FinalWin Prob.pScore
1539%108
115
1261%112
144
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
113.910198.2
MIA logo MIA
142.6101103.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.115
0%
144
100%
Q4 - 0:06.6HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)115
0%
144
100%
Q4 - 0:06.6HeatHeat offensive rebound115
0%
144
100%
Q4 - 0:07.4HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point fadeaway jump shot115
0%
144
100%
Q4 - 0:28.9HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound115
0%
144
100%
Q4 - 0:30.6HornetsJT Thor misses regular free throw 2 of 2115
0%
144
100%
Q4 - 0:30.6HornetsJT Thor makes regular free throw 1 of 2115
0%
144
100%
Q4 - 0:30.6HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (JT Thor draws the foul)114
0%
144
100%
Q4 - 0:38.4HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Javonte Smart assists)114
0%
144
100%
Q4 - 0:45.4HornetsJames Bouknight turnover (lost ball) (Javonte Smart steals)114
0%
141
100%
Q4 - 0:56.1HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2114
0%
141
100%
Q4 - 0:56.1HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 2114
0%
140
100%
Q4 - 0:56.1HornetsNick Richards personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)114
0%
140
100%
Q4 - 1:07HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound114
0%
140
100%
Q4 - 1:09HornetsJames Bouknight misses two point driving reverse layup114
0%
140
100%
Q4 - 1:16HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound114
0.1%
140
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot114
0.1%
140
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26HeatMychal Mulder defensive rebound114
0.1%
140
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29HornetsNick Richards misses two point turnaround hook shot114
0.1%
140
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30HornetsNick Richards offensive rebound114
0.1%
140
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34HornetsIsaiah Thomas misses three point jump shot114
0.1%
140
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55HeatMychal Mulder makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)114
0.1%
140
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08HornetsIsaiah Thomas makes regular free throw 2 of 2114
0.1%
137
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08HornetsIsaiah Thomas makes regular free throw 1 of 2113
0.1%
137
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Take) (Isaiah Thomas draws the foul)112
0.1%
137
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2112
0.1%
137
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
0.1%
136
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08HornetsLaMelo Ball personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)112
0.1%
135
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)112
0.1%
135
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound112
0.1%
135
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot112
0.1%
135
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36HornetsNick Richards makes two point cutting layup (Miles Bridges assists)112
0.1%
135
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41HornetsIsaiah Thomas defensive rebound110
0.1%
135
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45HeatCaleb Martin misses two point running alley-oop layup110
0.1%
135
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50HornetsIsaiah Thomas turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)110
0.1%
135
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot110
0.1%
135
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point finger roll layup (Cody Martin assists)110
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
0.1%
131
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25HornetsLaMelo Ball shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)108
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound108
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot108
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46HornetsMiles Bridges offensive rebound108
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot108
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound108
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot108
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound108
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot108
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)108
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point dunk (LaMelo Ball assists)108
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)106
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47HornetsP.J. Washington offensive rebound106
