FinalWin Prob.pScore
1649%105
95
1351%106
111
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
104.49196.9
MIA logo MIA
123.39084.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.95
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:13.5HeatJamal Cain makes regular free throw 2 of 293
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:13.5HeatJamal Cain makes regular free throw 1 of 293
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:13.5BucksSandro Mamukelashvili shooting foul (Jamal Cain draws the foul)93
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:32.3BucksJevon Carter makes two point driving floating jump shot93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.9BucksBucks offensive rebound91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.5BucksSandro Mamukelashvili misses three point jump shot91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.9HeatJamal Cain personal foul (Take) (Jevon Carter draws the foul)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Victor Oladipo assists)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17HeatMax Strus defensive rebound91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19BucksSandro Mamukelashvili misses three point jump shot91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34BucksAJ Green defensive rebound91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point turnaround jump shot91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02BucksSandro Mamukelashvili makes three point jump shot (Jevon Carter assists)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07BucksThanasis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31BucksBam Adebayo blocks AJ Green's two point stepback jump shot88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44HeatJamal Cain personal foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving finger roll layup88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17BucksAJ Green makes three point jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving finger roll layup (Victor Oladipo assists)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48HeatMax Strus defensive rebound85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50BucksJevon Carter misses three point pullup jump shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)85
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:23HeatHeat defensive rebound85
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 4:23BucksJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot85
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 4:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup85
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 4:39HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound85
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 4:41HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving layup85
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 4:53HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound85
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 4:55BucksJrue Holiday misses two point stepback bank jump shot85
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 5:14BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound85
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 5:17HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot85
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 5:34BucksAJ Green makes three point running jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)85
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 5:40BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound82
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 5:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot82
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 5:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound82
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 5:59BucksJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot82
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 6:14HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)82
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 6:31HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point pullup jump shot82
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 6:49BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)82
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 7:13HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 279
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 7:13HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 279
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 7:13BucksBrook Lopez shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)79
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 7:29BucksJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)79
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 7:38HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point running dunk79
