FinalWin Prob.pScore
2142%109
106
1358%112
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
107.19998.4
ATL logo ATL
99.099100.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.106
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:07.3HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)106
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.4HeatMax Strus defensive rebound106
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0HawksAJ Griffin misses three point stepback jump shot106
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.1HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound106
99.3%
98
0.7%
Q4 - 0:42.8HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot106
99.4%
98
0.6%
Q4 - 1:00HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound106
99.3%
98
0.7%
Q4 - 1:02HawksDejounte Murray misses three point pullup jump shot106
99.1%
98
0.9%
Q4 - 1:15HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound106
97.9%
98
2.1%
Q4 - 1:18HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot106
98.2%
98
1.8%
Q4 - 1:36HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound106
98.2%
98
1.8%
Q4 - 1:38HawksAJ Griffin misses two point turnaround jump shot106
97.8%
98
2.2%
Q4 - 1:50HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound106
96.3%
98
3.7%
Q4 - 1:52HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot106
96.9%
98
3.1%
Q4 - 2:07HawksDe'Andre Hunter personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)106
98.1%
98
1.9%
Q4 - 2:20HawksJohn Collins makes two point layup (De'Andre Hunter assists)106
98.2%
98
1.8%
Q4 - 2:37HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds step)106
98.6%
96
1.4%
Q4 - 2:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound106
98.7%
96
1.3%
Q4 - 3:01HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot106
98.5%
96
1.5%
Q4 - 3:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot106
97.9%
96
2.1%
Q4 - 3:27HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound104
97.2%
96
2.8%
Q4 - 3:27HawksDejounte Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 1104
97.0%
96
3.0%
Q4 - 3:27HawksTrae Young makes technical free throw 1 of 1104
95.3%
96
4.7%
Q4 - 3:27HeatTyler Herro technical foul104
95.7%
95
4.3%
Q4 - 3:27HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)104
97.3%
95
2.7%
Q4 - 3:32HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound104
97.0%
93
3.0%
Q4 - 3:34HeatMax Strus misses two point cutting layup104
97.3%
93
2.7%
Q4 - 3:38HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound104
98.0%
93
2.0%
Q4 - 3:41HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot104
97.4%
93
2.6%
Q4 - 3:55HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound104
98.1%
93
1.9%
Q4 - 3:58HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating jump shot104
97.9%
93
2.1%
Q4 - 4:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)104
97.3%
93
2.7%
Q4 - 4:33HawksDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)102
96.4%
93
3.6%
Q4 - 4:41HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound102
98.2%
90
1.8%
Q4 - 4:44HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point floating jump shot102
98.4%
90
1.6%
Q4 - 4:56HeatDru Smith defensive rebound102
98.8%
90
1.2%
Q4 - 4:58HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses two point running layup102
98.6%
90
1.4%
Q4 - 5:02HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Onyeka Okongwu steals)102
96.9%
90
3.1%
Q4 - 5:20HawksJohn Collins makes two point tip dunk102
97.8%
90
2.2%
Q4 - 5:20HawksJohn Collins offensive rebound102
98.4%
88
1.6%
Q4 - 5:25HawksDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot102
98.7%
88
1.3%
Q4 - 5:45HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)102
98.4%
88
1.6%
Q4 - 6:06HawksTrae Young makes two point driving floating bank jump shot99
95.8%
88
4.2%
Q4 - 6:13HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (traveling)99
96.6%
86
3.4%
Q4 - 6:25HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound99
97.6%
86
2.4%
Q4 - 6:28HawksDejounte Murray misses two point driving layup99
97.4%
86
2.6%
Q4 - 6:42HawksHawks defensive rebound99
96.7%
86
3.3%
Q4 - 6:44HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot99
97.0%
86
3.0%
Q4 - 7:04HawksDe'Andre Hunter turnover (bad pass) (Dewayne Dedmon steals)99
96.6%
86
3.4%
Q4 - 7:12HawksTrae Young offensive rebound99
95.4%
86
4.6%
Q4 - 7:16HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot99
