FinalWin Prob.pScore
2137%107
111
963%111
116
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
116.89592.7
MIA logo MIA
122.19597.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.111
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:01.3PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point pullup jump shot109
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.7HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
0.6%
114
99.4%
Q4 - 0:07.7HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
0.7%
113
99.3%
Q4 - 0:07.7PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)109
0.9%
112
99.1%
Q4 - 0:10.5PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)109
1.8%
112
98.2%
Q4 - 0:19.4HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Buddy Hield steals)106
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 0:32.0HeatHeat defensive rebound106
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 0:32.9PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot106
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 0:38.6HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
1.7%
112
98.3%
Q4 - 0:38.6HeatGabe Vincent misses regular free throw 1 of 2106
1.9%
111
98.1%
Q4 - 0:38.6PacersTyrese Haliburton personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)106
1.0%
111
99.0%
Q4 - 0:43.6PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
1.9%
111
98.1%
Q4 - 0:43.6PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
1.7%
111
98.3%
Q4 - 0:43.6HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)104
1.4%
111
98.6%
Q4 - 0:50.1HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
1.4%
111
98.6%
Q4 - 0:50.1HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 2104
1.5%
110
98.5%
Q4 - 0:50.1PacersT.J. McConnell personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)104
1.6%
109
98.4%
Q4 - 1:08PacersBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)104
3.1%
109
96.9%
Q4 - 1:10HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)101
1.2%
109
98.8%
Q4 - 1:28HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
1.7%
109
98.3%
Q4 - 1:28HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
1.9%
108
98.1%
Q4 - 1:28PacersAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)101
2.2%
107
97.8%
Q4 - 1:32PacersAndrew Nembhard turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)101
2.9%
107
97.1%
Q4 - 1:43PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound101
5.4%
107
94.6%
Q4 - 1:45HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot101
4.7%
107
95.3%
Q4 - 2:03HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound101
3.1%
107
96.9%
Q4 - 2:06PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot101
3.7%
107
96.3%
Q4 - 2:18HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup101
5.7%
107
94.3%
Q4 - 2:21HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound101
7.4%
105
92.6%
Q4 - 2:24HeatMyles Turner blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup101
11.3%
105
88.7%
Q4 - 2:40PacersBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)101
7.3%
105
92.7%
Q4 - 2:50PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound98
3.6%
105
96.4%
Q4 - 2:54HeatCaleb Martin misses two point jump shot98
4.1%
105
95.9%
Q4 - 3:15PacersBuddy Hield turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)98
2.8%
105
97.2%
Q4 - 3:33HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)98
7.0%
105
93.0%
Q4 - 3:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound98
4.7%
105
95.3%
Q4 - 3:56PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point running jump shot98
5.2%
105
94.8%
Q4 - 4:01PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound98
6.6%
105
93.4%
Q4 - 4:05HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot98
5.9%
105
94.1%
Q4 - 4:19HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound98
4.5%
105
95.5%
Q4 - 4:25PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point driving floating jump shot98
5.0%
105
95.0%
Q4 - 4:48HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)98
6.4%
105
93.6%
Q4 - 5:01HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound98
14.3%
102
85.7%
Q4 - 5:03PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point pullup jump shot98
15.6%
102
84.4%
Q4 - 5:22PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound98
18.9%
102
81.1%
Q4 - 5:27HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 2 of 298
18.2%
102
81.8%
Q4 - 5:27HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 298
15.3%
102
84.7%
Q4 - 5:27PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)98
16.4%
101
83.6%
Q4 - 5:28HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound98
18.5%
101
81.5%
Q4 - 5:29HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround hook shot98