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 7:41BucksJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)79
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 7:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Victor Oladipo assists)79
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q4 - 8:02BucksJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)79
4.1%
91
95.9%
Q4 - 8:10HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)79
5.2%
91
94.8%
Q4 - 8:10BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound79
5.2%
91
94.8%
Q4 - 8:10BucksBam Adebayo blocks Bobby Portis's two point putback layup79
4.4%
91
95.6%
Q4 - 8:11BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound79
5.2%
91
94.8%
Q4 - 8:12BucksBobby Portis misses two point driving floating bank jump shot79
4.3%
91
95.7%
Q4 - 8:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk79
5.2%
91
94.8%
Q4 - 8:15HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound79
6.5%
89
93.5%
Q4 - 8:20HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving finger roll layup79
7.6%
89
92.4%
Q4 - 8:31HeatMax Strus defensive rebound79
6.4%
89
93.6%
Q4 - 8:33BucksPat Connaughton misses two point floating jump shot79
6.9%
89
93.1%
Q4 - 8:53HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot79
8.2%
89
91.8%
Q4 - 9:02BucksGrayson Allen personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)79
14.0%
86
86.0%
Q4 - 9:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound79
14.0%
86
86.0%
Q4 - 9:07BucksPat Connaughton misses three point running jump shot79
14.9%
86
85.1%
Q4 - 9:12BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound79
17.3%
86
82.7%
Q4 - 9:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot79
16.2%
86
83.8%
Q4 - 9:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound79
13.9%
86
86.1%
Q4 - 9:25BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot79
14.8%
86
85.2%
Q4 - 9:48HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving layup79
17.2%
86
82.8%
Q4 - 10:03BucksJevon Carter makes three point jump shot (Pat Connaughton assists)79
21.8%
84
78.2%
Q4 - 10:18HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 276
15.5%
84
84.5%
Q4 - 10:18HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 276
16.1%
83
83.9%
Q4 - 10:18BucksGrayson Allen shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)76
16.7%
82
83.3%
Q4 - 10:30BucksBobby Portis makes two point jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)76
18.2%
82
81.8%
Q4 - 10:43HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point pullup jump shot74
15.5%
82
84.5%
Q4 - 10:59BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)74
21.7%
79
78.3%
Q4 - 11:20HeatJamal Cain makes two point hook shot71
16.5%
79
83.5%
Q4 - 11:25HeatJamal Cain offensive rebound71
19.4%
77
80.6%
Q4 - 11:25HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot71
21.9%
77
78.1%
Q4 - 11:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound71
19.4%
77
80.6%
Q4 - 11:36BucksJevon Carter misses two point running reverse layup71
20.5%
77
79.5%
Q4 - 11:40BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound71
23.0%
77
77.0%
Q4 - 11:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot71
21.9%
77
78.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.71
19.4%
77
80.6%
Q3 - 0:00.1BucksBucks offensive rebound71
24.3%
77
75.7%
Q3 - 0:00.6BucksJrue Holiday misses three point running pullup jump shot71
21.9%
77
78.1%
Q3 - 0:01.2BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound71
24.3%
77
75.7%
Q3 - 0:01.2HeatMax Strus misses two point driving floating jump shot71
23.2%
77
76.8%
Q3 - 0:08.5BucksBrook Lopez personal foul (Loose ball) (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)71
20.9%
77
79.1%
Q3 - 0:08.5HeatHeat offensive rebound71
20.9%
77
79.1%
Q3 - 0:09.4HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot71
23.2%
77
76.8%
Q3 - 0:30.2HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound71
20.8%
77
79.2%
Q3 - 0:33.1BucksJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot71
21.8%
77
78.2%
Q3 - 0:51.1HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)71
24.2%
77
75.8%
Q3 - 1:12BucksJoe Ingles makes three point pullup jump shot71
32.9%
74
67.1%
Q3 - 1:23BucksJoe Ingles defensive rebound68
25.5%
74
74.5%
Q3 - 1:26HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point pullup jump shot68
24.3%
74
75.7%
Q3 - 1:38HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound68
21.8%
74
78.2%
Q3 - 1:38BucksAJ Green misses three point jump shot68
22.9%
74
77.1%
Q3 - 1:44HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point putback layup68
25.4%
74
74.6%
Q3 - 1:46HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound68
28.9%
72
71.1%
Q3 - 1:47HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point putback layup68
31.8%
72
68.2%
Q3 - 1:50HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound68