96.3%
86
3.7%
Q4 - 7:36HeatDru Smith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)99
95.5%
86
4.5%
Q4 - 7:46HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound96
93.0%
86
7.0%
Q4 - 7:49HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point driving floating jump shot96
92.3%
86
7.7%
Q4 - 8:05HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot96
89.0%
86
11.0%
Q4 - 8:13HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound93
83.4%
86
16.6%
Q4 - 8:17HawksCaleb Martin blocks Onyeka Okongwu's two point dunk93
82.3%
86
17.7%
Q4 - 8:23HawksAJ Griffin defensive rebound93
79.5%
86
20.5%
Q4 - 8:25HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot93
80.8%
86
19.2%
Q4 - 8:34HawksHawks turnover (shot clock violation)93
83.5%
86
16.5%
Q4 - 8:34HawksHawks offensive rebound93
79.5%
86
20.5%
Q4 - 8:35HawksAJ Griffin misses three point jump shot93
82.3%
86
17.7%
Q4 - 8:59HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup93
79.6%
86
20.4%
Q4 - 9:03HawksFrank Kaminsky turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)91
73.8%
86
26.2%
Q4 - 9:08HawksJalen Johnson offensive rebound91
68.5%
86
31.5%
Q4 - 9:14HawksAJ Griffin misses three point jump shot91
72.3%
86
27.7%
Q4 - 9:22HawksFrank Kaminsky defensive rebound91
68.5%
86
31.5%
Q4 - 9:25HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 191
69.3%
86
30.7%
Q4 - 9:25HawksFrank Kaminsky shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)91
72.4%
86
27.6%
Q4 - 9:40HawksTrent Forrest makes two point floating jump shot (Frank Kaminsky assists)89
63.9%
86
36.1%
Q4 - 9:50HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound89
68.6%
84
31.4%
Q4 - 9:54HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot89
70.3%
84
29.7%
Q4 - 10:01HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound89
72.1%
84
27.9%
Q4 - 10:05HawksAJ Griffin misses three point pullup jump shot89
70.6%
84
29.4%
Q4 - 10:24HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point turnaround hook shot (Caleb Martin assists)89
67.0%
84
33.0%
Q4 - 10:33HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound87
62.6%
84
37.4%
Q4 - 10:36HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot87
58.6%
84
41.4%
Q4 - 10:51HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound87
62.7%
84
37.3%
Q4 - 10:53HawksDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot87
60.9%
84
39.1%
Q4 - 11:13HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving floating bank jump shot87
56.2%
84
43.8%
Q4 - 11:36HawksFrank Kaminsky makes three point jump shot (Trent Forrest assists)85
51.1%
84
48.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.85
61.3%
81
38.7%
Q3 - 0:00.9HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Dru Smith steals)85
64.9%
81
35.1%
Q3 - 0:14.4HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound85
60.4%
81
39.6%
Q3 - 0:18.1HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot85
61.8%
81
38.2%
Q3 - 0:33.1HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound85
65.0%
81
35.0%
Q3 - 0:36.5HawksFrank Kaminsky misses two point layup85
63.6%
81
36.4%
Q3 - 0:55.7HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)85
60.5%
81
39.5%
Q3 - 1:06HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 283
54.9%
81
45.1%
Q3 - 1:06HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 283
55.4%
80
44.6%
Q3 - 1:06HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)83
55.9%
79
44.1%
Q3 - 1:11HawksFrank Kaminsky defensive rebound83
59.2%
79
40.8%
Q3 - 1:13HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot83
60.6%
79
39.4%
Q3 - 1:30HawksFrank Kaminsky makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)83
63.9%
79
36.1%
Q3 - 1:37HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound83
71.8%
76
28.2%
Q3 - 1:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot83
73.0%
76
27.0%
Q3 - 1:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound83
75.7%
76
24.3%
Q3 - 2:02HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot83
72.8%
76
27.2%
Q3 - 2:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 283
70.2%
76
29.8%
Q3 - 2:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 282
69.5%
76
30.5%
Q3 - 2:18HawksAJ Griffin shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)81
68.7%
76
31.3%
Q3 - 2:25HawksJohn Collins makes two point jump shot (De'Andre Hunter assists)81
66.7%
76
33.3%
Q3 - 2:40HeatMax Strus makes two point layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)81
