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All Games Friday, January 27, 2023
FinalWin Prob.pScore
25
Magic
33%103
105
6
Heat
67%110
110
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
106.199106.1
MIA logo MIA
110.010095.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.105
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:03.1MagicCole Anthony turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)105
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.6MagicMarkelle Fultz defensive rebound105
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.8HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 2105
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.8HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.8MagicFranz Wagner personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)105
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.7HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound105
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 0:10.2MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point pullup jump shot105
0.9%
109
99.1%
Q4 - 0:13.6HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2105
2.7%
109
97.3%
Q4 - 0:13.6HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
3.0%
108
97.0%
Q4 - 0:13.6MagicMarkelle Fultz personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)105
3.3%
107
96.7%
Q4 - 0:17.3MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point driving layup105
6.3%
107
93.7%
Q4 - 0:24.0HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
3.9%
107
96.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2103
4.3%
106
95.7%
Q4 - 0:24.0MagicWendell Carter Jr. personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)103
2.1%
106
97.9%
Q4 - 0:26.9HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound103
3.6%
106
96.4%
Q4 - 0:28.9MagicPaolo Banchero misses regular free throw 3 of 3103
4.3%
106
95.7%
Q4 - 0:28.9MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 3103
7.0%
106
93.0%
Q4 - 0:28.9MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 3102
5.9%
106
94.1%
Q4 - 0:28.9HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)101
4.9%
106
95.1%
Q4 - 0:34.9HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot101
2.0%
106
98.0%
Q4 - 0:53.8MagicGary Harris makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)101
7.8%
104
92.2%
Q4 - 0:58.9HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 298
2.8%
104
97.2%
Q4 - 0:58.9HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 298
3.1%
103
96.9%
Q4 - 0:58.9MagicWendell Carter Jr. personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)98
3.6%
102
96.4%
Q4 - 1:17MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (traveling)98
5.6%
102
94.4%
Q4 - 1:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 198
10.9%
102
89.1%
Q4 - 1:29MagicWendell Carter Jr. shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)98
11.5%
101
88.5%
Q4 - 1:46MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Franz Wagner assists)98
24.6%
99
75.4%
Q4 - 1:53HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)95
12.2%
99
87.8%
Q4 - 2:13MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 295
15.9%
97
84.1%
Q4 - 2:13MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 294
15.2%
97
84.8%
Q4 - 2:13HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)93
14.3%
97
85.7%
Q4 - 2:22HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)93
12.5%
97
87.5%
Q4 - 2:38HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound93
6.7%
97
93.3%
Q4 - 2:41MagicPaolo Banchero misses regular free throw 2 of 293
7.2%
97
92.8%
Q4 - 2:41MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 293
9.5%
97
90.5%
Q4 - 2:41HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)92
8.5%
97
91.5%
Q4 - 3:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)92
9.5%
97
90.5%
Q4 - 3:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound92
12.4%
95
87.6%
Q4 - 3:08MagicBam Adebayo blocks Paolo Banchero's two point driving layup92
14.3%
95
85.7%
Q4 - 3:15MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound92
19.9%
95
80.1%
Q4 - 3:20HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot92
17.1%
95
82.9%
Q4 - 3:30HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound92
12.0%
95
88.0%
Q4 - 3:34MagicCaleb Martin blocks Markelle Fultz's two point running layup92
17.4%
95
82.6%
Q4 - 3:38MagicMarkelle Fultz defensive rebound92
21.4%
95
78.6%
Q4 - 3:40HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot92
19.5%
95
80.5%
Q4 - 3:59MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 192
15.4%
95
84.6%
Q4 - 3:59HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)91
14.5%
95
85.5%
Q4 - 4:19HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)89
