FinalWin Prob.pScore
556%115
87
2244%113
82
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.59394.7
IND logo IND
87.29493.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.87
100%
82
0%
Q4 - 0:09.4PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound87
99.3%
82
0.7%
Q4 - 0:11.0HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 287
99.3%
82
0.7%
Q4 - 0:11.0HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 287
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 0:11.0PacersBennedict Mathurin personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)87
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.5HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound87
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 0:16.2PacersBennedict Mathurin misses three point pullup bank jump shot87
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q4 - 0:22.0HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 287
98.0%
82
2.0%
Q4 - 0:22.0HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 286
97.7%
82
2.3%
Q4 - 0:22.0PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Take) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)86
98.8%
82
1.2%
Q4 - 0:33.8PacersMyles Turner turnover (out of bounds step)86
97.9%
82
2.1%
Q4 - 0:40.7HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)86
92.3%
82
7.7%
Q4 - 0:42.0PacersBuddy Hield makes three point running jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)86
96.2%
82
3.8%
Q4 - 0:47.0HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Myles Turner steals)86
98.7%
79
1.3%
Q4 - 1:01PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point driving reverse layup86
99.0%
79
1.0%
Q4 - 1:09HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 286
99.2%
77
0.8%
Q4 - 1:09HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 285
99.1%
77
0.9%
Q4 - 1:09PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)84
99.0%
77
1.0%
Q4 - 1:32PacersAaron Nesmith turnover (kicked ball violation)84
97.9%
77
2.1%
Q4 - 1:32PacersPacers offensive rebound84
96.4%
77
3.6%
Q4 - 1:36PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point pullup jump shot84
97.4%
77
2.6%
Q4 - 1:52PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound84
95.6%
77
4.4%
Q4 - 1:55HeatMyles Turner blocks Caleb Martin's two point reverse layup84
96.3%
77
3.7%
Q4 - 2:02HeatHeat offensive rebound84
97.7%
77
2.3%
Q4 - 2:03HeatMyles Turner blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup84
96.5%
77
3.5%
Q4 - 2:17PacersAndrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 284
97.8%
77
2.2%
Q4 - 2:17PacersAndrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 284
97.9%
76
2.1%
Q4 - 2:17HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)84
98.0%
75
2.0%
Q4 - 2:26HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot84
98.3%
75
1.7%
Q4 - 2:39HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound82
97.8%
75
2.2%
Q4 - 2:43PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot82
97.4%
75
2.6%
Q4 - 2:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup82
94.3%
75
5.7%
Q4 - 3:02HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound80
92.5%
75
7.5%
Q4 - 3:06PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot80
91.4%
75
8.6%
Q4 - 3:11HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 180
87.9%
75
12.1%
Q4 - 3:11PacersTyrese Haliburton shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)79
87.4%
75
12.6%
Q4 - 3:33PacersBuddy Hield makes two point pullup jump shot77
73.2%
75
26.8%
Q4 - 3:54HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)77
79.6%
73
20.4%
Q4 - 4:08HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound74
66.1%
73
33.9%
Q4 - 4:08PacersMyles Turner misses two point tip layup74
63.4%
73
36.6%
Q4 - 4:08PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound74
56.9%
73
43.1%
Q4 - 4:13PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point driving finger roll layup74
63.4%
73
36.6%
Q4 - 4:28HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)74
56.8%
73
43.2%
Q4 - 4:33PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound74
56.8%
73
43.2%
Q4 - 4:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot74
59.8%
73
40.2%
Q4 - 4:58HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound74
66.2%
73
33.8%
Q4 - 4:59PacersAndrew Nembhard misses regular free throw 2 of 274
65.0%
73
35.0%
Q4 - 4:59PacersAndrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 274
58.7%
73
41.3%
Q4 - 4:59HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)74
60.1%
72
39.9%
