for complete access.
All Games Monday, December 5, 2022
FinalWin Prob.pScore
8
Heat
56%109
93
16
Grizzlies
44%107
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
96.99698.3
MEM logo MEM
105.29694.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.93
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:24.1HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)93
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.5HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.1GrizzliesTyus Jones misses two point driving floating bank jump shot91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 291
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 1:00HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 290
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 1:00GrizzliesSteven Adams shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)89
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 1:08GrizzliesSanti Aldama makes two point driving finger roll layup89
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 1:29HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running finger roll layup (Kyle Lowry assists)89
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 1:31HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound87
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 1:34GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point pullup jump shot87
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 1:52GrizzliesSteven Adams defensive rebound87
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 1:54HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot87
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 2:00GrizzliesSteven Adams makes two point driving floating jump shot (Dillon Brooks assists)87
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 2:22GrizzliesSanti Aldama defensive rebound87
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 2:27HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot87
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 2:33HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound87
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 2:33HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot87
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 2:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound87
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 2:44GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point pullup jump shot87
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 3:04GrizzliesSanti Aldama defensive rebound87
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 3:06HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 287
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 3:06HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 287
1.7%
97
98.3%
Q4 - 3:06GrizzliesDavid Roddy shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)86
1.6%
97
98.4%
Q4 - 3:11GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point layup86
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 3:15HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Dillon Brooks steals)86
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 3:23HeatHeat defensive rebound86
3.0%
95
97.0%
Q4 - 3:23GrizzliesKyle Lowry blocks David Roddy's two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot86
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q4 - 3:43GrizzliesSanti Aldama defensive rebound86
3.7%
95
96.3%
Q4 - 3:46HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot86
4.1%
95
95.9%
Q4 - 4:08GrizzliesSteven Adams makes two point layup (Dillon Brooks assists)86
5.0%
95
95.0%
Q4 - 4:33HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot86
6.7%
93
93.3%
Q4 - 4:46HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound84
4.8%
93
95.2%
Q4 - 4:48GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point pullup jump shot84
4.3%
93
95.7%
Q4 - 5:04GrizzliesDavid Roddy defensive rebound84
5.1%
93
94.9%
Q4 - 5:06HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot84
5.7%
93
94.3%
Q4 - 5:32GrizzliesTyus Jones makes two point driving floating bank jump shot84
6.9%
93
93.1%
Q4 - 5:49GrizzliesDillon Brooks defensive rebound84
9.1%
91
90.9%
Q4 - 5:53HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot84
10.0%
91
90.0%
Q4 - 6:09GrizzliesSanti Aldama makes two point jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)84
15.5%
91
84.5%
Q4 - 6:15GrizzliesDavid Roddy defensive rebound84
18.6%
89
81.4%
