FinalWin Prob.pScore
1141%104
102
1059%107
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
105.297103.9
MIA logo MIA
112.59690.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.102
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:11.9BucksAJ Green makes three point jump shot (Sandro Mamukelashvili assists)102
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.7HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 299
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.7HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 299
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.7BucksMarJon Beauchamp shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.2BucksBobby Portis personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.6BucksAJ Green makes three point jump shot99
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:45.6BucksAJ Green offensive rebound96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.6BucksJordan Nwora misses two point fadeaway jump shot96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00BucksSandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound96
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:04HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point stepback jump shot96
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:12HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound96
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot96
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound96
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 1:40BucksBobby Portis misses regular free throw 2 of 296
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 1:40BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 296
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 1:40HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)95
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 1:42BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound95
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 1:46BucksJevon Carter misses three point running jump shot95
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 1:48BucksJordan Nwora defensive rebound95
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 1:52HeatGabe Vincent misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot95
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 2:16BucksBobby Portis makes two point floating jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 2:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Max Strus assists)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound93
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 2:36HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot93
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 2:57BucksBobby Portis makes two point pullup jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)93
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 3:14HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)91
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 3:39BucksJrue Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot91
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 3:53BucksBucks offensive rebound88
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 3:57BucksJevon Carter misses three point jump shot88
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 4:08HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 288
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 4:08HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 288
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 4:08BucksBobby Portis shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)88
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 4:28BucksJevon Carter makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)88
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 4:34HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround hook shot85
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 4:47HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound85
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 4:50BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot85
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 4:58BucksJordan Nwora defensive rebound85
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 5:01HeatJamal Cain misses three point jump shot85
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 5:08HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound85
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 5:10BucksJordan Nwora misses three point jump shot85
