FinalWin Prob.pScore
1241%115
109
859%118
117
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
113.59697.0
ATL logo ATL
121.99695.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENATL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.109
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:06.8HawksClint Capela defensive rebound109
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.7NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot109
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.3HawksDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.3HawksDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.3NuggetsBruce Brown personal foul (Take) (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)109
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.5NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point pullup jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)109
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 0:22.6HawksDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.6HawksDejounte Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 2106
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.6NuggetsJamal Murray personal foul (Take) (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)106
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.2NuggetsJamal Murray personal foul (Take) (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)106
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.9NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)106
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.3HawksDejounte Murray makes two point putback layup103
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.3HawksDejounte Murray offensive rebound103
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.7HawksJarrett Culver misses three point pullup jump shot103
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.2HawksJarrett Culver defensive rebound103
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 0:52.4NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point running pullup jump shot103
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 0:58.6HawksAJ Griffin turnover (lost ball) (Jamal Murray steals)103
0.6%
112
99.4%
Q4 - 1:18HawksJarrett Culver defensive rebound103
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 1:21NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot103
0.7%
112
99.3%
Q4 - 1:28HawksJarrett Culver turnover (traveling)103
1.1%
112
98.9%
Q4 - 1:47HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound103
0.9%
112
99.1%
Q4 - 1:50NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot103
1.1%
112
98.9%
Q4 - 1:57HawksAJ Griffin makes two point floating jump shot103
1.5%
112
98.5%
Q4 - 1:57HawksAJ Griffin offensive rebound103
2.3%
110
97.7%
Q4 - 1:58HawksClint Capela misses two point tip layup103
3.2%
110
96.8%
Q4 - 1:58HawksClint Capela offensive rebound103
2.2%
110
97.8%
Q4 - 2:01HawksAJ Griffin misses three point jump shot103
3.3%
110
96.7%
Q4 - 2:20HawksClint Capela defensive rebound103
2.0%
110
98.0%
Q4 - 2:22NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot103
2.5%
110
97.5%
Q4 - 2:23NuggetsBruce Brown offensive rebound103
3.9%
110
96.1%
Q4 - 2:27NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving finger roll layup103
2.5%
110
97.5%
Q4 - 2:40HawksDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot103
3.9%
110
96.1%
Q4 - 2:48NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (bad pass) (Clint Capela steals)103
5.0%
108
95.0%
Q4 - 2:53NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound103
11.3%
108
88.7%
Q4 - 2:56NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot103
8.0%
108
92.0%
Q4 - 3:19HawksDejounte Murray makes two point turnaround jump shot103
11.1%
108
88.9%
Q4 - 3:37NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point reverse layup (Nikola Jokic assists)103
18.6%
106
81.4%
Q4 - 4:02HawksAJ Griffin makes two point pullup jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)101
13.7%
106
86.3%
Q4 - 4:15NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (out of bounds bad pass)101
18.0%
104
82.0%
Q4 - 4:20NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound101
24.5%
104
75.5%
Q4 - 4:21NuggetsJalen Johnson blocks Aaron Gordon's two point running layup101
19.8%
104
80.2%
Q4 - 4:24NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound101
24.5%
104
75.5%
Q4 - 4:26HawksDejounte Murray misses three point pullup jump shot101
