9%
90
16.1%
Q4 - 7:36HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot95
85.2%
90
14.8%
Q4 - 8:00HornetsP.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Bryce McGowens assists)95
87.8%
90
12.2%
Q4 - 8:08HeatJosh Richardson turnover (bad pass) (Nick Richards steals)95
91.3%
87
8.7%
Q4 - 8:25HornetsNick Richards makes two point alley-oop dunk (LaMelo Ball assists)95
93.2%
87
6.8%
Q4 - 8:35HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound95
94.5%
85
5.5%
Q4 - 8:37HeatJosh Richardson misses two point floating jump shot95
94.9%
85
5.1%
Q4 - 8:59HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point running layup95
95.7%
85
4.3%
Q4 - 9:05HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound95
96.0%
83
4.0%
Q4 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving dunk95
96.3%
83
3.7%
Q4 - 9:12HornetsLaMelo Ball personal foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)95
96.9%
83
3.1%
Q4 - 9:12HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound95
96.9%
83
3.1%
Q4 - 9:12HeatJosh Richardson misses three point running jump shot95
96.3%
83
3.7%
Q4 - 9:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound95
96.9%
83
3.1%
Q4 - 9:21HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot95
96.7%
83
3.3%
Q4 - 9:31HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point tip dunk95
96.1%
83
3.9%
Q4 - 9:31HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound93
95.2%
83
4.8%
Q4 - 9:37HeatJosh Richardson misses two point running dunk93
94.4%
83
5.6%
Q4 - 9:41HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)93
95.2%
83
4.8%
Q4 - 9:49HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Josh Richardson assists)93
93.9%
83
6.1%
Q4 - 10:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound91
91.7%
83
8.3%
Q4 - 10:08HornetsBryce McGowens misses three point jump shot91
91.1%
83
8.9%
Q4 - 10:20HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound91
89.7%
83
10.3%
Q4 - 10:23HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot91
90.4%
83
9.6%
Q4 - 10:25HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound91
91.7%
83
8.3%
Q4 - 10:30HeatJosh Richardson misses three point running jump shot91
90.4%
83
9.6%
Q4 - 10:33HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound91
91.8%
83
8.2%
Q4 - 10:36HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point fadeaway jump shot91
91.2%
83
8.8%
Q4 - 10:46HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)91
89.7%
83
10.3%
Q4 - 10:52HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)89
87.9%
83
12.1%
Q4 - 11:02HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)89
84.4%
83
15.6%
Q4 - 11:08HornetsLaMelo Ball personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)87
81.5%
83
18.5%
Q4 - 11:14HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point stepback jump shot87
81.5%
83
18.5%
Q4 - 11:36HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound87
87.0%
80
13.0%
Q4 - 11:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving floating jump shot87
87.7%
80
12.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.87
89.2%
80
10.8%
Q3 - 0:03.6HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 2 of 287
88.7%
80
11.3%
Q3 - 0:03.6HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 287
89.0%
79
11.0%
Q3 - 0:03.6HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)87
89.3%
78
10.7%
Q3 - 0:07.2HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)87
90.6%
78
9.4%
Q3 - 0:07.3HeatHeat offensive rebound87
92.1%
78
7.9%
Q3 - 0:07.7HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot87
91.0%
78
9.0%
Q3 - 0:31.3HornetsNick Richards makes regular free throw 2 of 287
92.1%
78
7.9%
Q3 - 0:31.3HornetsNick Richards makes regular free throw 1 of 287
92.4%
77
7.6%
Q3 - 0:31.3HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Nick Richards draws the foul)87
92.7%
76
7.3%
Q3 - 0:46.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 287
93.5%
76
6.5%
Q3 - 0:46.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 286
93.3%
76
6.7%
Q3 - 0:46.5HornetsIsh Smith shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)85
93.1%
76
6.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0HornetsBryce McGowens makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)85
92.1%
76
7.9%
Q3 - 1:07HeatJosh Richardson makes two point hook shot85
93.9%
73
6.1%
Q3 - 1:30HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (lost ball) (Josh Richardson steals)83
92.8%
73
