for complete access.
All Games Friday, October 21, 2022
FinalWin Prob.pScore
1
Celtics
54%113
111
6
Heat
46%111
104
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
116.89591.8
MIA logo MIA
109.59598.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.111
100%
104
0%
Q4 - 0:14.5HeatGabe Vincent makes three point stepback jump shot111
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.2CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)111
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot108
99.5%
101
0.5%
Q4 - 0:47.2CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
99.6%
99
0.4%
Q4 - 0:47.2CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
99.6%
99
0.4%
Q4 - 0:47.2HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)106
99.5%
99
0.5%
Q4 - 1:03CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound106
98.9%
99
1.1%
Q4 - 1:07HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot106
98.5%
99
1.5%
Q4 - 1:22CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point driving layup106
96.8%
99
3.2%
Q4 - 1:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Tyler Herro assists)104
94.0%
99
6.0%
Q4 - 1:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound104
95.4%
97
4.6%
Q4 - 1:54CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point running jump shot104
96.2%
97
3.8%
Q4 - 1:57CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound104
97.4%
97
2.6%
Q4 - 2:01HeatGrant Williams blocks Kyle Lowry's two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot104
97.1%
97
2.9%
Q4 - 2:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound104
95.6%
97
4.4%
Q4 - 2:13CelticsTyler Herro blocks Jayson Tatum's two point cutting layup104
96.4%
97
3.6%
Q4 - 2:28HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)104
97.7%
97
2.3%
Q4 - 2:42HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)104
97.8%
97
2.2%
Q4 - 2:51CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)104
97.4%
95
2.6%
Q4 - 2:51HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound104
97.4%
95
2.6%
Q4 - 2:51HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving reverse layup104
98.1%
95
1.9%
Q4 - 3:04CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving floating jump shot104
97.4%
95
2.6%
Q4 - 3:22CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound102
96.6%
95
3.4%
Q4 - 3:25HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot102
96.1%
95
3.9%
Q4 - 3:46CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving reverse layup102
91.6%
95
8.4%
Q4 - 3:47CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound100
88.7%
95
11.3%
Q4 - 3:49CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point cutting layup100
85.8%
95
14.2%
Q4 - 4:12HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)100
89.0%
95
11.0%
Q4 - 4:17CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)100
91.9%
93
8.1%
Q4 - 4:31CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)100
92.0%
93
8.0%
Q4 - 4:46CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound100
94.5%
93
5.5%
Q4 - 4:48HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot100
93.8%
93
6.2%
Q4 - 5:07CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (traveling)100
89.7%
93
10.3%
Q4 - 5:27HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)100
92.5%
93
7.5%
Q4 - 5:27CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound100
92.5%
93
7.5%
Q4 - 5:27HeatDerrick White blocks Jimmy Butler's two point layup100
91.8%
93
8.2%
Q4 - 5:44CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)100
89.8%
93
10.2%
Q4 - 5:44CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Off the ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)100
92.6%
93
7.4%
Q4 - 5:54HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)100
92.6%
93
7.4%
Q4 - 6:09CelticsAl Horford turnover (out of bounds bad pass)100
92.6%
91
7.4%
Q4 - 6:26CelticsCeltics defensive rebound100
94.7%
91
5.3%
Q4 - 6:27HeatKyle Lowry misses three point running pullup jump shot100
94.1%
91
5.9%
Q4 - 6:27HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound100
92.7%
91
7.3%
Q4 - 6:32CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot100
93.4%
91
6.6%
Q4 - 6:50HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)100
94.7%
91
5.3%
Q4 - 7:08CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)100
94.6%
89
5.4%
Q4 - 7:08CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Off the ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)100
96.0%
89
4.0%
Q4 - 7:23HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)100
