FinalWin Prob.pScore
255%110
104
1345%108
112
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
111.89398.0
TOR logo TOR
119.19489.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.104
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:17.6RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound104
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot104
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.9RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 0:23.9RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes regular free throw 1 of 2104
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 0:23.9HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (O.G. Anunoby draws the foul)104
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 0:30.5RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound104
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 0:33.5HeatMax Strus misses three point turnaround jump shot104
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 0:35.5RaptorsFred VanVleet personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)104
1.2%
110
98.8%
Q4 - 0:35.5HeatHeat offensive rebound104
1.2%
110
98.8%
Q4 - 0:37.0HeatGabe Vincent misses three point running jump shot104
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 0:40.6HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound104
2.4%
110
97.6%
Q4 - 0:42.9RaptorsO.G. Anunoby misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot104
2.1%
110
97.9%
Q4 - 1:06HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving finger roll layup104
2.3%
110
97.7%
Q4 - 1:29RaptorsChris Boucher makes three point jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)102
2.5%
110
97.5%
Q4 - 1:48HeatGabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)102
7.3%
107
92.7%
Q4 - 1:48HeatGabe Vincent offensive foul (Off the ball) (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)102
11.9%
107
88.1%
Q4 - 2:03RaptorsChris Boucher makes two point cutting dunk (O.G. Anunoby assists)102
12.4%
107
87.6%
Q4 - 2:29HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup102
15.7%
105
84.3%
Q4 - 2:40RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
12.6%
105
87.4%
Q4 - 2:40RaptorsO.G. Anunoby misses regular free throw 1 of 2100
13.6%
104
86.4%
Q4 - 2:40HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (O.G. Anunoby draws the foul)100
9.8%
104
90.2%
Q4 - 2:56RaptorsO.G. Anunoby defensive rebound100
13.2%
104
86.8%
Q4 - 3:00HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot100
15.1%
104
84.9%
Q4 - 3:12RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point hook shot100
20.8%
104
79.2%
Q4 - 3:12RaptorsO.G. Anunoby offensive rebound100
25.8%
102
74.2%
Q4 - 3:14RaptorsMax Strus blocks Fred VanVleet's three point jump shot100
34.3%
102
65.7%
Q4 - 3:21RaptorsThaddeus Young offensive rebound100
25.6%
102
74.4%
Q4 - 3:24RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point floating jump shot100
34.3%
102
65.7%
Q4 - 3:52HeatMax Strus makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)100
30.6%
102
69.4%
Q4 - 4:03RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point cutting layup (Fred VanVleet assists)98
23.8%
102
76.2%
Q4 - 4:12RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound98
30.3%
100
69.7%
Q4 - 4:14HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup98
32.9%
100
67.1%
Q4 - 4:20RaptorsThaddeus Young turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)98
39.1%
100
60.9%
Q4 - 4:41HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 298
30.1%
100
69.9%
Q4 - 4:41HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 297
29.1%
100
70.9%
Q4 - 4:41RaptorsThaddeus Young shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)96
28.0%
100
72.0%
Q4 - 4:41HeatMax Strus defensive rebound96
23.5%
100
76.5%
Q4 - 4:43RaptorsCaleb Martin blocks Fred VanVleet's two point driving hook shot96
21.4%
100
78.6%
Q4 - 5:03HeatCaleb Martin turnover (traveling)96
20.6%
100
79.4%
Q4 - 5:16HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound96
26.6%
100
73.4%
Q4 - 5:17RaptorsO.G. Anunoby misses three point pullup jump shot96
24.6%
100
75.4%
Q4 - 5:34HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)96
20.4%
100
79.6%
Q4 - 5:41HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound93
12.0%
100
88.0%
Q4 - 5:44RaptorsChris Boucher misses regular free throw 1 of 193
11.6%
100
88.4%
Q4 - 5:44HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Chris Boucher draws the foul)93
9.5%
100
90.5%
