for complete access.
All Games Saturday, December 10, 2022
FinalWin Prob.pScore
30
Spurs
20%106
115
6
Heat
80%118
111
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
119.89694.7
MIA logo MIA
115.69697.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.115
100%
111
0%
Q4 - 0:00.3SpursTre Jones defensive rebound113
98.8%
111
1.2%
Q4 - 0:02.1HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot113
96.4%
111
3.6%
Q4 - 0:05.0HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound113
92.1%
111
7.9%
Q4 - 0:09.2HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot113
90.8%
111
9.2%
Q4 - 0:14.7SpursZach Collins turnover (offensive foul)113
75.3%
111
24.7%
Q4 - 0:14.7SpursZach Collins offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)113
90.6%
111
9.4%
Q4 - 0:18.0SpursTre Jones defensive rebound113
89.1%
111
10.9%
Q4 - 0:22.2HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot113
82.2%
111
17.8%
Q4 - 0:34.2SpursTre Jones turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)113
66.6%
111
33.4%
Q4 - 0:52.5SpursZach Collins defensive rebound113
75.6%
111
24.4%
Q4 - 0:56.5HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot113
70.5%
111
29.5%
Q4 - 1:13SpursDevin Vassell makes two point stepback jump shot113
55.1%
111
44.9%
Q4 - 1:36HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)111
41.3%
111
58.7%
Q4 - 1:52SpursDevin Vassell makes two point stepback jump shot111
62.5%
108
37.5%
Q4 - 2:12HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot109
54.3%
108
45.7%
Q4 - 2:28SpursZach Collins makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
60.8%
106
39.2%
Q4 - 2:28SpursZach Collins makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
58.6%
106
41.4%
Q4 - 2:28HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Zach Collins draws the foul)107
55.8%
106
44.2%
Q4 - 2:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
54.6%
106
45.4%
Q4 - 2:47HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2107
55.9%
105
44.1%
Q4 - 2:47SpursRomeo Langford shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)107
45.6%
105
54.4%
Q4 - 3:00SpursZach Collins turnover (offensive foul)107
47.9%
105
52.1%
Q4 - 3:00SpursZach Collins offensive foul (Off the ball) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)107
62.0%
105
38.0%
Q4 - 3:17HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)107
62.5%
105
37.5%
Q4 - 3:25HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound107
68.7%
103
31.3%
Q4 - 3:28SpursDevin Vassell misses regular free throw 3 of 3107
70.4%
103
29.6%
Q4 - 3:28SpursDevin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 3107
76.2%
103
23.8%
Q4 - 3:28SpursDevin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 3106
74.8%
103
25.2%
Q4 - 3:28HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)105
73.4%
103
26.6%
Q4 - 3:35SpursTre Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 1105
54.4%
103
45.6%
Q4 - 3:35HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Away from play) (Zach Collins draws the foul)104
52.3%
103
47.7%
Q4 - 3:35SpursSpurs offensive rebound104
45.6%
103
54.4%
Q4 - 3:36SpursDoug McDermott misses two point driving floating jump shot104
39.2%
103
60.8%
Q4 - 3:56HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1104
46.2%
103
53.8%
Q4 - 3:56SpursKeldon Johnson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)104
47.3%
102
52.7%
Q4 - 3:56HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound104
63.3%
100
36.7%
Q4 - 3:57HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup bank jump shot104
69.3%
100
30.7%
Q4 - 4:10HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound104
63.6%
100
36.4%
Q4 - 4:14SpursZach Collins misses regular free throw 2 of 2104
64.9%
100
35.1%
Q4 - 4:14SpursZach Collins makes regular free throw 1 of 2104
70.1%
100
29.9%
Q4 - 4:14HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (Zach Collins draws the foul)103
68.2%
100
31.8%
Q4 - 4:14SpursSpurs offensive rebound103
64.3%
100
35.7%
Q4 - 4:15SpursKeldon Johnson misses three point jump shot103
57.9%
100
42.1%
Q4 - 4:34HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk103
64.6%
100
35.4%
Q4 - 4:35HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound103
71.9%
98
28.1%
Q4 - 4:38HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup103
77.1%
98
22.9%
Q4 - 4:54SpursKeldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
72.1%
98
27.9%
Q4 - 4:54SpursKeldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
70.4%
98
29.6%
Q4 - 4:54HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)101
68.5%
98
31.5%
Q4 - 5:01SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound101
58.7%
98
41.3%