96.0%
89
4.0%
Q4 - 7:30CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot100
97.5%
86
2.5%
Q4 - 7:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot98
97.0%
86
3.0%
Q4 - 8:08CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running layup98
96.9%
84
3.1%
Q4 - 8:13CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound96
96.1%
84
3.9%
Q4 - 8:15HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup96
95.8%
84
4.2%
Q4 - 8:34CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)96
95.1%
84
4.9%
Q4 - 8:43HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)93
92.3%
84
7.7%
Q4 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound93
90.2%
84
9.8%
Q4 - 8:49CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point stepback jump shot93
90.9%
84
9.1%
Q4 - 9:04HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)93
91.3%
84
8.7%
Q4 - 9:17CelticsGrant Williams makes two point tip layup93
92.8%
82
7.2%
Q4 - 9:17CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound91
91.3%
82
8.7%
Q4 - 9:20CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup91
89.8%
82
10.2%
Q4 - 9:40HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving finger roll layup91
91.3%
82
8.7%
Q4 - 9:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound91
92.9%
80
7.1%
Q4 - 9:51CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point pullup jump shot91
93.4%
80
6.6%
Q4 - 10:03CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound91
93.4%
80
6.6%
Q4 - 10:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot91
92.9%
80
7.1%
Q4 - 10:14Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. Grant Williams (Gabe Vincent gains possession)91
91.7%
80
8.3%
Q4 - 10:17CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound91
93.4%
80
6.6%
Q4 - 10:20HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot91
92.9%
80
7.1%
Q4 - 10:23HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound91
91.8%
80
8.2%
Q4 - 10:24HeatJimmy Butler misses two point tip layup91
93.0%
80
7.0%
Q4 - 10:24HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound91
91.8%
80
8.2%
Q4 - 10:27HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup91
93.0%
80
7.0%
Q4 - 10:46CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving reverse layup91
91.8%
80
8.2%
Q4 - 11:08HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 289
89.0%
80
11.0%
Q4 - 11:08HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 289
89.4%
79
10.6%
Q4 - 11:08CelticsNoah Vonleh shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)89
87.8%
79
12.2%
Q4 - 11:19HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound89
89.0%
79
11.0%
Q4 - 11:21CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point fadeaway jump shot89
89.6%
79
10.4%
Q4 - 11:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Gabe Vincent assists)89
90.9%
79
9.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.89
92.5%
77
7.5%
Q3 - 0:01.3HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound89
91.7%
77
8.3%
Q3 - 0:01.3CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot89
92.1%
77
7.9%
Q3 - 0:07.8CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound89
93.0%
77
7.0%
Q3 - 0:07.8HeatJayson Tatum blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup89
92.7%
77
7.3%
Q3 - 0:22.6CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)89
91.7%
77
8.3%
Q3 - 0:29.2CelticsMalcolm Brogdon offensive rebound86
88.2%
77
11.8%
Q3 - 0:29.2CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup86
86.7%
77
13.3%
Q3 - 0:46.9HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup86
88.2%
77
11.8%
Q3 - 0:55.1CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)86
90.1%
75
9.9%
Q3 - 1:05HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Sam Hauser steals)83
84.9%
75
15.1%
Q3 - 1:22CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 283
82.3%
75
17.7%
Q3 - 1:22CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 282
81.9%
75
18.1%
Q3 - 1:22HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)81
81.5%
75
18.5%
Q3 - 1:29CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound81
79.6%
75
20.4%
Q3 - 1:29HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving finger roll layup81
78.6%
75
21.4%
Q3 - 1:38HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound81
76.2%
75
23.8%
Q3 - 1:40CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot81
77.3%
75
22.7%
Q3 - 1:55HeatMax Strus turnover (traveling)81
79.6%
75
20.4%
Q3 - 2:13CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point putback layup81
75.1%
75
24.9%