8.2%
95
91.8%
Q4 - 4:38MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point driving layup89
15.2%
92
84.8%
Q4 - 4:48HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)87
11.3%
92
88.7%
Q4 - 5:00MagicWendell Carter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)87
7.9%
92
92.1%
Q4 - 5:00MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive foul (Charge) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)87
11.3%
92
88.7%
Q4 - 5:07MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound87
13.0%
92
87.0%
Q4 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving bank jump shot87
11.9%
92
88.1%
Q4 - 5:31HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound87
9.5%
92
90.5%
Q4 - 5:38MagicGary Harris misses three point jump shot87
10.5%
92
89.5%
Q4 - 6:00HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)87
12.9%
92
87.1%
Q4 - 6:11HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound87
17.7%
90
82.3%
Q4 - 6:14MagicCole Anthony misses three point jump shot87
19.3%
90
80.7%
Q4 - 6:34HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running reverse layup87
23.3%
90
76.7%
Q4 - 6:42MagicCole Anthony turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)87
27.8%
88
72.2%
Q4 - 6:49MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound87
35.2%
88
64.8%
Q4 - 6:52HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving layup87
32.8%
88
67.2%
Q4 - 6:59MagicBol Bol personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)87
27.8%
88
72.2%
Q4 - 7:19MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jalen Suggs assists)87
27.7%
88
72.3%
Q4 - 7:34HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 285
23.7%
88
76.3%
Q4 - 7:34HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 285
24.3%
87
75.7%
Q4 - 7:34MagicWendell Carter Jr. shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)85
25.1%
86
74.9%
Q4 - 7:36MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)85
27.7%
86
72.3%
Q4 - 7:52MagicBol Bol defensive rebound85
34.6%
86
65.4%
Q4 - 7:55HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot85
32.4%
86
67.6%
Q4 - 8:08MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 285
28.2%
86
71.8%
Q4 - 8:08MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 284
27.2%
86
72.8%
Q4 - 8:08HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)83
26.1%
86
73.9%
Q4 - 8:12MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound83
23.7%
86
76.3%
Q4 - 8:16HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot83
22.3%
86
77.7%
Q4 - 8:25MagicCole Anthony personal foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)83
19.3%
86
80.7%
Q4 - 8:27HeatMax Strus defensive rebound83
19.3%
86
80.7%
Q4 - 8:30MagicBol Bol misses three point jump shot83
20.5%
86
79.5%
Q4 - 8:38HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (Cole Anthony draws the foul)83
23.7%
86
76.3%
Q4 - 8:52HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point stepback jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)83
23.7%
86
76.3%
Q4 - 9:08MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (out of bounds bad pass)83
28.0%
84
72.0%
Q4 - 9:23HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)83
33.5%
84
66.5%
Q4 - 9:30MagicMoritz Wagner turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)83
44.1%
81
55.9%
Q4 - 9:45HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)83
50.5%
81
49.5%
Q4 - 10:01MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving finger roll layup83
59.6%
78
40.4%
Q4 - 10:10MagicMoritz Wagner defensive rebound81
54.8%
78
45.2%
Q4 - 10:14HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot81
53.0%
78
47.0%
Q4 - 10:28HeatHeat defensive rebound81
48.8%
78
51.2%
Q4 - 10:31MagicCole Anthony misses three point jump shot81
50.6%
78
49.4%
Q4 - 10:40HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 281
54.9%
78
45.1%
Q4 - 10:40HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 281
55.5%
77
44.5%
Q4 - 10:40MagicMoritz Wagner shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)81
56.3%
76
43.7%
Q4 - 10:57HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound81
59.7%
76
40.3%
Q4 - 11:00MagicFranz Wagner misses two point driving floating jump shot81
61.5%
76
38.5%
Q4 - 11:19HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)81
63.6%
76
36.4%
Q4 - 11:42MagicMoritz Wagner makes two point cutting dunk (Jalen Suggs assists)81
72.6%
73
27.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.79
68.4%
73
31.6%
Q3 - 0:00.8MagicJalen Suggs makes regular free throw 2 of 279
61.8%
73
38.2%
Q3 - 0:00.8MagicJalen Suggs makes regular free throw 1 of 278
60.8%
73
39.2%
Q3 - 0:00.8HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)77
59.7%
73
40.3%