70.3%
74
29.7%
Q3 - 2:46HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound79
66.7%
74
33.3%
Q3 - 2:49HawksAJ Griffin misses three point jump shot79
65.5%
74
34.5%
Q3 - 2:52HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound79
62.4%
74
37.6%
Q3 - 2:56HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot79
65.5%
74
34.5%
Q3 - 3:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot (Kyle Lowry assists)79
61.6%
74
38.4%
Q3 - 3:22HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound77
58.2%
74
41.8%
Q3 - 3:25HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point stepback jump shot77
56.7%
74
43.3%
Q3 - 3:33HawksTrae Young offensive rebound77
53.3%
74
46.7%
Q3 - 3:37HawksTrae Young misses two point driving layup77
56.7%
74
43.3%
Q3 - 3:43HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound77
53.3%
74
46.7%
Q3 - 3:46HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot77
54.8%
74
45.2%
Q3 - 3:59HeatDru Smith defensive rebound77
58.2%
74
41.8%
Q3 - 4:03HawksTrae Young misses three point jump shot77
56.1%
74
43.9%
Q3 - 4:07HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound77
52.8%
74
47.2%
Q3 - 4:11HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot77
54.3%
74
45.7%
Q3 - 4:23HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 277
57.6%
74
42.4%
Q3 - 4:23HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 277
58.2%
73
41.8%
Q3 - 4:23HeatMax Strus personal foul (Loose ball) (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)77
59.0%
72
41.0%
Q3 - 4:23HeatMax Strus turnover (lost ball)77
54.8%
72
45.2%
Q3 - 4:38HeatHeat defensive rebound77
65.3%
72
34.7%
Q3 - 4:39HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating bank jump shot77
64.0%
72
36.0%
Q3 - 5:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)77
60.2%
72
39.8%
Q3 - 5:10HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound75
56.7%
72
43.3%
Q3 - 5:13HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot75
55.4%
72
44.6%
Q3 - 5:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)75
52.5%
72
47.5%
Q3 - 5:31HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot73
48.9%
72
51.1%
Q3 - 5:40HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound73
52.5%
70
47.5%
Q3 - 5:44HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot73
53.8%
70
46.2%
Q3 - 6:04HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 273
56.0%
70
44.0%
Q3 - 6:04HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 273
56.4%
69
43.6%
Q3 - 6:04HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)73
56.8%
68
43.2%
Q3 - 6:10HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)73
59.5%
68
40.5%
Q3 - 6:25HawksJohn Collins makes two point driving floating jump shot (Trae Young assists)71
56.0%
68
44.0%
Q3 - 6:35HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)71
59.5%
66
40.5%
Q3 - 6:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 271
59.6%
66
40.4%
Q3 - 6:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 270
58.9%
66
41.1%
Q3 - 6:49HawksJohn Collins shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)69
58.0%
66
42.0%
Q3 - 6:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
56.1%
66
43.9%
Q3 - 6:57HawksDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot69
54.9%
66
45.1%
Q3 - 7:04HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (John Collins draws the foul)69
51.4%
66
48.6%
Q3 - 7:22HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)69
51.4%
66
48.6%
Q3 - 7:42HawksJohn Collins makes two point turnaround jump shot (Trae Young assists)67
48.3%
66
51.7%
Q3 - 7:54HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)67
51.5%
64
48.5%
Q3 - 7:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound65
48.3%
64
51.7%
Q3 - 8:02HawksDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot65
46.8%
64
53.2%
Q3 - 8:27HeatKyle Lowry makes three point running jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)65
43.9%
64
56.1%
Q3 - 8:30HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound62
37.6%
64
62.4%
Q3 - 8:35HawksJohn Collins misses three point jump shot62
36.4%
64
63.6%
Q3 - 8:47HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 362
33.7%
64
66.3%
Q3 - 8:47HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 361
33.4%
64
66.6%
Q3 - 8:47HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 360
32.9%
64
67.1%
Q3 - 8:47HawksTrae Young shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)59
