FinalWin Prob.pScore
382%120
133
2918%107
112
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
133.0100106.4
HOU logo HOU
112.010095.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.133
100%
112
0%
Q4 - 0:12.2RocketsTari Eason makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Josh Christopher assists)133
99.9%
112
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound133
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.9NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point driving layup133
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0NuggetsThomas Bryant defensive rebound133
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0RocketsTyTy Washington Jr. misses three point jump shot133
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.1NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point running layup133
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.3NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound131
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.3RocketsBoban Marjanovic misses two point finger roll layup131
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15RocketsFrank Kaminsky defensive rebound131
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17NuggetsPeyton Watson misses three point jump shot131
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33RocketsBoban Marjanovic makes two point layup (TyTy Washington Jr. assists)131
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)131
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound128
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07RocketsTari Eason misses three point jump shot128
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16NuggetsChristian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2128
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16NuggetsChristian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2127
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16RocketsBoban Marjanovic shooting foul (Christian Braun draws the foul)126
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22RocketsJosh Christopher makes two point running layup126
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27RocketsJosh Christopher defensive rebound126
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot126
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 2:48NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound126
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50RocketsFrank Kaminsky misses three point jump shot126
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01NuggetsReggie Jackson makes three point jump shot126
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 3:21RocketsBoban Marjanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2123
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 3:21RocketsBoban Marjanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2123
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 3:21NuggetsThomas Bryant shooting foul (Boban Marjanovic draws the foul)123
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 3:36RocketsFrank Kaminsky defensive rebound123
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38NuggetsBruce Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot123
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 4:06RocketsBoban Marjanovic makes two point dunk123
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 4:28RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound123
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 4:29NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point driving floating jump shot123
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 4:52RocketsBoban Marjanovic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Frank Kaminsky assists)123
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07RocketsBoban Marjanovic defensive rebound123
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07NuggetsThomas Bryant misses regular free throw 2 of 2123
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07NuggetsThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 2123
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07RocketsJabari Smith Jr. shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)122
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 5:09NuggetsThomas Bryant offensive rebound122
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 5:11NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup jump shot122
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 5:26NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound122
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 5:27RocketsAlperen Sengun misses three point jump shot122
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 5:45NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)122
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 6:08NuggetsThomas Bryant defensive rebound119
