FinalWin Prob.pScore
1239%110
109
761%114
113
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
112.49792.9
MIA logo MIA
116.597101.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.109
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:01.5HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound109
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.8HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point turnaround jump shot109
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.7HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
0.9%
113
99.1%
Q4 - 0:05.7HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
1.1%
112
98.9%
Q4 - 0:05.7HawksKevin Huerter personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)109
1.3%
111
98.7%
Q4 - 0:07.1HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound109
3.5%
111
96.5%
Q4 - 0:11.1HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot109
7.3%
111
92.7%
Q4 - 0:27.1HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)109
19.3%
111
80.7%
Q4 - 0:45.1HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound109
35.5%
109
64.5%
Q4 - 0:47.5HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot109
41.3%
109
58.7%
Q4 - 1:06HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound109
52.4%
109
47.6%
Q4 - 1:09HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot109
47.0%
109
53.0%
Q4 - 1:27HawksTrae Young makes two point driving floating jump shot109
36.4%
109
63.6%
Q4 - 1:44HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot107
28.0%
109
72.0%
Q4 - 2:07HawksTrae Young turnover (out of bounds bad pass)107
46.5%
106
53.5%
Q4 - 2:13HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound107
61.6%
106
38.4%
Q4 - 2:15HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 2107
59.6%
106
40.4%
Q4 - 2:15HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
51.7%
106
48.3%
Q4 - 2:15HawksDanilo Gallinari shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)107
53.3%
105
46.7%
Q4 - 2:22HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound107
57.5%
105
42.5%
Q4 - 2:24HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot107
62.1%
105
37.9%
Q4 - 2:46HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot107
71.9%
105
28.1%
Q4 - 3:15HawksTrae Young makes two point stepback jump shot107
75.1%
103
24.9%
Q4 - 3:24HeatMax Strus personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)105
69.5%
103
30.5%
Q4 - 3:36HeatMax Strus turnover (out of bounds bad pass)105
64.2%
103
35.8%
Q4 - 3:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound105
55.4%
103
44.6%
Q4 - 3:55HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot105
58.4%
103
41.6%
Q4 - 4:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)105
65.0%
103
35.0%
Q4 - 4:23HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point jump shot (Trae Young assists)105
72.3%
101
27.7%
Q4 - 4:42HeatKyle Lowry makes two point running layup103
65.2%
101
34.8%
Q4 - 4:44HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)103
72.4%
99
27.6%
Q4 - 4:57HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
79.6%
99
20.4%
Q4 - 4:57HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
80.8%
98
19.2%
Q4 - 4:57HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)103
82.1%
97
17.9%
Q4 - 5:03HawksDe'Andre Hunter personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)103
80.4%
97
19.6%
Q4 - 5:18HawksKevin Huerter makes two point stepback jump shot103
80.6%
97
19.4%
Q4 - 5:38HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound101
75.7%
97
24.3%
Q4 - 5:43HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot101
73.7%
97
26.3%
Q4 - 5:53HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point tip dunk101
68.8%
97
31.2%
Q4 - 5:53HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound99
62.1%
97
37.9%
Q4 - 5:58HawksKevin Huerter misses two point driving finger roll layup99
56.3%
97
43.7%
Q4 - 6:22HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 299
60.1%
97
39.9%
Q4 - 6:22HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 299
61.5%
96
38.5%
Q4 - 6:22HawksKevin Huerter shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)99
56.1%
96
43.9%
Q4 - 6:23HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound99
58.7%
96
41.3%
Q4 - 6:25HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point stepback jump shot99
61.3%
96
38.7%
Q4 - 6:37HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)99
66.9%
96
33.1%