32.5%
64
67.5%
Q3 - 8:49HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)59
28.2%
64
71.8%
Q3 - 8:54HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)59
24.9%
64
75.1%
Q3 - 8:54HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)59
28.2%
64
71.8%
Q3 - 9:13HawksJohn Collins makes two point alley-oop dunk (Trae Young assists)59
28.4%
64
71.6%
Q3 - 9:28HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 259
30.9%
62
69.1%
Q3 - 9:28HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 258
30.2%
62
69.8%
Q3 - 9:28HawksJohn Collins shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)57
29.4%
62
70.6%
Q3 - 9:32HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound57
28.4%
62
71.6%
Q3 - 9:35HawksDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot57
27.4%
62
72.6%
Q3 - 9:41HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)57
25.3%
62
74.7%
Q3 - 9:41HeatHeat offensive rebound57
28.4%
62
71.6%
Q3 - 9:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot57
26.2%
62
73.8%
Q3 - 10:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound57
28.7%
62
71.3%
Q3 - 10:05HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses two point driving finger roll layup57
27.7%
62
72.3%
Q3 - 10:10HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)57
25.6%
62
74.4%
Q3 - 10:22HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running dunk57
25.6%
62
74.4%
Q3 - 10:26HawksDejounte Murray turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)55
23.5%
62
76.5%
Q3 - 10:32HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound55
20.8%
62
79.2%
Q3 - 10:36HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot55
21.6%
62
78.4%
Q3 - 10:46HawksHawks turnover (shot clock violation)55
23.5%
62
76.5%
Q3 - 11:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)55
21.1%
62
78.9%
Q3 - 11:23HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 253
19.1%
62
80.9%
Q3 - 11:23HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 253
19.3%
61
80.7%
Q3 - 11:23HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)53
19.5%
60
80.5%
Q3 - 11:40HeatCaleb Martin makes two point reverse layup (Max Strus assists)53
21.1%
60
78.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
19.1%
60
80.9%
Q2 - 0:00.2HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound51
17.8%
60
82.2%
Q2 - 0:03.5HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot51
18.3%
60
81.7%
Q2 - 0:07.3HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point alley-oop layup (Trae Young assists)51
19.4%
60
80.6%
Q2 - 0:27.6HeatMax Strus personal foul (Loose ball) (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)51
21.8%
58
78.2%
Q2 - 0:27.6HawksHawks defensive rebound51
21.8%
58
78.2%
Q2 - 0:30.1HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting layup51
22.4%
58
77.6%
Q2 - 0:38.6HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point driving floating jump shot (Trae Young assists)51
23.7%
58
76.3%
Q2 - 0:47.4HawksTrae Young defensive rebound51
26.5%
56
73.5%
Q2 - 0:51.3HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot51
27.1%
56
72.9%
Q2 - 0:57.9HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound51
28.6%
56
71.4%
Q2 - 1:00HawksJohn Collins misses three point jump shot51
27.9%
56
72.1%
Q2 - 1:11HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving reverse layup51
27.1%
56
72.9%
Q2 - 1:17HeatHeat defensive rebound49
24.1%
56
75.9%
Q2 - 1:18HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point jump shot49
23.6%
56
76.4%
Q2 - 1:37HeatKyle Lowry makes two point running layup (Tyler Herro assists)49
22.5%
56
77.5%
Q2 - 1:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound47
19.8%
56
80.2%
Q2 - 1:44HawksTrae Young misses two point driving finger roll layup47
19.4%
56
80.6%
Q2 - 2:01HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 247
18.7%
56
81.3%
Q2 - 2:01HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 246
18.5%
56
81.5%
Q2 - 2:01HawksDe'Andre Hunter shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)45
18.2%
56
81.8%
Q2 - 2:19HawksJohn Collins makes two point turnaround jump shot (Trae Young assists)45
17.0%
56
83.0%
Q2 - 2:30HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound45
18.7%
54
81.3%
Q2 - 2:33HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot45
19.3%
54
80.7%
Q2 - 2:42HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 245
20.6%
54
79.4%
Q2 - 2:42HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 245
