for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, November 30, 2022
FinalWin Prob.pScore
20
Heat
26%105
121
1
Celtics
74%114
134
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
123.598101.4
BOS logo BOS
135.49995.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.121
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0CelticsJayson Tatum makes technical free throw 2 of 2121
0.1%
134
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0CelticsJayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 2121
0.1%
133
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0HeatBam Adebayo technical foul121
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0HeatBam Adebayo technical foul121
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.4CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound121
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.4HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot121
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.6HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound121
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.4CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point tip layup121
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.4CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound121
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.8CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point layup121
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound121
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.7CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot121
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)121
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Grant Williams draws the foul)121
0.2%
132
99.8%
Q4 - 1:13HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound121
0.2%
132
99.8%
Q4 - 1:15CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup121
0.2%
132
99.8%
Q4 - 1:28HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)121
0.2%
132
99.8%
Q4 - 1:39CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2121
0.4%
132
99.6%
Q4 - 1:39CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 2121
0.4%
131
99.6%
Q4 - 1:39HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)121
0.3%
131
99.7%
Q4 - 1:58CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound121
0.4%
131
99.6%
Q4 - 2:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot121
0.5%
131
99.5%
Q4 - 2:21CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)121
0.7%
131
99.3%
Q4 - 2:43HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)121
1.5%
128
98.5%
Q4 - 2:55CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point alley-oop dunk (Marcus Smart assists)119
1.7%
128
98.3%
Q4 - 3:18HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot119
2.2%
126
97.8%
Q4 - 3:42CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)117
2.7%
126
97.3%
Q4 - 4:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point stepback jump shot117
5.0%
123
95.0%
Q4 - 4:25CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)115
3.6%
123
96.4%
Q4 - 4:26HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound115
3.6%
123
96.4%
Q4 - 4:30HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot115
2.8%
123
97.2%
Q4 - 4:31HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound115
3.6%
123
96.4%
Q4 - 4:34HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot115
2.8%
123
97.2%
Q4 - 4:48CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running dunk (Marcus Smart assists)115
3.6%
123
96.4%
Q4 - 4:52HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)115
4.9%
121
95.1%
Q4 - 5:08CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)115
8.5%
121
91.5%
Q4 - 5:23HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving layup115
14.7%
118
85.3%
Q4 - 5:32HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound113
11.2%
118
88.8%
Q4 - 5:36CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot113
10.2%
118
89.8%
Q4 - 5:44CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound113
8.2%
118
91.8%
Q4 - 5:47HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot113
9.0%
118
91.0%
Q4 - 6:02CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Grant Williams assists)113
12.6%
118
87.4%
Q4 - 6:17HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 1113
15.3%
116
84.7%
Q4 - 6:17CelticsMalcolm Brogdon shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)112
14.8%
116
85.2%
Q4 - 6:26HeatHeat defensive rebound110
9.7%
116
90.3%
Q4 - 6:27CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot110
8.8%
116
91.2%
Q4 - 6:52HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup110
7.0%
116
93.0%
Q4 - 7:09CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running layup108
6.4%
116
93.6%
Q4 - 7:10CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound108
7.8%
114
92.2%
Q4 - 7:17HeatBam Adebayo misses two point putback dunk108
8.5%
114
91.5%
Q4 - 7:17HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound108
10.4%
114
89.6%
Q4 - 7:18HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving layup108
8.5%
114
91.5%