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 6:09RocketsJosh Christopher misses three point jump shot119
99.8%
100
0.2%
Q4 - 6:19RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound119
99.8%
100
0.2%
Q4 - 6:20NuggetsVlatko Cancar misses three point jump shot119
99.8%
100
0.2%
Q4 - 6:36RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (TyTy Washington Jr. assists)119
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 6:40RocketsRockets offensive rebound119
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 6:40RocketsThomas Bryant blocks Alperen Sengun's two point driving layup119
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 6:54NuggetsThomas Bryant makes two point cutting dunk (Reggie Jackson assists)119
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 7:06RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point driving floating jump shot (TyTy Washington Jr. assists)117
99.8%
98
0.2%
Q4 - 7:21NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point fadeaway jump shot117
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 7:37RocketsTari Eason makes two point layup (Alperen Sengun assists)115
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 7:57NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point stepback jump shot115
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 8:12RocketsJosh Christopher makes two point driving finger roll layup112
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 8:20RocketsJosh Christopher defensive rebound112
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 8:22NuggetsVlatko Cancar misses three point jump shot112
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 8:30NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound112
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 8:30RocketsTyTy Washington Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot112
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 8:47NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point driving layup112
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 9:12RocketsJosh Christopher makes three point jump shot110
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 9:23RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound110
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 9:24NuggetsVlatko Cancar misses three point jump shot110
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 9:30NuggetsThomas Bryant defensive rebound110
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 9:31RocketsUsman Garuba misses two point layup110
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 9:43RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound110
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 9:45NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot110
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 10:11RocketsUsman Garuba makes three point jump shot (Josh Christopher assists)110
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 10:23RocketsJosh Christopher defensive rebound110
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 10:23NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot110
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 10:31NuggetsThomas Bryant defensive rebound110
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 10:32RocketsBruce Brown blocks Usman Garuba's two point cutting layup110
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 10:47NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 10:47NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 10:47RocketsJosh Christopher shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)108
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 11:11RocketsTari Eason makes two point layup108
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 11:12RocketsTari Eason offensive rebound108
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 11:13RocketsJosh Christopher misses two point layup108
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 11:18RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound108
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 11:18NuggetsTyTy Washington Jr. blocks Reggie Jackson's two point layup108
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 11:20NuggetsThomas Bryant defensive rebound108
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 11:24RocketsJosh Christopher misses two point layup108
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 11:45NuggetsThomas Bryant makes two point layup (Reggie Jackson assists)108
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.106
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)106
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q3 - 0:09.9RocketsJosh Christopher makes two point fadeaway jump shot103
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q3 - 0:31.0NuggetsThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0NuggetsThomas Bryant misses regular free throw 1 of 2102