Q4 - 5:05HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot101
56.3%
98
43.7%
Q4 - 5:21SpursCharles Bassey turnover (offensive foul)101
50.5%
98
49.5%
Q4 - 5:21SpursCharles Bassey offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)101
59.0%
98
41.0%
Q4 - 5:25SpursCharles Bassey offensive rebound101
59.1%
98
40.9%
Q4 - 5:31SpursJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot101
53.2%
98
46.8%
Q4 - 5:45SpursSpurs defensive rebound101
59.2%
98
40.8%
Q4 - 5:48HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot101
56.7%
98
43.3%
Q4 - 6:12SpursRomeo Langford makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
46.6%
98
53.4%
Q4 - 6:12SpursRomeo Langford makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
44.4%
98
55.6%
Q4 - 6:12HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Romeo Langford draws the foul)99
41.8%
98
58.2%
Q4 - 6:27HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)99
41.0%
98
59.0%
Q4 - 6:49SpursDoug McDermott turnover (out of bounds bad pass)99
54.1%
95
45.9%
Q4 - 6:56SpursRomeo Langford defensive rebound99
62.6%
95
37.4%
Q4 - 6:58HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot99
60.1%
95
39.9%
Q4 - 7:10SpursRomeo Langford makes two point driving layup (Josh Richardson assists)99
49.8%
95
50.2%
Q4 - 7:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)97
44.8%
95
55.2%
Q4 - 7:44SpursCharles Bassey makes two point dunk (Doug McDermott assists)97
50.1%
93
49.9%
Q4 - 7:52HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Zach Collins draws the foul)95
44.9%
93
55.1%
Q4 - 7:52SpursSpurs offensive rebound95
44.9%
93
55.1%
Q4 - 7:52SpursTre Jones misses three point pullup jump shot95
39.4%
93
60.6%
Q4 - 8:17HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot95
42.3%
93
57.7%
Q4 - 8:25SpursRomeo Langford makes regular free throw 2 of 295
48.2%
91
51.8%
Q4 - 8:25SpursRomeo Langford makes regular free throw 1 of 294
46.3%
91
53.7%
Q4 - 8:25HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Romeo Langford draws the foul)93
44.0%
91
56.0%
Q4 - 8:34HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Take) (Tre Jones draws the foul)93
42.4%
91
57.6%
Q4 - 8:36SpursJosh Richardson defensive rebound93
42.4%
91
57.6%
Q4 - 8:40HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot93
40.5%
91
59.5%
Q4 - 8:46HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound93
36.1%
91
63.9%
Q4 - 8:48SpursJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot93
38.0%
91
62.0%
Q4 - 9:04SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound93
40.4%
91
59.6%
Q4 - 9:09HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot93
38.6%
91
61.4%
Q4 - 9:34SpursDoug McDermott makes three point jump shot (Tre Jones assists)93
34.5%
91
65.5%
Q4 - 9:48SpursZach Collins defensive rebound90
25.2%
91
74.8%
Q4 - 9:52HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot90
23.8%
91
76.2%
Q4 - 10:02HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound90
20.9%
91
79.1%
Q4 - 10:05SpursDevin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot90
22.1%
91
77.9%
Q4 - 10:15SpursZach Collins defensive rebound90
25.2%
91
74.8%
Q4 - 10:18HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot90
23.8%
91
76.2%
Q4 - 10:32SpursZach Collins makes two point jump shot (Doug McDermott assists)90
20.8%
91
79.2%
Q4 - 10:46HeatCaleb Martin makes two point reverse layup (Victor Oladipo assists)88
17.8%
91
82.2%
Q4 - 11:01SpursZach Collins makes two point hook shot88
21.3%
89
78.7%
Q4 - 11:22HeatKyle Lowry makes three point stepback jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)86
18.1%
89
81.9%
Q4 - 11:27HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound86
25.0%
86
75.0%
Q4 - 11:31SpursZach Collins misses two point jump shot86
26.2%
86
73.8%
Q4 - 11:48HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving layup86
29.2%
86
70.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.86
33.6%
84
66.4%
Q3 - 0:00.4HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound86
32.5%
84
67.5%
Q3 - 0:05.9SpursDevin Vassell misses two point driving floating bank jump shot86
33.8%
84
66.2%
Q3 - 0:27.2SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound86
36.9%
84
63.1%
Q3 - 0:30.8HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot86
35.6%
84
64.4%
Q3 - 0:36.9SpursJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)86
32.6%
84
67.4%
Q3 - 0:56.0SpursJosh Richardson defensive rebound83
24.5%
84
75.5%
Q3 - 0:59.2HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot83
23.4%
84
76.6%
Q3 - 1:00HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound83
21.1%
84
78.9%
Q3 - 1:02HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating bank jump shot83