Q4 - 7:38CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point floating jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)108
10.4%
114
89.6%
Q4 - 8:05HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)108
13.3%
112
86.7%
Q4 - 8:19HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound105
8.6%
112
91.4%
Q4 - 8:22CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point floating jump shot105
8.0%
112
92.0%
Q4 - 8:37HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)105
6.8%
112
93.2%
Q4 - 8:37HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Derrick White draws the foul)105
8.6%
112
91.4%
Q4 - 8:47CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)105
8.6%
112
91.4%
Q4 - 9:01HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)105
13.6%
109
86.4%
Q4 - 9:10CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)102
9.2%
109
90.8%
Q4 - 9:16CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
9.2%
109
90.8%
Q4 - 9:16CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
9.4%
108
90.6%
Q4 - 9:16HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)102
9.7%
107
90.3%
Q4 - 9:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup102
11.1%
107
88.9%
Q4 - 9:43CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
9.1%
107
90.9%
Q4 - 9:43CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
9.5%
106
90.5%
Q4 - 9:43HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)100
10.0%
105
90.0%
Q4 - 9:43CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound100
11.1%
105
88.9%
Q4 - 9:47HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot100
11.8%
105
88.2%
Q4 - 10:07CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)100
14.6%
105
85.4%
Q4 - 10:24HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)100
20.5%
102
79.5%
Q4 - 10:25HeatGabe Vincent turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)100
20.5%
102
79.5%
Q4 - 10:36CelticsMalcolm Brogdon turnover (traveling)100
24.8%
102
75.2%
Q4 - 10:58HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
20.5%
102
79.5%
Q4 - 10:58HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 299
19.8%
102
80.2%
Q4 - 10:58CelticsMalcolm Brogdon shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)98
19.0%
102
81.0%
Q4 - 11:13CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)98
17.9%
102
82.1%
Q4 - 11:21HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)98
15.0%
102
85.0%
Q4 - 11:35HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving layup98
15.0%
102
85.0%
Q4 - 11:46CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)96
12.6%
102
87.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.96
10.4%
102
89.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point putback layup96
12.6%
102
87.4%
Q3 - 0:00.6CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound96
15.4%
100
84.6%
Q3 - 0:00.6CelticsTyler Herro blocks Luke Kornet's two point layup96
17.2%
100
82.8%
Q3 - 0:07.7HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point putback layup96
15.4%
100
84.6%
Q3 - 0:10.7HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound94
12.9%
100
87.1%
Q3 - 0:11.7HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point layup94
11.5%
100
88.5%
Q3 - 0:13.1HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound94
12.9%
100
87.1%
Q3 - 0:14.7HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot94
11.5%
100
88.5%
Q3 - 0:35.8CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point pullup jump shot (Derrick White assists)94
12.9%
100
87.1%
Q3 - 0:40.5CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound94
18.1%
97
81.9%
Q3 - 0:44.1HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot94
19.0%
97
81.0%
Q3 - 0:54.3CelticsMalcolm Brogdon turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)94
21.2%
97
78.8%
Q3 - 1:00CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound94
18.1%
97
81.9%
Q3 - 1:02HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot94
19.1%
97
80.9%
Q3 - 1:23CelticsDerrick White makes two point cutting dunk94
21.3%
97
78.7%
Q3 - 1:47HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)94
24.4%
95
75.6%
Q3 - 1:55HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound91
18.3%
95
81.7%
Q3 - 1:59CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot91
17.5%
95
82.5%
Q3 - 2:15HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 291
15.9%
95
84.1%
Q3 - 2:15HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 290
15.5%
95
84.5%
Q3 - 2:15CelticsLuke Kornet personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)89
15.1%
95
84.9%
Q3 - 2:27CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running reverse layup89
13.8%
95
86.2%
Q3 - 2:33HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)89
15.9%
93
84.1%
Q3 - 2:42HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound89
18.6%
93
81.4%
Q3 - 2:46CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot89
17.7%
93
82.3%
Q3 - 3:03HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)89
16.2%
93
83.8%
Q3 - 3:06HeatHeat offensive rebound86
12.4%
93
87.6%
Q3 - 3:08HeatGabe Vincent misses two point jump shot86
11.0%
93
89.0%
Q3 - 3:24CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 286
12.4%
93
87.6%
