for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, December 6, 2022
FinalWin Prob.pScore
28
Pistons
29%105
116
12
Heat
71%113
96
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
122.19586.6
MIA logo MIA
100.096106.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.116
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:21.6PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point turnaround hook shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)116
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.2HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.2HeatDru Smith offensive rebound114
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.6HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot114
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point driving layup (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)114
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)112
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot112
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45PistonsSaddiq Bey defensive rebound109
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48HeatCaleb Martin misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot109
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (out of bounds bad pass)109
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound109
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21HeatMax Strus misses two point floating jump shot109
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35PistonsSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 1109
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)108
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Bojan Bogdanovic steals)106
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 3:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound106
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 3:09PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point layup106
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 3:12PistonsJaden Ivey offensive rebound106
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14PistonsCory Joseph misses three point jump shot106
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 3:25PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound106
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:28HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot106
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 3:47PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)106
99.3%
90
0.7%
Q4 - 4:01HeatTyler Herro makes two point alley-oop layup (Kyle Lowry assists)103
98.7%
90
1.3%
Q4 - 4:06HeatHeat offensive rebound103
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 4:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot103
99.3%
88
0.7%
Q4 - 4:24PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes three point stepback jump shot103
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 4:38PistonsSaddiq Bey defensive rebound100
98.3%
88
1.7%
Q4 - 4:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot100
98.1%
88
1.9%
Q4 - 5:01HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound100
95.7%
88
4.3%
Q4 - 5:03PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses regular free throw 2 of 2100
95.9%
88
4.1%
Q4 - 5:03PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses regular free throw 1 of 2100
96.6%
88
3.4%
Q4 - 5:03HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)100
97.3%
88
2.7%
Q4 - 5:03PistonsIsaiah Stewart offensive rebound100
96.9%
88
3.1%
Q4 - 5:03PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot100
96.1%
88
3.9%
Q4 - 5:03PistonsCory Joseph offensive rebound100
96.9%
88
3.1%
Q4 - 5:08PistonsMax Strus blocks Isaiah Stewart's two point dunk100
96.1%
88
3.9%
Q4 - 5:21PistonsPistons defensive rebound100
97.0%
88
3.0%
Q4 - 5:21HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot100
96.6%
88
3.4%
Q4 - 5:33PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point cutting layup (Saddiq Bey assists)100
95.8%
88
4.2%
Q4 - 5:50PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound98
94.5%
88
5.5%
Q4 - 5:53HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot98
94.0%
88
6.0%
Q4 - 6:04PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)98
89.2%
88
10.8%
Q4 - 6:15HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 295
83.3%
88
16.7%
Q4 - 6:15HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 295
83.8%
87
16.2%
Q4 - 6:15PistonsIsaiah Stewart shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)95
84.4%
86
15.6%
Q4 - 6:30PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes two point driving finger roll layup95
86.4%
86
13.6%
Q4 - 6:40HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Cory Joseph draws the foul)93