Q4 - 6:19HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot84
20.3%
89
79.7%
Q4 - 6:37HeatJimmy Butler misses technical free throw 1 of 184
24.4%
89
75.6%
Q4 - 6:37GrizzliesBrandon Clarke technical foul84
28.6%
89
71.4%
Q4 - 6:37GrizzliesBrandon Clarke turnover (offensive foul)84
28.6%
89
71.4%
Q4 - 6:37GrizzliesBrandon Clarke offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)84
18.5%
89
81.5%
Q4 - 6:46GrizzliesBrandon Clarke defensive rebound84
18.5%
89
81.5%
Q4 - 6:49HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot84
20.2%
89
79.8%
Q4 - 7:07GrizzliesKennedy Chandler turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)84
27.1%
89
72.9%
Q4 - 7:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point running dunk84
21.2%
89
78.8%
Q4 - 7:30GrizzliesDillon Brooks turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)82
17.8%
89
82.2%
Q4 - 7:51HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)82
13.6%
89
86.4%
Q4 - 8:00HeatHeat offensive rebound82
17.7%
89
82.3%
Q4 - 8:03HeatKennedy Chandler blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup82
16.5%
89
83.5%
Q4 - 8:15HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound82
19.1%
89
80.9%
Q4 - 8:17GrizzliesVince Williams Jr. misses three point jump shot82
17.9%
89
82.1%
Q4 - 8:28HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Xavier Tillman steals)82
15.3%
89
84.7%
Q4 - 8:39HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound82
19.0%
89
81.0%
Q4 - 8:41GrizzliesXavier Tillman misses two point layup82
17.8%
89
82.2%
Q4 - 8:44GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound82
15.3%
89
84.7%
Q4 - 8:45GrizzliesMax Strus blocks Kennedy Chandler's two point driving layup82
17.8%
89
82.2%
Q4 - 8:57GrizzliesVince Williams Jr. defensive rebound82
15.3%
89
84.7%
Q4 - 8:59HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot82
16.4%
89
83.6%
Q4 - 9:05HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound82
21.1%
89
78.9%
Q4 - 9:07GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point pullup jump shot82
19.8%
89
80.2%
Q4 - 9:20HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)82
17.0%
89
83.0%
Q4 - 9:33GrizzliesBrandon Clarke turnover (illegal assist)82
20.9%
89
79.1%
Q4 - 9:33GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound82
17.0%
89
83.0%
Q4 - 9:33GrizzliesXavier Tillman misses two point driving layup82
19.6%
89
80.4%
Q4 - 9:52HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)82
16.9%
89
83.1%
Q4 - 10:07GrizzliesBrandon Clarke makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (Kennedy Chandler assists)79
13.1%
89
86.9%
Q4 - 10:11GrizzliesXavier Tillman defensive rebound79
15.5%
87
84.5%
Q4 - 10:13HeatXavier Tillman blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup79
16.5%
87
83.5%
Q4 - 10:27GrizzliesBrandon Clarke makes two point cutting layup (Kennedy Chandler assists)79
18.9%
87
81.1%
Q4 - 10:38HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot79
22.1%
85
77.9%
Q4 - 10:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound77
18.9%
85
81.1%
Q4 - 10:50GrizzliesVince Williams Jr. misses three point jump shot77
17.8%
85
82.2%
Q4 - 10:59HeatMax Strus turnover (out of bounds bad pass)77
15.4%
85
84.6%
Q4 - 11:06HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound77
20.1%
85
79.9%
Q4 - 11:11GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point pullup bank jump shot77
19.0%
85
81.0%
Q4 - 11:30HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)77
16.8%
85
83.2%
Q4 - 11:46GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Xavier Tillman assists)77
20.0%
85
80.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.77
27.4%
82
72.6%
Q3 - 0:05.5GrizzliesXavier Tillman makes two point putback layup77
33.4%
82
66.6%
Q3 - 0:05.5GrizzliesXavier Tillman offensive rebound77
38.1%
80
61.9%
Q3 - 0:09.5GrizzliesTyus Jones misses three point pullup jump shot77
41.2%
80
58.8%
Q3 - 0:29.5GrizzliesKennedy Chandler defensive rebound77
38.0%
80
62.0%
Q3 - 0:32.1HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot77
39.3%
80
60.7%
Q3 - 0:48.1GrizzliesXavier Tillman makes two point driving floating bank jump shot77
42.6%
80
57.4%
Q3 - 0:51.9HeatGabe Vincent turnover (lost ball) (Kennedy Chandler steals)77
47.6%
78
52.4%
Q3 - 1:20GrizzliesXavier Tillman personal foul (Loose ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)77
53.0%
78
47.0%
Q3 - 1:20HeatHeat defensive rebound77
53.0%
78
47.0%
Q3 - 1:20GrizzliesBrandon Clarke misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot77