Q3 - 3:24CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 286
12.7%
92
87.3%
Q3 - 3:24HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)86
11.1%
92
88.9%
Q3 - 3:36HeatMax Strus personal foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)86
12.1%
92
87.9%
Q3 - 3:39CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound86
12.1%
92
87.9%
Q3 - 3:42HeatKyle Lowry misses two point turnaround jump shot86
12.8%
92
87.2%
Q3 - 3:49HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound86
14.4%
92
85.6%
Q3 - 3:51CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving floating jump shot86
13.6%
92
86.4%
Q3 - 4:10HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)86
12.3%
92
87.7%
Q3 - 4:29CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point running layup83
9.4%
92
90.6%
Q3 - 4:33CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound83
10.6%
90
89.4%
Q3 - 4:38HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot83
11.2%
90
88.8%
Q3 - 4:48CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)83
12.6%
90
87.4%
Q3 - 5:02HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 283
16.7%
87
83.3%
Q3 - 5:02HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 282
16.4%
87
83.6%
Q3 - 5:02CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)81
16.0%
87
84.0%
Q3 - 5:08CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)81
14.8%
87
85.2%
Q3 - 5:15CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 281
14.8%
87
85.2%
Q3 - 5:15CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 281
15.1%
86
84.9%
Q3 - 5:15HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)81
15.5%
85
84.5%
Q3 - 5:26CelticsJayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 181
16.7%
85
83.3%
Q3 - 5:26HeatMax Strus technical foul81
17.2%
84
82.8%
Q3 - 5:26CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound81
19.0%
84
81.0%
Q3 - 5:28HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot81
19.8%
84
80.2%
Q3 - 5:37HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound81
21.8%
84
78.2%
Q3 - 5:41CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot81
20.9%
84
79.1%
Q3 - 5:59HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)81
19.0%
84
81.0%
Q3 - 6:05CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)78
14.8%
84
85.2%
Q3 - 6:12CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Grant Williams assists)78
14.8%
84
85.2%
Q3 - 6:27HeatKyle Lowry makes two point tip layup78
18.9%
81
81.1%
Q3 - 6:27HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound76
16.8%
81
83.2%
Q3 - 6:28HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup76
15.3%
81
84.7%
Q3 - 6:35CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 176
16.8%
81
83.2%
Q3 - 6:35HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)76
17.1%
80
82.9%
Q3 - 6:40CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound76
21.4%
78
78.6%
Q3 - 6:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running layup76
22.2%
78
77.8%
Q3 - 6:45CelticsMalcolm Brogdon turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)76
24.2%
78
75.8%
Q3 - 7:00HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)76
21.4%
78
78.6%
Q3 - 7:00HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)76
24.2%
78
75.8%
Q3 - 7:15CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (kicked ball violation)76
24.1%
78
75.9%
Q3 - 7:28HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot76
21.2%
78
78.8%
Q3 - 7:36HeatHeat offensive rebound73
17.0%
78
83.0%
Q3 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup73
15.4%
78
84.6%
Q3 - 7:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound73
17.0%
78
83.0%
Q3 - 7:50CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot73
16.3%
78
83.7%
Q3 - 8:13HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)73
14.8%
78
85.2%
Q3 - 8:23CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)70
11.8%
78
88.2%
Q3 - 8:28CelticsDerrick White turnover (out of bounds bad pass)70
11.8%
78
88.2%
Q3 - 8:35CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound70
10.1%
78
89.9%
Q3 - 8:39HeatTyler Herro misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot70
10.6%
78
89.4%
Q3 - 8:54CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point running pullup jump shot70
11.8%
78
88.2%
Q3 - 9:00CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound70
14.8%
75
85.2%
Q3 - 9:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot70
15.4%
75
84.6%
Q3 - 9:11CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)70
17.0%
75
83.0%
Q3 - 9:15CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound70
20.9%
72
79.1%
Q3 - 9:20CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving floating jump shot70
22.8%
72
77.2%
Q3 - 9:36HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup bank jump shot70
20.9%
72
79.1%
Q3 - 9:53CelticsDerrick White makes two point running layup (Jayson Tatum assists)67
17.0%
72
83.0%
Q3 - 9:57CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound67
18.7%
70
81.3%
Q3 - 10:02HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot67
19.4%
70
80.6%
Q3 - 10:10HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound67
21.1%
70
78.9%
