for complete access.
All Games Monday, February 13, 2023
FinalWin Prob.pScore
16
Nuggets
43%105
112
8
Heat
57%108
108
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
124.49092.1
MIA logo MIA
120.09089.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.112
100%
108
0%
Q4 - 0:01.6HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound112
99.7%
108
0.3%
Q4 - 0:01.6NuggetsBruce Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2112
99.7%
108
0.3%
Q4 - 0:01.6NuggetsBruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:01.6HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Take) (Bruce Brown draws the foul)111
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.3NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound111
99.4%
108
0.6%
Q4 - 0:05.0HeatMax Strus misses regular free throw 3 of 3111
99.3%
108
0.7%
Q4 - 0:05.0HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 3111
97.9%
108
2.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 3111
98.3%
107
1.7%
Q4 - 0:05.0NuggetsBruce Brown shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)111
98.6%
106
1.4%
Q4 - 0:06.9HeatMax Strus defensive rebound111
99.5%
106
0.5%
Q4 - 0:07.3NuggetsChristian Braun misses regular free throw 2 of 2111
99.6%
106
0.4%
Q4 - 0:07.3NuggetsChristian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2111
99.8%
106
0.2%
Q4 - 0:07.3HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Take) (Christian Braun draws the foul)110
99.7%
106
0.3%
Q4 - 0:08.2NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound110
99.4%
106
0.6%
Q4 - 0:11.5HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot110
98.9%
106
1.1%
Q4 - 0:13.1HeatHeat offensive rebound110
96.8%
106
3.2%
Q4 - 0:13.7HeatJimmy Butler misses two point cutting layup110
98.5%
106
1.5%
Q4 - 0:16.4HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound110
96.1%
106
3.9%
Q4 - 0:19.5NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot110
97.2%
106
2.8%
Q4 - 0:31.4NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound110
97.4%
106
2.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0HeatMax Strus misses two point driving floating jump shot110
96.6%
106
3.4%
Q4 - 0:47.9HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound110
89.6%
106
10.4%
Q4 - 0:50.7NuggetsBam Adebayo blocks Bruce Brown's two point driving layup110
90.7%
106
9.3%
Q4 - 1:06HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving bank jump shot110
92.5%
106
7.5%
Q4 - 1:17HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound110
94.0%
104
6.0%
Q4 - 1:23NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot110
94.6%
104
5.4%
Q4 - 1:31HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Vlatko Cancar draws the foul)110
95.8%
104
4.2%
Q4 - 1:41HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive goaltending)110
95.2%
104
4.8%
Q4 - 2:02NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround bank jump shot110
91.5%
104
8.5%
Q4 - 2:23HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
89.1%
104
10.9%
Q4 - 2:23HeatMax Strus misses regular free throw 1 of 2108
89.7%
103
10.3%
Q4 - 2:23NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)108
85.2%
103
14.8%
Q4 - 2:30NuggetsVlatko Cancar turnover (out of bounds bad pass)108
87.1%
103
12.9%
Q4 - 2:49HeatMax Strus turnover (offensive foul)108
93.1%
103
6.9%
Q4 - 2:49HeatMax Strus offensive foul (Off the ball) (Vlatko Cancar draws the foul)108
87.1%
103
12.9%
Q4 - 3:01HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound108
84.7%
103
15.3%
Q4 - 3:04NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot108
86.8%
103
13.2%
Q4 - 3:19HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
90.8%
103
9.2%
Q4 - 3:19HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
91.4%
102
8.6%
Q4 - 3:19NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)108
92.1%
101
7.9%
Q4 - 3:34NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Vlatko Cancar assists)108
89.1%
101
10.9%
Q4 - 4:04HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)105
81.3%
101
18.7%
Q4 - 4:10NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)105
89.8%
98
10.2%
Q4 - 4:30HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)105
93.0%
98
7.0%
Q4 - 4:30HeatHeat offensive rebound105
89.9%
98
10.1%
Q4 - 4:32HeatVlatko Cancar blocks Max Strus's three point jump shot105