Q4 - 5:12HeatJimmy Butler turnover (traveling)74
64.4%
72
35.6%
Q4 - 5:23Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. Andrew Nembhard (Jimmy Butler gains possession)74
71.9%
72
28.1%
Q4 - 5:49PacersPacers defensive rebound74
64.5%
72
35.5%
Q4 - 5:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot74
66.8%
72
33.2%
Q4 - 6:13PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)74
70.9%
72
29.1%
Q4 - 6:18PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound74
63.2%
72
36.8%
Q4 - 6:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot74
65.7%
72
34.3%
Q4 - 6:45PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)74
70.9%
72
29.1%
Q4 - 6:45PacersPacers offensive rebound74
63.3%
72
36.7%
Q4 - 6:45PacersT.J. McConnell misses three point jump shot74
68.7%
72
31.3%
Q4 - 7:09HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 274
62.9%
72
37.1%
Q4 - 7:09HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 273
61.7%
72
38.3%
Q4 - 7:09PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)72
60.4%
72
39.6%
Q4 - 7:19PacersAaron Nesmith personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)72
57.8%
72
42.2%
Q4 - 7:30HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound72
57.8%
72
42.2%
Q4 - 7:32PacersOshae Brissett misses three point jump shot72
55.4%
72
44.6%
Q4 - 7:43PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound72
49.8%
72
50.2%
Q4 - 7:47HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot72
52.3%
72
47.7%
Q4 - 8:03PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point running layup72
56.8%
72
43.2%
Q4 - 8:07PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound72
62.6%
70
37.4%
Q4 - 8:10HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup72
64.4%
70
35.6%
Q4 - 8:23PacersOshae Brissett turnover (offensive foul)72
68.5%
70
31.5%
Q4 - 8:23PacersOshae Brissett offensive foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)72
62.6%
70
37.4%
Q4 - 8:44HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)72
62.6%
70
37.4%
Q4 - 8:57PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 269
50.8%
70
49.2%
Q4 - 8:57PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 269
51.9%
69
48.1%
Q4 - 8:57HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)69
53.2%
68
46.8%
Q4 - 9:14PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound69
56.7%
68
43.3%
Q4 - 9:17HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot69
58.6%
68
41.4%
Q4 - 9:38PacersJalen Smith turnover (out of bounds bad pass)69
62.8%
68
37.2%
Q4 - 9:41HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Smith steals)69
56.7%
68
43.3%
Q4 - 9:59PacersJalen Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 269
62.8%
68
37.2%
Q4 - 9:59PacersJalen Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 269
63.9%
67
36.1%
Q4 - 9:59HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Jalen Smith draws the foul)69
65.1%
66
34.9%
Q4 - 10:04PacersT.J. McConnell offensive rebound69
66.7%
66
33.3%
Q4 - 10:06PacersBuddy Hield misses two point running finger roll layup69
70.4%
66
29.6%
Q4 - 10:12PacersOshae Brissett defensive rebound69
66.8%
66
33.2%
Q4 - 10:16HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot69
68.4%
66
31.6%
Q4 - 10:29PacersBuddy Hield personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)69
72.0%
66
28.0%
Q4 - 10:38HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound69
72.0%
66
28.0%
Q4 - 10:40PacersJalen Smith misses two point hook shot69
70.5%
66
29.5%
Q4 - 10:43PacersOshae Brissett offensive rebound69
66.8%
66
33.2%
Q4 - 10:46PacersJalen Smith misses three point jump shot69
70.5%
66
29.5%
Q4 - 11:04HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point stepback jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)69
66.3%
66
33.7%
Q4 - 11:27PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point turnaround hook shot67
61.6%
66
38.4%
Q4 - 11:44PacersOshae Brissett defensive rebound67
66.3%
64
33.7%
Q4 - 11:48HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot67
67.7%
64
32.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.67
70.9%
64
29.1%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Smith steals)67
66.3%
64
33.7%
Q3 - 0:09.8HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound67
70.4%
64
29.6%
Q3 - 0:13.3PacersBuddy Hield misses two point driving finger roll layup67
69.2%
64
30.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point stepback jump shot67
66.3%
64
33.7%
Q3 - 0:47.7HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound64
56.8%
64
43.2%
Q3 - 0:50.3PacersBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot64