83.5%
86
16.5%
Q4 - 6:46HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 293
83.5%
86
16.5%
Q4 - 6:46HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 293
84.2%
85
15.8%
Q4 - 6:46PistonsAlec Burks shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)93
84.9%
84
15.1%
Q4 - 6:53PistonsAlec Burks makes three point stepback jump shot93
86.5%
84
13.5%
Q4 - 7:19HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point fadeaway jump shot90
75.1%
84
24.9%
Q4 - 7:29PistonsSaddiq Bey makes two point reverse layup90
78.9%
82
21.1%
Q4 - 7:43HeatTyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot88
75.3%
82
24.7%
Q4 - 8:03PistonsCory Joseph makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot88
76.5%
80
23.5%
Q4 - 8:26PistonsPistons defensive rebound86
72.1%
80
27.9%
Q4 - 8:26HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot86
70.5%
80
29.5%
Q4 - 8:31HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound86
66.6%
80
33.4%
Q4 - 8:34PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot86
68.4%
80
31.6%
Q4 - 8:47PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound86
72.2%
80
27.8%
Q4 - 8:50HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot86
70.6%
80
29.4%
Q4 - 8:58PistonsSaddiq Bey makes two point driving layup86
66.7%
80
33.3%
Q4 - 9:18HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving layup84
59.0%
80
41.0%
Q4 - 9:29PistonsKevin Knox II makes two point driving finger roll layup (Saddiq Bey assists)84
64.0%
78
36.0%
Q4 - 9:43HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 282
59.1%
78
40.9%
Q4 - 9:43HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 282
59.7%
77
40.3%
Q4 - 9:43PistonsAlec Burks shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)82
60.5%
76
39.5%
Q4 - 9:43HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound82
64.1%
76
35.9%
Q4 - 9:43HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point bank jump shot82
68.1%
76
31.9%
Q4 - 10:02PistonsAlec Burks turnover (out of bounds bad pass)82
61.8%
76
38.2%
Q4 - 10:18HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)82
67.5%
76
32.5%
Q4 - 10:36PistonsAlec Burks makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot82
75.9%
73
24.1%
Q4 - 10:49PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound80
72.2%
73
27.8%
Q4 - 10:54HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot80
70.7%
73
29.3%
Q4 - 11:11HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound80
65.4%
73
34.6%
Q4 - 11:14PistonsKevin Knox II misses three point jump shot80
66.9%
73
33.1%
Q4 - 11:21PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound80
70.1%
73
29.9%
Q4 - 11:21HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving layup80
68.8%
73
31.2%
Q4 - 11:34PistonsJalen Duren makes two point putback dunk80
65.5%
73
34.5%
Q4 - 11:36PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound78
60.8%
73
39.2%
Q4 - 11:39PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot78
57.2%
73
42.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.78
60.9%
73
39.1%
Q3 - 0:13.9PistonsAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)78
53.9%
73
46.1%
Q3 - 0:16.1PistonsPistons offensive rebound75
44.0%
73
56.0%
Q3 - 0:16.8PistonsBam Adebayo blocks Alec Burks's three point jump shot75
40.7%
73
59.3%
Q3 - 0:31.2HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 275
44.0%
73
56.0%
Q3 - 0:31.2HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 275
44.9%
72
55.1%
Q3 - 0:31.2PistonsKevin Knox II shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)75
41.1%
72
58.9%
Q3 - 0:45.1PistonsJalen Duren turnover (3-second violation)75
44.2%
72
55.8%
Q3 - 1:01HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot75
47.6%
72
52.4%
Q3 - 1:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound75
52.0%
70
48.0%
Q3 - 1:18PistonsCory Joseph misses two point pullup jump shot75
53.6%
70
46.4%
Q3 - 1:34HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)75
57.0%
70
43.0%
Q3 - 1:34HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)75
52.1%
70
47.9%
Q3 - 1:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound75
52.1%
70
47.9%
Q3 - 1:39PistonsAlec Burks misses three point jump shot75
53.6%
70
46.4%
Q3 - 1:47PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound75
57.1%
70
42.9%
Q3 - 1:50HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point floating jump shot75
55.6%
70
44.4%
Q3 - 2:06PistonsCory Joseph makes regular free throw 1 of 175
50.4%
70
49.6%
Q3 - 2:06HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Cory Joseph draws the foul)74
49.8%
70
50.2%
Q3 - 2:18PistonsCory Joseph defensive rebound72
42.0%
70
58.0%
Q3 - 2:18HeatMax Strus misses three point running jump shot72
40.6%
70
59.4%
Q3 - 2:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound72