Q3 - 0:06.0MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound77
57.0%
73
43.0%
Q3 - 0:10.4HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point fadeaway jump shot77
55.5%
73
44.5%
Q3 - 0:27.5HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound77
52.3%
73
47.7%
Q3 - 0:31.4MagicJalen Suggs misses three point stepback jump shot77
53.8%
73
46.2%
Q3 - 0:35.9HeatMax Strus turnover (out of bounds step)77
57.1%
73
42.9%
Q3 - 0:50.9MagicCole Anthony makes regular free throw 2 of 277
52.3%
73
47.7%
Q3 - 0:50.9MagicCole Anthony makes regular free throw 1 of 276
51.7%
73
48.3%
Q3 - 0:50.9HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Cole Anthony draws the foul)75
51.1%
73
48.9%
Q3 - 1:02MagicMagic defensive rebound75
46.3%
73
53.7%
Q3 - 1:03HeatCaleb Martin misses three point stepback jump shot75
44.8%
73
55.2%
Q3 - 1:24MagicMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 175
41.4%
73
58.6%
Q3 - 1:24HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)74
40.8%
73
59.2%
Q3 - 1:40MagicBol Bol defensive rebound72
33.0%
73
67.0%
Q3 - 1:45HeatMax Strus misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot72
31.7%
73
68.3%
Q3 - 1:54MagicMoritz Wagner personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)72
28.8%
73
71.2%
Q3 - 1:54HeatHeat offensive rebound72
28.8%
73
71.2%
Q3 - 1:54HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot72
31.7%
73
68.3%
Q3 - 2:10HeatHeat defensive rebound72
28.7%
73
71.3%
Q3 - 2:11MagicJalen Suggs misses three point jump shot72
29.9%
73
70.1%
Q3 - 2:23HeatOrlando Robinson personal foul (Loose ball) (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)72
32.8%
73
67.2%
Q3 - 2:23HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass)72
32.8%
73
67.2%
Q3 - 2:42MagicFranz Wagner makes three point jump shot (Jalen Suggs assists)72
28.7%
73
71.3%
Q3 - 3:01HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)69
23.0%
73
77.0%
Q3 - 3:07HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound69
28.9%
70
71.1%
Q3 - 3:10MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point stepback jump shot69
30.1%
70
69.9%
Q3 - 3:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 269
33.1%
70
66.9%
Q3 - 3:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 269
33.6%
69
66.4%
Q3 - 3:21MagicMoritz Wagner shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)69
34.1%
68
65.9%
Q3 - 3:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound69
36.3%
68
63.7%
Q3 - 3:29MagicMoritz Wagner misses three point jump shot69
37.7%
68
62.3%
Q3 - 3:46HeatKyle Lowry makes three point stepback jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)69
41.0%
68
59.0%
Q3 - 4:11MagicMoritz Wagner turnover (offensive foul)69
47.8%
65
52.2%
Q3 - 4:11MagicMoritz Wagner offensive foul (Off the ball) (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)69
52.5%
65
47.5%
Q3 - 4:16MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound69
52.6%
65
47.4%
Q3 - 4:18HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot69
51.1%
65
48.9%
Q3 - 4:30MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (offensive foul)69
47.8%
65
52.2%
Q3 - 4:30MagicMarkelle Fultz offensive foul (Off the ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)69
52.6%
65
47.4%
Q3 - 4:34MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound69
52.6%
65
47.4%
Q3 - 4:39HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot69
51.2%
65
48.8%
Q3 - 4:54HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound69
47.8%
65
52.2%
Q3 - 4:59MagicMarkelle Fultz misses three point jump shot69
49.3%
65
50.7%
Q3 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo turnover (3-second violation)69
51.5%
65
48.5%
Q3 - 5:21HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound69
47.2%
65
52.8%
Q3 - 5:25MagicFranz Wagner misses two point driving floating jump shot69
48.5%
65
51.5%
Q3 - 5:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot69
51.5%
65
48.5%
Q3 - 6:07HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound69
53.8%
63
46.2%
Q3 - 6:12MagicFranz Wagner misses three point jump shot69
55.1%
63
44.9%
Q3 - 6:18HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Gary Harris steals)69
57.9%
63
42.1%
Q3 - 6:31MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)69
53.9%
63
46.1%
Q3 - 6:34MagicFranz Wagner offensive rebound67
50.4%
63
49.6%
Q3 - 6:38MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point pullup jump shot67
47.6%
63
52.4%
Q3 - 6:58HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup bank jump shot67
50.4%
63
49.6%
Q3 - 7:09HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound67
52.7%
61
47.3%
Q3 - 7:13MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot67
54.0%
61
46.0%
Q3 - 7:23MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound67