22.3%
104
77.7%
Q4 - 4:37HawksClint Capela offensive rebound101
17.9%
104
82.1%
Q4 - 4:38HawksClint Capela misses two point tip layup101
22.3%
104
77.7%
Q4 - 4:38HawksClint Capela offensive rebound101
17.9%
104
82.1%
Q4 - 4:42HawksDejounte Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot101
22.3%
104
77.7%
Q4 - 4:50HawksClint Capela defensive rebound101
17.9%
104
82.1%
Q4 - 4:53NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point running jump shot101
19.7%
104
80.3%
Q4 - 4:57HawksAJ Griffin turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Gordon steals)101
24.4%
104
75.6%
Q4 - 5:16NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point pullup jump shot101
20.0%
104
80.0%
Q4 - 5:37HawksAaron Holiday turnover (out of bounds step)98
11.8%
104
88.2%
Q4 - 5:51NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point pullup jump shot98
8.6%
104
91.4%
Q4 - 6:02NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound96
8.4%
104
91.6%
Q4 - 6:05HawksJalen Johnson misses two point layup96
7.6%
104
92.4%
Q4 - 6:23NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving floating jump shot96
6.0%
104
94.0%
Q4 - 6:37NuggetsIsh Smith defensive rebound94
4.8%
104
95.2%
Q4 - 6:39HawksClint Capela misses two point tip layup94
4.3%
104
95.7%
Q4 - 6:40HawksClint Capela offensive rebound94
3.4%
104
96.6%
Q4 - 6:41HawksDejounte Murray misses two point driving layup94
4.3%
104
95.7%
Q4 - 6:53NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving layup94
3.4%
104
96.6%
Q4 - 7:09HawksAJ Griffin makes two point pullup jump shot92
3.6%
104
96.4%
Q4 - 7:23HawksHawks defensive rebound92
4.4%
102
95.6%
Q4 - 7:24NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point pullup jump shot92
4.8%
102
95.2%
Q4 - 7:30NuggetsDeAndre Jordan defensive rebound92
5.9%
102
94.1%
Q4 - 7:34HawksDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot92
5.4%
102
94.6%
Q4 - 7:50HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound92
4.3%
102
95.7%
Q4 - 7:52NuggetsBones Hyland misses regular free throw 2 of 292
4.5%
102
95.5%
Q4 - 7:52NuggetsBones Hyland makes regular free throw 1 of 292
5.4%
102
94.6%
Q4 - 7:52HawksAaron Holiday shooting foul (Bones Hyland draws the foul)91
5.2%
102
94.8%
Q4 - 7:56HawksVit Krejci turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)91
4.5%
102
95.5%
Q4 - 7:59HawksVit Krejci defensive rebound91
3.3%
102
96.7%
Q4 - 8:02NuggetsBruce Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot91
4.4%
102
95.6%
Q4 - 8:21HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)91
5.2%
102
94.8%
Q4 - 8:33NuggetsBones Hyland makes three point jump shot (DeAndre Jordan assists)91
8.2%
99
91.8%
Q4 - 8:53HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point jump shot (AJ Griffin assists)88
5.2%
99
94.8%
Q4 - 9:15NuggetsIsh Smith makes two point driving floating jump shot88
7.3%
97
92.7%
Q4 - 9:35NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound86
6.0%
97
94.0%
Q4 - 9:38HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses two point driving layup86
5.6%
97
94.4%
Q4 - 9:44HawksAaron Holiday defensive rebound86
4.7%
97
95.3%
Q4 - 9:47NuggetsIsh Smith misses two point driving layup86
5.0%
97
95.0%
Q4 - 10:01HawksAaron Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 286
6.9%
97
93.1%
Q4 - 10:01HawksAaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 286
7.2%
96
92.8%
Q4 - 10:01NuggetsBruce Brown shooting foul (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)86
7.4%
95
92.6%
Q4 - 10:13NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes three point jump shot (Bones Hyland assists)86
8.3%
95
91.7%
Q4 - 10:34HawksAaron Holiday makes two point tip layup83
5.6%
95
94.4%
Q4 - 10:34HawksAaron Holiday offensive rebound83
6.7%
93
93.3%
Q4 - 10:36HawksAJ Griffin misses three point jump shot83
7.9%
93
92.1%
Q4 - 10:41HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound83
6.7%
93
93.3%
Q4 - 10:44NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point jump shot83
7.2%
93
92.8%
Q4 - 11:03HawksAaron Holiday makes three point pullup jump shot (Vit Krejci assists)83
9.2%
93
90.8%
Q4 - 11:21NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes two point reverse layup (Ish Smith assists)83
13.3%
90
86.7%
Q4 - 11:41NuggetsVlatko Cancar defensive rebound81
11.1%
90
88.9%
Q4 - 11:44HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point pullup jump shot81
10.4%
90
89.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.81
9.1%
90
