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All Games Friday, March 18, 2022
FinalWin Prob.pScore
29
Thunder
17%97
108
12
Heat
83%111
120
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
114.99495.1
MIA logo MIA
126.39595.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.108
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:20.9HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound108
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.1ThunderTheo Maledon misses regular free throw 1 of 1108
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.1HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Theo Maledon draws the foul)108
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.4HeatUdonis Haslem makes two point pullup jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)106
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.5ThunderLindy Waters III makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Roby assists)106
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.2ThunderTheo Maledon defensive rebound103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00HeatKyle Guy misses three point jump shot103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13HeatJavonte Smart misses three point jump shot103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19ThunderLindy Waters III misses two point pullup jump shot103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36ThunderAleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36HeatKyle Guy misses three point jump shot103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41HeatKyle Guy offensive rebound103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41HeatJavonte Smart misses two point driving floating bank jump shot103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50HeatKyle Guy defensive rebound103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56ThunderAleksej Pokusevski misses three point jump shot103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03HeatMax Strus personal foul (Take) (Aleksej Pokusevski draws the foul)103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07ThunderTheo Maledon defensive rebound103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10HeatOmer Yurtseven misses three point jump shot103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29ThunderLindy Waters III makes two point running layup (Theo Maledon assists)103
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31ThunderTheo Maledon defensive rebound101
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34HeatTheo Maledon blocks Javonte Smart's two point pullup jump shot101
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound101
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44ThunderLindy Waters III misses two point running layup101
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49HeatOmer Yurtseven turnover (bad pass) (Lindy Waters III steals)101
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04ThunderAleksej Pokusevski turnover (out of bounds bad pass)101
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07ThunderVit Krejci defensive rebound101
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point alley-oop layup101
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound101
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24ThunderAleksej Pokusevski misses three point jump shot101
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Theo Maledon draws the foul)101
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36ThunderAleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound101
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot101
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49HeatMax Strus defensive rebound101
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53ThunderTheo Maledon misses three point jump shot101
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating jump shot101
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20ThunderTheo Maledon makes two point pullup jump shot101
0.2%
116
99.8%
Q4 - 4:46HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point driving layup99
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08ThunderAleksej Pokusevski makes two point driving layup99
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 5:15ThunderAleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound97
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 5:18HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot97
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 5:41ThunderAaron Wiggins makes two point tip layup97
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41ThunderAaron Wiggins offensive rebound95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44ThunderVit Krejci misses two point running layup95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49ThunderVit Krejci defensive rebound95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot95
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 6:20ThunderAleksej Pokusevski makes two point fadeaway jump shot95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32ThunderLindy Waters III defensive rebound93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:34HeatMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49ThunderAaron Wiggins makes two point layup (Lindy Waters III assists)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving bank hook shot (Markieff Morris assists)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 7:26ThunderAleksej Pokusevski makes two point driving floating jump shot91
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot89
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 7:51HeatHeat offensive rebound89
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 7:53HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot89