92.1%
98
7.9%
Q4 - 4:57NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jokic assists)105
90.1%
98
9.9%
Q4 - 5:09HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
83.0%
98
17.0%
Q4 - 5:09HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
83.6%
97
16.4%
Q4 - 5:09NuggetsBruce Brown personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)103
84.2%
96
15.8%
Q4 - 5:23NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point driving layup (Christian Braun assists)103
86.9%
96
13.1%
Q4 - 5:29NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound101
83.1%
96
16.9%
Q4 - 5:31HeatJamaree Bouyea misses two point floating jump shot101
81.6%
96
18.4%
Q4 - 5:41HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound101
77.8%
96
22.2%
Q4 - 5:45NuggetsVlatko Cancar misses three point jump shot101
79.6%
96
20.4%
Q4 - 5:55NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound101
83.3%
96
16.7%
Q4 - 5:57HeatMichael Porter Jr. blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving floating jump shot101
81.8%
96
18.2%
Q4 - 6:09NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)101
74.5%
96
25.5%
Q4 - 6:25HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving finger roll layup (Max Strus assists)99
70.0%
96
30.0%
Q4 - 6:33NuggetsJeff Green personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)99
74.7%
94
25.3%
Q4 - 6:33HeatHeat offensive rebound99
74.7%
94
25.3%
Q4 - 6:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot99
79.0%
94
21.0%
Q4 - 6:49NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point tip layup99
74.8%
94
25.2%
Q4 - 6:49NuggetsChristian Braun offensive rebound97
70.1%
94
29.9%
Q4 - 6:52NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point running jump shot97
64.8%
94
35.2%
Q4 - 6:57HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Michael Porter Jr. steals)97
70.1%
94
29.9%
Q4 - 7:02HeatMax Strus defensive rebound97
60.4%
94
39.6%
Q4 - 7:05NuggetsJamaree Bouyea blocks Jeff Green's two point driving layup97
62.7%
94
37.3%
Q4 - 7:23HeatJamaree Bouyea turnover (traveling)97
67.8%
94
32.2%
Q4 - 7:33NuggetsChristian Braun personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)97
60.5%
94
39.5%
Q4 - 7:45NuggetsJeff Green makes two point cutting layup (Ish Smith assists)97
60.5%
94
39.5%
Q4 - 7:59HeatMax Strus makes two point driving reverse layup (Gabe Vincent assists)95
55.4%
94
44.6%
Q4 - 8:24NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 2 of 295
59.6%
92
40.4%
Q4 - 8:24NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 1 of 294
58.4%
92
41.6%
Q4 - 8:24HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)93
57.1%
92
42.9%
Q4 - 8:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Max Strus assists)93
53.8%
92
46.2%
Q4 - 8:46NuggetsThomas Bryant personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)93
59.6%
90
40.4%
Q4 - 9:03NuggetsThomas Bryant makes two point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)93
58.3%
90
41.7%
Q4 - 9:24HeatJamaree Bouyea makes two point running reverse layup91
53.2%
90
46.8%
Q4 - 9:29NuggetsJeff Green turnover (bad pass) (Jamaree Bouyea steals)91
58.4%
88
41.6%
Q4 - 9:40NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound91
64.5%
88
35.5%
Q4 - 9:44NuggetsIsh Smith misses two point pullup jump shot91
60.4%
88
39.6%
Q4 - 9:58HeatMax Strus makes two point driving bank jump shot (Jamaree Bouyea assists)91
64.6%
88
35.4%
Q4 - 10:03NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (lost ball) (Jamaree Bouyea steals)91
67.6%
86
32.4%
Q4 - 10:15HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)91
72.7%
86
27.3%
Q4 - 10:40NuggetsIsh Smith makes two point driving layup91
80.2%
83
19.8%
Q4 - 10:54NuggetsJeff Green defensive rebound89
77.0%
83
23.0%
Q4 - 10:57HeatJamaree Bouyea misses three point pullup jump shot89
75.6%
83
24.4%
Q4 - 11:09NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)89
71.1%
83
28.9%
Q4 - 11:17HeatJamaree Bouyea defensive rebound89
71.1%
83
28.9%
Q4 - 11:19NuggetsJeff Green misses three point jump shot89
72.5%
83
27.5%
Q4 - 11:38NuggetsThomas Bryant defensive rebound89
75.4%
83
24.6%
Q4 - 11:40HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot89
74.1%
83
25.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.89
71.2%
83
28.8%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound89
