FinalWin Prob.pScore
157%108
95
1743%106
98
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
101.19488.3
MIA logo MIA
103.295101.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.95
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:00.9CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)95
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 0:01.2CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)95
2.5%
97
97.5%
Q4 - 0:20.4HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)95
22.7%
97
77.3%
Q4 - 0:42.6CelticsGrant Williams makes three point stepback jump shot (Derrick White assists)95
42.7%
95
57.3%
Q4 - 0:57.2HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot92
20.5%
95
79.5%
Q4 - 1:04HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound92
30.6%
93
69.4%
Q4 - 1:07HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot92
41.7%
93
58.3%
Q4 - 1:20CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)92
32.8%
93
67.2%
Q4 - 1:27CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound92
48.2%
93
51.8%
Q4 - 1:29HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup92
43.9%
93
56.1%
Q4 - 1:48CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point tip layup92
35.0%
93
65.0%
Q4 - 1:48CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound90
26.6%
93
73.4%
Q4 - 1:50CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point stepback jump shot90
20.0%
93
80.0%
Q4 - 2:00CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound90
26.5%
93
73.5%
Q4 - 2:03HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 290
26.2%
93
73.8%
Q4 - 2:03HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 290
20.8%
93
79.2%
Q4 - 2:03CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)90
22.6%
92
77.4%
Q4 - 2:19CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 190
24.2%
92
75.8%
Q4 - 2:19HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)89
23.2%
92
76.8%
Q4 - 2:30CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound87
13.2%
92
86.8%
Q4 - 2:32HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot87
10.9%
92
89.1%
Q4 - 2:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
7.0%
92
93.0%
Q4 - 2:44CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot87
8.5%
92
91.5%
Q4 - 2:56CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound87
15.3%
92
84.7%
Q4 - 3:00HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot87
13.2%
92
86.8%
Q4 - 3:19HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound87
9.2%
92
90.8%
Q4 - 3:21CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot87
10.7%
92
89.3%
Q4 - 3:42HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot87
19.2%
92
80.8%
Q4 - 3:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
31.8%
89
68.2%
Q4 - 3:55CelticsDerrick White misses two point pullup jump shot87
34.4%
89
65.6%
Q4 - 4:14CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound87
40.5%
89
59.5%
Q4 - 4:16HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot87
37.6%
89
62.4%
Q4 - 4:38HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound87
31.3%
89
68.7%
Q4 - 4:41CelticsGrant Williams misses two point driving floating jump shot87
33.9%
89
66.1%
Q4 - 5:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)87
42.5%
89
57.5%
Q4 - 5:18HeatMax Strus defensive rebound87
49.9%
87
50.1%
Q4 - 5:20CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point driving hook shot87
52.5%
87
47.5%
Q4 - 5:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)87
58.4%
87
41.6%
Q4 - 5:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
65.5%
85
34.5%
Q4 - 5:50CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot87
67.9%
85
32.1%
Q4 - 6:18HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving bank hook shot87
71.9%
85
28.1%
Q4 - 6:34CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)87
76.4%
83
23.6%
Q4 - 6:50CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound87
82.1%
83
17.9%
Q4 - 6:54HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot87
80.5%
83
19.5%
Q4 - 7:01HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
75.2%
83
24.8%
Q4 - 7:04CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot87
77.0%
83
23.0%
Q4 - 7:25HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)87
80.7%
83
19.3%
Q4 - 7:32HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound87
87.1%
80
12.9%
Q4 - 7:37CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot87
88.2%
80
11.8%
Q4 - 7:46CelticsCeltics offensive rebound87
90.3%
80
9.7%
Q4 - 7:47CelticsDerrick White misses two point floating jump shot87
88.2%
80
11.8%
Q4 - 7:59CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound87
90.3%
80
9.7%
Q4 - 8:01HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot87