37.5%
70
62.5%
Q3 - 2:26PistonsSaddiq Bey misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot72
38.8%
70
61.2%
Q3 - 2:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Victor Oladipo assists)72
42.0%
70
58.0%
Q3 - 3:01HeatMax Strus defensive rebound72
45.3%
68
54.7%
Q3 - 3:04PistonsAlec Burks misses regular free throw 2 of 272
46.0%
68
54.0%
Q3 - 3:04PistonsAlec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 272
48.9%
68
51.1%
Q3 - 3:04HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)71
48.2%
68
51.8%
Q3 - 3:16HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)71
46.1%
68
53.9%
Q3 - 3:16PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound71
46.1%
68
53.9%
Q3 - 3:17PistonsJalen Duren misses two point floating jump shot71
42.7%
68
57.3%
Q3 - 3:21PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound71
46.1%
68
53.9%
Q3 - 3:27HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot71
44.6%
68
55.4%
Q3 - 3:45HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound71
41.2%
68
58.8%
Q3 - 3:48PistonsAlec Burks misses three point running pullup jump shot71
42.7%
68
57.3%
Q3 - 3:54HeatKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Bojan Bogdanovic steals)71
46.1%
68
53.9%
Q3 - 4:02PistonsKillian Hayes makes three point jump shot (Alec Burks assists)71
40.2%
68
59.8%
Q3 - 4:25HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 268
33.3%
68
66.7%
Q3 - 4:25HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 268
33.8%
67
66.2%
Q3 - 4:25PistonsSaddiq Bey shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)68
34.4%
66
65.6%
Q3 - 4:26HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound68
36.4%
66
63.6%
Q3 - 4:28PistonsAlec Burks misses three point jump shot68
37.8%
66
62.2%
Q3 - 4:45HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 168
41.0%
66
59.0%
Q3 - 4:45PistonsSaddiq Bey shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)68
41.4%
65
58.6%
Q3 - 4:51HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound68
48.4%
63
51.6%
Q3 - 4:54PistonsBojan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot68
49.9%
63
50.1%
Q3 - 5:03PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound68
51.8%
63
48.2%
Q3 - 5:07HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot68
50.5%
63
49.5%
Q3 - 5:09HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound68
47.6%
63
52.4%
Q3 - 5:12HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot68
50.5%
63
49.5%
Q3 - 5:26PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes two point finger roll layup (Saddiq Bey assists)68
47.6%
63
52.4%
Q3 - 5:30HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Saddiq Bey steals)66
44.0%
63
56.0%
Q3 - 5:46PistonsAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Stewart assists)66
39.9%
63
60.1%
Q3 - 6:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)63
32.9%
63
67.1%
Q3 - 6:12PistonsBojan Bogdanovic personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
35.5%
61
64.5%
Q3 - 6:12HeatHeat offensive rebound63
35.5%
61
64.5%
Q3 - 6:13HeatMax Strus misses three point stepback jump shot63
38.1%
61
61.9%
Q3 - 6:39PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Stewart assists)63
35.5%
61
64.5%
Q3 - 6:49HeatMax Strus personal foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)60
29.1%
61
70.9%
Q3 - 6:52PistonsKillian Hayes defensive rebound60
29.1%
61
70.9%
Q3 - 6:55HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot60
28.1%
61
71.9%
Q3 - 7:09PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point turnaround bank hook shot (Saddiq Bey assists)60
25.6%
61
74.4%
Q3 - 7:16PistonsBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound58
23.3%
61
76.7%
Q3 - 7:18HeatMax Strus misses two point driving layup58
22.4%
61
77.6%
Q3 - 7:36PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 258
20.4%
61
79.6%
Q3 - 7:36PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 257
19.9%
61
80.1%
Q3 - 7:36HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)56
19.4%
61
80.6%
Q3 - 7:37PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound56
18.5%
61
81.5%
Q3 - 7:40HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot56
17.7%
61
82.3%
Q3 - 7:46PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes two point pullup jump shot56
16.1%
61
83.9%
Q3 - 7:54PistonsMarvin Bagley III defensive rebound54
14.4%
61
85.6%
Q3 - 7:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot54
13.8%
61
86.2%
Q3 - 8:09PistonsJaden Ivey personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)54
12.6%
61
87.4%
Q3 - 8:09HeatMax Strus offensive rebound54
12.6%
61
87.4%
Q3 - 8:09HeatCaleb Martin misses two point running layup54
14.0%
61
86.0%
Q3 - 8:13PistonsBojan Bogdanovic turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)54