22.4%
101
77.6%
Q4 - 5:40HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound98
18.5%
101
81.5%
Q4 - 5:40PacersBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot98
20.1%
101
79.9%
Q4 - 5:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk98
24.3%
101
75.7%
Q4 - 5:46HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound98
30.3%
99
69.7%
Q4 - 5:50HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot98
35.6%
99
64.4%
Q4 - 6:07PacersAaron Nesmith personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)98
30.5%
99
69.5%
Q4 - 6:15PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 298
30.5%
99
69.5%
Q4 - 6:15PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 297
29.3%
99
70.7%
Q4 - 6:15HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)96
27.9%
99
72.1%
Q4 - 6:15PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound96
25.8%
99
74.2%
Q4 - 6:16PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point stepback jump shot96
21.4%
99
78.6%
Q4 - 6:38PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound96
25.7%
99
74.3%
Q4 - 6:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot96
23.7%
99
76.3%
Q4 - 7:05PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Aaron Nesmith assists)96
20.7%
99
79.3%
Q4 - 7:29HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)93
13.9%
99
86.1%
Q4 - 7:32PacersBuddy Hield personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)93
10.5%
99
89.5%
Q4 - 7:42PacersBuddy Hield makes three point stepback jump shot93
10.5%
99
89.5%
Q4 - 7:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)90
6.8%
99
93.2%
Q4 - 8:11PacersBuddy Hield makes two point running dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)90
9.3%
97
90.7%
Q4 - 8:11PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound88
7.5%
97
92.5%
Q4 - 8:14HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot88
7.0%
97
93.0%
Q4 - 8:19HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound88
5.9%
97
94.1%
Q4 - 8:22HeatBuddy Hield blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving reverse layup88
6.9%
97
93.1%
Q4 - 8:37PacersBuddy Hield makes regular free throw 3 of 388
5.8%
97
94.2%
Q4 - 8:37PacersBuddy Hield makes regular free throw 2 of 387
5.7%
97
94.3%
Q4 - 8:37PacersBuddy Hield makes regular free throw 1 of 386
5.5%
97
94.5%
Q4 - 8:37HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Buddy Hield draws the foul)85
5.3%
97
94.7%
Q4 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)85
3.7%
97
96.3%
Q4 - 9:01HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound85
5.3%
95
94.7%
Q4 - 9:01PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot85
5.7%
95
94.3%
Q4 - 9:13PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound85
6.7%
95
93.3%
Q4 - 9:15HeatTyler Herro misses two point running pullup jump shot85
6.2%
95
93.8%
Q4 - 9:23PacersChris Duarte turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)85
5.2%
95
94.8%
Q4 - 9:37PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound85
6.7%
95
93.3%
Q4 - 9:40HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot85
6.2%
95
93.8%
Q4 - 9:56PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving reverse layup85
5.2%
95
94.8%
Q4 - 10:04HeatMax Strus personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)83
5.0%
95
95.0%
Q4 - 10:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot83
5.0%
95
95.0%
Q4 - 10:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound83
6.0%
93
94.0%
Q4 - 10:23PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot83
6.5%
93
93.5%
Q4 - 10:34HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)83
7.5%
93
92.5%
Q4 - 10:46PacersAndrew Nembhard personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)83
9.0%
91
91.0%
Q4 - 11:01PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (out of bounds step)83
10.0%
91
90.0%
Q4 - 11:18HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot83
12.0%
91
88.0%
Q4 - 11:30HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound83
14.3%
89
85.7%
Q4 - 11:32PacersT.J. McConnell misses three point pullup jump shot83
15.1%
89
84.9%
Q4 - 11:41PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound83
17.1%
89
82.9%
Q4 - 11:43HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot83
16.2%
89
83.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.83
14.3%
89
85.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0PacersPacers offensive rebound83
17.1%
89
82.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0PacersBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot83
15.1%
89
84.9%
Q3 - 0:04.1HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Tyrese Haliburton steals)83
17.9%
89
82.1%
Q3 - 0:05.2HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound83
