for complete access.
All Games Friday, January 20, 2023
FinalWin Prob.pScore
3
Heat
51%108
90
16
Mavericks
49%107
115
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
97.89297.6
DAL logo DAL
126.49186.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.90
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:14.7HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving floating jump shot90
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:27.4HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound88
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:29.7MavericksA.J. Lawson misses regular free throw 2 of 288
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:29.7MavericksA.J. Lawson misses regular free throw 1 of 288
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:29.7HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (A.J. Lawson draws the foul)88
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:30.4MavericksJaden Hardy defensive rebound88
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:33.2HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot88
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:41.2MavericksJaden Hardy turnover (offensive foul)88
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:41.2MavericksJaden Hardy offensive foul (Max Strus draws the foul)88
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:59.3HeatOrlando Robinson turnover (offensive foul)88
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:59.3HeatOrlando Robinson offensive foul (Off the ball) (A.J. Lawson draws the foul)88
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 1:05HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound88
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 1:05MavericksCaleb Martin blocks Jaden Hardy's two point layup88
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 1:20HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot88
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34MavericksA.J. Lawson makes three point jump shot (Frank Ntilikina assists)86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Davis Bertans draws the foul)86
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 286
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 285
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MavericksA.J. Lawson shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)84
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07MavericksA.J. Lawson makes two point cutting dunk (Jaden Hardy assists)84
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18MavericksTheo Pinson defensive rebound84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20HeatOrlando Robinson misses regular free throw 2 of 284
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20HeatOrlando Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 284
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MavericksDavis Bertans shooting foul (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MavericksJaden Hardy misses three point jump shot84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating bank jump shot84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04MavericksJaden Hardy turnover (palming)82
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21HeatCaleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot82
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound80
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39MavericksFrank Ntilikina misses two point driving floating jump shot80
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56MavericksJaden Hardy defensive rebound80
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot80
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06MavericksJaden Hardy makes two point driving layup80
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20MavericksDavis Bertans defensive rebound80
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23HeatGabe Vincent misses regular free throw 2 of 280
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 280
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23MavericksReggie Bullock shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32MavericksFrank Ntilikina makes two point layup (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Reggie Bullock steals)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07HeatMax Strus defensive rebound79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11MavericksDorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:32HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52MavericksJosh Green makes two point running dunk (Luka Doncic assists)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Luka Doncic steals)79
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23MavericksReggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Josh Green assists)79
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Dorian Finney-Smith steals)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:46MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 2 of 279
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 6:46MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 1 of 279
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 6:46HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)79
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 6:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)79
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 7:04MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)77