Q4 - 6:47HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound99
66.9%
96
33.1%
Q4 - 6:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot99
64.5%
96
35.5%
Q4 - 7:13HawksDe'Andre Hunter turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)99
56.9%
96
43.1%
Q4 - 7:27HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)99
64.4%
96
35.6%
Q4 - 7:29HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound99
56.9%
96
43.1%
Q4 - 7:32HawksTimothe Luwawu-Cabarrot misses three point jump shot99
59.3%
96
40.7%
Q4 - 7:54HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)99
64.5%
96
35.5%
Q4 - 8:10HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point hook shot (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)99
72.9%
93
27.1%
Q4 - 8:34HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound97
67.9%
93
32.1%
Q4 - 8:36HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot97
66.2%
93
33.8%
Q4 - 8:59HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)97
62.0%
93
38.0%
Q4 - 9:13HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound94
49.3%
93
50.7%
Q4 - 9:17HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot94
47.3%
93
52.7%
Q4 - 9:43HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point running jump shot (Delon Wright assists)94
42.8%
93
57.2%
Q4 - 9:47HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Delon Wright steals)91
32.3%
93
67.7%
Q4 - 9:52HawksOnyeka Okongwu turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)91
26.8%
93
73.2%
Q4 - 10:14HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 291
32.8%
93
67.2%
Q4 - 10:14HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 291
33.4%
92
66.6%
Q4 - 10:14HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)91
34.1%
91
65.9%
Q4 - 10:33HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point fadeaway jump shot91
37.2%
91
62.8%
Q4 - 10:44HeatTyler Herro turnover (basket from below)89
32.8%
91
67.2%
Q4 - 10:44HawksDe'Andre Hunter turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)89
27.5%
91
72.5%
Q4 - 10:49HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Bogdan Bogdanovic steals)89
32.8%
91
67.2%
Q4 - 10:57HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound89
27.5%
91
72.5%
Q4 - 11:00HawksDelon Wright misses three point jump shot89
29.0%
91
71.0%
Q4 - 11:02HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound89
32.8%
91
67.2%
Q4 - 11:04HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot89
29.6%
91
70.4%
Q4 - 11:14HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound89
32.8%
91
67.2%
Q4 - 11:16HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot89
31.3%
91
68.7%
Q4 - 11:33HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point fadeaway jump shot89
28.2%
91
71.8%
Q4 - 11:42HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Onyeka Okongwu steals)87
24.2%
91
75.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.87
20.4%
91
79.6%
Q3 - 0:01.8HawksHawks offensive rebound87
24.8%
91
75.2%
Q3 - 0:01.8HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses two point tip layup87
22.3%
91
77.7%
Q3 - 0:01.8HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound87
24.8%
91
75.2%
Q3 - 0:01.8HawksDewayne Dedmon blocks Trae Young's two point driving finger roll layup87
22.3%
91
77.7%
Q3 - 0:07.1HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 287
24.8%
91
75.2%
Q3 - 0:07.1HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 287
25.6%
90
74.4%
Q3 - 0:07.1HawksBogdan Bogdanovic personal foul (Loose ball) (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)87
22.8%
90
77.2%
Q3 - 0:07.1HeatHeat offensive rebound87
24.8%
90
75.2%
Q3 - 0:08.9HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot87
27.5%
90
72.5%
Q3 - 0:28.5HawksTimothe Luwawu-Cabarrot personal foul (Loose ball) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)87
24.8%
90
75.2%
Q3 - 0:28.5HeatHeat defensive rebound87
24.8%
90
75.2%
Q3 - 0:30.4HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot87
25.9%
90
74.1%
Q3 - 0:39.3HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot87
28.7%
90
71.3%
Q3 - 0:55.5HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 287
33.0%
88
67.0%
Q3 - 0:55.5HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 286
32.6%
88
67.4%
Q3 - 0:55.5HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)85
32.1%
88
67.9%
Q3 - 1:01HawksHawks offensive rebound85
29.3%
88
70.7%
Q3 - 1:01HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point driving floating jump shot85