87.9%
80
12.1%
Q4 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
86.0%
80
14.0%
Q4 - 8:12CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot87
86.9%
80
13.1%
Q4 - 8:29HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point stepback jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)87
88.9%
80
11.1%
Q4 - 8:47CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Derrick White assists)87
92.9%
77
7.1%
Q4 - 9:03HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Payton Pritchard steals)85
90.2%
77
9.8%
Q4 - 9:10HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound85
87.7%
77
12.3%
Q4 - 9:14CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot85
88.5%
77
11.5%
Q4 - 9:15CelticsJustin Jackson defensive rebound85
90.2%
77
9.8%
Q4 - 9:21HeatGabe Vincent misses two point stepback jump shot85
89.5%
77
10.5%
Q4 - 9:32HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound85
87.7%
77
12.3%
Q4 - 9:36HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving floating jump shot85
89.6%
77
10.4%
Q4 - 9:54CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)85
87.8%
77
12.2%
Q4 - 10:08HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)82
80.8%
77
19.2%
Q4 - 10:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound82
83.7%
75
16.3%
Q4 - 10:25CelticsRobert Williams III misses two point floating jump shot82
84.7%
75
15.3%
Q4 - 10:42CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound82
86.8%
75
13.2%
Q4 - 10:46HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point pullup jump shot82
86.0%
75
14.0%
Q4 - 10:54HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound82
83.8%
75
16.2%
Q4 - 10:57CelticsJustin Jackson misses three point jump shot82
84.8%
75
15.2%
Q4 - 11:13CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound82
85.6%
75
14.4%
Q4 - 11:17HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot82
84.8%
75
15.2%
Q4 - 11:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound82
82.8%
75
17.2%
Q4 - 11:28CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot82
83.7%
75
16.3%
Q4 - 11:41CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound82
85.6%
75
14.4%
Q4 - 11:43HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot82
84.8%
75
15.2%
Q4 - 11:47HeatHeat offensive rebound82
82.8%
75
17.2%
Q4 - 11:48HeatGabe Vincent misses two point running finger roll layup82
84.8%
75
15.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.82
82.8%
75
17.2%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound82
82.1%
75
17.9%
Q3 - 0:01.1HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot82
84.0%
75
16.0%
Q3 - 0:03.2CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Take) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)82
82.2%
75
17.8%
Q3 - 0:12.4CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 282
82.2%
75
17.8%
Q3 - 0:12.4CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 281
81.8%
75
18.2%
Q3 - 0:12.4HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)80
81.4%
75
18.6%
Q3 - 0:28.7HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)80
79.0%
75
21.0%
Q3 - 0:32.2HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound80
84.9%
72
15.1%
Q3 - 0:34.7CelticsDerrick White misses two point floating jump shot80
85.6%
72
14.4%
Q3 - 0:47.3HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds lost ball)80
87.2%
72
12.8%
Q3 - 0:55.1CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 180
84.9%
72
15.1%
Q3 - 0:55.1HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)79
84.6%
72
15.4%
Q3 - 1:06HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)77
78.3%
72
21.7%
Q3 - 1:22CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup77
83.9%
69
16.1%
Q3 - 1:44HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)75
81.4%
69
18.6%
Q3 - 1:49HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound75
86.3%
66
13.7%
Q3 - 1:53HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot75
87.8%
66
12.2%
Q3 - 2:05CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point dunk (Derrick White assists)75
85.1%
66
14.9%
Q3 - 2:23HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving floating jump shot73
83.0%
66
17.0%
Q3 - 2:26HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound73
85.2%
64
14.8%
Q3 - 2:29CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot73
85.9%
64
14.1%
Q3 - 2:48CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound73
87.5%
64
12.5%
Q3 - 2:52HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot73
86.8%
64
13.2%
Q3 - 2:59HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound73
85.2%
64
14.8%
Q3 - 3:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip dunk73
86.2%
64
13.8%
