FinalWin Prob.pScore
1661%111
110
2639%107
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
111.199101.9
OKC logo OKC
110.29895.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAOKC
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.110
100%
108
0%
Q4 - 0:00.1ThunderThunder offensive rebound110
95.7%
108
4.3%
Q4 - 0:00.1ThunderJosh Giddey misses two point layup110
98.2%
108
1.8%
Q4 - 0:02.6ThunderJosh Giddey offensive rebound110
92.1%
108
7.9%
Q4 - 0:02.6ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot110
96.4%
108
3.6%
Q4 - 0:05.7HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot110
86.8%
108
13.2%
Q4 - 0:25.7ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
65.0%
108
35.0%
Q4 - 0:25.7ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
67.4%
107
32.6%
Q4 - 0:25.7HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)108
70.2%
106
29.8%
Q4 - 0:30.7ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound108
77.8%
106
22.2%
Q4 - 0:35.2HeatKyle Lowry misses three point stepback jump shot108
83.0%
106
17.0%
Q4 - 0:55.0ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (out of bounds lost ball)108
85.2%
106
14.8%
Q4 - 1:04ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound108
73.0%
106
27.0%
Q4 - 1:06HeatVictor Oladipo misses regular free throw 1 of 1108
74.5%
106
25.5%
Q4 - 1:06ThunderLuguentz Dort shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)108
80.9%
106
19.1%
Q4 - 1:08ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)106
62.5%
106
37.5%
Q4 - 1:27HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)106
48.0%
106
52.0%
Q4 - 1:39HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound103
27.6%
106
72.4%
Q4 - 1:42ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot103
24.5%
106
75.5%
Q4 - 2:05HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)103
17.8%
106
82.2%
Q4 - 2:10HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound101
14.0%
106
86.0%
Q4 - 2:12ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point driving reverse layup101
11.7%
106
88.3%
Q4 - 2:32ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound101
7.6%
106
92.4%
Q4 - 2:36HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot101
9.1%
106
90.9%
Q4 - 2:58ThunderJosh Giddey makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)101
16.3%
106
83.7%
Q4 - 3:16HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot101
28.3%
103
71.7%
Q4 - 3:25ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 298
16.2%
103
83.8%
Q4 - 3:25ThunderLuguentz Dort misses regular free throw 1 of 298
17.2%
102
82.8%
Q4 - 3:25HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)98
12.8%
102
87.2%
Q4 - 3:43HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)98
20.1%
102
79.9%
Q4 - 4:01ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot95
10.9%
102
89.1%
Q4 - 4:09ThunderAaron Wiggins defensive rebound95
14.4%
100
85.6%
Q4 - 4:12HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot95
15.9%
100
84.1%
Q4 - 4:31ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot95
19.7%
100
80.3%
Q4 - 4:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)95
25.4%
98
74.6%
Q4 - 4:54HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound93
19.5%
98
80.5%
Q4 - 4:57ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point pullup jump shot93
17.7%
98
82.3%
Q4 - 5:06ThunderJalen Williams defensive rebound93
18.0%
98
82.0%
Q4 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot93
19.5%
98
80.5%
Q4 - 5:28ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 293
23.4%
98
76.6%
Q4 - 5:28ThunderLuguentz Dort misses regular free throw 1 of 293
24.4%
97
75.6%
Q4 - 5:28HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)93
19.9%
97
80.1%
Q4 - 5:36HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Jalen Williams draws the foul)93
22.9%
97
77.1%
Q4 - 5:38ThunderIsaiah Joe defensive rebound93
22.9%
97
77.1%
Q4 - 5:41HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot93
24.8%
97
75.2%
Q4 - 5:57ThunderEugene Omoruyi turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)93
29.5%
97
70.5%
Q4 - 6:16HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot93
25.9%
97
74.1%
Q4 - 6:22HeatHeat offensive rebound91
21.7%
97
78.3%
Q4 - 6:25HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot91
17.8%
97
82.2%
Q4 - 6:26HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound91
21.6%
97
78.4%
Q4 - 6:29HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot91
17.8%
97
82.2%
Q4 - 6:37HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound91