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 8:02HeatMax Strus defensive rebound89
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 8:07ThunderTheo Maledon misses three point jump shot89
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 8:26HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)89
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 8:39ThunderAaron Wiggins makes two point running layup (Theo Maledon assists)89
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 8:42ThunderTheo Maledon defensive rebound87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 8:45HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving dunk87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 8:55ThunderAaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 287
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 8:55ThunderAaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 286
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 8:55HeatMarkieff Morris shooting foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 8:59HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Darius Bazley steals)85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 9:01HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 9:04ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point driving layup85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 9:21HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 9:41ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running dunk (Aleksej Pokusevski assists)85
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 9:44HeatMarkieff Morris turnover (lost ball) (Aleksej Pokusevski steals)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 9:59ThunderAleksej Pokusevski makes two point driving reverse layup (Aaron Wiggins assists)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 10:26HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)81
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 10:34HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:39ThunderAleksej Pokusevski misses three point jump shot81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 10:45HeatMarkieff Morris personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)81
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 10:47ThunderAleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound81
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 10:49HeatCaleb Martin misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot81
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 11:04HeatMarkieff Morris offensive rebound81
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 11:06HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot81
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 11:21ThunderAaron Wiggins makes two point driving layup (Aleksej Pokusevski assists)81
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 11:39HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point jump shot79
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.79
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound79
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.2HeatMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot79
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q3 - 0:01.4ThunderAaron Wiggins personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)79
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q3 - 0:02.6ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 179
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q3 - 0:02.6HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)78
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q3 - 0:16.5ThunderAleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound76
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 0:20.1HeatMarkieff Morris misses two point driving hook shot76
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 0:30.5HeatMarkieff Morris offensive rebound76
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 0:33.6HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot76
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 0:42.7ThunderAaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 276
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 0:42.7ThunderAaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 275
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 0:42.7HeatMax Strus personal foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 0:51.1ThunderAleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 0:56.1HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 1:14HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 1:18ThunderDarius Bazley misses three point jump shot74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 1:20ThunderVit Krejci offensive rebound74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 1:26ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 1:46HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q3 - 1:47HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound74
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q3 - 1:52HeatMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot74
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q3 - 2:13ThunderAaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 274
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q3 - 2:13ThunderAaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 273
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q3 - 2:13HeatMarkieff Morris shooting foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)72
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q3 - 2:30HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)72
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q3 - 2:39ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup72