56.9%
61
43.1%
Q3 - 7:26HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot67
55.6%
61
44.4%
Q3 - 7:31MagicWendell Carter Jr. personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)67
52.8%
61
47.2%
Q3 - 7:38MagicPaolo Banchero makes two point pullup jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)67
52.8%
61
47.2%
Q3 - 7:55HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot65
49.6%
61
50.4%
Q3 - 8:11MagicPaolo Banchero makes three point stepback jump shot (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)65
55.3%
58
44.7%
Q3 - 8:22MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound62
48.9%
58
51.1%
Q3 - 8:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot62
47.6%
58
52.4%
Q3 - 9:00MagicFranz Wagner makes three point jump shot (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)62
44.7%
58
55.3%
Q3 - 9:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)59
37.9%
58
62.1%
Q3 - 9:23HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound59
40.7%
56
59.3%
Q3 - 9:27HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot59
43.4%
56
56.6%
Q3 - 9:48MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)59
40.8%
56
59.2%
Q3 - 10:16HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround bank jump shot59
43.9%
56
56.1%
Q3 - 10:37MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (traveling)59
46.8%
54
53.2%
Q3 - 10:53HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot59
50.6%
54
49.4%
Q3 - 11:14MagicPaolo Banchero turnover (offensive foul)59
52.6%
52
47.4%
Q3 - 11:14MagicPaolo Banchero offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)59
56.0%
52
44.0%
Q3 - 11:16MagicMagic offensive rebound59
56.0%
52
44.0%
Q3 - 11:17MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point reverse layup59
53.7%
52
46.3%
Q3 - 11:39HeatCaleb Martin makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)59
56.1%
52
43.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.59
59.2%
50
40.8%
Q2 - 0:02.9MagicPaolo Banchero defensive rebound59
60.9%
50
39.1%
Q2 - 0:02.9HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot59
60.1%
50
39.9%
Q2 - 0:09.6MagicCole Anthony makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)59
58.4%
50
41.6%
Q2 - 0:29.2HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Max Strus assists)56
51.6%
50
48.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound56
55.3%
48
44.7%
Q2 - 0:36.5MagicGary Harris misses three point stepback jump shot56
56.1%
48
43.9%
Q2 - 0:49.5MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound56
58.0%
48
42.0%
Q2 - 0:49.5HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot56
57.2%
48
42.8%
Q2 - 1:00HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound56
55.3%
48
44.7%
Q2 - 1:02MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point driving layup56
55.3%
48
44.7%
Q2 - 1:17HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)56
56.9%
48
43.1%
Q2 - 1:20HeatHeat offensive rebound56
60.8%
46
39.2%
Q2 - 1:20HeatMarkelle Fultz blocks Orlando Robinson's two point layup56
62.3%
46
37.7%
Q2 - 1:20HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound56
60.8%
46
39.2%
Q2 - 1:23HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot56
62.3%
46
37.7%
Q2 - 1:46MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point jump shot (Gary Harris assists)56
60.8%
46
39.2%
Q2 - 1:58MagicGary Harris defensive rebound54
57.0%
46
43.0%
Q2 - 2:03HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot54
55.3%
46
44.7%
Q2 - 2:18HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound54
53.1%
46
46.9%
Q2 - 2:21MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point jump shot54
54.1%
46
45.9%
Q2 - 2:32MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound54
56.3%
46
43.7%
Q2 - 2:38HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot54
55.3%
46
44.7%
Q2 - 2:53MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 254
53.2%
46
46.8%
Q2 - 2:53MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 253
52.6%
46
47.4%
Q2 - 2:53HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)52
51.9%
46
48.1%
Q2 - 3:07HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup52
49.4%
46
50.6%
Q2 - 3:18HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound52
51.8%
44
48.2%
Q2 - 3:22HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 252
54.7%
44
45.3%
Q2 - 3:22HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 252
52.7%
44
47.3%
Q2 - 3:22MagicPaolo Banchero shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)52
53.1%
43
46.9%
Q2 - 3:31MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point dunk52
54.7%
43
45.3%
Q2 - 3:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot50
52.4%
43
47.6%