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point tip layup106
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47HornetsP.J. Washington offensive rebound106
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving layup106
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot (Tyler Herro assists)106
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point tip layup106
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17HornetsTerry Rozier offensive rebound104
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 5:23HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot104
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 5:31HornetsHornets defensive rebound104
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot104
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound104
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot104
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup104
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 6:03HornetsP.J. Washington turnover (out of bounds bad pass)104
0.2%
123
99.8%
Q4 - 6:20HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)104
0.3%
123
99.7%
Q4 - 6:30HornetsP.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
0.6%
120
99.4%
Q4 - 6:30HornetsP.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
0.5%
120
99.5%
Q4 - 6:30HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)102
0.5%
120
99.5%
Q4 - 6:48HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
0.4%
120
99.6%
Q4 - 6:48HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
0.5%
119
99.5%
Q4 - 6:48HornetsLaMelo Ball personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)102
0.5%
118
99.5%
Q4 - 6:58HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
0.6%
118
99.4%
Q4 - 6:58HornetsMiles Bridges misses regular free throw 1 of 2101
0.5%
118
99.5%
Q4 - 6:58HeatOmer Yurtseven technical foul (Double)101
0.6%
118
99.4%
Q4 - 6:58HornetsP.J. Washington technical foul (Double)101
0.6%
118
99.4%
Q4 - 6:58HeatOmer Yurtseven shooting foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)101
0.7%
118
99.3%
Q4 - 7:03HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound101
0.9%
118
99.1%
Q4 - 7:06HeatOmer Yurtseven misses regular free throw 2 of 2101
0.9%
118
99.1%
Q4 - 7:06HeatOmer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
0.7%
118
99.3%
Q4 - 7:06HornetsMiles Bridges shooting foul (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)101
0.8%
117
99.2%
Q4 - 7:06HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound101
0.9%
117
99.1%
Q4 - 7:08HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot101
1.0%
117
99.0%
Q4 - 7:27HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point cutting layup (LaMelo Ball assists)101
0.8%
117
99.2%
Q4 - 7:32HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)99
0.7%
117
99.3%
Q4 - 7:55HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)99
0.7%
117
99.3%
Q4 - 8:10HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound99
1.4%
114
98.6%
Q4 - 8:15HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot99
1.5%
114
98.5%
Q4 - 8:34HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 299
1.8%
114
98.2%
Q4 - 8:34HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 299
1.8%
113
98.2%
Q4 - 8:34HornetsIsaiah Thomas shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)99
1.9%
112
98.1%
Q4 - 8:45HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound99
2.3%
112
97.7%
Q4 - 8:48HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot99
2.7%
112
97.3%
Q4 - 8:56HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound99
2.2%
112
97.8%
Q4 - 8:56HornetsJalen McDaniels misses three point jump shot99
2.4%
112
97.6%
Q4 - 9:05HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot99
3.5%
112
96.5%
Q4 - 9:05HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound99
5.3%
109
94.7%
Q4 - 9:11HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving dunk99
6.3%
109
93.7%
Q4 - 9:24HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound99
5.2%
109
94.8%
Q4 - 9:27HornetsIsaiah Thomas misses two point driving floating jump shot99
5.7%
109
94.3%
Q4 - 9:45HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)99
6.7%
109
93.3%
Q4 - 10:04HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound99
6.1%
109
93.9%
Q4 - 10:07HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot99
6.5%
109
93.5%
Q4 - 10:26HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 299
7.6%
109
92.4%
Q4 - 10:26HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 299
7.8%
108
92.2%
Q4 - 10:26HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)99
8.0%