Q3 - 2:16CelticsMalcolm Brogdon offensive rebound79
71.8%
75
28.2%
Q3 - 2:16CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving floating jump shot79
69.1%
75
30.9%
Q3 - 2:29HeatGabe Vincent makes two point stepback jump shot79
71.9%
75
28.1%
Q3 - 2:46CelticsNoah Vonleh turnover (offensive foul)79
75.1%
73
24.9%
Q3 - 2:46CelticsNoah Vonleh offensive foul (Max Strus draws the foul)79
78.5%
73
21.5%
Q3 - 2:48CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound79
78.5%
73
21.5%
Q3 - 2:49HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot79
77.5%
73
22.5%
Q3 - 3:03CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup (Grant Williams assists)79
74.4%
73
25.6%
Q3 - 3:08CelticsMalcolm Brogdon offensive rebound77
71.6%
73
28.4%
Q3 - 3:09CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving floating bank jump shot77
68.7%
73
31.3%
Q3 - 3:15CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound77
71.6%
73
28.4%
Q3 - 3:18HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot77
70.4%
73
29.6%
Q3 - 3:25HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound77
67.4%
73
32.6%
Q3 - 3:27CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot77
68.7%
73
31.3%
Q3 - 3:41HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 277
71.6%
73
28.4%
Q3 - 3:41HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 277
72.1%
72
27.9%
Q3 - 3:41CelticsNoah Vonleh personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)77
72.7%
71
27.3%
Q3 - 3:52CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)77
74.4%
71
25.6%
Q3 - 4:00CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound75
71.6%
71
28.4%
Q3 - 4:04HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot75
70.0%
71
30.0%
Q3 - 4:25CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot75
67.2%
71
32.8%
Q3 - 4:36CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound72
60.3%
71
39.7%
Q3 - 4:38HeatKyle Lowry misses three point stepback jump shot72
58.8%
71
41.2%
Q3 - 4:57CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving hook shot72
55.6%
71
44.4%
Q3 - 5:12CelticsJayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 170
52.1%
71
47.9%
Q3 - 5:12HeatBam Adebayo technical foul69
51.1%
71
48.9%
Q3 - 5:12HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)69
51.1%
71
48.9%
Q3 - 5:12HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)69
43.9%
71
56.1%
Q3 - 5:21CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds step)69
43.9%
71
56.1%
Q3 - 5:21CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound69
48.2%
71
51.8%
Q3 - 5:24CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot69
45.2%
71
54.8%
Q3 - 5:39HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Al Horford draws the foul)69
48.2%
71
51.8%
Q3 - 5:39CelticsCeltics defensive rebound69
48.2%
71
51.8%
Q3 - 5:39HeatJayson Tatum blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving bank jump shot69
46.9%
71
53.1%
Q3 - 5:40HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound69
43.9%
71
56.1%
Q3 - 5:42CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point layup69
45.2%
71
54.8%
Q3 - 5:43CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound69
48.2%
71
51.8%
Q3 - 5:47CelticsKyle Lowry blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving layup69
45.2%
71
54.8%
Q3 - 6:03HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 269
48.6%
71
51.4%
Q3 - 6:03HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 269
49.1%
70
50.9%
Q3 - 6:03CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)69
49.7%
69
50.3%
Q3 - 6:19CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)69
52.1%
69
47.9%
Q3 - 6:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)69
56.1%
69
43.9%
Q3 - 6:43CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)69
59.6%
67
40.4%
Q3 - 6:55HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)69
63.4%
67
36.6%
Q3 - 7:15CelticsAl Horford turnover (offensive foul)69
69.3%
64
30.7%
Q3 - 7:15CelticsAl Horford offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)69
72.7%
64
27.3%
Q3 - 7:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 269
72.8%
64
27.2%
Q3 - 7:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 269
73.4%
63
26.6%
Q3 - 7:33CelticsMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)69
74.1%
62
25.9%
Q3 - 7:33HeatHeat offensive rebound69
75.2%
62
24.8%
Q3 - 7:33HeatTyler Herro misses three point fadeaway jump shot69
77.3%
62
22.7%
Q3 - 7:56CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point cutting layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)69