Q3 - 10:13CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot67
20.4%
70
79.6%
Q3 - 10:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup67
18.7%
70
81.3%
Q3 - 10:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound65
17.0%
70
83.0%
Q3 - 10:44CelticsDerrick White misses regular free throw 1 of 165
16.7%
70
83.3%
Q3 - 10:44HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)65
15.4%
70
84.6%
Q3 - 10:48HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)65
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q3 - 10:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound65
21.1%
68
78.9%
Q3 - 11:00CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot65
20.4%
68
79.6%
Q3 - 11:10HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 265
18.5%
68
81.5%
Q3 - 11:10HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 264
18.3%
68
81.7%
Q3 - 11:10CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)63
18.0%
68
82.0%
Q3 - 11:23CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)63
16.7%
68
83.3%
Q3 - 11:23CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)63
14.9%
68
85.1%
Q3 - 11:45HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)63
14.9%
68
85.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.60
11.9%
68
88.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0CelticsCeltics offensive rebound60
10.5%
68
89.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CelticsHaywood Highsmith blocks Malcolm Brogdon's three point jump shot60
11.5%
68
88.5%
Q2 - 0:03.6HeatCaleb Martin turnover (traveling)60
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q2 - 0:09.4HeatHeat defensive rebound60
11.8%
68
88.2%
Q2 - 0:10.3CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving dunk60
11.5%
68
88.5%
Q2 - 0:26.5CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound60
10.7%
68
89.3%
Q2 - 0:32.3HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot60
11.1%
68
88.9%
Q2 - 0:40.3CelticsMalcolm Brogdon turnover (lost ball) (Udonis Haslem steals)60
11.8%
68
88.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0CelticsCeltics defensive rebound60
10.7%
68
89.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot60
11.1%
68
88.9%
Q2 - 1:02CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point cutting dunk (Malcolm Brogdon assists)60
12.0%
68
88.0%
Q2 - 1:15CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound60
13.7%
66
86.3%
Q2 - 1:17HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot60
14.1%
66
85.9%
Q2 - 1:35CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)60
14.8%
66
85.2%
Q2 - 1:35CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Udonis Haslem draws the foul)60
13.7%
66
86.3%
Q2 - 1:36CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound60
13.7%
66
86.3%
Q2 - 1:39CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot60
14.5%
66
85.5%
Q2 - 1:52HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)60
13.7%
66
86.3%
Q2 - 1:52HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)60
14.8%
66
85.2%
Q2 - 1:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound60
14.8%
66
85.2%
Q2 - 1:59CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot60
14.5%
66
85.5%
Q2 - 2:12HeatCaleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)60
13.7%
66
86.3%
Q2 - 2:22CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)58
12.4%
66
87.6%
Q2 - 2:34CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Grant Williams assists)58
12.4%
66
87.6%
Q2 - 2:56HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot58
15.2%
63
84.8%
Q2 - 3:03HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound55
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q2 - 3:06CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point tip layup55
12.2%
63
87.8%
Q2 - 3:06CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound55
11.2%
63
88.8%
Q2 - 3:08CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving layup55
12.2%
63
87.8%
Q2 - 3:16HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Grant Williams steals)55
11.2%
63
88.8%
Q2 - 3:27CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)55
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q2 - 3:27HeatHeat offensive rebound55
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q2 - 3:28HeatKyle Lowry misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot55
11.6%
63
88.4%
Q2 - 3:38CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 255
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q2 - 3:38CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 255
12.8%
62
87.2%
Q2 - 3:38HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)55
13.0%
61
87.0%
Q2 - 3:57HeatKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot55
13.7%
61
86.3%
Q2 - 4:09HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound53
12.6%
61
87.4%
Q2 - 4:13CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot53
12.2%
61
87.8%
Q2 - 4:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Max Strus assists)53
11.4%
61
88.6%
Q2 - 4:39CelticsDerrick White turnover (out of bounds lost ball)51
10.3%
61
89.7%
Q2 - 4:45CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound51
9.3%
61
90.7%