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0RocketsTari Eason personal foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)102
99.5%
82
0.5%
Q3 - 0:43.6RocketsTyTy Washington Jr. makes three point jump shot (Josh Christopher assists)102
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q3 - 0:47.6RocketsUsman Garuba offensive rebound102
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q3 - 0:50.5RocketsTyTy Washington Jr. misses three point jump shot102
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q3 - 0:53.2RocketsUsman Garuba defensive rebound102
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q3 - 0:55.8NuggetsUsman Garuba blocks Thomas Bryant's two point turnaround hook shot102
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q3 - 1:09NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound102
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q3 - 1:10RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot102
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q3 - 1:27NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)102
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q3 - 1:34RocketsUsman Garuba personal foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)99
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q3 - 1:45RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes two point running layup (TyTy Washington Jr. assists)99
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q3 - 1:51RocketsTyTy Washington Jr. defensive rebound99
99.4%
77
0.6%
Q3 - 1:52NuggetsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot99
99.5%
77
0.5%
Q3 - 1:53NuggetsJamal Murray offensive rebound99
99.5%
77
0.5%
Q3 - 1:58NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot99
99.5%
77
0.5%
Q3 - 2:05RocketsTyTy Washington Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot99
99.4%
77
0.6%
Q3 - 2:20RocketsRockets offensive rebound99
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q3 - 2:22RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. misses three point jump shot99
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q3 - 2:32NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)99
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q3 - 2:32NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)99
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q3 - 2:52RocketsTari Eason makes two point cutting dunk (Alperen Sengun assists)99
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q3 - 3:02RocketsTari Eason offensive rebound99
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q3 - 3:03RocketsTyTy Washington Jr. misses three point jump shot99
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q3 - 3:24NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point running layup (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)99
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q3 - 3:29RocketsDaishen Nix turnover (bad pass) (Reggie Jackson steals)97
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q3 - 3:45NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point layup (Vlatko Cancar assists)97
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q3 - 3:54NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound95
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q3 - 3:56RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. misses two point driving layup95
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q3 - 4:17NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)95
99.1%
73
0.9%
Q3 - 4:17NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive foul (Charge) (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)95
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q3 - 4:31RocketsDaishen Nix makes two point driving layup (Alperen Sengun assists)95
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q3 - 4:55NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point layup (Aaron Gordon assists)95
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q3 - 5:00NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound93
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q3 - 5:01RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. misses three point jump shot93
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q3 - 5:21NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point tip layup93
99.0%
71
1.0%
Q3 - 5:21NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound91
98.8%
71
1.2%
Q3 - 5:22NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point tip layup91
98.7%
71
1.3%
Q3 - 5:22NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound91
98.8%
71
1.2%
Q3 - 5:23NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point tip layup91
98.7%
71
1.3%
Q3 - 5:23NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound91
98.8%
71
1.2%
Q3 - 5:24NuggetsAlperen Sengun blocks Nikola Jokic's two point layup91
98.7%
71
1.3%
Q3 - 5:43RocketsJalen Green makes two point driving dunk91
98.8%
71
1.2%
Q3 - 5:50RocketsJalen Green defensive rebound91
99.0%
69
1.0%