90.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0HawksDejounte Murray makes three point pullup jump shot81
12.0%
90
88.0%
Q3 - 0:09.5NuggetsBones Hyland turnover (traveling)81
16.9%
87
83.1%
Q3 - 0:16.4HawksBogdan Bogdanovic turnover (bad pass) (Bones Hyland steals)81
19.7%
87
80.3%
Q3 - 0:29.9HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound81
16.8%
87
83.2%
Q3 - 0:32.9NuggetsBones Hyland misses three point jump shot81
17.7%
87
82.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point jump shot (Jarrett Culver assists)81
19.7%
87
80.3%
Q3 - 0:59.1NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes two point cutting layup (Ish Smith assists)81
23.1%
85
76.9%
Q3 - 1:07HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point jump shot (Vit Krejci assists)79
20.7%
85
79.3%
Q3 - 1:19NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)79
23.7%
83
76.3%
Q3 - 1:19NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound79
27.5%
83
72.5%
Q3 - 1:20NuggetsIsh Smith misses two point pullup jump shot79
24.8%
83
75.2%
Q3 - 1:31NuggetsVlatko Cancar offensive rebound79
27.5%
83
72.5%
Q3 - 1:34NuggetsVlatko Cancar misses three point jump shot79
24.8%
83
75.2%
Q3 - 1:43HawksVit Krejci makes two point tip dunk79
27.5%
83
72.5%
Q3 - 1:43HawksVit Krejci offensive rebound79
31.1%
81
68.9%
Q3 - 1:48HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point stepback jump shot79
34.1%
81
65.9%
Q3 - 2:00NuggetsBones Hyland turnover (out of bounds step)79
31.1%
81
68.9%
Q3 - 2:16HawksDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (Vit Krejci assists)79
35.6%
81
64.4%
Q3 - 2:37NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point pullup jump shot (Vlatko Cancar assists)79
43.8%
78
56.2%
Q3 - 2:51NuggetsBones Hyland offensive rebound76
35.6%
78
64.4%
Q3 - 2:54NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 276
31.9%
78
68.1%
Q3 - 2:54NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 276
34.7%
78
65.3%
Q3 - 2:54HawksOnyeka Okongwu personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)75
34.1%
78
65.9%
Q3 - 3:02HawksDejounte Murray makes two point driving floating jump shot75
32.4%
78
67.6%
Q3 - 3:10NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (out of bounds lost ball)75
35.5%
76
64.5%
Q3 - 3:21HawksDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 275
40.2%
76
59.8%
Q3 - 3:21HawksDejounte Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 275
40.8%
75
59.2%
Q3 - 3:21NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)75
37.5%
75
62.5%
Q3 - 3:26HawksJarrett Culver defensive rebound75
39.5%
75
60.5%
Q3 - 3:34NuggetsJamal Murray misses regular free throw 2 of 275
40.1%
75
59.9%
Q3 - 3:34NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 275
43.2%
75
56.8%
Q3 - 3:34HawksDejounte Murray shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)74
42.6%
75
57.4%
Q3 - 3:43HawksClint Capela personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)74
40.2%
75
59.8%
Q3 - 3:43NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound74
40.2%
75
59.8%
Q3 - 3:44HawksDejounte Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot74
38.7%
75
61.3%
Q3 - 4:00NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Bruce Brown assists)74
35.5%
75
64.5%
Q3 - 4:06NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound72
32.6%
75
67.4%
Q3 - 4:06HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot72
31.3%
75
68.7%
Q3 - 4:21NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point putback layup72
28.5%
75
71.5%
Q3 - 4:21NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound70
25.8%
75
74.2%
Q3 - 4:24NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot70
23.3%
75
76.7%
Q3 - 4:42NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound70
25.8%
75
74.2%
Q3 - 4:44HawksDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot70
24.7%
75
75.3%
Q3 - 5:08NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)70
23.1%
75
76.9%
Q3 - 5:17HawksClint Capela personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)68
20.6%
75
79.4%
Q3 - 5:31HawksDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot68
20.6%
75
79.4%
Q3 - 5:48NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (out of bounds lost ball)68
23.0%
73
77.0%
Q3 - 5:58NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound68
26.2%
73
73.8%
Q3 - 6:00HawksClint Capela misses regular free throw 2 of 268
25.7%
73
74.3%
Q3 - 6:00HawksClint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 268
24.3%
73