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q3 - 2:50HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)70
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q3 - 3:13ThunderDarius Bazley makes regular free throw 2 of 270
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q3 - 3:13ThunderDarius Bazley makes regular free throw 1 of 269
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q3 - 3:13HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)68
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q3 - 3:25HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Max Strus assists)68
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q3 - 3:39ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point layup68
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 3:49ThunderTre Mann defensive rebound66
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q3 - 3:53HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot66
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q3 - 4:01HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound66
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q3 - 4:05ThunderTre Mann misses three point stepback jump shot66
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 4:24HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 266
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 4:24HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 266
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 4:24ThunderIsaiah Roby shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)66
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q3 - 4:38ThunderDarius Bazley makes regular free throw 2 of 266
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q3 - 4:38ThunderDarius Bazley makes regular free throw 1 of 265
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q3 - 4:38HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)64
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q3 - 4:53HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)64
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q3 - 5:07HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound64
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 5:07ThunderAaron Wiggins misses regular free throw 2 of 264
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 5:07ThunderAaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 264
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 5:07HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)63
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 5:10ThunderIsaiah Roby defensive rebound63
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 5:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup63
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 5:28ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 263
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 5:28ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 262
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 5:28HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Take) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)62
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 5:28ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound62
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 5:31HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot62
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 5:54HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound62
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 5:58ThunderTre Mann misses three point jump shot62
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 6:13ThunderTre Mann defensive rebound62
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 6:16HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot62
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 6:32ThunderThunder turnover (shot clock violation)62
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 6:33ThunderThunder offensive rebound62
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 6:34ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point driving layup62
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 6:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk62
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 6:55HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound62
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q3 - 7:01HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point floating jump shot62
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 7:18ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)62
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q3 - 7:31HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot62
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 7:31HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound62
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q3 - 7:34HeatShai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks Kyle Lowry's three point stepback jump shot62
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q3 - 7:39HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound62
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q3 - 7:45ThunderAleksej Pokusevski misses two point driving floating jump shot62
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 7:56HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot62
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q3 - 8:17ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 262
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 8:17ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 261
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q3 - 8:17HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)61
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q3 - 8:20HeatP.J. Tucker turnover (bad pass) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)61