15.2%
89
84.8%
Q3 - 0:08.2PacersChris Duarte misses two point fadeaway jump shot83
16.0%
89
84.0%
Q3 - 0:31.8HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (out of bounds step)83
17.8%
89
82.2%
Q3 - 0:47.3PacersTyrese Haliburton turnover (out of bounds step)83
15.1%
89
84.9%
Q3 - 0:50.6PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound83
17.8%
89
82.2%
Q3 - 0:55.9HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point floating jump shot83
16.9%
89
83.1%
Q3 - 1:05HeatMax Strus defensive rebound83
15.8%
89
84.2%
Q3 - 1:09PacersBuddy Hield misses three point stepback jump shot83
16.6%
89
83.4%
Q3 - 1:22HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Orlando Robinson assists)83
18.6%
89
81.4%
Q3 - 1:24HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound83
21.4%
87
78.6%
Q3 - 1:28HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot83
23.9%
87
76.1%
Q3 - 1:47HeatHeat defensive rebound83
21.4%
87
78.6%
Q3 - 1:47PacersHaywood Highsmith blocks Bennedict Mathurin's two point driving layup83
22.5%
87
77.5%
Q3 - 2:02HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 283
25.4%
87
74.6%
Q3 - 2:02HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 283
25.7%
86
74.3%
Q3 - 2:02PacersChris Duarte shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)83
26.1%
85
73.9%
Q3 - 2:03HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound83
28.7%
85
71.3%
Q3 - 2:05PacersDaniel Theis misses two point reverse layup83
29.8%
85
70.2%
Q3 - 2:19HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds step)83
32.7%
85
67.3%
Q3 - 2:30HeatMax Strus defensive rebound83
28.6%
85
71.4%
Q3 - 2:33PacersTyrese Haliburton misses regular free throw 2 of 283
29.1%
85
70.9%
Q3 - 2:33PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 1 of 283
31.9%
85
68.1%
Q3 - 2:33HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)82
31.4%
85
68.6%
Q3 - 2:47HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point turnaround hook shot82
28.9%
85
71.1%
Q3 - 2:47HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound82
32.4%
83
67.6%
Q3 - 2:48HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot82
35.3%
83
64.7%
Q3 - 3:04PacersDaniel Theis makes two point floating jump shot (Chris Duarte assists)82
32.6%
83
67.4%
Q3 - 3:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 280
29.5%
83
70.5%
Q3 - 3:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 280
30.0%
82
70.0%
Q3 - 3:21PacersBennedict Mathurin shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)80
30.5%
81
69.5%
Q3 - 3:35PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 2 of 280
32.5%
81
67.5%
Q3 - 3:35PacersTyrese Haliburton misses regular free throw 1 of 279
32.1%
81
67.9%
Q3 - 3:35HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)79
35.4%
81
64.6%
Q3 - 3:41PacersDaniel Theis defensive rebound79
33.2%
81
66.8%
Q3 - 3:46HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot79
31.8%
81
68.2%
Q3 - 4:01HeatHeat defensive rebound79
29.1%
81
70.9%
Q3 - 4:02PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point pullup jump shot79
30.3%
81
69.7%
Q3 - 4:13HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)79
33.2%
81
66.8%
Q3 - 4:26HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound79
40.1%
78
59.9%
Q3 - 4:29PacersDaniel Theis misses regular free throw 2 of 279
40.7%
78
59.3%
Q3 - 4:29PacersDaniel Theis makes regular free throw 1 of 279
43.1%
78
56.9%
Q3 - 4:29HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Daniel Theis draws the foul)78
41.9%
78
58.1%
Q3 - 4:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 278
40.8%
78
59.2%
Q3 - 4:39HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 278
41.3%
77
58.7%
Q3 - 4:39PacersT.J. McConnell personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)78
38.0%
77
62.0%
Q3 - 4:50PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)78
40.1%
77
59.9%
Q3 - 4:57HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running finger roll layup75
33.2%
77
66.8%
Q3 - 5:01PacersTyrese Haliburton turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)75
36.4%
75
63.6%
Q3 - 5:19HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 175
40.4%
75
59.6%
Q3 - 5:19PacersAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)75
40.9%
74
59.1%
Q3 - 5:21HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound75
47.8%
72
52.2%
Q3 - 5:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup75
50.8%
72
49.2%
Q3 - 5:33HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound75
47.8%
72
52.2%
Q3 - 5:37PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point driving floating bank jump shot75
49.1%
72
50.9%
Q3 - 5:51HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 175
52.1%
72
47.9%