Q2 - 3:59MagicCole Anthony makes regular free throw 2 of 250
54.7%
41
45.3%
Q2 - 3:59MagicCole Anthony misses regular free throw 1 of 249
54.4%
41
45.6%
Q2 - 3:59HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Cole Anthony draws the foul)49
56.8%
41
43.2%
Q2 - 4:01MagicMagic offensive rebound49
53.9%
41
46.1%
Q2 - 4:01MagicOrlando Robinson blocks Paolo Banchero's two point driving layup49
51.9%
41
48.1%
Q2 - 4:20HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Max Strus assists)49
53.9%
41
46.1%
Q2 - 4:29HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound49
56.7%
39
43.3%
Q2 - 4:34HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot49
58.6%
39
41.4%
Q2 - 4:38HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound49
56.7%
39
43.3%
Q2 - 4:41MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses two point driving layup49
57.5%
39
42.5%
Q2 - 4:59MagicMagic defensive rebound49
59.5%
39
40.5%
Q2 - 5:00HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot49
58.7%
39
41.3%
Q2 - 5:14MagicGary Harris makes three point jump shot (Wendell Carter Jr. assists)49
55.6%
39
44.4%
Q2 - 5:23HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Suggs steals)46
50.7%
39
49.3%
Q2 - 5:33HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound46
47.4%
39
52.6%
Q2 - 5:37MagicGary Harris misses three point running jump shot46
48.4%
39
51.6%
Q2 - 5:43MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound46
50.7%
39
49.3%
Q2 - 5:47HeatTyler Herro misses two point running pullup jump shot46
49.7%
39
50.3%
Q2 - 5:51HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound46
47.5%
39
52.5%
Q2 - 5:54MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point jump shot46
48.5%
39
51.5%
Q2 - 6:01HeatTyler Herro makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)46
50.2%
39
49.8%
Q2 - 6:15MagicJalen Suggs makes regular free throw 2 of 246
52.3%
37
47.7%
Q2 - 6:15MagicJalen Suggs misses regular free throw 1 of 245
51.8%
37
48.2%
Q2 - 6:15HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jalen Suggs draws the foul)45
53.8%
37
46.2%
Q2 - 6:20HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot45
52.9%
37
47.1%
Q2 - 6:32MagicFranz Wagner makes three point jump shot (Jalen Suggs assists)45
55.0%
35
45.0%
Q2 - 6:44MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound42
50.2%
35
49.8%
Q2 - 6:46HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 242
49.8%
35
50.2%
Q2 - 6:46HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 242
48.0%
35
52.0%
Q2 - 6:46MagicMoritz Wagner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)42
48.6%
34
51.4%
Q2 - 6:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound42
49.6%
34
50.4%
Q2 - 7:04MagicPaolo Banchero misses three point jump shot42
50.0%
34
50.0%
Q2 - 7:14HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 242
52.0%
34
48.0%
Q2 - 7:14HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 242
52.5%
33
47.5%
Q2 - 7:14MagicBol Bol shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)42
53.0%
32
47.0%
Q2 - 7:30MagicMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 242
54.4%
32
45.6%
Q2 - 7:30MagicMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 241
54.0%
32
46.0%
Q2 - 7:30HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)40
53.6%
32
46.4%
Q2 - 7:39MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound40
52.0%
32
48.0%
Q2 - 7:43HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot40
51.1%
32
48.9%
Q2 - 7:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound40
49.2%
32
50.8%
Q2 - 8:00MagicCole Anthony misses three point jump shot40
50.0%
32
50.0%
Q2 - 8:08MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound40
51.4%
32
48.6%
Q2 - 8:12HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot40
50.6%
32
49.4%
Q2 - 8:18MagicFranz Wagner personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)40
48.7%
32
51.3%
Q2 - 8:18HeatHeat offensive rebound40
48.7%
32
51.3%
Q2 - 8:18HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot40
50.6%
32
49.4%
Q2 - 8:30MagicCole Anthony makes three point jump shot (Moritz Wagner assists)40
48.7%
32
51.3%
Q2 - 8:48HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)37
43.7%
32
56.3%
Q2 - 8:57MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 237
48.7%
29
51.3%
Q2 - 8:57MagicFranz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 236
48.4%
29
51.6%
Q2 - 8:57HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Franz Wagner draws the foul)35
48.1%
29
51.9%
Q2 - 9:07MagicMagic offensive rebound35
45.7%
29
54.3%
Q2 - 9:07MagicMoritz Wagner misses two point layup35
43.9%
29
56.1%
Q2 - 9:17MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound35
45.7%
29
54.3%
Q2 - 9:21HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot35
44.9%
29