55.4%
64
44.6%
Q3 - 0:55.0HeatCaleb Martin makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot64
52.0%
64
48.0%
Q3 - 1:21PacersBuddy Hield makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jalen Smith assists)62
47.8%
64
52.2%
Q3 - 1:40HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)62
52.2%
62
47.8%
Q3 - 1:58HeatMax Strus defensive rebound59
43.1%
62
56.9%
Q3 - 2:01PacersBennedict Mathurin misses three point jump shot59
42.4%
62
57.6%
Q3 - 2:07PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound59
39.2%
62
60.8%
Q3 - 2:10HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot59
40.5%
62
59.5%
Q3 - 2:32HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound59
43.7%
62
56.3%
Q3 - 2:36PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving floating jump shot59
42.3%
62
57.7%
Q3 - 2:42HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)59
39.1%
62
60.9%
Q3 - 2:46PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound59
39.1%
62
60.9%
Q3 - 2:48HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point running layup59
40.5%
62
59.5%
Q3 - 2:54HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound59
43.7%
62
56.3%
Q3 - 2:57PacersAaron Nesmith misses two point running reverse layup59
42.3%
62
57.7%
Q3 - 3:03PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound59
39.8%
62
60.2%
Q3 - 3:07HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot59
41.2%
62
58.8%
Q3 - 3:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound59
44.6%
62
55.4%
Q3 - 3:24PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point stepback jump shot59
43.1%
62
56.9%
Q3 - 3:32PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound59
39.7%
62
60.3%
Q3 - 3:34HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot59
41.2%
62
58.8%
Q3 - 3:43HeatVictor Oladipo offensive rebound59
44.6%
62
55.4%
Q3 - 3:48HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot59
41.2%
62
58.8%
Q3 - 3:49HeatHeat offensive rebound59
44.5%
62
55.5%
Q3 - 3:51HeatAaron Nesmith blocks Jimmy Butler's two point floating jump shot59
41.2%
62
58.8%
Q3 - 4:02PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)59
45.3%
62
54.7%
Q3 - 4:06HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound59
45.3%
62
54.7%
Q3 - 4:10PacersMyles Turner misses two point turnaround jump shot59
43.9%
62
56.1%
Q3 - 4:32HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup59
40.6%
62
59.4%
Q3 - 4:44PacersTyrese Haliburton makes technical free throw 1 of 157
37.4%
62
62.6%
Q3 - 4:44HeatKyle Lowry technical foul57
38.3%
61
61.7%
Q3 - 4:44PacersAndrew Nembhard personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)57
41.3%
61
58.7%
Q3 - 4:44HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound57
41.3%
61
58.7%
Q3 - 4:46PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point running jump shot57
39.8%
61
60.2%
Q3 - 4:51PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound57
36.7%
61
63.3%
Q3 - 4:55HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot57
38.0%
61
62.0%
Q3 - 5:13PacersAndrew Nembhard makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)57
41.7%
61
58.3%
Q3 - 5:24PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound57
49.1%
58
50.9%
Q3 - 5:28HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot57
50.4%
58
49.6%
Q3 - 5:34PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 257
53.4%
58
46.6%
Q3 - 5:34PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 257
54.2%
57
45.8%
Q3 - 5:34HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)57
55.1%
56
44.9%
Q3 - 5:38HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Nesmith steals)57
57.0%
56
43.0%
Q3 - 5:50PacersAaron Nesmith personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)57
61.1%
56
38.9%
Q3 - 5:50HeatHeat defensive rebound57
61.1%
56
38.9%
Q3 - 5:51PacersBuddy Hield misses three point running jump shot57
59.8%
56
40.2%
Q3 - 5:54PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound57
57.0%
56
43.0%
Q3 - 5:57HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving finger roll layup57
58.2%
56
41.8%
Q3 - 6:22PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point driving floating jump shot (Myles Turner assists)57
61.1%
56
38.9%
Q3 - 6:44HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 257
64.4%
54
35.6%
Q3 - 6:44HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 256
63.8%
54
36.2%
Q3 - 6:44PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)55
63.0%
54
37.0%
Q3 - 6:49PacersBuddy Hield makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)55