Q2 - 4:48HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot51
9.6%
61
90.4%
Q2 - 5:09CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 251
10.4%
61
89.6%
Q2 - 5:09CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 251
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q2 - 5:09HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)51
10.8%
59
89.2%
Q2 - 5:16CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound51
11.2%
59
88.8%
Q2 - 5:19HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot51
11.7%
59
88.3%
Q2 - 5:28HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound51
12.6%
59
87.4%
Q2 - 5:31CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot51
12.2%
59
87.8%
Q2 - 5:49HeatGabe Vincent makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)51
11.3%
59
88.7%
Q2 - 6:04CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running alley-oop layup (Derrick White assists)49
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q2 - 6:08HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)49
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q2 - 6:14CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)49
12.8%
57
87.2%
Q2 - 6:23CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound49
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q2 - 6:25HeatCaleb Martin misses two point alley-oop layup49
11.8%
57
88.2%
Q2 - 6:33HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound49
12.8%
57
87.2%
Q2 - 6:35HeatCaleb Martin misses two point jump shot49
11.8%
57
88.2%
Q2 - 6:55CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 149
12.8%
57
87.2%
Q2 - 6:55HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)49
12.9%
56
87.1%
Q2 - 7:03CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound49
15.3%
54
84.7%
Q2 - 7:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot49
15.7%
54
84.3%
Q2 - 7:18CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point stepback jump shot49
16.8%
54
83.2%
Q2 - 7:30CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound49
19.8%
51
80.2%
Q2 - 7:32HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting layup49
20.4%
51
79.6%
Q2 - 7:46CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running layup49
21.7%
51
78.3%
Q2 - 7:55CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound49
23.4%
49
76.6%
Q2 - 7:57HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot49
24.0%
49
76.0%
Q2 - 8:04CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point layup (Derrick White assists)49
25.3%
49
74.7%
Q2 - 8:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot49
27.2%
47
72.8%
Q2 - 8:46CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)47
25.3%
47
74.7%
Q2 - 8:51CelticsMalcolm Brogdon offensive rebound47
29.3%
44
70.7%
Q2 - 8:53CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot47
30.9%
44
69.1%
Q2 - 9:12HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot47
29.1%
44
70.9%
Q2 - 9:21HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound45
27.1%
44
72.9%
Q2 - 9:24CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot45
26.5%
44
73.5%
Q2 - 9:41HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup45
25.1%
44
74.9%
Q2 - 9:55CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point putback layup43
23.3%
44
76.7%
Q2 - 9:56CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound43
25.1%
42
74.9%
Q2 - 9:59CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot43
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 10:13HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)43
25.0%
42
75.0%
Q2 - 10:23CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)40
21.5%
42
78.5%
Q2 - 10:42HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)40
23.2%
40
76.8%
Q2 - 10:58CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 238
21.5%
40
78.5%
Q2 - 10:58CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 238
21.7%
39
78.3%
Q2 - 10:58HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)38
22.0%
38
78.0%
Q2 - 11:02HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Sam Hauser steals)38
22.9%
38
77.1%
Q2 - 11:10CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)38
24.6%
38
75.4%
Q2 - 11:14HeatHeat defensive rebound38
24.6%
38
75.4%
Q2 - 11:14CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot38
24.1%
38
75.9%
Q2 - 11:17CelticsMalcolm Brogdon offensive rebound38
22.9%
38
77.1%
Q2 - 11:23CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot38
24.1%
38
75.9%
Q2 - 11:41HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)38
22.9%
38
77.1%
Q2 - 11:51CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)35
19.7%
38
80.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.35
19.7%
38
80.3%
Q1 - 0:00.8HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving finger roll layup35
18.0%
38
82.0%
Q1 - 0:11.8CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (Sam Hauser assists)33
16.6%
38
83.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0HeatMax Strus personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)33
18.0%
36
82.0%
Q1 - 0:32.4CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound33
18.1%
36
81.9%
Q1 - 0:35.8HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot33