23.0%
84
77.0%
Q3 - 1:24SpursDevin Vassell makes two point stepback jump shot83
20.7%
84
79.3%
Q3 - 1:49HeatCaleb Martin makes three point running jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)81
18.0%
84
82.0%
Q3 - 1:53HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound81
23.9%
81
76.1%
Q3 - 1:56SpursTre Jones misses two point driving layup81
25.1%
81
74.9%
Q3 - 2:02SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound81
27.1%
81
72.9%
Q3 - 2:06HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot81
26.0%
81
74.0%
Q3 - 2:10HeatHeat offensive rebound81
23.6%
81
76.4%
Q3 - 2:10HeatCharles Bassey blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point cutting layup81
26.0%
81
74.0%
Q3 - 2:18SpursCharles Bassey makes two point tip layup81
23.6%
81
76.4%
Q3 - 2:18SpursCharles Bassey offensive rebound79
20.7%
81
79.3%
Q3 - 2:24SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point driving floating jump shot79
18.7%
81
81.3%
Q3 - 2:36SpursJosh Richardson defensive rebound79
20.7%
81
79.3%
Q3 - 2:40HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot79
19.8%
81
80.2%
Q3 - 3:03SpursKeldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 279
17.9%
81
82.1%
Q3 - 3:03SpursKeldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 278
17.4%
81
82.6%
Q3 - 3:03HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)77
16.8%
81
83.2%
Q3 - 3:11HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 377
16.0%
81
84.0%
Q3 - 3:11HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 377
16.2%
80
83.8%
Q3 - 3:11HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 377
16.6%
79
83.4%
Q3 - 3:11SpursDevin Vassell shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)77
16.9%
78
83.1%
Q3 - 3:29SpursCharles Bassey makes two point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)77
20.6%
78
79.4%
Q3 - 3:51HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving layup75
18.3%
78
81.7%
Q3 - 4:08SpursDoug McDermott makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)75
20.2%
76
79.8%
Q3 - 4:31HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)72
15.8%
76
84.2%
Q3 - 4:47SpursKeldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 272
17.7%
74
82.3%
Q3 - 4:47SpursKeldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 271
17.2%
74
82.8%
Q3 - 4:47HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)70
16.6%
74
83.4%
Q3 - 4:49SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound70
15.8%
74
84.2%
Q3 - 4:52HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot70
15.1%
74
84.9%
Q3 - 5:01SpursDoug McDermott personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)70
13.8%
74
86.2%
Q3 - 5:03HeatHeat offensive rebound70
13.8%
74
86.2%
Q3 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup bank jump shot70
15.2%
74
84.8%
Q3 - 5:15SpursRomeo Langford personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)70
13.8%
74
86.2%
Q3 - 5:23SpursRomeo Langford makes two point tip layup70
13.7%
74
86.3%
Q3 - 5:24SpursRomeo Langford offensive rebound68
12.1%
74
87.9%
Q3 - 5:28SpursCharles Bassey misses two point floating jump shot68
10.9%
74
89.1%
Q3 - 5:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot68
12.1%
74
87.9%
Q3 - 6:06SpursKeldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 168
13.6%
72
86.4%
Q3 - 6:06HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)67
13.2%
72
86.8%
Q3 - 6:10SpursJosh Richardson defensive rebound65
10.5%
72
89.5%
Q3 - 6:12HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot65
10.1%
72
89.9%
Q3 - 6:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound65
9.1%
72
90.9%
Q3 - 6:28SpursJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot65
9.5%
72
90.5%
Q3 - 6:32SpursJosh Richardson offensive rebound65
10.5%
72
89.5%
Q3 - 6:35SpursJosh Richardson misses two point floating jump shot65
9.5%
72
90.5%
Q3 - 6:36SpursJosh Richardson offensive rebound65
10.5%
72
89.5%
Q3 - 6:42SpursTre Jones misses two point pullup jump shot65
9.5%
72
90.5%
Q3 - 7:05HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)65
10.7%
72
89.3%
Q3 - 7:09HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound65
12.0%
70
88.0%
Q3 - 7:10SpursKeldon Johnson misses three point jump shot65
12.5%
70
87.5%
Q3 - 7:22HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot65
13.9%
70
86.1%
Q3 - 7:33SpursRomeo Langford turnover (out of bounds lost ball)65
17.4%
67
82.6%
Q3 - 7:52HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)65
20.0%
67
80.0%
Q3 - 8:12SpursRomeo Langford makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tre Jones assists)65
17.2%
67
82.8%