12.6%
61
87.4%
Q3 - 8:31HeatCaleb Martin makes three point pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)54
14.6%
61
85.4%
Q3 - 8:48PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)54
18.1%
58
81.9%
Q3 - 9:01HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup51
14.7%
58
85.3%
Q3 - 9:21PistonsKillian Hayes personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)51
16.2%
56
83.8%
Q3 - 9:21HeatMax Strus defensive rebound51
16.2%
56
83.8%
Q3 - 9:22PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses two point tip layup51
16.9%
56
83.1%
Q3 - 9:22PistonsIsaiah Stewart offensive rebound51
18.5%
56
81.5%
Q3 - 9:27PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point driving layup51
16.9%
56
83.1%
Q3 - 9:34HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Marvin Bagley III steals)51
18.5%
56
81.5%
Q3 - 9:49PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes two point pullup jump shot51
16.2%
56
83.8%
Q3 - 10:11HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 249
14.8%
56
85.2%
Q3 - 10:11HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 249
15.0%
55
85.0%
Q3 - 10:11PistonsJaden Ivey shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)49
15.2%
54
84.8%
Q3 - 10:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
16.4%
54
83.6%
Q3 - 10:17PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses two point cutting layup49
17.0%
54
83.0%
Q3 - 10:32HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)49
18.6%
54
81.4%
Q3 - 10:32HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Off the ball) (Killian Hayes draws the foul)49
16.4%
54
83.6%
Q3 - 10:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
16.4%
54
83.6%
Q3 - 10:45PistonsBojan Bogdanovic misses two point turnaround bank jump shot49
17.0%
54
83.0%
Q3 - 11:10HeatMax Strus makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)49
18.3%
54
81.7%
Q3 - 11:15PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes two point cutting layup (Killian Hayes assists)49
20.2%
52
79.8%
Q3 - 11:38HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot47
18.3%
52
81.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.47
20.2%
50
79.8%
Q2 - 0:00.5PistonsPistons turnover (shot clock violation)47
20.4%
50
79.6%
Q2 - 0:00.5PistonsPistons offensive rebound47
22.1%
50
77.9%
Q2 - 0:01.5PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot47
20.9%
50
79.1%
Q2 - 0:25.0HeatMax Strus makes three point running jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)47
22.1%
50
77.9%
Q2 - 0:30.3HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound47
27.3%
47
72.7%
Q2 - 0:33.5PistonsKillian Hayes misses three point pullup jump shot47
28.0%
47
72.0%
Q2 - 0:41.8PistonsPistons defensive rebound47
29.5%
47
70.5%
Q2 - 0:42.4HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot47
28.8%
47
71.2%
Q2 - 1:00PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 247
27.3%
47
72.7%
Q2 - 1:00PistonsJaden Ivey misses regular free throw 1 of 246
26.7%
47
73.3%
Q2 - 1:00HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)46
28.7%
47
71.3%
Q2 - 1:13HeatTyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)46
26.7%
47
73.3%
Q2 - 1:17PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)46
32.6%
44
67.4%
Q2 - 1:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Tyler Herro assists)46
34.6%
44
65.4%
Q2 - 1:37HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound46
38.2%
42
61.8%
Q2 - 1:42PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses three point jump shot46
38.9%
42
61.1%
Q2 - 1:54PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound46
40.4%
42
59.6%
Q2 - 1:57HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 246
40.1%
42
59.9%
Q2 - 1:57HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 246
38.0%
42
62.0%
Q2 - 1:57PistonsMarvin Bagley III shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)46
35.7%
42
64.3%
Q2 - 2:04PistonsJaden Ivey makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)46
37.0%
42
63.0%
Q2 - 2:17HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Marvin Bagley III draws the foul)43
31.9%
42
68.1%
Q2 - 2:28HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 243
31.9%
42
68.1%
Q2 - 2:28HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 243
32.2%
41
67.8%
Q2 - 2:28PistonsJaden Ivey shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)43
30.0%
41
70.0%
Q2 - 2:29HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound43
31.7%
41
68.3%
Q2 - 2:33PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point pullup jump shot43
32.6%
41
67.4%
Q2 - 2:59HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)43
34.5%
41
65.5%
Q2 - 3:18PistonsBojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)43
38.9%
38