28.9%
72
71.1%
Q3 - 1:52HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving layup68
31.8%
72
68.2%
Q3 - 2:17BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving floating jump shot68
29.7%
72
70.3%
Q3 - 2:28BucksBucks defensive rebound66
26.4%
72
73.6%
Q3 - 2:29HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot66
25.3%
72
74.7%
Q3 - 2:41BucksJoe Ingles turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)66
22.8%
72
77.2%
Q3 - 2:53HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)66
26.3%
72
73.7%
Q3 - 3:10BucksAJ Green makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)66
23.7%
72
76.3%
Q3 - 3:26HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)63
18.5%
72
81.5%
Q3 - 3:42BucksBrook Lopez turnover (offensive foul)63
23.6%
69
76.4%
Q3 - 3:42BucksBrook Lopez offensive foul (Off the ball) (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)63
27.4%
69
72.6%
Q3 - 3:49HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (offensive foul)63
27.4%
69
72.6%
Q3 - 3:49HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)63
23.6%
69
76.4%
Q3 - 4:12BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 263
24.5%
69
75.5%
Q3 - 4:12BucksJrue Holiday misses regular free throw 1 of 262
24.0%
69
76.0%
Q3 - 4:12HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)62
26.5%
69
73.5%
Q3 - 4:24HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)62
25.0%
69
75.0%
Q3 - 4:40HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound62
27.6%
67
72.4%
Q3 - 4:42BucksBrook Lopez misses two point jump shot62
28.8%
67
71.2%
Q3 - 4:51BucksBucks offensive rebound62
31.7%
67
68.3%
Q3 - 4:51BucksJrue Holiday misses two point turnaround jump shot62
28.8%
67
71.2%
Q3 - 5:08HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup62
32.1%
67
67.9%
Q3 - 5:09HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound62
35.4%
65
64.6%
Q3 - 5:12HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point fadeaway jump shot62
38.1%
65
61.9%
Q3 - 5:31HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound62
35.3%
65
64.7%
Q3 - 5:35BucksBobby Portis misses two point turnaround hook shot62
36.5%
65
63.5%
Q3 - 5:53HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating jump shot62
39.3%
65
60.7%
Q3 - 6:10BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 2 of 262
43.1%
63
56.9%
Q3 - 6:10BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 261
42.4%
63
57.6%
Q3 - 6:10HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)60
41.5%
63
58.5%
Q3 - 6:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot60
39.6%
63
60.4%
Q3 - 6:40BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)60
43.1%
61
56.9%
Q3 - 6:47BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound57
36.1%
61
63.9%
Q3 - 6:50HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop layup57
34.9%
61
65.1%
Q3 - 7:13BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)57
32.8%
61
67.2%
Q3 - 7:28HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Max Strus assists)54
27.1%
61
72.9%
Q3 - 7:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound54
29.6%
59
70.4%
Q3 - 7:46BucksJrue Holiday misses two point bank hook shot54
30.7%
59
69.3%
Q3 - 7:49BucksGrayson Allen offensive rebound54
33.2%
59
66.8%
Q3 - 7:54BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot54
30.7%
59
69.3%
Q3 - 8:03HeatMax Strus personal foul (Loose ball) (Bobby Portis draws the foul)54
33.7%
59
66.3%
Q3 - 8:03BucksBucks offensive rebound54
33.7%
59
66.3%
Q3 - 8:04BucksGrayson Allen misses three point pullup jump shot54
31.2%
59
68.8%
Q3 - 8:25HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot54
33.7%
59
66.3%
Q3 - 8:50BucksJrue Holiday makes two point cutting layup (Grayson Allen assists)54
36.3%
57
63.7%
Q3 - 9:04HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Brook Lopez draws the foul)52
34.0%
57
66.0%
Q3 - 9:04BucksBucks defensive rebound52
34.0%
57
66.0%
Q3 - 9:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving bank jump shot52
33.0%
57
67.0%
Q3 - 9:18BucksJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)52
30.6%
57
69.4%
Q3 - 9:27BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound52
34.0%
57
66.0%
Q3 - 9:30HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot52
32.9%
57
67.1%
Q3 - 9:59BucksBobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)52
30.5%
57
69.5%
Q3 - 10:09BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound49
25.9%
57
74.1%
Q3 - 10:11HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot49
25.0%
57
75.0%
Q3 - 10:19BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving floating jump shot49
23.1%
57
76.9%
Q3 - 10:27HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup47
21.1%
57
78.9%
Q3 - 10:48BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 2 of 247
23.1%
55
76.9%
Q3 - 10:48BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 246
22.6%
55
77.4%
Q3 - 10:48HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)45
22.1%