Q3 - 5:51PacersAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)75
52.6%
71
47.4%
Q3 - 5:57HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound75
59.5%
69
40.5%
Q3 - 5:59PacersDaniel Theis misses two point jump shot75
60.8%
69
39.2%
Q3 - 6:15PacersDaniel Theis defensive rebound75
62.3%
69
37.7%
Q3 - 6:18HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot75
61.2%
69
38.8%
Q3 - 6:27PacersAndrew Nembhard turnover (out of bounds bad pass)75
58.5%
69
41.5%
Q3 - 6:28PacersAndrew Nembhard offensive rebound75
62.4%
69
37.6%
Q3 - 6:29PacersTyler Herro blocks Andrew Nembhard's two point pullup jump shot75
59.7%
69
40.3%
Q3 - 6:51HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 275
62.4%
69
37.6%
Q3 - 6:51HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 275
63.1%
68
36.9%
Q3 - 6:51PacersAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)75
63.9%
67
36.1%
Q3 - 6:51HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound75
65.7%
67
34.3%
Q3 - 6:53HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot75
68.2%
67
31.8%
Q3 - 7:12PacersMyles Turner makes two point putback layup75
64.4%
67
35.6%
Q3 - 7:14PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound73
61.5%
67
38.5%
Q3 - 7:17PacersBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot73
58.7%
67
41.3%
Q3 - 7:31HeatJimmy Butler turnover (traveling)73
61.5%
67
38.5%
Q3 - 7:44PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 3 of 373
57.5%
67
42.5%
Q3 - 7:44PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 2 of 372
56.8%
67
43.2%
Q3 - 7:44PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 372
59.5%
67
40.5%
Q3 - 7:44HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)71
58.7%
67
41.3%
Q3 - 8:02HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup71
53.7%
67
46.3%
Q3 - 8:10PacersTyrese Haliburton turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)71
56.6%
65
43.4%
Q3 - 8:19HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot71
60.7%
65
39.3%
Q3 - 8:34HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 171
63.5%
63
36.5%
Q3 - 8:34Pacers technical foul (Defensive three second)71
64.3%
62
35.7%
Q3 - 8:49PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)71
66.7%
62
33.3%
Q3 - 9:14HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 268
59.8%
62
40.2%
Q3 - 9:14HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 268
60.4%
61
39.6%
Q3 - 9:14PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)68
61.1%
60
38.9%
Q3 - 9:27PacersTyrese Haliburton personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)68
62.6%
60
37.4%
Q3 - 9:28HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound68
62.6%
60
37.4%
Q3 - 9:29PacersAaron Nesmith misses two point driving floating jump shot68
63.8%
60
36.2%
Q3 - 9:43PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound68
66.3%
60
33.7%
Q3 - 9:43HeatJimmy Butler misses two point putback layup68
65.2%
60
34.8%
Q3 - 9:44HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound68
62.7%
60
37.3%
Q3 - 9:47HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot68
65.2%
60
34.8%
Q3 - 10:06PacersAaron Nesmith turnover (traveling)68
61.6%
60
38.4%
Q3 - 10:08PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound68
65.1%
60
34.9%
Q3 - 10:11HeatGabe Vincent misses three point running jump shot68
64.1%
60
35.9%
Q3 - 10:13HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound68
61.6%
60
38.4%
Q3 - 10:17PacersBuddy Hield misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot68
62.7%
60
37.3%
Q3 - 10:27HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)68
65.2%
60
34.8%
Q3 - 10:33PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound68
65.2%
60
34.8%
Q3 - 10:35HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot68
64.1%
60
35.9%
Q3 - 10:59PacersBuddy Hield makes three point turnaround jump shot68
61.7%
60
38.3%
Q3 - 11:02PacersBuddy Hield offensive rebound65
54.6%
60
45.4%
Q3 - 11:03PacersMyles Turner misses two point finger roll layup65
52.2%
60
47.8%
Q3 - 11:23HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Loose ball) (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)65
54.6%
60
45.4%
Q3 - 11:23HeatGabe Vincent turnover (lost ball)65
54.6%
60
45.4%
Q3 - 11:36PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot65
51.2%
60
48.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.63
48.1%
60
51.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound63
44.6%
60
55.4%
Q2 - 0:02.3PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point driving floating bank jump shot63
45.4%
60
54.6%
Q2 - 0:18.3PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound63
47.3%
60
52.7%
Q2 - 0:20.1HeatCaleb Martin misses two point tip layup63
46.5%
60
53.5%
Q2 - 0:20.3HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound63