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 5:24HeatJamal Cain makes two point running finger roll layup85
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 5:29BucksPat Connaughton turnover (lost ball) (Jamal Cain steals)85
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 5:48HeatJimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)85
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q4 - 6:04BucksJordan Nwora makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)85
3.4%
95
96.6%
Q4 - 6:14HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 282
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 6:14HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 282
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 6:14BucksPat Connaughton shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)82
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q4 - 6:22HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound82
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q4 - 6:25BucksBobby Portis misses two point turnaround hook shot82
2.8%
93
97.2%
Q4 - 6:32BucksJevon Carter defensive rebound82
3.6%
93
96.4%
Q4 - 6:34HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving floating jump shot82
3.2%
93
96.8%
Q4 - 6:52BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 2 of 282
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 6:52BucksBobby Portis misses regular free throw 1 of 281
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q4 - 6:52HeatOrlando Robinson shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)81
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q4 - 6:55HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Bobby Portis steals)81
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q4 - 7:02HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound81
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q4 - 7:02BucksPat Connaughton misses two point cutting finger roll layup81
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q4 - 7:14HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Victor Oladipo assists)81
3.5%
93
96.5%
Q4 - 7:31HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound81
4.3%
91
95.7%
Q4 - 7:36BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot81
4.7%
91
95.3%
Q4 - 7:45HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Pat Connaughton steals)81
5.8%
91
94.2%
Q4 - 7:51BucksJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)81
4.2%
91
95.8%
Q4 - 8:02HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point reverse layup81
6.5%
91
93.5%
Q4 - 8:04HeatVictor Oladipo offensive rebound81
8.1%
89
91.9%
Q4 - 8:07HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point stepback jump shot81
9.5%
89
90.5%
Q4 - 8:34BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)81
8.0%
89
92.0%
Q4 - 8:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot78
5.1%
89
94.9%
Q4 - 9:06BucksJordan Nwora makes two point pullup jump shot78
7.2%
87
92.8%
Q4 - 9:13BucksJordan Nwora defensive rebound76
5.9%
87
94.1%
Q4 - 9:16HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot76
5.5%
87
94.5%
Q4 - 9:28HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
4.6%
87
95.4%
Q4 - 9:32BucksAJ Green misses three point pullup jump shot76
5.0%
87
95.0%
Q4 - 9:47BucksAJ Green defensive rebound76
5.9%
87
94.1%
Q4 - 9:48HeatJamal Cain misses two point tip layup76
5.4%
87
94.6%
Q4 - 9:48HeatJamal Cain offensive rebound76
4.6%
87
95.4%
Q4 - 9:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot76
5.4%
87
94.6%
Q4 - 9:58HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound76
4.6%
87
95.4%
Q4 - 10:01BucksAJ Green misses three point jump shot76
5.8%
87
94.2%
Q4 - 10:12HeatMax Strus makes two point driving layup (Victor Oladipo assists)76
6.8%
87
93.2%
Q4 - 10:26BucksJordan Nwora makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)76
8.1%
85
91.9%
Q4 - 10:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)73
5.5%
85
94.5%
Q4 - 10:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound73
6.6%
83
93.4%
Q4 - 10:59BucksBrook Lopez misses two point turnaround hook shot73
7.0%
83
93.0%
Q4 - 11:15HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point pullup jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)73
9.0%
83
91.0%
Q4 - 11:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound73
13.0%
80
87.0%
Q4 - 11:28BucksJordan Nwora misses three point jump shot73
13.8%
80
86.2%
Q4 - 11:43HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point running layup73
15.6%
80
84.4%
Q4 - 11:48BucksJordan Nwora turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)73
18.5%
78
81.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.73