75.7%
Q3 - 6:00NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)68
25.7%
72
74.3%
Q3 - 6:15NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)68
26.3%
72
73.7%
Q3 - 6:18NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound65
21.0%
72
79.0%
Q3 - 6:21NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot65
19.2%
72
80.8%
Q3 - 6:38HawksJarrett Culver makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)65
21.0%
72
79.0%
Q3 - 6:52NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)65
26.3%
69
73.7%
Q3 - 7:08HawksAJ Griffin makes two point driving floating bank jump shot63
24.1%
69
75.9%
Q3 - 7:10HawksAJ Griffin defensive rebound63
26.5%
67
73.5%
Q3 - 7:12NuggetsDejounte Murray blocks Jamal Murray's two point driving floating jump shot63
27.5%
67
72.5%
Q3 - 7:29HawksClint Capela makes two point tip layup63
29.9%
67
70.1%
Q3 - 7:29HawksClint Capela offensive rebound63
32.6%
65
67.4%
Q3 - 7:33HawksJarrett Culver misses two point driving layup63
35.2%
65
64.8%
Q3 - 7:51NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point running layup63
32.6%
65
67.4%
Q3 - 7:55NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound61
29.8%
65
70.2%
Q3 - 7:59HawksAJ Griffin misses two point jump shot61
28.8%
65
71.2%
Q3 - 8:11NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving layup (Jamal Murray assists)61
26.6%
65
73.4%
Q3 - 8:20NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound59
24.5%
65
75.5%
Q3 - 8:22HawksDejounte Murray misses two point driving floating bank jump shot59
23.5%
65
76.5%
Q3 - 8:49NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)59
21.4%
65
78.6%
Q3 - 9:02HawksClint Capela makes regular free throw 2 of 256
17.8%
65
82.2%
Q3 - 9:02HawksClint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 256
18.6%
64
81.4%
Q3 - 9:02NuggetsBruce Brown shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)56
17.5%
64
82.5%
Q3 - 9:03NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Jarrett Culver steals)56
17.5%
64
82.5%
Q3 - 9:05HawksJarrett Culver turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)56
19.9%
64
80.1%
Q3 - 9:26NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 156
17.5%
64
82.5%
Q3 - 9:26HawksJarrett Culver shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)55
17.2%
64
82.8%
Q3 - 9:28NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound53
14.0%
64
86.0%
Q3 - 9:31HawksDejounte Murray misses two point driving layup53
13.5%
64
86.5%
Q3 - 9:51NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Bruce Brown assists)53
12.2%
64
87.8%
Q3 - 9:53NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound51
11.0%
64
89.0%
Q3 - 9:56HawksJarrett Culver misses three point jump shot51
10.5%
64
89.5%
Q3 - 10:13NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)51
10.0%
64
90.0%
Q3 - 10:18NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound49
9.0%
64
91.0%
Q3 - 10:23HawksJalen Johnson misses three point jump shot49
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q3 - 10:32HawksClint Capela defensive rebound49
7.8%
64
92.2%
Q3 - 10:35NuggetsBruce Brown misses two point driving layup49
8.2%
64
91.8%
Q3 - 10:58HawksAJ Griffin makes two point running dunk49
9.0%
64
91.0%
Q3 - 11:02NuggetsBruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (AJ Griffin steals)49
10.3%
62
89.7%
Q3 - 11:15HawksAJ Griffin makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot49
11.7%
62
88.3%
Q3 - 11:35NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)49
13.0%
60
87.0%
Q3 - 11:45HawksClint Capela personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)46
10.4%
60
89.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.46
10.4%
60
89.6%
Q2 - 0:00.1HawksHawks offensive rebound46
9.8%
60
90.2%
Q2 - 0:00.8HawksAaron Holiday misses three point jump shot46
10.4%
60
89.6%
Q2 - 0:02.2NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point cutting layup (Jamal Murray assists)46
9.8%
60
90.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0HawksAaron Holiday turnover (traveling)44
8.5%
60
91.5%
Q2 - 0:34.5HawksClint Capela defensive rebound44
7.7%
60
92.3%
Q2 - 0:37.7NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point jump shot44
7.9%
60
92.1%
Q2 - 0:59.1HawksDejounte Murray makes three point running jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)44
8.4%
60
91.6%
Q2 - 1:03HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound44
11.5%
57
88.5%
Q2 - 1:06NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point stepback jump shot44