44.6%
60
55.4%
Q2 - 0:21.1HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot63
46.5%
60
53.5%
Q2 - 0:22.5HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound63
44.6%
60
55.4%
Q2 - 0:26.4HeatMyles Turner blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup63
46.5%
60
53.5%
Q2 - 0:35.5PacersBuddy Hield makes two point driving layup63
44.6%
60
55.4%
Q2 - 0:53.6PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound61
41.0%
60
59.0%
Q2 - 0:56.2HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot61
40.2%
60
59.8%
Q2 - 1:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound61
38.6%
60
61.4%
Q2 - 1:14PacersAndrew Nembhard misses regular free throw 2 of 261
38.9%
60
61.1%
Q2 - 1:14PacersAndrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 261
41.2%
60
58.8%
Q2 - 1:14HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)60
40.8%
60
59.2%
Q2 - 1:23PacersPacers offensive rebound60
37.8%
60
62.2%
Q2 - 1:23PacersHaywood Highsmith blocks Myles Turner's two point layup60
36.3%
60
63.7%
Q2 - 1:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)60
37.8%
60
62.2%
Q2 - 1:49PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point driving layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)60
41.5%
58
58.5%
Q2 - 2:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)58
38.0%
58
62.0%
Q2 - 2:14PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 258
40.7%
56
59.3%
Q2 - 2:14PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 257
40.1%
56
59.9%
Q2 - 2:14HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)56
39.4%
56
60.6%
Q2 - 2:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)56
38.0%
56
62.0%
Q2 - 2:43HeatHeat defensive rebound56
40.7%
54
59.3%
Q2 - 2:43PacersDaniel Theis misses two point alley-oop layup56
41.7%
54
58.3%
Q2 - 3:07HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 156
43.4%
54
56.6%
Q2 - 3:07PacersChris Duarte shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)56
43.8%
53
56.2%
Q2 - 3:18PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)56
48.6%
51
51.4%
Q2 - 3:32PacersDaniel Theis defensive rebound54
46.3%
51
53.7%
Q2 - 3:34HeatAndrew Nembhard blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup54
45.3%
51
54.7%
Q2 - 3:54PacersDaniel Theis makes two point running finger roll layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)54
42.9%
51
57.1%
Q2 - 3:59HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Aaron Nesmith steals)52
40.7%
51
59.3%
Q2 - 4:18HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound52
37.4%
51
62.6%
Q2 - 4:22PacersChris Duarte misses regular free throw 1 of 152
37.7%
51
62.3%
Q2 - 4:22HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Chris Duarte draws the foul)52
39.6%
51
60.4%
Q2 - 4:27PacersChris Duarte defensive rebound50
34.8%
51
65.2%
Q2 - 4:30HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot50
34.1%
51
65.9%
Q2 - 4:48PacersDaniel Theis makes two point driving finger roll layup (T.J. McConnell assists)50
32.3%
51
67.7%
Q2 - 5:01HeatJimmy Butler makes two point tip layup48
30.1%
51
69.9%
Q2 - 5:03HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound48
31.9%
49
68.1%
Q2 - 5:04HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot48
34.0%
49
66.0%
Q2 - 5:23PacersChris Duarte makes two point running layup48
31.9%
49
68.1%
Q2 - 5:26PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound46
30.0%
49
70.0%
Q2 - 5:29HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround hook shot46
29.2%
49
70.8%
Q2 - 5:44HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound46
27.3%
49
72.7%
Q2 - 5:47PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving layup46
28.2%
49
71.8%
Q2 - 5:56HeatCaleb Martin turnover (traveling)46
30.0%
49
70.0%
Q2 - 6:10PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point pullup jump shot46
27.5%
49
72.5%
Q2 - 6:22HeatCaleb Martin makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot44
25.8%
49
74.2%
Q2 - 6:38PacersAndrew Nembhard personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)44
27.5%
47
72.5%
Q2 - 6:53PacersAndrew Nembhard makes three point jump shot (Chris Duarte assists)44
27.5%
47
72.5%
Q2 - 7:09HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 241
23.9%
47
76.1%
Q2 - 7:09HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 241
24.2%
46
75.8%
Q2 - 7:09PacersBuddy Hield shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)41
24.6%
45
75.4%
Q2 - 7:29PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot41
25.7%
45
74.3%
Q2 - 7:52HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 239
23.9%
45
76.1%
Q2 - 7:52HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 239
24.2%
44
75.8%
Q2 - 7:52PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)39