26.3%
88
73.7%
Q3 - 1:09HawksTimothe Luwawu-Cabarrot defensive rebound85
29.3%
88
70.7%
Q3 - 1:11HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot85
27.9%
88
72.1%
Q3 - 1:29HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point turnaround hook shot (Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot assists)85
25.1%
88
74.9%
Q3 - 1:54HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)83
22.0%
88
78.0%
Q3 - 2:17HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 283
29.2%
85
70.8%
Q3 - 2:17HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 282
28.8%
85
71.2%
Q3 - 2:17HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)81
28.4%
85
71.6%
Q3 - 2:38HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point alley-oop layup (Tyler Herro assists)81
25.9%
85
74.1%
Q3 - 2:48HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound81
29.1%
83
70.9%
Q3 - 2:50HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot81
30.4%
83
69.6%
Q3 - 3:04HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (out of bounds step)81
33.9%
83
66.1%
Q3 - 3:16HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound81
29.5%
83
70.5%
Q3 - 3:20HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot81
30.8%
83
69.2%
Q3 - 3:24HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Huerter draws the foul)81
33.9%
83
66.1%
Q3 - 3:24HawksHawks offensive rebound81
33.9%
83
66.1%
Q3 - 3:26HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating jump shot81
30.8%
83
69.2%
Q3 - 3:33HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Huerter steals)81
33.9%
83
66.1%
Q3 - 3:45HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 281
29.5%
83
70.5%
Q3 - 3:45HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 280
29.2%
83
70.8%
Q3 - 3:45HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)79
28.7%
83
71.3%
Q3 - 3:53HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)79
26.5%
83
73.5%
Q3 - 4:05HawksKevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)79
29.7%
81
70.3%
Q3 - 4:15HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 176
23.8%
81
76.2%
Q3 - 4:15HawksDelon Wright shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)76
24.4%
80
75.6%
Q3 - 4:20HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound76
29.7%
78
70.3%
Q3 - 4:22HawksDelon Wright misses two point driving finger roll layup76
31.0%
78
69.0%
Q3 - 4:41HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)76
34.0%
78
66.0%
Q3 - 4:55HawksTrae Young personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)76
41.1%
75
58.9%
Q3 - 4:56HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound76
41.1%
75
58.9%
Q3 - 4:57HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot76
42.6%
75
57.4%
Q3 - 5:17HeatKyle Lowry makes three point running pullup jump shot76
45.4%
75
54.6%
Q3 - 5:19HeatMax Strus defensive rebound76
53.0%
72
47.0%
Q3 - 5:22HawksClint Capela misses two point layup76
54.3%
72
45.7%
Q3 - 5:42HawksClint Capela defensive rebound76
57.3%
72
42.7%
Q3 - 5:45HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot76
56.0%
72
44.0%
Q3 - 5:56HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 176
53.0%
72
47.0%
Q3 - 5:56HawksTrae Young technical foul76
54.0%
71
46.0%
Q3 - 5:56HawksTrae Young turnover (double dribble)76
54.0%
71
46.0%
Q3 - 6:04HawksClint Capela defensive rebound76
60.1%
71
39.9%
Q3 - 6:07HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot76
58.8%
71
41.2%
Q3 - 6:28HawksKevin Huerter makes two point cutting layup (Trae Young assists)76
56.0%
71
44.0%
Q3 - 6:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot74
52.6%
71
47.4%
Q3 - 6:57HawksKevin Huerter makes two point pullup jump shot74
56.0%
69
44.0%
Q3 - 7:09HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound72
51.9%
69
48.1%
Q3 - 7:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot72
50.6%
69
49.4%
Q3 - 7:20HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)72
47.6%
69
52.4%
Q3 - 7:44HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)72
51.9%
69
48.1%
Q3 - 7:58HawksKevin Huerter makes two point turnaround jump shot (Trae Young assists)72
47.6%
69
52.4%
Q3 - 8:12HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround hook shot70
44.2%
69
55.8%
Q3 - 8:18HawksClint Capela makes two point tip layup70
47.2%
67
52.8%
Q3 - 8:18HawksClint Capela offensive rebound68
44.2%
67
55.8%
Q3 - 8:24HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating jump shot68