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 7:04HeatHeat offensive rebound77
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 7:04HeatGabe Vincent misses two point jump shot77
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 7:13MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie turnover (out of bounds step)77
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 7:34HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 177
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 7:34MavericksReggie Bullock shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)76
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 7:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound74
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 7:47MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot74
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:17HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)74
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 8:30HeatMax Strus defensive rebound71
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:32MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot71
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:49MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound71
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:52HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot71
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:08MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point cutting layup (Dwight Powell assists)71
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 9:15MavericksJosh Green offensive rebound71
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 9:16MavericksJosh Green misses two point tip layup71
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 9:16MavericksJosh Green offensive rebound71
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 9:18MavericksDwight Powell misses three point jump shot71
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 9:38HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)71
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 9:38HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Josh Green draws the foul)71
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 9:54MavericksReggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)71
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 10:15HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)71
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound71
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 10:21MavericksDwight Powell misses two point driving layup71
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 10:47HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point running pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)71
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 10:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 10:57MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot69
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 11:05HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)69
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 11:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)69
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 11:41MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving floating bank jump shot67
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.67
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound67
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.3HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot67
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q3 - 0:08.9MavericksDwight Powell makes two point bank jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)67
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q3 - 0:26.4HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (traveling)67
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q3 - 0:33.7MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point pullup jump shot67
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q3 - 0:47.3HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Victor Oladipo assists)67
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q3 - 0:53.7MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (palming)65
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q3 - 1:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)65
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q3 - 1:18MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point turnaround jump shot63
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q3 - 1:38HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 263
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 1:38HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 262
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 1:38MavericksDwight Powell personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)61
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q3 - 1:49MavericksJosh Green makes regular free throw 2 of 261
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q3 - 1:49MavericksJosh Green makes regular free throw 1 of 261
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 1:49HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Josh Green draws the foul)61
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q3 - 2:06MavericksReggie Bullock defensive rebound61