20.8%
53
79.2%
Q2 - 2:42HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)45
21.1%
52
78.9%
Q2 - 2:49HawksTrae Young defensive rebound45
22.6%
52
77.4%
Q2 - 2:52HeatMax Strus misses two point reverse layup45
23.3%
52
76.7%
Q2 - 3:11HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point tip dunk45
25.5%
52
74.5%
Q2 - 3:11HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound45
27.3%
50
72.7%
Q2 - 3:16HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot45
29.2%
50
70.8%
Q2 - 3:39HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)45
27.3%
50
72.7%
Q2 - 3:45HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)43
25.5%
50
74.5%
Q2 - 3:46HawksTrae Young offensive rebound43
22.9%
50
77.1%
Q2 - 3:50HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot43
24.7%
50
75.3%
Q2 - 4:03HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)43
23.5%
50
76.5%
Q2 - 4:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)43
23.5%
50
76.5%
Q2 - 4:23HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point alley-oop layup (Trae Young assists)41
21.6%
50
78.4%
Q2 - 4:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot41
23.5%
48
76.5%
Q2 - 4:55HawksJohn Collins makes two point driving floating jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)39
21.6%
48
78.4%
Q2 - 5:11HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound39
23.5%
46
76.5%
Q2 - 5:14HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot39
24.2%
46
75.8%
Q2 - 5:29HawksJohn Collins makes two point running layup (Trae Young assists)39
26.0%
46
74.0%
Q2 - 5:37HeatTyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)39
27.7%
44
72.3%
Q2 - 5:48HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound37
25.9%
44
74.1%
Q2 - 5:51HawksJohn Collins misses two point driving floating jump shot37
25.2%
44
74.8%
Q2 - 5:59HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Loose ball) (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)37
23.5%
44
76.5%
Q2 - 5:59HawksHawks offensive rebound37
23.5%
44
76.5%
Q2 - 6:00HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point driving floating jump shot37
25.2%
44
74.8%
Q2 - 6:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)37
23.9%
44
76.1%
Q2 - 6:30HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point pullup jump shot35
22.3%
44
77.7%
Q2 - 6:49HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 235
23.8%
42
76.2%
Q2 - 6:49HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 234
23.6%
42
76.4%
Q2 - 6:49HawksJalen Johnson shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)33
23.2%
42
76.8%
Q2 - 7:09HawksJalen Johnson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)33
22.6%
42
77.4%
Q2 - 7:14HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (AJ Griffin steals)33
20.6%
42
79.4%
Q2 - 7:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound33
22.5%
42
77.5%
Q2 - 7:27HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses two point turnaround hook shot33
21.9%
42
78.1%
Q2 - 7:41HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)33
20.6%
42
79.4%
Q2 - 8:06HawksAJ Griffin makes three point stepback jump shot33
22.7%
42
77.3%
Q2 - 8:24HeatDewayne Dedmon makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)33
26.4%
39
73.6%
Q2 - 8:34HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound30
22.7%
39
77.3%
Q2 - 8:38HawksDejounte Murray misses three point running jump shot30
22.1%
39
77.9%
Q2 - 8:44HawksFrank Kaminsky defensive rebound30
20.8%
39
79.2%
Q2 - 8:46HeatCaleb Martin misses two point running finger roll layup30
21.4%
39
78.6%
Q2 - 8:50HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound30
22.7%
39
77.3%
Q2 - 8:52HawksAJ Griffin misses three point jump shot30
22.1%
39
77.9%
Q2 - 9:00HawksFrank Kaminsky defensive rebound30
20.8%
39
79.2%
Q2 - 9:05HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot30
21.5%
39
78.5%
Q2 - 9:19HawksAJ Griffin makes two point pullup jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)30
22.8%
39
77.2%
Q2 - 9:26HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound30
24.5%
37
75.5%
Q2 - 9:29HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot30
25.1%
37
74.9%
Q2 - 9:50HawksDejounte Murray makes two point running layup30
26.5%
37
73.5%
Q2 - 9:52HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Dejounte Murray steals)30
28.5%
35
71.5%
Q2 - 10:17HawksAJ Griffin makes three point jump shot (Trent Forrest assists)30
30.9%
35
69.1%