41.3%
67
58.7%
Q3 - 8:38HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)68
44.3%
67
55.7%
Q3 - 8:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)68
44.3%
67
55.7%
Q3 - 8:55HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound68
47.2%
65
52.8%
Q3 - 8:57HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot68
48.5%
65
51.5%
Q3 - 9:10HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)68
50.8%
65
49.2%
Q3 - 9:30HawksClint Capela makes two point hook shot (Trae Young assists)68
57.5%
62
42.5%
Q3 - 9:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk66
54.4%
62
45.6%
Q3 - 9:40HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound66
57.5%
60
42.5%
Q3 - 9:46HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving hook shot66
60.2%
60
39.8%
Q3 - 10:07HawksDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)66
56.7%
60
43.3%
Q3 - 10:15HawksClint Capela defensive rebound63
50.3%
60
49.7%
Q3 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving finger roll layup63
49.2%
60
50.8%
Q3 - 10:33HawksDe'Andre Hunter turnover (offensive foul)63
46.5%
60
53.5%
Q3 - 10:33HawksDe'Andre Hunter offensive foul (Off the ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
50.4%
60
49.6%
Q3 - 10:50HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 263
50.4%
60
49.6%
Q3 - 10:50HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 263
51.1%
59
48.9%
Q3 - 10:50HawksDe'Andre Hunter shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
51.9%
58
48.1%
Q3 - 10:50HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound63
53.4%
58
46.6%
Q3 - 10:51HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup63
56.0%
58
44.0%
Q3 - 11:01HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound63
52.7%
58
47.3%
Q3 - 11:04HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot63
53.8%
58
46.2%
Q3 - 11:17HeatMax Strus makes two point driving floating bank jump shot63
56.2%
58
43.8%
Q3 - 11:36HawksTrae Young makes two point stepback jump shot63
59.4%
56
40.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.61
56.3%
56
43.7%
Q2 - 0:02.8HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound61
52.5%
56
47.5%
Q2 - 0:05.1HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 161
54.7%
56
45.3%
Q2 - 0:05.1HawksClint Capela shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)61
52.2%
56
47.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0HawksTrae Young makes three point pullup jump shot61
58.9%
54
41.1%
Q2 - 0:26.9HawksClint Capela defensive rebound58
51.8%
54
48.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot58
51.0%
54
49.0%
Q2 - 0:39.4HawksTrae Young makes two point stepback jump shot58
49.3%
54
50.7%
Q2 - 1:00HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound56
45.3%
54
54.7%
Q2 - 1:02HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 256
44.7%
54
55.3%
Q2 - 1:02HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 256
42.6%
54
57.4%
Q2 - 1:02HawksDe'Andre Hunter personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)56
43.3%
53
56.7%
Q2 - 1:17HawksTrae Young makes three point jump shot (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)56
46.1%
53
53.9%
Q2 - 1:22HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound53
38.9%
53
61.1%
Q2 - 1:24HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot53
38.3%
53
61.7%
Q2 - 1:38HawksTrae Young makes two point driving finger roll layup53
36.9%
53
63.1%
Q2 - 1:59HawksClint Capela defensive rebound51
33.0%
53
67.0%
Q2 - 2:02HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot51
32.8%
53
67.2%
Q2 - 2:07HeatMax Strus defensive rebound51
30.9%
53
69.1%
Q2 - 2:11HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot51
31.7%
53
68.3%
Q2 - 2:28HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving reverse layup51
33.6%
53
66.4%
Q2 - 2:40HawksKevin Huerter turnover (offensive foul)51
36.4%
51
63.6%
Q2 - 2:40HawksKevin Huerter offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)51
39.2%
51
60.8%
Q2 - 3:04HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)51
39.2%
51
60.8%
Q2 - 3:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound51
41.4%
49
58.6%
Q2 - 3:14HawksKevin Huerter misses two point pullup jump shot51
42.5%
49
57.5%
Q2 - 3:29HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 251
44.9%
49
55.1%
Q2 - 3:29HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 251
45.5%
48
54.5%