24.6%
43
75.4%
Q2 - 7:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
25.6%
43
74.4%
Q2 - 7:55PacersChris Duarte misses two point driving floating bank jump shot39
26.3%
43
73.7%
Q2 - 8:11HeatMax Strus personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)39
27.9%
43
72.1%
Q2 - 8:22HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot39
27.9%
43
72.1%
Q2 - 8:45PacersT.J. McConnell makes three point jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)39
29.9%
41
70.1%
Q2 - 8:53PacersPacers defensive rebound36
25.8%
41
74.2%
Q2 - 8:54HeatGabe Vincent misses two point fadeaway jump shot36
25.2%
41
74.8%
Q2 - 9:12PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 236
23.8%
41
76.2%
Q2 - 9:12PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 235
23.5%
41
76.5%
Q2 - 9:12HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)34
23.2%
41
76.8%
Q2 - 9:19PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound34
22.1%
41
77.9%
Q2 - 9:22HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot34
21.5%
41
78.5%
Q2 - 9:36PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 234
20.3%
41
79.7%
Q2 - 9:36PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 233
20.0%
41
80.0%
Q2 - 9:36HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)32
19.6%
41
80.4%
Q2 - 9:41PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound32
18.8%
41
81.2%
Q2 - 9:43HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup32
18.3%
41
81.7%
Q2 - 10:05PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving layup (Bennedict Mathurin assists)32
17.5%
41
82.5%
Q2 - 10:15HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds step)30
16.2%
41
83.8%
Q2 - 10:26HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound30
14.8%
41
85.2%
Q2 - 10:32PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving bank hook shot30
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 10:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)30
16.2%
41
83.8%
Q2 - 10:57HeatMax Strus offensive rebound30
17.5%
39
82.5%
Q2 - 10:59HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point pullup jump shot30
18.6%
39
81.4%
Q2 - 11:08HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound30
17.9%
39
82.1%
Q2 - 11:11PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point fadeaway jump shot30
18.4%
39
81.6%
Q2 - 11:26PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound30
19.3%
39
80.7%
Q2 - 11:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot30
18.9%
39
81.1%
Q2 - 11:47HeatHeat defensive rebound30
17.9%
39
82.1%
Q2 - 11:47PacersBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot30
18.3%
39
81.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.30
19.3%
39
80.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot30
19.3%
39
80.7%
Q1 - 0:05.1PacersBuddy Hield makes three point pullup jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)30
21.0%
37
79.0%
Q1 - 0:26.6HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)27
17.9%
37
82.1%
Q1 - 0:45.1PacersBuddy Hield makes two point pullup jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)27
19.5%
35
80.5%
Q1 - 0:53.5PacersDaniel Theis defensive rebound25
17.9%
35
82.1%
Q1 - 0:55.8HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot25
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q1 - 1:10PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point stepback jump shot25
16.9%
35
83.1%
Q1 - 1:19PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound23
15.5%
35
84.5%
Q1 - 1:22HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot23
15.2%
35
84.8%
Q1 - 1:38PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point driving floating jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)23
14.4%
35
85.6%
Q1 - 1:53HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Chris Duarte draws the foul)21
13.2%
35
86.8%
Q1 - 2:09HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 221
13.7%
35
86.3%
Q1 - 2:09HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 221
13.8%
34
86.2%
Q1 - 2:09PacersT.J. McConnell shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)21
13.9%
33
86.1%
Q1 - 2:24PacersDaniel Theis makes two point cutting layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)21
14.7%
33
85.3%
Q1 - 2:34HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point turnaround jump shot (Max Strus assists)19
13.7%
33
86.3%
Q1 - 2:46HeatMax Strus defensive rebound19
14.7%
31
85.3%
Q1 - 2:51PacersTyrese Haliburton misses regular free throw 2 of 219
14.9%
31
85.1%
Q1 - 2:51PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 1 of 219
15.8%
31
84.2%
Q1 - 2:51HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)18