7.2%
Q3 - 1:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 283
91.5%
73
8.5%
Q3 - 1:47HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 282
91.3%
73
8.7%
Q3 - 1:47HornetsBryce McGowens shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)82
92.4%
73
7.6%
Q3 - 1:56HornetsIsh Smith turnover (out of bounds step)82
91.5%
73
8.5%
Q3 - 2:11HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup82
89.1%
73
10.9%
Q3 - 2:11HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound80
87.4%
73
12.6%
Q3 - 2:18HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot80
85.9%
73
14.1%
Q3 - 2:34HornetsNick Richards turnover (offensive foul)80
87.5%
73
12.5%
Q3 - 2:34HornetsNick Richards offensive foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)80
85.3%
73
14.7%
Q3 - 2:37HornetsJT Thor offensive rebound80
85.3%
73
14.7%
Q3 - 2:40HornetsJT Thor misses three point jump shot80
86.8%
73
13.2%
Q3 - 2:54HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 180
85.3%
73
14.7%
Q3 - 2:54HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Away from play) (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)80
85.6%
72
14.4%
Q3 - 2:54HornetsHornets offensive rebound80
87.3%
72
12.7%
Q3 - 2:54HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point layup80
88.7%
72
11.3%
Q3 - 3:07HornetsHornets defensive rebound80
86.8%
72
13.2%
Q3 - 3:07HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot80
87.4%
72
12.6%
Q3 - 3:29HornetsNick Richards makes regular free throw 2 of 280
88.9%
72
11.1%
Q3 - 3:29HornetsNick Richards makes regular free throw 1 of 280
89.2%
71
10.8%
Q3 - 3:29HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Nick Richards draws the foul)80
89.6%
70
10.4%
Q3 - 3:41HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound80
90.2%
70
9.8%
Q3 - 3:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup80
90.7%
70
9.3%
Q3 - 3:59HornetsP.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 180
91.8%
70
8.2%
Q3 - 3:59HeatKevin Love shooting foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)80
92.1%
69
7.9%
Q3 - 4:14HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 280
93.5%
67
6.5%
Q3 - 4:14HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 279
93.4%
67
6.6%
Q3 - 4:14HornetsBryce McGowens shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)78
93.2%
67
6.8%
Q3 - 4:29HeatKevin Love defensive rebound78
92.6%
67
7.4%
Q3 - 4:32HornetsTheo Maledon misses three point jump shot78
92.2%
67
7.8%
Q3 - 4:48HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Ish Smith draws the foul)78
91.3%
67
8.7%
Q3 - 4:55HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)78
91.3%
67
8.7%
Q3 - 5:08HornetsP.J. Washington personal foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)76
89.6%
67
10.4%
Q3 - 5:18HornetsMark Williams makes two point alley-oop layup (Ish Smith assists)76
89.6%
67
10.4%
Q3 - 5:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)76
90.8%
65
9.2%
Q3 - 5:55HornetsMark Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 274
89.6%
65
10.4%
Q3 - 5:55HornetsMark Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 274
90.0%
64
10.0%
Q3 - 5:55HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Mark Williams draws the foul)74
88.9%
64
11.1%
Q3 - 6:04HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound74
89.2%
64
10.8%
Q3 - 6:07HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot74
89.7%
64
10.3%
Q3 - 6:10HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound74
90.7%
64
9.3%
Q3 - 6:13HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point jump shot74
90.3%
64
9.7%
Q3 - 6:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 274
89.2%
64
10.8%
Q3 - 6:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 273
89.0%
64
11.0%
Q3 - 6:36HornetsTheo Maledon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)72
88.8%
64
11.2%
Q3 - 6:45HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot72
87.9%
64
12.1%
Q3 - 6:49HornetsLaMelo Ball offensive rebound72
90.6%
61
9.4%
Q3 - 6:52HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point jump shot72
91.5%
61
8.5%
Q3 - 7:08HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 272
90.0%
61
10.0%
Q3 - 7:08HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 271
89.8%
61
10.2%
Q3 - 7:08HornetsJT Thor shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)70
89.5%
61
10.5%
Q3 - 7:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
88.9%
61
11.1%