Q2 - 10:24HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound30
35.3%
32
64.7%
Q2 - 10:28HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot30
36.0%
32
64.0%
Q2 - 10:34HeatDru Smith defensive rebound30
37.7%
32
62.3%
Q2 - 10:37HawksDejounte Murray misses two point turnaround jump shot30
36.9%
32
63.1%
Q2 - 10:54HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 230
35.3%
32
64.7%
Q2 - 10:54HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 229
35.0%
32
65.0%
Q2 - 10:54HawksJalen Johnson shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)28
34.6%
32
65.4%
Q2 - 10:59HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound28
33.1%
32
66.9%
Q2 - 11:03HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 128
31.4%
32
68.6%
Q2 - 11:03HawksFrank Kaminsky shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)28
32.8%
32
67.2%
Q2 - 11:14HawksDejounte Murray turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)26
29.0%
32
71.0%
Q2 - 11:27HawksDejounte Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 126
27.2%
32
72.8%
Q2 - 11:27Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)26
27.6%
31
72.4%
Q2 - 11:43HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)26
29.1%
31
70.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
25.2%
31
74.8%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat defensive rebound23
25.3%
31
74.7%
Q1 - 0:01.3HawksFrank Kaminsky misses three point jump shot23
24.8%
31
75.2%
Q1 - 0:10.4HeatDru Smith makes two point driving floating jump shot23
23.7%
31
76.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 221
21.9%
31
78.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 221
22.0%
30
78.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0HeatJamal Cain shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)21
22.2%
29
77.8%
Q1 - 0:34.8HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point pullup jump shot21
23.7%
29
76.3%
Q1 - 0:44.7HeatMax Strus defensive rebound19
21.9%
29
78.1%
Q1 - 0:47.8HawksAJ Griffin misses three point jump shot19
21.5%
29
78.5%
Q1 - 0:53.6HawksAJ Griffin defensive rebound19
20.5%
29
79.5%
Q1 - 0:56.9HeatDru Smith misses two point driving floating bank jump shot19
20.9%
29
79.1%
Q1 - 1:15HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 219
22.1%
29
77.9%
Q1 - 1:15HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 219
22.3%
28
77.7%
Q1 - 1:15HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)19
22.5%
27
77.5%
Q1 - 1:22HawksJalen Johnson defensive rebound19
23.9%
27
76.1%
Q1 - 1:25HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot19
24.4%
27
75.6%
Q1 - 1:41HawksTrae Young makes two point driving finger roll layup19
25.5%
27
74.5%
Q1 - 1:44HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (bad pass) (Trae Young steals)19
27.4%
25
72.6%
Q1 - 1:45HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound19
29.1%
25
70.9%
Q1 - 1:49HawksHaywood Highsmith blocks AJ Griffin's two point pullup jump shot19
28.6%
25
71.4%
Q1 - 2:07HeatMax Strus makes two point driving finger roll layup19
27.7%
25
72.3%
Q1 - 2:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound17
26.0%
25
74.0%
Q1 - 2:21HawksJohn Collins misses three point running jump shot17
25.4%
25
74.6%
Q1 - 2:25HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound17
24.2%
25
75.8%
Q1 - 2:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot17
24.7%
25
75.3%
Q1 - 2:35HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound17
26.0%
25
74.0%
Q1 - 2:39HawksBam Adebayo blocks AJ Griffin's two point driving floating jump shot17
25.4%
25
74.6%
Q1 - 3:04HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 217
24.2%
25
75.8%
Q1 - 3:04HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 216
23.9%
25
76.1%
Q1 - 3:04HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)15
23.5%
25
76.5%
Q1 - 3:16HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)15
23.0%
25
77.0%
Q1 - 3:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot15
25.9%
22
74.1%
Q1 - 4:00HawksJohn Collins makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)13
24.5%
22
75.5%
Q1 - 4:06HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound13
28.2%
19
71.8%
Q1 - 4:08HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot13
28.8%
19
71.2%
Q1 - 4:11HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound13
30.2%
19
69.8%
Q1 - 4:15HeatOnyeka Okongwu blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot13
28.8%