Q3 - 5:51NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot91
99.0%
69
1.0%
Q3 - 5:54RocketsAlperen Sengun turnover (traveling)91
99.2%
69
0.8%
Q3 - 6:05NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Aaron Gordon assists)91
98.9%
69
1.1%
Q3 - 6:18NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound89
98.8%
69
1.2%
Q3 - 6:19RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. misses two point running finger roll layup89
98.7%
69
1.3%
Q3 - 6:25NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Green steals)89
98.5%
69
1.5%
Q3 - 6:39RocketsJalen Green makes three point jump shot (Daishen Nix assists)89
98.8%
69
1.2%
Q3 - 6:55NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)89
99.1%
66
0.9%
Q3 - 7:12RocketsJalen Green makes two point pullup jump shot87
98.8%
66
1.2%
Q3 - 7:32NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 287
99.0%
64
1.0%
Q3 - 7:32NuggetsAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 286
98.9%
64
1.1%
Q3 - 7:32RocketsDaishen Nix shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)86
99.0%
64
1.0%
Q3 - 7:52RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes two point turnaround hook shot (Daishen Nix assists)86
99.0%
64
1.0%
Q3 - 8:15NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (out of bounds bad pass)86
99.0%
62
1.0%
Q3 - 8:18RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes two point hook shot86
99.2%
62
0.8%
Q3 - 8:22RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. offensive rebound86
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q3 - 8:23RocketsJalen Green misses three point jump shot86
99.4%
60
0.6%
Q3 - 8:32NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot86
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q3 - 8:34NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound84
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q3 - 8:36NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point running layup84
99.1%
60
0.9%
Q3 - 8:44NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound84
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q3 - 8:45RocketsDaishen Nix misses three point jump shot84
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q3 - 9:08NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point running layup (Nikola Jokic assists)84
99.0%
60
1.0%
Q3 - 9:13RocketsDaishen Nix turnover (bad pass) (Michael Porter Jr. steals)82
98.9%
60
1.1%
Q3 - 9:35NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)82
98.7%
60
1.3%
Q3 - 9:52RocketsJalen Green makes three point stepback jump shot80
98.5%
60
1.5%
Q3 - 10:14NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point running dunk (Jamal Murray assists)80
98.7%
57
1.3%
Q3 - 10:17NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound78
98.6%
57
1.4%
Q3 - 10:19RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. misses two point reverse layup78
98.5%
57
1.5%
Q3 - 10:30NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)78
98.4%
57
1.6%
Q3 - 10:42RocketsAlperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)76
98.2%
57
1.8%
Q3 - 10:42RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)76
97.9%
57
2.1%
Q3 - 10:52RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. defensive rebound76
97.9%
57
2.1%
Q3 - 10:53NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot76
98.0%
57
2.0%
Q3 - 11:16RocketsDaishen Nix makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)76
98.1%
57
1.9%
Q3 - 11:30NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Aaron Gordon assists)76
98.5%
54
1.5%
Q3 - 11:40NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound74
98.3%
54
1.7%
Q3 - 11:41RocketsJalen Green misses two point fadeaway jump shot74
98.3%
54
1.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.74
98.1%
54
1.9%
Q2 - 0:00.1RocketsRockets offensive rebound74
98.1%
54
1.9%
Q2 - 0:00.2RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot74
98.2%
54
1.8%
Q2 - 0:00.4NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)74
98.1%
54
1.9%
Q2 - 0:02.6RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes two point running dunk (Daishen Nix assists)72
97.8%
54
2.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Kenyon Martin Jr. steals)72
98.1%
52
1.9%
Q2 - 0:27.9NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound72
98.3%
52
1.7%
Q2 - 0:30.8RocketsDaishen Nix misses two point driving floating bank jump shot72
98.2%
52
1.8%
Q2 - 0:41.1NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point running dunk (Aaron Gordon assists)72
98.1%
52
1.9%
Q2 - 0:41.9NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound70
97.8%
52
2.2%
Q2 - 0:46.8RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot70
97.7%
52
2.3%
Q2 - 1:06RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound70
97.5%
52
2.5%
Q2 - 1:06NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 170
97.5%
52
2.5%
Q2 - 1:06RocketsAlperen Sengun personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)70
97.7%
52
2.3%
Q2 - 1:21RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Daishen Nix assists)68