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q1 - 2:57HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)18
14.8%
31
85.2%
Q1 - 3:12PacersT.J. McConnell makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)18
16.0%
29
84.0%
Q1 - 3:28PacersPacers defensive rebound15
14.0%
29
86.0%
Q1 - 3:28HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot15
13.6%
29
86.4%
Q1 - 3:41PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot (Bennedict Mathurin assists)15
12.7%
29
87.3%
Q1 - 4:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running alley-oop layup (Caleb Martin assists)13
12.6%
29
87.4%
Q1 - 4:09PacersTyrese Haliburton turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)13
13.4%
27
86.6%
Q1 - 4:23HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating bank jump shot13
14.5%
27
85.5%
Q1 - 4:28HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound13
15.4%
25
84.6%
Q1 - 4:35PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point driving floating jump shot13
15.8%
25
84.2%
Q1 - 4:49HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)13
16.7%
25
83.3%
Q1 - 5:10HeatMax Strus defensive rebound13
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q1 - 5:14PacersT.J. McConnell misses regular free throw 1 of 113
16.0%
25
84.0%
Q1 - 5:14HeatMax Strus shooting foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)13
16.8%
25
83.2%
Q1 - 5:34HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running finger roll layup11
14.9%
25
85.1%
Q1 - 5:37PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)11
15.9%
23
84.1%
Q1 - 5:53HeatGabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)11
17.1%
23
82.9%
Q1 - 5:53HeatGabe Vincent offensive foul (Off the ball) (Myles Turner draws the foul)11
15.9%
23
84.1%
Q1 - 6:12PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point driving dunk (Tyrese Haliburton assists)11
16.2%
23
83.8%
Q1 - 6:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)9
15.1%
23
84.9%
Q1 - 6:39HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound9
16.1%
21
83.9%
Q1 - 6:43PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point pullup jump shot9
16.5%
21
83.5%
Q1 - 6:52HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)9
17.3%
21
82.7%
Q1 - 7:05HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound9
19.8%
18
80.2%
Q1 - 7:07PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point fadeaway jump shot9
20.2%
18
79.8%
Q1 - 7:22HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)9
21.2%
18
78.8%
Q1 - 7:40HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound9
23.8%
15
76.2%
Q1 - 7:42PacersBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot9
24.3%
15
75.7%
Q1 - 7:59HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)9
25.4%
15
74.6%
Q1 - 8:11HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound9
28.3%
12
71.7%
Q1 - 8:13PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot9
28.9%
12
71.1%
Q1 - 8:27HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 3 of 39
30.1%
12
69.9%
Q1 - 8:27HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 39
30.3%
11
69.7%
Q1 - 8:27HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 39
30.5%
10
69.5%
Q1 - 8:27PacersBuddy Hield shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)9
30.7%
9
69.3%
Q1 - 8:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
33.3%
9
66.7%
Q1 - 8:37PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point running jump shot9
33.8%
9
66.2%
Q1 - 8:45PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound9
35.2%
9
64.8%
Q1 - 8:48HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup9
34.6%
9
65.4%
Q1 - 8:56HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound9
33.3%
9
66.7%
Q1 - 8:59HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot9
34.6%
9
65.4%
Q1 - 9:17PacersBuddy Hield makes three point pullup jump shot9
33.2%
9
66.8%
Q1 - 9:34HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Loose ball) (Myles Turner draws the foul)6
30.1%
9
69.9%
Q1 - 9:34PacersPacers offensive rebound6
30.1%
9
69.9%
Q1 - 9:34PacersBuddy Hield misses two point fadeaway jump shot6
28.9%
9
71.1%
Q1 - 9:46HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 26
30.1%
9
69.9%
Q1 - 9:46HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 26
30.2%
8
69.8%
Q1 - 9:46PacersAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)6
30.4%
7
69.6%
Q1 - 9:46HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound6
31.6%
7
68.4%
Q1 - 9:47HeatTyrese Haliburton blocks Caleb Martin's three point jump shot6
32.8%
7
67.2%
Q1 - 10:12PacersAaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)6
31.4%
7
68.6%
Q1 - 10:26HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 23
28.4%
7
71.6%
Q1 - 10:26HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 23
28.7%
6