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q3 - 2:09HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point pullup jump shot61
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 2:23MavericksDorian Finney-Smith personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)61
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 2:23HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound61
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 2:24MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot61
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 2:40MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound61
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q3 - 2:42HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot61
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 2:58MavericksJosh Green makes regular free throw 1 of 161
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 2:58HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Josh Green draws the foul)61
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q3 - 3:14MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound61
3.6%
80
96.4%
Q3 - 3:18HeatReggie Bullock blocks Max Strus's three point jump shot61
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q3 - 3:37MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)61
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q3 - 3:48MavericksReggie Bullock defensive rebound61
3.6%
80
96.4%
Q3 - 3:51HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot61
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q3 - 3:57MavericksDorian Finney-Smith personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)61
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q3 - 4:02MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 261
5.0%
80
95.0%
Q3 - 4:02MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 261
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 4:02HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)61
5.3%
78
94.7%
Q3 - 4:02MavericksMavericks defensive rebound61
5.7%
78
94.3%
Q3 - 4:02HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot61
6.0%
78
94.0%
Q3 - 4:13HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound61
6.7%
78
93.3%
Q3 - 4:16MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point stepback jump shot61
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q3 - 4:37MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound61
5.6%
78
94.4%
Q3 - 4:39HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 261
5.7%
78
94.3%
Q3 - 4:39HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 261
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q3 - 4:39MavericksReggie Bullock shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)61
7.1%
78
92.9%
Q3 - 4:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound61
6.7%
78
93.3%
Q3 - 4:45MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot61
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q3 - 4:59MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound61
5.6%
78
94.4%
Q3 - 5:02HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot61
6.6%
78
93.4%
Q3 - 5:27MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)61
7.4%
78
92.6%
Q3 - 5:29HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)61
9.7%
75
90.3%
Q3 - 5:43HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point running layup61
9.7%
75
90.3%
Q3 - 5:48MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)59
8.5%
75
91.5%
Q3 - 5:57MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound59
7.2%
75
92.8%
Q3 - 6:03HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point jump shot59
8.4%
75
91.6%
Q3 - 6:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound59
9.2%
75
90.8%
Q3 - 6:17MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses two point putback layup59
8.8%
75
91.2%
Q3 - 6:18MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound59
8.0%
75
92.0%
Q3 - 6:20MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot59
8.8%
75
91.2%
Q3 - 6:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)59
7.9%
75
92.1%
Q3 - 6:52MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 157
6.9%
75
93.1%
Q3 - 6:52HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)57
7.2%
74
92.8%
Q3 - 7:07MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound57
9.8%
72
90.2%
Q3 - 7:09HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot57
10.3%
72
89.7%
Q3 - 7:26MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes three point jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)57
11.4%
72
88.6%
Q3 - 7:28MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound57
14.4%
69
85.6%
Q3 - 7:32MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point stepback jump shot57
15.9%
69
84.1%
Q3 - 7:50HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Dwight Powell steals)57
14.4%
69
85.6%
Q3 - 8:00MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 3 of 357
16.6%
69
83.4%
Q3 - 8:00MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 357
16.9%
68
83.1%
Q3 - 8:00MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 357
17.3%
67
82.7%
Q3 - 8:00HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)57
17.8%
66
82.2%
Q3 - 8:28HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 257
21.3%
66
78.7%
Q3 - 8:28HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 256
21.0%
66
79.0%
Q3 - 8:28MavericksDorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)56
23.1%
66
76.9%
Q3 - 8:31HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound56
21.8%
66
78.2%