21.6%
97
78.4%
Q4 - 6:39ThunderIsaiah Joe misses three point jump shot91
19.8%
97
80.2%
Q4 - 6:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 291
16.2%
97
83.8%
Q4 - 6:47HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 290
15.5%
97
84.5%
Q4 - 6:47ThunderEugene Omoruyi shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)90
18.7%
97
81.3%
Q4 - 6:49ThunderJosh Giddey turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)90
17.0%
97
83.0%
Q4 - 6:56HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Eugene Omoruyi steals)90
12.6%
97
87.4%
Q4 - 7:12ThunderAaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 290
20.2%
97
79.8%
Q4 - 7:12ThunderAaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 290
21.0%
96
79.0%
Q4 - 7:12HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)90
22.1%
95
77.9%
Q4 - 7:15HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Wiggins steals)90
23.7%
95
76.3%
Q4 - 7:36ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point driving floating jump shot90
29.9%
95
70.1%
Q4 - 7:52HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 290
34.4%
93
65.6%
Q4 - 7:52HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 289
33.7%
93
66.3%
Q4 - 7:52ThunderIsaiah Joe shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)88
32.9%
93
67.1%
Q4 - 7:59ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point cutting layup (Isaiah Joe assists)88
29.8%
93
70.2%
Q4 - 8:04ThunderEugene Omoruyi defensive rebound88
36.3%
91
63.7%
Q4 - 8:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup88
38.1%
91
61.9%
Q4 - 8:14HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound88
42.5%
91
57.5%
Q4 - 8:16ThunderEugene Omoruyi misses two point floating jump shot88
40.5%
91
59.5%
Q4 - 8:37HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)88
36.2%
91
63.8%
Q4 - 8:37HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Eugene Omoruyi draws the foul)88
42.5%
91
57.5%
Q4 - 8:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound88
42.5%
91
57.5%
Q4 - 8:47ThunderAaron Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 188
41.6%
91
58.4%
Q4 - 8:47HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)88
37.7%
91
62.3%
Q4 - 8:56ThunderJalen Williams defensive rebound88
48.3%
89
51.7%
Q4 - 8:59HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point running jump shot88
50.3%
89
49.7%
Q4 - 9:04HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound88
55.9%
89
44.1%
Q4 - 9:07ThunderJosh Giddey misses two point driving floating jump shot88
53.9%
89
46.1%
Q4 - 9:20ThunderThunder defensive rebound88
49.3%
89
50.7%
Q4 - 9:22HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot88
51.3%
89
48.7%
Q4 - 9:27ThunderJalen Williams personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)88
55.7%
89
44.3%
Q4 - 9:38ThunderJalen Williams makes two point pullup jump shot (Darius Bazley assists)88
55.7%
89
44.3%
Q4 - 10:03HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot88
60.7%
87
39.3%
Q4 - 10:11HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound86
56.0%
87
44.0%
Q4 - 10:12ThunderDewayne Dedmon blocks Darius Bazley's two point layup86
54.1%
87
45.9%
Q4 - 10:30HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)86
49.9%
87
50.1%
Q4 - 10:44HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound86
56.0%
87
44.0%
Q4 - 10:47ThunderDarius Bazley misses regular free throw 2 of 286
55.2%
87
44.8%
Q4 - 10:47ThunderDarius Bazley makes regular free throw 1 of 286
52.0%
87
48.0%
Q4 - 10:47HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)86
53.7%
86
46.3%
Q4 - 11:04ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound86
55.6%
86
44.4%
Q4 - 11:08HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot86
57.2%
86
42.8%
Q4 - 11:22ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point floating jump shot (Isaiah Joe assists)86
60.8%
86
39.2%
Q4 - 11:26ThunderIsaiah Joe defensive rebound86
65.5%
84
34.5%
Q4 - 11:30HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot86
67.0%
84
33.0%
Q4 - 11:41HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound86
70.2%
84
29.8%
Q4 - 11:45ThunderIsaiah Joe misses three point jump shot86
68.8%
84
31.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.86
65.5%
84
34.5%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound86
70.2%
84
29.8%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot86
67.3%
84
32.7%
Q3 - 0:01.3HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound86
70.2%
84
29.8%
Q3 - 0:01.3ThunderIsaiah Joe misses three point jump shot86