21.9%
78
78.1%
Q3 - 0:00.1BucksBucks offensive rebound73
22.8%
78
77.2%
Q3 - 0:00.5BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot73
20.5%
78
79.5%
Q3 - 0:09.1HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Victor Oladipo assists)73
22.7%
78
77.3%
Q3 - 0:27.4BucksBobby Portis makes two point turnaround hook shot (Pat Connaughton assists)73
26.4%
76
73.6%
Q3 - 0:42.1HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)71
22.7%
76
77.3%
Q3 - 0:58.9BucksJordan Nwora makes two point driving floating jump shot71
30.4%
73
69.6%
Q3 - 1:06HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 169
27.1%
73
72.9%
Q3 - 1:06BucksBobby Portis shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)69
27.7%
72
72.3%
Q3 - 1:25BucksJordan Nwora makes three point jump shot (Jevon Carter assists)69
34.8%
70
65.2%
Q3 - 1:38HeatJamal Cain makes two point running layup (Max Strus assists)66
27.1%
70
72.9%
Q3 - 1:44HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound66
30.6%
68
69.4%
Q3 - 1:47BucksJevon Carter misses three point jump shot66
32.0%
68
68.0%
Q3 - 2:02BucksSandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound66
35.1%
68
64.9%
Q3 - 2:05HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot66
33.8%
68
66.2%
Q3 - 2:17BucksJordan Nwora makes three point jump shot (Bobby Portis assists)66
31.0%
68
69.0%
Q3 - 2:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 263
24.1%
68
75.9%
Q3 - 2:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 263
24.8%
67
75.2%
Q3 - 2:33BucksBobby Portis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
25.5%
66
74.5%
Q3 - 2:41BucksJrue Holiday personal foul (Loose ball) (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)63
27.3%
66
72.7%
Q3 - 2:41HeatHeat offensive rebound63
27.3%
66
72.7%
Q3 - 2:41HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving floating jump shot63
30.0%
66
70.0%
Q3 - 2:48HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound63
27.3%
66
72.7%
Q3 - 2:53BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot63
28.4%
66
71.6%
Q3 - 3:04HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)63
31.9%
66
68.1%
Q3 - 3:20BucksJrue Holiday makes two point pullup jump shot63
27.7%
66
72.3%
Q3 - 3:31HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Bobby Portis steals)61
25.0%
66
75.0%
Q3 - 3:41HeatMax Strus defensive rebound61
21.4%
66
78.6%
Q3 - 3:47BucksJevon Carter misses three point jump shot61
22.4%
66
77.6%
Q3 - 4:11HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving reverse layup61
25.4%
66
74.6%
Q3 - 4:28BucksMarJon Beauchamp turnover (out of bounds lost ball)61
28.1%
64
71.9%
Q3 - 4:48HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)61
32.1%
64
67.9%
Q3 - 4:52HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound61
39.0%
61
61.0%
Q3 - 4:57BucksSandro Mamukelashvili misses three point jump shot61
40.4%
61
59.6%
Q3 - 5:10BucksSandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound61
43.2%
61
56.8%
Q3 - 5:12HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot61
42.0%
61
58.0%
Q3 - 5:23BucksJevon Carter makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)61
39.1%
61
60.9%
Q3 - 5:44HeatGabe Vincent makes three point stepback jump shot58
32.2%
61
67.8%
Q3 - 6:04BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 258
39.0%
58
61.0%
Q3 - 6:04BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 257
38.4%
58
61.6%
Q3 - 6:04HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)56
37.7%
58
62.3%
Q3 - 6:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)56
35.7%
58
64.3%
Q3 - 6:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound56
39.0%
56
61.0%
Q3 - 6:28BucksJevon Carter misses two point driving floating bank jump shot56
40.2%
56
59.8%
Q3 - 6:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)56
42.9%
56
57.1%
Q3 - 6:46HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound56
46.4%
54
53.6%
Q3 - 6:46HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot56
49.2%
54
50.8%
Q3 - 7:07BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving finger roll layup56
45.9%
54
54.1%
Q3 - 7:20HeatGabe Vincent makes two point stepback jump shot54
42.8%
54
57.2%
Q3 - 7:35BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 254
45.9%
52
54.1%
Q3 - 7:35BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 253
45.3%
52
54.7%
Q3 - 7:35HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)52
44.6%
52
55.4%
Q3 - 7:41BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound52
42.8%
52
57.2%
Q3 - 7:41HeatGabe Vincent misses three point running pullup jump shot52
41.6%
52
58.4%
Q3 - 7:44HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound52