55
77.9%
Q3 - 10:57HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot45
21.1%
55
78.9%
Q3 - 11:07HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound45
23.6%
53
76.4%
Q3 - 11:10BucksBrook Lopez misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot45
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q3 - 11:26BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound45
26.1%
53
73.9%
Q3 - 11:29HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot45
25.3%
53
74.7%
Q3 - 11:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound45
23.6%
53
76.4%
Q3 - 11:49BucksJrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot45
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.45
26.1%
53
73.9%
Q2 - 0:01.3HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot45
26.6%
53
73.4%
Q2 - 0:15.4BucksGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)45
29.6%
51
70.4%
Q2 - 0:28.2HeatOrlando Robinson turnover (offensive foul)42
24.1%
51
75.9%
Q2 - 0:28.2HeatOrlando Robinson offensive foul (Grayson Allen draws the foul)42
22.2%
51
77.8%
Q2 - 0:28.2HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound42
22.2%
51
77.8%
Q2 - 0:30.3HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving bank jump shot42
23.5%
51
76.5%
Q2 - 0:39.4HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound42
22.2%
51
77.8%
Q2 - 0:39.4HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot42
23.5%
51
76.5%
Q2 - 0:50.6BucksJoe Ingles makes two point layup (Brook Lopez assists)42
22.2%
51
77.8%
Q2 - 0:52.9BucksBrook Lopez offensive rebound40
19.7%
51
80.3%
Q2 - 0:54.8BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot40
18.6%
51
81.4%
Q2 - 1:10BucksBucks defensive rebound40
20.5%
51
79.5%
Q2 - 1:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup40
20.0%
51
80.0%
Q2 - 1:12HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound40
19.0%
51
81.0%
Q2 - 1:14HeatMax Strus misses two point driving floating jump shot40
20.0%
51
80.0%
Q2 - 1:20HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 140
19.0%
51
81.0%
Q2 - 1:20BucksJoe Ingles technical foul40
19.5%
50
80.5%
Q2 - 1:20BucksJoe Ingles personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)40
21.0%
50
79.0%
Q2 - 1:34BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)40
21.0%
50
79.0%
Q2 - 1:48BucksJoe Ingles defensive rebound37
16.7%
50
83.3%
Q2 - 1:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot37
16.3%
50
83.7%
Q2 - 2:05HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound37
16.0%
50
84.0%
Q2 - 2:09BucksJrue Holiday misses regular free throw 2 of 237
16.2%
50
83.8%
Q2 - 2:09BucksJrue Holiday misses regular free throw 1 of 237
17.3%
50
82.7%
Q2 - 2:09HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)37
18.7%
50
81.3%
Q2 - 2:20HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 237
17.7%
50
82.3%
Q2 - 2:20HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 237
18.0%
49
82.0%
Q2 - 2:20BucksPat Connaughton shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)37
18.3%
48
81.7%
Q2 - 2:41BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving layup37
19.4%
48
80.6%
Q2 - 2:49BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound35
17.7%
48
82.3%
Q2 - 2:52HeatMax Strus misses three point running jump shot35
17.1%
48
82.9%
Q2 - 2:57HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound35
15.9%
48
84.1%
Q2 - 3:00BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot35
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q2 - 3:08BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound35
18.7%
48
81.3%
Q2 - 3:11HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot35
18.0%
48
82.0%
Q2 - 3:26BucksBrook Lopez personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)35
16.7%
48
83.3%
Q2 - 3:26HeatHeat defensive rebound35
16.7%
48
83.3%
Q2 - 3:26BucksJevon Carter misses two point jump shot35
17.2%
48
82.8%
Q2 - 3:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)35
18.6%
48
81.4%
Q2 - 3:51BucksBrook Lopez makes three point turnaround jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)35
20.1%
46
79.9%
Q2 - 4:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)32
17.5%
46
82.5%
Q2 - 4:11HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound32
19.2%
44
80.8%
Q2 - 4:14BucksJevon Carter misses three point jump shot32
19.7%
44
80.3%
Q2 - 4:25BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound32
21.0%
44
79.0%
Q2 - 4:28HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot32
20.4%
44
79.6%
Q2 - 4:50BucksPat Connaughton makes two point bank jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)32
19.1%
44
80.9%
Q2 - 5:03HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point fadeaway jump shot30
18.0%
44
82.0%
Q2 - 5:24BucksGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Jevon Carter assists)30
19.3%
42
80.7%
Q2 - 5:32HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)27
16.4%
42
83.6%