51.5%
78
48.5%
Q3 - 1:46HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot77
48.0%
78
52.0%
Q3 - 2:10GrizzliesTyus Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 175
44.3%
78
55.7%
Q3 - 2:10HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Tyus Jones draws the foul)75
45.0%
77
55.0%
Q3 - 2:27GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound75
52.8%
75
47.2%
Q3 - 2:29HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot75
54.2%
75
45.8%
Q3 - 2:39GrizzliesKennedy Chandler makes two point driving finger roll layup75
57.5%
75
42.5%
Q3 - 2:45GrizzliesSanti Aldama defensive rebound75
61.4%
73
38.6%
Q3 - 2:48HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot75
62.8%
73
37.2%
Q3 - 3:00GrizzliesTyus Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 275
65.8%
73
34.2%
Q3 - 3:00GrizzliesTyus Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 275
66.5%
72
33.5%
Q3 - 3:00HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Tyus Jones draws the foul)75
67.3%
71
32.7%
Q3 - 3:07HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot75
68.9%
71
31.1%
Q3 - 3:36GrizzliesTyus Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 173
65.8%
71
34.2%
Q3 - 3:36HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Kennedy Chandler draws the foul)73
66.6%
70
33.4%
Q3 - 3:36HeatKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Tyus Jones steals)73
62.2%
70
37.8%
Q3 - 3:44HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound73
69.6%
70
30.4%
Q3 - 3:46GrizzliesSanti Aldama misses three point jump shot73
68.3%
70
31.7%
Q3 - 4:01HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)73
65.2%
70
34.8%
Q3 - 4:19HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound70
58.1%
70
41.9%
Q3 - 4:23GrizzliesTyus Jones misses three point jump shot70
56.6%
70
43.4%
Q3 - 4:37HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving dunk70
53.3%
70
46.7%
Q3 - 4:39GrizzliesBrandon Clarke turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)68
49.9%
70
50.1%
Q3 - 4:41GrizzliesBrandon Clarke defensive rebound68
45.1%
70
54.9%
Q3 - 4:44HeatMax Strus misses two point driving floating jump shot68
46.6%
70
53.4%
Q3 - 4:58HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound68
49.9%
70
50.1%
Q3 - 5:01GrizzliesDavid Roddy misses two point driving finger roll layup68
48.7%
70
51.3%
Q3 - 5:08HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)68
45.8%
70
54.2%
Q3 - 5:28GrizzliesSteven Adams makes two point tip layup68
50.0%
70
50.0%
Q3 - 5:28GrizzliesSteven Adams offensive rebound68
53.6%
68
46.4%
Q3 - 5:31GrizzliesKennedy Chandler misses two point jump shot68
56.5%
68
43.5%
Q3 - 5:57HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)68
53.6%
68
46.4%
Q3 - 5:58HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound68
57.8%
68
42.2%
Q3 - 6:02HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot68
55.3%
68
44.7%
Q3 - 6:25GrizzliesSanti Aldama makes three point jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)68
58.0%
68
42.0%
Q3 - 6:36HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)68
64.9%
65
35.1%
Q3 - 6:40HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound65
58.0%
65
42.0%
Q3 - 6:45GrizzliesTyus Jones misses three point jump shot65
56.8%
65
43.2%
Q3 - 6:59HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 265
54.0%
65
46.0%
Q3 - 6:59HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 264
53.5%
65
46.5%
Q3 - 6:59GrizzliesDillon Brooks shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)63
53.0%
65
47.0%
Q3 - 7:00HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound63
50.4%
65
49.6%
Q3 - 7:03HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot63
48.0%
65
52.0%
Q3 - 7:30GrizzliesTyus Jones makes three point jump shot (David Roddy assists)63
50.9%
65
49.1%
Q3 - 7:48GrizzliesGrizzlies defensive rebound63
57.6%
62
42.4%
Q3 - 7:49HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot63
58.9%
62
41.1%
Q3 - 8:05HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound63
61.7%
62
38.3%
Q3 - 8:09GrizzliesDavid Roddy misses three point jump shot63
60.5%
62
39.5%
Q3 - 8:18GrizzliesDavid Roddy defensive rebound63
57.6%
62
42.4%
Q3 - 8:20HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot63
58.9%
62
41.1%
Q3 - 8:32HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound63
61.7%
62
38.3%
Q3 - 8:35GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point pullup jump shot63
60.5%
62
39.5%
Q3 - 8:50GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound63