Q3 - 8:33MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot56
20.9%
66
79.1%
Q3 - 8:38MavericksLuka Doncic makes technical free throw 1 of 156
19.0%
66
81.0%
Q3 - 8:38HeatTyler Herro technical foul56
19.6%
65
80.4%
Q3 - 8:38HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)56
21.3%
65
78.7%
Q3 - 8:38MavericksLuka Doncic offensive rebound56
21.3%
65
78.7%
Q3 - 8:40MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point turnaround jump shot56
23.4%
65
76.6%
Q3 - 8:51MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound56
21.3%
65
78.7%
Q3 - 8:54HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot56
22.2%
65
77.8%
Q3 - 9:14MavericksDwight Powell turnover (offensive foul)56
24.9%
65
75.1%
Q3 - 9:14MavericksDwight Powell offensive foul (Off the ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)56
22.1%
65
77.9%
Q3 - 9:30HeatJimmy Butler makes two point tip layup56
22.1%
65
77.9%
Q3 - 9:30HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound54
20.1%
65
79.9%
Q3 - 9:33HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot54
18.4%
65
81.6%
Q3 - 9:53MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point floating jump shot54
20.0%
65
80.0%
Q3 - 10:04MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound54
22.8%
63
77.2%
Q3 - 10:07HeatCaleb Martin misses two point fadeaway jump shot54
23.6%
63
76.4%
Q3 - 10:23MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes three point jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)54
25.5%
63
74.5%
Q3 - 10:42HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)54
30.6%
60
69.4%
Q3 - 10:52HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound54
33.9%
60
66.1%
Q3 - 10:55MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot54
32.9%
60
67.1%
Q3 - 11:02MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound54
31.1%
60
68.9%
Q3 - 11:05HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot54
32.0%
60
68.0%
Q3 - 11:10HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound54
34.1%
60
65.9%
Q3 - 11:13MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot54
33.2%
60
66.8%
Q3 - 11:41HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)54
31.1%
60
68.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
25.9%
60
74.1%
Q2 - 0:00.3HeatHeat offensive rebound51
26.5%
60
73.5%
Q2 - 0:00.3HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot51
25.1%
60
74.9%
Q2 - 0:12.1MavericksJosh Green turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)51
26.5%
60
73.5%
Q2 - 0:32.7HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)51
24.4%
60
75.6%
Q2 - 0:43.1HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
21.7%
60
78.3%
Q2 - 0:45.7MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot49
21.2%
60
78.8%
Q2 - 1:00HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)49
19.9%
60
80.1%
Q2 - 1:12MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 249
22.6%
60
77.4%
Q2 - 1:12MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 249
23.2%
59
76.8%
Q2 - 1:12HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Dorian Finney-Smith draws the foul)49
23.8%
58
76.2%
Q2 - 1:13MavericksMavericks offensive rebound49
25.4%
58
74.6%
Q2 - 1:13MavericksJosh Green misses three point jump shot49
26.7%
58
73.3%
Q2 - 1:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup49
25.4%
58
74.6%
Q2 - 1:25HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound47
22.6%
58
77.4%
Q2 - 1:29HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot47
21.5%
58
78.5%
Q2 - 1:48HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound47
22.5%
58
77.5%
Q2 - 1:51MavericksLuka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 247
22.3%
58
77.7%
Q2 - 1:51MavericksLuka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 247
20.9%
58
79.1%
Q2 - 1:51HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)47
19.4%
58
80.6%
Q2 - 2:03HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 247
21.5%
58
78.5%
Q2 - 2:03HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 246
21.2%
58
78.8%
Q2 - 2:03MavericksJosh Green shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)45
20.9%
58
79.1%
Q2 - 2:03HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound45
19.7%
58
80.3%
Q2 - 2:05HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving reverse layup45
18.3%
58
81.7%
Q2 - 2:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound45
19.7%
58
80.3%
Q2 - 2:13MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot45
19.0%
58
81.0%
Q2 - 2:19MavericksJosh Green offensive rebound45
17.7%
58
82.3%
Q2 - 2:22MavericksJosh Green misses two point driving floating jump shot45
19.0%
58
81.0%
Q2 - 2:35HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot45
17.7%
58
82.3%
Q2 - 2:48MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point stepback jump shot (Josh Green assists)43
16.1%
58
83.9%
Q2 - 3:01HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Dwight Powell draws the foul)43
18.6%
56
81.4%
Q2 - 3:01MavericksMavericks defensive rebound43
18.6%
56
81.4%
Q2 - 3:03HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot43
19.2%
56
80.8%
Q2 - 3:04HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound43
20.7%
56
79.3%
Q2 - 3:06MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot43
20.0%
56
80.0%
Q2 - 3:28HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot43
18.5%
56
81.5%
Q2 - 3:39MavericksDorian Finney-Smith personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)41
17.1%
56
82.9%
Q2 - 3:53MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point jump shot41
17.1%
56
82.9%