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 8:37HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound61
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q3 - 8:41ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point pullup jump shot61
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q3 - 8:49ThunderAleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound61
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 8:53HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot61
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q3 - 8:59HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound61
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 9:04ThunderAleksej Pokusevski misses two point bank jump shot61
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q3 - 9:05ThunderAleksej Pokusevski offensive rebound61
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q3 - 9:07ThunderDarius Bazley misses regular free throw 1 of 161
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q3 - 9:07HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)61
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 9:22HeatKyle Lowry makes two point running layup (Gabe Vincent assists)59
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 9:23HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound59
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 9:26ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving floating jump shot59
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 9:49HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)59
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 9:52HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound59
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 9:55ThunderDarius Bazley misses three point jump shot59
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 10:02HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)59
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 10:08ThunderTre Mann defensive rebound59
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 10:11HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 159
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 10:11ThunderDarius Bazley shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)59
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 10:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound59
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 10:19ThunderTre Mann misses two point driving floating jump shot59
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 10:24HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Aleksej Pokusevski draws the foul)59
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 10:34ThunderOlivier Sarr offensive rebound59
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 10:34ThunderTre Mann misses three point jump shot59
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 10:50HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)59
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 11:08ThunderTre Mann makes three point jump shot (Aleksej Pokusevski assists)59
5.4%
69
94.6%
Q3 - 11:08ThunderAleksej Pokusevski offensive rebound56
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 11:13ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot56
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 11:25ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound56
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 11:28HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot56
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q3 - 11:48ThunderDarius Bazley makes two point layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)56
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.54
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q2 - 0:00.1ThunderAleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound54
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q2 - 0:01.4HeatMax Strus misses three point fadeaway jump shot54
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q2 - 0:03.1ThunderDarius Bazley turnover (out of bounds lost ball)54
3.0%
69
97.0%
Q2 - 0:05.4HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 154
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q2 - 0:05.4ThunderDarius Bazley shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)54
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (out of bounds lost ball)54
4.3%
66
95.7%
Q2 - 0:32.2HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup54
4.7%
66
95.3%
Q2 - 0:42.8ThunderDarius Bazley makes three point jump shot (Vit Krejci assists)54
5.5%
64
94.5%
Q2 - 1:01HeatKyle Lowry makes three point stepback jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)51
4.3%
64
95.7%
Q2 - 1:17ThunderTre Mann makes two point driving floating jump shot51
5.7%
61
94.3%
Q2 - 1:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup49
4.9%
61
95.1%
Q2 - 1:39HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
5.7%
59
94.3%
Q2 - 1:41ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving finger roll layup49
5.9%
59
94.1%
Q2 - 1:48ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound49
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q2 - 1:52HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot49
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q2 - 2:09ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 149
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q2 - 2:09HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)48
5.7%
59
94.3%
Q2 - 2:14HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 246
4.6%
59
95.4%
Q2 - 2:14HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 246
4.7%
58
95.3%
Q2 - 2:14ThunderOlivier Sarr personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)46