61.1%
Q2 - 3:23HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Marvin Bagley III steals)40
34.1%
38
65.9%
Q2 - 3:38PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point driving layup40
31.1%
38
68.9%
Q2 - 3:49PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound38
29.1%
38
70.9%
Q2 - 3:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot38
28.3%
38
71.7%
Q2 - 4:02HeatHeat offensive rebound38
26.2%
38
73.8%
Q2 - 4:06HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot38
27.8%
38
72.2%
Q2 - 4:18PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)38
26.2%
38
73.8%
Q2 - 4:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot (Max Strus assists)35
22.2%
38
77.8%
Q2 - 4:55PistonsKillian Hayes personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)35
24.1%
36
75.9%
Q2 - 4:57HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
24.1%
36
75.9%
Q2 - 4:59PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses two point layup35
24.8%
36
75.2%
Q2 - 5:01PistonsMarvin Bagley III offensive rebound35
26.2%
36
73.8%
Q2 - 5:03PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses two point layup35
24.4%
36
75.6%
Q2 - 5:16HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive goaltending)35
26.2%
36
73.8%
Q2 - 5:16HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound35
23.7%
36
76.3%
Q2 - 5:19HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot35
25.4%
36
74.6%
Q2 - 5:32PistonsKevin Knox II personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)35
23.7%
36
76.3%
Q2 - 5:48PistonsCory Joseph makes three point jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)35
23.7%
36
76.3%
Q2 - 5:53PistonsKevin Knox II defensive rebound32
20.3%
36
79.7%
Q2 - 5:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot32
19.6%
36
80.4%
Q2 - 6:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound32
18.3%
36
81.7%
Q2 - 6:12PistonsCory Joseph misses three point jump shot32
18.9%
36
81.1%
Q2 - 6:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kyle Lowry assists)32
20.4%
36
79.6%
Q2 - 6:35PistonsKevin Knox II turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)32
21.8%
34
78.2%
Q2 - 6:46PistonsSaddiq Bey defensive rebound32
24.1%
34
75.9%
Q2 - 6:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot32
23.4%
34
76.6%
Q2 - 7:04PistonsSaddiq Bey turnover (traveling)32
21.9%
34
78.1%
Q2 - 7:04PistonsMarvin Bagley III offensive rebound32
23.9%
34
76.1%
Q2 - 7:06PistonsAlec Burks misses three point jump shot32
22.5%
34
77.5%
Q2 - 7:17PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound32
23.9%
34
76.1%
Q2 - 7:20HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot32
23.3%
34
76.7%
Q2 - 7:28PistonsAlec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 132
21.9%
34
78.1%
Q2 - 7:28HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)31
21.6%
34
78.4%
Q2 - 7:42PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound29
18.6%
34
81.4%
Q2 - 7:44HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point running layup29
18.1%
34
81.9%
Q2 - 7:49PistonsKevin Knox II turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)29
17.0%
34
83.0%
Q2 - 8:12HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)29
18.6%
34
81.4%
Q2 - 8:22HeatTyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 129
20.2%
32
79.8%
Q2 - 8:22Pistons technical foul (Defensive three second)29
20.6%
31
79.4%
Q2 - 8:37HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound29
21.9%
31
78.1%
Q2 - 8:39PistonsAlec Burks misses two point floating jump shot29
22.4%
31
77.6%
Q2 - 8:54HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Duncan Robinson assists)29
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q2 - 9:07PistonsKevin Knox II makes two point floating jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)29
25.5%
29
74.5%
Q2 - 9:17HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot27
23.7%
29
76.3%
Q2 - 9:28PistonsCory Joseph makes three point pullup jump shot27
25.5%
27
74.5%
Q2 - 9:35HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)24
21.9%
27
78.1%
Q2 - 9:50HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 224
21.9%
27
78.1%
Q2 - 9:50HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 224
22.1%
26
77.9%
Q2 - 9:50PistonsJalen Duren shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)24
22.3%
25
77.7%
Q2 - 10:04PistonsJalen Duren makes two point alley-oop dunk (Alec Burks assists)24
23.7%
25
76.3%
Q2 - 10:07PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound22
22.0%
25
78.0%
Q2 - 10:10HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point jump shot22
21.4%
25
78.6%
Q2 - 10:17HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound22
20.2%
25
79.8%
Q2 - 10:21PistonsKevin Knox II misses three point stepback jump shot22