18.4%
36
81.6%
Q1 - 0:52.1CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)33
19.3%
36
80.7%
Q1 - 1:15HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)33
22.6%
33
77.4%
Q1 - 1:26CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot30
19.4%
33
80.6%
Q1 - 1:33CelticsMalcolm Brogdon offensive rebound30
22.6%
30
77.4%
Q1 - 1:34CelticsHaywood Highsmith blocks Jayson Tatum's two point driving layup30
23.6%
30
76.4%
Q1 - 1:37CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound30
22.6%
30
77.4%
Q1 - 1:40HeatUdonis Haslem misses three point jump shot30
23.0%
30
77.0%
Q1 - 1:51HeatMax Strus defensive rebound30
24.1%
30
75.9%
Q1 - 1:53CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot30
23.6%
30
76.4%
Q1 - 2:14HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)30
22.4%
30
77.6%
Q1 - 2:33CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup27
19.5%
30
80.5%
Q1 - 2:43CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound27
20.9%
28
79.1%
Q1 - 2:45HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot27
21.3%
28
78.7%
Q1 - 2:59CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)27
22.5%
28
77.5%
Q1 - 3:12CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound27
25.3%
25
74.7%
Q1 - 3:14HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot27
25.9%
25
74.1%
Q1 - 3:17HeatUdonis Haslem offensive rebound27
27.4%
25
72.6%
Q1 - 3:22HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot27
25.9%
25
74.1%
Q1 - 3:35CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds step)27
27.4%
25
72.6%
Q1 - 3:39CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound27
25.3%
25
74.7%
Q1 - 3:41HeatUdonis Haslem misses two point cutting layup27
25.9%
25
74.1%
Q1 - 3:54CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)27
27.4%
25
72.6%
Q1 - 4:07HeatKyle Lowry makes two point running reverse layup (Tyler Herro assists)27
25.1%
25
74.9%
Q1 - 4:10HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound25
23.8%
25
76.2%
Q1 - 4:14CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot25
23.3%
25
76.7%
Q1 - 4:32HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)25
22.1%
25
77.9%
Q1 - 4:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound22
19.5%
25
80.5%
Q1 - 4:43CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot22
19.1%
25
80.9%
Q1 - 5:04HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot22
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q1 - 5:18CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point putback layup19
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q1 - 5:20CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound19
16.9%
23
83.1%
Q1 - 5:23CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot19
17.8%
23
82.2%
Q1 - 5:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)19
16.9%
23
83.1%
Q1 - 5:41CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)17
15.9%
23
84.1%
Q1 - 5:58HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)17
14.7%
23
85.3%
Q1 - 6:10HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound14
12.9%
23
87.1%
Q1 - 6:12CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot14
12.6%
23
87.4%
Q1 - 6:24HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)14
12.0%
23
88.0%
Q1 - 6:39CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)12
11.2%
23
88.8%
Q1 - 6:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup12
10.4%
23
89.6%
Q1 - 7:11CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)10
9.8%
23
90.2%
Q1 - 7:29HeatCaleb Martin makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)10
11.2%
20
88.8%
Q1 - 7:40HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound8
10.5%
20
89.5%
Q1 - 7:42CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot8
10.2%
20
89.8%
Q1 - 7:50CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound8
9.7%
20
90.3%
Q1 - 7:54HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot8
9.9%
20
90.1%
Q1 - 8:05CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)8
10.5%
20
89.5%
Q1 - 8:05CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)8
9.7%
20
90.3%
Q1 - 8:08CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound8
9.7%
20
90.3%
Q1 - 8:10HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot8
10.0%
20
90.0%
Q1 - 8:20HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound8
10.5%
20
89.5%
Q1 - 8:22CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot8
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 8:34HeatTyler Herro makes two point tip layup8
9.7%
20
90.3%
Q1 - 8:35HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound6
9.1%
20
90.9%
Q1 - 8:37HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot6
8.6%
20
91.4%
Q1 - 8:46CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)6
9.1%
20
90.9%
Q1 - 8:56HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)6
10.4%
17
89.6%
Q1 - 9:04CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)4
10.0%
17
90.0%
Q1 - 9:23CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)4
10.0%
17
90.0%
Q1 - 9:32HeatMax Strus makes two point layup4
11.3%
14
88.7%
Q1 - 9:50CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)2
10.6%
14
89.4%