Q4 - 6:04HeatKyle Lowry makes three point stepback jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)93
18.2%
98
81.8%
Q4 - 6:19RaptorsFred VanVleet personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)90
11.6%
98
88.4%
Q4 - 6:29RaptorsThaddeus Young makes two point tip layup90
11.6%
98
88.4%
Q4 - 6:29RaptorsThaddeus Young offensive rebound90
14.2%
96
85.8%
Q4 - 6:33RaptorsScottie Barnes misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot90
17.4%
96
82.6%
Q4 - 6:56HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 290
14.1%
96
85.9%
Q4 - 6:56HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 289
13.6%
96
86.4%
Q4 - 6:56RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)88
13.1%
96
86.9%
Q4 - 7:11HeatHeat defensive rebound88
13.9%
96
86.1%
Q4 - 7:12RaptorsO.G. Anunoby misses two point driving floating jump shot88
12.8%
96
87.2%
Q4 - 7:31HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving bank hook shot88
10.5%
96
89.5%
Q4 - 7:48RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes regular free throw 2 of 286
8.6%
96
91.4%
Q4 - 7:48RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes regular free throw 1 of 286
9.0%
95
91.0%
Q4 - 7:48HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (O.G. Anunoby draws the foul)86
9.5%
94
90.5%
Q4 - 7:48RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound86
10.4%
94
89.6%
Q4 - 7:50HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot86
11.3%
94
88.7%
Q4 - 8:08RaptorsChris Boucher makes regular free throw 2 of 286
15.1%
94
84.9%
Q4 - 8:08RaptorsChris Boucher makes regular free throw 1 of 286
15.7%
93
84.3%
Q4 - 8:08HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Chris Boucher draws the foul)86
16.4%
92
83.6%
Q4 - 8:10HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Thaddeus Young draws the foul)86
18.4%
92
81.6%
Q4 - 8:20HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)86
18.3%
92
81.7%
Q4 - 8:20HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Off the ball) (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)86
22.5%
92
77.5%
Q4 - 8:35RaptorsThaddeus Young makes two point turnaround hook shot86
22.5%
92
77.5%
Q4 - 8:37RaptorsThaddeus Young offensive rebound86
26.9%
90
73.1%
Q4 - 8:39RaptorsScottie Barnes misses two point reverse layup86
30.6%
90
69.4%
Q4 - 8:52HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (O.G. Anunoby draws the foul)86
26.9%
90
73.1%
Q4 - 9:09HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds step)86
28.5%
90
71.5%
Q4 - 9:36RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point stepback jump shot86
33.9%
90
66.1%
Q4 - 9:46RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez defensive rebound86
38.8%
88
61.2%
Q4 - 9:50HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot86
40.6%
88
59.4%
Q4 - 9:59HeatHeat defensive rebound86
45.0%
88
55.0%
Q4 - 10:01RaptorsChris Boucher misses three point jump shot86
43.8%
88
56.2%
Q4 - 10:18HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point driving finger roll layup86
39.7%
88
60.3%
Q4 - 10:30RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point driving layup (Chris Boucher assists)84
35.1%
88
64.9%
Q4 - 10:49HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)84
39.6%
86
60.4%
Q4 - 11:11RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez turnover (traveling)81
31.1%
86
68.9%
Q4 - 11:24HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point alley-oop dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)81
26.7%
86
73.3%
Q4 - 11:38RaptorsChris Boucher makes regular free throw 2 of 279
22.9%
86
77.1%
Q4 - 11:38RaptorsChris Boucher makes regular free throw 1 of 279
23.6%
85
76.4%
Q4 - 11:38HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Chris Boucher draws the foul)79
24.4%
84
75.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.79
26.6%
84
73.4%
Q3 - 0:00.2RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound79
28.5%
84
71.5%
Q3 - 0:00.2RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point turnaround bank jump shot79
31.3%
84
68.7%
Q3 - 0:04.8HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point turnaround hook shot79
28.5%
84
71.5%
Q3 - 0:16.9HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound77
24.5%
84
75.5%
Q3 - 0:19.8RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez misses three point jump shot77
23.4%
84
76.6%
Q3 - 0:36.4HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot77
21.0%
84
79.0%
Q3 - 0:45.2RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point cutting dunk (Fred VanVleet assists)74
15.1%
84
84.9%