61.1%
54
38.9%
Q3 - 7:02HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)55
64.0%
52
36.0%
Q3 - 7:25PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)53
61.1%
52
38.9%
Q3 - 7:34HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)53
67.3%
49
32.7%
Q3 - 7:50PacersAndrew Nembhard makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)51
64.5%
49
35.5%
Q3 - 7:53PacersAaron Nesmith offensive rebound51
70.5%
46
29.5%
Q3 - 7:56PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point pullup jump shot51
72.9%
46
27.1%
Q3 - 8:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup51
70.1%
46
29.9%
Q3 - 8:04HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound49
67.7%
46
32.3%
Q3 - 8:09HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot49
65.0%
46
35.0%
Q3 - 8:12HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound49
67.7%
46
32.3%
Q3 - 8:15PacersTyler Herro blocks Buddy Hield's two point driving finger roll layup49
66.5%
46
33.5%
Q3 - 8:37HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)49
63.8%
46
36.2%
Q3 - 8:37HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound49
67.7%
46
32.3%
Q3 - 8:39HeatMyles Turner blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup49
65.0%
46
35.0%
Q3 - 9:01PacersBuddy Hield turnover (traveling)49
67.4%
46
32.6%
Q3 - 9:02PacersBuddy Hield offensive rebound49
63.8%
46
36.2%
Q3 - 9:04PacersAaron Nesmith misses two point driving layup49
66.3%
46
33.7%
Q3 - 9:25PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound49
63.8%
46
36.2%
Q3 - 9:25HeatTyrese Haliburton blocks Caleb Martin's three point jump shot49
64.9%
46
35.1%
Q3 - 9:38PacersMyles Turner makes two point putback layup49
67.4%
46
32.6%
Q3 - 9:39PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound49
70.0%
44
30.0%
Q3 - 9:41PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot49
72.2%
44
27.8%
Q3 - 9:51HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)49
70.0%
44
30.0%
Q3 - 10:00PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound49
70.0%
44
30.0%
Q3 - 10:03HeatAaron Nesmith blocks Tyler Herro's three point pullup jump shot49
70.5%
44
29.5%
Q3 - 10:25PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point running layup49
72.7%
44
27.3%
Q3 - 10:30PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound49
74.9%
42
25.1%
Q3 - 10:33HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot49
75.8%
42
24.2%
Q3 - 10:49HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
77.7%
42
22.3%
Q3 - 10:51PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point pullup jump shot49
76.9%
42
23.1%
Q3 - 11:08HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)49
74.8%
42
25.2%
Q3 - 11:13HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound47
72.4%
42
27.6%
Q3 - 11:15PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point driving finger roll layup47
71.5%
42
28.5%
Q3 - 11:22PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound47
69.5%
42
30.5%
Q3 - 11:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot47
70.4%
42
29.6%
Q3 - 11:38PacersAndrew Nembhard turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)47
72.4%
42
27.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.47
69.5%
42
30.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)47
69.9%
42
30.1%
Q2 - 0:26.5PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 245
66.6%
42
33.4%
Q2 - 0:26.5PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 245
67.2%
41
32.8%
Q2 - 0:26.5HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (Myles Turner draws the foul)45
67.8%
40
32.2%
Q2 - 0:26.5PacersPacers offensive rebound45
69.9%
40
30.1%
Q2 - 0:28.4PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot45
71.4%
40
28.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound45
69.9%
40
30.1%
Q2 - 0:44.6HeatAndrew Nembhard blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup45
70.5%
40
29.5%
Q2 - 1:04PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 245
71.9%
40
28.1%
Q2 - 1:04PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 245
72.3%
39
27.7%
Q2 - 1:04HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)45
72.9%
38
27.1%
Q2 - 1:15PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound45
74.9%
38
25.1%
Q2 - 1:18HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot45
75.5%
38
24.5%
Q2 - 1:36PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point driving layup45
76.6%
38
23.4%
Q2 - 1:51PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound45
79.3%
36
20.7%
Q2 - 1:51HeatKyle Lowry misses two point tip layup45