55.1%
Q2 - 9:32MagicBol Bol makes regular free throw 2 of 235
43.1%
29
56.9%
Q2 - 9:32MagicBol Bol makes regular free throw 1 of 234
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q2 - 9:32HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Bol Bol draws the foul)33
41.9%
29
58.1%
Q2 - 9:49HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)33
40.8%
29
59.2%
Q2 - 10:05MagicJalen Suggs turnover (out of bounds bad pass)33
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q2 - 10:08MagicJalen Suggs defensive rebound33
47.9%
26
52.1%
Q2 - 10:12HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot33
47.1%
26
52.9%
Q2 - 10:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound33
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q2 - 10:21MagicJalen Suggs misses two point fadeaway jump shot33
46.1%
26
53.9%
Q2 - 10:33MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound33
47.9%
26
52.1%
Q2 - 10:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot33
47.1%
26
52.9%
Q2 - 10:42HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound33
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q2 - 10:47MagicMoritz Wagner misses three point jump shot33
46.1%
26
53.9%
Q2 - 11:01HeatMax Strus turnover (lost ball) (Moritz Wagner steals)33
46.6%
26
53.4%
Q2 - 11:11MagicBol Bol turnover (traveling)33
44.4%
26
55.6%
Q2 - 11:18MagicBol Bol defensive rebound33
46.7%
26
53.3%
Q2 - 11:22HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot33
46.0%
26
54.0%
Q2 - 11:40MagicMoritz Wagner makes two point running layup (Jalen Suggs assists)33
44.4%
26
55.6%
Q2 - 11:45HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Suggs steals)31
42.0%
26
58.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
39.8%
26
60.2%
Q1 - 0:00.2HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound31
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q1 - 0:01.2MagicCole Anthony misses two point stepback jump shot31
39.7%
26
60.3%
Q1 - 0:20.0MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound31
41.1%
26
58.9%
Q1 - 0:23.5HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot31
40.5%
26
59.5%
Q1 - 0:33.9MagicCole Anthony makes two point driving finger roll layup31
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q1 - 0:39.6HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (traveling)29
36.7%
26
63.3%
Q1 - 0:52.8MagicCole Anthony makes three point jump shot (Bol Bol assists)29
34.7%
26
65.3%
Q1 - 1:05MagicMoritz Wagner defensive rebound26
30.5%
26
69.5%
Q1 - 1:08HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot26
29.9%
26
70.1%
Q1 - 1:27MagicFranz Wagner makes two point layup26
28.7%
26
71.3%
Q1 - 1:49HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)24
26.6%
26
73.4%
Q1 - 2:09MagicCole Anthony turnover (out of bounds bad pass)24
28.5%
24
71.5%
Q1 - 2:23HeatTyler Herro makes two point running pullup jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)24
30.4%
24
69.6%
Q1 - 2:28HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound24
32.3%
22
67.7%
Q1 - 2:32MagicMarkelle Fultz misses three point jump shot24
32.9%
22
67.1%
Q1 - 2:35MagicBol Bol defensive rebound24
34.4%
22
65.6%
Q1 - 2:40HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot24
33.7%
22
66.3%
Q1 - 3:01MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point pullup jump shot24
31.9%
22
68.1%
Q1 - 3:22HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)22
30.4%
22
69.6%
Q1 - 3:42HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound22
33.9%
19
66.1%
Q1 - 3:44MagicPaolo Banchero misses regular free throw 1 of 122
34.2%
19
65.8%
Q1 - 3:44HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)22
35.5%
19
64.5%
Q1 - 3:46MagicBol Bol defensive rebound20
32.3%
19
67.7%
Q1 - 3:51HeatKyle Lowry misses three point running jump shot20
31.6%
19
68.4%
Q1 - 3:55HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound20
30.0%
19
70.0%
Q1 - 3:58MagicWendell Carter Jr. misses three point running pullup jump shot20
30.7%
19
69.3%
Q1 - 4:03MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound20
32.0%
19
68.0%
Q1 - 4:07HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot20
31.4%
19
68.6%
Q1 - 4:25MagicCole Anthony makes three point running jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)20
29.9%
19
70.1%
Q1 - 4:29MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound17
26.8%
19
73.2%
Q1 - 4:34HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot17
26.2%
19
73.8%
Q1 - 4:46MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point running dunk (Paolo Banchero assists)17
24.9%
19
75.1%
Q1 - 4:49HeatOrlando Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Paolo Banchero steals)15
23.6%
19
76.4%
Q1 - 5:03HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 115