70.0%
83
30.0%
Q3 - 0:00.9HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot89
72.7%
83
27.3%
Q3 - 0:08.0HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound89
70.0%
83
30.0%
Q3 - 0:11.7HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot89
72.8%
83
27.2%
Q3 - 0:31.8HeatMax Strus defensive rebound89
70.1%
83
29.9%
Q3 - 0:33.6NuggetsJeff Green misses two point driving reverse layup89
71.3%
83
28.7%
Q3 - 0:50.1HeatMax Strus makes two point driving bank jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)89
74.0%
83
26.0%
Q3 - 0:57.9HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound89
77.7%
81
22.3%
Q3 - 1:01NuggetsIsh Smith misses two point pullup jump shot89
77.0%
81
23.0%
Q3 - 1:21HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point tip dunk89
79.4%
81
20.6%
Q3 - 1:22HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound89
82.1%
79
17.9%
Q3 - 1:24HeatGabe Vincent misses two point floating jump shot89
84.1%
79
15.9%
Q3 - 1:43HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound89
82.2%
79
17.8%
Q3 - 1:45NuggetsChristian Braun misses two point running layup89
83.1%
79
16.9%
Q3 - 1:48HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Christian Braun steals)89
84.9%
79
15.1%
Q3 - 2:04NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving layup (Christian Braun assists)89
80.5%
79
19.5%
Q3 - 2:22HeatMax Strus makes two point driving bank jump shot (Jamaree Bouyea assists)87
77.8%
79
22.2%
Q3 - 2:42HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound87
80.6%
77
19.4%
Q3 - 2:44NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving reverse layup87
81.5%
77
18.5%
Q3 - 2:57NuggetsIsh Smith defensive rebound87
83.4%
77
16.6%
Q3 - 2:59HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot87
82.6%
77
17.4%
Q3 - 3:14NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point layup87
79.5%
77
20.5%
Q3 - 3:30NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound85
77.1%
77
22.9%
Q3 - 3:34HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot85
76.1%
77
23.9%
Q3 - 3:40HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound85
73.5%
77
26.5%
Q3 - 3:42NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot85
74.6%
77
25.4%
Q3 - 4:07HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)85
76.0%
77
24.0%
Q3 - 4:26NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)85
78.5%
75
21.5%
Q3 - 4:30NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound82
73.0%
75
27.0%
Q3 - 4:34HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot82
71.8%
75
28.2%
Q3 - 4:46NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point floating jump shot (Vlatko Cancar assists)82
69.1%
75
30.9%
Q3 - 5:05HeatJamaree Bouyea makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)80
64.9%
75
35.1%
Q3 - 5:29NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point cutting layup (Vlatko Cancar assists)80
68.2%
73
31.8%
Q3 - 5:38NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound78
65.0%
73
35.0%
Q3 - 5:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot78
63.8%
73
36.2%
Q3 - 5:50NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes two point driving layup78
61.0%
73
39.0%
Q3 - 6:07HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Max Strus assists)76
56.9%
73
43.1%
Q3 - 6:26NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)76
60.4%
71
39.6%
Q3 - 6:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup74
56.9%
71
43.1%
Q3 - 7:03NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)74
59.5%
69
40.5%
Q3 - 7:03HeatHeat defensive rebound74
59.5%
69
40.5%
Q3 - 7:03NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point running pullup jump shot74
60.7%
69
39.3%
Q3 - 7:06NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound74
63.5%
69
36.5%
Q3 - 7:09HeatJamaree Bouyea misses two point driving floating bank jump shot74
62.3%
69
37.7%
Q3 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound74
59.5%
69
40.5%
Q3 - 7:21NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point running jump shot74
60.7%
69
39.3%
Q3 - 7:25NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound74
63.5%
69
36.5%
Q3 - 7:27HeatMax Strus misses three point stepback jump shot74
62.3%
69
37.7%
Q3 - 7:49NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 274
59.6%
69
40.4%