38.8%
52
61.2%
Q3 - 7:47BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot52
40.0%
52
60.0%
Q3 - 7:54BucksMarJon Beauchamp defensive rebound52
42.8%
52
57.2%
Q3 - 7:57HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup52
41.6%
52
58.4%
Q3 - 7:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
38.8%
52
61.2%
Q3 - 8:00BucksBrook Lopez misses two point tip layup52
40.0%
52
60.0%
Q3 - 8:00BucksBrook Lopez offensive rebound52
42.8%
52
57.2%
Q3 - 8:05BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot52
39.8%
52
60.2%
Q3 - 8:27BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound52
42.7%
52
57.3%
Q3 - 8:30HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot52
41.4%
52
58.6%
Q3 - 8:39BucksBobby Portis personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)52
38.6%
52
61.4%
Q3 - 8:39HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound52
38.6%
52
61.4%
Q3 - 8:39HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup52
41.4%
52
58.6%
Q3 - 8:39HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound52
38.6%
52
61.4%
Q3 - 8:42HeatJimmy Butler misses two point reverse layup52
41.4%
52
58.6%
Q3 - 8:55HeatMax Strus defensive rebound52
38.6%
52
61.4%
Q3 - 9:00BucksJrue Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot52
39.8%
52
60.2%
Q3 - 9:05BucksMarJon Beauchamp offensive rebound52
42.3%
52
57.7%
Q3 - 9:09BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot52
39.7%
52
60.3%
Q3 - 9:11BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound52
42.3%
52
57.7%
Q3 - 9:15BucksJrue Holiday misses regular free throw 2 of 252
39.1%
52
60.9%
Q3 - 9:15BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 252
41.3%
52
58.7%
Q3 - 9:15HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)51
40.7%
52
59.3%
Q3 - 9:30HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot51
39.0%
52
61.0%
Q3 - 9:42BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)51
45.3%
49
54.7%
Q3 - 9:48BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound48
39.0%
49
61.0%
Q3 - 9:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot48
37.9%
49
62.1%
Q3 - 9:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound48
35.3%
49
64.7%
Q3 - 10:02BucksJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot48
36.3%
49
63.7%
Q3 - 10:14BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound48
38.8%
49
61.2%
Q3 - 10:17HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point stepback jump shot48
37.7%
49
62.3%
Q3 - 10:19HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound48
35.3%
49
64.7%
Q3 - 10:22HeatBobby Portis blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point floating jump shot48
37.7%
49
62.3%
Q3 - 10:37BucksJrue Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot48
35.3%
49
64.7%
Q3 - 11:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)45
29.6%
49
70.4%
Q3 - 11:06HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound45
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q3 - 11:09BucksJrue Holiday misses two point floating jump shot45
33.2%
47
66.8%
Q3 - 11:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)45
35.4%
47
64.6%
Q3 - 11:35HeatMax Strus defensive rebound45
38.3%
45
61.7%
Q3 - 11:39BucksMarJon Beauchamp misses three point running jump shot45
39.3%
45
60.7%
Q3 - 11:47HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Bobby Portis steals)45
41.6%
45
58.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.45
38.3%
45
61.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound45
41.2%
45
58.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot45
40.4%
45
59.6%
Q2 - 0:07.3HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound45
38.6%
45
61.4%
Q2 - 0:11.3HeatMax Strus misses two point driving reverse layup45
40.4%
45
59.6%
Q2 - 0:33.2BucksBobby Portis makes two point alley-oop layup (Jrue Holiday assists)45
38.6%
45
61.4%
Q2 - 0:45.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 243
35.1%
45
64.9%
Q2 - 0:45.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 243
35.5%
44
64.5%
Q2 - 0:45.5BucksJevon Carter shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)43
36.0%
43
64.0%
Q2 - 0:55.3HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound43
38.6%
43
61.4%
Q2 - 0:57.5BucksJordan Nwora misses two point pullup jump shot43
39.4%
43
60.6%
Q2 - 1:20HeatJamal Cain makes two point layup (Victor Oladipo assists)43
41.1%
43
58.9%
Q2 - 1:27BucksJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Cain steals)43
45.0%
41
55.0%
Q2 - 1:43HeatMax Strus makes three point stepback jump shot43
47.2%
41
52.8%
Q2 - 1:57HeatHeat offensive rebound43
54.3%
38
45.7%