Q2 - 4:12HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 241
21.2%
53
78.8%
Q2 - 4:12HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 240
21.0%
53
79.0%
Q2 - 4:12MavericksDorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)39
20.7%
53
79.3%
Q2 - 4:39MavericksReggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)39
19.4%
53
80.6%
Q2 - 4:56HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving finger roll layup39
23.1%
50
76.9%
Q2 - 5:19MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point pullup jump shot37
21.9%
50
78.1%
Q2 - 5:25MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound37
25.4%
47
74.6%
Q2 - 5:27HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot37
26.2%
47
73.8%
Q2 - 5:42HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound37
28.0%
47
72.0%
Q2 - 5:45MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot37
27.2%
47
72.8%
Q2 - 6:00MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound37
25.5%
47
74.5%
Q2 - 6:01HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot37
26.9%
47
73.1%
Q2 - 6:19HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound37
28.7%
47
71.3%
Q2 - 6:22MavericksDorian Finney-Smith misses two point driving floating jump shot37
27.9%
47
72.1%
Q2 - 6:47HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)37
26.0%
47
74.0%
Q2 - 6:51HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound34
22.5%
47
77.5%
Q2 - 6:54MavericksJaden Hardy misses two point layup34
21.8%
47
78.2%
Q2 - 7:18HeatTyler Herro makes two point jump shot34
21.0%
47
79.0%
Q2 - 7:36MavericksDavis Bertans makes two point jump shot32
19.4%
47
80.6%
Q2 - 7:54HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving floating jump shot32
21.0%
45
79.0%
Q2 - 8:05MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 2 of 230
19.7%
45
80.3%
Q2 - 8:05MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 1 of 230
20.0%
44
80.0%
Q2 - 8:05HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)30
20.4%
43
79.6%
Q2 - 8:18HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)30
21.3%
43
78.7%
Q2 - 8:36MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot27
18.1%
43
81.9%
Q2 - 8:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot27
19.6%
41
80.4%
Q2 - 8:57MavericksJosh Green makes three point jump shot (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)25
18.1%
41
81.9%
Q2 - 9:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 225
21.6%
38
78.4%
Q2 - 9:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 224
21.3%
38
78.7%
Q2 - 9:18MavericksJosh Green shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)23
20.9%
38
79.1%
Q2 - 9:23MavericksDavis Bertans personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)23
20.0%
38
80.0%
Q2 - 9:28HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound23
20.0%
38
80.0%
Q2 - 9:31MavericksJaden Hardy misses two point driving reverse layup23
19.5%
38
80.5%
Q2 - 9:50HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving hook shot23
18.3%
38
81.7%
Q2 - 10:07MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 2 of 221
17.5%
38
82.5%
Q2 - 10:07MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 1 of 221
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 10:07HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)21
18.0%
36
82.0%
Q2 - 10:11MavericksJosh Green defensive rebound21
18.9%
36
81.1%
Q2 - 10:14HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot21
19.4%
36
80.6%
Q2 - 10:21MavericksDwight Powell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)21
20.5%
36
79.5%
Q2 - 10:21MavericksDwight Powell offensive rebound21
18.9%
36
81.1%
Q2 - 10:23MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot21
20.0%
36
80.0%
Q2 - 10:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup (Victor Oladipo assists)21
18.9%
36
81.1%
Q2 - 10:50MavericksDavis Bertans turnover (bad pass) (Victor Oladipo steals)19
17.4%
36
82.6%
Q2 - 10:55HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Dwight Powell steals)19
16.0%
36
84.0%
Q2 - 11:07MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes three point jump shot19
18.4%
36
81.6%
Q2 - 11:23HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Davis Bertans steals)19
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q2 - 11:35MavericksJosh Green makes regular free throw 2 of 219
23.0%
33
77.0%
Q2 - 11:35MavericksJosh Green makes regular free throw 1 of 219
23.5%
32
76.5%
Q2 - 11:35HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Josh Green draws the foul)19
24.0%
31
76.0%
Q2 - 11:48HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)19
24.8%
31
75.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.19
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point pullup jump shot (Josh Green assists)19
26.9%
31
73.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)19
30.9%
28
69.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0HeatHeat offensive rebound19
32.8%
28
67.2%
Q1 - 0:03.9HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot19
31.5%
28
68.5%
Q1 - 0:27.4MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)19
32.8%
28
67.2%
Q1 - 0:37.8MavericksReggie Bullock offensive rebound19
37.2%
25
62.8%
Q1 - 0:40.0MavericksReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot19
38.6%
25
61.4%
Q1 - 0:46.6MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound19
37.2%
25
62.8%
Q1 - 0:48.5HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot19
37.8%
25
62.2%
Q1 - 1:01HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound19
39.5%
25
60.5%