Q3 - 7:49NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 273
59.0%
69
41.0%
Q3 - 7:49HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)72
58.4%
69
41.6%
Q3 - 7:56HeatGabe Vincent turnover (lost ball) (Vlatko Cancar steals)72
56.5%
69
43.5%
Q3 - 7:57HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound72
52.3%
69
47.7%
Q3 - 8:01NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot72
53.1%
69
46.9%
Q3 - 8:21NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound72
56.1%
69
43.9%
Q3 - 8:24HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot72
54.8%
69
45.2%
Q3 - 8:40NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)72
51.9%
69
48.1%
Q3 - 8:49NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound70
49.0%
69
51.0%
Q3 - 8:53HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot70
47.7%
69
52.3%
Q3 - 9:07NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)70
44.7%
69
55.3%
Q3 - 9:16HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 167
38.4%
69
61.6%
Q3 - 9:16NuggetsBruce Brown shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)67
38.8%
68
61.2%
Q3 - 9:22HeatHeat offensive rebound67
44.7%
66
55.3%
Q3 - 9:24HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup67
47.4%
66
52.6%
Q3 - 9:36HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound67
44.7%
66
55.3%
Q3 - 9:39NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point running pullup jump shot67
45.9%
66
54.1%
Q3 - 9:42NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound67
48.6%
66
51.4%
Q3 - 9:43HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot67
47.4%
66
52.6%
Q3 - 9:50NuggetsBruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)67
44.7%
66
55.3%
Q3 - 10:04HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 267
48.2%
66
51.8%
Q3 - 10:04HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 267
48.6%
65
51.4%
Q3 - 10:04NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)67
49.1%
64
50.9%
Q3 - 10:17NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (traveling)67
51.2%
64
48.8%
Q3 - 10:25NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound67
55.0%
64
45.0%
Q3 - 10:27HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot67
53.8%
64
46.2%
Q3 - 10:44NuggetsBruce Brown turnover (out of bounds bad pass)67
51.2%
64
48.8%
Q3 - 10:54HeatJimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop layup (Bam Adebayo assists)67
55.0%
64
45.0%
Q3 - 11:12NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point cutting layup (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)67
57.4%
62
42.6%
Q3 - 11:17NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound65
54.3%
62
45.7%
Q3 - 11:19HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot65
53.3%
62
46.7%
Q3 - 11:35HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound65
50.9%
62
49.1%
Q3 - 11:37NuggetsVlatko Cancar misses three point jump shot65
52.0%
62
48.0%
Q3 - 11:49HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Loose ball) (Vlatko Cancar draws the foul)65
54.4%
62
45.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.65
54.4%
62
45.6%
Q2 - 0:00.2NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound65
53.7%
62
46.3%
Q2 - 0:00.9HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup65
52.9%
62
47.1%
Q2 - 0:16.7HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 165
51.1%
62
48.9%
Q2 - 0:16.7NuggetsNikola Jokic technical foul65
51.9%
61
48.1%
Q2 - 0:16.7NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Vlatko Cancar assists)65
54.3%
61
45.7%
Q2 - 0:32.6HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot63
50.6%
61
49.4%
Q2 - 0:45.4NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot63
54.3%
59
45.7%
Q2 - 1:04NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound61
50.3%
59
49.7%
Q2 - 1:06HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot61
49.6%
59
50.4%
Q2 - 1:18NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point cutting dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)61
48.1%
59
51.9%
Q2 - 1:36HeatJimmy Butler makes three point stepback jump shot59
44.1%
59
55.9%
Q2 - 1:47NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)59
51.2%
56
48.8%
Q2 - 2:04HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 256
44.5%
56
55.5%
Q2 - 2:04HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 256
45.0%
55