75.2%
62
24.8%
Q3 - 8:11HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 267
72.5%
62
27.5%
Q3 - 8:11HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 267
72.8%
61
27.2%
Q3 - 8:11CelticsMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)67
70.4%
61
29.6%
Q3 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound67
71.9%
61
28.1%
Q3 - 8:15HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot67
74.2%
61
25.8%
Q3 - 8:26CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)67
71.9%
61
28.1%
Q3 - 8:36CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point layup67
71.9%
61
28.1%
Q3 - 8:50HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot65
69.5%
61
30.5%
Q3 - 9:06CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 265
71.6%
59
28.4%
Q3 - 9:06CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 264
71.2%
59
28.8%
Q3 - 9:06HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)63
70.8%
59
29.2%
Q3 - 9:10HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Jayson Tatum steals)63
69.1%
59
30.9%
Q3 - 9:16HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound63
65.7%
59
34.3%
Q3 - 9:18HeatCaleb Martin misses two point cutting dunk63
68.1%
59
31.9%
Q3 - 9:23CelticsAl Horford turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)63
65.7%
59
34.3%
Q3 - 9:36HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)63
69.2%
59
30.8%
Q3 - 9:47CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
74.4%
56
25.6%
Q3 - 9:52HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound63
74.4%
56
25.6%
Q3 - 9:54CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot63
75.3%
56
24.7%
Q3 - 10:15HeatCaleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)63
76.6%
56
23.4%
Q3 - 10:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound63
78.7%
54
21.3%
Q3 - 10:23CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot63
79.4%
54
20.6%
Q3 - 10:40HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 163
81.1%
54
18.9%
Q3 - 10:40CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)63
81.4%
53
18.6%
Q3 - 10:45HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound63
84.7%
51
15.3%
Q3 - 10:46HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup63
86.0%
51
14.0%
Q3 - 10:54CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup63
84.7%
51
15.3%
Q3 - 11:15HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)61
82.7%
51
17.3%
Q3 - 11:15HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)61
80.6%
51
19.4%
Q3 - 11:17CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)61
80.6%
51
19.4%
Q3 - 11:31CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)61
80.6%
51
19.4%
Q3 - 11:45HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)59
78.6%
51
21.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.59
78.6%
51
21.4%
Q2 - 0:01.1CelticsCeltics defensive rebound59
78.0%
51
22.0%
Q2 - 0:04.3HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot59
77.5%
51
22.5%
Q2 - 0:24.1HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound59
76.2%
51
23.8%
Q2 - 0:27.7CelticsTyler Herro blocks Derrick White's two point running layup59
76.8%
51
23.2%
Q2 - 0:30.7CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound59
78.1%
51
21.9%
Q2 - 0:33.8HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 2 of 259
77.8%
51
22.2%
Q2 - 0:33.8HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 259
76.2%
51
23.8%
Q2 - 0:33.8CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)59
76.5%
50
23.5%
Q2 - 0:40.9CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point driving bank jump shot59
78.5%
50
21.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound57
75.8%
50
24.2%
Q2 - 0:53.7HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot57
75.2%
50
24.8%
Q2 - 1:03CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)57
73.7%
50
26.3%
Q2 - 1:03HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound57
73.7%
50
26.3%
Q2 - 1:06CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround jump shot57
74.3%
50
25.7%
Q2 - 1:15CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound57
75.5%
50
24.5%
Q2 - 1:17HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot57
75.0%
50
25.0%
Q2 - 1:47CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point cutting dunk (Marcus Smart assists)57
73.8%
50
26.2%
Q2 - 2:08CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound55
70.5%
50
29.5%
Q2 - 2:11HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot55
69.7%
50
30.3%
Q2 - 2:20HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound55