Q3 - 7:12HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point layup70
88.4%
61
11.6%
Q3 - 7:36HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point reverse layup (Kyle Lowry assists)70
87.2%
61
12.8%
Q3 - 7:55HornetsP.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)68
85.8%
61
14.2%
Q3 - 8:02HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound68
88.4%
58
11.6%
Q3 - 8:05HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot68
88.9%
58
11.1%
Q3 - 8:09HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 168
90.0%
58
10.0%
Q3 - 8:09Hornets technical foul (Defensive three second)67
89.7%
58
10.3%
Q3 - 8:20HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point driving hook shot (LaMelo Ball assists)67
88.7%
58
11.3%
Q3 - 8:34HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot67
89.8%
56
10.2%
Q3 - 8:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound65
88.7%
56
11.3%
Q3 - 8:53HornetsMark Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 265
88.5%
56
11.5%
Q3 - 8:53HornetsMark Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 265
87.6%
56
12.4%
Q3 - 8:53HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Mark Williams draws the foul)65
86.5%
56
13.5%
Q3 - 8:53HornetsMark Williams offensive rebound65
86.9%
56
13.1%
Q3 - 8:53HornetsJT Thor misses two point putback layup65
88.2%
56
11.8%
Q3 - 8:53HornetsJT Thor offensive rebound65
86.9%
56
13.1%
Q3 - 8:54HornetsJT Thor misses two point layup65
88.2%
56
11.8%
Q3 - 8:58HornetsTheo Maledon defensive rebound65
86.9%
56
13.1%
Q3 - 9:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot65
87.2%
56
12.8%
Q3 - 9:26HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound65
88.4%
56
11.6%
Q3 - 9:30HornetsTheo Maledon misses three point jump shot65
87.9%
56
12.1%
Q3 - 9:41HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 265
86.7%
56
13.3%
Q3 - 9:41HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 264
86.5%
56
13.5%
Q3 - 9:41HornetsMark Williams shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)63
86.3%
56
13.7%
Q3 - 9:43HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point tip layup63
85.4%
56
14.6%
Q3 - 9:43HornetsP.J. Washington offensive rebound63
86.7%
54
13.3%
Q3 - 9:47HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point layup63
87.9%
54
12.1%
Q3 - 10:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup63
86.4%
54
13.6%
Q3 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound61
85.1%
54
14.9%
Q3 - 10:21HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot61
84.5%
54
15.5%
Q3 - 10:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot61
83.0%
54
17.0%
Q3 - 10:53HornetsJT Thor makes three point jump shot (Theo Maledon assists)59
81.5%
54
18.5%
Q3 - 11:17HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot59
84.8%
51
15.2%
Q3 - 11:41HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot57
83.2%
51
16.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.57
86.4%
48
13.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatJimmy Butler makes three point bank jump shot57
86.4%
48
13.6%
Q2 - 0:03.8HornetsJT Thor makes two point dunk (Ish Smith assists)54
83.3%
48
16.7%
Q2 - 0:23.6HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)54
85.2%
46
14.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0HornetsIsh Smith turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)51
81.5%
46
18.5%
Q2 - 0:45.7HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Loose ball) (Mark Williams draws the foul)51
79.8%
46
20.2%
Q2 - 0:57.5HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point running layup (Bam Adebayo assists)51
79.8%
46
20.2%
Q2 - 1:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
77.4%
46
22.6%
Q2 - 1:04HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot49
77.2%
46
22.8%
Q2 - 1:15HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)49
75.9%
46
24.1%
Q2 - 1:26HornetsMark Williams personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)49
77.7%
46
22.3%
Q2 - 1:31HornetsIsh Smith turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)49
77.7%
46
22.3%
Q2 - 1:40HornetsMark Williams defensive rebound49
75.9%
46
24.1%
Q2 - 1:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot49
76.5%
46
23.5%
Q2 - 1:55HornetsBryce McGowens turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)49
77.7%
46
22.3%
Q2 - 2:03HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)49
75.4%
46
24.6%
Q2 - 2:18HeatThomas Bryant makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)49