68.9%
84
31.1%
Q3 - 0:02.2ThunderAaron Wiggins offensive rebound86
66.0%
84
34.0%
Q3 - 0:05.4ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point fadeaway jump shot86
68.9%
84
31.1%
Q3 - 0:25.1ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound86
66.0%
84
34.0%
Q3 - 0:28.2HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot86
67.3%
84
32.7%
Q3 - 0:33.7ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 286
70.1%
84
29.9%
Q3 - 0:33.7ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 286
70.7%
83
29.3%
Q3 - 0:33.7HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)86
71.3%
82
28.7%
Q3 - 0:56.4HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 286
74.2%
82
25.8%
Q3 - 0:56.4HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 285
73.4%
82
26.6%
Q3 - 0:56.4ThunderAaron Wiggins personal foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)84
72.5%
82
27.5%
Q3 - 1:05ThunderAaron Wiggins turnover (offensive foul)84
70.0%
82
30.0%
Q3 - 1:05ThunderAaron Wiggins offensive foul (Charge) (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)84
65.7%
82
34.3%
Q3 - 1:17ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound84
65.7%
82
34.3%
Q3 - 1:19HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 2 of 284
66.3%
82
33.7%
Q3 - 1:19HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 284
68.9%
82
31.1%
Q3 - 1:19ThunderMike Muscala shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)83
67.9%
82
32.1%
Q3 - 1:32ThunderAaron Wiggins personal foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)83
66.0%
82
34.0%
Q3 - 1:41HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound83
66.0%
82
34.0%
Q3 - 1:42ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot83
64.6%
82
35.4%
Q3 - 1:52HeatDewayne Dedmon makes three point pullup jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)83
61.4%
82
38.6%
Q3 - 2:01ThunderAaron Wiggins makes two point running layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)80
53.0%
82
47.0%
Q3 - 2:05HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Wiggins steals)80
57.0%
80
43.0%
Q3 - 2:14HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound80
61.6%
80
38.4%
Q3 - 2:18ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot80
60.2%
80
39.8%
Q3 - 2:28HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)80
57.0%
80
43.0%
Q3 - 2:32ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound80
57.0%
80
43.0%
Q3 - 2:35HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot80
58.4%
80
41.6%
Q3 - 2:44ThunderMike Muscala personal foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)80
61.6%
80
38.4%
Q3 - 2:57ThunderMike Muscala makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)80
61.6%
80
38.4%
Q3 - 3:13HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)80
65.2%
78
34.8%
Q3 - 3:15HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound77
57.9%
78
42.1%
Q3 - 3:18HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot77
54.5%
78
45.5%
Q3 - 3:42ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point running layup (Jalen Williams assists)77
57.9%
78
42.1%
Q3 - 3:47ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound77
61.3%
76
38.7%
Q3 - 3:51HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot77
62.7%
76
37.3%
Q3 - 4:15ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running pullup jump shot77
66.1%
76
33.9%
Q3 - 4:18ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound77
69.1%
74
30.9%
Q3 - 4:21HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot77
70.3%
74
29.7%
Q3 - 4:43ThunderDarius Bazley makes two point cutting dunk (Josh Giddey assists)77
73.0%
74
27.0%
Q3 - 4:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot77
75.6%
72
24.4%
Q3 - 5:11HeatHeat defensive rebound75
72.4%
72
27.6%
Q3 - 5:12ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot75
71.4%
72
28.6%
Q3 - 5:24HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)75
68.9%
72
31.1%
Q3 - 5:24ThunderDarius Bazley offensive rebound75
68.9%
72
31.1%
Q3 - 5:25ThunderJalen Williams misses three point jump shot75
71.4%
72
28.6%
Q3 - 5:42HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)75
68.9%
72
31.1%
Q3 - 5:46ThunderJalen Williams personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)72
62.2%
72
37.8%
Q3 - 5:55HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound72
62.2%
72
37.8%
Q3 - 5:58ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot72
60.9%
72
39.1%
Q3 - 6:04ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound72