22.0%
19
78.0%
Q1 - 5:03Magic technical foul (Defensive three second)15
22.3%
18
77.7%
Q1 - 5:16MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes two point putback layup15
23.4%
18
76.6%
Q1 - 5:18MagicWendell Carter Jr. offensive rebound13
22.2%
18
77.8%
Q1 - 5:21MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point pullup jump shot13
21.1%
18
78.9%
Q1 - 5:32MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound13
22.2%
18
77.8%
Q1 - 5:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot13
21.7%
18
78.3%
Q1 - 5:39HeatHeat offensive rebound13
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 5:39HeatMarkelle Fultz blocks Kyle Lowry's two point cutting layup13
21.7%
18
78.3%
Q1 - 5:49HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 113
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 5:49Magic technical foul (Defensive three second)13
21.0%
17
79.0%
Q1 - 5:58MagicCole Anthony makes regular free throw 2 of 213
22.0%
17
78.0%
Q1 - 5:58MagicCole Anthony makes regular free throw 1 of 212
21.8%
17
78.2%
Q1 - 5:58HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Cole Anthony draws the foul)11
21.7%
17
78.3%
Q1 - 6:01MagicCole Anthony defensive rebound11
20.8%
17
79.2%
Q1 - 6:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot11
20.4%
17
79.6%
Q1 - 6:29MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 2 of 211
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 6:29MagicPaolo Banchero makes regular free throw 1 of 210
19.2%
17
80.8%
Q1 - 6:29HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Paolo Banchero draws the foul)9
18.9%
17
81.1%
Q1 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 19
18.3%
17
81.7%
Q1 - 6:40MagicPaolo Banchero shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)9
18.5%
16
81.5%
Q1 - 6:42MagicWendell Carter Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)9
20.7%
14
79.3%
Q1 - 6:53HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving bank jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)9
22.1%
14
77.9%
Q1 - 7:16MagicFranz Wagner makes two point driving layup9
23.4%
12
76.6%
Q1 - 7:35HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)7
22.1%
12
77.9%
Q1 - 7:47MagicWendell Carter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)7
23.4%
10
76.6%
Q1 - 7:55MagicWendell Carter Jr. defensive rebound4
20.8%
10
79.2%
Q1 - 7:57HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot4
20.4%
10
79.6%
Q1 - 8:08MagicGary Harris makes two point driving layup4
19.4%
10
80.6%
Q1 - 8:20HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 12
18.4%
10
81.6%
Q1 - 8:20MagicGary Harris shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)2
18.5%
9
81.5%
Q1 - 8:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
20.7%
7
79.3%
Q1 - 8:23MagicFranz Wagner misses two point running layup2
21.1%
7
78.9%
Q1 - 8:26MagicFranz Wagner defensive rebound2
22.1%
7
77.9%
Q1 - 8:29HeatWendell Carter Jr. blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving reverse layup2
21.7%
7
78.3%
Q1 - 8:54MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point pullup jump shot (Franz Wagner assists)2
20.7%
7
79.3%
Q1 - 9:10MagicMarkelle Fultz defensive rebound0
19.7%
7
80.3%
Q1 - 9:14HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot0
19.3%
7
80.7%
Q1 - 9:30MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)0
18.4%
7
81.6%
Q1 - 9:36MagicGary Harris defensive rebound0
19.7%
7
80.3%
Q1 - 9:41HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot0
19.3%
7
80.7%
Q1 - 9:45MagicFranz Wagner turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)0
18.4%
7
81.6%
Q1 - 10:07HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)0
19.7%
7
80.3%
Q1 - 10:22MagicWendell Carter Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
20.8%
5
79.2%
Q1 - 10:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)0
22.1%
5
77.9%
Q1 - 11:01MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)0
23.1%
3
76.9%
Q1 - 11:14HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 10
24.6%
3
75.4%
Q1 - 11:14MagicGary Harris shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)0
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 11:17HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound0
27.2%
0
72.8%
Q1 - 11:21HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot0
28.3%
0
71.7%
Q1 - 11:35HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
27.2%
0
72.8%
Q1 - 11:35MagicPaolo Banchero misses two point driving finger roll layup0
27.7%
0
72.3%
Q1 - 12:00Wendell Carter Jr. vs. Bam Adebayo (Markelle Fultz gains possession)0
28.8%
0
71.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.25 62.5%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
14
21
67%
MIA
14
18