75.4%
46
24.6%
Q2 - 2:34HornetsMark Williams makes two point hook shot47
73.4%
46
26.6%
Q2 - 2:52HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)47
75.5%
44
24.5%
Q2 - 3:04HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (offensive foul)44
71.4%
44
28.6%
Q2 - 3:04HornetsLaMelo Ball offensive foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)44
68.6%
44
31.4%
Q2 - 3:10HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point running layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)44
68.6%
44
31.4%
Q2 - 3:16HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)42
66.6%
44
33.4%
Q2 - 3:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround jump shot42
63.5%
44
36.5%
Q2 - 3:46HornetsTheo Maledon turnover (back court violation)40
61.3%
44
38.7%
Q2 - 3:53HornetsTheo Maledon defensive rebound40
58.0%
44
42.0%
Q2 - 3:57HeatThomas Bryant misses two point jump shot40
59.0%
44
41.0%
Q2 - 4:11HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point hook shot (LaMelo Ball assists)40
62.1%
44
37.9%
Q2 - 4:29HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)40
64.3%
42
35.7%
Q2 - 4:45HornetsMark Williams makes two point putback dunk38
62.1%
42
37.9%
Q2 - 4:45HornetsMark Williams offensive rebound38
64.3%
40
35.7%
Q2 - 4:53HornetsNick Smith Jr. misses two point layup38
66.2%
40
33.8%
Q2 - 4:55HornetsNick Smith Jr. defensive rebound38
64.3%
40
35.7%
Q2 - 4:56HeatThomas Bryant misses two point putback layup38
65.2%
40
34.8%
Q2 - 4:56HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound38
67.1%
40
32.9%
Q2 - 5:00HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating bank jump shot38
65.2%
40
34.8%
Q2 - 5:09HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound38
67.7%
40
32.3%
Q2 - 5:12HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot38
66.8%
40
33.2%
Q2 - 5:18HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (LaMelo Ball steals)38
64.7%
40
35.3%
Q2 - 5:32HornetsMark Williams makes two point alley-oop dunk (Theo Maledon assists)38
67.7%
40
32.3%
Q2 - 5:38HornetsTheo Maledon defensive rebound38
69.4%
38
30.6%
Q2 - 5:40HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot38
70.3%
38
29.7%
Q2 - 5:47HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound38
72.2%
38
27.8%
Q2 - 5:47HeatBam Adebayo misses two point dunk38
70.3%
38
29.7%
Q2 - 6:02HornetsMark Williams makes two point putback dunk38
72.5%
38
27.5%
Q2 - 6:10HornetsMark Williams offensive rebound38
74.1%
36
25.9%
Q2 - 6:10HornetsTheo Maledon misses two point layup38
75.8%
36
24.2%
Q2 - 6:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)38
74.1%
36
25.9%
Q2 - 6:33HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound35
70.3%
36
29.7%
Q2 - 6:33HornetsLeaky Black misses three point jump shot35
69.5%
36
30.5%
Q2 - 6:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Josh Richardson assists)35
67.5%
36
32.5%
Q2 - 6:47HornetsP.J. Washington turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)33
65.7%
36
34.3%
Q2 - 6:59HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)33
62.7%
36
37.3%
Q2 - 7:07HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound31
61.1%
36
38.9%
Q2 - 7:10HornetsHaywood Highsmith blocks Theo Maledon's two point jump shot31
60.3%
36
39.7%
Q2 - 7:32HornetsMark Williams defensive rebound31
58.4%
36
41.6%
Q2 - 7:34HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 231
58.7%
36
41.3%
Q2 - 7:34HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 231
60.4%
36
39.6%
Q2 - 7:34HornetsNick Richards shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)30
59.9%
36
40.1%
Q2 - 7:36HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound30
58.6%
36
41.4%
Q2 - 7:40HornetsBam Adebayo blocks Leaky Black's two point layup30
57.7%
36
42.3%
Q2 - 8:05HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 230
56.0%
36
44.0%
Q2 - 8:05HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 229
55.7%
36
44.3%
Q2 - 8:05HornetsLaMelo Ball shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)28
55.4%
36
44.6%
Q2 - 8:21HornetsNick Richards makes two point alley-oop dunk (LaMelo Ball assists)28
53.7%
36
46.3%
Q2 - 8:28HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound28
56.0%
34
44.0%
Q2 - 8:30HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot28
56.8%
34
43.2%
Q2 - 8:41HornetsNick Richards personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)28
58.7%
34
41.3%
Q2 - 8:43HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound28