67.8%
50
32.2%
Q2 - 2:22CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot55
68.6%
50
31.4%
Q2 - 2:43HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot55
70.5%
50
29.5%
Q2 - 2:52HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound55
72.8%
48
27.2%
Q2 - 2:55CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot55
73.6%
48
26.4%
Q2 - 3:19HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)55
74.7%
48
25.3%
Q2 - 3:22HeatHeat offensive rebound55
76.5%
46
23.5%
Q2 - 3:22HeatJaylen Brown blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup55
78.1%
46
21.9%
Q2 - 3:38CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point driving floating jump shot55
76.5%
46
23.5%
Q2 - 4:01HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 253
74.2%
46
25.8%
Q2 - 4:01HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 253
74.5%
45
25.5%
Q2 - 4:01CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)53
74.8%
44
25.2%
Q2 - 4:12CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 253
76.3%
44
23.7%
Q2 - 4:12CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 252
75.9%
44
24.1%
Q2 - 4:12HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)51
75.4%
44
24.6%
Q2 - 4:15CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound51
74.3%
44
25.7%
Q2 - 4:18HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot51
73.6%
44
26.4%
Q2 - 4:30CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)51
72.0%
44
28.0%
Q2 - 4:42HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup48
67.3%
44
32.7%
Q2 - 4:49HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound48
69.7%
42
30.3%
Q2 - 4:53CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot48
70.4%
42
29.6%
Q2 - 5:07HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)48
72.2%
42
27.8%
Q2 - 5:07HeatHeat offensive rebound48
69.4%
42
30.6%
Q2 - 5:07HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving layup48
71.4%
42
28.6%
Q2 - 5:31CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (out of bounds bad pass)48
69.4%
42
30.6%
Q2 - 5:38HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot48
72.2%
42
27.8%
Q2 - 5:53CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup48
76.0%
39
24.0%
Q2 - 6:03HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)46
74.1%
39
25.9%
Q2 - 6:21CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)46
75.7%
37
24.3%
Q2 - 6:34HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)43
72.0%
37
28.0%
Q2 - 6:35CelticsNoah Vonleh offensive rebound43
72.0%
37
28.0%
Q2 - 6:38CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot43
70.1%
37
29.9%
Q2 - 6:48CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound43
72.0%
37
28.0%
Q2 - 6:50HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot43
71.2%
37
28.8%
Q2 - 7:05HeatMax Strus defensive rebound43
69.1%
37
30.9%
Q2 - 7:09CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot43
69.8%
37
30.2%
Q2 - 7:16CelticsNoah Vonleh defensive rebound43
71.5%
37
28.5%
Q2 - 7:20HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot43
70.8%
37
29.2%
Q2 - 7:26CelticsMalcolm Brogdon turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)43
69.1%
37
30.9%
Q2 - 7:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot43
71.5%
37
28.5%
Q2 - 7:49CelticsGrant Williams makes two point driving bank jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)43
73.4%
35
26.6%
Q2 - 8:06HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot41
71.1%
35
28.9%
Q2 - 8:16CelticsSam Hauser personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)41
75.1%
32
24.9%
Q2 - 8:27CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point pullup jump shot41
75.1%
32
24.9%
Q2 - 8:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot38
71.2%
32
28.8%
Q2 - 9:07CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot38
72.7%
30
27.3%
Q2 - 9:20HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot35
68.5%
30
31.5%
Q2 - 9:34CelticsNoah Vonleh turnover (offensive foul)35
70.6%
28
29.4%
Q2 - 9:34CelticsNoah Vonleh offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)35
72.8%
28
27.2%
Q2 - 9:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup35
72.8%
28
27.2%
Q2 - 9:53CelticsMalcolm Brogdon turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)35
74.7%
26
25.3%
Q2 - 10:07HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)35
76.3%
26
23.7%
Q2 - 10:17CelticsNoah Vonleh makes two point dunk35
78.0%
24
22.0%
Q2 - 10:17CelticsNoah Vonleh offensive rebound33
76.3%
24
23.7%
Q2 - 10:21CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup33