79.8%
36
20.2%
Q2 - 1:51HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound45
80.8%
36
19.2%
Q2 - 1:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot45
79.8%
36
20.2%
Q2 - 1:52HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound45
80.8%
36
19.2%
Q2 - 1:56HeatMyles Turner blocks Bam Adebayo's two point dunk45
79.8%
36
20.2%
Q2 - 2:14PacersAndrew Nembhard makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)45
80.4%
36
19.6%
Q2 - 2:22PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound45
83.8%
33
16.2%
Q2 - 2:26HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot45
84.4%
33
15.6%
Q2 - 2:52PacersMyles Turner makes three point running jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)45
85.5%
33
14.5%
Q2 - 2:56PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound45
88.2%
30
11.8%
Q2 - 2:59HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot45
88.6%
30
11.4%
Q2 - 3:06HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound45
88.8%
30
11.2%
Q2 - 3:11PacersBuddy Hield misses two point pullup jump shot45
88.4%
30
11.6%
Q2 - 3:20HeatMax Strus turnover (offensive foul)45
87.4%
30
12.6%
Q2 - 3:20HeatMax Strus offensive foul (Charge) (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)45
88.8%
30
11.2%
Q2 - 3:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound45
88.8%
30
11.2%
Q2 - 3:31PacersAaron Nesmith misses two point reverse layup45
88.4%
30
11.6%
Q2 - 3:35HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Nesmith steals)45
87.4%
30
12.6%
Q2 - 3:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound45
88.8%
30
11.2%
Q2 - 3:40PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point running pullup jump shot45
88.4%
30
11.6%
Q2 - 3:45PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound45
87.4%
30
12.6%
Q2 - 3:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot45
87.9%
30
12.1%
Q2 - 3:59PacersAndrew Nembhard personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)45
88.8%
30
11.2%
Q2 - 3:59HeatHeat offensive rebound45
88.8%
30
11.2%
Q2 - 4:01HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot45
87.5%
30
12.5%
Q2 - 4:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound45
88.3%
30
11.7%
Q2 - 4:15PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 2 of 245
88.2%
30
11.8%
Q2 - 4:15PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 245
87.4%
30
12.6%
Q2 - 4:15HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)45
87.6%
29
12.4%
Q2 - 4:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot45
88.3%
29
11.7%
Q2 - 4:51PacersAaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)43
87.1%
29
12.9%
Q2 - 4:58PacersPacers offensive rebound43
89.4%
26
10.6%
Q2 - 4:58PacersBam Adebayo blocks Aaron Nesmith's two point driving layup43
90.2%
26
9.8%
Q2 - 5:10PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound43
89.1%
26
10.9%
Q2 - 5:14HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot43
89.5%
26
10.5%
Q2 - 5:29PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point pullup bank jump shot43
90.3%
26
9.7%
Q2 - 5:40PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound43
91.1%
24
8.9%
Q2 - 5:43HeatMax Strus misses three point running jump shot43
91.4%
24
8.6%
Q2 - 5:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound43
92.1%
24
7.9%
Q2 - 5:47PacersOshae Brissett misses two point driving layup43
91.8%
24
8.2%
Q2 - 6:07HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)43
90.8%
24
9.2%
Q2 - 6:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound40
89.0%
24
11.0%
Q2 - 6:19PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot40
88.6%
24
11.4%
Q2 - 6:26HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 140
87.7%
24
12.3%
Q2 - 6:26PacersOshae Brissett shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)39
87.5%
24
12.5%
Q2 - 6:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
85.4%
24
14.6%
Q2 - 6:36PacersOshae Brissett misses two point jump shot37
84.9%
24
15.1%
Q2 - 6:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)37
83.7%
24
16.3%
Q2 - 7:22PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)35
82.0%
24
18.0%
Q2 - 7:22PacersPacers offensive rebound35
80.2%
24
19.8%
Q2 - 7:23PacersMyles Turner misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot35
81.4%
24
18.6%
Q2 - 7:50HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)35
80.2%
24
19.8%
Q2 - 8:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound32
76.4%
24
23.6%
Q2 - 8:08PacersOshae Brissett misses three point jump shot32
75.8%
24
24.2%
Q2 - 8:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Tyler Herro assists)32