57.6%
62
42.4%
Q3 - 8:52HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot63
58.9%
62
41.1%
Q3 - 9:00GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point driving finger roll layup63
61.7%
62
38.3%
Q3 - 9:22HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 163
64.4%
60
35.6%
Q3 - 9:22GrizzliesDillon Brooks shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)62
63.8%
60
36.2%
Q3 - 9:39HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound60
58.3%
60
41.7%
Q3 - 9:42GrizzliesSteven Adams misses two point driving layup60
57.1%
60
42.9%
Q3 - 10:01HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)60
54.5%
60
45.5%
Q3 - 10:06GrizzliesSteven Adams turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)58
51.6%
60
48.4%
Q3 - 10:15GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound58
47.8%
60
52.2%
Q3 - 10:17HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot58
48.9%
60
51.1%
Q3 - 10:30HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 158
51.5%
60
48.5%
Q3 - 10:30Grizzlies technical foul (Defensive three second)57
50.7%
60
49.3%
Q3 - 10:39HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound57
48.2%
60
51.8%
Q3 - 10:43GrizzliesSanti Aldama misses three point jump shot57
47.0%
60
53.0%
Q3 - 10:56HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 257
44.4%
60
55.6%
Q3 - 10:56HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 256
44.0%
60
56.0%
Q3 - 10:56GrizzliesSanti Aldama shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)55
43.5%
60
56.5%
Q3 - 11:04GrizzliesDillon Brooks turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)55
41.9%
60
58.1%
Q3 - 11:15HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)55
38.6%
60
61.4%
Q3 - 11:33GrizzliesSanti Aldama makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyus Jones assists)53
35.6%
60
64.4%
Q3 - 11:48HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)53
38.5%
58
61.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
35.6%
58
64.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0GrizzliesSanti Aldama defensive rebound51
34.0%
58
66.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0HeatDavid Roddy blocks Tyler Herro's three point fadeaway jump shot51
34.7%
58
65.3%
Q2 - 0:08.4GrizzliesSanti Aldama makes three point jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)51
36.3%
58
63.7%
Q2 - 0:28.2HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 251
42.9%
55
57.1%
Q2 - 0:28.2HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 250
42.5%
55
57.5%
Q2 - 0:28.2GrizzliesSanti Aldama shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)50
45.1%
55
54.9%
Q2 - 0:32.4GrizzliesTyus Jones makes three point pullup jump shot50
42.4%
55
57.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0GrizzliesDillon Brooks defensive rebound50
49.2%
52
50.8%
Q2 - 0:39.3HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 250
49.6%
52
50.4%
Q2 - 0:39.3HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 250
52.0%
52
48.0%
Q2 - 0:39.3GrizzliesDillon Brooks shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)49
51.6%
52
48.4%
Q2 - 0:52.9GrizzliesSanti Aldama makes two point driving bank hook shot (Tyus Jones assists)49
48.7%
52
51.3%
Q2 - 0:59.9HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)49
52.4%
50
47.6%
Q2 - 1:17GrizzliesDavid Roddy makes two point putback dunk46
46.1%
50
53.9%
Q2 - 1:17GrizzliesDavid Roddy offensive rebound46
50.1%
48
49.9%
Q2 - 1:20GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point driving finger roll layup46
51.6%
48
48.4%
Q2 - 1:32HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)46
50.1%
48
49.9%
Q2 - 2:02GrizzliesTyus Jones makes three point jump shot (David Roddy assists)43
44.1%
48
55.9%
Q2 - 2:24GrizzliesDavid Roddy defensive rebound43
49.8%
45
50.2%
Q2 - 2:26HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot43
50.8%
45
49.2%
Q2 - 2:42HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound43
53.0%
45
47.0%
Q2 - 2:45GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot43
52.0%
45
48.0%
Q2 - 3:00HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)43
49.9%
45
50.1%
Q2 - 3:19HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound40
44.8%
45
55.2%
Q2 - 3:23GrizzliesSanti Aldama misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot40
43.7%
45
56.3%
Q2 - 3:34GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound40
41.4%
45
58.6%
Q2 - 3:37GrizzliesKennedy Chandler misses three point jump shot40
43.7%
45