58.6%
72
41.4%
Q3 - 6:06HeatJalen Williams blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup72
59.8%
72
40.2%
Q3 - 6:25ThunderJalen Williams makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Luguentz Dort assists)72
62.4%
72
37.6%
Q3 - 6:32HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Luguentz Dort steals)72
65.7%
70
34.3%
Q3 - 6:46ThunderDarius Bazley makes two point floating jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)72
69.2%
70
30.8%
Q3 - 7:05HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)72
71.8%
68
28.2%
Q3 - 7:18ThunderDarius Bazley makes regular free throw 1 of 169
66.0%
68
34.0%
Q3 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)69
66.9%
67
33.1%
Q3 - 7:36HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)69
71.8%
65
28.2%
Q3 - 7:48HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound66
66.0%
65
34.0%
Q3 - 7:51ThunderJalen Williams misses two point driving floating jump shot66
64.9%
65
35.1%
Q3 - 7:59ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound66
62.2%
65
37.8%
Q3 - 8:03HeatKyle Lowry misses three point running jump shot66
63.5%
65
36.5%
Q3 - 8:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound66
66.2%
65
33.8%
Q3 - 8:10ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point driving reverse layup66
65.0%
65
35.0%
Q3 - 8:19ThunderJalen Williams defensive rebound66
62.2%
65
37.8%
Q3 - 8:22HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot66
63.5%
65
36.5%
Q3 - 8:43ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)66
66.1%
65
33.9%
Q3 - 8:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk66
71.7%
62
28.3%
Q3 - 8:58HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound64
69.3%
62
30.7%
Q3 - 9:01HeatJalen Williams blocks Tyler Herro's two point layup64
66.8%
62
33.2%
Q3 - 9:17ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point running layup64
69.2%
62
30.8%
Q3 - 9:22ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound64
71.7%
60
28.3%
Q3 - 9:24HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot64
72.6%
60
27.4%
Q3 - 9:45ThunderJalen Williams makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)64
74.8%
60
25.2%
Q3 - 9:55ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound64
79.3%
57
20.7%
Q3 - 9:58HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot64
80.1%
57
19.9%
Q3 - 10:13ThunderJalen Williams makes three point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)64
81.3%
57
18.7%
Q3 - 10:19HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)64
84.8%
54
15.2%
Q3 - 10:26ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound64
84.8%
54
15.2%
Q3 - 10:29HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot64
85.4%
54
14.6%
Q3 - 10:50ThunderJalen Williams makes two point cutting dunk (Josh Giddey assists)64
86.7%
54
13.3%
Q3 - 10:57ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound64
88.0%
52
12.0%
Q3 - 11:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup64
88.5%
52
11.5%
Q3 - 11:09HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound64
89.2%
52
10.8%
Q3 - 11:12ThunderJalen Williams misses two point running pullup jump shot64
88.8%
52
11.2%
Q3 - 11:16ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound64
87.8%
52
12.2%
Q3 - 11:19HeatMax Strus misses two point driving floating jump shot64
88.3%
52
11.7%
Q3 - 11:32HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound64
89.2%
52
10.8%
Q3 - 11:34ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point layup64
88.8%
52
11.2%
Q3 - 11:41ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound64
87.8%
52
12.2%
Q3 - 11:45HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot64
88.3%
52
11.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.64
89.2%
52
10.8%
Q2 - 0:00.9HeatHeat offensive rebound64
88.9%
52
11.1%
Q2 - 0:00.9HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point cutting layup64
88.2%
52
11.8%
Q2 - 0:09.4HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound64
88.9%
52
11.1%
Q2 - 0:12.7HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot64
88.2%
52
11.8%
Q2 - 0:31.4ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point tip layup64
88.9%
52
11.1%
Q2 - 0:31.4ThunderLuguentz Dort offensive rebound64
90.3%
50
9.7%
Q2 - 0:32.3ThunderJosh Giddey misses two point running layup64
90.9%
50
9.1%
Q2 - 0:38.3ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound64
90.3%
50
9.7%
Q2 - 0:41.1HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot64
90.6%
50
9.4%
Q2 - 0:59.5ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot64