97.1%
52
2.9%
Q2 - 1:27RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound68
97.5%
50
2.5%
Q2 - 1:28NuggetsJabari Smith Jr. blocks Aaron Gordon's two point driving layup68
97.6%
50
2.4%
Q2 - 1:45RocketsJabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)68
97.7%
50
2.3%
Q2 - 1:45NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound68
97.7%
50
2.3%
Q2 - 1:46RocketsJosh Christopher misses three point jump shot68
97.7%
50
2.3%
Q2 - 2:01NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point dunk (Jamal Murray assists)68
97.3%
50
2.7%
Q2 - 2:09RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)66
97.0%
50
3.0%
Q2 - 2:27NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound66
97.0%
50
3.0%
Q2 - 2:35RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. misses two point tip layup66
96.9%
50
3.1%
Q2 - 2:35RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. offensive rebound66
96.6%
50
3.4%
Q2 - 2:36RocketsDaishen Nix misses two point layup66
96.9%
50
3.1%
Q2 - 2:46NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point putback layup66
96.6%
50
3.4%
Q2 - 2:47NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound64
96.2%
50
3.8%
Q2 - 2:48NuggetsJabari Smith Jr. blocks Michael Porter Jr.'s two point cutting dunk64
95.9%
50
4.1%
Q2 - 3:10NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound64
96.0%
50
4.0%
Q2 - 3:12RocketsJalen Green misses three point jump shot64
95.9%
50
4.1%
Q2 - 3:25NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)64
95.5%
50
4.5%
Q2 - 3:29RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes two point driving layup64
96.0%
50
4.0%
Q2 - 3:32RocketsJabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound64
96.4%
48
3.6%
Q2 - 3:33RocketsMichael Porter Jr. blocks Jalen Green's two point driving layup64
96.7%
48
3.3%
Q2 - 3:47NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)64
96.4%
48
3.6%
Q2 - 4:07RocketsJalen Green makes two point pullup jump shot61
95.5%
48
4.5%
Q2 - 4:23NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)61
96.0%
46
4.0%
Q2 - 4:28NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound61
96.4%
46
3.6%
Q2 - 4:29RocketsDaishen Nix misses three point jump shot61
96.3%
46
3.7%
Q2 - 4:54NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jokic assists)61
96.0%
46
4.0%
Q2 - 5:04NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound59
95.6%
46
4.4%
Q2 - 5:05RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point turnaround hook shot59
95.4%
46
4.6%
Q2 - 5:24NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)59
95.0%
46
5.0%
Q2 - 5:48RocketsDaishen Nix makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Jalen Green assists)56
94.0%
46
6.0%
Q2 - 5:59NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point alley-oop dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)56
94.4%
44
5.6%
Q2 - 6:10NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound54
93.9%
44
6.1%
Q2 - 6:10RocketsAlperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 154
93.8%
44
6.2%
Q2 - 6:10NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)54
93.4%
44
6.6%
Q2 - 6:27NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Vlatko Cancar assists)54
94.4%
42
5.6%
Q2 - 6:33NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound51
93.3%
42
6.7%
Q2 - 6:34RocketsTari Eason misses three point jump shot51
93.0%
42
7.0%
Q2 - 6:52NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)51
92.4%
42
7.6%
Q2 - 7:10RocketsTari Eason makes two point running dunk (Jalen Green assists)49
91.6%
42
8.4%
Q2 - 7:15NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Tari Eason steals)49
92.4%
40
7.6%
Q2 - 7:21NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound49
93.1%
40
6.9%
Q2 - 7:24RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point turnaround hook shot49
92.9%
40
7.1%
Q2 - 7:43NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes regular free throw 1 of 149
92.4%
40
7.6%
Q2 - 7:43RocketsAlperen Sengun shooting foul (Vlatko Cancar draws the foul)48
92.3%
40
7.7%
Q2 - 7:46RocketsTyTy Washington Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)46
90.8%
40
9.2%
Q2 - 7:52RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound46
89.8%
40
10.2%
Q2 - 7:52NuggetsAlperen Sengun blocks Nikola Jokic's two point running layup46
90.1%
40
9.9%
Q2 - 7:56NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound46
90.8%
40
9.2%
Q2 - 7:58RocketsJalen Green misses two point layup46
90.5%
40
9.5%
Q2 - 8:21RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound46
89.7%
40
10.3%
Q2 - 8:21NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses regular free throw 2 of 246
89.8%
40
10.2%
Q2 - 8:21NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 246
90.5%
40
9.5%
Q2 - 8:21RocketsUsman Garuba shooting foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)45
90.4%
40
9.6%
Q2 - 8:27NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound45
89.8%
40
10.2%
Q2 - 8:28RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot45