107
92.0%
Q4 - 10:30HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound99
9.1%
107
90.9%
Q4 - 10:34HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses three point jump shot99
9.7%
107
90.3%
Q4 - 10:51HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 399
11.4%
107
88.6%
Q4 - 10:51HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 399
11.6%
106
88.4%
Q4 - 10:51HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 399
12.0%
105
88.0%
Q4 - 10:51HornetsIsaiah Thomas shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)99
12.3%
104
87.7%
Q4 - 11:14HornetsJalen McDaniels makes two point running finger roll layup99
17.3%
104
82.7%
Q4 - 11:18HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Jalen McDaniels steals)97
14.5%
104
85.5%
Q4 - 11:33HornetsMason Plumlee turnover (bad pass) (Omer Yurtseven steals)97
12.0%
104
88.0%
Q4 - 11:46HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)97
14.4%
104
85.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.97
17.2%
102
82.8%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound97
18.2%
102
81.8%
Q3 - 0:01.6HeatJimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot97
20.3%
102
79.7%
Q3 - 0:10.9HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound97
18.1%
102
81.9%
Q3 - 0:12.6HornetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 2 of 297
18.5%
102
81.5%
Q3 - 0:12.6HornetsMason Plumlee misses regular free throw 1 of 297
20.0%
102
80.0%
Q3 - 0:12.6HeatOmer Yurtseven personal foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)97
21.7%
102
78.3%
Q3 - 0:26.2HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound97
21.2%
102
78.8%
Q3 - 0:29.4HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot97
20.2%
102
79.8%
Q3 - 0:40.5HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving floating jump shot97
18.1%
102
81.9%
Q3 - 0:51.9HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)95
15.2%
102
84.8%
Q3 - 1:12HornetsJalen McDaniels makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)95
21.7%
99
78.3%
Q3 - 1:37HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot93
18.9%
99
81.1%
Q3 - 1:46HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound93
21.7%
97
78.3%
Q3 - 1:50HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot93
22.8%
97
77.2%
Q3 - 2:04HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Jalen McDaniels steals)93
26.0%
97
74.0%
Q3 - 2:20HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 293
22.4%
97
77.6%
Q3 - 2:20HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 292
21.6%
97
78.4%
Q3 - 2:20HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Kelly Oubre Jr. draws the foul)91
20.8%
97
79.2%
Q3 - 2:24HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Cody Martin steals)91
19.6%
97
80.4%
Q3 - 2:26HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)91
16.7%
97
83.3%
Q3 - 2:33HeatMax Strus personal foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)91
19.6%
97
80.4%
Q3 - 2:44HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot91
19.6%
97
80.4%
Q3 - 3:04HornetsCody Martin makes three point stepback jump shot91
26.1%
94
73.9%
Q3 - 3:27HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)88
20.4%
94
79.6%
Q3 - 3:41HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound88
26.1%
91
73.9%
Q3 - 3:45HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot88
27.3%
91
72.7%
Q3 - 4:04HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)88
30.4%
91
69.6%
Q3 - 4:12HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound88
26.4%
91
73.6%
Q3 - 4:16HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot88
27.6%
91
72.4%
Q3 - 4:36HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)88
30.4%
91
69.6%
Q3 - 4:38HeatHeat offensive rebound88
37.2%
88
62.8%
Q3 - 4:38HeatP.J. Washington blocks Bam Adebayo's two point reverse layup88
40.4%
88
59.6%
Q3 - 4:57HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point dunk (Terry Rozier assists)88
37.2%
88
62.8%
Q3 - 5:03HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound86
34.0%
88
66.0%
Q3 - 5:07HeatCody Martin blocks Tyler Herro's three point jump shot86
32.9%
88
67.1%
Q3 - 5:27HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound86
30.3%
88
69.7%
Q3 - 5:31HornetsCody Martin misses three point jump shot86
31.4%
88
68.6%
Q3 - 5:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot86
34.0%
88
66.0%
Q3 - 6:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound86
37.1%
86
62.9%
Q3 - 6:13HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot86
38.4%
86
61.6%
Q3 - 6:32HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)86
41.2%
86
58.8%