91.2%
50
8.8%
Q2 - 1:15HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)64
92.1%
48
7.9%
Q2 - 1:15HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)64
92.7%
48
7.3%
Q2 - 1:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound64
92.8%
48
7.2%
Q2 - 1:27ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point stepback jump shot64
92.6%
48
7.4%
Q2 - 1:49HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)64
92.1%
48
7.9%
Q2 - 2:04ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running layup61
89.4%
48
10.6%
Q2 - 2:08HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (lost ball) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)61
90.4%
46
9.6%
Q2 - 2:16HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound61
91.5%
46
8.5%
Q2 - 2:19ThunderIsaiah Joe misses three point jump shot61
91.2%
46
8.8%
Q2 - 2:25ThunderThunder defensive rebound61
90.5%
46
9.5%
Q2 - 2:26HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot61
90.8%
46
9.2%
Q2 - 2:43ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point stepback jump shot61
91.5%
46
8.5%
Q2 - 2:52HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds lost ball)61
93.2%
43
6.8%
Q2 - 3:13ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)61
93.5%
43
6.5%
Q2 - 3:15ThunderJosh Giddey offensive rebound61
94.7%
40
5.3%
Q2 - 3:18ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot61
95.1%
40
4.9%
Q2 - 3:35HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)61
94.7%
40
5.3%
Q2 - 3:44HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound58
93.5%
40
6.5%
Q2 - 3:49ThunderJosh Giddey misses three point jump shot58
93.3%
40
6.7%
Q2 - 4:04HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 258
92.4%
40
7.6%
Q2 - 4:04HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 257
92.3%
40
7.7%
Q2 - 4:04ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)56
92.1%
40
7.9%
Q2 - 4:07HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound56
91.6%
40
8.4%
Q2 - 4:10HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot56
91.0%
40
9.0%
Q2 - 4:27ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point cutting layup (Aaron Wiggins assists)56
91.6%
40
8.4%
Q2 - 4:43HeatKyle Lowry makes two point stepback jump shot56
92.4%
38
7.6%
Q2 - 4:57ThunderLuguentz Dort personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)54
91.6%
38
8.4%
Q2 - 5:09ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)54
91.6%
38
8.4%
Q2 - 5:28HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point stepback jump shot54
93.0%
35
7.0%
Q2 - 5:54ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point layup (Darius Bazley assists)51
91.6%
35
8.4%
Q2 - 6:06HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)51
92.0%
33
8.0%
Q2 - 6:16HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds step)51
92.0%
33
8.0%
Q2 - 6:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound51
92.9%
33
7.1%
Q2 - 6:24ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point pullup jump shot51
92.6%
33
7.4%
Q2 - 6:47HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)51
92.0%
33
8.0%
Q2 - 6:55ThunderJosh Giddey turnover (bad pass) (Victor Oladipo steals)48
90.5%
33
9.5%
Q2 - 7:10ThunderJalen Williams defensive rebound48
88.9%
33
11.1%
Q2 - 7:13HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot48
89.3%
33
10.7%
Q2 - 7:27HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound48
90.0%
33
10.0%
Q2 - 7:29ThunderJosh Giddey misses three point jump shot48
89.7%
33
10.3%
Q2 - 7:39HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Aaron Wiggins steals)48
88.9%
33
11.1%
Q2 - 7:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound48
90.0%
33
10.0%
Q2 - 7:51ThunderJalen Williams misses three point jump shot48
89.7%
33
10.3%
Q2 - 8:07HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot48
88.6%
33
11.4%
Q2 - 8:14ThunderEugene Omoruyi turnover (bad pass) (Victor Oladipo steals)45
86.5%
33
13.5%
Q2 - 8:40HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)45
85.1%
33
14.9%
Q2 - 8:47HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound42
82.4%
33
17.6%
Q2 - 8:51ThunderTre Mann misses three point stepback jump shot42
81.9%
33
18.1%
Q2 - 9:01HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Loose ball) (Eugene Omoruyi draws the foul)42
80.4%
33
19.6%
Q2 - 9:01ThunderThunder defensive rebound42
80.4%
33
19.6%
Q2 - 9:02HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point stepback jump shot42
80.9%
33
19.1%
Q2 - 9:27ThunderTre Mann makes two point pullup bank jump shot42