Q1 - 1:05MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point jump shot19
38.9%
25
61.1%
Q1 - 1:23HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)19
37.5%
25
62.5%
Q1 - 1:30HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound17
35.2%
25
64.8%
Q1 - 1:35MavericksJosh Green misses three point jump shot17
34.6%
25
65.4%
Q1 - 1:58MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound17
33.3%
25
66.7%
Q1 - 2:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot17
34.4%
25
65.6%
Q1 - 2:12MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 3 of 317
35.9%
25
64.1%
Q1 - 2:12MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 317
36.3%
24
63.7%
Q1 - 2:12MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 317
36.9%
23
63.1%
Q1 - 2:12HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)17
37.4%
22
62.6%
Q1 - 2:32HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)17
40.0%
22
60.0%
Q1 - 2:49HeatMax Strus defensive rebound15
37.9%
22
62.1%
Q1 - 2:51MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses two point jump shot15
37.3%
22
62.7%
Q1 - 3:00HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)15
35.7%
22
64.3%
Q1 - 3:07MavericksJosh Green defensive rebound15
35.7%
22
64.3%
Q1 - 3:11HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point stepback jump shot15
36.5%
22
63.5%
Q1 - 3:29MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes two point cutting layup (Luka Doncic assists)15
38.2%
22
61.8%
Q1 - 3:43MavericksLuka Doncic misses technical free throw 1 of 115
39.9%
20
60.1%
Q1 - 3:43Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)15
38.3%
20
61.7%
Q1 - 3:55HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 215
39.9%
20
60.1%
Q1 - 3:55HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 214
39.7%
20
60.3%
Q1 - 3:55MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)13
39.4%
20
60.6%
Q1 - 4:14MavericksReggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)13
38.8%
20
61.2%
Q1 - 4:27HeatKyle Lowry makes two point hook shot13
42.6%
17
57.4%
Q1 - 4:32HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound11
40.8%
17
59.2%
Q1 - 4:34MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving floating jump shot11
40.1%
17
59.9%
Q1 - 4:41HeatOrlando Robinson personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)11
38.5%
17
61.5%
Q1 - 4:55HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot11
38.5%
17
61.5%
Q1 - 5:16MavericksReggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)9
37.4%
17
62.6%
Q1 - 5:33HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 29
41.0%
14
59.0%
Q1 - 5:33HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 28
40.9%
14
59.1%
Q1 - 5:33MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)8
42.6%
14
57.4%
Q1 - 5:40HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound8
41.3%
14
58.7%
Q1 - 5:43MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot8
40.6%
14
59.4%
Q1 - 5:49MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound8
39.1%
14
60.9%
Q1 - 5:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup8
39.7%
14
60.3%
Q1 - 6:14MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Reggie Bullock assists)8
41.5%
14
58.5%
Q1 - 6:23HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Reggie Bullock steals)8
45.4%
11
54.6%
Q1 - 6:32HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound8
47.4%
11
52.6%
Q1 - 6:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot8
46.0%
11
54.0%
Q1 - 6:45HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound8
47.4%
11
52.6%
Q1 - 6:49MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot8
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 6:51MavericksDwight Powell offensive rebound8
45.3%
11
54.7%
Q1 - 6:53MavericksReggie Bullock misses two point pullup jump shot8
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 7:15HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 28
45.6%
11
54.4%
Q1 - 7:15HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 27
45.3%
11
54.7%
Q1 - 7:15MavericksReggie Bullock shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)6
45.0%
11
55.0%
Q1 - 7:28MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot6
43.8%
11
56.2%
Q1 - 7:53MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound6
47.5%
8
52.5%
Q1 - 7:54HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot6
48.2%
8
51.8%
Q1 - 8:11MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)6
49.9%
8
50.1%
Q1 - 8:16HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound6
49.9%
8
50.1%
Q1 - 8:18MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point pullup jump shot6
49.3%
8
50.7%
Q1 - 8:25HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)6
47.8%
8
52.2%
Q1 - 8:39MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving finger roll layup4
46.0%
8
54.0%
Q1 - 8:55HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 24
47.7%
6
52.3%
Q1 - 8:55HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 23
47.4%
6
52.6%
Q1 - 8:55MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)2
46.9%
6
53.1%
Q1 - 8:55HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound2
46.0%
6
54.0%
Q1 - 8:56HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup2
44.5%
6
55.5%
Q1 - 9:14MavericksDwight Powell makes two point tip layup2
46.1%
6
53.9%
Q1 - 9:14MavericksDwight Powell offensive rebound2
47.8%
4
52.2%
Q1 - 9:15MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot2
49.3%
4
50.7%
Q1 - 9:22MavericksDorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound2
47.8%
4
52.2%