Q2 - 3:29HawksClint Capela personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)51
46.2%
47
53.8%
Q2 - 3:37HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 251
47.2%
47
52.8%
Q2 - 3:37HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 250
46.9%
47
53.1%
Q2 - 3:37HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)49
46.6%
47
53.4%
Q2 - 3:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving bank hook shot49
44.9%
47
55.1%
Q2 - 4:05HawksKevin Huerter makes regular free throw 2 of 249
46.9%
45
53.1%
Q2 - 4:05HawksKevin Huerter makes regular free throw 1 of 248
46.4%
45
53.6%
Q2 - 4:05HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kevin Huerter draws the foul)47
45.8%
45
54.2%
Q2 - 4:10HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound47
44.2%
45
55.8%
Q2 - 4:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot47
43.3%
45
56.7%
Q2 - 4:27HawksClint Capela makes two point layup (Kevin Huerter assists)47
41.3%
45
58.7%
Q2 - 4:49HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)45
38.8%
45
61.2%
Q2 - 5:08HawksTrae Young makes three point running pullup jump shot45
40.8%
43
59.2%
Q2 - 5:10HawksTrae Young defensive rebound42
36.1%
43
63.9%
Q2 - 5:12HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot42
35.2%
43
64.8%
Q2 - 5:19HawksClint Capela makes two point turnaround hook shot42
33.0%
43
67.0%
Q2 - 5:24HawksClint Capela offensive rebound40
31.2%
43
68.8%
Q2 - 5:24HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point layup40
29.2%
43
70.8%
Q2 - 5:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)40
31.1%
43
68.9%
Q2 - 6:00HawksTrae Young makes two point driving floating jump shot40
33.1%
41
66.9%
Q2 - 6:08HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)38
31.2%
41
68.8%
Q2 - 6:08HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Trae Young draws the foul)38
28.4%
41
71.6%
Q2 - 6:13HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)38
28.4%
41
71.6%
Q2 - 6:20HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)38
31.2%
41
68.8%
Q2 - 6:25HawksKevin Huerter personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)38
33.1%
39
66.9%
Q2 - 6:41HawksKevin Huerter makes two point bank jump shot38
33.1%
39
66.9%
Q2 - 6:41HawksKevin Huerter offensive rebound36
31.2%
39
68.8%
Q2 - 6:44HawksClint Capela misses regular free throw 2 of 236
28.8%
39
71.2%
Q2 - 6:44HawksClint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 236
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 6:44HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)35
28.7%
39
71.3%
Q2 - 6:44HawksClint Capela offensive rebound35
28.9%
39
71.1%
Q2 - 6:44HawksClint Capela misses two point tip layup35
27.0%
39
73.0%
Q2 - 6:44HawksClint Capela offensive rebound35
28.9%
39
71.1%
Q2 - 6:44HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point layup35
27.0%
39
73.0%
Q2 - 6:59HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)35
28.9%
39
71.1%
Q2 - 6:59HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Charge) (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)35
26.2%
39
73.8%
Q2 - 7:09HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound35
26.7%
39
73.3%
Q2 - 7:12HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point stepback jump shot35
27.4%
39
72.6%
Q2 - 7:26HeatTyler Herro makes two point running dunk (Dewayne Dedmon assists)35
28.9%
39
71.1%
Q2 - 7:29HawksOnyeka Okongwu turnover (lost ball) (Dewayne Dedmon steals)35
31.0%
37
69.0%
Q2 - 7:35HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound35
33.5%
37
66.5%
Q2 - 7:38HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot35
32.7%
37
67.3%
Q2 - 7:48HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 235
31.0%
37
69.0%
Q2 - 7:48HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 234
30.7%
37
69.3%
Q2 - 7:48HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)33
30.4%
37
69.6%
Q2 - 7:51HawksBogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound33
28.9%
37
71.1%
Q2 - 7:55HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot33
28.2%
37
71.8%
Q2 - 8:13HeatHeat defensive rebound33
26.7%
37
73.3%
Q2 - 8:13HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point jump shot33
27.4%
37
72.6%
Q2 - 8:13HawksBogdan Bogdanovic offensive rebound33
28.9%
37
71.1%
Q2 - 8:14HawksKevin Huerter misses three point stepback jump shot33
27.4%
37
72.6%
Q2 - 8:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 233
28.9%
37
71.1%
Q2 - 8:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 233