Q2 - 1:58HeatJamal Cain misses three point jump shot43
55.8%
38
44.2%
Q2 - 2:12BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 243
53.0%
38
47.0%
Q2 - 2:12BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 242
52.5%
38
47.5%
Q2 - 2:12HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)41
52.0%
38
48.0%
Q2 - 2:27HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 241
50.3%
38
49.7%
Q2 - 2:27HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 241
50.6%
37
49.4%
Q2 - 2:27BucksJrue Holiday shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)41
51.1%
36
48.9%
Q2 - 2:27HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound41
53.1%
36
46.9%
Q2 - 2:27HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving finger roll layup41
55.3%
36
44.7%
Q2 - 2:33HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound41
53.1%
36
46.9%
Q2 - 2:38BucksMarJon Beauchamp misses three point running jump shot41
54.1%
36
45.9%
Q2 - 2:43BucksJevon Carter defensive rebound41
56.2%
36
43.8%
Q2 - 2:47HeatGabe Vincent misses three point running pullup jump shot41
55.3%
36
44.7%
Q2 - 2:52BucksBobby Portis turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)41
53.2%
36
46.8%
Q2 - 3:06HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point putback dunk41
55.6%
36
44.4%
Q2 - 3:07HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound41
57.9%
34
42.1%
Q2 - 3:10HeatMax Strus misses three point running jump shot41
60.2%
34
39.8%
Q2 - 3:18BucksMarJon Beauchamp turnover (bad pass) (Orlando Robinson steals)41
57.9%
34
42.1%
Q2 - 3:22HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (MarJon Beauchamp steals)41
61.2%
34
38.8%
Q2 - 3:31HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound41
57.9%
34
42.1%
Q2 - 3:31BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot41
58.9%
34
41.1%
Q2 - 3:43BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound41
61.2%
34
38.8%
Q2 - 3:47HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot41
60.2%
34
39.8%
Q2 - 4:04BucksJrue Holiday turnover (out of bounds step)41
57.5%
34
42.5%
Q2 - 4:13HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 141
60.3%
34
39.7%
Q2 - 4:13BucksAJ Green shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)41
60.6%
33
39.4%
Q2 - 4:28BucksJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot41
65.5%
31
34.5%
Q2 - 4:32BucksJrue Holiday offensive rebound38
60.3%
31
39.7%
Q2 - 4:36BucksBrook Lopez misses two point floating jump shot38
58.4%
31
41.6%
Q2 - 4:55HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating bank jump shot38
60.3%
31
39.7%
Q2 - 5:05HeatMax Strus defensive rebound38
62.1%
29
37.9%
Q2 - 5:09BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot38
63.1%
29
36.9%
Q2 - 5:19HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)38
65.2%
29
34.8%
Q2 - 5:21HeatMax Strus offensive rebound38
69.6%
26
30.4%
Q2 - 5:23HeatMax Strus misses two point driving layup38
71.5%
26
28.5%
Q2 - 5:40BucksAJ Green makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)38
69.6%
26
30.4%
Q2 - 5:42BucksJrue Holiday offensive rebound35
65.2%
26
34.8%
Q2 - 5:46BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot35
63.1%
26
36.9%
Q2 - 5:51BucksAJ Green defensive rebound35
65.2%
26
34.8%
Q2 - 5:51HeatJrue Holiday blocks Jimmy Butler's two point layup35
64.3%
26
35.7%
Q2 - 5:52HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound35
62.2%
26
37.8%
Q2 - 5:58HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point floating jump shot35
64.3%
26
35.7%
Q2 - 6:15HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound35
61.7%
26
38.3%
Q2 - 6:20BucksBrook Lopez misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot35
62.6%
26
37.4%
Q2 - 6:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)35
64.8%
26
35.2%
Q2 - 6:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
66.7%
24
33.3%
Q2 - 6:54BucksAJ Green misses three point jump shot35
67.6%
24
32.4%
Q2 - 7:13HeatMax Strus makes two point floating jump shot35
68.6%
24
31.4%
Q2 - 7:31BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (Jevon Carter assists)35
70.6%
22
29.4%
Q2 - 7:34BucksJordan Nwora defensive rebound32
66.3%
22
33.7%
Q2 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot32
65.5%
22
34.5%
Q2 - 7:51HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound32
63.7%
22
36.3%
Q2 - 7:56BucksJordan Nwora misses three point pullup jump shot32
64.5%
22
35.5%
Q2 - 8:16HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point pullup jump shot32
65.7%
22
34.3%
Q2 - 8:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound32
70.1%
19
29.9%
Q2 - 8:36BucksAJ Green misses three point pullup jump shot32
70.8%
19
29.2%