56.3%
Q2 - 3:43GrizzliesSteven Adams defensive rebound40
41.4%
45
58.6%
Q2 - 3:45HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot40
42.4%
45
57.6%
Q2 - 4:09GrizzliesKennedy Chandler makes three point jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)40
45.2%
45
54.8%
Q2 - 4:14GrizzliesKennedy Chandler defensive rebound40
50.7%
42
49.3%
Q2 - 4:17HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot40
51.6%
42
48.4%
Q2 - 4:29GrizzliesKennedy Chandler makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tyus Jones assists)40
53.6%
42
46.4%
Q2 - 4:42HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)40
56.3%
40
43.7%
Q2 - 4:44GrizzliesSanti Aldama defensive rebound40
56.3%
40
43.7%
Q2 - 4:47HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot40
57.1%
40
42.9%
Q2 - 4:51HeatHeat offensive rebound40
59.1%
40
40.9%
Q2 - 4:51HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving finger roll layup40
57.1%
40
42.9%
Q2 - 5:04HeatMax Strus defensive rebound40
59.5%
40
40.5%
Q2 - 5:07GrizzliesTyus Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot40
58.5%
40
41.5%
Q2 - 5:17HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)40
56.3%
40
43.7%
Q2 - 5:28GrizzliesTyus Jones makes two point driving floating jump shot38
54.1%
40
45.9%
Q2 - 5:34GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound38
56.3%
38
43.7%
Q2 - 5:35HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot38
57.3%
38
42.7%
Q2 - 5:58GrizzliesDavid Roddy makes two point turnaround hook shot (Santi Aldama assists)38
59.5%
38
40.5%
Q2 - 6:09GrizzliesSanti Aldama defensive rebound38
61.7%
36
38.3%
Q2 - 6:11HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot38
62.7%
36
37.3%
Q2 - 6:21GrizzliesSteven Adams personal foul (Loose ball) (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)38
64.8%
36
35.2%
Q2 - 6:21HeatHeat offensive rebound38
64.8%
36
35.2%
Q2 - 6:23HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point layup38
62.7%
36
37.3%
Q2 - 6:41GrizzliesDavid Roddy makes regular free throw 2 of 238
64.8%
36
35.2%
Q2 - 6:41GrizzliesDavid Roddy makes regular free throw 1 of 238
65.4%
35
34.6%
Q2 - 6:41HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (David Roddy draws the foul)38
66.1%
34
33.9%
Q2 - 6:48GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound38
66.7%
34
33.3%
Q2 - 6:50HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot38
67.6%
34
32.4%
Q2 - 7:04HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound38
69.1%
34
30.9%
Q2 - 7:07GrizzliesVince Williams Jr. misses two point running finger roll layup38
68.3%
34
31.7%
Q2 - 7:10GrizzliesBrandon Clarke defensive rebound38
66.6%
34
33.4%
Q2 - 7:13HeatTyler Herro misses two point turnaround jump shot38
67.4%
34
32.6%
Q2 - 7:24HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound38
69.1%
34
30.9%
Q2 - 7:26GrizzliesXavier Tillman misses three point jump shot38
68.4%
34
31.6%
Q2 - 7:34GrizzliesDillon Brooks defensive rebound38
66.6%
34
33.4%
Q2 - 7:37HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot38
67.4%
34
32.6%
Q2 - 7:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound38
69.1%
34
30.9%
Q2 - 7:50GrizzliesBrandon Clarke misses two point floating jump shot38
68.4%
34
31.6%
Q2 - 8:16HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)38
66.4%
34
33.6%
Q2 - 8:35GrizzliesBrandon Clarke makes two point cutting dunk (Kennedy Chandler assists)35
61.8%
34
38.2%
Q2 - 8:48GrizzliesXavier Tillman defensive rebound35
64.1%
32
35.9%
Q2 - 8:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot35
64.8%
32
35.2%
Q2 - 9:03HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound35
66.2%
32
33.8%
Q2 - 9:05GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point jump shot35
65.4%
32
34.6%
Q2 - 9:20GrizzliesVince Williams Jr. defensive rebound35
63.8%
32
36.2%
Q2 - 9:24HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot35
64.5%
32
35.5%
Q2 - 9:27HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound35
66.2%
32
33.8%
Q2 - 9:30HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot35
64.5%
32
35.5%
Q2 - 9:42GrizzliesDillon Brooks personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)35
66.2%
32
33.8%
Q2 - 9:44HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound35
66.2%
32
33.8%
Q2 - 9:47HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot35
64.5%
32
35.5%
Q2 - 9:59GrizzliesKennedy Chandler makes two point driving floating bank jump shot35
66.2%
32
33.8%
Q2 - 10:14HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Vince Williams Jr. steals)35