75.0%
24
25.0%
Q2 - 10:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk33
76.3%
24
23.7%
Q2 - 10:41HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound33
78.0%
22
22.0%
Q2 - 10:44HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot33
79.2%
22
20.8%
Q2 - 10:51HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound33
78.0%
22
22.0%
Q2 - 10:55HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot33
79.2%
22
20.8%
Q2 - 11:10CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Grant Williams assists)33
77.4%
22
22.6%
Q2 - 11:17CelticsCeltics defensive rebound30
73.8%
22
26.2%
Q2 - 11:19HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot30
73.3%
22
26.7%
Q2 - 11:36CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)30
72.0%
22
28.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.30
73.9%
22
26.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound30
72.0%
22
28.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatGrant Williams blocks Haywood Highsmith's three point jump shot30
73.3%
22
26.7%
Q1 - 0:02.8CelticsSam Hauser personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)30
71.6%
22
28.4%
Q1 - 0:06.4HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound30
71.6%
22
28.4%
Q1 - 0:10.1HeatNoah Vonleh blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup30
72.7%
22
27.3%
Q1 - 0:23.5CelticsNoah Vonleh makes two point driving dunk30
71.6%
22
28.4%
Q1 - 0:24.3CelticsNoah Vonleh offensive rebound28
69.4%
22
30.6%
Q1 - 0:26.8CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot28
68.2%
22
31.8%
Q1 - 0:43.3HeatGabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)28
69.4%
22
30.6%
Q1 - 0:43.3HeatGabe Vincent offensive foul (Sam Hauser draws the foul)28
67.6%
22
32.4%
Q1 - 0:50.2CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 228
67.6%
22
32.4%
Q1 - 0:50.2CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 227
67.3%
22
32.7%
Q1 - 0:50.2HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)26
67.0%
22
33.0%
Q1 - 1:04HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point hook shot (Duncan Robinson assists)26
65.4%
22
34.6%
Q1 - 1:25CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot26
67.7%
20
32.3%
Q1 - 1:39CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound23
63.3%
20
36.7%
Q1 - 1:42HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot23
62.7%
20
37.3%
Q1 - 1:51CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup23
61.3%
20
38.7%
Q1 - 2:04HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Gabe Vincent assists)21
59.0%
20
41.0%
Q1 - 2:19CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)21
61.0%
18
39.0%
Q1 - 2:36HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)18
56.8%
18
43.2%
Q1 - 2:59CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 218
61.1%
15
38.9%
Q1 - 2:59CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 217
60.8%
15
39.2%
Q1 - 2:59HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)16
60.4%
15
39.6%
Q1 - 3:03CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound16
58.9%
15
41.1%
Q1 - 3:04HeatNoah Vonleh blocks Kyle Lowry's two point driving layup16
58.1%
15
41.9%
Q1 - 3:15HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound16
56.3%
15
43.7%
Q1 - 3:18CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot16
57.1%
15
42.9%
Q1 - 3:29CelticsNoah Vonleh defensive rebound16
58.9%
15
41.1%
Q1 - 3:30HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot16
58.1%
15
41.9%
Q1 - 3:47CelticsDerrick White turnover (out of bounds step)16
56.3%
15
43.7%
Q1 - 3:53CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound16
58.9%
15
41.1%
Q1 - 3:56HeatDerrick White blocks Tyler Herro's two point stepback jump shot16
58.1%
15
41.9%
Q1 - 4:06HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound16
56.5%
15
43.5%
Q1 - 4:09CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot16
57.2%
15
42.8%
Q1 - 4:20CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound16
58.8%
15
41.2%
Q1 - 4:23HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot16
58.1%
15
41.9%
Q1 - 4:23HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound16
56.4%
15
43.6%
Q1 - 4:28HeatJaylen Brown blocks Kyle Lowry's two point turnaround jump shot16
58.1%
15
41.9%
Q1 - 4:51CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point turnaround jump shot16
56.4%
15
43.6%
Q1 - 5:14HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup (Max Strus assists)14
54.8%
15
45.2%
Q1 - 5:25CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)14
56.6%
13
43.4%