19
71.2%
Q1 - 4:31HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point jump shot (Trae Young assists)13
30.1%
19
69.9%
Q1 - 4:53HeatTyler Herro turnover (discontinue dribble)13
31.6%
17
68.4%
Q1 - 5:07HawksDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (John Collins assists)13
34.0%
17
66.0%
Q1 - 5:22HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)13
37.5%
14
62.5%
Q1 - 5:35HawksHawks turnover (shot clock violation)11
35.8%
14
64.2%
Q1 - 5:35HawksHawks offensive rebound11
33.8%
14
66.2%
Q1 - 5:36HawksDru Smith blocks Trae Young's two point driving floating jump shot11
35.2%
14
64.8%
Q1 - 5:57HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound11
33.8%
14
66.2%
Q1 - 6:01HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot11
34.5%
14
65.5%
Q1 - 6:23HawksTrae Young makes two point driving floating jump shot11
35.8%
14
64.2%
Q1 - 6:34HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (De'Andre Hunter steals)11
37.6%
12
62.4%
Q1 - 6:36HeatMax Strus defensive rebound11
39.6%
12
60.4%
Q1 - 6:39HawksDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot11
39.0%
12
61.0%
Q1 - 6:54HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)11
37.6%
12
62.4%
Q1 - 7:14HawksDejounte Murray makes two point running layup8
34.1%
12
65.9%
Q1 - 7:18HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound8
35.8%
10
64.2%
Q1 - 7:21HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot8
36.4%
10
63.6%
Q1 - 7:22HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound8
37.8%
10
62.2%
Q1 - 7:26HeatOnyeka Okongwu blocks Bam Adebayo's two point reverse layup8
36.4%
10
63.6%
Q1 - 7:44HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound8
37.8%
10
62.2%
Q1 - 7:47HawksTrae Young misses three point jump shot8
37.1%
10
62.9%
Q1 - 7:57HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound8
35.8%
10
64.2%
Q1 - 7:58HeatKyle Lowry misses two point tip layup8
36.4%
10
63.6%
Q1 - 7:58HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound8
37.7%
10
62.3%
Q1 - 8:02HeatMax Strus misses two point running layup8
36.5%
10
63.5%
Q1 - 8:03HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound8
37.8%
10
62.2%
Q1 - 8:07HawksKyle Lowry blocks John Collins's two point hook shot8
37.2%
10
62.8%
Q1 - 8:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot8
35.8%
10
64.2%
Q1 - 8:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
34.3%
10
65.7%
Q1 - 8:28HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point driving layup6
33.7%
10
66.3%
Q1 - 8:35HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (De'Andre Hunter steals)6
32.4%
10
67.6%
Q1 - 8:46HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 26
34.3%
10
65.7%
Q1 - 8:46HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 26
34.6%
9
65.4%
Q1 - 8:46HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)6
34.9%
8
65.1%
Q1 - 8:52HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound6
35.8%
8
64.2%
Q1 - 8:55HawksDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot6
37.2%
8
62.8%
Q1 - 9:01HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound6
35.9%
8
64.1%
Q1 - 9:04HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot6
36.5%
8
63.5%
Q1 - 9:11HawksJohn Collins personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)6
37.8%
8
62.2%
Q1 - 9:20HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound6
37.8%
8
62.2%
Q1 - 9:22HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot6
37.2%
8
62.8%
Q1 - 9:35HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)6
35.9%
8
64.1%
Q1 - 9:47HawksTrae Young makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)3
32.6%
8
67.4%
Q1 - 10:06HawksHawks defensive rebound3
35.8%
5
64.2%
Q1 - 10:07HeatJohn Collins blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving hook shot3
36.3%
5
63.7%
Q1 - 10:24HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (John Collins assists)3
37.6%
5
62.4%
Q1 - 10:29HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound3
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 10:33HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot3
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 10:39HawksOnyeka Okongwu turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)3
43.0%
2
57.0%
Q1 - 10:45HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound3
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 10:47HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot3