29.2%
36
70.8%
Q2 - 8:36HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)33
29.5%
35
70.5%
Q2 - 8:53HawksDelon Wright makes two point layup33
31.0%
35
69.0%
Q2 - 9:10HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot31
28.9%
35
71.1%
Q2 - 9:14HeatHeat offensive rebound31
31.0%
33
69.0%
Q2 - 9:16HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot31
32.6%
33
67.4%
Q2 - 9:25HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point fadeaway jump shot31
31.0%
33
69.0%
Q2 - 9:37HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 229
28.9%
33
71.1%
Q2 - 9:37HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 229
29.2%
32
70.8%
Q2 - 9:37HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)29
29.5%
31
70.5%
Q2 - 9:45HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 229
31.0%
31
69.0%
Q2 - 9:45HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 228
30.7%
31
69.3%
Q2 - 9:45HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)27
30.3%
31
69.7%
Q2 - 9:51HawksHawks offensive rebound27
28.9%
31
71.1%
Q2 - 9:53HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot27
27.4%
31
72.6%
Q2 - 10:10HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot27
29.1%
31
70.9%
Q2 - 10:24HawksDanilo Gallinari turnover (offensive foul)27
31.1%
29
68.9%
Q2 - 10:24HawksDanilo Gallinari offensive foul (Off the ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)27
33.4%
29
66.6%
Q2 - 10:36HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)27
33.4%
29
66.6%
Q2 - 10:53HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point driving layup27
37.9%
26
62.1%
Q2 - 11:11HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound25
35.3%
26
64.7%
Q2 - 11:13HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 125
35.1%
26
64.9%
Q2 - 11:13HawksDanilo Gallinari shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)25
33.4%
26
66.6%
Q2 - 11:33HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)25
37.8%
24
62.2%
Q2 - 11:35HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound22
33.2%
24
66.8%
Q2 - 11:40HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot22
31.8%
24
68.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
33.2%
24
66.8%
Q1 - 0:00.9HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)22
32.8%
24
67.2%
Q1 - 0:11.0HawksHawks turnover (shot clock violation)22
37.5%
21
62.5%
Q1 - 0:32.8HawksDelon Wright defensive rebound22
39.4%
21
60.6%
Q1 - 0:34.8HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot22
38.8%
21
61.2%
Q1 - 0:46.1HawksTrae Young makes two point pullup jump shot22
37.5%
21
62.5%
Q1 - 0:54.2HawksDelon Wright defensive rebound20
35.0%
21
65.0%
Q1 - 0:56.3HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot20
34.4%
21
65.6%
Q1 - 1:03HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound20
33.2%
21
66.8%
Q1 - 1:06HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot20
33.8%
21
66.2%
Q1 - 1:25HeatGabe Vincent makes two point stepback jump shot20
35.1%
21
64.9%
Q1 - 1:33HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound20
37.5%
19
62.5%
Q1 - 1:35HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses two point driving floating jump shot20
38.1%
19
61.9%
Q1 - 2:00HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)20
39.4%
19
60.6%
Q1 - 2:12HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound20
43.8%
16
56.2%
Q1 - 2:17HawksTimothe Luwawu-Cabarrot misses three point jump shot20
44.5%
16
55.5%
Q1 - 2:33HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds step)20
46.2%
16
53.8%
Q1 - 2:54HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 220
43.9%
16
56.1%
Q1 - 2:54HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 219
43.6%
16
56.4%
Q1 - 2:54HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)18
43.2%
16
56.8%
Q1 - 3:02HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Delon Wright steals)18
41.5%
16
58.5%
Q1 - 3:21HawksTrae Young makes two point running finger roll layup18
39.0%
16
61.0%
Q1 - 3:25HeatKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Trae Young steals)16
37.3%
16
62.7%
Q1 - 3:31HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound16
34.9%
16
65.1%
Q1 - 3:34HawksClint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 116
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 3:34HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)16
36.1%
16
63.9%
Q1 - 3:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)14
33.2%
16
66.8%