82.0%
33
18.0%
Q2 - 9:42HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)42
83.4%
31
16.6%
Q2 - 9:55ThunderJalen Williams turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)39
80.5%
31
19.5%
Q2 - 10:03HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)39
78.6%
31
21.4%
Q2 - 10:09HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound36
75.1%
31
24.9%
Q2 - 10:11ThunderEugene Omoruyi misses two point layup36
74.5%
31
25.5%
Q2 - 10:18HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 236
73.1%
31
26.9%
Q2 - 10:18HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 235
72.9%
31
27.1%
Q2 - 10:18ThunderEugene Omoruyi shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)34
72.6%
31
27.4%
Q2 - 10:34ThunderAleksej Pokusevski turnover (bad pass) (Victor Oladipo steals)34
71.2%
31
28.8%
Q2 - 11:02HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)34
69.0%
31
31.0%
Q2 - 11:24HeatHeat defensive rebound31
64.7%
31
35.3%
Q2 - 11:24ThunderAleksej Pokusevski misses two point driving floating bank jump shot31
64.0%
31
36.0%
Q2 - 11:31ThunderAaron Wiggins defensive rebound31
62.6%
31
37.4%
Q2 - 11:35HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot31
63.2%
31
36.8%
Q2 - 11:45HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound31
64.7%
31
35.3%
Q2 - 11:49HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot31
63.2%
31
36.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
64.7%
31
35.3%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound31
64.5%
31
35.5%
Q1 - 0:00.2HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot31
63.2%
31
36.8%
Q1 - 0:04.7HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound31
64.5%
31
35.5%
Q1 - 0:09.5ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point floating jump shot31
64.0%
31
36.0%
Q1 - 0:28.6HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)31
62.6%
31
37.4%
Q1 - 0:48.6ThunderMike Muscala makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)28
57.9%
31
42.1%
Q1 - 0:56.6ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound28
62.6%
28
37.4%
Q1 - 0:59.7HeatAleksej Pokusevski blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point cutting dunk28
63.2%
28
36.8%
Q1 - 1:11ThunderIsaiah Joe makes regular free throw 3 of 328
64.8%
28
35.2%
Q1 - 1:11ThunderIsaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 328
65.1%
27
34.9%
Q1 - 1:11ThunderIsaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 328
65.4%
26
34.6%
Q1 - 1:11HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)28
65.7%
25
34.3%
Q1 - 1:14ThunderAaron Wiggins offensive rebound28
69.1%
25
30.9%
Q1 - 1:17ThunderAleksej Pokusevski misses two point jump shot28
70.3%
25
29.7%
Q1 - 1:38HeatDewayne Dedmon makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)28
69.0%
25
31.0%
Q1 - 1:46ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)25
64.7%
25
35.3%
Q1 - 2:03HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot25
62.8%
25
37.2%
Q1 - 2:11HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound22
58.6%
25
41.4%
Q1 - 2:12ThunderAleksej Pokusevski misses two point tip layup22
57.9%
25
42.1%
Q1 - 2:12ThunderAleksej Pokusevski offensive rebound22
56.3%
25
43.7%
Q1 - 2:17ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point running pullup jump shot22
57.9%
25
42.1%
Q1 - 2:22ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound22
56.3%
25
43.7%
Q1 - 2:24HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving floating jump shot22
57.0%
25
43.0%
Q1 - 2:37ThunderAaron Wiggins makes two point cutting layup (Aleksej Pokusevski assists)22
58.6%
25
41.4%
Q1 - 2:48ThunderThunder offensive rebound22
60.7%
23
39.3%
Q1 - 2:49ThunderIsaiah Joe misses two point fadeaway jump shot22
62.2%
23
37.8%
Q1 - 3:08HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)22
60.4%
23
39.6%
Q1 - 3:22HeatHeat defensive rebound19
56.6%
23
43.4%
Q1 - 3:25ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot19
55.8%
23
44.2%
Q1 - 3:31ThunderAleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound19
53.9%
23
46.1%
Q1 - 3:35HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot19
54.8%
23
45.2%
Q1 - 3:47ThunderIsaiah Joe personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)19
56.6%
23
43.4%
Q1 - 3:58ThunderDarius Bazley makes regular free throw 2 of 219
56.6%
23
43.4%
Q1 - 3:58ThunderDarius Bazley misses regular free throw 1 of 219
57.2%
22
42.8%
Q1 - 3:58HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)19
55.7%
22
44.3%