Q2 - 5:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound27
19.3%
39
80.7%
Q2 - 5:51BucksBobby Portis misses two point floating jump shot27
20.0%
39
80.0%
Q2 - 6:07BucksBucks defensive rebound27
22.1%
39
77.9%
Q2 - 6:08HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point pullup jump shot27
21.4%
39
78.6%
Q2 - 6:14HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound27
19.9%
39
80.1%
Q2 - 6:17BucksGrayson Allen misses two point driving floating bank jump shot27
20.6%
39
79.4%
Q2 - 6:34HeatGabe Vincent makes three point running pullup jump shot27
22.1%
39
77.9%
Q2 - 6:41BucksBobby Portis turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)27
25.5%
36
74.5%
Q2 - 7:04HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating jump shot27
28.4%
36
71.6%
Q2 - 7:23BucksJevon Carter makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)27
30.4%
34
69.6%
Q2 - 7:37HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot24
26.3%
34
73.7%
Q2 - 7:45HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound24
28.2%
32
71.8%
Q2 - 7:48BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot24
29.0%
32
71.0%
Q2 - 7:56BucksGrayson Allen defensive rebound24
30.6%
32
69.4%
Q2 - 7:59HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot24
29.9%
32
70.1%
Q2 - 8:23BucksBobby Portis makes two point driving layup (Jevon Carter assists)24
28.5%
32
71.5%
Q2 - 8:38HeatMax Strus turnover (lost ball) (Joe Ingles steals)22
26.5%
32
73.5%
Q2 - 8:47HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound22
24.4%
32
75.6%
Q2 - 8:50BucksAJ Green misses three point stepback jump shot22
25.1%
32
74.9%
Q2 - 9:12HeatJamal Cain makes two point driving layup (Orlando Robinson assists)22
26.6%
32
73.4%
Q2 - 9:17HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound22
28.6%
30
71.4%
Q2 - 9:19HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot22
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q2 - 9:27HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound22
28.6%
30
71.4%
Q2 - 9:30BucksJevon Carter misses two point fadeaway jump shot22
29.3%
30
70.7%
Q2 - 9:44HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds step)22
30.8%
30
69.2%
Q2 - 9:52HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound22
28.6%
30
71.4%
Q2 - 9:55BucksBobby Portis misses two point pullup jump shot22
29.3%
30
70.7%
Q2 - 10:14HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Bobby Portis steals)22
31.2%
30
68.8%
Q2 - 10:20HeatMax Strus defensive rebound22
29.1%
30
70.9%
Q2 - 10:22BucksJoe Ingles misses two point putback layup22
29.7%
30
70.3%
Q2 - 10:24BucksJoe Ingles offensive rebound22
31.2%
30
68.8%
Q2 - 10:25BucksJoe Ingles misses two point running layup22
29.7%
30
70.3%
Q2 - 10:25HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Joe Ingles steals)22
31.2%
30
68.8%
Q2 - 10:45BucksJevon Carter makes two point jump shot (Bobby Portis assists)22
29.0%
30
71.0%
Q2 - 11:10HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot20
27.7%
30
72.3%
Q2 - 11:17BucksSandro Mamukelashvili personal foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)20
29.7%
28
70.3%
Q2 - 11:30HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound20
29.7%
28
70.3%
Q2 - 11:33BucksAJ Green misses three point jump shot20
30.3%
28
69.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.20
31.7%
28
68.3%
Q1 - 0:02.2HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound20
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q1 - 0:02.2BucksMarJon Beauchamp misses three point jump shot20
30.5%
28
69.5%
Q1 - 0:13.5BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound20
31.8%
28
68.2%
Q1 - 0:16.0HeatJamal Cain misses three point jump shot20
31.2%
28
68.8%
Q1 - 0:28.4HeatMax Strus defensive rebound20
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q1 - 0:31.7BucksOrlando Robinson blocks MarJon Beauchamp's two point layup20
30.5%
28
69.5%
Q1 - 0:44.4HeatJimmy Butler makes two point floating jump shot20
31.8%
28
68.2%
Q1 - 0:59.2HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound20
34.1%
26
65.9%
Q1 - 1:01BucksMarJon Beauchamp misses three point running jump shot20
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q1 - 1:08HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Pat Connaughton steals)20
36.3%
26
63.7%
Q1 - 1:30HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound20
34.3%
26
65.7%
Q1 - 1:33BucksJrue Holiday misses three point running pullup jump shot20
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q1 - 1:36BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound20
36.2%
26
63.8%
Q1 - 1:39HeatJimmy Butler misses two point cutting layup20
35.6%
26
64.4%
Q1 - 1:59HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound20
34.3%
26
65.7%
Q1 - 2:03BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot20
35.3%
26
64.7%
Q1 - 2:05BucksJrue Holiday offensive rebound20
36.8%
26
63.2%
Q1 - 2:08BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot20
35.3%
26
64.7%