Q1 - 3:51HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)14
34.9%
14
65.1%
Q1 - 4:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)14
37.2%
14
62.8%
Q1 - 4:19HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound14
38.9%
12
61.1%
Q1 - 4:22HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot14
39.6%
12
60.4%
Q1 - 4:33HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Bogdan Bogdanovic steals)14
41.3%
12
58.7%
Q1 - 4:41HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)14
38.9%
12
61.1%
Q1 - 4:46HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Huerter steals)12
37.2%
12
62.8%
Q1 - 4:54HawksDe'Andre Hunter personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)12
34.9%
12
65.1%
Q1 - 5:01HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound12
34.9%
12
65.1%
Q1 - 5:05HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot12
35.5%
12
64.5%
Q1 - 5:13HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound12
37.0%
12
63.0%
Q1 - 5:16HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot12
36.3%
12
63.7%
Q1 - 5:33HawksDanilo Gallinari makes two point jump shot12
34.9%
12
65.1%
Q1 - 5:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point tip layup10
33.2%
12
66.8%
Q1 - 5:46HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound10
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 5:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot10
36.3%
10
63.7%
Q1 - 6:04HeatMax Strus defensive rebound10
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 6:07HawksDanilo Gallinari misses two point pullup jump shot10
35.5%
10
64.5%
Q1 - 6:21HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)10
36.8%
10
63.2%
Q1 - 6:42HawksClint Capela defensive rebound10
36.8%
10
63.2%
Q1 - 6:45HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running jump shot10
36.2%
10
63.8%
Q1 - 6:48HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound10
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 6:51HawksClint Capela misses two point alley-oop layup10
35.5%
10
64.5%
Q1 - 7:02HawksClint Capela defensive rebound10
36.7%
10
63.3%
Q1 - 7:05HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot10
36.1%
10
63.9%
Q1 - 7:17HawksTrae Young makes two point putback layup10
34.7%
10
65.3%
Q1 - 7:18HawksTrae Young offensive rebound8
33.1%
10
66.9%
Q1 - 7:21HawksDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot8
31.8%
10
68.2%
Q1 - 7:33HeatCaleb Martin makes three point running pullup jump shot8
33.1%
10
66.9%
Q1 - 7:38HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound8
36.5%
7
63.5%
Q1 - 7:41HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot8
37.1%
7
62.9%
Q1 - 7:54HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound8
38.5%
7
61.5%
Q1 - 7:55HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot8
37.9%
7
62.1%
Q1 - 8:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
36.4%
7
63.6%
Q1 - 8:10HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point driving floating jump shot8
37.0%
7
63.0%
Q1 - 8:31HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 28
38.5%
7
61.5%
Q1 - 8:31HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 28
38.7%
6
61.3%
Q1 - 8:31HawksKevin Huerter shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)8
39.0%
5
61.0%
Q1 - 8:38HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound8
40.1%
5
59.9%
Q1 - 8:40HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot8
40.7%
5
59.3%
Q1 - 8:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot8
42.2%
5
57.8%
Q1 - 9:07HawksDanilo Gallinari makes two point fadeaway jump shot8
43.5%
3
56.5%
Q1 - 9:21HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Huerter steals)6
42.0%
3
58.0%
Q1 - 9:27HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)6
39.8%
3
60.2%
Q1 - 9:36HawksDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound6
42.0%
3
58.0%
Q1 - 9:38HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot6
41.3%
3
58.7%
Q1 - 10:01HawksClint Capela makes two point cutting layup (Trae Young assists)6
39.4%
3
60.6%
Q1 - 10:19HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot4
37.9%
3
62.1%
Q1 - 10:30HawksClint Capela makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kevin Huerter assists)4
41.2%
0
58.8%
Q1 - 10:39HawksClint Capela defensive rebound2
39.7%
0
60.3%
Q1 - 10:41HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot2
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 10:56HawksClint Capela makes two point putback layup2
37.7%