Q1 - 9:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot2
48.5%
4
51.5%
Q1 - 9:36MavericksDwight Powell makes two point hook shot (Luka Doncic assists)2
49.9%
4
50.1%
Q1 - 9:51MavericksMavericks defensive rebound2
51.6%
2
48.4%
Q1 - 9:53HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup2
52.2%
2
47.8%
Q1 - 10:12HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound2
53.5%
2
46.5%
Q1 - 10:15MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot2
52.9%
2
47.1%
Q1 - 10:30HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds step)2
51.5%
2
48.5%
Q1 - 10:48MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes two point stepback jump shot2
53.5%
2
46.5%
Q1 - 11:06HeatKyle Lowry makes two point layup2
55.0%
0
45.0%
Q1 - 11:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
53.5%
0
46.5%
Q1 - 11:13MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot0
52.8%
0
47.2%
Q1 - 11:21MavericksTim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound0
51.4%
0
48.6%
Q1 - 11:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot0
52.0%
0
48.0%
Q1 - 11:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound0
53.5%
0
46.5%
Q1 - 11:43MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point stepback jump shot0
52.8%
0
47.2%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Dwight Powell (Spencer Dinwiddie gains possession)0
51.4%
0
48.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.3%
DAL
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
16
75%
DAL
11
18
61%
Midrange
MIA
17
33
52%
DAL
8
24
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
20
20%
30%
DAL
18
27.0
38
47%
71%
Free Throws
MIA
20
27
74%
DAL
23
28
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Oladipo2083%10.0 / 12
B. Adebayo1853%9.0 / 17
T. Herro1662%8.0 / 13
J. Butler1260%6.0 / 10
G. Vincent1045%5.0 / 11
C. Martin750%3.5 / 7
K. Lowry563%2.5 / 4
H. Highsmith250%1.0 / 2
M. Strus0-0.0 / 5
O. Robinson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić3465%17.0 / 26
S. Dinwiddie1963%9.5 / 15
R. Bullock15107%7.5 / 7
J. Green1267%6.0 / 9
D. Finney-Smith1083%5.0 / 6
T. Hardaway833%4.0 / 12
D. Powell660%3.0 / 5
A. Lawson583%2.5 / 3
D. Bertans2100%1.0 / 1
J. Hardy220%1.0 / 5
F. Ntilikina250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+9
-15
86
DAL
81
+11
-10
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.3%
DAL
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.9
116.4
MIA 97.8 +28.5
DAL 126.4
Pace
96.3
96.9
MIA 97.6 +11.6
DAL 86.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.1
MIA 14.7 +2.0
DAL 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
56.5%
MIA 50.7%
DAL 57.5% +6.8%
TO %
13.2%
11.9%
MIA 16.5%
DAL 9.8% +6.7%
ORB %
22.8%
18.1%
MIA 15.6%
DAL 22.7% +7.1%
FTrt
27.0
29.7
MIA 39.1 +4.1
DAL 35.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
57.3%
MIA 45.5%
DAL 56.8% +11.3%
STL %
8.2%
6.4%
MIA 3.3%
DAL 7.7% +4.4%
BLK %
6.3%
6.8%
MIA 2.4% +0.4%
DAL 2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.27 and 2.27.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
58.4%
MIA 52.3%
DAL 62.5% +10.2%
Rim FG%
62.6%
65.3%
MIA 75.0% +13.9%
DAL 61.1%
Mid FG%
45.3%
46.1%
MIA 51.5% +18.2%
DAL 33.3%
3P %
34.4%
37.1%
MIA 20.0%
DAL 47.4% +27.4%
FT %
83.1%
75.5%
MIA 74.1%
DAL 82.1% +8.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
30.3%
MIA 23.2% +0.7%
DAL 22.5%
Mid Att. %
29.4%
21.1%
MIA 47.8%
DAL 30.0% +17.8%
3P Att. %
40.8%
48.7%
MIA 29.0%
DAL 47.5% +18.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points90115
Rebounds3937
Assists1521
Steals37
Blocks11
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)10 (0)
Fouls2222
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)27 (3)
Field Goals33-6937-80
At-the-Rim FG12-1611-18
Midrange FG17-338-24
2-Point FG29-4919-42
3-Point FG4-2018-38
Free Throws20-2723-28
Fast Break Pts127
2nd Chance Pts1012
Points in Paint5234
Pts off Turnovers1031
Bench Points3238
Biggest Lead230

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
3 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
34.8
18
53%
11
4
0
0
2
2
2
9
4-6
67%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
Caleb Martin
#16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27
32.6
7
50%
6
1
0
1
2
2
0
6
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
29.9
16
62%
5
1
0
0
4
3
0
5
4-5
80%
6-9
67%
0-2
0%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 33
26.0
12
60%
4
1
2
0
1
3
2
2
6-6
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
20.9
5
63%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
28.2
20
83%
0
2
1
0
2
3
0
0
0-0
-
7-9
78%
2-3
67%
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
27.1
10
45%
0
3
0
0
2
3
0
0
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
1-6
17%
Max Strus
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27
23.7
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-5
0%
Orlando Robinson
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23
11.0
0
0%
5
0
0
0
1
2
0
5
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
5.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33
DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right 2nd Finger; Surgery
Omer Yurtseven
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Surgery
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lower Back; Stress Reaction
Jamal Cain
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 24
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
52%
39
15
3
1
15
22
5
34
20-27
74%
29-49
59%
4-20
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.