89.4%
40
10.6%
Q2 - 8:36RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound45
88.7%
40
11.3%
Q2 - 8:37NuggetsThomas Bryant misses two point pullup jump shot45
89.0%
40
11.0%
Q2 - 8:49RocketsTari Eason turnover (out of bounds bad pass)45
89.8%
40
10.2%
Q2 - 8:49RocketsTari Eason offensive rebound45
88.7%
40
11.3%
Q2 - 8:51RocketsThomas Bryant blocks Josh Christopher's two point driving finger roll layup45
89.4%
40
10.6%
Q2 - 9:08RocketsTari Eason makes technical free throw 1 of 145
88.5%
40
11.5%
Q2 - 9:08NuggetsThomas Bryant technical foul45
88.8%
39
11.2%
Q2 - 9:08NuggetsThomas Bryant personal foul (Loose ball) (Usman Garuba draws the foul)45
89.5%
39
10.5%
Q2 - 9:08RocketsRockets defensive rebound45
89.5%
39
10.5%
Q2 - 9:08NuggetsBruce Brown misses two point driving floating bank jump shot45
89.8%
39
10.2%
Q2 - 9:18RocketsJosh Christopher makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Tari Eason assists)45
90.5%
39
9.5%
Q2 - 9:33NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes technical free throw 1 of 145
91.3%
37
8.7%
Q2 - 9:33RocketsStephen Silas technical foul44
91.1%
37
8.9%
Q2 - 9:33RocketsUsman Garuba defensive rebound44
90.5%
37
9.5%
Q2 - 9:35NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point driving floating jump shot44
90.7%
37
9.3%
Q2 - 9:46NuggetsThomas Bryant offensive rebound44
91.3%
37
8.7%
Q2 - 9:47NuggetsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot44
90.7%
37
9.3%
Q2 - 9:55RocketsTari Eason turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)44
91.3%
37
8.7%
Q2 - 9:58NuggetsReggie Jackson turnover (lost ball) (Usman Garuba steals)44
90.5%
37
9.5%
Q2 - 10:15RocketsTyTy Washington Jr. makes two point running layup44
91.3%
37
8.7%
Q2 - 10:18RocketsTari Eason defensive rebound44
92.0%
35
8.0%
Q2 - 10:21NuggetsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot44
92.3%
35
7.7%
Q2 - 10:25RocketsUsman Garuba turnover (lost ball) (Reggie Jackson steals)44
92.8%
35
7.2%
Q2 - 10:45NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)44
92.0%
35
8.0%
Q2 - 10:58RocketsUsman Garuba turnover (offensive foul)41
90.5%
35
9.5%
Q2 - 10:58RocketsUsman Garuba offensive foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)41
89.5%
35
10.5%
Q2 - 11:03RocketsUsman Garuba defensive rebound41
89.6%
35
10.4%
Q2 - 11:04NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot41
89.8%
35
10.2%
Q2 - 11:18RocketsTari Eason makes two point tip dunk41
90.4%
35
9.6%
Q2 - 11:18RocketsTari Eason offensive rebound41
91.2%
33
8.8%
Q2 - 11:19RocketsUsman Garuba misses two point running layup41
91.7%
33
8.3%
Q2 - 11:22NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (bad pass) (Kenyon Martin Jr. steals)41
91.2%
33
8.8%
Q2 - 11:45RocketsTyTy Washington Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kenyon Martin Jr. assists)41
92.0%
33
8.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.41
93.3%
30
6.7%
Q1 - 0:01.8RocketsTari Eason makes regular free throw 2 of 241
93.7%
30
6.3%
Q1 - 0:01.8RocketsTari Eason makes regular free throw 1 of 241
93.9%
29
6.1%
Q1 - 0:01.8NuggetsThomas Bryant shooting foul (Tari Eason draws the foul)41
94.0%
28
6.0%
Q1 - 0:17.3NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Reggie Jackson assists)41
94.3%
28
5.7%
Q1 - 0:20.5RocketsJosh Christopher turnover (lost ball) (Bruce Brown steals)39
93.7%
28
6.3%
Q1 - 0:38.2NuggetsThomas Bryant makes two point dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)39
93.2%
28
6.8%
Q1 - 0:50.8RocketsTyTy Washington Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Usman Garuba assists)37
92.5%
28
7.5%
Q1 - 1:08RocketsUsman Garuba defensive rebound37
93.3%
26
6.7%
Q1 - 1:08NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot37
93.4%
26
6.6%
Q1 - 1:14NuggetsThomas Bryant defensive rebound37
93.8%
26
6.2%
Q1 - 1:15RocketsTyTy Washington Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot37
93.6%
26
6.4%
Q1 - 1:21RocketsUsman Garuba defensive rebound37
93.3%
26
6.7%
Q1 - 1:22NuggetsThomas Bryant misses two point floating jump shot37
93.4%
26
6.6%
Q1 - 1:32RocketsTari Eason makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kenyon Martin Jr. assists)37
93.8%
26
6.2%
Q1 - 1:38RocketsRockets offensive rebound37
94.3%
24
5.7%
Q1 - 1:38RocketsBruce Brown blocks Tari Eason's two point layup37
94.6%
24
5.4%
Q1 - 1:39RocketsTari Eason offensive rebound37
94.3%
24
5.7%
Q1 - 1:40RocketsJosh Christopher misses two point jump shot37
94.6%
24
5.4%
Q1 - 1:52RocketsJosh Christopher defensive rebound37
94.3%
24
5.7%
Q1 - 1:55NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot37
94.5%
24
5.5%
Q1 - 2:12NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound37
94.7%
24
5.3%
Q1 - 2:15NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot37
94.3%
24
5.7%
Q1 - 2:27RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Daishen Nix assists)37
94.7%
24
5.3%
Q1 - 2:41RocketsUsman Garuba defensive rebound37
95.1%
22
4.9%
Q1 - 2:44NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot37