55.0%
Q2 - 2:04NuggetsVlatko Cancar shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)56
45.6%
54
54.4%
Q2 - 2:08HeatMax Strus defensive rebound56
47.2%
54
52.8%
Q2 - 2:10NuggetsBruce Brown misses two point running layup56
48.2%
54
51.8%
Q2 - 2:14NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound56
50.4%
54
49.6%
Q2 - 2:18HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot56
49.5%
54
50.5%
Q2 - 2:39NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes regular free throw 2 of 256
47.3%
54
52.7%
Q2 - 2:39NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes regular free throw 1 of 255
46.8%
54
53.2%
Q2 - 2:39HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Vlatko Cancar draws the foul)54
46.3%
54
53.7%
Q2 - 2:39NuggetsVlatko Cancar offensive rebound54
44.4%
54
55.6%
Q2 - 2:42NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot54
42.3%
54
57.7%
Q2 - 3:04HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)54
44.4%
54
55.6%
Q2 - 3:10HeatMax Strus offensive rebound54
49.6%
51
50.4%
Q2 - 3:12HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot54
52.0%
51
48.0%
Q2 - 3:27NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)54
49.6%
51
50.4%
Q2 - 3:39HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (out of bounds step)52
47.3%
51
52.7%
Q2 - 4:01NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 152
44.1%
51
55.9%
Q2 - 4:01HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)51
43.7%
51
56.3%
Q2 - 4:14HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 249
38.6%
51
61.4%
Q2 - 4:14HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 249
39.0%
50
61.0%
Q2 - 4:14NuggetsBruce Brown shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)49
39.4%
49
60.6%
Q2 - 4:32HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound49
41.3%
49
58.7%
Q2 - 4:35NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot49
42.1%
49
57.9%
Q2 - 4:47HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)49
44.1%
49
55.9%
Q2 - 5:04NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Vlatko Cancar assists)49
49.1%
46
50.9%
Q2 - 5:15NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound47
47.0%
46
53.0%
Q2 - 5:19HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot47
46.0%
46
54.0%
Q2 - 5:44NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)47
43.7%
46
56.3%
Q2 - 6:03HeatJamaree Bouyea makes three point pullup jump shot44
39.0%
46
61.0%
Q2 - 6:10HeatJamaree Bouyea offensive rebound44
43.7%
43
56.3%
Q2 - 6:13HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point layup44
46.0%
43
54.0%
Q2 - 6:25NuggetsChristian Braun personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)44
43.7%
43
56.3%
Q2 - 6:44NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)44
43.7%
43
56.3%
Q2 - 6:58NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound41
39.0%
43
61.0%
Q2 - 7:01HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot41
38.0%
43
62.0%
Q2 - 7:06HeatHeat offensive rebound41
36.2%
43
63.8%
Q2 - 7:06HeatKentavious Caldwell-Pope blocks Max Strus's two point running layup41
38.0%
43
62.0%
Q2 - 7:08NuggetsIsh Smith turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)41
36.2%
43
63.8%
Q2 - 7:34HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)41
38.9%
43
61.1%
Q2 - 7:50NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Jeff Green assists)41
43.8%
40
56.2%
Q2 - 7:58NuggetsJeff Green defensive rebound38
38.9%
40
61.1%
Q2 - 8:02HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot38
38.0%
40
62.0%
Q2 - 8:05HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound38
36.2%
40
63.8%
Q2 - 8:07HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating bank jump shot38
38.0%
40
62.0%
Q2 - 8:28NuggetsThomas Bryant makes two point running layup (Ish Smith assists)38
36.2%
40
63.8%
Q2 - 8:32NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound36
34.0%
40
66.0%
Q2 - 8:36HeatGabe Vincent misses two point stepback jump shot36
33.2%
40
66.8%
Q2 - 8:53NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 2 of 236
31.6%
40
68.4%
Q2 - 8:53NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 1 of 235
31.1%
40
68.9%
Q2 - 8:53HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)34
30.6%
40
69.4%
Q2 - 9:01HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)34
29.5%
40
70.5%