Q3 - 1:00RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound74
17.9%
82
82.1%
Q3 - 1:03HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 2 of 274
19.8%
82
80.2%
Q3 - 1:03HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 274
21.7%
82
78.3%
Q3 - 1:03RaptorsChristian Koloko shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)73
21.0%
82
79.0%
Q3 - 1:18RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point pullup jump shot73
19.5%
82
80.5%
Q3 - 1:34HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 173
22.3%
80
77.7%
Q3 - 1:34RaptorsChristian Koloko shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)72
21.9%
80
78.1%
Q3 - 1:45RaptorsO.G. Anunoby turnover (offensive foul)70
16.7%
80
83.3%
Q3 - 1:45RaptorsO.G. Anunoby offensive foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)70
14.1%
80
85.9%
Q3 - 1:56HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (traveling)70
14.1%
80
85.9%
Q3 - 2:04RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point pullup jump shot70
18.1%
80
81.9%
Q3 - 2:21RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound70
23.7%
77
76.3%
Q3 - 2:24HeatJamal Cain misses three point jump shot70
24.7%
77
75.3%
Q3 - 2:38RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point alley-oop dunk (Fred VanVleet assists)70
27.2%
77
72.8%
Q3 - 2:52RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez defensive rebound70
30.6%
75
69.4%
Q3 - 2:54HeatJamal Cain misses two point driving layup70
31.8%
75
68.2%
Q3 - 3:06RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point driving hook shot (Fred VanVleet assists)70
35.9%
75
64.1%
Q3 - 3:17RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound70
39.2%
73
60.8%
Q3 - 3:21HeatJamal Cain misses three point jump shot70
40.7%
73
59.3%
Q3 - 3:39RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point stepback jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)70
44.0%
73
56.0%
Q3 - 3:53HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)70
47.5%
71
52.5%
Q3 - 3:53HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Off the ball) (Juancho Hernangomez draws the foul)70
52.5%
71
47.5%
Q3 - 4:05HeatHeat defensive rebound70
52.9%
71
47.1%
Q3 - 4:07RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup jump shot70
51.5%
71
48.5%
Q3 - 4:19RaptorsO.G. Anunoby offensive rebound70
48.1%
71
51.9%
Q3 - 4:21RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point pullup jump shot70
51.5%
71
48.5%
Q3 - 4:34HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)70
48.1%
71
51.9%
Q3 - 4:43HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound70
52.9%
71
47.1%
Q3 - 4:46RaptorsFred VanVleet misses regular free throw 2 of 270
52.3%
71
47.7%
Q3 - 4:46RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 1 of 270
49.3%
71
50.7%
Q3 - 4:46HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)70
49.8%
70
50.2%
Q3 - 4:49RaptorsFred VanVleet defensive rebound70
52.2%
70
47.8%
Q3 - 4:51HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot70
53.7%
70
46.3%
Q3 - 5:09RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point pullup jump shot70
56.7%
70
43.3%
Q3 - 5:25HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)70
60.2%
68
39.8%
Q3 - 5:43RaptorsThaddeus Young personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)70
64.2%
68
35.8%
Q3 - 5:43HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound70
64.2%
68
35.8%
Q3 - 5:44RaptorsThaddeus Young misses two point floating jump shot70
63.0%
68
37.0%
Q3 - 5:55RaptorsO.G. Anunoby defensive rebound70
60.2%
68
39.8%
Q3 - 5:57HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot70
61.5%
68
38.5%
Q3 - 6:18RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes three point stepback jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)70
64.1%
68
35.9%
Q3 - 6:20RaptorsScottie Barnes offensive rebound70
70.5%
65
29.5%
Q3 - 6:23RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup jump shot70
72.8%
65
27.2%
Q3 - 6:30HeatNikola Jovic turnover (traveling)70
70.5%
65
29.5%
Q3 - 6:43RaptorsThaddeus Young makes two point hook shot70
73.8%
65
26.2%
Q3 - 6:44RaptorsThaddeus Young offensive rebound70
76.4%
63
23.6%
Q3 - 6:49RaptorsScottie Barnes misses three point jump shot70
78.4%
63
21.6%
Q3 - 6:54HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Thaddeus Young draws the foul)70
76.5%
63
23.5%
Q3 - 6:54RaptorsThaddeus Young offensive rebound70
76.5%
63
23.5%
Q3 - 6:57RaptorsO.G. Anunoby misses three point running jump shot70
78.4%
63
21.6%
Q3 - 7:00RaptorsThaddeus Young defensive rebound70
76.5%
63
23.5%