Q1 - 4:02HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Darius Bazley steals)19
56.8%
22
43.2%
Q1 - 4:09ThunderDarius Bazley makes two point dunk (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)19
59.1%
22
40.9%
Q1 - 4:27HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot19
60.8%
20
39.2%
Q1 - 4:35ThunderLuguentz Dort turnover (out of bounds step)16
57.0%
20
43.0%
Q1 - 4:47ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound16
54.6%
20
45.4%
Q1 - 4:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot16
55.3%
20
44.7%
Q1 - 4:56ThunderDarius Bazley personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)16
57.0%
20
43.0%
Q1 - 5:05ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running pullup jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)16
57.5%
20
42.5%
Q1 - 5:10ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound16
59.2%
18
40.8%
Q1 - 5:14HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot16
59.9%
18
40.1%
Q1 - 5:27ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point driving layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)16
61.4%
18
38.6%
Q1 - 5:42HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)16
63.1%
16
36.9%
Q1 - 5:52ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup14
61.4%
16
38.6%
Q1 - 6:13HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)14
63.4%
14
36.6%
Q1 - 6:34ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 211
59.6%
14
40.4%
Q1 - 6:34ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 211
59.9%
13
40.1%
Q1 - 6:34HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)11
60.2%
12
39.8%
Q1 - 6:34ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound11
61.5%
12
38.5%
Q1 - 6:36HeatCaleb Martin misses two point putback layup11
62.1%
12
37.9%
Q1 - 6:36HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound11
63.4%
12
36.6%
Q1 - 6:40HeatDarius Bazley blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup11
62.1%
12
37.9%
Q1 - 7:04ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)11
63.8%
12
36.2%
Q1 - 7:14HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)11
67.2%
9
32.8%
Q1 - 7:14HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)11
69.0%
9
31.0%
Q1 - 7:22ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point driving floating bank jump shot11
69.0%
9
31.0%
Q1 - 7:39HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)11
70.5%
7
29.5%
Q1 - 7:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
67.3%
7
32.7%
Q1 - 7:52ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point reverse layup8
66.7%
7
33.3%
Q1 - 7:57ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound8
65.4%
7
34.6%
Q1 - 8:01HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot8
66.3%
7
33.7%
Q1 - 8:05HeatMax Strus defensive rebound8
67.7%
7
32.3%
Q1 - 8:07ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point layup8
67.1%
7
32.9%
Q1 - 8:20HeatBam Adebayo turnover (3-second violation)8
65.7%
7
34.3%
Q1 - 8:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
67.6%
7
32.4%
Q1 - 8:39ThunderDarius Bazley misses regular free throw 2 of 28
67.4%
7
32.6%
Q1 - 8:39ThunderDarius Bazley makes regular free throw 1 of 28
66.4%
7
33.6%
Q1 - 8:39HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)8
66.9%
6
33.1%
Q1 - 8:54ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound8
67.4%
6
32.6%
Q1 - 8:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup8
68.0%
6
32.0%
Q1 - 9:12ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (out of bounds bad pass)8
69.1%
6
30.9%
Q1 - 9:20HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)8
67.4%
6
32.6%
Q1 - 9:27ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving floating jump shot6
65.8%
6
34.2%
Q1 - 9:40HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 26
67.4%
4
32.6%
Q1 - 9:40HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 25
67.1%
4
32.9%
Q1 - 9:40ThunderDarius Bazley shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)4
66.7%
4
33.3%
Q1 - 9:44ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)4
65.8%
4
34.2%
Q1 - 9:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot4
64.0%
4
36.0%
Q1 - 10:13ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot2
62.4%
4
37.6%
Q1 - 10:29ThunderJalen Williams defensive rebound2
63.9%
2
36.1%
Q1 - 10:32HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot2
64.5%
2
35.5%
Q1 - 10:39HeatMax Strus defensive rebound2
65.8%
2
34.2%
Q1 - 10:42ThunderJosh Giddey misses two point cutting layup2
65.2%
2
34.8%
Q1 - 10:58HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)2