Q3 - 6:48HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point running jump shot (Cody Martin assists)86
48.4%
83
51.6%
Q3 - 6:52HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound83
41.2%
83
58.8%
Q3 - 6:55HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point driving finger roll layup83
40.0%
83
60.0%
Q3 - 7:02HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound83
36.8%
83
63.2%
Q3 - 7:06HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot83
38.0%
83
62.0%
Q3 - 7:16HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound83
40.9%
83
59.1%
Q3 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 283
40.3%
83
59.7%
Q3 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 283
38.1%
83
61.9%
Q3 - 7:18HeatJimmy Butler misses technical free throw 1 of 183
40.3%
82
59.7%
Q3 - 7:18HornetsMason Plumlee technical foul83
37.7%
82
62.3%
Q3 - 7:18HornetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)83
38.9%
82
61.1%
Q3 - 7:34HornetsMiles Bridges makes three point jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)83
40.3%
82
59.7%
Q3 - 7:46HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 180
33.9%
82
66.1%
Q3 - 7:46HornetsTerry Rozier shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)80
34.5%
81
65.5%
Q3 - 8:00HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point driving floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)80
40.4%
79
59.6%
Q3 - 8:21HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound78
37.3%
79
62.7%
Q3 - 8:25HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot78
36.1%
79
63.9%
Q3 - 8:29HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound78
33.4%
79
66.6%
Q3 - 8:32HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot78
36.1%
79
63.9%
Q3 - 8:48HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving reverse layup78
33.4%
79
66.6%
Q3 - 8:54HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot76
30.8%
79
69.2%
Q3 - 9:06HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (out of bounds step)76
33.5%
77
66.5%
Q3 - 9:07HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (LaMelo Ball steals)76
37.0%
77
63.0%
Q3 - 9:10HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)76
33.5%
77
66.5%
Q3 - 9:17HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup73
27.8%
77
72.2%
Q3 - 9:31HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 173
30.4%
75
69.6%
Q3 - 9:31HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)72
29.9%
75
70.1%
Q3 - 9:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot70
25.0%
75
75.0%
Q3 - 9:58HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 2 of 270
27.5%
73
72.5%
Q3 - 9:58HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 269
27.0%
73
73.0%
Q3 - 9:58HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)68
26.4%
73
73.6%
Q3 - 10:10HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 168
25.3%
73
74.7%
Q3 - 10:10HornetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)68
25.8%
72
74.2%
Q3 - 10:25HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup (LaMelo Ball assists)68
30.4%
70
69.6%
Q3 - 10:35HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound66
28.0%
70
72.0%
Q3 - 10:37HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot66
27.0%
70
73.0%
Q3 - 10:55HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point driving layup66
24.9%
70
75.1%
Q3 - 11:05HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound64
22.7%
70
77.3%
Q3 - 11:05HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot64
22.0%
70
78.0%
Q3 - 11:18HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point bank jump shot64
20.4%
70
79.6%
Q3 - 11:31HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound62
18.4%
70
81.6%
Q3 - 11:34HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot62
17.7%
70
82.3%
Q3 - 11:49HornetsMason Plumlee makes two point reverse layup (Miles Bridges assists)62
16.3%
70
83.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.60
14.7%
70
85.3%
Q2 - 0:00.1HornetsHornets offensive rebound60
14.8%
70
85.2%
Q2 - 0:00.8HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point pullup jump shot60
14.0%
70
86.0%
Q2 - 0:01.5HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot60
14.8%
70
85.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound60
17.0%
68
83.0%
Q2 - 0:11.9HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot60
17.4%
68
82.6%
Q2 - 0:28.5HeatTyler Herro makes two point layup60
18.4%
68
81.6%
Q2 - 0:43.4HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound60
20.9%
66
79.1%
Q2 - 0:45.5HornetsP.J. Washington misses regular free throw 2 of 260
21.2%
66
78.8%
Q2 - 0:45.5HornetsP.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 260
22.6%
66