Q1 - 5:41HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)11
52.8%
13
47.2%
Q1 - 5:41CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound11
52.8%
13
47.2%
Q1 - 5:42HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup11
52.1%
13
47.9%
Q1 - 6:09CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)11
50.8%
13
49.2%
Q1 - 6:16HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Al Horford draws the foul)8
46.9%
13
53.1%
Q1 - 6:16CelticsCeltics offensive rebound8
46.9%
13
53.1%
Q1 - 6:18CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot8
45.5%
13
54.5%
Q1 - 6:24CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound8
46.9%
13
53.1%
Q1 - 6:28CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot8
45.4%
13
54.6%
Q1 - 6:38HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Al Horford draws the foul)8
46.9%
13
53.1%
Q1 - 6:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot8
46.9%
13
53.1%
Q1 - 6:55HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound8
48.8%
11
51.2%
Q1 - 6:58CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot8
49.4%
11
50.6%
Q1 - 7:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)8
51.2%
11
48.8%
Q1 - 7:32CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup8
53.0%
9
47.0%
Q1 - 7:36CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound6
51.2%
9
48.8%
Q1 - 7:38HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot6
50.5%
9
49.5%
Q1 - 8:03CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point dunk (Jaylen Brown assists)6
49.4%
9
50.6%
Q1 - 8:06CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound4
47.7%
9
52.3%
Q1 - 8:11HeatDerrick White blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup4
47.0%
9
53.0%
Q1 - 8:20HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound4
45.5%
9
54.5%
Q1 - 8:20CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving layup4
46.2%
9
53.8%
Q1 - 8:39HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)4
47.7%
9
52.3%
Q1 - 9:03HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound4
51.4%
6
48.6%
Q1 - 9:03CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot4
52.0%
6
48.0%
Q1 - 9:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)4
53.4%
6
46.6%
Q1 - 9:30CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)4
55.2%
4
44.8%
Q1 - 9:30HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound4
55.2%
4
44.8%
Q1 - 9:32HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot4
56.6%
4
43.4%
Q1 - 9:43CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 24
55.2%
4
44.8%
Q1 - 9:43CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 23
54.9%
4
45.1%
Q1 - 9:43HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)2
54.6%
4
45.4%
Q1 - 9:54HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive goaltending)2
53.4%
4
46.6%
Q1 - 9:54HeatHeat offensive rebound2
51.4%
4
48.6%
Q1 - 9:54HeatKyle Lowry misses two point layup2
52.8%
4
47.2%
Q1 - 9:59HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound2
51.4%
4
48.6%
Q1 - 10:01CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup2
52.0%
4
48.0%
Q1 - 10:18HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup2
53.4%
4
46.6%
Q1 - 10:30CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (out of bounds step)2
55.1%
2
44.9%
Q1 - 10:41HeatCaleb Martin makes two point alley-oop layup (Tyler Herro assists)2
57.0%
2
43.0%
Q1 - 10:48CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)2
58.7%
0
41.3%
Q1 - 10:54CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound2
60.6%
0
39.4%
Q1 - 10:57HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup2
60.0%
0
40.0%
Q1 - 11:07HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound2
58.5%
0
41.5%
Q1 - 11:10CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot2
59.2%
0
40.8%
Q1 - 11:12CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound2
60.5%
0
39.5%
Q1 - 11:15CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot2
59.2%
0
40.8%
Q1 - 11:25CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound2
60.5%
0
39.5%
Q1 - 11:25HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot2
59.9%
0
40.1%
Q1 - 11:36CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running layup2
58.6%
0
41.4%
Q1 - 11:40HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)0
57.0%
0
43.0%
Q1 - 11:44CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)0
55.0%
0
45.0%
Q1 - 12:00Al Horford vs. Bam Adebayo (Kyle Lowry gains possession)0
55.0%
0
45.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.25 62.4%
MIA
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