0
62.3%
Q1 - 10:58HawksClint Capela offensive rebound0
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 11:02HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point pullup jump shot0
34.7%
0
65.3%
Q1 - 11:06HawksClint Capela offensive rebound0
36.0%
0
64.0%
Q1 - 11:10HawksKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot0
34.7%
0
65.3%
Q1 - 11:32HawksKevin Huerter defensive rebound0
36.0%
0
64.0%
Q1 - 11:36HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot0
35.4%
0
64.6%
Q1 - 12:00Clint Capela vs. Bam Adebayo (Kyle Lowry gains possession)0
34.2%
0
65.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.09 54.5%
MIA
1.31 65.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
15
23
65%
MIA
15
17
88%
Midrange
ATL
19
31
61%
MIA
14
29
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
8
12.0
34
24%
35%
MIA
11
16.5
26
42%
63%
Free Throws
ATL
17
19
89%
MIA
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Young3565%17.5 / 27
B. Bogdanović2560%12.5 / 21
C. Capela1777%8.5 / 11
K. Huerter1563%7.5 / 12
D. Gallinari739%3.5 / 9
O. Okongwu675%3.0 / 4
D. Hunter214%1.0 / 7
D. Wright233%1.0 / 3
T. Luwawu-Cabarrot0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2463%12.0 / 19
J. Butler2067%10.0 / 15
K. Lowry1680%8.0 / 10
T. Herro1558%7.5 / 13
G. Vincent1179%5.5 / 7
M. Strus8100%4.0 / 4
C. Martin857%4.0 / 7
D. Robinson867%4.0 / 6
D. Dedmon350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
83
+17
-14
100
MIA
80
+6
-17
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.09 54.5%
MIA
1.31 65.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.9
113.3
ATL 112.4
MIA 116.5 +4.1
Pace
98.1
96.2
ATL 92.9
MIA 101.5 +8.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.0
ATL 15.5
MIA 14.2 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.3%
54.7%
ATL 52.3%
MIA 63.2% +10.9%
TO %
11.5%
14.2%
ATL 13.5% +3.3%
MIA 16.8%
ORB %
23.0%
23.5%
ATL 31.0% +19.2%
MIA 11.8%
FTrt
25.3
25.2
ATL 21.6
MIA 38.9 +17.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.3%
64.4%
ATL 40.5%
MIA 50.0% +9.5%
STL %
7.3%
7.6%
ATL 9.3%
MIA 9.3%
BLK %
7.9%
7.1%
ATL 0.0%
MIA 1.9% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.6%
56.8%
ATL 54.5%
MIA 65.7% +11.2%
Rim FG%
61.1%
63.4%
ATL 65.2%
MIA 88.2% +23.0%
Mid FG%
44.5%
41.4%
ATL 61.3% +13.0%
MIA 48.3%
3P %
37.4%
37.9%
ATL 23.5%
MIA 42.3% +18.8%
FT %
81.2%
80.8%
ATL 89.5% +10.9%
MIA 78.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
30.6%
ATL 26.1% +2.5%
MIA 23.6%
Mid Att. %
29.5%
27.1%
ATL 35.2% +5.1%
MIA 40.3%
3P Att. %
39.0%
42.2%
ATL 38.6% +2.5%
MIA 36.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points109113
Rebounds4333
Assists1720
Steals99
Blocks01
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)17 (0)
Fouls2317
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)29 (2)
Field Goals42-8840-72
At-the-Rim FG15-2315-17
Midrange FG19-3114-29
2-Point FG34-5429-46
3-Point FG8-3411-26
Free Throws17-1922-28
Fast Break Pts1215
2nd Chance Pts209
Points in Paint4248
Pts off Turnovers2216
Bench Points3337
Biggest Lead75

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · PG · 6'1" 164 · 24
36.0
35
65%
2
8
1
0
7
1
1
1
8-8
100%
9-12
75%
3-11
27%
#3 · SG · 6'7" 198 · 24
29.9
15
63%
7
3
3
0
1
5
1
6
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
#8 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 34
28.6
7
39%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-6
17%
#15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 28
26.9
17
77%
14
0
0
0
0
2
6
8
1-3
33%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
#12 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 24
25.4
2
14%
1
0
0
0
3
5
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 30
36.1
25
60%
7
2
2
0
0
1
1
6
6-6
100%
5-10
50%
3-8
38%
#0 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 30
21.2
2
33%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21
21.0
6
75%
7
2
1
0
2
4
4
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#7 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 27
14.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#10 · C · 6'11" 251 · 32
DNP – Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ring Finger; Sprain, Right Foot Strain
#6 · SG · 6'1" 175 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back; Discomfort
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
55%
43
17
9
0
14
23
13
30
17-19
89%
34-54
63%
8-34
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.