77.4%
Q2 - 0:45.5HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)59
21.9%
66
78.1%
Q2 - 1:00HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point putback layup59
20.5%
66
79.5%
Q2 - 1:01HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound59
23.8%
64
76.2%
Q2 - 1:03HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup59
24.9%
64
75.1%
Q2 - 1:09HornetsTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)59
23.8%
64
76.2%
Q2 - 1:15HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Miles Bridges steals)59
25.3%
64
74.7%
Q2 - 1:26HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point pullup jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)59
23.8%
64
76.2%
Q2 - 1:37HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)57
20.8%
64
79.2%
Q2 - 1:50HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)57
20.8%
64
79.2%
Q2 - 1:54HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)57
26.1%
61
73.9%
Q2 - 2:07HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)57
28.5%
61
71.5%
Q2 - 2:21HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)57
33.6%
58
66.4%
Q2 - 2:24HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound54
28.5%
58
71.5%
Q2 - 2:28HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point cutting layup54
27.7%
58
72.3%
Q2 - 2:32HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound54
26.0%
58
74.0%
Q2 - 2:35HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup54
26.8%
58
73.2%
Q2 - 2:43HeatTyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot54
28.5%
58
71.5%
Q2 - 3:08HornetsCody Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)54
30.8%
56
69.2%
Q2 - 3:23HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)54
33.9%
56
66.1%
Q2 - 3:33HornetsP.J. Washington personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)54
38.8%
53
61.2%
Q2 - 3:42HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point cutting dunk (Isaiah Thomas assists)54
38.8%
53
61.2%
Q2 - 3:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)52
36.6%
53
63.4%
Q2 - 4:22HornetsMiles Bridges makes three point pullup jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)52
38.7%
51
61.3%
Q2 - 4:45HornetsCody Martin defensive rebound49
33.6%
51
66.4%
Q2 - 4:49HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot49
32.8%
51
67.2%
Q2 - 5:02HornetsHornets turnover (shot clock violation)49
30.7%
51
69.3%
Q2 - 5:27HeatTyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)49
33.7%
51
66.3%
Q2 - 5:27HeatTyler Herro offensive foul (Off the ball) (Cody Martin draws the foul)49
30.7%
51
69.3%
Q2 - 5:35HornetsMiles Bridges turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)49
30.7%
51
69.3%
Q2 - 5:52HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)49
33.7%
51
66.3%
Q2 - 5:54HeatHeat offensive rebound49
38.3%
48
61.7%
Q2 - 5:54HeatIsaiah Thomas blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup49
40.5%
48
59.5%
Q2 - 6:02HornetsIsaiah Thomas makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)49
38.2%
48
61.8%
Q2 - 6:16HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)46
33.7%
48
66.3%
Q2 - 6:39HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating jump shot46
35.6%
46
64.4%
Q2 - 7:00HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot44
33.7%
46
66.3%
Q2 - 7:17HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound44
35.9%
44
64.1%
Q2 - 7:19HornetsIsaiah Thomas misses three point jump shot44
36.6%
44
63.4%
Q2 - 7:23HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Mason Plumlee steals)44
38.4%
44
61.6%
Q2 - 7:24HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound44
35.9%
44
64.1%
Q2 - 7:26HornetsBam Adebayo blocks Isaiah Thomas's two point driving reverse layup44
36.6%
44
63.4%
Q2 - 7:33HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup44
38.4%
44
61.6%
Q2 - 7:45HornetsIsaiah Thomas makes three point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)44
40.9%
42
59.1%
Q2 - 7:46HornetsMason Plumlee offensive rebound41
36.0%
42
64.0%
Q2 - 7:50HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot41
34.2%
42
65.8%
Q2 - 8:06HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 141
35.8%
42
64.2%
Q2 - 8:06HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)41
36.1%
41
63.9%
Q2 - 8:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
40.7%
39
59.3%
Q2 - 8:22HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot41
41.5%
39
58.5%
Q2 - 8:34HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)41
43.3%
39
56.7%
Q2 - 8:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
40.7%
39
59.3%
Q2 - 8:50HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot41
41.5%
39
58.5%