Q3 - 3:01HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound73
84.5%
64
15.5%
Q3 - 3:02HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot73
86.2%
64
13.8%
Q3 - 3:20CelticsGrant Williams turnover (traveling)73
84.5%
64
15.5%
Q3 - 3:20CelticsCeltics offensive rebound73
86.9%
64
13.1%
Q3 - 3:20CelticsGrant Williams misses two point jump shot73
85.3%
64
14.7%
Q3 - 3:25CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound73
86.9%
64
13.1%
Q3 - 3:28HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot73
86.2%
64
13.8%
Q3 - 3:35HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound73
84.5%
64
15.5%
Q3 - 3:41CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot73
85.3%
64
14.7%
Q3 - 4:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)73
86.3%
64
13.7%
Q3 - 4:22CelticsDerrick White makes two point floating jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)73
87.9%
62
12.1%
Q3 - 4:28CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound71
86.4%
62
13.6%
Q3 - 4:32HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point stepback jump shot71
85.7%
62
14.3%
Q3 - 4:57CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)71
84.0%
62
16.0%
Q3 - 4:57CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Charge) (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)71
86.4%
62
13.6%
Q3 - 5:03HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)71
85.5%
62
14.5%
Q3 - 5:09HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound71
83.3%
62
16.7%
Q3 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot71
84.9%
62
15.1%
Q3 - 5:17CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 271
83.3%
62
16.7%
Q3 - 5:17CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 270
83.0%
62
17.0%
Q3 - 5:17HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)69
82.7%
62
17.3%
Q3 - 5:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)69
81.2%
62
18.8%
Q3 - 5:41HeatMax Strus defensive rebound69
83.3%
60
16.7%
Q3 - 5:43CelticsGrant Williams misses two point layup69
84.0%
60
16.0%
Q3 - 6:05HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)69
85.0%
60
15.0%
Q3 - 6:22CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (back court violation)69
86.8%
58
13.2%
Q3 - 6:29HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)69
88.5%
58
11.5%
Q3 - 6:40CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Derrick White assists)69
86.8%
58
13.2%
Q3 - 6:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Haywood Highsmith assists)67
85.0%
58
15.0%
Q3 - 7:16CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (traveling)67
86.1%
56
13.9%
Q3 - 7:23HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)67
88.0%
56
12.0%
Q3 - 7:40HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds step)67
88.0%
56
12.0%
Q3 - 7:50CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)67
86.1%
56
13.9%
Q3 - 7:51CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound67
88.0%
56
12.0%
Q3 - 7:51CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot67
86.7%
56
13.3%
Q3 - 8:12HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 267
87.6%
56
12.4%
Q3 - 8:12HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 267
87.9%
55
12.1%
Q3 - 8:12CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)67
88.2%
54
11.8%
Q3 - 8:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound67
88.8%
54
11.2%
Q3 - 8:19CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 3 of 367
89.0%
54
11.0%
Q3 - 8:19CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 367
90.0%
54
10.0%
Q3 - 8:19CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 367
91.0%
54
9.0%
Q3 - 8:19HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)66
90.9%
54
9.1%
Q3 - 8:29CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound66
89.1%
54
10.9%
Q3 - 8:31HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot66
88.5%
54
11.5%
Q3 - 8:42CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (out of bounds lost ball)66
87.3%
54
12.7%
Q3 - 9:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot66
88.6%
54
11.4%
Q3 - 9:12CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)66
89.7%
52
10.3%
Q3 - 9:29CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound63
87.1%
52
12.9%
Q3 - 9:32HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot63
86.6%
52
13.4%
Q3 - 9:46CelticsGrant Williams turnover (offensive foul)63
85.3%
52
14.7%
Q3 - 9:46CelticsGrant Williams offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)63
87.1%
52
12.9%
Q3 - 10:03HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 263
86.5%
52
13.5%
Q3 - 10:03HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 263
86.8%
51
13.2%
Q3 - 10:03CelticsPayton Pritchard shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)63