11.8%
57
88.2%
Q2 - 1:31HawksDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (Jarrett Culver assists)44
12.4%
57
87.6%
Q2 - 1:40NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point putback layup44
15.8%
54
84.2%
Q2 - 1:40NuggetsBruce Brown offensive rebound42
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q2 - 1:47NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot42
13.1%
54
86.9%
Q2 - 2:01HawksJalen Johnson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jarrett Culver assists)42
14.7%
54
85.3%
Q2 - 2:24NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Loose ball) (Clint Capela draws the foul)42
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q2 - 2:24HawksHawks defensive rebound42
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q2 - 2:24NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point jump shot42
16.6%
52
83.4%
Q2 - 2:39HawksJalen Johnson makes two point tip dunk42
17.9%
52
82.1%
Q2 - 2:44HawksJalen Johnson offensive rebound42
19.6%
50
80.4%
Q2 - 2:44HawksClint Capela misses two point hook shot42
21.0%
50
79.0%
Q2 - 2:45HawksClint Capela offensive rebound42
19.6%
50
80.4%
Q2 - 2:48HawksJalen Johnson misses two point jump shot42
21.0%
50
79.0%
Q2 - 3:07NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point reverse dunk (Jamal Murray assists)42
20.0%
50
80.0%
Q2 - 3:26HawksClint Capela makes two point cutting dunk (Jalen Johnson assists)40
18.5%
50
81.5%
Q2 - 3:30HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound40
20.0%
48
80.0%
Q2 - 3:33NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point stepback jump shot40
20.7%
48
79.3%
Q2 - 3:46HawksJarrett Culver makes two point putback layup40
22.3%
48
77.7%
Q2 - 3:46HawksJarrett Culver offensive rebound40
23.9%
46
76.1%
Q2 - 3:52HawksAaron Holiday misses three point jump shot40
25.7%
46
74.3%
Q2 - 4:08NuggetsBruce Brown turnover (offensive foul)40
24.5%
46
75.5%
Q2 - 4:08NuggetsBruce Brown offensive foul (Charge) (Jarrett Culver draws the foul)40
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q2 - 4:21HawksDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot40
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q2 - 4:40HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound40
28.8%
44
71.2%
Q2 - 4:44NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point floating jump shot40
29.5%
44
70.5%
Q2 - 4:49HawksOnyeka Okongwu personal foul (DeAndre Jordan draws the foul)40
31.2%
44
68.8%
Q2 - 5:08HawksDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot40
31.5%
44
68.5%
Q2 - 5:19NuggetsIsh Smith makes two point pullup jump shot (Bones Hyland assists)40
33.4%
42
66.6%
Q2 - 5:40HawksDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot38
31.4%
42
68.6%
Q2 - 6:02NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point driving layup38
33.6%
40
66.4%
Q2 - 6:22HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point running dunk (Dejounte Murray assists)36
31.7%
40
68.3%
Q2 - 6:26NuggetsBones Hyland turnover (lost ball) (AJ Griffin steals)36
33.5%
38
66.5%
Q2 - 6:32NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound36
36.5%
38
63.5%
Q2 - 6:35HawksJarrett Culver misses three point jump shot36
35.6%
38
64.4%
Q2 - 6:54HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound36
33.5%
38
66.5%
Q2 - 6:57NuggetsDeAndre Jordan misses regular free throw 2 of 236
33.9%
38
66.1%
Q2 - 6:57NuggetsDeAndre Jordan makes regular free throw 1 of 236
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 6:57HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (DeAndre Jordan draws the foul)35
34.0%
38
66.0%
Q2 - 6:57NuggetsDeAndre Jordan offensive rebound35
34.1%
38
65.9%
Q2 - 6:58NuggetsDeAndre Jordan misses two point putback dunk35
32.0%
38
68.0%
Q2 - 6:58NuggetsDeAndre Jordan offensive rebound35
34.1%
38
65.9%
Q2 - 7:01NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot35
32.2%
38
67.8%
Q2 - 7:09NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound35
33.9%
38
66.1%
Q2 - 7:10NuggetsVit Krejci blocks Ish Smith's two point driving layup35
32.2%
38
67.8%
Q2 - 7:14NuggetsBones Hyland defensive rebound35
33.9%
38
66.1%
Q2 - 7:17HawksAJ Griffin misses two point stepback jump shot35
33.2%
38
66.8%
Q2 - 7:32NuggetsDavon Reed personal foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)35
31.4%
38
68.6%
Q2 - 7:45NuggetsBones Hyland turnover (bad pass) (AJ Griffin steals)35
31.4%
38
68.6%
Q2 - 7:55NuggetsDeAndre Jordan defensive rebound35