Q3 - 7:03HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving hook shot70
76.6%
63
23.4%
Q3 - 7:16RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 2 of 270
78.7%
63
21.3%
Q3 - 7:16RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 1 of 270
79.0%
62
21.0%
Q3 - 7:16HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)70
79.3%
61
20.7%
Q3 - 7:32RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez defensive rebound70
80.7%
61
19.3%
Q3 - 7:35HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot70
81.5%
61
18.5%
Q3 - 7:44HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound70
83.2%
61
16.8%
Q3 - 7:45HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving floating jump shot70
81.5%
61
18.5%
Q3 - 7:59HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound70
83.2%
61
16.8%
Q3 - 8:02RaptorsThaddeus Young misses two point driving finger roll layup70
82.0%
61
18.0%
Q3 - 8:19HeatNikola Jovic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)70
80.2%
61
19.8%
Q3 - 8:36RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point turnaround hook shot70
82.8%
61
17.2%
Q3 - 8:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Caleb Martin assists)70
84.4%
59
15.6%
Q3 - 8:55HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound68
82.8%
59
17.2%
Q3 - 8:57RaptorsDalano Banton misses three point jump shot68
82.0%
59
18.0%
Q3 - 9:12HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)68
79.8%
59
20.2%
Q3 - 9:28RaptorsFred VanVleet turnover (out of bounds bad pass)65
75.3%
59
24.7%
Q3 - 9:36RaptorsO.G. Anunoby defensive rebound65
72.3%
59
27.7%
Q3 - 9:39HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot65
73.3%
59
26.7%
Q3 - 10:04RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)65
74.7%
59
25.3%
Q3 - 10:06RaptorsScottie Barnes offensive rebound65
79.2%
56
20.8%
Q3 - 10:09RaptorsDalano Banton misses three point jump shot65
80.9%
56
19.1%
Q3 - 10:26HeatKyle Lowry turnover (traveling)65
79.2%
56
20.8%
Q3 - 10:31RaptorsDalano Banton personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)65
81.6%
56
18.4%
Q3 - 10:36HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound65
81.6%
56
18.4%
Q3 - 10:40RaptorsDalano Banton misses three point jump shot65
80.9%
56
19.1%
Q3 - 10:51HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)65
79.2%
56
20.8%
Q3 - 11:12RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point pullup jump shot62
74.4%
56
25.6%
Q3 - 11:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot62
76.7%
54
23.3%
Q3 - 11:48RaptorsThaddeus Young personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)60
74.4%
54
25.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.60
74.4%
54
25.6%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound60
74.0%
54
26.0%
Q2 - 0:00.3HeatKyle Lowry misses three point running pullup jump shot60
72.6%
54
27.4%
Q2 - 0:03.6HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound60
74.0%
54
26.0%
Q2 - 0:05.7RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez misses three point bank jump shot60
73.4%
54
26.6%
Q2 - 0:28.2HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds lost ball)60
71.9%
54
28.1%
Q2 - 0:29.6RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point tip dunk60
74.1%
54
25.9%
Q2 - 0:29.6RaptorsO.G. Anunoby offensive rebound60
76.8%
52
23.2%
Q2 - 0:31.4RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point stepback jump shot60
78.1%
52
21.9%
Q2 - 0:52.9HeatMax Strus turnover (traveling)60
76.8%
52
23.2%
Q2 - 1:05RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 2 of 260
78.3%
52
21.7%
Q2 - 1:05RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 1 of 260
78.6%
51
21.4%
Q2 - 1:05HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)60
78.8%
50
21.2%
Q2 - 1:21HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 260
80.9%
50
19.1%
Q2 - 1:21HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 259
80.3%
50
19.7%
Q2 - 1:21RaptorsThaddeus Young personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)58
79.6%
50
20.4%
Q2 - 1:21HeatHeat defensive rebound58
78.3%
50
21.7%
Q2 - 1:21RaptorsO.G. Anunoby misses two point driving floating bank jump shot58
77.8%
50
22.2%
Q2 - 1:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 258
76.7%
50
23.3%
Q2 - 1:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 257
76.4%
50
23.6%
Q2 - 1:36RaptorsDalano Banton shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)56
76.1%
50
23.9%
Q2 - 1:59RaptorsThaddeus Young makes two point floating jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)56