Q2 - 9:08NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound34
29.5%
40
70.5%
Q2 - 9:11HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot34
28.8%
40
71.2%
Q2 - 9:28NuggetsChristian Braun makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)34
27.3%
40
72.7%
Q2 - 9:45HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)31
23.5%
40
76.5%
Q2 - 9:45HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Charge) (Jeff Green draws the foul)31
21.7%
40
78.3%
Q2 - 9:47NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (bad pass) (Jamaree Bouyea steals)31
21.7%
40
78.3%
Q2 - 9:55NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound31
23.5%
40
76.5%
Q2 - 9:59HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot31
23.0%
40
77.0%
Q2 - 10:06NuggetsIsh Smith turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)31
22.1%
40
77.9%
Q2 - 10:11NuggetsChristian Braun offensive rebound31
23.9%
40
76.1%
Q2 - 10:16NuggetsJeff Green misses two point jump shot31
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 10:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)31
23.9%
40
76.1%
Q2 - 11:04NuggetsJeff Green makes two point cutting dunk (Ish Smith assists)31
26.2%
38
73.8%
Q2 - 11:13HeatCaleb Martin makes two point putback layup29
24.3%
38
75.7%
Q2 - 11:14HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound29
26.2%
36
73.8%
Q2 - 11:16HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot29
27.4%
36
72.6%
Q2 - 11:39NuggetsThomas Bryant makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)29
26.2%
36
73.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.27
24.3%
36
75.7%
Q1 - 0:01.3HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot27
24.3%
36
75.7%
Q1 - 0:11.7NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)27
28.2%
33
71.8%
Q1 - 0:33.7HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 224
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q1 - 0:33.7HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 224
24.7%
32
75.3%
Q1 - 0:33.7NuggetsChristian Braun personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)24
25.1%
31
74.9%
Q1 - 0:33.7HeatHeat offensive rebound24
26.3%
31
73.7%
Q1 - 0:35.3HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point pullup jump shot24
27.5%
31
72.5%
Q1 - 0:46.6NuggetsThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 224
26.3%
31
73.7%
Q1 - 0:46.6NuggetsThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 223
25.9%
31
74.1%
Q1 - 0:46.6HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)22
25.5%
31
74.5%
Q1 - 1:00NuggetsIsh Smith defensive rebound22
24.4%
31
75.6%
Q1 - 1:02HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot22
24.1%
31
75.9%
Q1 - 1:12NuggetsThomas Bryant makes two point putback layup22
23.1%
31
76.9%
Q1 - 1:14NuggetsThomas Bryant offensive rebound20
21.3%
31
78.7%
Q1 - 1:15NuggetsThomas Bryant misses two point layup20
20.3%
31
79.7%
Q1 - 1:27HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)20
21.3%
31
78.7%
Q1 - 1:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Jamaree Bouyea assists)20
21.3%
31
78.7%
Q1 - 1:51NuggetsThomas Bryant personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)20
23.0%
29
77.0%
Q1 - 2:06NuggetsJeff Green makes two point turnaround hook shot20
23.4%
29
76.6%
Q1 - 2:27HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 118
21.9%
29
78.1%
Q1 - 2:27NuggetsThomas Bryant shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)18
22.2%
28
77.8%
Q1 - 2:31HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound18
25.1%
26
74.9%
Q1 - 2:34NuggetsIsh Smith misses two point pullup jump shot18
25.6%
26
74.4%
Q1 - 2:39NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound18
26.8%
26
73.2%
Q1 - 2:39NuggetsHaywood Highsmith blocks Nikola Jokic's two point driving layup18
25.6%
26
74.4%
Q1 - 2:51NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound18
26.8%
26
73.2%
Q1 - 2:51NuggetsHaywood Highsmith blocks Jeff Green's two point running layup18
25.6%
26
74.4%
Q1 - 2:55NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound18
26.8%
26
73.2%
Q1 - 2:58HeatJamaree Bouyea misses three point jump shot18
26.3%
26
73.7%
Q1 - 3:08HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound18
25.0%
26
75.0%
Q1 - 3:11NuggetsChristian Braun misses three point jump shot18
25.7%
26
74.3%