Q3 - 8:18SpursRomeo Langford defensive rebound63
15.6%
67
84.4%
Q3 - 8:21HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 263
15.3%
67
84.7%
Q3 - 8:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 263
14.0%
67
86.0%
Q3 - 8:21SpursZach Collins shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)63
14.3%
66
85.7%
Q3 - 8:31SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving layup63
15.3%
66
84.7%
Q3 - 8:45SpursSpurs offensive rebound61
13.8%
66
86.2%
Q3 - 8:46SpursMalaki Branham misses three point jump shot61
12.5%
66
87.5%
Q3 - 9:09HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)61
13.7%
66
86.3%
Q3 - 9:24SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point running layup61
17.1%
63
82.9%
Q3 - 9:28HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Tre Jones steals)59
15.4%
63
84.6%
Q3 - 9:50SpursKeldon Johnson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)59
13.5%
63
86.5%
Q3 - 10:07HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)59
15.4%
63
84.6%
Q3 - 10:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound59
18.9%
60
81.1%
Q3 - 10:15SpursTre Jones misses two point stepback jump shot59
19.7%
60
80.3%
Q3 - 10:34SpursZach Collins defensive rebound59
21.4%
60
78.6%
Q3 - 10:39HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot59
20.6%
60
79.4%
Q3 - 10:47SpursZach Collins turnover (out of bounds bad pass)59
19.0%
60
81.0%
Q3 - 11:02HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)59
20.7%
60
79.3%
Q3 - 11:08HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound59
25.2%
57
74.8%
Q3 - 11:10SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point bank jump shot59
26.0%
57
74.0%
Q3 - 11:25SpursMalaki Branham defensive rebound59
27.9%
57
72.1%
Q3 - 11:27HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot59
27.1%
57
72.9%
Q3 - 11:42SpursZach Collins turnover (offensive foul)59
25.3%
57
74.7%
Q3 - 11:42SpursZach Collins offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)59
28.0%
57
72.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.59
28.0%
57
72.0%
Q2 - 0:01.4HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 159
26.9%
57
73.1%
Q2 - 0:01.4SpursZach Collins shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)59
27.2%
56
72.8%
Q2 - 0:09.3SpursTre Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 259
32.7%
54
67.3%
Q2 - 0:09.3SpursTre Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 258
32.3%
54
67.7%
Q2 - 0:09.3HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Tre Jones draws the foul)57
31.9%
54
68.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot57
29.5%
54
70.5%
Q2 - 0:38.5HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound57
32.7%
52
67.3%
Q2 - 0:40.8SpursTre Jones misses regular free throw 1 of 157
33.1%
52
66.9%
Q2 - 0:40.8HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Tre Jones draws the foul)57
35.2%
52
64.8%
Q2 - 0:55.7SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound55
29.6%
52
70.4%
Q2 - 0:59.9HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot55
28.9%
52
71.1%
Q2 - 1:11SpursTre Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 255
27.0%
52
73.0%
Q2 - 1:11SpursTre Jones misses regular free throw 1 of 254
26.7%
52
73.3%
Q2 - 1:11HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Tre Jones draws the foul)54
28.8%
52
71.2%
Q2 - 1:30HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 254
26.4%
52
73.6%
Q2 - 1:30HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 254
26.7%
51
73.3%
Q2 - 1:30SpursZach Collins shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)54
27.0%
50
73.0%
Q2 - 1:49HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound54
29.6%
50
70.4%
Q2 - 1:53SpursZach Collins misses regular free throw 1 of 154
29.8%
50
70.2%
Q2 - 1:53HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Zach Collins draws the foul)54
31.7%
50
68.3%
Q2 - 1:58SpursZach Collins defensive rebound52
26.4%
50
73.6%
Q2 - 2:02HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot52
25.5%
50
74.5%
Q2 - 2:22SpursZach Collins makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)52
23.9%
50
76.1%
Q2 - 2:28SpursTre Jones defensive rebound49
19.9%
50
80.1%
Q2 - 2:33HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point floating jump shot49
19.3%
50
80.7%
Q2 - 2:40HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound49
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q2 - 2:43SpursJosh Richardson misses two point pullup jump shot49
18.5%
50
81.5%
Q2 - 2:46SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound49
19.9%
50
80.1%
Q2 - 2:55HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point hook shot49
19.3%
50
80.7%