87.2%
50
12.8%
Q3 - 10:19CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)63
87.8%
50
12.2%
Q3 - 10:19CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)63
89.4%
50
10.6%
Q3 - 10:33CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound63
89.4%
50
10.6%
Q3 - 10:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup63
88.9%
50
11.1%
Q3 - 10:34HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound63
87.9%
50
12.1%
Q3 - 10:35HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup63
88.9%
50
11.1%
Q3 - 10:35HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound63
87.9%
50
12.1%
Q3 - 10:37HeatCaleb Martin misses two point floating jump shot63
88.9%
50
11.1%
Q3 - 10:57CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 263
87.9%
50
12.1%
Q3 - 10:57CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 262
87.7%
50
12.3%
Q3 - 10:57HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)61
87.5%
50
12.5%
Q3 - 11:12CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound61
86.2%
50
13.8%
Q3 - 11:15HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot61
85.7%
50
14.3%
Q3 - 11:31CelticsRobert Williams III makes regular free throw 1 of 161
84.5%
50
15.5%
Q3 - 11:31HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)60
84.1%
50
15.9%
Q3 - 11:39CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound58
80.8%
50
19.2%
Q3 - 11:44CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot58
79.3%
50
20.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.58
80.8%
50
19.2%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound58
78.7%
50
21.3%
Q2 - 0:00.4HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot58
79.9%
50
20.1%
Q2 - 0:02.9CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point cutting dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)58
78.7%
50
21.3%
Q2 - 0:25.9CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound56
76.1%
50
23.9%
Q2 - 0:27.1HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point tip layup56
75.5%
50
24.5%
Q2 - 0:28.7HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound56
74.1%
50
25.9%
Q2 - 0:30.4HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving layup56
75.5%
50
24.5%
Q2 - 0:37.7CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 156
74.1%
50
25.9%
Q2 - 0:37.7HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)55
73.8%
50
26.2%
Q2 - 0:57.5HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Sam Hauser steals)53
68.4%
50
31.6%
Q2 - 1:00HeatMax Strus offensive rebound53
66.0%
50
34.0%
Q2 - 1:02HeatRobert Williams III blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup53
67.8%
50
32.2%
Q2 - 1:03CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)53
66.4%
50
33.6%
Q2 - 1:04CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound53
68.4%
50
31.6%
Q2 - 1:05HeatSam Hauser blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup53
67.8%
50
32.2%
Q2 - 1:22CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot53
66.4%
50
33.6%
Q2 - 1:40CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound50
59.8%
50
40.2%
Q2 - 1:43HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot50
59.2%
50
40.8%
Q2 - 1:54CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Sam Hauser assists)50
57.6%
50
42.4%
Q2 - 2:12HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving finger roll layup47
51.4%
50
48.6%
Q2 - 2:25CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)47
54.2%
48
45.8%
Q2 - 2:41HeatOrlando Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 247
57.4%
48
42.6%
Q2 - 2:41HeatOrlando Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 247
58.1%
47
41.9%
Q2 - 2:41CelticsLuke Kornet shooting foul (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)47
59.0%
46
41.0%
Q2 - 2:42HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound47
60.1%
46
39.9%
Q2 - 2:44CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point driving layup47
61.1%
46
38.9%
Q2 - 2:47CelticsJustin Jackson defensive rebound47
63.1%
46
36.9%
Q2 - 2:51HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot47
62.2%
46
37.8%
Q2 - 3:08HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound47
60.0%
46
40.0%
Q2 - 3:10CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot47
61.0%
46
39.0%
Q2 - 3:29CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound47
63.2%
46
36.8%
Q2 - 3:31HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot47
62.2%
46
37.8%
Q2 - 3:53CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point cutting layup (Jayson Tatum assists)47
59.9%
46
40.1%
Q2 - 4:05CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound45
57.8%
46
42.2%
Q2 - 4:07HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot45