Q2 - 8:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Victor Oladipo assists)32
72.4%
19
27.6%
Q2 - 9:05BucksJevon Carter makes three point pullup jump shot32
73.6%
17
26.4%
Q2 - 9:16HeatGabe Vincent turnover (lost ball) (Jevon Carter steals)29
69.6%
17
30.4%
Q2 - 9:26HeatMax Strus defensive rebound29
67.3%
17
32.7%
Q2 - 9:31BucksJevon Carter misses three point running pullup jump shot29
68.0%
17
32.0%
Q2 - 9:35HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Jevon Carter steals)29
69.6%
17
30.4%
Q2 - 9:40HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound29
67.3%
17
32.7%
Q2 - 9:43BucksAJ Green misses three point running jump shot29
68.0%
17
32.0%
Q2 - 9:48BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound29
69.6%
17
30.4%
Q2 - 9:51HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot29
68.9%
17
31.1%
Q2 - 10:07BucksJevon Carter makes three point running pullup jump shot29
66.8%
17
33.2%
Q2 - 10:11BucksJevon Carter defensive rebound26
62.3%
17
37.7%
Q2 - 10:15HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot26
61.6%
17
38.4%
Q2 - 10:25HeatMax Strus defensive rebound26
59.8%
17
40.2%
Q2 - 10:28BucksBrook Lopez misses three point running jump shot26
60.6%
17
39.4%
Q2 - 10:33BucksJevon Carter defensive rebound26
62.3%
17
37.7%
Q2 - 10:37HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point running jump shot26
61.6%
17
38.4%
Q2 - 10:40HeatMax Strus defensive rebound26
59.9%
17
40.1%
Q2 - 10:45BucksJordan Nwora misses three point jump shot26
60.6%
17
39.4%
Q2 - 11:05HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot26
61.1%
17
38.9%
Q2 - 11:22BucksAJ Green makes three point jump shot (Brook Lopez assists)26
65.7%
14
34.3%
Q2 - 11:26HeatMax Strus personal foul (Pat Connaughton draws the foul)23
61.1%
14
38.9%
Q2 - 11:37BucksJordan Nwora defensive rebound23
61.2%
14
38.8%
Q2 - 11:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot23
60.5%
14
39.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
59.0%
14
41.0%
Q1 - 0:00.2HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (traveling)23
60.2%
14
39.8%
Q1 - 0:06.1BucksAJ Green makes three point pullup jump shot (Jevon Carter assists)23
58.1%
14
41.9%
Q1 - 0:29.9HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating jump shot20
53.3%
14
46.7%
Q1 - 0:46.8BucksBobby Portis makes two point floating jump shot20
55.9%
12
44.1%
Q1 - 0:57.5BucksSandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound18
53.3%
12
46.7%
Q1 - 1:02HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot18
52.7%
12
47.3%
Q1 - 1:19HeatHeat defensive rebound18
51.2%
12
48.8%
Q1 - 1:23BucksJevon Carter misses three point running jump shot18
51.8%
12
48.2%
Q1 - 1:30HeatJamal Cain turnover (lost ball) (Sandro Mamukelashvili steals)18
53.3%
12
46.7%
Q1 - 1:50BucksBucks turnover (shot clock violation)18
51.2%
12
48.8%
Q1 - 1:50BucksBucks offensive rebound18
53.3%
12
46.7%
Q1 - 1:51BucksBam Adebayo blocks Jevon Carter's two point pullup jump shot18
51.8%
12
48.2%
Q1 - 2:14BucksBucks defensive rebound18
52.9%
12
47.1%
Q1 - 2:15HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point running pullup jump shot18
52.2%
12
47.8%
Q1 - 2:19BucksSandro Mamukelashvili turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)18
50.6%
12
49.4%
Q1 - 2:36HeatMax Strus turnover (out of bounds bad pass)18
52.9%
12
47.1%
Q1 - 2:56BucksJevon Carter makes three point running jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)18
50.6%
12
49.4%
Q1 - 3:02BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound15
46.0%
12
54.0%
Q1 - 3:04HeatJamal Cain misses two point driving layup15
45.2%
12
54.8%
Q1 - 3:10HeatVictor Oladipo offensive rebound15
43.4%
12
56.6%
Q1 - 3:10HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving finger roll layup15
45.2%
12
54.8%
Q1 - 3:23BucksJrue Holiday makes two point running pullup jump shot (Jordan Nwora assists)15
43.4%
12
56.6%
Q1 - 3:38BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound13
41.7%
12
58.3%
Q1 - 3:38HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point pullup jump shot13
40.9%
12
59.1%
Q1 - 3:52BucksSandro Mamukelashvili makes two point driving hook shot13
39.1%
12
60.9%
Q1 - 4:09HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 211
37.4%
12
62.6%
Q1 - 4:09HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 211
37.7%
11
62.3%
Q1 - 4:09BucksBrook Lopez shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)11
37.9%
10
62.1%
Q1 - 4:23HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound11
39.1%
10
60.9%
Q1 - 4:29BucksJevon Carter misses three point running pullup jump shot11
39.8%
10
60.2%
Q1 - 4:33BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound11