Q2 - 2:56HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound49
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q2 - 2:59HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot49
19.3%
50
80.7%
Q2 - 3:08SpursKeldon Johnson turnover (discontinue dribble)49
17.6%
50
82.4%
Q2 - 3:16SpursSpurs offensive rebound49
19.7%
50
80.3%
Q2 - 3:16SpursDewayne Dedmon blocks Keldon Johnson's two point driving layup49
18.3%
50
81.7%
Q2 - 3:30HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot49
19.7%
50
80.3%
Q2 - 3:51SpursDoug McDermott makes two point pullup jump shot49
21.3%
48
78.7%
Q2 - 4:01HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 247
19.1%
48
80.9%
Q2 - 4:01HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 247
19.3%
47
80.7%
Q2 - 4:01SpursTre Jones shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)47
19.6%
46
80.4%
Q2 - 4:20SpursMalaki Branham makes two point pullup jump shot (Charles Bassey assists)47
20.9%
46
79.1%
Q2 - 4:39HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)45
19.2%
46
80.8%
Q2 - 4:40HeatMax Strus defensive rebound45
21.0%
44
79.0%
Q2 - 4:47SpursTre Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot45
21.5%
44
78.5%
Q2 - 5:01HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup45
22.6%
44
77.4%
Q2 - 5:12SpursCharles Bassey makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tre Jones assists)45
24.2%
42
75.8%
Q2 - 5:24HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)43
22.6%
42
77.4%
Q2 - 5:37SpursJosh Richardson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)43
20.4%
42
79.6%
Q2 - 5:38SpursJosh Richardson defensive rebound43
22.6%
42
77.4%
Q2 - 5:43HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot43
21.9%
42
78.1%
Q2 - 6:07SpursKeldon Johnson turnover (double dribble)43
20.2%
42
79.8%
Q2 - 6:16SpursCharles Bassey defensive rebound43
22.4%
42
77.6%
Q2 - 6:19HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 143
22.1%
42
77.9%
Q2 - 6:19SpursRomeo Langford shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)43
20.9%
42
79.1%
Q2 - 6:36SpursRomeo Langford makes two point running layup43
23.9%
40
76.1%
Q2 - 6:41HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Romeo Langford steals)41
22.4%
40
77.6%
Q2 - 6:54SpursDevin Vassell turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)41
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 7:08HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)41
22.0%
40
78.0%
Q2 - 7:32SpursRomeo Langford makes two point driving floating jump shot (Malaki Branham assists)41
25.7%
37
74.3%
Q2 - 7:41SpursRomeo Langford defensive rebound39
23.9%
37
76.1%
Q2 - 7:41HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot39
23.3%
37
76.7%
Q2 - 7:52HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound39
21.9%
37
78.1%
Q2 - 7:56SpursDevin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot39
22.5%
37
77.5%
Q2 - 8:04SpursRomeo Langford defensive rebound39
23.7%
37
76.3%
Q2 - 8:07HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot39
23.1%
37
76.9%
Q2 - 8:32SpursDevin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 139
21.7%
37
78.3%
Q2 - 8:32HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)38
21.5%
37
78.5%
Q2 - 8:36SpursZach Collins defensive rebound36
18.5%
37
81.5%
Q2 - 8:41HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot36
18.0%
37
82.0%
Q2 - 8:54SpursDevin Vassell makes two point running layup36
16.9%
37
83.1%
Q2 - 8:59HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Devin Vassell steals)34
15.6%
37
84.4%
Q2 - 9:14SpursDevin Vassell makes three point jump shot (Doug McDermott assists)34
14.2%
37
85.8%
Q2 - 9:17SpursDoug McDermott defensive rebound31
11.9%
37
88.1%
Q2 - 9:24HeatZach Collins blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup31
11.6%
37
88.4%
Q2 - 9:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound31
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q2 - 9:39SpursRomeo Langford misses three point jump shot31
11.2%
37
88.8%
Q2 - 9:51HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Zach Collins draws the foul)31
11.9%
37
88.1%
Q2 - 10:00HeatCaleb Martin makes three point running jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)31
11.9%
37
88.1%
Q2 - 10:03HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound31
14.2%
34
85.8%
Q2 - 10:07SpursCaleb Martin blocks Tre Jones's two point driving layup31
14.6%
34
85.4%
Q2 - 10:21HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)31
15.5%
34
84.5%
Q2 - 10:40SpursRomeo Langford makes two point driving reverse layup31
16.9%
32
83.1%
Q2 - 10:55HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)29
15.5%
32
84.5%