23
33
70%
MIA
17
35
49%
Midrange
BOS
4
13
31%
MIA
17
31
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
14
21.0
33
42%
64%
MIA
8
12.0
26
31%
46%
Free Throws
BOS
15
15
100%
MIA
12
15
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum2958%14.5 / 25
J. Brown2874%14.0 / 19
D. White1071%5.0 / 7
G. Williams1083%5.0 / 6
A. Horford990%4.5 / 5
M. Smart844%4.0 / 9
M. Brogdon735%3.5 / 10
S. Hauser6100%3.0 / 3
N. Vonleh4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2557%12.5 / 22
B. Adebayo1973%9.5 / 13
J. Butler1853%9.0 / 17
K. Lowry1750%8.5 / 17
G. Vincent1765%8.5 / 13
C. Martin429%2.0 / 7
M. Strus220%1.0 / 5
D. Dedmon233%1.0 / 3
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
76
+13
-19
89
MIA
86
+16
-9
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.25 62.4%
MIA
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
117.6
112.9
BOS 116.8 +7.4
MIA 109.5
Pace
98.8
96.3
BOS 91.8
MIA 98.3 +6.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.0
BOS 15.7
MIA 14.6 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.6%
53.0%
BOS 60.8% +10.8%
MIA 50.0%
TO %
12.7%
13.2%
BOS 18.9%
MIA 9.2% +9.7%
ORB %
22.1%
22.8%
BOS 32.4% +6.2%
MIA 26.2%
FTrt
24.3
27.0
BOS 19.0 +2.7
MIA 16.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.2%
60.8%
BOS 41.5%
MIA 54.8% +13.3%
STL %
6.3%
8.2%
BOS 4.2%
MIA 8.4% +4.2%
BLK %
9.3%
6.3%
BOS 16.7% +10.2%
MIA 6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.7%
55.9%
BOS 62.4% +11.4%
MIA 51.0%
Rim FG%
65.1%
62.6%
BOS 69.7% +21.1%
MIA 48.6%
Mid FG%
42.8%
45.3%
BOS 30.8%
MIA 54.8% +24.0%
3P %
37.7%
34.4%
BOS 42.4% +11.6%
MIA 30.8%
FT %
81.2%
83.1%
BOS 100.0% +20.0%
MIA 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.3%
29.9%
BOS 41.8% +3.7%
MIA 38.0%
Mid Att. %
19.7%
29.4%
BOS 16.5% +17.2%
MIA 33.7%
3P Att. %
48.0%
40.8%
BOS 41.8% +13.5%
MIA 28.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.17 and 2.17.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points111104
Rebounds4336
Assists1723
Steals48
Blocks113
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)9 (1)
Fouls2318
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)25 (0)
Field Goals41-7942-92
At-the-Rim FG23-3317-35
Midrange FG4-1317-31
2-Point FG27-4634-66
3-Point FG14-338-26
Free Throws15-1512-15
Fast Break Pts126
2nd Chance Pts2114
Points in Paint5246
Pts off Turnovers1823
Bench Points2721
Biggest Lead145

BOXSCORE

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1 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jayson Tatum
#0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25
36.8
29
58%
5
4
1
2
2
1
2
3
7-7
100%
8-15
53%
2-7
29%
Jaylen Brown
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 26
34.0
28
74%
4
3
2
2
3
5
1
3
2-2
100%
10-15
67%
2-3
67%
Al Horford
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 36
33.5
9
90%
5
1
0
0
3
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-5
60%
Marcus Smart
#36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 29
33.4
8
44%
5
3
0
0
5
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-4
0%
Derrick White
#9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 28
24.6
10
71%
7
1
0
3
1
4
0
7
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
Grant Williams
#12 · PF · 6'6" 236 · 24
25.4
10
83%
7
2
0
2
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
Malcolm Brogdon
#13 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 30
24.9
7
35%
5
3
0
0
2
2
3
2
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
1-3
33%
Noah Vonleh
#4 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 27
14.5
4
100%
5
0
0
2
2
4
3
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Sam Hauser
#30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25
12.9
6
100%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-3
67%
Blake Griffin
#91 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34
DNP – Coach's Decision
Payton Pritchard
#11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison
#20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Jackson
#43 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 28
DNP – Coach's Decision
Mfiondu Kabengele
#28 · PF · 6'10" 256 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
Luke Kornet
#40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari
#8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee ACL Repair
Robert Williams III
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
62%
43
17
4
11
19
23
12
31
15-15
100%
27-46
59%
14-33
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.