68.3%
30
31.7%
Q2 - 10:20HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound35
70.5%
30
29.5%
Q2 - 10:23GrizzliesKennedy Chandler misses three point jump shot35
69.8%
30
30.2%
Q2 - 10:28GrizzliesBrandon Clarke defensive rebound35
68.3%
30
31.7%
Q2 - 10:29HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point tip layup35
68.9%
30
31.1%
Q2 - 10:29HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound35
70.5%
30
29.5%
Q2 - 10:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot35
68.9%
30
31.1%
Q2 - 10:48GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 135
70.5%
30
29.5%
Q2 - 10:48HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)35
70.8%
29
29.2%
Q2 - 11:11HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot35
73.9%
27
26.1%
Q2 - 11:25GrizzliesDillon Brooks turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)32
70.0%
27
30.0%
Q2 - 11:34GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound32
68.0%
27
32.0%
Q2 - 11:34GrizzliesHaywood Highsmith blocks Kennedy Chandler's two point running layup32
69.4%
27
30.6%
Q2 - 11:39HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Vince Williams Jr. steals)32
68.0%
27
32.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.32
70.0%
27
30.0%
Q1 - 0:01.8HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound32
69.5%
27
30.5%
Q1 - 0:03.5GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot32
69.0%
27
31.0%
Q1 - 0:28.3HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 232
67.7%
27
32.3%
Q1 - 0:28.3HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 231
67.4%
27
32.6%
Q1 - 0:28.3GrizzliesBrandon Clarke personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)30
66.9%
27
33.1%
Q1 - 0:34.1GrizzliesDillon Brooks turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)30
65.5%
27
34.5%
Q1 - 0:38.4GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound30
63.5%
27
36.5%
Q1 - 0:40.1GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot30
64.9%
27
35.1%
Q1 - 0:51.9GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound30
63.5%
27
36.5%
Q1 - 0:55.2GrizzliesKennedy Chandler misses three point jump shot30
64.9%
27
35.1%
Q1 - 1:13HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 3 of 330
63.6%
27
36.4%
Q1 - 1:13HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 329
63.3%
27
36.7%
Q1 - 1:13HeatMax Strus misses regular free throw 1 of 328
62.9%
27
37.1%
Q1 - 1:13GrizzliesVince Williams Jr. shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)28
64.6%
27
35.4%
Q1 - 1:27GrizzliesBrandon Clarke makes regular free throw 1 of 128
61.3%
27
38.7%
Q1 - 1:27HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Brandon Clarke draws the foul)28
61.8%
26
38.2%
Q1 - 1:33GrizzliesXavier Tillman offensive rebound28
65.8%
24
34.2%
Q1 - 1:35GrizzliesKennedy Chandler misses two point driving floating jump shot28
67.1%
24
32.9%
Q1 - 1:38GrizzliesDillon Brooks defensive rebound28
65.8%
24
34.2%
Q1 - 1:42HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot28
66.3%
24
33.7%
Q1 - 1:55HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound28
67.6%
24
32.4%
Q1 - 1:59GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point pullup jump shot28
67.1%
24
32.9%
Q1 - 2:14HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)28
65.5%
24
34.5%
Q1 - 2:14HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Kennedy Chandler draws the foul)28
67.6%
24
32.4%
Q1 - 2:18HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound28
67.6%
24
32.4%
Q1 - 2:24GrizzliesSanti Aldama misses three point jump shot28
66.9%
24
33.1%
Q1 - 2:28GrizzliesSanti Aldama defensive rebound28
65.5%
24
34.5%
Q1 - 2:28HeatDavid Roddy blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point putback layup28
66.1%
24
33.9%
Q1 - 2:28HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound28
67.6%
24
32.4%
Q1 - 2:29HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point putback layup28
66.1%
24
33.9%
Q1 - 2:29HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound28
67.6%
24
32.4%
Q1 - 2:35HeatSanti Aldama blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point layup28
66.1%
24
33.9%
Q1 - 2:56HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound28
67.6%
24
32.4%
Q1 - 2:58GrizzliesDavid Roddy misses three point jump shot28
67.0%
24
33.0%
Q1 - 3:03HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Tyus Jones draws the foul)28
65.0%
24
35.0%
Q1 - 3:05HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Brandon Clarke steals)28