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q2 - 10:28HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Saddiq Bey steals)22
21.9%
25
78.1%
Q2 - 10:39PistonsSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 222
20.2%
25
79.8%
Q2 - 10:39PistonsSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 221
20.0%
25
80.0%
Q2 - 10:39HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)20
19.8%
25
80.2%
Q2 - 10:52HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (lost ball) (Saddiq Bey steals)20
18.7%
25
81.3%
Q2 - 10:53HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound20
17.2%
25
82.8%
Q2 - 10:54PistonsSaddiq Bey misses two point driving layup20
17.6%
25
82.4%
Q2 - 11:06PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound20
18.6%
25
81.4%
Q2 - 11:09HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point bank hook shot20
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q2 - 11:21PistonsJalen Duren turnover (out of bounds step)20
17.3%
25
82.7%
Q2 - 11:35PistonsAlec Burks defensive rebound20
18.6%
25
81.4%
Q2 - 11:40HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot20
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.20
17.3%
25
82.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0PistonsPistons offensive rebound20
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q1 - 0:01.5PistonsSaddiq Bey misses two point jump shot20
17.5%
25
82.5%
Q1 - 0:23.6HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot20
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q1 - 0:32.7HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound20
20.0%
23
80.0%
Q1 - 0:36.1PistonsAlec Burks misses three point jump shot20
20.4%
23
79.6%
Q1 - 0:51.4HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 220
21.4%
23
78.6%
Q1 - 0:51.4HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 220
21.6%
22
78.4%
Q1 - 0:51.4PistonsKevin Knox II personal foul (Loose ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)20
21.8%
21
78.2%
Q1 - 0:51.4HeatHeat defensive rebound20
23.2%
21
76.8%
Q1 - 0:51.4PistonsCory Joseph misses three point pullup jump shot20
23.7%
21
76.3%
Q1 - 0:59.9HeatTyler Herro turnover (back court violation)20
24.8%
21
75.2%
Q1 - 1:08PistonsKevin Knox II makes three point jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)20
23.2%
21
76.8%
Q1 - 1:21PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound17
20.0%
21
80.0%
Q1 - 1:23HeatVictor Oladipo misses regular free throw 2 of 217
19.8%
21
80.2%
Q1 - 1:23HeatVictor Oladipo misses regular free throw 1 of 217
18.8%
21
81.2%
Q1 - 1:23PistonsJalen Duren personal foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)17
17.7%
21
82.3%
Q1 - 1:32PistonsSaddiq Bey personal foul (Loose ball) (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)17
18.6%
21
81.4%
Q1 - 1:33HeatHeat offensive rebound17
18.6%
21
81.4%
Q1 - 1:33HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot17
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 1:37HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound17
18.6%
21
81.4%
Q1 - 1:39PistonsSaddiq Bey misses two point driving reverse layup17
19.0%
21
81.0%
Q1 - 2:04HeatNikola Jovic makes two point tip layup17
20.1%
21
79.9%
Q1 - 2:04HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound17
21.5%
19
78.5%
Q1 - 2:05HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point stepback jump shot17
22.6%
19
77.4%
Q1 - 2:25PistonsSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 217
21.5%
19
78.5%
Q1 - 2:25PistonsSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 216
21.3%
19
78.7%
Q1 - 2:25HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)15
21.1%
19
78.9%
Q1 - 2:41HeatMax Strus turnover (out of bounds bad pass)15
20.1%
19
79.9%
Q1 - 2:58PistonsSaddiq Bey makes three point jump shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)15
18.6%
19
81.4%
Q1 - 3:14HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 212
16.3%
19
83.7%
Q1 - 3:14HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 212
16.5%
18
83.5%
Q1 - 3:14PistonsIsaiah Stewart shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)12
16.7%
17
83.3%
Q1 - 3:17PistonsBojan Bogdanovic turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)12
17.2%
17
82.8%
Q1 - 3:23PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound12
18.8%
17
81.2%
Q1 - 3:23HeatKyle Lowry misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot12
18.3%
17
81.7%
Q1 - 3:31HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound12
17.2%
17
82.8%
Q1 - 3:35PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point pullup jump shot12
17.7%
17
82.3%
Q1 - 3:47HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)12
18.8%
17
81.2%
Q1 - 3:49PistonsBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound12