78%
Midrange
ORL
7
14
50%
MIA
15
34
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
12
18.0
34
35%
53%
MIA
10
15.0
33
30%
45%
Free Throws
ORL
27
32
84%
MIA
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Banchero1950%9.5 / 19
F. Wagner1979%9.5 / 12
C. Anthony1986%9.5 / 10
W. Carter1673%8.0 / 11
M. Fultz1056%5.0 / 9
M. Wagner964%4.5 / 7
G. Harris867%4.0 / 6
J. Suggs330%1.5 / 5
B. Bol250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2969%14.5 / 21
B. Adebayo2059%10.0 / 17
M. Strus1794%8.5 / 9
C. Martin1372%6.5 / 9
G. Vincent1161%5.5 / 9
T. Herro1038%5.0 / 13
K. Lowry650%3.0 / 6
V. Oladipo213%1.0 / 8
H. Highsmith250%1.0 / 2
O. Robinson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
79
+5
-20
84
MIA
89
+9
-11
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.25 62.5%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.9
112.9
ORL 106.1
MIA 110.0 +3.9
Pace
99.1
96.3
ORL 106.1 +10.3
MIA 95.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.0
ORL 13.6 +1.5
MIA 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.2%
53.0%
ORL 56.5% +4.7%
MIA 51.8%
TO %
14.4%
13.2%
ORL 19.4%
MIA 10.2% +9.2%
ORB %
23.8%
22.8%
ORL 5.9%
MIA 11.6% +5.7%
FTrt
29.0
27.0
ORL 46.4 +15.8
MIA 30.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
60.8%
ORL 63.6%
MIA 71.8% +8.2%
STL %
7.4%
8.2%
ORL 5.1%
MIA 9.0% +3.9%
BLK %
9.4%
6.3%
ORL 5.8%
MIA 8.6% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.1%
55.9%
ORL 62.5% +6.4%
MIA 56.1%
Rim FG%
63.6%
62.6%
ORL 66.7%
MIA 77.8% +11.1%
Mid FG%
40.5%
45.3%
ORL 50.0% +5.9%
MIA 44.1%
3P %
34.6%
34.4%
ORL 35.3% +5.0%
MIA 30.3%
FT %
78.4%
83.1%
ORL 84.4%
MIA 84.6% +0.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
29.9%
ORL 30.4% +9.3%
MIA 21.2%
Mid Att. %
26.6%
29.4%
ORL 20.3% +19.7%
MIA 40.0%
3P Att. %
36.1%
40.8%
ORL 49.3% +10.5%
MIA 38.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions99100
Possession Minutes22.425.1
Points105110
Rebounds4037
Assists2128
Steals59
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)11 (0)
Fouls2319
Off. Rebounds (Team)2 (3)5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (2)32 (2)
Field Goals33-6939-85
At-the-Rim FG14-2114-18
Midrange FG7-1415-34
2-Point FG21-3529-52
3-Point FG12-3410-33
Free Throws27-3222-26
Fast Break Pts1016
2nd Chance Pts711
Points in Paint3254
Pts off Turnovers1332
Bench Points3332
Biggest Lead108

BOXSCORE

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25 Orlando Magic
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Paolo Banchero
#5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 20
35.7
19
50%
5
1
1
0
5
3
0
5
10-13
77%
3-8
38%
1-6
17%
Franz Wagner
#22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21
33.0
19
79%
6
2
0
0
1
2
1
5
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
3-4
75%
Wendell Carter Jr.
#34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 24
31.5
16
73%
8
3
0
1
3
6
1
7
0-0
-
5-6
83%
2-5
40%
Markelle Fultz
#20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 25
30.8
10
56%
3
6
0
2
4
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-2
0%
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 28
28.2
8
67%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
Cole Anthony
#50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
27.7
19
86%
7
1
0
0
3
1
0
7
5-6
83%
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
Bol Bol
#10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 23
19.8
2
50%
5
1
0
0
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Jalen Suggs
#4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22
17.2
3
30%
2
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
Moritz Wagner
#21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 26
16.1
9
64%
2
1
1
0
2
5
0
2
3-3
100%
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
Terrence Ross
#31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 32
DNP – Coach's Decision
Mo Bamba
#11 · C · 7'1" 225 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
Chuma Okeke
#3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery
Admiral Schofield
#25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 26
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
R.J. Hampton
#13 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 22
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kevon Harris
#7 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 26
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Isaac
#1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Injury Management
Caleb Houstan
#2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 20
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
63%
40
21
5
3
20
23
2
38
27-32
84%
21-35
60%
12-34
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.