57.0%
46
43.0%
Q2 - 4:13HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound45
55.0%
46
45.0%
Q2 - 4:15CelticsOrlando Robinson blocks Payton Pritchard's two point driving layup45
55.9%
46
44.1%
Q2 - 4:30CelticsJustin Jackson defensive rebound45
57.8%
46
42.2%
Q2 - 4:33HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot45
56.9%
46
43.1%
Q2 - 4:43HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound45
55.0%
46
45.0%
Q2 - 4:47CelticsLuke Kornet misses two point floating jump shot45
55.8%
46
44.2%
Q2 - 5:06HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point putback layup45
58.3%
46
41.7%
Q2 - 5:06HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound45
60.4%
44
39.6%
Q2 - 5:08HeatLuke Kornet blocks Tyler Herro's two point floating jump shot45
62.6%
44
37.4%
Q2 - 5:23CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving floating jump shot45
60.4%
44
39.6%
Q2 - 5:43CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound43
58.3%
44
41.7%
Q2 - 5:46HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot43
57.3%
44
42.7%
Q2 - 5:52HeatVictor Oladipo offensive rebound43
55.1%
44
44.9%
Q2 - 5:55HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot43
57.3%
44
42.7%
Q2 - 6:11CelticsJustin Jackson makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)43
55.4%
44
44.6%
Q2 - 6:18CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound40
50.6%
44
49.4%
Q2 - 6:19HeatKyle Lowry misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot40
49.6%
44
50.4%
Q2 - 6:41CelticsLuke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 240
47.2%
44
52.8%
Q2 - 6:41CelticsLuke Kornet misses regular free throw 1 of 239
46.7%
44
53.3%
Q2 - 6:41HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Luke Kornet draws the foul)39
48.8%
44
51.2%
Q2 - 6:43HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Luke Kornet steals)39
47.8%
44
52.2%
Q2 - 6:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
44.5%
44
55.5%
Q2 - 6:45CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot39
45.5%
44
54.5%
Q2 - 6:57HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)39
47.8%
44
52.2%
Q2 - 7:16CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)39
53.0%
41
47.0%
Q2 - 7:17CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)39
53.0%
41
47.0%
Q2 - 7:21CelticsJustin Jackson defensive rebound39
55.8%
41
44.2%
Q2 - 7:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot39
55.0%
41
45.0%
Q2 - 7:35CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup (Sam Hauser assists)39
53.0%
41
47.0%
Q2 - 7:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot37
50.6%
41
49.4%
Q2 - 8:04HeatMax Strus defensive rebound37
53.0%
39
47.0%
Q2 - 8:06CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot37
53.9%
39
46.1%
Q2 - 8:20CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound37
55.8%
39
44.2%
Q2 - 8:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running layup37
54.9%
39
45.1%
Q2 - 8:27HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
53.0%
39
47.0%
Q2 - 8:29CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point stepback jump shot37
53.9%
39
46.1%
Q2 - 8:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)37
55.8%
39
44.2%
Q2 - 8:54HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound37
58.1%
37
41.9%
Q2 - 8:56CelticsJustin Jackson misses three point jump shot37
59.0%
37
41.0%
Q2 - 9:14HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 237
60.5%
37
39.5%
Q2 - 9:14HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 237
60.8%
36
39.2%
Q2 - 9:14CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)37
61.2%
35
38.8%
Q2 - 9:28CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point layup (Payton Pritchard assists)37
62.8%
35
37.2%
Q2 - 9:45CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound35
60.5%
35
39.5%
Q2 - 9:48HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot35
59.8%
35
40.2%
Q2 - 9:57CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot35
58.0%
35
42.0%
Q2 - 10:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Gabe Vincent assists)33
55.8%
35
44.2%
Q2 - 10:21HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound33
58.1%
33
41.9%
Q2 - 10:24CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Derrick White's two point driving floating jump shot33
58.9%
33
41.1%
Q2 - 10:31HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 233
60.6%
33
39.4%
Q2 - 10:31HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 233
61.1%
32
38.9%
Q2 - 10:31CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)33
59.2%
32
40.8%
Q2 - 10:36CelticsGrant Williams turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)33
60.5%
32
39.5%