Q1 - 3:26HeatJamaree Bouyea makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)18
27.1%
26
72.9%
Q1 - 3:40NuggetsJeff Green makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)18
30.4%
23
69.6%
Q1 - 4:00HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)16
28.9%
23
71.1%
Q1 - 4:24NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)16
32.7%
20
67.3%
Q1 - 4:30NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound13
29.3%
20
70.7%
Q1 - 4:34HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot13
28.7%
20
71.3%
Q1 - 4:46NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Loose ball) (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)13
27.3%
20
72.7%
Q1 - 4:46HeatHeat offensive rebound13
27.3%
20
72.7%
Q1 - 4:47HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot13
28.7%
20
71.3%
Q1 - 5:02HeatMax Strus defensive rebound13
27.8%
20
72.2%
Q1 - 5:07NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot13
28.4%
20
71.6%
Q1 - 5:28HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)13
29.7%
20
70.3%
Q1 - 5:32NuggetsVlatko Cancar turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)13
31.2%
18
68.8%
Q1 - 5:53HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving floating jump shot13
33.2%
18
66.8%
Q1 - 5:59HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound13
34.8%
16
65.2%
Q1 - 6:00NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point cutting layup13
35.4%
16
64.6%
Q1 - 6:15HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)13
36.9%
16
63.1%
Q1 - 6:36HeatMax Strus defensive rebound13
38.7%
14
61.3%
Q1 - 6:43NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot13
39.3%
14
60.7%
Q1 - 6:57HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving bank jump shot13
40.7%
14
59.3%
Q1 - 7:10NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)13
42.5%
12
57.5%
Q1 - 7:11NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound13
44.6%
12
55.4%
Q1 - 7:16NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot13
43.1%
12
56.9%
Q1 - 7:33HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Gabe Vincent assists)13
44.6%
12
55.4%
Q1 - 7:47HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound13
46.4%
10
53.6%
Q1 - 7:49HeatKentavious Caldwell-Pope blocks Jimmy Butler's two point turnaround jump shot13
47.9%
10
52.1%
Q1 - 7:57NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving finger roll layup (Vlatko Cancar assists)13
46.4%
10
53.6%
Q1 - 8:15NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound11
44.6%
10
55.4%
Q1 - 8:18HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot11
44.0%
10
56.0%
Q1 - 8:29NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)11
42.5%
10
57.5%
Q1 - 8:41HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup9
40.8%
10
59.2%
Q1 - 8:45HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound9
42.5%
8
57.5%
Q1 - 8:45HeatJimmy Butler misses two point tip layup9
44.0%
8
56.0%
Q1 - 8:45HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound9
42.5%
8
57.5%
Q1 - 8:50HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot9
44.0%
8
56.0%
Q1 - 9:03NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)9
42.4%
8
57.6%
Q1 - 9:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)7
40.7%
8
59.3%
Q1 - 9:36NuggetsVlatko Cancar turnover (out of bounds bad pass)7
42.4%
6
57.6%
Q1 - 9:52NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound7
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 9:55HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot7
43.8%
6
56.2%
Q1 - 10:17NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)7
42.2%
6
57.8%
Q1 - 10:23NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound5
40.6%
6
59.4%
Q1 - 10:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot5
40.0%
6
60.0%
Q1 - 10:39NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot5
38.6%
6
61.4%
Q1 - 11:03HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)2
35.4%
6
64.6%
Q1 - 11:07HeatHeat offensive rebound2
38.5%
3
61.5%
Q1 - 11:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot2
39.8%
3
60.2%
Q1 - 11:19NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving layup2
38.5%
3
61.5%
Q1 - 11:41HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)0
37.0%
3
63.0%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Jokic vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
40.2%
0