18.8%
17
81.2%
Q1 - 3:52HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot12
18.3%
17
81.7%
Q1 - 3:57HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound12
17.2%
17
82.8%
Q1 - 4:01HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot12
18.5%
17
81.5%
Q1 - 4:18PistonsAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)12
17.5%
17
82.5%
Q1 - 4:32PistonsPistons defensive rebound9
15.3%
17
84.7%
Q1 - 4:34HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot9
15.0%
17
85.0%
Q1 - 4:59PistonsKillian Hayes makes three point jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)9
14.1%
17
85.9%
Q1 - 5:05HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Bojan Bogdanovic steals)6
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 5:18PistonsBojan Bogdanovic turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)6
11.6%
17
88.4%
Q1 - 5:38HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)6
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 5:38HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)6
11.6%
17
88.4%
Q1 - 5:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
11.6%
17
88.4%
Q1 - 5:44PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot6
11.9%
17
88.1%
Q1 - 6:03HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)6
12.6%
17
87.4%
Q1 - 6:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
14.4%
14
85.6%
Q1 - 6:10PistonsMarvin Bagley III misses two point tip layup6
14.8%
14
85.2%
Q1 - 6:10PistonsMarvin Bagley III offensive rebound6
15.5%
14
84.5%
Q1 - 6:11PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point cutting layup6
14.8%
14
85.2%
Q1 - 6:37HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)6
15.5%
14
84.5%
Q1 - 6:48HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound6
16.5%
12
83.5%
Q1 - 6:49PistonsBojan Bogdanovic misses two point driving layup6
16.9%
12
83.1%
Q1 - 7:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)6
17.7%
12
82.3%
Q1 - 7:24HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound6
18.7%
10
81.3%
Q1 - 7:30PistonsKillian Hayes misses three point jump shot6
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 7:43HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Bojan Bogdanovic draws the foul)6
20.1%
10
79.9%
Q1 - 8:02HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)6
20.0%
10
80.0%
Q1 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 8:11PistonsBojan Bogdanovic misses three point pullup jump shot6
22.9%
7
77.1%
Q1 - 8:22HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot6
24.0%
7
76.0%
Q1 - 8:39PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point jump shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)6
25.3%
5
74.7%
Q1 - 8:56PistonsBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound4
24.0%
5
76.0%
Q1 - 9:00HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot4
23.5%
5
76.5%
Q1 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound4
22.5%
5
77.5%
Q1 - 9:07PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point pullup jump shot4
22.9%
5
77.1%
Q1 - 9:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot4
23.9%
5
76.1%
Q1 - 9:41PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes two point pullup jump shot (Bojan Bogdanovic assists)4
25.2%
3
74.8%
Q1 - 10:08HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)2
23.7%
3
76.3%
Q1 - 10:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 10:19PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point fadeaway jump shot2
26.8%
0
73.2%
Q1 - 10:33HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)2
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 10:33HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Killian Hayes draws the foul)2
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 10:36PistonsIsaiah Stewart turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)2
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 10:37PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound2
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 10:43HeatKillian Hayes blocks Caleb Martin's two point turnaround jump shot2
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 11:06PistonsMarvin Bagley III makes two point driving hook shot (Jaden Ivey assists)2
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 11:20PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound0
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 11:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot0
24.3%
0
75.7%
Q1 - 11:36HeatMax Strus defensive rebound0
23.2%
0
76.8%
Q1 - 11:42PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses three point jump shot0
23.7%
0
76.3%
Q1 - 12:00Marvin Bagley III vs. Bam Adebayo (Isaiah Stewart gains possession)0
24.7%
0