34.0%
38
66.0%
Q2 - 7:58HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point stepback jump shot35
33.2%
38
66.8%
Q2 - 8:13NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)35
31.5%
38
68.5%
Q2 - 8:24NuggetsIsh Smith defensive rebound32
27.3%
38
72.7%
Q2 - 8:27HawksVit Krejci misses three point jump shot32
26.6%
38
73.4%
Q2 - 8:46HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound32
25.2%
38
74.8%
Q2 - 8:48NuggetsVlatko Cancar misses three point jump shot32
25.8%
38
74.2%
Q2 - 9:14HawksAJ Griffin makes three point stepback jump shot32
27.3%
38
72.7%
Q2 - 9:32NuggetsBones Hyland makes three point jump shot (Davon Reed assists)32
31.4%
35
68.6%
Q2 - 9:56HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point layup (Aaron Holiday assists)29
27.3%
35
72.7%
Q2 - 10:18NuggetsVlatko Cancar makes two point hook shot (Davon Reed assists)29
29.5%
33
70.5%
Q2 - 10:34HawksAaron Holiday makes three point pullup jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)27
27.5%
33
72.5%
Q2 - 10:51NuggetsDavon Reed makes two point reverse layup (DeAndre Jordan assists)27
31.6%
30
68.4%
Q2 - 11:08HawksAJ Griffin makes two point running layup (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)25
29.7%
30
70.3%
Q2 - 11:14HawksAJ Griffin defensive rebound25
31.8%
28
68.2%
Q2 - 11:17NuggetsBones Hyland misses two point floating jump shot25
32.4%
28
67.6%
Q2 - 11:24HawksBogdan Bogdanovic personal foul (DeAndre Jordan draws the foul)25
33.8%
28
66.2%
Q2 - 11:32HawksBogdan Bogdanovic turnover (bad pass) (Ish Smith steals)25
33.8%
28
66.2%
Q2 - 11:36NuggetsIsh Smith turnover (bad pass) (Onyeka Okongwu steals)25
31.8%
28
68.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.25
33.9%
28
66.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0NuggetsBones Hyland makes three point stepback jump shot25
31.8%
28
68.2%
Q1 - 0:07.3HawksBogdan Bogdanovic turnover (out of bounds step)22
27.6%
28
72.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0NuggetsBones Hyland makes two point driving layup22
26.0%
28
74.0%
Q1 - 0:36.8HawksJarrett Culver makes regular free throw 2 of 220
24.0%
28
76.0%
Q1 - 0:36.8HawksJarrett Culver misses regular free throw 1 of 220
24.7%
27
75.3%
Q1 - 0:36.8NuggetsVlatko Cancar shooting foul (Jarrett Culver draws the foul)20
23.8%
27
76.2%
Q1 - 0:41.7HawksJarrett Culver defensive rebound20
24.2%
27
75.8%
Q1 - 0:45.7NuggetsDavon Reed misses three point jump shot20
24.7%
27
75.3%
Q1 - 0:55.0HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point pullup jump shot20
25.8%
27
74.2%
Q1 - 1:08NuggetsIsh Smith personal foul (Jarrett Culver draws the foul)20
28.0%
25
72.0%
Q1 - 1:12HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound20
28.0%
25
72.0%
Q1 - 1:14NuggetsBones Hyland misses two point fadeaway jump shot20
28.5%
25
71.5%
Q1 - 1:39HawksJarrett Culver makes two point driving layup20
29.7%
25
70.3%
Q1 - 1:53HawksJarrett Culver defensive rebound20
31.9%
23
68.1%
Q1 - 1:57NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 220
32.1%
23
67.9%
Q1 - 1:57NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 220
33.6%
23
66.4%
Q1 - 1:57HawksJarrett Culver shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)20
35.3%
23
64.7%
Q1 - 2:14HawksClint Capela makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dejounte Murray assists)20
34.0%
23
66.0%
Q1 - 2:21HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound20
35.9%
21
64.1%
Q1 - 2:24NuggetsVlatko Cancar misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot20
36.6%
21
63.4%
Q1 - 2:42HawksBogdan Bogdanovic turnover (lost ball) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)20
38.1%
21
61.9%
Q1 - 3:07NuggetsBones Hyland makes two point driving layup20
35.6%
21
64.4%
Q1 - 3:25NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound18
34.1%
21
65.9%
Q1 - 3:27HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot18
33.4%
21
66.6%
Q1 - 3:42NuggetsBones Hyland makes two point running reverse layup (Nikola Jokic assists)18
31.7%
21
68.3%
Q1 - 3:45NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound16
30.2%
21
69.8%
Q1 - 3:48HawksJalen Johnson misses two point alley-oop dunk16
29.6%
21
70.4%
Q1 - 3:53NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Jarrett Culver steals)16
28.0%
21
72.0%
Q1 - 4:04NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound16
30.5%
21
69.5%
Q1 - 4:08HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot16
29.9%
21
70.1%