74.4%
24
25.6%
Q2 - 8:39HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound30
72.5%
24
27.5%
Q2 - 8:40PacersJalen Smith misses regular free throw 2 of 230
72.2%
24
27.8%
Q2 - 8:40PacersJalen Smith misses regular free throw 1 of 230
70.8%
24
29.2%
Q2 - 8:40HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Jalen Smith draws the foul)30
69.1%
24
30.9%
Q2 - 8:56PacersJalen Smith defensive rebound30
70.3%
24
29.7%
Q2 - 9:01HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot30
70.6%
24
29.4%
Q2 - 9:04HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound30
72.1%
24
27.9%
Q2 - 9:04HeatJalen Smith blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point putback layup30
70.6%
24
29.4%
Q2 - 9:05HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound30
72.1%
24
27.9%
Q2 - 9:07HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot30
70.6%
24
29.4%
Q2 - 9:18HeatMax Strus defensive rebound30
72.1%
24
27.9%
Q2 - 9:23PacersJalen Smith misses two point jump shot30
71.4%
24
28.6%
Q2 - 9:42HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point layup (Victor Oladipo assists)30
69.9%
24
30.1%
Q2 - 9:48HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound28
67.8%
24
32.2%
Q2 - 9:52HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot28
66.2%
24
33.8%
Q2 - 10:09PacersBuddy Hield turnover (traveling)28
67.7%
24
32.3%
Q2 - 10:14HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (traveling)28
65.4%
24
34.6%
Q2 - 10:26HeatMax Strus defensive rebound28
67.7%
24
32.3%
Q2 - 10:27PacersT.J. McConnell misses regular free throw 1 of 128
67.4%
24
32.6%
Q2 - 10:27HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)28
65.9%
24
34.1%
Q2 - 10:36HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Loose ball) (Jalen Smith draws the foul)28
69.8%
22
30.2%
Q2 - 10:36PacersPacers defensive rebound28
69.8%
22
30.2%
Q2 - 10:37HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot28
70.4%
22
29.6%
Q2 - 10:54HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound28
71.9%
22
28.1%
Q2 - 10:57PacersOshae Brissett misses two point driving layup28
71.3%
22
28.7%
Q2 - 11:19HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 228
69.4%
22
30.6%
Q2 - 11:19HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 227
69.0%
22
31.0%
Q2 - 11:19PacersT.J. McConnell shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)26
68.5%
22
31.5%
Q2 - 11:19HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound26
67.3%
22
32.7%
Q2 - 11:22HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot26
65.9%
22
34.1%
Q2 - 11:47PacersBennedict Mathurin makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)26
67.3%
22
32.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.26
71.5%
19
28.5%
Q1 - 0:01.4PacersBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)26
72.8%
19
27.2%
Q1 - 0:23.9HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting layup (Max Strus assists)26
76.5%
16
23.5%
Q1 - 0:41.6PacersBuddy Hield makes three point stepback jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)24
74.6%
16
25.4%
Q1 - 1:01HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)24
78.1%
13
21.9%
Q1 - 1:18HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound21
74.6%
13
25.4%
Q1 - 1:22PacersBennedict Mathurin misses three point jump shot21
74.1%
13
25.9%
Q1 - 1:39PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound21
73.0%
13
27.0%
Q1 - 1:42HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot21
73.5%
13
26.5%
Q1 - 1:55PacersBuddy Hield turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)21
74.6%
13
25.4%
Q1 - 2:00HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Smith steals)21
73.0%
13
27.0%
Q1 - 2:18HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound21
74.3%
13
25.7%
Q1 - 2:21PacersBuddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot21
73.8%
13
26.2%
Q1 - 2:38HeatKyle Lowry makes two point running finger roll layup (Victor Oladipo assists)21
72.5%
13
27.5%
Q1 - 2:41PacersBuddy Hield turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)19
70.8%
13
29.2%
Q1 - 3:07HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot19
68.2%
13
31.8%
Q1 - 3:25PacersAaron Nesmith turnover (offensive foul)17
66.7%
13
33.3%
Q1 - 3:25PacersAaron Nesmith offensive foul (Charge) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)17
64.3%
13
35.7%
Q1 - 3:36PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound17
64.3%
13
35.7%
Q1 - 3:39HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot17
65.1%
13
34.9%