59.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.32 65.9%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
17
26
65%
MIA
15
20
75%
Midrange
DEN
16
22
73%
MIA
12
34
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
MIA
12
18.0
35
34%
51%
Free Throws
DEN
13
15
87%
MIA
18
20
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2790%13.5 / 15
M. Porter1757%8.5 / 15
B. Brown1662%8.0 / 13
J. Green1255%6.0 / 11
V. Cancar1071%5.0 / 7
C. Braun1071%5.0 / 7
T. Bryant1083%5.0 / 6
K. Caldwell-Pope880%4.0 / 5
I. Smith225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2457%12.0 / 21
M. Strus2352%11.5 / 22
B. Adebayo1956%9.5 / 17
G. Vincent1558%7.5 / 13
J. Bouyea1063%5.0 / 8
C. Martin850%4.0 / 8
O. Robinson6100%3.0 / 3
H. Highsmith330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
77
+8
-13
85
MIA
82
+18
-8
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.32 65.9%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
117.1
112.9
DEN 124.4 +4.4
MIA 120.0
Pace
98.5
96.3
DEN 92.1 +2.8
MIA 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.0
DEN 15.6 +0.5
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
57.3%
53.0%
DEN 65.1% +14.5%
MIA 50.6%
TO %
14.0%
13.2%
DEN 13.6%
MIA 8.4% +5.2%
ORB %
24.8%
22.8%
DEN 19.4%
MIA 21.4% +2.0%
FTrt
25.9
27.0
DEN 19.7
MIA 22.5 +2.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.3%
60.8%
DEN 77.3% +13.2%
MIA 64.1%
STL %
7.6%
8.2%
DEN 3.3%
MIA 10.0% +6.7%
BLK %
8.3%
6.3%
DEN 7.4%
MIA 8.3% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.7%
55.9%
DEN 65.9% +11.9%
MIA 54.0%
Rim FG%
66.5%
62.6%
DEN 65.4%
MIA 75.0% +9.6%
Mid FG%
43.4%
45.3%
DEN 72.7% +37.4%
MIA 35.3%
3P %
37.9%
34.4%
DEN 39.3% +5.0%
MIA 34.3%
FT %
75.1%
83.1%
DEN 86.7%
MIA 90.0% +3.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.0%
29.9%
DEN 34.2% +11.7%
MIA 22.5%
Mid Att. %
24.9%
29.4%
DEN 28.9% +9.3%
MIA 38.2%
3P Att. %
36.1%
40.8%
DEN 36.8%
MIA 39.3% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes23.524.2
Points112108
Rebounds3934
Assists3425
Steals39
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)8 (1)
Fouls1814
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)9 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)25 (1)
Field Goals44-7639-89
At-the-Rim FG17-2615-20
Midrange FG16-2212-34
2-Point FG33-4827-54
3-Point FG11-2812-35
Free Throws13-1518-20
Fast Break Pts513
2nd Chance Pts624
Points in Paint5854
Pts off Turnovers916
Bench Points3419
Biggest Lead1011

BOXSCORE

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16 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
#5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30
36.1
8
80%
4
6
0
2
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28
33.9
27
90%
12
8
0
0
0
3
0
12
3-3
100%
12-14
86%
0-0
-
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25
33.5
17
57%
6
0
1
1
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
5-13
38%
Bruce Brown
#11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 26
32.1
16
62%
2
3
0
0
2
4
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
3-7
43%
Vlatko Cancar
#31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26
28.0
10
71%
5
6
1
1
3
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
Christian Braun
#0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22
26.4
10
71%
4
4
1
0
0
3
2
2
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
#32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36
20.0
12
55%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
Ish Smith
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35
15.8
2
25%
2
6
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
Thomas Bryant
#13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 26
14.1
10
83%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson
#8 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
Jack White
#10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Inflammation
Collin Gillespie
#21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Lower Leg; Fracture
Zeke Nnaji
#22 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Sprain
Aaron Gordon
#50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Rib; Contusion
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
66%
39
34
3
4
13
18
6
33
13-15
87%
33-48
69%
11-28
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.