Q2 - 9:08HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)41
43.0%
39
57.0%
Q2 - 9:20HornetsHornets turnover (shot clock violation)41
47.9%
36
52.1%
Q2 - 9:35HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Kelly Oubre Jr. draws the foul)41
50.6%
36
49.4%
Q2 - 9:49HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)41
50.6%
36
49.4%
Q2 - 9:56HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)41
55.6%
33
44.4%
Q2 - 10:13HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Isaiah Thomas draws the foul)39
52.9%
33
47.1%
Q2 - 10:13HornetsHornets defensive rebound39
52.9%
33
47.1%
Q2 - 10:15HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot39
52.1%
33
47.9%
Q2 - 10:22HornetsMason Plumlee makes two point cutting layup (LaMelo Ball assists)39
50.3%
33
49.7%
Q2 - 10:34HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving dunk (Tyler Herro assists)37
47.9%
33
52.1%
Q2 - 10:58HornetsJalen McDaniels makes three point pullup jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)37
50.3%
31
49.7%
Q2 - 11:07HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot34
44.7%
31
55.3%
Q2 - 11:31HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving finger roll layup34
47.4%
29
52.6%
Q2 - 11:38HeatOmer Yurtseven personal foul (Loose ball) (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)32
44.8%
29
55.2%
Q2 - 11:38HornetsHornets offensive rebound32
44.8%
29
55.2%
Q2 - 11:40HornetsIsaiah Thomas misses three point jump shot32
43.2%
29
56.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.32
44.8%
29
55.2%
Q1 - 0:02.6HornetsJalen McDaniels makes two point cutting dunk (LaMelo Ball assists)32
42.1%
29
57.9%
Q1 - 0:12.2HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)30
39.5%
29
60.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)30
44.4%
26
55.6%
Q1 - 0:22.1HornetsLaMelo Ball offensive rebound30
46.4%
26
53.6%
Q1 - 0:24.3HornetsCody Martin misses three point jump shot30
45.0%
26
55.0%
Q1 - 0:28.8HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound30
46.4%
26
53.6%
Q1 - 0:31.4HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup30
45.8%
26
54.2%
Q1 - 0:50.8HornetsJalen McDaniels makes two point driving layup (Kelly Oubre Jr. assists)30
44.5%
26
55.5%
Q1 - 1:03HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 228
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q1 - 1:03HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 228
42.1%
25
57.9%
Q1 - 1:03HornetsJalen McDaniels shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)28
42.5%
24
57.5%
Q1 - 1:15HornetsCody Martin makes two point running dunk (LaMelo Ball assists)28
44.4%
24
55.6%
Q1 - 1:17HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound26
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q1 - 1:20HeatJimmy Butler misses two point bank jump shot26
41.2%
24
58.8%
Q1 - 1:39HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes two point driving layup (LaMelo Ball assists)26
39.8%
24
60.2%
Q1 - 1:51HornetsCody Martin defensive rebound24
37.3%
24
62.7%
Q1 - 1:56HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot24
36.7%
24
63.3%
Q1 - 2:10HeatHeat defensive rebound24
35.2%
24
64.8%
Q1 - 2:11HornetsJalen McDaniels misses three point jump shot24
35.9%
24
64.1%
Q1 - 2:32HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)24
37.4%
24
62.6%
Q1 - 2:42HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point driving dunk (LaMelo Ball assists)24
41.7%
21
58.3%
Q1 - 2:51HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound22
39.6%
21
60.4%
Q1 - 2:55HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot22
38.9%
21
61.1%
Q1 - 2:57HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound22
37.4%
21
62.6%
Q1 - 3:00HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot22
38.9%
21
61.1%
Q1 - 3:09HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound22
37.0%
21
63.0%
Q1 - 3:12HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses three point jump shot22
37.8%
21
62.2%
Q1 - 3:29HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)22
39.5%
21
60.5%
Q1 - 3:46HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point running layup22
43.5%
18
56.5%
Q1 - 3:50HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Cody Martin steals)20
41.6%
18
58.4%
Q1 - 3:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound20
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q1 - 4:00HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point fadeaway jump shot20
39.9%
18
60.1%
Q1 - 4:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk20
41.4%
18
58.6%
Q1 - 4:44HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point driving dunk (Miles Bridges assists)20
43.1%