95.2%
22
4.8%
Q1 - 2:56RocketsDaishen Nix personal foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)37
95.5%
22
4.5%
Q1 - 3:06RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point layup (Tari Eason assists)37
95.4%
22
4.6%
Q1 - 3:09RocketsTari Eason offensive rebound37
95.7%
20
4.3%
Q1 - 3:10RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot37
96.0%
20
4.0%
Q1 - 3:31NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)37
95.7%
20
4.3%
Q1 - 3:39RocketsTari Eason turnover (bad pass) (Vlatko Cancar steals)34
95.0%
20
5.0%
Q1 - 3:43NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)34
94.5%
20
5.5%
Q1 - 3:56NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound31
93.6%
20
6.4%
Q1 - 3:57RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point turnaround hook shot31
93.4%
20
6.6%
Q1 - 4:11NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot31
92.8%
20
7.2%
Q1 - 4:26RocketsAlperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 229
92.3%
20
7.7%
Q1 - 4:26RocketsAlperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 229
92.4%
19
7.6%
Q1 - 4:26NuggetsReggie Jackson shooting foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)29
91.9%
19
8.1%
Q1 - 4:44NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Vlatko Cancar assists)29
92.2%
19
7.8%
Q1 - 4:49RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)26
91.0%
19
9.0%
Q1 - 4:56RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jalen Green assists)26
91.0%
19
9.0%
Q1 - 5:19NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Michael Porter Jr. assists)26
91.5%
17
8.5%
Q1 - 5:30NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound23
90.3%
17
9.7%
Q1 - 5:31RocketsJalen Green misses three point jump shot23
90.0%
17
10.0%
Q1 - 5:42NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)23
89.4%
17
10.6%
Q1 - 6:03RocketsDaishen Nix makes two point driving layup (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)21
88.8%
17
11.2%
Q1 - 6:28NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup21
89.6%
15
10.4%
Q1 - 6:28NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound19
88.8%
15
11.2%
Q1 - 6:29NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot19
88.2%
15
11.8%
Q1 - 6:37RocketsDaishen Nix turnover (lost ball) (Jamal Murray steals)19
88.8%
15
11.2%
Q1 - 6:41NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)19
88.0%
15
12.0%
Q1 - 6:42NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound19
88.8%
15
11.2%
Q1 - 6:45RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot19
88.6%
15
11.4%
Q1 - 6:53RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound19
88.0%
15
12.0%
Q1 - 6:56NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot19
88.2%
15
11.8%
Q1 - 7:04NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound19
89.1%
15
10.9%
Q1 - 7:04RocketsDaishen Nix misses regular free throw 1 of 119
89.0%
15
11.0%
Q1 - 7:04NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Daishen Nix draws the foul)19
88.5%
15
11.5%
Q1 - 7:22NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 119
89.7%
13
10.3%
Q1 - 7:22RocketsAlperen Sengun shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)18
89.6%
13
10.4%
Q1 - 7:25NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound16
88.3%
13
11.7%
Q1 - 7:27RocketsJalen Green misses two point running layup16
88.0%
13
12.0%
Q1 - 7:33RocketsJalen Green defensive rebound16
87.3%
13
12.7%
Q1 - 7:35NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot16
87.6%
13
12.4%
Q1 - 8:00RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 116
88.2%
13
11.8%
Q1 - 8:00NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Kenyon Martin Jr. draws the foul)16
88.5%
12
11.5%
Q1 - 8:11NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)16
90.0%
10
10.0%
Q1 - 8:27RocketsDaishen Nix makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)13
88.5%
10
11.5%
Q1 - 8:46NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving floating bank jump shot13
89.9%
7
10.1%
Q1 - 8:59RocketsKenyon Martin Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jalen Green assists)11
89.3%
7
10.7%
Q1 - 9:05RocketsRockets offensive rebound11
89.8%
5
10.2%
Q1 - 9:08RocketsAlperen Sengun misses three point jump shot11
90.3%
5
9.7%
Q1 - 9:15NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)11
89.8%
5
10.2%
Q1 - 9:33NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Michael Porter Jr. assists)11
89.9%
5
10.1%
Q1 - 9:47RocketsDaishen Nix turnover (out of bounds bad pass)9
89.2%
5
10.8%
Q1 - 10:01NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point dunk9
88.4%
5
11.6%
Q1 - 10:13RocketsJalen Green makes two point driving layup (Alperen Sengun assists)7
87.7%
5
12.3%
Q1 - 10:29NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot7
88.4%
3
11.6%
Q1 - 10:34NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound5
87.7%
3
12.3%
Q1 - 10:35NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot5
87.0%
3
13.0%
Q1 - 10:52RocketsJalen Green makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)5