73.8%
50
26.2%
Q2 - 2:06RaptorsThaddeus Young defensive rebound56
75.7%
48
24.3%
Q2 - 2:09HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot56
76.4%
48
23.6%
Q2 - 2:22RaptorsThaddeus Young turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)56
78.0%
48
22.0%
Q2 - 2:41HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)56
75.8%
48
24.2%
Q2 - 2:44RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)54
73.6%
48
26.4%
Q2 - 3:01HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)54
70.4%
48
29.6%
Q2 - 3:16RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point running jump shot51
65.9%
48
34.1%
Q2 - 3:21RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound51
68.0%
46
32.0%
Q2 - 3:24HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot51
68.9%
46
31.1%
Q2 - 3:48RaptorsThaddeus Young makes two point driving hook shot51
70.9%
46
29.1%
Q2 - 4:06HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot51
72.8%
44
27.2%
Q2 - 4:24RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)48
68.1%
44
31.9%
Q2 - 4:47HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot48
65.6%
44
34.4%
Q2 - 5:08RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point driving layup45
60.8%
44
39.2%
Q2 - 5:29RaptorsO.G. Anunoby defensive rebound45
62.9%
42
37.1%
Q2 - 5:31HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 2 of 245
63.3%
42
36.7%
Q2 - 5:31HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 245
65.1%
42
34.9%
Q2 - 5:31RaptorsDalano Banton personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)44
64.7%
42
35.3%
Q2 - 5:44RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point stepback jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)44
63.4%
42
36.6%
Q2 - 5:46RaptorsKhem Birch offensive rebound44
67.9%
39
32.1%
Q2 - 5:51RaptorsDalano Banton misses three point running jump shot44
69.8%
39
30.2%
Q2 - 5:55RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound44
67.9%
39
32.1%
Q2 - 5:57HeatNikola Jovic misses two point alley-oop layup44
68.7%
39
31.3%
Q2 - 6:13RaptorsFred VanVleet turnover (offensive foul)44
70.6%
39
29.4%
Q2 - 6:13RaptorsFred VanVleet offensive foul (Off the ball) (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)44
67.8%
39
32.2%
Q2 - 6:19HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Khem Birch draws the foul)44
67.8%
39
32.2%
Q2 - 6:29HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 244
67.8%
39
32.2%
Q2 - 6:29HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 243
67.3%
39
32.7%
Q2 - 6:29RaptorsKhem Birch shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)42
66.8%
39
33.2%
Q2 - 6:49RaptorsKhem Birch makes two point cutting dunk (O.G. Anunoby assists)42
65.9%
39
34.1%
Q2 - 6:59HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 242
67.8%
37
32.2%
Q2 - 6:59HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 241
67.3%
37
32.7%
Q2 - 6:59RaptorsKhem Birch shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)40
66.8%
37
33.2%
Q2 - 7:10RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point running finger roll layup (Juancho Hernangomez assists)40
65.5%
37
34.5%
Q2 - 7:14HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Juancho Hernangomez steals)40
67.7%
35
32.3%
Q2 - 7:17HeatMax Strus defensive rebound40
70.1%
35
29.9%
Q2 - 7:19RaptorsCaleb Martin blocks Dalano Banton's two point running jump shot40
69.4%
35
30.6%
Q2 - 7:25HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Dalano Banton steals)40
67.7%
35
32.3%
Q2 - 7:36HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound40
70.1%
35
29.9%
Q2 - 7:40RaptorsKhem Birch misses two point running jump shot40
69.4%
35
30.6%
Q2 - 7:45RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez defensive rebound40
67.7%
35
32.3%
Q2 - 7:49HeatO.G. Anunoby blocks Max Strus's three point jump shot40
68.4%
35
31.6%
Q2 - 8:08RaptorsDalano Banton makes two point running finger roll layup (Khem Birch assists)40
69.8%
35
30.2%
Q2 - 8:12HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Khem Birch steals)40
71.8%
33
28.2%
Q2 - 8:27RaptorsO.G. Anunoby turnover (offensive foul)40
74.0%
33
26.0%
Q2 - 8:27RaptorsO.G. Anunoby offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)40
71.8%
33
28.2%
Q2 - 8:43HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)40
71.8%
33
28.2%
Q2 - 8:49HeatHeat defensive rebound38
69.8%
33
30.2%
Q2 - 8:49RaptorsChris Boucher misses regular free throw 2 of 238
69.5%
33
30.5%
Q2 - 8:49RaptorsChris Boucher makes regular free throw 1 of 238
68.0%
33
32.0%