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 10:55HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound3
43.0%
2
57.0%
Q1 - 10:55HawksJohn Collins misses two point layup3
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 11:17HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)3
40.7%
2
59.3%
Q1 - 11:43HawksJohn Collins makes two point alley-oop dunk (Trae Young assists)0
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Onyeka Okongwu (John Collins gains possession)0
39.0%
0
61.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.13 56.4%
ATL
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
29
76%
ATL
11
19
58%
Midrange
MIA
9
20
45%
ATL
14
33
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
33
27%
41%
ATL
10
15.0
36
28%
42%
Free Throws
MIA
17
19
89%
ATL
18
19
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo3270%16.0 / 23
C. Martin2077%10.0 / 13
M. Strus1653%8.0 / 15
D. Dedmon1393%6.5 / 7
T. Herro1137%5.5 / 15
K. Lowry941%4.5 / 11
D. Smith583%2.5 / 3
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Collins2368%11.5 / 17
T. Young2250%11.0 / 22
D. Hunter1856%9.0 / 16
D. Murray1341%6.5 / 16
A. Griffin831%4.0 / 13
O. Okongwu643%3.0 / 7
F. Kaminsky675%3.0 / 4
T. Forrest2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
87
+7
-12
94
ATL
90
+11
-9
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.13 56.4%
ATL
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.9
115.8
MIA 107.1
ATL 99.0 +8.1
Pace
96.3
101.3
MIA 98.4
ATL 100.9 +2.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.0
MIA 14.6
ATL 14.3 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
54.1%
MIA 54.3% +8.8%
ATL 45.5%
TO %
13.2%
12.1%
MIA 13.4%
ATL 11.1% +2.3%
ORB %
22.8%
25.1%
MIA 15.0%
ATL 16.7% +1.7%
FTrt
27.0
24.4
MIA 23.2 +1.6
ATL 21.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
56.0%
MIA 70.0% +1.4%
ATL 68.6%
STL %
8.2%
6.9%
MIA 8.1% +2.0%
ATL 6.1%
BLK %
6.3%
8.6%
MIA 9.6% +3.5%
ATL 6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
56.5%
MIA 56.4% +7.9%
ATL 48.5%
Rim FG%
62.6%
62.7%
MIA 75.9% +18.0%
ATL 57.9%
Mid FG%
45.3%
46.7%
MIA 45.0% +2.6%
ATL 42.4%
3P %
34.4%
35.2%
MIA 27.3%
ATL 27.8% +0.5%
FT %
83.1%
81.8%
MIA 89.5%
ATL 94.7% +5.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
33.7%
MIA 35.4% +13.8%
ATL 21.6%
Mid Att. %
29.4%
33.2%
MIA 24.4% +13.1%
ATL 37.5%
3P Att. %
40.8%
33.1%
MIA 40.2%
ATL 40.9% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes24.123.6
Points10698
Rebounds4642
Assists2824
Steals86
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)9 (3)
Fouls1612
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (3)34 (3)
Field Goals40-8235-88
At-the-Rim FG22-2911-19
Midrange FG9-2014-33
2-Point FG31-4925-52
3-Point FG9-3310-36
Free Throws17-1918-19
Fast Break Pts164
2nd Chance Pts46
Points in Paint5834
Pts off Turnovers1714
Bench Points1816
Biggest Lead1411

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27
40.9
20
77%
9
4
2
1
1
2
1
8
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
2-3
67%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
39.9
11
37%
11
10
1
0
2
3
1
10
5-5
100%
3-5
60%
0-8
0%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 25
33.7
32
70%
8
1
0
1
3
2
1
7
6-6
100%
13-20
65%
0-0
-
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27
33.0
16
53%
3
1
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
4-10
40%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
32.8
9
41%
3
9
2
1
2
3
1
2
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
1-7
14%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
23.1
0
0%
3
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#9 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 25
20.7
5
83%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33
14.3
13
93%
6
0
1
0
1
1
1
5
0-2
0%
5-5
100%
1-2
50%
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 24
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 19
DNP – Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26
DNP – Injury/Illness | Left Knee Effusion
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42
DNP – Coach's Decision
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Surgery
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Tendinosis
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22
Inactive - Not With Team
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
56%
46
28
8
5
12
16
6
40
17-19
89%
31-49
63%
9-33
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.