87.7%
3
12.3%
Q1 - 11:07NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)5
89.2%
0
10.8%
Q1 - 11:20NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound3
88.6%
0
11.4%
Q1 - 11:21RocketsJalen Green misses three point jump shot3
88.3%
0
11.7%
Q1 - 11:40NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)3
87.7%
0
12.3%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Jokic vs. Alperen Sengun (Jamal Murray gains possession)0
86.2%
0
13.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.33 66.5%
HOU
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
23
32
72%
HOU
29
46
63%
Midrange
DEN
14
23
61%
HOU
10
20
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
16
24.0
37
43%
65%
HOU
9
13.5
31
29%
44%
Free Throws
DEN
11
16
69%
HOU
7
10
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray3284%16.0 / 19
M. Porter1777%8.5 / 11
B. Brown1568%7.5 / 11
K. Caldwell-Pope1478%7.0 / 9
N. Jokić1458%7.0 / 12
A. Gordon1169%5.5 / 8
V. Cancar975%4.5 / 6
R. Jackson941%4.5 / 11
T. Bryant850%4.0 / 8
C. Braun4100%2.0 / 2
P. Watson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Green1757%8.5 / 15
T. Eason1777%8.5 / 11
K. Martin1558%7.5 / 13
D. Nix1470%7.0 / 10
T. Washington1260%6.0 / 10
J. Christopher1150%5.5 / 11
J. Smith840%4.0 / 10
B. Marjanovic880%4.0 / 5
A. Sengun735%3.5 / 10
U. Garuba338%1.5 / 4
F. Kaminsky0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
89
+11
-11
100
HOU
87
+15
-13
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.33 66.5%
HOU
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
117.1
111.0
DEN 133.0 +21.0
HOU 112.0
Pace
98.5
99.4
DEN 106.4 +11.2
HOU 95.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.7
DEN 13.5 +1.6
HOU 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
57.3%
51.6%
DEN 66.3% +12.2%
HOU 54.1%
TO %
14.0%
15.5%
DEN 10.0% +1.4%
HOU 11.4%
ORB %
24.8%
30.3%
DEN 26.8% +3.0%
HOU 23.8%
FTrt
25.9
28.5
DEN 17.4 +7.1
HOU 10.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.3%
55.1%
DEN 75.5% +6.7%
HOU 68.8%
STL %
7.6%
7.4%
DEN 8.0% +3.0%
HOU 5.0%
BLK %
8.3%
9.2%
DEN 7.6%
HOU 10.9% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.7%
53.9%
DEN 66.5% +11.6%
HOU 54.9%
Rim FG%
66.5%
59.6%
DEN 71.9% +8.9%
HOU 63.0%
Mid FG%
43.4%
40.4%
DEN 60.9% +10.9%
HOU 50.0%
3P %
37.9%
32.7%
DEN 43.2% +14.2%
HOU 29.0%
FT %
75.1%
75.4%
DEN 68.8%
HOU 70.0% +1.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.0%
42.0%
DEN 34.8%
HOU 47.4% +12.6%
Mid Att. %
24.9%
22.0%
DEN 25.0%
HOU 20.6% +4.4%
3P Att. %
36.1%
35.9%
DEN 40.2% +8.3%
HOU 32.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.
Game TotalsDENHOU
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes22.625.2
Points133112
Rebounds4340
Assists4033
Steals85
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)13 (0)
Fouls1016
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (0)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)30 (1)
Field Goals53-9248-97
At-the-Rim FG23-3229-46
Midrange FG14-2310-20
2-Point FG37-5539-66
3-Point FG16-379-31
Free Throws11-167-10
Fast Break Pts2214
2nd Chance Pts1123
Points in Paint6270
Pts off Turnovers2112
Bench Points4551
Biggest Lead260

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26
31.7
32
84%
4
6
1
0
2
2
1
3
3-3
100%
7-8
88%
5-10
50%
#5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30
29.5
14
78%
1
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
2-3
67%
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28
27.8
14
58%
11
10
0
0
4
2
5
6
0-1
0%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
#1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25
23.0
17
77%
4
2
1
1
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
3-6
50%
#50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27
21.1
11
69%
7
5
0
0
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
#11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 27
27.0
15
68%
3
0
1
2
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-6
50%
#31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26
26.9
9
75%
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 33
25.4
9
41%
0
8
2
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-4
25%
#13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 26
20.3
8
50%
8
0
0
2
0
3
2
6
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
#0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22
5.1
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#8 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37
DNP – Coach's Decision
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35
DNP – Coach's Decision
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
DNP – Coach's Decision
#21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Lower Leg; Fracture
#10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 26
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#22 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
133
67%
43
40
8
5
11
10
11
32
11-16
69%
37-55
67%
16-37
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.