Q2 - 8:49HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Chris Boucher draws the foul)38
68.5%
32
31.5%
Q2 - 9:10HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 138
69.3%
32
30.7%
Q2 - 9:10RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)37
68.9%
32
31.1%
Q2 - 9:14RaptorsChris Boucher turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)35
64.9%
32
35.1%
Q2 - 9:29HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (3-second violation)35
62.4%
32
37.6%
Q2 - 9:45RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez personal foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)35
64.9%
32
35.1%
Q2 - 9:50HeatMax Strus defensive rebound35
64.9%
32
35.1%
Q2 - 9:53RaptorsDalano Banton misses three point jump shot35
64.1%
32
35.9%
Q2 - 10:08RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound35
62.4%
32
37.6%
Q2 - 10:10HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 135
62.7%
32
37.3%
Q2 - 10:10RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)35
64.2%
32
35.8%
Q2 - 10:32RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point running layup33
60.1%
32
39.9%
Q2 - 10:38RaptorsO.G. Anunoby defensive rebound33
62.4%
30
37.6%
Q2 - 10:40HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot33
63.1%
30
36.9%
Q2 - 10:47RaptorsChris Boucher makes regular free throw 2 of 233
64.8%
30
35.2%
Q2 - 10:47RaptorsChris Boucher misses regular free throw 1 of 233
65.2%
29
34.8%
Q2 - 10:47HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Chris Boucher draws the foul)33
63.4%
29
36.6%
Q2 - 11:06HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving reverse layup33
64.5%
29
35.5%
Q2 - 11:26RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point cutting dunk (Dalano Banton assists)31
62.2%
29
37.8%
Q2 - 11:33HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Loose ball) (Christian Koloko draws the foul)31
64.5%
27
35.5%
Q2 - 11:33RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound31
64.5%
27
35.5%
Q2 - 11:34RaptorsChris Boucher misses two point turnaround jump shot31
66.0%
27
34.0%
Q2 - 11:49HeatMax Strus turnover (traveling)31
64.5%
27
35.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
66.7%
27
33.3%
Q1 - 0:00.3HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Chris Boucher steals)31
64.3%
27
35.7%
Q1 - 0:02.3HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound31
66.2%
27
33.8%
Q1 - 0:02.3HeatChristian Koloko blocks Duncan Robinson's two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot31
64.9%
27
35.1%
Q1 - 0:05.7RaptorsFred VanVleet personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)31
66.2%
27
33.8%
Q1 - 0:09.1RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point driving floating jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)31
66.2%
27
33.8%
Q1 - 0:28.9HeatCaleb Martin makes two point layup (Duncan Robinson assists)31
68.5%
25
31.5%
Q1 - 0:40.7HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound29
66.2%
25
33.8%
Q1 - 0:44.5RaptorsChris Boucher misses three point jump shot29
65.6%
25
34.4%
Q1 - 0:51.2RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound29
64.3%
25
35.7%
Q1 - 0:54.3HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot29
64.9%
25
35.1%
Q1 - 1:06HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound29
66.3%
25
33.7%
Q1 - 1:09RaptorsScottie Barnes misses two point running pullup jump shot29
65.7%
25
34.3%
Q1 - 1:14RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound29
64.4%
25
35.6%
Q1 - 1:15HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot29
65.0%
25
35.0%
Q1 - 1:30RaptorsChris Boucher makes two point tip dunk29
66.3%
25
33.7%
Q1 - 1:30RaptorsChris Boucher offensive rebound29
68.5%
23
31.5%
Q1 - 1:31RaptorsJuancho Hernangomez misses two point cutting finger roll layup29
69.8%
23
30.2%
Q1 - 1:46HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)29
68.5%
23
31.5%
Q1 - 1:59RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point driving finger roll layup27
66.3%
23
33.7%
Q1 - 2:23HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)27
68.1%
21
31.9%
Q1 - 2:39RaptorsChristian Koloko makes two point alley-oop dunk (Fred VanVleet assists)27
70.1%
21
29.9%
Q1 - 2:50RaptorsFred VanVleet makes technical free throw 1 of 127
71.9%
19
28.1%
Q1 - 2:50Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)27
72.4%
18
27.6%
Q1 - 3:02HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot27
73.1%
18
26.9%
Q1 - 3:07RaptorsScottie Barnes makes three point jump shot24
69.9%
18
30.1%
Q1 - 3:08RaptorsScottie Barnes offensive rebound24
73.1%
15
26.9%