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q2 - 2:32ThunderTre Mann makes three point stepback jump shot46
5.2%
57
94.8%
Q2 - 2:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Max Strus assists)43
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q2 - 2:50HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound43
4.6%
55
95.4%
Q2 - 2:54HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot43
5.0%
55
95.0%
Q2 - 3:08ThunderTre Mann makes two point driving layup (Aleksej Pokusevski assists)43
4.8%
55
95.2%
Q2 - 3:30HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 241
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q2 - 3:30HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 241
4.4%
54
95.6%
Q2 - 3:30ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)41
4.5%
53
95.5%
Q2 - 3:37HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound41
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q2 - 3:39ThunderLindy Waters III misses three point jump shot41
4.9%
53
95.1%
Q2 - 3:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)41
5.4%
53
94.6%
Q2 - 4:00ThunderLindy Waters III turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)41
5.9%
51
94.1%
Q2 - 4:02ThunderVit Krejci offensive rebound41
6.7%
51
93.3%
Q2 - 4:07ThunderDarius Bazley misses three point jump shot41
6.2%
51
93.8%
Q2 - 4:29HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot41
6.7%
51
93.3%
Q2 - 4:51ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot41
8.2%
48
91.8%
Q2 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup39
7.4%
48
92.6%
Q2 - 5:18HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound39
8.0%
46
92.0%
Q2 - 5:24ThunderLindy Waters III misses three point jump shot39
8.3%
46
91.7%
Q2 - 5:40HeatTyler Herro makes two point putback layup39
9.1%
46
90.9%
Q2 - 5:42HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound39
9.8%
44
90.2%
Q2 - 5:44HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot39
10.7%
44
89.3%
Q2 - 6:08ThunderThunder turnover (shot clock violation)39
9.8%
44
90.2%
Q2 - 6:12ThunderOlivier Sarr offensive rebound39
11.1%
44
88.9%
Q2 - 6:14ThunderVit Krejci misses three point jump shot39
10.2%
44
89.8%
Q2 - 6:37HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot39
11.1%
44
88.9%
Q2 - 6:53ThunderAleksej Pokusevski personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)39
13.1%
41
86.9%
Q2 - 6:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
13.1%
41
86.9%
Q2 - 7:00ThunderTre Mann misses three point jump shot39
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 7:00ThunderVit Krejci offensive rebound39
14.8%
41
85.2%
Q2 - 7:04ThunderTre Mann misses two point driving floating bank jump shot39
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 7:22HeatCaleb Martin makes two point floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)39
14.5%
41
85.5%
Q2 - 7:41ThunderAaron Wiggins turnover (out of bounds bad pass)39
15.8%
39
84.2%
Q2 - 7:49ThunderTre Mann defensive rebound39
17.4%
39
82.6%
Q2 - 7:52HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot39
16.9%
39
83.1%
Q2 - 8:10ThunderTre Mann makes three point stepback jump shot39
15.8%
39
84.2%
Q2 - 8:18ThunderTre Mann defensive rebound36
13.3%
39
86.7%
Q2 - 8:18HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup36
12.9%
39
87.1%
Q2 - 8:27ThunderTre Mann makes two point pullup jump shot36
12.1%
39
87.9%
Q2 - 8:46HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)34
11.1%
39
88.9%
Q2 - 8:56HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound34
13.3%
36
86.7%
Q2 - 8:59ThunderVit Krejci misses three point jump shot34
13.6%
36
86.4%
Q2 - 9:14HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)34
14.5%
36
85.5%
Q2 - 9:25ThunderTheo Maledon turnover (out of bounds bad pass)34
15.7%
34
84.3%
Q2 - 9:37HeatMarkieff Morris makes regular free throw 2 of 234
17.2%
34
82.8%
Q2 - 9:37HeatMarkieff Morris misses regular free throw 1 of 234
17.5%
33
82.5%
Q2 - 9:37ThunderAaron Wiggins shooting foul (Markieff Morris draws the foul)34
16.4%
33
83.6%
Q2 - 9:51ThunderTre Mann makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Roby assists)34
17.1%
33
82.9%
Q2 - 10:01HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 231
14.5%
33
85.5%
Q2 - 10:01HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 231
14.6%
32
85.4%
Q2 - 10:01ThunderTre Mann shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)31
14.8%
31
85.2%
Q2 - 10:13ThunderTre Mann makes two point stepback jump shot (Vit Krejci assists)31
15.7%
31
84.3%
Q2 - 10:29HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup29
14.5%
31
85.5%
Q2 - 10:53ThunderTre Mann makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Roby assists)29
15.7%
29
84.3%
Q2 - 11:17HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot26
13.0%
29
87.0%
Q2 - 11:32HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound26
14.3%
27
85.7%
Q2 - 11:36ThunderTre Mann misses three point jump shot26
14.6%
27
85.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.26
15.4%
27
84.6%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound26
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q1 - 0:02.1HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot26
14.7%
27
85.3%
Q1 - 0:04.5ThunderTre Mann makes two point putback layup26
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q1 - 0:04.5ThunderTre Mann offensive rebound24
12.7%
27
87.3%
Q1 - 0:04.9ThunderVit Krejci misses three point jump shot24
12.1%
27
87.9%
Q1 - 0:13.8HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)24
12.7%
27
87.3%
Q1 - 0:32.4ThunderVit Krejci makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)24
15.2%
24
84.8%
Q1 - 0:54.6HeatMarkieff Morris makes two point turnaround jump shot21
12.8%
24
87.2%
Q1 - 1:19ThunderAaron Wiggins makes two point running dunk (Isaiah Roby assists)21
14.0%
22
86.0%
Q1 - 1:21ThunderIsaiah Roby defensive rebound19