41.5%
10
58.5%
Q1 - 4:34HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup11
40.7%
10
59.3%
Q1 - 4:39HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound11
39.1%
10
60.9%
Q1 - 4:43BucksPat Connaughton misses three point running jump shot11
39.8%
10
60.2%
Q1 - 4:45BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound11
41.5%
10
58.5%
Q1 - 4:48HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot11
40.7%
10
59.3%
Q1 - 4:49HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound11
39.1%
10
60.9%
Q1 - 4:49HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point tip layup11
40.7%
10
59.3%
Q1 - 4:49HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound11
39.1%
10
60.9%
Q1 - 4:56HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point jump shot11
40.7%
10
59.3%
Q1 - 5:17BucksJevon Carter makes three point stepback jump shot11
39.0%
10
61.0%
Q1 - 5:25BucksSandro Mamukelashvili offensive rebound8
35.5%
10
64.5%
Q1 - 5:27BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot8
34.0%
10
66.0%
Q1 - 5:49HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Brook Lopez steals)8
35.5%
10
64.5%
Q1 - 5:58HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound8
33.4%
10
66.6%
Q1 - 6:02BucksJevon Carter misses three point running pullup jump shot8
34.1%
10
65.9%
Q1 - 6:06HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Jevon Carter steals)8
35.4%
10
64.6%
Q1 - 6:31BucksPat Connaughton makes two point driving bank jump shot8
33.5%
10
66.5%
Q1 - 6:45HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot6
31.8%
10
68.2%
Q1 - 6:52HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound6
33.5%
8
66.5%
Q1 - 6:56HeatMax Strus misses three point running jump shot6
34.8%
8
65.2%
Q1 - 7:00HeatMax Strus defensive rebound6
33.5%
8
66.5%
Q1 - 7:03BucksBobby Portis misses two point running layup6
34.1%
8
65.9%
Q1 - 7:07BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound6
35.4%
8
64.6%
Q1 - 7:10HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot6
34.8%
8
65.2%
Q1 - 7:20HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound6
33.5%
8
66.5%
Q1 - 7:24BucksBobby Portis misses two point floating jump shot6
34.1%
8
65.9%
Q1 - 7:33BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound6
35.4%
8
64.6%
Q1 - 7:36HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot6
34.8%
8
65.2%
Q1 - 7:52BucksBobby Portis turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)6
33.5%
8
66.5%
Q1 - 8:03BucksBucks defensive rebound6
35.5%
8
64.5%
Q1 - 8:03HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot6
34.9%
8
65.1%
Q1 - 8:13HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound6
33.5%
8
66.5%
Q1 - 8:16BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot6
34.1%
8
65.9%
Q1 - 8:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving bank hook shot6
35.5%
8
64.5%
Q1 - 8:49HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound6
37.1%
6
62.9%
Q1 - 8:53HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot6
38.5%
6
61.5%
Q1 - 9:00HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound6
37.1%
6
62.9%
Q1 - 9:03BucksBobby Portis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot6
37.6%
6
62.4%
Q1 - 9:19BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound6
38.9%
6
61.1%
Q1 - 9:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot6
38.4%
6
61.6%
Q1 - 9:43BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Brook Lopez assists)6
37.0%
6
63.0%
Q1 - 9:58HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)3
33.7%
6
66.3%
Q1 - 10:10BucksJrue Holiday makes two point fadeaway jump shot3
35.1%
4
64.9%
Q1 - 10:21HeatMax Strus makes two point driving layup1
33.6%
4
66.4%
Q1 - 10:35HeatMax Strus defensive rebound1
35.1%
2
64.9%
Q1 - 10:39BucksMarJon Beauchamp misses two point pullup jump shot1
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 10:48BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound1
37.0%
2
63.0%
Q1 - 10:51HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot1
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 11:08HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound1
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 11:12BucksBrook Lopez misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot1
35.5%
2
64.5%
Q1 - 11:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Max Strus assists)1
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 11:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound1
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 11:44BucksPat Connaughton misses regular free throw 3 of 31