Q2 - 10:42CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound33
63.0%
32
37.0%
Q2 - 10:45HeatRobert Williams III blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving layup33
62.2%
32
37.8%
Q2 - 10:57CelticsGrant Williams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)33
60.5%
32
39.5%
Q2 - 11:09HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)33
62.8%
32
37.2%
Q2 - 11:23CelticsRobert Williams III personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)33
60.7%
32
39.3%
Q2 - 11:35CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)33
60.7%
32
39.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.30
55.9%
32
44.1%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound30
53.7%
32
46.3%
Q1 - 0:01.1HeatMax Strus misses two point fadeaway jump shot30
55.2%
32
44.8%
Q1 - 0:18.1CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 230
53.7%
32
46.3%
Q1 - 0:18.1CelticsGrant Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 229
53.4%
32
46.6%
Q1 - 0:18.1HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)29
55.4%
32
44.6%
Q1 - 0:31.9HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)29
53.5%
32
46.5%
Q1 - 0:35.5HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound29
58.3%
29
41.7%
Q1 - 0:40.7CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot29
59.0%
29
41.0%
Q1 - 0:47.7HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 229
60.4%
29
39.6%
Q1 - 0:47.7HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 229
60.7%
28
39.3%
Q1 - 0:47.7CelticsJustin Jackson personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)29
61.1%
27
38.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot29
62.8%
27
37.2%
Q1 - 1:03CelticsJustin Jackson defensive rebound26
58.4%
27
41.6%
Q1 - 1:07HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving floating jump shot26
57.7%
27
42.3%
Q1 - 1:19CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 226
56.3%
27
43.7%
Q1 - 1:19CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 225
56.0%
27
44.0%
Q1 - 1:19HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)24
55.7%
27
44.3%
Q1 - 1:38HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)24
53.7%
27
46.3%
Q1 - 1:42HeatHeat offensive rebound24
58.5%
24
41.5%
Q1 - 1:43HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot24
59.9%
24
40.1%
Q1 - 1:51HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound24
58.5%
24
41.5%
Q1 - 1:53CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot24
59.1%
24
40.9%
Q1 - 2:12HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)24
60.8%
24
39.2%
Q1 - 2:20HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound24
64.9%
21
35.1%
Q1 - 2:26CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot24
65.5%
21
34.5%
Q1 - 2:47HeatOrlando Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 224
67.0%
21
33.0%
Q1 - 2:47HeatOrlando Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 224
67.5%
20
32.5%
Q1 - 2:47CelticsBlake Griffin personal foul (Loose ball) (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)24
66.1%
20
33.9%
Q1 - 2:47HeatHeat offensive rebound24
66.9%
20
33.1%
Q1 - 2:47HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot24
68.4%
20
31.6%
Q1 - 2:53HeatVictor Oladipo offensive rebound24
66.9%
20
33.1%
Q1 - 2:53HeatSam Hauser blocks Victor Oladipo's two point turnaround jump shot24
68.4%
20
31.6%
Q1 - 3:10CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 224
66.4%
20
33.6%
Q1 - 3:10CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 223
66.2%
20
33.8%
Q1 - 3:10HeatOrlando Robinson personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)22
65.9%
20
34.1%
Q1 - 3:20CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound22
64.9%
20
35.1%
Q1 - 3:21HeatVictor Oladipo misses regular free throw 1 of 122
64.6%
20
35.4%
Q1 - 3:21CelticsPayton Pritchard shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)22
63.2%
20
36.8%
Q1 - 3:30CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Blake Griffin assists)22
66.5%
18
33.5%
Q1 - 3:48HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup19
62.9%
18
37.1%
Q1 - 3:53HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound19
64.5%
16
35.5%
Q1 - 3:55CelticsSam Hauser misses two point jump shot19
65.2%
16
34.8%
Q1 - 4:09CelticsCeltics defensive rebound19
66.6%
16
33.4%
Q1 - 4:09HeatTyler Herro misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot19
66.0%
16
34.0%
Q1 - 4:22CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)19
64.4%
16
35.6%
Q1 - 4:40HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 216
60.8%
16
39.2%
Q1 - 4:40HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 216
61.0%
15
39.0%