Q2 - 11:14SpursZach Collins makes two point hook shot (Doug McDermott assists)29
18.0%
29
82.0%
Q2 - 11:20SpursDoug McDermott offensive rebound27
16.6%
29
83.4%
Q2 - 11:23SpursDoug McDermott misses three point running jump shot27
15.7%
29
84.3%
Q2 - 11:28HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Devin Vassell steals)27
16.6%
29
83.4%
Q2 - 11:45SpursDevin Vassell makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot27
15.3%
29
84.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.25
14.1%
29
85.9%
Q1 - 0:00.5HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (bad pass) (Isaiah Roby steals)25
13.8%
29
86.2%
Q1 - 0:01.1SpursDoug McDermott makes two point jump shot (Tre Jones assists)25
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q1 - 0:05.9SpursIsaiah Roby defensive rebound23
11.7%
29
88.3%
Q1 - 0:08.3HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 223
11.6%
29
88.4%
Q1 - 0:08.3HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 223
10.9%
29
89.1%
Q1 - 0:08.3SpursIsaiah Roby shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)23
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q1 - 0:25.4HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound23
11.8%
28
88.2%
Q1 - 0:27.1SpursIsaiah Roby misses regular free throw 2 of 223
12.0%
28
88.0%
Q1 - 0:27.1SpursIsaiah Roby misses regular free throw 1 of 223
12.5%
28
87.5%
Q1 - 0:27.1HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Isaiah Roby draws the foul)23
13.2%
28
86.8%
Q1 - 0:27.9SpursIsaiah Roby offensive rebound23
12.7%
28
87.3%
Q1 - 0:31.7SpursDevin Vassell misses three point jump shot23
12.1%
28
87.9%
Q1 - 0:43.9HeatMax Strus makes two point running layup (Tyler Herro assists)23
12.8%
28
87.2%
Q1 - 0:44.7HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound23
13.9%
26
86.1%
Q1 - 0:48.5SpursDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot23
14.3%
26
85.7%
Q1 - 0:49.8SpursZach Collins defensive rebound23
15.0%
26
85.0%
Q1 - 0:54.5HeatMax Strus misses two point driving finger roll layup23
14.7%
26
85.3%
Q1 - 1:13SpursIsaiah Roby makes regular free throw 1 of 123
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q1 - 1:13HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Isaiah Roby draws the foul)22
13.6%
26
86.4%
Q1 - 1:16HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Isaiah Roby steals)20
11.8%
26
88.2%
Q1 - 1:27SpursIsaiah Roby makes two point turnaround hook shot (Zach Collins assists)20
10.9%
26
89.1%
Q1 - 1:44HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)18
10.0%
26
90.0%
Q1 - 1:48HeatHeat offensive rebound18
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q1 - 1:48HeatTre Jones blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point layup18
11.5%
24
88.5%
Q1 - 2:07SpursIsaiah Roby turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)18
11.0%
24
89.0%
Q1 - 2:07SpursIsaiah Roby offensive rebound18
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q1 - 2:13SpursDevin Vassell misses three point pullup jump shot18
11.2%
24
88.8%
Q1 - 2:29SpursIsaiah Roby defensive rebound18
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q1 - 2:32HeatVictor Oladipo misses regular free throw 2 of 218
11.8%
24
88.2%
Q1 - 2:32HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 218
11.2%
24
88.8%
Q1 - 2:32SpursJosh Richardson shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)18
11.4%
23
88.6%
Q1 - 2:52SpursZach Collins makes two point cutting layup (Josh Richardson assists)18
11.9%
23
88.1%
Q1 - 3:06HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Loose ball) (Devin Vassell draws the foul)16
11.1%
23
88.9%
Q1 - 3:06HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Devin Vassell steals)16
11.1%
23
88.9%
Q1 - 3:19SpursJosh Richardson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)16
10.1%
23
89.9%
Q1 - 3:31HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)16
11.1%
23
88.9%
Q1 - 3:50SpursDoug McDermott makes three point jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)16
11.8%
21
88.2%
Q1 - 4:05HeatMax Strus makes two point alley-oop layup (Kyle Lowry assists)13
10.4%
21
89.6%
Q1 - 4:11HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound13
11.1%
19
88.9%
Q1 - 4:14SpursDevin Vassell misses three point jump shot13
11.4%
19
88.6%
Q1 - 4:30HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 113
12.1%
19
87.9%
Q1 - 4:30SpursCharles Bassey shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)13
12.2%
18
87.8%
Q1 - 4:32HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound13
13.8%
16
86.2%
Q1 - 4:35SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point driving layup13
14.2%
16
85.8%