Q1 - 4:21NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point cutting dunk (Jamal Murray assists)16
28.5%
21
71.5%
Q1 - 4:31HawksDejounte Murray turnover (lost ball) (Aaron Gordon steals)14
27.0%
21
73.0%
Q1 - 4:42NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point alley-oop dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)14
25.1%
21
74.9%
Q1 - 4:58HawksAJ Griffin makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)12
23.8%
21
76.2%
Q1 - 5:05HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound12
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 5:08NuggetsBruce Brown misses two point floating jump shot12
26.1%
19
73.9%
Q1 - 5:23NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound12
27.4%
19
72.6%
Q1 - 5:24HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point pullup jump shot12
26.8%
19
73.2%
Q1 - 5:39NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 212
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 5:39NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 211
25.4%
19
74.6%
Q1 - 5:39HawksJalen Johnson shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)10
25.2%
19
74.8%
Q1 - 5:51HawksJalen Johnson makes two point pullup jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)10
24.2%
19
75.8%
Q1 - 6:01NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)10
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 6:08HawksJalen Johnson makes two point running layup10
27.5%
17
72.5%
Q1 - 6:13HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound10
29.0%
15
71.0%
Q1 - 6:16NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point stepback jump shot10
29.5%
15
70.5%
Q1 - 6:27NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound10
30.7%
15
69.3%
Q1 - 6:29HawksDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot10
30.2%
15
69.8%
Q1 - 6:48NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point stepback jump shot10
29.0%
15
71.0%
Q1 - 7:02HawksJalen Johnson makes two point cutting layup (Dejounte Murray assists)8
27.7%
15
72.3%
Q1 - 7:15NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving floating bank jump shot8
29.1%
13
70.9%
Q1 - 7:23NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound6
27.6%
13
72.4%
Q1 - 7:26HawksJarrett Culver misses two point pullup jump shot6
27.1%
13
72.9%
Q1 - 7:50NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jokic assists)6
26.0%
13
74.0%
Q1 - 7:59NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound4
24.6%
13
75.4%
Q1 - 8:02HawksAJ Griffin misses three point jump shot4
24.3%
13
75.7%
Q1 - 8:13HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound4
23.2%
13
76.8%
Q1 - 8:17NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot4
23.7%
13
76.3%
Q1 - 8:23NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound4
24.8%
13
75.2%
Q1 - 8:25HawksClint Capela misses two point jump shot4
24.3%
13
75.7%
Q1 - 8:52NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving hook shot (Bruce Brown assists)4
23.2%
13
76.8%
Q1 - 9:00HawksJarrett Culver personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)2
22.0%
13
78.0%
Q1 - 9:06HawksAJ Griffin makes three point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)2
22.3%
13
77.7%
Q1 - 9:14HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound2
24.9%
10
75.1%
Q1 - 9:18NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot2
25.4%
10
74.6%
Q1 - 9:23HawksClint Capela personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)2
26.5%
10
73.5%
Q1 - 9:37HawksClint Capela makes two point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)2
26.4%
10
73.6%
Q1 - 9:42HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound2
27.8%
8
72.2%
Q1 - 9:46NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot2
28.3%
8
71.7%
Q1 - 10:06HawksDejounte Murray makes two point pullup jump shot2
29.5%
8
70.5%
Q1 - 10:18HawksJarrett Culver defensive rebound2
30.9%
6
69.1%
Q1 - 10:22NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot2
31.5%
6
68.5%
Q1 - 10:39HawksAJ Griffin makes two point driving floating jump shot2
32.7%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 10:54NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)2
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 11:13HawksClint Capela makes two point alley-oop layup (Jarrett Culver assists)0
32.7%
4
67.3%
Q1 - 11:32NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (traveling)0
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 11:38HawksJarrett Culver makes two point driving layup (Dejounte Murray assists)0