Q1 - 4:40CelticsSam Hauser personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)16
61.3%
14
38.7%
Q1 - 4:45CelticsSam Hauser personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)16
62.5%
14
37.5%
Q1 - 4:54CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Loose ball) (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)16
62.5%
14
37.5%
Q1 - 4:55HeatHeat offensive rebound16
62.5%
14
37.5%
Q1 - 4:56HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot16
64.1%
14
35.9%
Q1 - 5:08CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)16
62.6%
14
37.4%
Q1 - 5:23CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 3 of 316
62.6%
14
37.4%
Q1 - 5:23CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 315
62.4%
14
37.6%
Q1 - 5:23CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 314
62.1%
14
37.9%
Q1 - 5:23HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)13
61.8%
14
38.2%
Q1 - 5:41HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot13
59.0%
14
41.0%
Q1 - 5:49HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound13
60.7%
12
39.3%
Q1 - 5:52CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot13
61.3%
12
38.7%
Q1 - 6:12HeatMax Strus makes two point driving floating jump shot13
62.8%
12
37.2%
Q1 - 6:35CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)13
64.6%
10
35.4%
Q1 - 6:54CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound11
62.8%
10
37.2%
Q1 - 6:54HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot11
62.2%
10
37.8%
Q1 - 7:08CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point putback layup11
61.0%
10
39.0%
Q1 - 7:09CelticsPayton Pritchard offensive rebound9
59.4%
10
40.6%
Q1 - 7:10CelticsDerrick White misses two point running jump shot9
57.9%
10
42.1%
Q1 - 7:11CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound9
59.4%
10
40.6%
Q1 - 7:14HeatKyle Lowry misses two point floating jump shot9
58.7%
10
41.3%
Q1 - 7:23HeatMax Strus defensive rebound9
57.2%
10
42.8%
Q1 - 7:27CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 19
57.5%
10
42.5%
Q1 - 7:27HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)9
58.9%
10
41.1%
Q1 - 7:35HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)7
55.5%
10
44.5%
Q1 - 7:48HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)7
55.5%
10
44.5%
Q1 - 7:58HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
59.1%
7
40.9%
Q1 - 8:00CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot7
59.8%
7
40.2%
Q1 - 8:14CelticsCeltics defensive rebound7
61.5%
7
38.5%
Q1 - 8:14HeatDerrick White blocks Max Strus's two point layup7
60.9%
7
39.1%
Q1 - 8:25HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound7
59.5%
7
40.5%
Q1 - 8:27CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot7
60.1%
7
39.9%
Q1 - 8:43HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)7
61.5%
7
38.5%
Q1 - 8:46HeatMax Strus offensive rebound7
64.9%
4
35.1%
Q1 - 8:48HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot7
66.3%
4
33.7%
Q1 - 8:54HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound7
64.9%
4
35.1%
Q1 - 8:56CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot7
65.5%
4
34.5%
Q1 - 9:08HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)7
66.6%
4
33.4%
Q1 - 9:11CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound7
66.6%
4
33.4%
Q1 - 9:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot7
66.0%
4
34.0%
Q1 - 9:31CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (out of bounds bad pass)7
64.8%
4
35.2%
Q1 - 9:39HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 27
66.6%
4
33.4%
Q1 - 9:39HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 27
66.9%
3
33.1%
Q1 - 9:39CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)7
67.3%
2
32.7%
Q1 - 9:52CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Derrick White assists)7
68.2%
2
31.8%
Q1 - 10:01CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound5
66.4%
2
33.6%
Q1 - 10:04HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot5
65.8%
2
34.2%
Q1 - 10:18HeatMax Strus defensive rebound5
64.6%
2
35.4%
Q1 - 10:21CelticsDerrick White misses regular free throw 2 of 25
64.8%
2
35.2%
Q1 - 10:21CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 25
66.0%
2
34.0%
Q1 - 10:21HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)4
65.8%
2
34.2%
Q1 - 10:25CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound4
64.7%
2
35.3%
Q1 - 10:26CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot4
63.4%
2
36.6%
Q1 - 10:43HeatTyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot4
64.7%
2
35.3%
Q1 - 10:57CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup (Payton Pritchard assists)4
66.2%
0
33.8%
Q1 - 11:11CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound2
64.7%
0
35.3%