Q1 - 10:07HeatTyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)2
12.1%
11
87.9%
Q1 - 10:07HeatTyler Herro offensive foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)2
13.0%
11
87.0%
Q1 - 10:18CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)2
13.0%
11
87.0%
Q1 - 10:31HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds step)2
14.7%
8
85.3%
Q1 - 10:42CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point fadeaway jump shot2
15.7%
8
84.3%
Q1 - 10:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot2
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 11:06CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 10
15.7%
6
84.3%
Q1 - 11:06HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)0
15.8%
5
84.2%
Q1 - 11:18CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound0
18.6%
2
81.4%
Q1 - 11:20HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup0
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 11:40CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point cutting dunk (Al Horford assists)0
19.8%
2
80.2%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Al Horford (Marcus Smart gains possession)0
20.8%
0
79.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 63.0%
BOS
1.43 71.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
25
64%
BOS
17
25
68%
Midrange
MIA
13
25
52%
BOS
7
13
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
18
27.0
40
45%
68%
BOS
22
33.0
45
49%
73%
Free Throws
MIA
9
9
100%
BOS
20
23
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2357%11.5 / 20
M. Strus2382%11.5 / 14
T. Herro2261%11.0 / 18
H. Highsmith1689%8.0 / 9
K. Lowry1450%7.0 / 14
C. Martin1056%5.0 / 9
G. Vincent1071%5.0 / 7
D. Robinson3150%1.5 / 1
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum4988%24.5 / 28
J. Brown2662%13.0 / 21
M. Brogdon2195%10.5 / 11
D. White1575%7.5 / 10
M. Smart1063%5.0 / 8
A. Horford675%3.0 / 4
L. Kornet467%2.0 / 3
G. Williams338%1.5 / 4
S. Hauser0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+12
-15
95
BOS
82
+12
-17
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 63.0%
BOS
1.43 71.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.9
117.6
MIA 123.5
BOS 135.4 +11.9
Pace
96.3
98.8
MIA 101.4 +5.7
BOS 95.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.8
MIA 14.2 +0.8
BOS 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
56.6%
MIA 62.2%
BOS 68.7% +6.5%
TO %
13.2%
12.7%
MIA 13.8% +2.4%
BOS 16.2%
ORB %
22.8%
22.1%
MIA 23.1%
BOS 32.4% +9.3%
FTrt
27.0
24.3
MIA 10.0
BOS 27.7 +17.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
63.2%
MIA 53.2%
BOS 69.6% +16.4%
STL %
8.2%
6.3%
MIA 8.2% +1.1%
BOS 7.1%
BLK %
6.3%
9.3%
MIA 7.9% +7.9%
BOS 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
58.7%
MIA 63.0%
BOS 71.3% +8.3%
Rim FG%
62.6%
65.1%
MIA 64.0%
BOS 68.0% +4.0%
Mid FG%
45.3%
42.8%
MIA 52.0%
BOS 53.8% +1.8%
3P %
34.4%
37.7%
MIA 45.0%
BOS 48.9% +3.9%
FT %
83.1%
81.2%
MIA 100.0% +13.0%
BOS 87.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
32.3%
MIA 27.8%
BOS 30.1% +2.3%
Mid Att. %
29.4%
19.7%
MIA 27.8%
BOS 15.7% +12.1%
3P Att. %
40.8%
48.0%
MIA 44.4%
BOS 54.2% +9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.17 and 2.17.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9899
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points121134
Rebounds3241
Assists2532
Steals87
Blocks30
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)17 (1)
Fouls2118
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (3)30 (1)
Field Goals47-9046-83
At-the-Rim FG16-2517-25
Midrange FG13-257-13
2-Point FG29-5024-38
3-Point FG18-4022-45
Free Throws9-920-23
Fast Break Pts420
2nd Chance Pts1415
Points in Paint5044
Pts off Turnovers1519
Bench Points2928
Biggest Lead314

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
20 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 25
38.4
23
57%
6
5
2
0
5
5
1
5
2-2
100%
9-18
50%
1-1
100%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
37.9
14
50%
4
5
0
0
3
1
1
3
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
1-6
17%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
37.3
22
61%
6
9
0
1
4
2
2
4
2-2
100%
7-11
64%
2-6
33%
Max Strus
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27
36.0
23
82%
1
2
1
0
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
Caleb Martin
#16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27
24.2
10
56%
6
1
0
0
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
25.5
16
89%
8
2
0
2
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26
19.4
10
71%
0
1
1
0
1
5
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
11.7
3
150%
0
0
3
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42
9.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Dru Smith
#9 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 19
DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Tendinosis
Dewayne Dedmon
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot; Plantar fasciitis
Omer Yurtseven
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Surgery
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
121
63%
32
25
8
3
15
21
9
23
9-9
100%
29-50
58%
18-40
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.