Q1 - 3:11RaptorsKyle Lowry blocks Fred VanVleet's two point driving floating jump shot24
74.5%
15
25.5%
Q1 - 3:23RaptorsChristian Koloko offensive rebound24
73.1%
15
26.9%
Q1 - 3:26RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup jump shot24
74.5%
15
25.5%
Q1 - 3:36HeatKyle Lowry makes two point fadeaway jump shot24
73.1%
15
26.9%
Q1 - 4:01RaptorsFred VanVleet turnover (offensive foul)22
71.1%
15
28.9%
Q1 - 4:01RaptorsFred VanVleet offensive foul (Charge) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)22
69.1%
15
30.9%
Q1 - 4:09RaptorsChris Boucher offensive rebound22
69.1%
15
30.9%
Q1 - 4:09RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point pullup jump shot22
70.5%
15
29.5%
Q1 - 4:22HeatKyle Lowry turnover (traveling)22
69.1%
15
30.9%
Q1 - 4:28RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point pullup jump shot22
71.2%
15
28.8%
Q1 - 4:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)22
72.6%
13
27.4%
Q1 - 5:01HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound20
70.8%
13
29.2%
Q1 - 5:05RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point pullup jump shot20
70.2%
13
29.8%
Q1 - 5:17HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 220
68.9%
13
31.1%
Q1 - 5:17HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 219
68.4%
13
31.6%
Q1 - 5:17RaptorsChristian Koloko shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)18
67.8%
13
32.2%
Q1 - 5:29RaptorsChristian Koloko makes two point alley-oop dunk (Fred VanVleet assists)18
67.3%
13
32.7%
Q1 - 5:34HeatJamal Cain personal foul (O.G. Anunoby draws the foul)18
68.9%
11
31.1%
Q1 - 5:43HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)18
68.9%
11
31.1%
Q1 - 5:56HeatHeat defensive rebound18
70.8%
11
29.2%
Q1 - 5:56RaptorsFred VanVleet misses two point driving reverse layup18
70.2%
11
29.8%
Q1 - 6:06RaptorsDalano Banton offensive rebound18
68.8%
11
31.2%
Q1 - 6:08RaptorsDalano Banton misses two point driving floating jump shot18
70.0%
11
30.0%
Q1 - 6:20HeatCaleb Martin makes three point stepback jump shot18
68.8%
11
31.2%
Q1 - 6:21HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound15
65.4%
11
34.6%
Q1 - 6:25HeatScottie Barnes blocks Caleb Martin's three point jump shot15
64.0%
11
36.0%
Q1 - 6:50RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (traveling)15
65.4%
11
34.6%
Q1 - 6:50RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound15
63.5%
11
36.5%
Q1 - 6:50RaptorsScottie Barnes misses two point driving floating jump shot15
64.8%
11
35.2%
Q1 - 6:54HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Scottie Barnes steals)15
63.5%
11
36.5%
Q1 - 7:12RaptorsDalano Banton makes three point jump shot (Thaddeus Young assists)15
65.5%
11
34.5%
Q1 - 7:33HeatNikola Jovic makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)15
68.8%
8
31.2%
Q1 - 7:39HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 113
67.2%
8
32.8%
Q1 - 7:39Raptors technical foul (Defensive three second)12
66.8%
8
33.2%
Q1 - 7:51RaptorsThaddeus Young makes two point hook shot (O.G. Anunoby assists)12
65.4%
8
34.6%
Q1 - 7:59RaptorsThaddeus Young defensive rebound12
67.0%
6
33.0%
Q1 - 8:01HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot12
67.7%
6
32.3%
Q1 - 8:21RaptorsO.G. Anunoby makes two point driving floating jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)12
69.0%
6
31.0%
Q1 - 8:29RaptorsO.G. Anunoby defensive rebound12
70.5%
4
29.5%
Q1 - 8:32HeatKyle Lowry misses three point stepback jump shot12
71.0%
4
29.0%
Q1 - 8:48RaptorsO.G. Anunoby turnover (traveling)12
72.2%
4
27.8%
Q1 - 8:57RaptorsO.G. Anunoby defensive rebound12
70.5%
4
29.5%
Q1 - 9:00HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot12
71.0%
4
29.0%
Q1 - 9:12HeatHeat defensive rebound12
71.8%
4
28.2%
Q1 - 9:14RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot12
71.3%
4
28.7%
Q1 - 9:28HeatNikola Jovic makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)12
70.1%
4
29.9%
Q1 - 9:41HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound10
68.7%
4
31.3%
Q1 - 9:43RaptorsThaddeus Young misses two point hook shot10
68.1%
4
31.9%
Q1 - 9:58HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)10
66.9%
4
33.1%
Q1 - 10:10RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (traveling)7
63.3%
4
36.7%
Q1 - 10:29HeatCaleb Martin makes two point putback layup7
61.4%
4
38.6%
Q1 - 10:30HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound5
59.8%
4
40.2%
Q1 - 10:32HeatCaleb Martin misses two point floating jump shot5
58.5%
4
41.5%
Q1 - 10:43RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point pullup jump shot5