58.7%
34
41.3%
Q2 - 8:50HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point stepback jump shot28
57.9%
34
42.1%
Q2 - 9:04HornetsBryce McGowens defensive rebound28
55.9%
34
44.1%
Q2 - 9:07HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot28
56.7%
34
43.3%
Q2 - 9:29HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving layup28
58.5%
34
41.5%
Q2 - 9:39HornetsBryce McGowens defensive rebound28
60.9%
32
39.1%
Q2 - 9:44HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot28
61.6%
32
38.4%
Q2 - 9:50HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound28
63.3%
32
36.7%
Q2 - 9:53HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point pullup jump shot28
62.6%
32
37.4%
Q2 - 9:57HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound28
60.9%
32
39.1%
Q2 - 10:01HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot28
62.1%
32
37.9%
Q2 - 10:15HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound28
63.8%
32
36.2%
Q2 - 10:17HornetsIsh Smith misses two point pullup jump shot28
63.0%
32
37.0%
Q2 - 10:21HornetsIsh Smith offensive rebound28
61.3%
32
38.7%
Q2 - 10:25HornetsBryce McGowens misses three point jump shot28
63.0%
32
37.0%
Q2 - 10:39HeatJosh Richardson makes two point layup (Duncan Robinson assists)28
61.3%
32
38.7%
Q2 - 10:49HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound26
59.0%
32
41.0%
Q2 - 10:51HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point pullup jump shot26
58.2%
32
41.8%
Q2 - 11:01HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (LaMelo Ball steals)26
57.3%
32
42.7%
Q2 - 11:10HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)26
59.6%
32
40.4%
Q2 - 11:24HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)26
57.2%
32
42.8%
Q2 - 11:37HeatKevin Love defensive rebound24
54.9%
32
45.1%
Q2 - 11:40HornetsJT Thor misses two point layup24
54.1%
32
45.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.24
52.4%
32
47.6%
Q1 - 0:00.5HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (out of bounds step)24
55.3%
32
44.7%
Q1 - 0:04.2HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)24
53.0%
32
47.0%
Q1 - 0:20.4HornetsIsh Smith makes two point pullup jump shot21
48.2%
32
51.8%
Q1 - 0:30.7HornetsIsh Smith defensive rebound21
50.6%
30
49.4%
Q1 - 0:33.5HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot21
51.3%
30
48.7%
Q1 - 0:54.4HornetsBryce McGowens makes regular free throw 2 of 221
52.9%
30
47.1%
Q1 - 0:54.4HornetsBryce McGowens misses regular free throw 1 of 221
53.4%
29
46.6%
Q1 - 0:54.4HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Bryce McGowens draws the foul)21
51.6%
29
48.4%
Q1 - 1:01HornetsJT Thor offensive rebound21
53.6%
29
46.4%
Q1 - 1:04HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot21
55.1%
29
44.9%
Q1 - 1:14HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound21
53.6%
29
46.4%
Q1 - 1:18HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot21
54.3%
29
45.7%
Q1 - 1:29HornetsNick Richards turnover (offensive foul)21
55.8%
29
44.2%
Q1 - 1:29HornetsNick Richards offensive foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)21
53.6%
29
46.4%
Q1 - 1:37HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound21
53.6%
29
46.4%
Q1 - 1:40HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot21
54.2%
29
45.8%
Q1 - 1:48HeatKevin Love defensive rebound21
55.8%
29
44.2%
Q1 - 1:50HornetsBryce McGowens misses two point driving layup21
55.1%
29
44.9%
Q1 - 1:56HornetsLaMelo Ball offensive rebound21
53.5%
29
46.5%
Q1 - 1:59HornetsHaywood Highsmith blocks LaMelo Ball's two point layup21
55.1%
29
44.9%
Q1 - 2:08HornetsBryce McGowens defensive rebound21
54.1%
29
45.9%
Q1 - 2:11HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot21
54.9%
29
45.1%
Q1 - 2:35HornetsNick Richards makes regular free throw 2 of 221
56.7%
29
43.3%
Q1 - 2:35HornetsNick Richards makes regular free throw 1 of 221
57.2%
28
42.8%
Q1 - 2:35HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Nick Richards draws the foul)21
57.7%
27
42.3%
Q1 - 2:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Love assists)21
58.5%
27
41.5%
Q1 - 3:07HornetsBryce McGowens makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)19
56.9%
27
43.1%
Q1 - 3:20HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)19
60.7%
24
39.3%
Q1 - 3:30HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound17
59.1%
24
40.9%
Q1 - 3:34HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot17
57.2%
24
42.8%