75.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.22 61.1%
MIA
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
11
22
50%
MIA
10
16
63%
Midrange
DET
13
24
54%
MIA
13
29
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
19
28.5
41
46%
70%
MIA
10
15.0
32
31%
47%
Free Throws
DET
11
15
73%
MIA
20
26
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanovic3197%15.5 / 16
A. Burks1864%9.0 / 14
S. Bey1458%7.0 / 12
I. Stewart1155%5.5 / 10
C. Joseph1169%5.5 / 8
J. Ivey1045%5.0 / 11
K. Knox770%3.5 / 5
K. Hayes638%3.0 / 8
M. Bagley433%2.0 / 6
J. Duren467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro3485%17.0 / 20
B. Adebayo2155%10.5 / 19
M. Strus1150%5.5 / 11
V. Oladipo941%4.5 / 11
K. Lowry844%4.0 / 9
D. Robinson550%2.5 / 5
N. Jović563%2.5 / 4
C. Martin321%1.5 / 7
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
83
+12
-12
95
MIA
81
+11
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.22 61.1%
MIA
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
112.9
DET 122.1 +22.1
MIA 100.0
Pace
99.4
96.3
DET 86.6
MIA 106.2 +19.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
15.0
DET 16.6
MIA 13.6 +3.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
53.0%
DET 60.3% +10.9%
MIA 49.4%
TO %
14.5%
13.2%
DET 12.2% +2.3%
MIA 14.5%
ORB %
25.0%
22.8%
DET 21.4% +3.0%
MIA 18.4%
FTrt
29.5
27.0
DET 17.2
MIA 33.8 +16.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
60.8%
DET 62.8%
MIA 63.6% +0.8%
STL %
7.0%
8.2%
DET 8.4% +1.1%
MIA 7.3%
BLK %
6.9%
6.3%
DET 2.2%
MIA 4.3% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
55.9%
DET 61.1% +8.9%
MIA 52.2%
Rim FG%
61.1%
62.6%
DET 50.0%
MIA 62.5% +12.5%
Mid FG%
40.5%
45.3%
DET 54.2% +9.4%
MIA 44.8%
3P %
35.1%
34.4%
DET 46.3% +15.0%
MIA 31.3%
FT %
77.1%
83.1%
DET 73.3%
MIA 76.9% +3.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
29.9%
DET 25.3% +4.5%
MIA 20.8%
Mid Att. %
29.1%
29.4%
DET 27.6% +10.1%
MIA 37.7%
3P Att. %
37.2%
40.8%
DET 47.1% +5.6%
MIA 41.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes26.321.7
Points11696
Rebounds4040
Assists2721
Steals87
Blocks12
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)15 (0)
Fouls1920
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)33 (1)
Field Goals43-8733-77
At-the-Rim FG11-2210-16
Midrange FG13-2413-29
2-Point FG24-4623-45
3-Point FG19-4110-32
Free Throws11-1520-26
Fast Break Pts1513
2nd Chance Pts611
Points in Paint4042
Pts off Turnovers1510
Bench Points5419
Biggest Lead2211

BOXSCORE

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28 Detroit Pistons
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Bojan Bogdanovic
#44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 34
30.4
31
97%
3
5
3
0
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
71%
7-9
78%
Isaiah Stewart
#28 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 22
28.3
11
55%
11
2
0
0
1
2
2
9
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
Jaden Ivey
#23 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21
26.4
10
45%
2
3
0
0
2
3
1
1
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
Killian Hayes
#7 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 21
23.0
6
38%
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
2-4
50%
Marvin Bagley III
#35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24
19.2
4
33%
4
0
2
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
Saddiq Bey
#41 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24
30.7
14
58%
3
4
3
0
1
3
0
3
5-5
100%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
Cory Joseph
#18 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 31
25.0
11
69%
2
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
Alec Burks
#5 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 31
21.6
18
64%
9
2
0
0
1
2
0
9
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
4-10
40%
Jalen Duren
#0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 19
17.8
4
67%
4
0
0
0
2
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Kevin Knox II
#20 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23
17.6
7
70%
1
0
0
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
Hamidou Diallo
#6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
Rodney McGruder
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 31
DNP – Coach's Decision
Nerlens Noel
#3 · C · 6'11" 220 · 29
DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key
#8 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Livers
#12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Sprain
Cade Cunningham
#2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Shin; Soreness
Buddy Boeheim
#27 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
116
61%
40
27
8
1
12
19
9
31
11-15
73%
24-46
52%
19-41
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.