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 1:24HeatMax Strus misses two point driving layup19
12.5%
22
87.5%
Q1 - 1:33HeatMax Strus defensive rebound19
11.9%
22
88.1%
Q1 - 1:33ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot19
12.2%
22
87.8%
Q1 - 1:42ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound19
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 1:45HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot19
12.5%
22
87.5%
Q1 - 2:02ThunderIsaiah Roby makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)19
11.8%
22
88.2%
Q1 - 2:09ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound16
10.1%
22
89.9%
Q1 - 2:09HeatIsaiah Roby blocks Tyler Herro's two point running layup16
9.8%
22
90.2%
Q1 - 2:13HeatMax Strus defensive rebound16
9.3%
22
90.7%
Q1 - 2:16ThunderTre Mann misses two point driving floating jump shot16
9.5%
22
90.5%
Q1 - 2:39HeatKyle Lowry makes two point running layup (Caleb Martin assists)16
10.1%
22
89.9%
Q1 - 2:41ThunderTre Mann turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)16
10.9%
20
89.1%
Q1 - 2:48ThunderTre Mann defensive rebound16
11.9%
20
88.1%
Q1 - 2:52HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot16
11.6%
20
88.4%
Q1 - 3:04ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 216
10.9%
20
89.1%
Q1 - 3:04ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 215
10.8%
20
89.2%
Q1 - 3:04HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)14
10.6%
20
89.4%
Q1 - 3:10HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)14
10.2%
20
89.8%
Q1 - 3:28HeatMarkieff Morris defensive rebound14
10.9%
18
89.1%
Q1 - 3:31ThunderDarius Bazley misses three point jump shot14
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 3:51HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Markieff Morris assists)14
12.0%
18
88.0%
Q1 - 4:03ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Tucker steals)14
13.7%
15
86.3%
Q1 - 4:09ThunderTre Mann defensive rebound14
14.9%
15
85.1%
Q1 - 4:13HeatShai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks P.J. Tucker's three point jump shot14
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 4:27ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running layup14
13.7%
15
86.3%
Q1 - 4:28ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound12
12.9%
15
87.1%
Q1 - 4:36HeatOlivier Sarr blocks P.J. Tucker's two point driving finger roll layup12
12.6%
15
87.4%
Q1 - 4:57ThunderAleksej Pokusevski makes two point tip layup12
11.8%
15
88.2%
Q1 - 4:57ThunderAleksej Pokusevski offensive rebound10
11.1%
15
88.9%
Q1 - 4:58ThunderAleksej Pokusevski misses two point driving floating jump shot10
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 5:03ThunderAleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound10
11.0%
15
89.0%
Q1 - 5:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot10
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound10
10.1%
15
89.9%
Q1 - 5:15HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot10
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 5:23HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound10
10.1%
15
89.9%
Q1 - 5:25ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point driving layup10
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 5:35HeatGabe Vincent turnover (traveling)10
11.0%
15
89.0%
Q1 - 5:37HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound10
10.1%
15
89.9%
Q1 - 5:39ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving layup10
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 5:50ThunderAleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound10
11.0%
15
89.0%
Q1 - 5:56HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot10
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 6:15ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 110
10.2%
15
89.8%
Q1 - 6:15HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)9
10.1%
15
89.9%
Q1 - 6:38HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)7
8.8%
15
91.2%
Q1 - 6:56ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point stepback jump shot7
9.5%
13
90.5%
Q1 - 7:09ThunderAleksej Pokusevski offensive rebound4
8.1%
13
91.9%
Q1 - 7:12ThunderTre Mann misses three point stepback jump shot4
7.7%
13
92.3%
Q1 - 7:18ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound4
8.1%
13
91.9%
Q1 - 7:22HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot4
7.9%
13
92.1%
Q1 - 7:44ThunderAleksej Pokusevski turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)4
7.5%
13
92.5%
Q1 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (P.J. Tucker assists)4
8.0%
13
92.0%
Q1 - 8:25ThunderDarius Bazley makes two point cutting dunk (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)4
8.5%
11
91.5%
Q1 - 8:38HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)2
8.0%
11
92.0%
Q1 - 8:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
9.2%
8
90.8%
Q1 - 8:48ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point driving layup2
9.4%
8
90.6%
Q1 - 9:02HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)2
10.0%
8
90.0%
Q1 - 9:08HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound2
11.3%
5
88.7%
Q1 - 9:13ThunderAaron Wiggins misses three point jump shot2
11.6%
5
88.4%
Q1 - 9:22ThunderOlivier Sarr defensive rebound2
12.2%
5
87.8%
Q1 - 9:26HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot2
12.0%
5
88.0%
Q1 - 9:31ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)2
11.3%
5
88.7%
Q1 - 9:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
11.3%
5
88.7%
Q1 - 9:41ThunderAleksej Pokusevski misses two point driving finger roll layup2
11.6%
5
88.4%
Q1 - 10:03HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot2
12.0%
5
88.0%
Q1 - 10:10HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound2
13.5%
2
86.5%
Q1 - 10:12ThunderAaron Wiggins misses two point driving layup2
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 10:32ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound2