Q1 - 4:53SpursCharles Bassey defensive rebound13
15.1%
16
84.9%
Q1 - 4:56HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 213
14.9%
16
85.1%
Q1 - 4:56HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 213
14.2%
16
85.8%
Q1 - 4:56SpursCharles Bassey shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)13
13.4%
16
86.6%
Q1 - 5:13SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving layup (Charles Bassey assists)13
13.8%
16
86.2%
Q1 - 5:27SpursSpurs defensive rebound11
13.0%
16
87.0%
Q1 - 5:29HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot11
12.7%
16
87.3%
Q1 - 5:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
12.0%
16
88.0%
Q1 - 5:38SpursJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot11
12.3%
16
87.7%
Q1 - 5:50HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)11
13.0%
16
87.0%
Q1 - 5:58HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound11
14.8%
13
85.2%
Q1 - 6:03SpursRomeo Langford misses two point driving floating jump shot11
15.1%
13
84.9%
Q1 - 6:17HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 211
15.8%
13
84.2%
Q1 - 6:17HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 211
16.0%
12
84.0%
Q1 - 6:17SpursTre Jones shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)11
16.2%
11
83.8%
Q1 - 6:36SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving layup (Josh Richardson assists)11
16.9%
11
83.1%
Q1 - 6:58HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 29
15.8%
11
84.2%
Q1 - 6:58HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 29
15.9%
10
84.1%
Q1 - 6:58SpursMalaki Branham shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)9
15.0%
10
85.0%
Q1 - 7:14SpursKeldon Johnson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)9
15.5%
10
84.5%
Q1 - 7:17SpursZach Collins defensive rebound9
16.7%
10
83.3%
Q1 - 7:21HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving reverse layup9
16.4%
10
83.6%
Q1 - 7:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 7:39SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point turnaround bank jump shot9
15.9%
10
84.1%
Q1 - 7:45SpursRomeo Langford defensive rebound9
16.7%
10
83.3%
Q1 - 7:48HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot9
16.4%
10
83.6%
Q1 - 8:09SpursRomeo Langford makes three point jump shot (Keldon Johnson assists)9
15.4%
10
84.6%
Q1 - 8:11SpursKeldon Johnson offensive rebound6
13.6%
10
86.4%
Q1 - 8:15SpursTyler Herro blocks Keldon Johnson's two point pullup jump shot6
12.9%
10
87.1%
Q1 - 8:18SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound6
13.6%
10
86.4%
Q1 - 8:22HeatCaleb Martin misses three point stepback jump shot6
13.3%
10
86.7%
Q1 - 8:30HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound6
12.6%
10
87.4%
Q1 - 8:33SpursMalaki Branham misses two point floating jump shot6
12.9%
10
87.1%
Q1 - 8:50HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)6
13.6%
10
86.4%
Q1 - 9:02SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving bank hook shot6
14.4%
8
85.6%
Q1 - 9:07SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound4
13.6%
8
86.4%
Q1 - 9:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot4
13.3%
8
86.7%
Q1 - 9:25HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound4
12.6%
8
87.4%
Q1 - 9:29SpursRomeo Langford misses two point floating jump shot4
12.9%
8
87.1%
Q1 - 9:52HeatTyler Herro makes two point running dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)4
13.6%
8
86.4%
Q1 - 9:56SpursKeldon Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)4
14.4%
6
85.6%
Q1 - 10:12HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 3 of 34
15.2%
6
84.8%
Q1 - 10:12HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 34
15.5%
5
84.5%
Q1 - 10:12HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 34
15.7%
4
84.3%
Q1 - 10:12SpursMalaki Branham shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)4
16.0%
3
84.0%
Q1 - 10:26SpursTre Jones makes two point driving hook shot4
17.2%
3
82.8%
Q1 - 10:28SpursTre Jones defensive rebound2
16.2%
3
83.8%
Q1 - 10:33HeatRomeo Langford blocks Tyler Herro's two point running layup2
15.9%
3
84.1%
Q1 - 10:38SpursRomeo Langford turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)2
15.2%
3
84.8%
Q1 - 11:04HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)2
15.9%
3
84.1%
Q1 - 11:21SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point layup (Zach Collins assists)2
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 11:34HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Tre Jones steals)0
16.9%
0
83.1%
Q1 - 12:00Zach Collins vs. Bam Adebayo (Kyle Lowry gains possession)0
15.8%
0
84.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.25 62.5%