16
56.9%
Q1 - 4:57HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point driving layup (Max Strus assists)18
41.4%
16
58.6%
Q1 - 5:12HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound18
42.7%
14
57.3%
Q1 - 5:16HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses three point jump shot18
43.4%
14
56.6%
Q1 - 5:32HeatMax Strus turnover (out of bounds lost ball)18
45.0%
14
55.0%
Q1 - 5:32HeatMax Strus defensive rebound18
42.8%
14
57.2%
Q1 - 5:33HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point running layup18
43.4%
14
56.6%
Q1 - 5:37HeatP.J. Tucker turnover (bad pass) (Cody Martin steals)18
45.0%
14
55.0%
Q1 - 5:52HornetsP.J. Washington turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Tucker steals)18
42.8%
14
57.2%
Q1 - 6:05HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)18
44.6%
14
55.4%
Q1 - 6:05HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Miles Bridges draws the foul)18
42.6%
14
57.4%
Q1 - 6:15HornetsCody Martin makes two point driving layup (Terry Rozier assists)18
42.6%
14
57.4%
Q1 - 6:30HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving layup16
40.7%
14
59.3%
Q1 - 6:53HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point driving finger roll layup16
42.6%
12
57.4%
Q1 - 6:59HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound14
40.7%
12
59.3%
Q1 - 7:03HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot14
39.9%
12
60.1%
Q1 - 7:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
38.5%
12
61.5%
Q1 - 7:12HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot14
39.1%
12
60.9%
Q1 - 7:30HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)14
40.5%
12
59.5%
Q1 - 7:39HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound14
44.2%
9
55.8%
Q1 - 7:42HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot14
44.9%
9
55.1%
Q1 - 7:49HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 214
46.3%
9
53.7%
Q1 - 7:49HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 214
46.6%
8
53.4%
Q1 - 7:49HornetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)14
46.9%
7
53.1%
Q1 - 7:54HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound14
48.1%
7
51.9%
Q1 - 7:56HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point pullup jump shot14
48.8%
7
51.2%
Q1 - 8:28HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)14
50.0%
7
50.0%
Q1 - 8:38HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound14
53.6%
4
46.4%
Q1 - 8:40HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot14
54.2%
4
45.8%
Q1 - 8:51HornetsTerry Rozier defensive rebound14
55.8%
4
44.2%
Q1 - 8:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot14
55.1%
4
44.9%
Q1 - 9:03HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point fadeaway jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)14
53.0%
4
47.0%
Q1 - 9:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)12
51.4%
4
48.6%
Q1 - 9:40HornetsMiles Bridges makes three point jump shot (P.J. Washington assists)12
53.0%
2
47.0%
Q1 - 9:57HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 29
49.6%
2
50.4%
Q1 - 9:57HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 29
50.0%
1
50.0%
Q1 - 9:57HornetsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)9
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 10:04HornetsMiles Bridges personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)9
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 10:08HornetsP.J. Washington personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)9
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 10:16HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)9
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 10:19HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound6
47.0%
0
53.0%
Q1 - 10:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup6
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 10:42HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)6
45.0%
0
55.0%
Q1 - 10:51HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound3
41.6%
0
58.4%
Q1 - 10:55HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot3
41.0%
0
59.0%
Q1 - 10:56HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound3
39.6%
0
60.4%
Q1 - 11:00HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot3
41.0%
0
59.0%
Q1 - 11:12HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 13
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 11:12HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)2
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 11:29HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound0
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 11:34HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot0