65.0%
24
35.0%
Q1 - 3:19GrizzliesTyus Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 128
67.4%
24
32.6%
Q1 - 3:19HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Tyus Jones draws the foul)28
67.7%
23
32.3%
Q1 - 3:21HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Kennedy Chandler steals)28
70.8%
21
29.2%
Q1 - 3:34GrizzliesBrandon Clarke makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Tyus Jones assists)28
72.9%
21
27.1%
Q1 - 3:39HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Santi Aldama steals)28
74.3%
19
25.7%
Q1 - 4:02GrizzliesTyus Jones makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kennedy Chandler assists)28
75.6%
19
24.4%
Q1 - 4:15GrizzliesKennedy Chandler defensive rebound28
76.9%
17
23.1%
Q1 - 4:17HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running jump shot28
77.5%
17
22.5%
Q1 - 4:20HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound28
78.6%
17
21.4%
Q1 - 4:23GrizzliesDavid Roddy misses two point pullup jump shot28
78.1%
17
21.9%
Q1 - 4:38HeatBam Adebayo makes two point reverse layup (Tyler Herro assists)28
77.0%
17
23.0%
Q1 - 4:45HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound26
75.7%
17
24.3%
Q1 - 4:47GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot26
75.1%
17
24.9%
Q1 - 5:04HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot26
73.5%
17
26.5%
Q1 - 5:22HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound23
70.4%
17
29.6%
Q1 - 5:26GrizzliesDavid Roddy misses three point jump shot23
69.8%
17
30.2%
Q1 - 5:40GrizzliesSteven Adams defensive rebound23
68.5%
17
31.5%
Q1 - 5:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot23
69.1%
17
30.9%
Q1 - 5:52GrizzliesTyus Jones makes two point driving layup23
70.4%
17
29.6%
Q1 - 6:06HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)23
71.8%
15
28.2%
Q1 - 6:23GrizzliesSanti Aldama makes two point turnaround jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)20
68.5%
15
31.5%
Q1 - 6:45HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)20
70.2%
13
29.8%
Q1 - 7:03GrizzliesTyus Jones makes two point pullup jump shot18
68.6%
13
31.4%
Q1 - 7:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)18
70.1%
11
29.9%
Q1 - 7:19HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound16
68.6%
11
31.4%
Q1 - 7:22GrizzliesSteven Adams misses two point turnaround hook shot16
68.0%
11
32.0%
Q1 - 7:30HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Santi Aldama draws the foul)16
66.7%
11
33.3%
Q1 - 7:46HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)16
66.7%
11
33.3%
Q1 - 7:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound13
63.3%
11
36.7%
Q1 - 8:02GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot13
63.0%
11
37.0%
Q1 - 8:15HeatCaleb Martin makes three point running jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)13
61.5%
11
38.5%
Q1 - 8:20HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound10
58.0%
11
42.0%
Q1 - 8:23GrizzliesTyus Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot10
57.4%
11
42.6%
Q1 - 8:35HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 210
55.9%
11
44.1%
Q1 - 8:35HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 29
55.7%
11
44.3%
Q1 - 8:35GrizzliesSanti Aldama shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)8
55.4%
11
44.6%
Q1 - 8:43GrizzliesSteven Adams makes two point layup8
54.2%
11
45.8%
Q1 - 8:59GrizzliesSanti Aldama defensive rebound8
55.9%
9
44.1%
Q1 - 8:59HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot8
56.5%
9
43.5%
Q1 - 9:07GrizzliesDillon Brooks turnover (out of bounds bad pass)8
57.9%
9
42.1%
Q1 - 9:24HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)8
55.9%
9
44.1%
Q1 - 9:34HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound5
52.3%
9
47.7%
Q1 - 9:36HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving finger roll layup5
50.9%
9
49.1%
Q1 - 9:46HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound5
52.3%
9
47.7%
Q1 - 9:48GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point pullup jump shot5
51.7%
9
48.3%
Q1 - 10:07HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)5
50.4%
9
49.6%
Q1 - 10:15GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point driving floating jump shot3
48.7%
9
51.3%
Q1 - 10:33HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)3
50.4%
7
49.6%
Q1 - 10:54GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point running jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)0
46.9%
7
53.1%