Q1 - 11:13HeatCaleb Martin misses two point jump shot2
64.1%
0
35.9%
Q1 - 11:23CelticsDerrick White makes two point turnaround jump shot2
62.8%
0
37.2%
Q1 - 11:43CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound0
61.4%
0
38.6%
Q1 - 11:45HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot0
60.8%
0
39.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.12 55.9%
MIA
0.90 45.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
16
26
62%
MIA
10
25
40%
Midrange
BOS
6
16
38%
MIA
12
36
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
10
15.0
32
31%
47%
MIA
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
Free Throws
BOS
21
27
78%
MIA
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum3167%15.5 / 23
D. White2357%11.5 / 20
R. Williams1192%5.5 / 6
P. Pritchard1036%5.0 / 14
G. Williams1071%5.0 / 7
L. Kornet770%3.5 / 5
J. Jackson350%1.5 / 3
S. Hauser0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo3058%15.0 / 26
H. Highsmith1594%7.5 / 8
M. Strus1359%6.5 / 11
V. Oladipo1238%6.0 / 16
T. Herro924%4.5 / 19
G. Vincent739%3.5 / 9
C. Martin542%2.5 / 6
O. Robinson583%2.5 / 3
K. Lowry214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
77
+8
-17
85
MIA
88
+21
-7
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.12 55.9%
MIA
0.90 45.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
117.6
112.9
BOS 101.1
MIA 103.2 +2.1
Pace
98.8
96.3
BOS 88.3
MIA 101.6 +13.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.0
BOS 16.3
MIA 14.2 +2.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.6%
53.0%
BOS 50.0% +7.4%
MIA 42.6%
TO %
12.7%
13.2%
BOS 16.5%
MIA 7.1% +9.4%
ORB %
22.1%
22.8%
BOS 11.9%
MIA 26.4% +14.5%
FTrt
24.3
27.0
BOS 36.5 +12.0
MIA 24.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.2%
60.8%
BOS 65.6% +3.8%
MIA 61.8%
STL %
6.3%
8.2%
BOS 5.3%
MIA 7.4% +2.1%
BLK %
9.3%
6.3%
BOS 9.8% +5.0%
MIA 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.7%
55.9%
BOS 55.9% +10.9%
MIA 45.0%
Rim FG%
65.1%
62.6%
BOS 61.5% +21.5%
MIA 40.0%
Mid FG%
42.8%
45.3%
BOS 37.5% +4.2%
MIA 33.3%
3P %
37.7%
34.4%
BOS 31.3%
MIA 36.4% +5.1%
FT %
81.2%
83.1%
BOS 77.8%
MIA 78.3% +0.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.3%
29.9%
BOS 35.1% +8.5%
MIA 26.6%
Mid Att. %
19.7%
29.4%
BOS 21.6% +16.7%
MIA 38.3%
3P Att. %
48.0%
40.8%
BOS 43.2% +8.1%
MIA 35.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.17 and 2.17.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points9598
Rebounds4451
Assists2121
Steals57
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)7 (1)
Fouls2218
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)14 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)37 (0)
Field Goals32-7434-94
At-the-Rim FG16-2610-25
Midrange FG6-1612-36
2-Point FG22-4222-61
3-Point FG10-3212-33
Free Throws21-2718-23
Fast Break Pts713
2nd Chance Pts816
Points in Paint4242
Pts off Turnovers617
Bench Points1039
Biggest Lead145

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 25
42.5
10
36%
7
4
1
0
2
3
1
6
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-9
22%
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 25
39.6
31
67%
14
7
0
0
7
4
0
14
11-14
79%
7-13
54%
2-5
40%
#12 · PF · 6'6" 236 · 24
36.2
10
71%
4
1
0
0
4
3
1
3
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
3-3
100%
#9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 29
33.7
23
57%
3
6
2
1
1
4
1
2
7-8
88%
5-10
50%
2-7
29%
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 25
31.4
11
92%
8
0
0
2
3
3
2
6
1-1
100%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
#30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25
25.8
0
0%
3
2
1
2
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-5
0%
#43 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 28
14.2
3
50%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
#40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28
12.5
7
70%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#91 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34
4.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#28 · PF · 6'10" 256 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
#13 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 30
Inactive – Personal
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Adductor; Injury Management
#36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
#8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; ACL Repair
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 37
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back; Stiffness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
56%
44
21
5
6
17
22
5
39
21-27
78%
22-42
52%
10-32
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.