Q1 - 3:55PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point putback layup17
66.7%
13
33.3%
Q1 - 3:55PacersAaron Nesmith offensive rebound17
68.3%
11
31.7%
Q1 - 3:58PacersJalen Smith misses three point jump shot17
69.9%
11
30.1%
Q1 - 4:00PacersJalen Smith offensive rebound17
68.3%
11
31.7%
Q1 - 4:04PacersBennedict Mathurin misses three point jump shot17
69.4%
11
30.6%
Q1 - 4:18HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)17
68.0%
11
32.0%
Q1 - 4:18HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)17
70.1%
11
29.9%
Q1 - 4:27HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound17
70.1%
11
29.9%
Q1 - 4:30PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot17
69.5%
11
30.5%
Q1 - 4:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)17
68.0%
11
32.0%
Q1 - 5:01PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)15
66.2%
11
33.8%
Q1 - 5:01PacersPacers offensive rebound15
64.1%
11
35.9%
Q1 - 5:02PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot15
65.6%
11
34.4%
Q1 - 5:25PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound15
64.2%
11
35.8%
Q1 - 5:27HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 215
64.4%
11
35.6%
Q1 - 5:27HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 215
65.8%
11
34.2%
Q1 - 5:27PacersAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)14
65.5%
11
34.5%
Q1 - 5:40HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound14
64.4%
11
35.6%
Q1 - 5:44PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point running pullup jump shot14
63.7%
11
36.3%
Q1 - 5:48PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound14
62.3%
11
37.7%
Q1 - 5:50HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot14
62.9%
11
37.1%
Q1 - 5:59HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound14
64.4%
11
35.6%
Q1 - 6:02PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point driving finger roll layup14
63.7%
11
36.3%
Q1 - 6:14HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Nembhard steals)14
62.4%
11
37.6%
Q1 - 6:29HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound14
64.3%
11
35.7%
Q1 - 6:32PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point stepback jump shot14
63.7%
11
36.3%
Q1 - 6:50HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)14
62.4%
11
37.6%
Q1 - 6:57PacersTyrese Haliburton turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)11
58.6%
11
41.4%
Q1 - 7:05PacersPacers defensive rebound11
56.8%
11
43.2%
Q1 - 7:05HeatTyrese Haliburton blocks Caleb Martin's two point layup11
57.4%
11
42.6%
Q1 - 7:19PacersMyles Turner makes two point turnaround jump shot11
58.9%
11
41.1%
Q1 - 7:40HeatTyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)11
60.6%
9
39.4%
Q1 - 7:40HeatTyler Herro offensive foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)11
62.6%
9
37.4%
Q1 - 7:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
62.6%
9
37.4%
Q1 - 7:47PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point stepback jump shot11
62.0%
9
38.0%
Q1 - 8:07HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)11
60.8%
9
39.2%
Q1 - 8:26PacersTyrese Haliburton turnover (traveling)8
57.2%
9
42.8%
Q1 - 8:31PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound8
55.1%
9
44.9%
Q1 - 8:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround bank jump shot8
55.8%
9
44.2%
Q1 - 8:53PacersBuddy Hield makes two point pullup jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)8
57.2%
9
42.8%
Q1 - 9:06HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)8
58.8%
7
41.2%
Q1 - 9:27PacersBuddy Hield makes two point driving finger roll layup (Myles Turner assists)6
57.2%
7
42.8%
Q1 - 9:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot6
58.9%
5
41.1%
Q1 - 9:52HeatHeat offensive rebound4
57.2%
5
42.8%
Q1 - 9:52HeatAaron Nesmith blocks Tyler Herro's two point turnaround hook shot4
55.8%
5
44.2%
Q1 - 10:08PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point driving floating jump shot4
57.1%
5
42.9%
Q1 - 10:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)4
58.7%
3
41.3%
Q1 - 10:37HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound2
57.1%
3
42.9%
Q1 - 10:41PacersBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot2
56.5%
3
43.5%
Q1 - 10:48PacersBuddy Hield defensive rebound2
55.1%
3
44.9%
Q1 - 10:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running layup2
55.7%
3
44.3%
Q1 - 10:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
57.1%
3
42.9%
Q1 - 10:57PacersMyles Turner misses two point running layup2
56.5%
3
43.5%
Q1 - 11:02PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound2