71.3%
Q1 - 10:26PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)3
29.1%
5
70.9%
Q1 - 10:35PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)3
29.8%
5
70.2%
Q1 - 10:54HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)0
27.0%
5
73.0%
Q1 - 11:04HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound0
28.2%
3
71.8%
Q1 - 11:07PacersAaron Nesmith misses two point layup0
28.7%
3
71.3%
Q1 - 11:37HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)0
29.9%
3
70.1%
Q1 - 12:00Myles Turner vs. Bam Adebayo (Tyler Herro gains possession)0
32.7%
0
67.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.19 59.7%
MIA
1.17 58.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
14
20
70%
MIA
12
22
55%
Midrange
IND
9
25
36%
MIA
19
38
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
15
22.5
33
45%
68%
MIA
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
IND
20
28
71%
MIA
36
39
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Hield2976%14.5 / 19
M. Turner2181%10.5 / 13
T. McConnell1875%9.0 / 12
T. Haliburton1150%5.5 / 11
A. Nembhard1050%5.0 / 10
D. Theis956%4.5 / 8
A. Nesmith739%3.5 / 9
C. Duarte450%2.0 / 4
B. Mathurin233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo3883%19.0 / 23
J. Butler2563%12.5 / 20
G. Vincent1761%8.5 / 14
T. Herro1544%7.5 / 17
C. Martin1246%6.0 / 13
H. Highsmith440%2.0 / 5
M. Strus375%1.5 / 2
O. Robinson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
84
+8
-11
92
MIA
84
+15
-11
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.19 59.7%
MIA
1.17 58.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.3
112.9
IND 116.8
MIA 122.1 +5.3
Pace
101.3
96.3
IND 92.7
MIA 97.5 +4.8
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
15.0
IND 15.5
MIA 14.8 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.5%
53.0%
IND 58.3% +7.7%
MIA 50.6%
TO %
13.9%
13.2%
IND 10.9% +1.0%
MIA 11.9%
ORB %
23.4%
22.8%
IND 13.2%
MIA 36.6% +23.4%
FTrt
26.5
27.0
IND 35.9
MIA 49.4 +13.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.3%
60.8%
IND 63.2% +6.4%
MIA 56.8%
STL %
7.6%
8.2%
IND 3.2%
MIA 7.4% +4.2%
BLK %
10.4%
6.3%
IND 8.3% +1.6%
MIA 6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.7%
55.9%
IND 59.7% +1.1%
MIA 58.6%
Rim FG%
60.5%
62.6%
IND 70.0% +15.5%
MIA 54.5%
Mid FG%
42.8%
45.3%
IND 36.0%
MIA 50.0% +14.0%
3P %
36.7%
34.4%
IND 45.5% +13.9%
MIA 31.6%
FT %
79.0%
83.1%
IND 71.4%
MIA 92.3% +20.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
29.9%
IND 25.6%
MIA 27.8% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
21.6%
29.4%
IND 32.1% +16.0%
MIA 48.1%
3P Att. %
41.2%
40.8%
IND 42.3% +18.3%
MIA 24.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points111116
Rebounds3148
Assists2421
Steals37
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)11 (2)
Fouls2522
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)15 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)33 (5)
Field Goals38-7837-79
At-the-Rim FG14-2012-22
Midrange FG9-2519-38
2-Point FG23-4531-60
3-Point FG15-336-19
Free Throws20-2836-39
Fast Break Pts614
2nd Chance Pts1320
Points in Paint4252
Pts off Turnovers1512
Bench Points339
Biggest Lead916

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 23
37.0
11
50%
2
10
1
1
4
2
0
2
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
#24 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 29
36.5
29
76%
7
2
1
1
1
3
2
5
3-3
100%
4-6
67%
6-12
50%
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27
29.9
21
81%
10
0
0
2
0
6
2
8
10-11
91%
1-4
25%
3-5
60%
#23 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 23
29.6
7
39%
3
1
1
0
1
6
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
#2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 23
28.4
10
50%
1
1
0
1
2
2
1
0
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
#9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31
27.3
18
75%
3
6
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-1
0%
6-9
67%
2-3
67%
#3 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 26
19.9
4
50%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 31
18.1
9
56%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
#00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21
13.4
2
33%
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#22 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#25 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#21 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#88 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 36
DNP – Coach's Decision
#10 · SG · 6'8" 205 · 20
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#8 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
60%
31
24
3
5
11
25
5
26
20-28
71%
23-45
51%
15-33
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.