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 11:44BucksPat Connaughton misses regular free throw 2 of 31
39.7%
0
60.3%
Q1 - 11:44BucksPat Connaughton makes regular free throw 1 of 31
41.0%
0
59.0%
Q1 - 11:44HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Pat Connaughton draws the foul)0
40.7%
0
59.3%
Q1 - 12:00Brook Lopez vs. Bam Adebayo (Bobby Portis gains possession)0
38.5%
0
61.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.04 52.0%
MIA
1.05 52.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
2
5
40%
MIA
10
17
59%
Midrange
MIL
11
25
44%
MIA
23
44
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
22
33.0
57
39%
58%
MIA
9
13.5
34
26%
40%
Free Throws
MIL
10
15
67%
MIA
15
16
94%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Holiday2486%12.0 / 14
J. Carter1856%9.0 / 16
J. Nwora1667%8.0 / 12
A. Green1575%7.5 / 10
B. Portis1243%6.0 / 14
P. Connaughton941%4.5 / 11
B. Lopez625%3.0 / 12
S. Mamukelashvili250%1.0 / 2
M. Beauchamp0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Vincent2878%14.0 / 18
B. Adebayo2463%12.0 / 19
J. Butler1750%8.5 / 17
V. Oladipo1444%7.0 / 16
M. Strus1246%6.0 / 13
J. Cain643%3.0 / 7
O. Robinson450%2.0 / 4
H. Highsmith321%1.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
87
+11
-10
98
MIA
83
+20
-13
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.04 52.0%
MIA
1.05 52.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.9
112.9
MIL 105.2
MIA 112.5 +7.3
Pace
101.0
96.3
MIL 103.9 +13.9
MIA 90.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.0
MIL 13.9 +2.1
MIA 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.5%
53.0%
MIL 52.9% +4.0%
MIA 48.9%
TO %
13.6%
13.2%
MIL 10.5% +0.8%
MIA 11.3%
ORB %
25.0%
22.8%
MIL 15.7%
MIA 36.7% +21.0%
FTrt
24.8
27.0
MIL 17.2 +0.4
MIA 16.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.4%
60.8%
MIL 57.1% +4.7%
MIA 52.4%
STL %
6.2%
8.2%
MIL 10.3% +2.0%
MIA 8.3%
BLK %
8.3%
6.3%
MIL 3.3%
MIA 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
55.9%
MIL 52.0%
MIA 52.4% +0.4%
Rim FG%
65.3%
62.6%
MIL 40.0%
MIA 58.8% +18.8%
Mid FG%
42.9%
45.3%
MIL 44.0%
MIA 52.3% +8.3%
3P %
36.8%
34.4%
MIL 38.6% +12.1%
MIA 26.5%
FT %
74.3%
83.1%
MIL 66.7%
MIA 93.8% +27.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
29.9%
MIL 5.7%
MIA 17.9% +12.1%
Mid Att. %
23.8%
29.4%
MIL 28.7% +17.6%
MIA 46.3%
3P Att. %
44.6%
40.8%
MIL 65.5% +29.7%
MIA 35.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points102108
Rebounds3961
Assists2022
Steals108
Blocks21
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)13 (0)
Fouls128
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)18 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)43 (1)
Field Goals35-8742-95
At-the-Rim FG2-510-17
Midrange FG11-2523-44
2-Point FG13-3033-61
3-Point FG22-579-34
Free Throws10-1515-16
Fast Break Pts810
2nd Chance Pts1622
Points in Paint1858
Pts off Turnovers910
Bench Points5124
Biggest Lead1516

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#21 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 33
33.4
24
86%
6
11
0
1
3
2
2
4
7-8
88%
4-6
67%
3-4
75%
#9 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 28
31.7
12
43%
7
1
3
1
2
5
2
5
2-4
50%
5-9
56%
0-3
0%
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35
31.5
6
25%
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-5
0%
2-7
29%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 209 · 30
31.2
9
41%
4
1
1
0
1
1
0
4
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-8
25%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 22
18.0
0
0%
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#5 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 27
30.5
18
56%
4
3
3
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
6-14
43%
#13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24
27.8
16
67%
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
4-8
50%
#20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23
19.2
15
75%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
5-10
50%
#54 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24
16.6
2
50%
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 37
DNP – Coach's Decision
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 36
DNP – Coach's Decision
#43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 30
DNP – Coach's Decision
#7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Injury Management
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Soreness
#25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 33
Inactive – Personal
#12 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
52%
39
20
10
2
10
12
8
31
10-15
67%
13-30
43%
22-57
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.