63.9%
2
36.1%
Q1 - 11:12ThunderJosh Giddey turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
62.6%
2
37.4%
Q1 - 11:20ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound0
60.7%
2
39.3%
Q1 - 11:23HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot0
61.2%
2
38.8%
Q1 - 11:41ThunderJalen Williams makes two point layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)0
62.6%
2
37.4%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Darius Bazley (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gains possession)0
64.0%
0
36.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.15 57.3%
OKC
1.16 58.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
6
17
35%
OKC
18
30
60%
Midrange
MIA
7
13
54%
OKC
14
28
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
24
36.0
56
43%
64%
OKC
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
Free Throws
MIA
12
15
80%
OKC
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro3573%17.5 / 24
B. Adebayo1547%7.5 / 16
K. Lowry1470%7.0 / 10
D. Robinson1478%7.0 / 9
V. Oladipo1267%6.0 / 9
M. Strus1045%5.0 / 11
D. Dedmon758%3.5 / 6
C. Martin325%1.5 / 6
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander2759%13.5 / 23
J. Giddey1963%9.5 / 15
L. Dort1869%9.0 / 13
J. Williams1470%7.0 / 10
D. Bazley1260%6.0 / 10
A. Wiggins8100%4.0 / 4
M. Muscala583%2.5 / 3
I. Joe325%1.5 / 6
T. Mann250%1.0 / 2
A. Pokusevski0-0.0 / 3
E. Omoruyi0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+11
-14
96
OKC
84
+9
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.15 57.3%
OKC
1.16 58.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.9
114.6
MIA 111.1 +0.9
OKC 110.2
Pace
96.3
101.6
MIA 101.9 +6.5
OKC 95.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.8
MIA 14.1 +1.0
OKC 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
53.1%
MIA 57.0% +1.5%
OKC 55.5%
TO %
13.2%
12.1%
MIA 13.1% +0.1%
OKC 13.2%
ORB %
22.8%
24.8%
MIA 15.9%
OKC 17.9% +2.0%
FTrt
27.0
25.6
MIA 17.4
OKC 28.0 +10.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
56.7%
MIA 67.6% +4.2%
OKC 63.4%
STL %
8.2%
8.1%
MIA 9.1% +2.0%
OKC 7.1%
BLK %
6.3%
7.9%
MIA 1.7%
OKC 13.3% +11.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
55.7%
MIA 57.3%
OKC 58.1% +0.8%
Rim FG%
62.6%
58.7%
MIA 35.3%
OKC 60.0% +24.7%
Mid FG%
45.3%
43.7%
MIA 53.8% +3.8%
OKC 50.0%
3P %
34.4%
35.6%
MIA 42.9% +5.4%
OKC 37.5%
FT %
83.1%
80.9%
MIA 80.0% +6.1%
OKC 73.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
38.9%
MIA 19.8%
OKC 36.6% +16.8%
Mid Att. %
29.4%
24.2%
MIA 15.1% +19.0%
OKC 34.1%
3P Att. %
40.8%
36.8%
MIA 65.1% +35.8%
OKC 29.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.14 and 2.14.
Game TotalsMIAOKC
Possessions9998
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points110108
Rebounds3944
Assists2526
Steals97
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (0)
Fouls2116
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)37 (3)
Field Goals37-8641-82
At-the-Rim FG6-1718-30
Midrange FG7-1314-28
2-Point FG13-3032-58
3-Point FG24-569-24
Free Throws12-1517-23
Fast Break Pts419
2nd Chance Pts910
Points in Paint2060
Pts off Turnovers2619
Bench Points3318
Biggest Lead217

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
40.0
35
73%
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
9-17
53%
#16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27
33.5
3
25%
4
5
1
0
3
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 25
33.1
15
47%
13
3
2
0
5
6
2
11
5-6
83%
5-13
38%
0-0
-
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
29.2
14
70%
3
6
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
4-9
44%
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27
17.5
10
45%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-7
29%
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
31.1
12
67%
4
3
3
0
2
4
0
4
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
22.8
14
78%
1
3
0
0
1
2
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
4-8
50%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
18.2
0
0%
3
3
2
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33
14.6
7
58%
6
0
0
1
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22
DNP – Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Surgery
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Injury Management
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Effusion
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
57%
39
25
9
1
14
21
7
32
12-15
80%
13-30
43%
24-56
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.