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Jokic vs. Clint Capela (AJ Griffin gains possession)0
37.3%
0
62.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.17 58.6%
ATL
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
22
29
76%
ATL
19
28
68%
Midrange
DEN
11
24
46%
ATL
20
32
63%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
12
18.0
32
38%
56%
ATL
10
15.0
28
36%
54%
Free Throws
DEN
7
13
54%
ATL
9
14
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2471%12.0 / 17
J. Murray2063%10.0 / 16
B. Hyland1667%8.0 / 12
A. Gordon1458%7.0 / 12
V. Cancar1275%6.0 / 8
K. Caldwell-Pope950%4.5 / 9
B. Brown744%3.5 / 8
I. Smith440%2.0 / 5
D. Reed250%1.0 / 2
D. Jordan125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Murray3468%17.0 / 25
A. Griffin2475%12.0 / 16
C. Capela1250%6.0 / 12
J. Culver1050%5.0 / 10
J. Johnson1056%5.0 / 9
A. Holiday1083%5.0 / 6
O. Okongwu1083%5.0 / 6
B. Bogdanović528%2.5 / 9
V. Krejčí250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
81
+12
-15
93
ATL
84
+13
-12
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.17 58.6%
ATL
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
117.1
115.8
DEN 113.5
ATL 121.9 +8.3
Pace
98.5
101.3
DEN 97.0 +1.9
ATL 95.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.0
DEN 14.9 +0.3
ATL 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
57.3%
54.1%
DEN 60.0%
ATL 61.4% +1.4%
TO %
14.0%
12.1%
DEN 15.0%
ATL 11.3% +3.7%
ORB %
24.8%
25.1%
DEN 22.5%
ATL 33.3% +10.8%
FTrt
25.9
24.4
DEN 15.3
ATL 15.9 +0.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.3%
56.0%
DEN 68.9% +19.9%
ATL 49.0%
STL %
7.6%
6.9%
DEN 8.3% +1.0%
ATL 7.3%
BLK %
8.3%
8.6%
DEN 0.0%
ATL 5.7% +5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.7%
56.5%
DEN 58.6%
ATL 59.7% +1.1%
Rim FG%
66.5%
62.7%
DEN 75.9% +8.0%
ATL 67.9%
Mid FG%
43.4%
46.7%
DEN 45.8%
ATL 62.5% +16.7%
3P %
37.9%
35.2%
DEN 37.5% +1.8%
ATL 35.7%
FT %
75.1%
81.8%
DEN 53.8%
ATL 64.3% +10.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.0%
33.7%
DEN 34.1% +2.3%
ATL 31.8%
Mid Att. %
24.9%
33.2%
DEN 28.2% +8.1%
ATL 36.4%
3P Att. %
36.1%
33.1%
DEN 37.6% +5.8%
ATL 31.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENATL
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points109117
Rebounds3343
Assists3124
Steals87
Blocks03
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)12 (0)
Fouls1214
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (3)31 (2)
Field Goals45-8549-88
At-the-Rim FG22-2919-28
Midrange FG11-2420-32
2-Point FG33-5339-60
3-Point FG12-3210-28
Free Throws7-139-14
Fast Break Pts1214
2nd Chance Pts1114
Points in Paint6254
Pts off Turnovers1126
Bench Points3527
Biggest Lead116

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28
35.1
24
71%
10
8
1
0
2
2
1
9
1-4
25%
7-9
78%
3-6
50%
#11 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 26
34.3
7
44%
3
3
1
0
2
4
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26
33.3
20
63%
3
7
1
0
2
2
0
3
4-5
80%
5-9
56%
2-5
40%
#50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 27
30.8
14
58%
5
3
2
0
3
0
1
4
0-0
-
7-10
70%
0-2
0%
#5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30
30.4
9
50%
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
#3 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 22
22.0
16
67%
2
2
1
0
4
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
3-6
50%
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34
17.6
4
40%
2
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
#31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26
17.2
12
75%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34
12.9
1
25%
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#9 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27
6.4
2
50%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#22 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22
DNP – Coach's Decision
#0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22
DNP – Coach's Decision
#10 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Heel; Strain
#8 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring; Strain
#32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 36
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Contusion
#21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Lower Leg; Fracture
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
59%
33
31
8
0
15
12
9
24
7-13
54%
33-53
62%
12-32
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.