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 11:37HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound0
34.3%
0
65.7%
Q1 - 11:40HeatGabe Vincent misses two point stepback jump shot0
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 12:00Mason Plumlee vs. Bam Adebayo (P.J. Tucker gains possession)0
34.3%
0
65.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.19 59.3%
MIA
1.45 72.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
23
29
79%
MIA
11
20
55%
Midrange
CHA
10
18
56%
MIA
14
22
64%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
12
18.0
38
32%
47%
MIA
23
34.5
42
55%
82%
Free Throws
CHA
13
18
72%
MIA
25
29
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Bridges2981%14.5 / 18
L. Ball1869%9.0 / 13
T. Rozier1653%8.0 / 15
P. Washington1354%6.5 / 12
J. McDaniels1179%5.5 / 7
I. Thomas850%4.0 / 8
C. Martin770%3.5 / 5
K. Oubre638%3.0 / 8
M. Plumlee467%2.0 / 3
N. Richards250%1.0 / 2
J. Thor150%0.5 / 1
J. Bouknight0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro3583%17.5 / 21
J. Butler2775%13.5 / 18
B. Adebayo2279%11.0 / 14
D. Robinson2195%10.5 / 11
M. Strus12100%6.0 / 6
C. Martin1267%6.0 / 9
P. Tucker750%3.5 / 7
O. Yurtseven375%1.5 / 2
M. Mulder3150%1.5 / 1
G. Vincent220%1.0 / 5
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
88
+9
-13
97
MIA
87
+12
-14
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.19 59.3%
MIA
1.45 72.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.2
113.3
CHA 113.9
MIA 142.6 +28.7
Pace
100.0
96.2
CHA 98.2
MIA 103.9 +5.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.0
CHA 14.7
MIA 13.9 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
54.7%
CHA 60.0%
MIA 70.8% +10.8%
TO %
12.6%
14.2%
CHA 13.9%
MIA 13.4% +0.5%
ORB %
23.5%
23.5%
CHA 17.5%
MIA 25.0% +7.5%
FTrt
23.4
25.2
CHA 21.2
MIA 34.5 +13.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.6%
64.4%
CHA 75.6% +15.2%
MIA 60.4%
STL %
8.5%
7.6%
CHA 7.9%
MIA 9.9% +2.0%
BLK %
9.5%
7.1%
CHA 7.1% +5.0%
MIA 2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
56.8%
CHA 59.3%
MIA 72.7% +13.4%
Rim FG%
61.9%
63.4%
CHA 79.3% +24.3%
MIA 55.0%
Mid FG%
39.6%
41.4%
CHA 55.6%
MIA 63.6% +8.0%
3P %
36.5%
37.9%
CHA 31.6%
MIA 54.8% +23.2%
FT %
74.0%
80.8%
CHA 72.2%
MIA 86.2% +14.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.0%
30.6%
CHA 34.1% +10.3%
MIA 23.8%
Mid Att. %
20.2%
27.1%
CHA 21.2% +5.0%
MIA 26.2%
3P Att. %
41.7%
42.2%
CHA 44.7%
MIA 50.0% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points115144
Rebounds3141
Assists3429
Steals810
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)14 (1)
Fouls1819
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)33 (1)
Field Goals45-8548-84
At-the-Rim FG23-2911-20
Midrange FG10-1814-22
2-Point FG33-4725-42
3-Point FG12-3823-42
Free Throws13-1825-29
Fast Break Pts173
2nd Chance Pts914
Points in Paint6642
Pts off Turnovers622
Bench Points3574
Biggest Lead1030

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
35.2
29
81%
6
4
1
0
1
2
1
5
4-5
80%
8-11
73%
3-5
60%
#2 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 21
34.4
18
69%
5
14
1
0
5
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
4-9
44%
#3 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 28
34.0
16
53%
2
6
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-1
100%
6-9
67%
1-6
17%
#25 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 24
32.8
13
54%
6
4
0
1
2
2
2
4
3-4
75%
5-7
71%
0-3
0%
#24 · C · 6'10" 254 · 32
20.2
4
67%
6
2
1
0
1
4
1
5
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 27
27.4
7
70%
2
2
3
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
#6 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 24
17.1
11
79%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
#12 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 26
16.3
6
38%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-4
0%
#4 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 33
15.2
8
50%
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
#14 · C · 7'0" 245 · 24
3.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#5 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 20
2.1
1
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#8 · C · 6'8" 240 · 28
DNP – Coach's Decision
#98 · SF · 6'10" 213 · 24
Inactive - Not With Team
#23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 21
Inactive - Not With Team
#16 · SG · 6'4" 188 · 22
Inactive - Not With Team
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot; Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
59%
31
34
8
3
13
18
7
24
13-18
72%
33-47
70%
12-38
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.