Q1 - 2:15BucksJoe Ingles defensive rebound20
36.8%
26
63.2%
Q1 - 2:20HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point cutting layup20
36.1%
26
63.9%
Q1 - 2:45BucksBrook Lopez makes two point hook shot (Joe Ingles assists)20
34.6%
26
65.4%
Q1 - 3:01BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound18
33.0%
26
67.0%
Q1 - 3:03HeatJamal Cain misses two point pullup jump shot18
32.3%
26
67.7%
Q1 - 3:23BucksBrook Lopez turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Cain steals)18
30.7%
26
69.3%
Q1 - 3:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround bank jump shot18
33.0%
26
67.0%
Q1 - 4:12BucksGrayson Allen makes two point driving finger roll layup18
35.3%
24
64.7%
Q1 - 4:21HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point floating jump shot16
33.6%
24
66.4%
Q1 - 4:41BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)16
35.2%
22
64.8%
Q1 - 4:52HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Jrue Holiday steals)13
31.7%
22
68.3%
Q1 - 5:11HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound13
30.3%
22
69.7%
Q1 - 5:13BucksGrayson Allen misses two point fadeaway jump shot13
30.9%
22
69.1%
Q1 - 5:28BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound13
32.3%
22
67.7%
Q1 - 5:30HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot13
31.7%
22
68.3%
Q1 - 5:44HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound13
30.3%
22
69.7%
Q1 - 5:46HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point running layup13
31.7%
22
68.3%
Q1 - 5:51BucksJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)13
30.3%
22
69.7%
Q1 - 5:59BucksMarJon Beauchamp offensive rebound13
32.3%
22
67.7%
Q1 - 6:02BucksMarJon Beauchamp misses three point jump shot13
31.3%
22
68.7%
Q1 - 6:13HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)13
32.6%
22
67.4%
Q1 - 6:28BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 2 of 213
36.1%
19
63.9%
Q1 - 6:28BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 212
35.7%
19
64.3%
Q1 - 6:28HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)11
35.3%
19
64.7%
Q1 - 6:36HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Bobby Portis steals)11
34.3%
19
65.7%
Q1 - 6:59BucksGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Bobby Portis assists)11
32.5%
19
67.5%
Q1 - 7:14HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point putback layup8
29.6%
19
70.4%
Q1 - 7:15HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound8
31.1%
17
68.9%
Q1 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 28
32.7%
17
67.3%
Q1 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 28
31.6%
17
68.4%
Q1 - 7:18BucksPat Connaughton shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)8
30.3%
17
69.7%
Q1 - 7:21HeatMax Strus defensive rebound8
31.1%
17
68.9%
Q1 - 7:23BucksJrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot8
31.7%
17
68.3%
Q1 - 7:39HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)8
33.0%
17
67.0%
Q1 - 7:51BucksJrue Holiday makes three point running pullup jump shot8
36.3%
14
63.7%
Q1 - 7:54BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound5
32.9%
14
67.1%
Q1 - 8:00HeatBrook Lopez blocks Gabe Vincent's three point pullup jump shot5
32.4%
14
67.6%
Q1 - 8:05BucksBobby Portis turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)5
31.4%
14
68.6%
Q1 - 8:05BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound5
33.3%
14
66.7%
Q1 - 8:10HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot5
32.7%
14
67.3%
Q1 - 8:17HeatMax Strus defensive rebound5
31.4%
14
68.6%
Q1 - 8:20BucksBrook Lopez misses two point fadeaway jump shot5
32.0%
14
68.0%
Q1 - 8:40HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 15
33.3%
14
66.7%
Q1 - 8:40BucksGrayson Allen shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)5
33.5%
13
66.5%
Q1 - 8:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
36.6%
11
63.4%
Q1 - 8:53BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot5
37.2%
11
62.8%
Q1 - 9:16HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot5
38.8%
11
61.2%
Q1 - 9:29BucksBrook Lopez makes two point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)5
42.3%
8
57.7%
Q1 - 9:40HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)3
40.6%
8
59.4%
Q1 - 9:46HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound3
44.1%
5
55.9%
Q1 - 9:50HeatBrook Lopez blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup3
45.6%
5
54.4%
Q1 - 10:04HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound3
44.1%
5
55.9%
Q1 - 10:06BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot3
44.7%
5
55.3%
Q1 - 10:13HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Bobby Portis steals)3
46.1%
5
53.9%
Q1 - 10:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound3
44.1%
5
55.9%
Q1 - 10:17BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot3
44.7%
5
55.3%
Q1 - 10:27HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)3
46.1%
5
53.9%