MIA
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
16
19
84%
MIA
17
21
81%
Midrange
SAS
19
38
50%
MIA
9
26
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
MIA
13
19.5
34
38%
57%
Free Throws
SAS
24
31
77%
MIA
20
28
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Johnson2158%10.5 / 18
R. Langford1986%9.5 / 11
D. Vassell1864%9.0 / 14
Z. Collins1689%8.0 / 9
D. McDermott1381%6.5 / 8
T. Jones1045%5.0 / 11
C. Bassey880%4.0 / 5
I. Roby583%2.5 / 3
J. Richardson321%1.5 / 7
M. Branham233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3075%15.0 / 20
T. Herro2364%11.5 / 18
C. Martin1470%7.0 / 10
K. Lowry1286%6.0 / 7
B. Adebayo1246%6.0 / 13
V. Oladipo1169%5.5 / 8
M. Strus440%2.0 / 5
D. Robinson350%1.5 / 3
D. Dedmon213%1.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
78
+14
-18
92
MIA
86
+8
-10
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.25 62.5%
MIA
1.18 59.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
112.9
SAS 119.8 +4.2
MIA 115.6
Pace
101.7
96.3
SAS 94.7
MIA 97.1 +2.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.0
15.0
SAS 15.2
MIA 14.8 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.5%
53.0%
SAS 58.3% +2.1%
MIA 56.2%
TO %
14.4%
13.2%
SAS 16.4%
MIA 9.7% +6.7%
ORB %
25.6%
22.8%
SAS 25.0% +13.1%
MIA 11.9%
FTrt
22.9
27.0
SAS 39.7 +5.1
MIA 34.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.2%
60.8%
SAS 57.1%
MIA 66.7% +9.6%
STL %
6.8%
8.2%
SAS 8.3% +3.1%
MIA 5.2%
BLK %
6.7%
6.3%
SAS 8.5% +3.2%
MIA 5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.3%
55.9%
SAS 62.5% +3.5%
MIA 59.0%
Rim FG%
61.3%
62.6%
SAS 84.2% +3.2%
MIA 81.0%
Mid FG%
42.3%
45.3%
SAS 50.0% +15.4%
MIA 34.6%
3P %
34.5%
34.4%
SAS 33.3%
MIA 38.2% +4.9%
FT %
74.3%
83.1%
SAS 77.4% +6.0%
MIA 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
29.9%
SAS 24.4%
MIA 25.9% +1.6%
Mid Att. %
28.6%
29.4%
SAS 48.7%
MIA 32.1% +16.6%
3P Att. %
34.8%
40.8%
SAS 26.9%
MIA 42.0% +15.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points115111
Rebounds4632
Assists2426
Steals85
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)10 (0)
Fouls2122
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)27 (0)
Field Goals42-7839-81
At-the-Rim FG16-1917-21
Midrange FG19-389-26
2-Point FG35-5726-47
3-Point FG7-2113-34
Free Throws24-3120-28
Fast Break Pts1117
2nd Chance Pts177
Points in Paint5450
Pts off Turnovers1712
Bench Points4720
Biggest Lead58

BOXSCORE

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30 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tre Jones
#33 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 23
35.8
10
45%
4
4
2
1
1
2
0
4
6-8
75%
2-7
29%
0-1
0%
Keldon Johnson
#3 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 23
35.6
21
58%
6
2
0
0
5
1
1
5
7-7
100%
7-13
54%
0-2
0%
Zach Collins
#23 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25
30.4
16
89%
8
2
0
1
4
6
0
8
3-5
60%
5-6
83%
1-1
100%
Romeo Langford
#35 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 23
28.6
19
86%
6
0
1
1
2
3
1
5
4-4
100%
6-8
75%
1-2
50%
Malaki Branham
#22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 20
14.5
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
Devin Vassell
#24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 22
26.4
18
64%
4
2
3
0
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
6-9
67%
1-4
25%
Doug McDermott
#17 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 31
24.8
13
81%
2
5
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
Josh Richardson
#7 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 29
22.9
3
21%
7
6
0
0
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-5
20%
Charles Bassey
#28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 22
17.6
8
80%
4
2
0
1
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
Isaiah Roby
#18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25
3.3
5
83%
4
0
2
0
1
1
2
2
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Alize Johnson
#19 · PF · 6'8" 216 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
Gorgui Dieng
#41 · C · 6'11" 251 · 33
DNP – Coach's Decision
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Blake Wesley
#14 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left MCL; Sprain
Jeremy Sochan
#10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Quad; Contusion
Dominick Barlow
#26 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 20
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keita Bates-Diop
#31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Mid Foot; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
63%
46
24
8
4
18
21
9
37
24-31
77%
35-57
61%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.