Q1 - 3:44HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound17
59.1%
24
40.9%
Q1 - 3:48HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot17
57.2%
24
42.8%
Q1 - 3:52HornetsNick Richards turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)17
59.1%
24
40.9%
Q1 - 3:53HornetsNick Richards offensive rebound17
56.4%
24
43.6%
Q1 - 3:57HornetsIsh Smith misses two point fadeaway jump shot17
58.3%
24
41.7%
Q1 - 4:19HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 217
57.5%
24
42.5%
Q1 - 4:19HeatKevin Love misses regular free throw 1 of 216
57.3%
24
42.7%
Q1 - 4:19HornetsBryce McGowens shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)16
59.0%
24
41.0%
Q1 - 4:34HornetsBryce McGowens makes two point cutting layup (LaMelo Ball assists)16
57.8%
24
42.2%
Q1 - 4:46HornetsBryce McGowens defensive rebound16
59.5%
22
40.5%
Q1 - 4:50HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot16
60.2%
22
39.8%
Q1 - 5:02HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 116
62.7%
22
37.3%
Q1 - 5:02HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 116
62.4%
21
37.6%
Q1 - 5:02HornetsSteve Clifford technical foul15
62.0%
21
38.0%
Q1 - 5:02HeatDru Smith shooting foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)15
61.0%
21
39.0%
Q1 - 5:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)15
64.3%
19
35.7%
Q1 - 5:19HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound13
62.6%
19
37.4%
Q1 - 5:21HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving layup13
62.0%
19
38.0%
Q1 - 5:32HornetsMark Williams defensive rebound13
60.5%
19
39.5%
Q1 - 5:34HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup13
61.1%
19
38.9%
Q1 - 5:43HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound13
62.6%
19
37.4%
Q1 - 5:46HornetsDuncan Robinson blocks Theo Maledon's two point pullup jump shot13
62.0%
19
38.0%
Q1 - 6:05HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)13
60.9%
19
39.1%
Q1 - 6:19HornetsP.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (JT Thor assists)11
59.0%
19
41.0%
Q1 - 6:24HornetsMark Williams offensive rebound11
62.8%
16
37.2%
Q1 - 6:27HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving layup11
64.1%
16
35.9%
Q1 - 6:34HeatDru Smith personal foul (Theo Maledon draws the foul)11
62.8%
16
37.2%
Q1 - 6:43HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound11
62.8%
16
37.2%
Q1 - 6:46HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot11
63.4%
16
36.6%
Q1 - 6:57HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving reverse layup11
64.7%
16
35.3%
Q1 - 7:11HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup11
66.9%
14
33.1%
Q1 - 7:29HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound9
65.4%
14
34.6%
Q1 - 7:32HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point turnaround jump shot9
64.8%
14
35.2%
Q1 - 7:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup9
63.3%
14
36.7%
Q1 - 8:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
61.7%
14
38.3%
Q1 - 8:03HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving layup7
62.1%
14
37.9%
Q1 - 8:12HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Mark Williams steals)7
60.5%
14
39.5%
Q1 - 8:28HornetsTheo Maledon turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)7
62.7%
14
37.3%
Q1 - 8:31HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Theo Maledon draws the foul)7
60.5%
14
39.5%
Q1 - 8:45HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot7
60.5%
14
39.5%
Q1 - 9:05HornetsP.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)5
59.1%
14
40.9%
Q1 - 9:13HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound5
62.5%
11
37.5%
Q1 - 9:15HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot5
63.1%
11
36.9%
Q1 - 9:32HornetsP.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)5
64.5%
11
35.5%
Q1 - 9:43HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound5
67.7%
8
32.3%
Q1 - 9:46HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot5
68.3%
8
31.7%
Q1 - 10:00HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot5
69.5%
8
30.5%
Q1 - 10:05HornetsJT Thor defensive rebound5
72.5%
5
27.5%
Q1 - 10:10HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot5
73.0%
5
27.0%
Q1 - 10:30HornetsP.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)5
74.1%
5
25.9%
Q1 - 10:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)5
76.7%
2
23.3%
Q1 - 11:11HornetsTheo Maledon makes regular free throw 2 of 22
74.5%
2
25.5%