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 10:32HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot2
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 10:44ThunderDarius Bazley makes two point driving dunk2
13.5%
2
86.5%
Q1 - 10:58HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot0
12.8%
2
87.2%
Q1 - 11:10HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound0
13.3%
0
86.7%
Q1 - 11:15ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point stepback jump shot0
13.6%
0
86.4%
Q1 - 11:38ThunderAleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound0
14.3%
0
85.7%
Q1 - 11:41HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot0
14.0%
0
86.0%
Q1 - 12:00Olivier Sarr vs. Bam Adebayo (Gabe Vincent gains possession)0
13.3%
0
86.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.13 56.3%
MIA
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
19
29
66%
MIA
18
25
72%
Midrange
OKC
11
21
52%
MIA
10
19
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
10
15.0
34
29%
44%
MIA
18
27.0
51
35%
53%
Free Throws
OKC
18
23
78%
MIA
10
12
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander2665%13.0 / 20
T. Mann2566%12.5 / 19
A. Wiggins1777%8.5 / 11
D. Bazley1550%7.5 / 15
A. Pokusevski1042%5.0 / 12
L. Waters542%2.5 / 6
T. Maledon450%2.0 / 4
V. Krejčí330%1.5 / 5
I. Roby3150%1.5 / 1
O. Sarr0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2681%13.0 / 16
B. Adebayo1986%9.5 / 11
D. Robinson1995%9.5 / 10
K. Lowry1689%8.0 / 9
M. Morris1359%6.5 / 11
M. Strus1250%6.0 / 12
C. Martin1161%5.5 / 9
G. Vincent211%1.0 / 9
U. Haslem2100%1.0 / 1
P. Tucker0-0.0 / 5
O. Yurtseven0-0.0 / 2
K. Guy0-0.0 / 2
J. Smart0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
84
+12
-10
96
MIA
89
+14
-6
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.13 56.3%
MIA
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.1
113.3
OKC 114.9
MIA 126.3 +11.4
Pace
99.0
96.2
OKC 95.1
MIA 95.3 +0.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
15.0
OKC 15.1
MIA 15.1 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
54.7%
OKC 53.6%
MIA 57.9% +4.3%
TO %
13.3%
14.2%
OKC 11.3%
MIA 5.6% +5.7%
ORB %
21.8%
23.5%
OKC 23.9% +0.5%
MIA 23.4%
FTrt
22.3
25.2
OKC 27.4 +14.8
MIA 12.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
64.4%
OKC 47.5%
MIA 54.3% +6.8%
STL %
7.6%
7.6%
OKC 4.3%
MIA 5.3% +1.0%
BLK %
8.9%
7.1%
OKC 11.4% +11.4%
MIA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.43 and 2.43.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
56.8%
OKC 56.3%
MIA 58.3% +2.0%
Rim FG%
57.2%
63.4%
OKC 65.5%
MIA 72.0% +6.5%
Mid FG%
40.8%
41.4%
OKC 52.4%
MIA 52.6% +0.2%
3P %
32.3%
37.9%
OKC 29.4%
MIA 35.3% +5.9%
FT %
75.5%
80.8%
OKC 78.3%
MIA 83.3% +5.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
30.6%
OKC 34.5% +8.2%
MIA 26.3%
Mid Att. %
22.9%
27.1%
OKC 25.0%
MIA 20.0% +5.0%
3P Att. %
42.0%
42.2%
OKC 40.5%
MIA 53.7% +13.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsOKCMIA
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes23.723.9
Points108120
Rebounds4746
Assists1925
Steals45
Blocks50
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)6 (0)
Fouls1019
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (0)35 (0)
Field Goals40-8446-95
At-the-Rim FG19-2918-25
Midrange FG11-2110-19
2-Point FG30-5028-44
3-Point FG10-3418-51
Free Throws18-2310-12
Fast Break Pts1311
2nd Chance Pts1214
Points in Paint5448
Pts off Turnovers518
Bench Points4064
Biggest Lead129

BOXSCORE

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29 Oklahoma City Thunder
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Aleksej Pokusevski
#17 · SF · 7'0" 190 · 20
33.9
10
42%
15
5
1
0
2
1
4
11
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-3
0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
#2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 24
32.8
26
65%
7
4
1
2
3
2
0
7
7-9
78%
8-13
62%
1-4
25%
Darius Bazley
#7 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 22
29.5
15
50%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
4-5
80%
4-8
50%
1-5
20%
Aaron Wiggins
#21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23
29.1
17
77%
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
0
7-8
88%
5-6
83%
0-1
0%
Olivier Sarr
#30 · C · 7'0" 240 · 23
14.3
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Vit Krejci
#27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 22
29.2
3
30%
5
2
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
Tre Mann
#23 · PG · 6'3" 178 · 21
27.7
25
66%
8
0
0
0
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
5-8
63%
5-11
45%
Isaiah Roby
#22 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 24
19.0
3
150%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Theo Maledon
#11 · PG · 6'5" 175 · 21
14.0
4
50%
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
Lindy Waters III
#12 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25
10.6
5
42%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
Kenrich Williams
#34 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 27
DNP – Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Sprain
Derrick Favors
#15 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 31
DNP – Injury/Illness | Low Back; Soreness
Luguentz Dort
#5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Shoulder; Surgery
Ty Jerome
#16 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | N/a; Sports Hernia Surgery
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
#50 · PF · 6'8" 242 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot; Third Metatarsal Fracture
Josh Giddey
#3 · SG · 6'8" 216 · 19
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip; Soreness
Mike Muscala
#33 · C · 6'11" 240 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
56%
47
19
4
5
10
10
11
36
18-23
78%
30-50
60%
10-34
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.