55.2%
3
44.8%
Q1 - 11:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup2
55.8%
3
44.2%
Q1 - 11:08PacersAndrew Nembhard turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)2
57.2%
3
42.8%
Q1 - 11:16PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound2
55.2%
3
44.8%
Q1 - 11:19HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot2
55.8%
3
44.2%
Q1 - 11:32PacersAaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)2
57.2%
3
42.8%
Q1 - 11:45HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 22
60.4%
0
39.6%
Q1 - 11:45HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 21
60.2%
0
39.8%
Q1 - 11:45PacersAndrew Nembhard shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)0
59.9%
0
40.1%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Myles Turner (Tyler Herro gains possession)0
58.9%
0
41.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 46.8%
IND
0.87 43.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
24
50%
IND
11
23
48%
Midrange
MIA
11
25
44%
IND
6
17
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
34
26%
40%
IND
11
16.5
39
28%
42%
Free Throws
MIA
14
18
78%
IND
15
20
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2252%11.0 / 21
J. Butler2053%10.0 / 19
C. Martin950%4.5 / 9
M. Strus938%4.5 / 12
T. Herro836%4.0 / 11
K. Lowry840%4.0 / 10
D. Dedmon675%3.0 / 4
V. Oladipo550%2.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Hield1959%9.5 / 16
A. Nembhard1864%9.0 / 14
M. Turner1563%7.5 / 12
A. Nesmith1250%6.0 / 12
B. Mathurin950%4.5 / 9
T. McConnell660%3.0 / 5
J. Smith217%1.0 / 6
T. Haliburton16%0.5 / 9
O. Brissett0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+13
-13
93
IND
79
+15
-15
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 46.8%
IND
0.87 43.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.9
114.3
MIA 93.5 +6.3
IND 87.2
Pace
96.3
101.3
MIA 94.7 +1.5
IND 93.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.9
MIA 15.2 +0.2
IND 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
54.5%
MIA 44.0% +1.6%
IND 42.4%
TO %
13.2%
13.9%
MIA 13.3% +3.7%
IND 17.0%
ORB %
22.8%
23.4%
MIA 19.6% +2.6%
IND 17.0%
FTrt
27.0
26.5
MIA 21.7
IND 25.3 +3.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
64.3%
MIA 71.9% +14.8%
IND 57.1%
STL %
8.2%
7.6%
MIA 7.5% +0.1%
IND 7.4%
BLK %
6.3%
10.4%
MIA 5.0%
IND 22.4% +17.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
56.7%
MIA 46.8% +3.2%
IND 43.6%
Rim FG%
62.6%
60.5%
MIA 50.0% +2.2%
IND 47.8%
Mid FG%
45.3%
42.8%
MIA 44.0% +8.7%
IND 35.3%
3P %
34.4%
36.7%
MIA 26.5%
IND 28.2% +1.7%
FT %
83.1%
79.0%
MIA 77.8% +2.8%
IND 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
37.2%
MIA 28.9%
IND 29.1% +0.2%
Mid Att. %
29.4%
21.6%
MIA 30.1%
IND 21.5% +8.6%
3P Att. %
40.8%
41.2%
MIA 41.0%
IND 49.4% +8.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes23.624.2
Points8782
Rebounds4845
Assists2316
Steals77
Blocks211
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)15 (3)
Fouls1718
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)8 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (1)37 (3)
Field Goals32-8328-79
At-the-Rim FG12-2411-23
Midrange FG11-256-17
2-Point FG23-4917-40
3-Point FG9-3411-39
Free Throws14-1815-20
Fast Break Pts612
2nd Chance Pts814
Points in Paint3828
Pts off Turnovers1910
Bench Points2017
Biggest Lead195

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27
39.7
9
50%
6
1
1
0
1
2
2
4
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 25
35.3
22
52%
17
3
2
1
4
2
2
15
6-7
86%
8-18
44%
0-0
-
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
34.2
8
36%
3
6
1
1
2
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-7
29%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
34.0
8
40%
2
2
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-8
25%
#22 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33
33.7
20
53%
7
5
2
0
1
3
0
7
4-7
57%
8-15
53%
0-1
0%
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27
31.5
9
38%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-12
25%
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
18.8
5
50%
4
4
1
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33
12.7
6
75%
6
1
0
0
0
3
3
3
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
DNP – Coach's Decision
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22
DNP – Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left knee; Effusion
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
47%
48
23
7
2
13
17
9
39
14-18
78%
23-49
47%
9-34
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.