Q1 - 10:59HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Tyus Jones steals)0
50.4%
4
49.6%
Q1 - 11:06GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point cutting layup (Steven Adams assists)0
52.7%
4
47.3%
Q1 - 11:15GrizzliesSanti Aldama defensive rebound0
54.2%
2
45.8%
Q1 - 11:18HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot0
54.8%
2
45.2%
Q1 - 11:41GrizzliesSanti Aldama makes two point turnaround hook shot0
56.2%
2
43.8%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Steven Adams (Tyus Jones gains possession)0
57.7%
0
42.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
MEM
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
20
50%
MEM
23
34
68%
Midrange
MIA
7
19
37%
MEM
11
24
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
14
21.0
40
35%
53%
MEM
8
12.0
32
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
17
22
77%
MEM
9
9
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2352%11.5 / 22
J. Butler1864%9.0 / 14
C. Martin1680%8.0 / 10
B. Adebayo1550%7.5 / 15
K. Lowry1056%5.0 / 9
H. Highsmith660%3.0 / 5
M. Strus542%2.5 / 6
G. Vincent0-0.0 / 2
D. Dedmon0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Jones2878%14.0 / 18
S. Aldama1875%9.0 / 12
D. Brooks1739%8.5 / 22
B. Clarke1179%5.5 / 7
K. Chandler941%4.5 / 11
S. Adams867%4.0 / 6
D. Roddy633%3.0 / 9
X. Tillman440%2.0 / 5
V. Williams0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+12
-16
92
MEM
85
+10
-11
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
MEM
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.9
115.1
MIA 96.9 +8.3
MEM 105.2
Pace
96.3
101.1
MIA 98.3 +3.8
MEM 94.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.1
MIA 14.6 +0.6
MEM 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
54.0%
MIA 48.1%
MEM 51.1% +3.0%
TO %
13.2%
12.7%
MIA 16.1%
MEM 11.3% +4.8%
ORB %
22.8%
26.5%
MIA 19.6% +9.6%
MEM 10.0%
FTrt
27.0
25.8
MIA 27.8 +17.8
MEM 10.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
59.6%
MIA 74.2% +19.4%
MEM 54.8%
STL %
8.2%
8.2%
MIA 7.3%
MEM 10.4% +3.1%
BLK %
6.3%
10.8%
MIA 5.2%
MEM 12.8% +7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
55.8%
MIA 50.5%
MEM 53.2% +2.7%
Rim FG%
62.6%
62.7%
MIA 50.0%
MEM 67.6% +17.6%
Mid FG%
45.3%
43.1%
MIA 36.8%
MEM 45.8% +9.0%
3P %
34.4%
35.1%
MIA 35.0% +10.0%
MEM 25.0%
FT %
83.1%
73.2%
MIA 77.3%
MEM 100.0% +22.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
37.6%
MIA 25.3%
MEM 37.8% +12.5%
Mid Att. %
29.4%
25.3%
MIA 24.1% +2.6%
MEM 26.7%
3P Att. %
40.8%
37.2%
MIA 50.6% +15.1%
MEM 35.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes23.424.4
Points93101
Rebounds4541
Assists2323
Steals710
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)11 (1)
Fouls1114
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)4 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)37 (1)
Field Goals31-7942-90
At-the-Rim FG10-2023-34
Midrange FG7-1911-24
2-Point FG17-3934-58
3-Point FG14-408-32
Free Throws17-229-9
Fast Break Pts1620
2nd Chance Pts59
Points in Paint2464
Pts off Turnovers1517
Bench Points1124
Biggest Lead1112

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
8 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
39.7
23
52%
13
5
1
0
2
0
2
11
4-4
100%
5-9
56%
3-11
27%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 25
38.7
15
50%
5
4
0
0
1
0
1
4
5-5
100%
5-13
38%
0-0
-
Caleb Martin
#16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27
33.9
16
80%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
33.8
10
56%
7
6
1
1
2
3
1
6
1-2
50%
0-0
-
3-8
38%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 33
33.3
18
64%
6
8
1
0
5
1
1
5
5-8
63%
5-9
56%
1-2
50%
Max Strus
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27
23.0
5
42%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26
14.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
14.1
6
60%
6
0
3
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
Dewayne Dedmon
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33
9.3
0
0%
6
0
0
0
1
4
2
4
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 19
DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42
DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dru Smith
#9 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 25
INACTIVE
Omer Yurtseven
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Surgery
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Tendinosis
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
51%
45
23
7
3
16
11
9
36
17-22
77%
17-39
44%
14-40
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.