Q1 - 10:34BucksJrue Holiday personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)3
49.6%
2
50.4%
Q1 - 10:50BucksBobby Portis makes two point layup (Jrue Holiday assists)3
49.6%
2
50.4%
Q1 - 11:04HeatMax Strus makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)1
47.9%
2
52.1%
Q1 - 11:21BucksGrayson Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 21
49.4%
0
50.6%
Q1 - 11:21BucksGrayson Allen misses regular free throw 1 of 20
49.2%
0
50.8%
Q1 - 11:21HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Grayson Allen draws the foul)0
50.8%
0
49.2%
Q1 - 11:39BucksGrayson Allen defensive rebound0
49.7%
0
50.3%
Q1 - 11:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot0
49.1%
0
50.9%
Q1 - 12:00Brook Lopez vs. Bam Adebayo (Haywood Highsmith gains possession)0
47.6%
0
52.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
6
13
46%
MIA
15
24
63%
Midrange
MIL
9
23
39%
MIA
19
41
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
19
28.5
48
40%
59%
MIA
11
16.5
22
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIL
8
12
67%
MIA
10
12
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Portis1563%7.5 / 12
P. Connaughton1458%7.0 / 12
B. Lopez1365%6.5 / 10
J. Holiday1238%6.0 / 16
G. Allen1260%6.0 / 10
J. Carter1056%5.0 / 9
A. Green964%4.5 / 7
J. Ingles550%2.5 / 5
S. Mamukelashvili563%2.5 / 4
M. Beauchamp0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Vincent2796%13.5 / 14
B. Adebayo2048%10.0 / 21
V. Oladipo2056%10.0 / 18
J. Butler1657%8.0 / 14
M. Strus1042%5.0 / 12
H. Highsmith8100%4.0 / 4
J. Cain660%3.0 / 5
O. Robinson450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
81
+11
-10
92
MIA
79
+14
-11
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.9
112.9
MIL 104.4
MIA 123.3 +18.9
Pace
101.0
96.3
MIL 96.9 +12.1
MIA 84.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.0
MIL 14.9 +2.1
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.5%
53.0%
MIL 51.8%
MIA 58.0% +6.2%
TO %
13.6%
13.2%
MIL 10.1% +0.6%
MIA 10.7%
ORB %
25.0%
22.8%
MIL 15.6%
MIA 34.2% +18.6%
FTrt
24.8
27.0
MIL 14.3 +0.5
MIA 13.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.4%
60.8%
MIL 76.5% +38.7%
MIA 37.8%
STL %
6.2%
8.2%
MIL 7.7%
MIA 10.0% +2.3%
BLK %
8.3%
6.3%
MIL 3.1%
MIA 8.3% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
55.9%
MIL 51.6%
MIA 59.0% +7.4%
Rim FG%
65.3%
62.6%
MIL 46.2%
MIA 62.5% +16.3%
Mid FG%
42.9%
45.3%
MIL 39.1%
MIA 46.3% +7.2%
3P %
36.8%
34.4%
MIL 39.6%
MIA 50.0% +10.4%
FT %
74.3%
83.1%
MIL 66.7%
MIA 83.3% +16.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
29.9%
MIL 15.5%
MIA 27.6% +12.1%
Mid Att. %
23.8%
29.4%
MIL 27.4% +19.7%
MIA 47.1%
3P Att. %
44.6%
40.8%
MIL 57.1% +31.9%
MIA 25.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points95111
Rebounds3251
Assists2617
Steals79
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)11 (0)
Fouls1314
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (4)38 (2)
Field Goals34-8445-87
At-the-Rim FG6-1315-24
Midrange FG9-2319-41
2-Point FG15-3634-65
3-Point FG19-4811-22
Free Throws8-1210-12
Fast Break Pts65
2nd Chance Pts417
Points in Paint2654
Pts off Turnovers1012
Bench Points2930
Biggest Lead120

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#21 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 33
35.1
12
38%
3
10
1
0
5
1
1
2
1-4
25%
4-7
57%
1-7
14%
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35
33.4
13
65%
4
1
0
2
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
3-5
60%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 209 · 30
30.6
14
58%
8
1
1
0
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
1-2
50%
4-10
40%
#9 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 28
27.4
15
63%
7
2
3
0
2
0
2
5
6-6
100%
3-8
38%
1-2
50%
#12 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 27
26.9
12
60%
3
5
0
0
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
#7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35
25.2
5
50%
4
4
2
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
#5 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 27
24.3
10
56%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
#20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23
16.9
9
64%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-6
50%
#0 · SF · 6'6" 199 · 22
10.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
#54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24
7.2
5
63%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
#43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 30
2.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 37
DNP – Coach's Decision
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36
DNP – Coach's Decision
#25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 33
Inactive – Personal
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Soreness
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
52%
32
26
7
2
10
13
7
25
8-12
67%
15-36
42%
19-48
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.