59.8%
4
40.2%
Q1 - 10:54HeatNikola Jovic makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)5
61.5%
2
38.5%
Q1 - 11:20RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point stepback jump shot3
59.8%
2
40.2%
Q1 - 11:32HeatKyle Lowry makes three point running pullup jump shot3
61.3%
0
38.7%
Q1 - 11:34HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound0
58.1%
0
41.9%
Q1 - 11:37RaptorsDalano Banton misses two point driving floating bank jump shot0
57.5%
0
42.5%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Jovic vs. Scottie Barnes (Dalano Banton gains possession)0
56.1%
0
43.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.37 68.4%
TOR
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
16
94%
TOR
19
25
76%
Midrange
MIA
8
15
53%
TOR
18
35
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
35
37%
56%
TOR
7
10.5
26
27%
40%
Free Throws
MIA
19
22
86%
TOR
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Strus2077%10.0 / 13
K. Lowry1986%9.5 / 11
G. Vincent1673%8.0 / 11
C. Martin1470%7.0 / 10
J. Butler1365%6.5 / 10
N. Jović1365%6.5 / 10
D. Dedmon990%4.5 / 5
D. Robinson0-0.0 / 2
J. Cain0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
O. Anunoby3276%16.0 / 21
F. VanVleet2348%11.5 / 24
S. Barnes1968%9.5 / 14
C. Boucher1568%7.5 / 11
T. Young1267%6.0 / 9
D. Banton525%2.5 / 10
C. Koloko4100%2.0 / 2
K. Birch250%1.0 / 2
J. Hernangomez0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+6
-23
76
TOR
80
+19
-14
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.37 68.4%
TOR
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.9
115.0
MIA 111.8
TOR 119.1 +7.3
Pace
96.3
97.5
MIA 98.0 +8.6
TOR 89.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.9
MIA 14.7 +1.4
TOR 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
51.7%
MIA 64.4% +9.2%
TOR 55.2%
TO %
13.2%
11.4%
MIA 23.3%
TOR 12.8% +10.5%
ORB %
22.8%
27.8%
MIA 13.3%
TOR 45.7% +32.4%
FTrt
27.0
25.7
MIA 33.3 +7.7
TOR 25.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
57.1%
MIA 52.8% +0.5%
TOR 52.3%
STL %
8.2%
9.6%
MIA 5.4% +0.1%
TOR 5.3%
BLK %
6.3%
10.4%
MIA 6.7%
TOR 9.7% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.01 and 3.01.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
54.3%
MIA 68.4% +11.8%
TOR 56.6%
Rim FG%
62.6%
63.1%
MIA 93.8% +17.8%
TOR 76.0%
Mid FG%
45.3%
40.5%
MIA 53.3% +1.9%
TOR 51.4%
3P %
34.4%
33.5%
MIA 37.1% +10.2%
TOR 26.9%
FT %
83.1%
78.4%
MIA 86.4% +9.1%
TOR 77.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
34.5%
MIA 24.2%
TOR 29.1% +4.8%
Mid Att. %
29.4%
30.4%
MIA 22.7% +18.0%
TOR 40.7%
3P Att. %
40.8%
35.1%
MIA 53.0% +22.8%
TOR 30.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points104112
Rebounds2342
Assists1923
Steals55
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)23 (0)14 (0)
Fouls2023
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (7)26 (1)
Field Goals36-6644-86
At-the-Rim FG15-1619-25
Midrange FG8-1518-35
2-Point FG23-3137-60
3-Point FG13-357-26
Free Throws19-2217-22
Fast Break Pts129
2nd Chance Pts526
Points in Paint4258
Pts off Turnovers2529
Bench Points2521
Biggest Lead1110

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27
38.3
14
70%
9
3
0
2
3
3
2
7
0-0
-
4-6
67%
2-4
50%
#22 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33
38.3
13
65%
1
5
1
0
5
2
0
1
5-5
100%
4-6
67%
0-2
0%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
35.6
19
86%
1
2
1
1
4
5
0
1
3-4
75%
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27
35.4
20
77%
3
0
2
1
3
0
0
3
5-5
100%
3-3
100%
3-8
38%
#5 · C · 6'10" 205 · 19
23.8
13
65%
3
1
1
0
2
1
1
2
4-4
100%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26
32.1
16
73%
2
5
0
0
2
4
0
2
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
3-8
38%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33
15.9
9
90%
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
1-3
33%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
14.5
0
0%
3
3
0
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 24
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 25
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Contusion
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22
DNP – Coach's Decision
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Surgery
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Tendinosis
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42
Inactive – Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
68%
23
19
5
4
23
20
4
19
19-22
86%
23-31
74%
13-35
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.