Q1 - 11:11HornetsTheo Maledon makes regular free throw 1 of 22
74.7%
1
25.3%
Q1 - 11:11HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Theo Maledon draws the foul)2
75.0%
0
25.0%
Q1 - 11:23HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)2
75.6%
0
24.4%
Q1 - 11:27HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (LaMelo Ball steals)2
75.6%
0
24.4%
Q1 - 11:27HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
77.0%
0
23.0%
Q1 - 11:31HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point layup2
76.6%
0
23.4%
Q1 - 11:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)2
75.6%
0
24.4%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Mark Williams (Kyle Lowry gains possession)0
74.5%
0
25.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.5%
CHA
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
25
76%
CHA
18
32
56%
Midrange
MIA
13
27
48%
CHA
3
17
18%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
31
26%
39%
CHA
15
22.5
32
47%
70%
Free Throws
MIA
23
28
82%
CHA
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3280%16.0 / 20
B. Adebayo2155%10.5 / 19
D. Robinson1864%9.0 / 14
J. Jaquez1765%8.5 / 13
H. Highsmith1275%6.0 / 8
J. Richardson627%3.0 / 11
K. Love321%1.5 / 7
T. Bryant233%1.0 / 3
K. Lowry0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Washington3270%16.0 / 23
L. Ball2850%14.0 / 28
B. McGowens1275%6.0 / 8
M. Williams1179%5.5 / 7
N. Richards10100%5.0 / 5
J. Thor542%2.5 / 6
N. Smith375%1.5 / 2
T. Maledon217%1.0 / 6
I. Smith233%1.0 / 3
L. Black0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
89
+11
-7
100
CHA
76
+14
-18
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.5%
CHA
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
108.9
MIA 115.6 +3.9
CHA 111.7
Pace
96.7
97.7
MIA 90.0
CHA 103.8 +13.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.7
MIA 16.0
CHA 13.9 +2.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
52.9%
MIA 53.0%
CHA 53.7% +0.7%
TO %
12.2%
13.3%
MIA 7.7% +8.9%
CHA 16.6%
ORB %
21.8%
21.3%
MIA 23.8%
CHA 28.9% +5.1%
FTrt
25.7
21.2
MIA 33.7 +6.5
CHA 27.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.8%
61.9%
MIA 65.0% +6.7%
CHA 58.3%
STL %
7.8%
7.0%
MIA 12.5% +6.1%
CHA 6.4%
BLK %
6.9%
8.8%
MIA 10.2% +10.2%
CHA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
54.5%
MIA 55.5%
CHA 57.7% +2.2%
Rim FG%
61.2%
62.5%
MIA 76.0% +19.7%
CHA 56.3%
Mid FG%
44.2%
40.1%
MIA 48.1% +30.5%
CHA 17.6%
3P %
37.0%
35.4%
MIA 25.8%
CHA 46.9% +21.1%
FT %
81.8%
78.6%
MIA 82.1% +0.3%
CHA 81.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
34.2%
MIA 30.1%
CHA 39.5% +9.4%
Mid Att. %
30.2%
26.7%
MIA 32.5%
CHA 21.0% +11.5%
3P Att. %
39.4%
39.1%
MIA 37.3%
CHA 39.5% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9694
Possession Minutes25.621.7
Points111105
Rebounds4245
Assists2621
Steals126
Blocks50
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)18 (0)
Fouls1921
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)32 (1)
Field Goals40-8336-81
At-the-Rim FG19-2518-32
Midrange FG13-273-17
2-Point FG32-5221-49
3-Point FG8-3115-32
Free Throws23-2818-22
Fast Break Pts132
2nd Chance Pts817
Points in Paint5440
Pts off Turnovers239
Bench Points2827
Biggest Lead1311

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
35.9
21
55%
11
4
3
1
1
3
0
11
5-6
83%
8-16
50%
0-0
-
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30
35.7
18
64%
8
5
1
1
1
2
0
8
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
4-10
40%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34
34.0
32
80%
4
5
2
0
3
1
3
1
11-14
79%
9-13
69%
1-1
100%
#24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 27
32.9
12
75%
4
2
5
2
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 38
14.7
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30
33.0
6
27%
5
6
1
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-6
0%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
32.9
17
65%
5
1
0
0
1
3
4
1
0-0
-
7-10
70%
1-3
33%
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
13.9
3
21%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
0-0
-
0-5
0%
#9 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 26
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 26
3.4
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Knee Tendinosis
#4 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25
INACTIVE
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
56%
42
26
12
5
7
19
10
32
23-28
82%
32-52
62%
8-31
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.